Military Review

Three reasons for the civil war in Syria

60



The civil war in Syria has already lasted for 4. It seems that we are witnesses of the peak of the conflict.

Right now, I want to go back and understand what was the forerunner of the Syrian events, which the whole world community is following. Regarding the causes of the civil war in Syria, completely different arguments are derived. We will analyze three, in my opinion, the most likely:

1) The reason for the inner lies in the ethno-religious diversity.

The population of Syria is quite motley. These are Arabs (86%), and Kurds (8%), and Armenians (2,7%). The confessional structure is represented by Islamic and Christian groups, with a set of trends and trends. This includes Sunni Muslims (constitute 70% of the country's population), Alawites (15% of the country's population), and Muslims such as Imamites, Druze, Nizari, and others.

In Syria, the Christian mosaics looked quite succinctly against the backdrop of the Islamic Azan call, the churches were located near the mosques, but despite the diversity of nations, tribes and denominations, the interaction of the groups was not always calm. The essence of the conflict is precisely in the relationship of the Sunni majority and exclusively of the Alawite state apparatus. It is known that Bashar Al Asad is Alawites and the state structure is literally stuffed with his numerous relatives. Hafez Asad, the standard-bearer of the Alawite dynasty of Presidents, at one time tried to unite the Alawites of Syria and the Shiites of Lebanon, Iran and Iraq. In addition, the Alawite elite took control of all business structures in the country. This could not suit either the Sunnis (who were the majority) or the Kurds, who before the war in Syria did not even have passports, being the most oppressed by the minority. The severity of the Syrian authorities’s attitude towards the Kurds is explained by a single desire - to prevent their unification and the rise of the national liberation movement, which in the future may lead to the emergence of separatist sentiments among the Kurds themselves and a lasting effect on other ethnic groups.

2) A separate reason can be called the lack of preparation of Bashar Assad for the post of President of the Republic.

An Alawite representative ascended to the throne in 2000, replacing his father, Hafez Asad, who reigned 29 for years. By profession, an ophthalmologist, Bashar Asad was literally a victim of the situation, having neither relevant knowledge nor experience in a public office. In addition, al-Assad received a politically unstable country in the midst of "Arab springs" and conflicts with the United States.

3) Oddly enough, partly in the United States lies the external cause of the war in Syria.

Influence from the outside - let's call it an external cause. Syrian boiler broke out not without the participation of pro-Western structures. 2003 will be remembered for the Middle East by the overthrow of the Iraqi regime: the authorities are gone, the alternative has not been proposed, and the United States has already implemented the “Greater Middle East” project. According to the plan, Syria was the next target. The motive of the game is the realization of its own geopolitical goals in the Middle East. The civil war in Syria began in 2012, the regime was not overthrown for two years, after which a powerful terrorist group, the Islamic State, appeared, finally to end Bashar Assad’s regime. The fact that the group failed, became independent and act not according to the plan of the West - is another question. However, one should not exclude that ISIS was created by the USA in part to eliminate B. Assad's regime. By the way, Turkey plays an important role in the ignition of the war in Syria. The Kurdistan Workers Party - the most dangerous organization for modern Turkey, threatening its integrity - originated in Syria, and the latest generations of Asad (Hafez Asad and Bashar Asad) actively supported this organization. Thus, the internal cause — namely, ethno-confessional diversity became the harbinger of the external cause — external influence.

Thus, the causes of the war in Syria are smoothly moving from internal to external, with no clear boundaries. As is usually the case: some powers (West, Turkey) influenced the emergence of civil war, others (Saudi Arabia, Qatar) are involved in escalation, and a third group of countries (Russia, Iran) are involved in political regulation. I want to note an important fact: the influence of powers from outside does not set as its main goal the elimination of the Assad regime. The ultimate goal is Russia and the desire to bring risk factors closer to its borders. Russia cannot allow this to happen, which is what its successful aerospace operation in Syria is connected with.
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  1. Wolka
    Wolka 16 February 2016 05: 47 New
    +3
    still turkey to answer
    1. Finches
      Finches 16 February 2016 05: 50 New
      23
      "Three reasons for the civil war in Syria" - The first is the USA! The second is the USA! The third is the USA! That's all the analytics!
      1. Red_Hamer
        Red_Hamer 16 February 2016 06: 12 New
        +2
        One hundred percent! Is fecit cui prodest - “made for whom it is profitable”
        1. Tatyana
          Tatyana 16 February 2016 06: 50 New
          +6
          From the text of the article
          an important fact: the influence of powers from outside does not set as its main goal the elimination of the Assad regime. The ultimate goal is precisely Russia and the desire to bring risk factors closer to its borders. Russia cannot allow this, which is the reason for its successful aerospace operation in Syria.

          An article by a Kurdish analyst is pretty decent. Problems-causes are formulated to them shortly and clearly. It is important to note that this understanding of the essence of problems on BV is also demonstrated in the materials of some other analysts with BV.
          But, what is most important and what pleases this author in this article is his clear understanding of the cause and effect relationship of local events in the war in Syria (and the BV in general) with the main globalist (!) GOAL of the West and the USA in their role generally in warriors around the world. Namely, this is the desire of the West and the USA to destroy Russia!
          This understanding by the Kurds of both the common threat and the vision of a real common strategic enemy in the BV and in the world in general allows the Kurds not only to unite with the Syrian government forces with the support of Russia and bring peace to the BV, but also become Russia's geopolitical ally for the future in the BV.

          To author +
          1. Oldwiser
            Oldwiser 16 February 2016 09: 42 New
            +2
            The Kurds at the moment are behaving completely similarly to Israel of the 1947 model - they pull from both sources - both from Russia (allegedly they understand the main goal of the West in the Syrian conflict), and from mattresses. So I would be wary of getting too tightly attached to such "allies". As long as interests coincide (to put in place fucking Turkey) - until then "we are on the way", and to register as "eternal friends, guarantors and sureties" - no, gentlemen,
            "The East is a delicate matter, Petruha"
            1. voyaka uh
              voyaka uh 16 February 2016 11: 12 New
              +1
              "The Kurds at the moment are behaving completely similar to Israel of the 1947 model" ////

              There is some difference: the Jews clearly wanted to establish a state - and founded without delaying even an hour, and the Kurds have been dragging with this for 50 years.
          2. Oldwiser
            Oldwiser 16 February 2016 09: 42 New
            0
            The Kurds at the moment are behaving completely similarly to Israel of the 1947 model - they pull from both sources - both from Russia (allegedly they understand the main goal of the West in the Syrian conflict), and from mattresses. So I would be wary of getting too tightly attached to such "allies". As long as interests coincide (to put in place fucking Turkey) - until then "we are on the way", and to register as "eternal friends, guarantors and sureties" - no, gentlemen,
            "The East is a delicate matter, Petruha"
      2. tol100v
        tol100v 16 February 2016 07: 19 New
        +3
        Quote: Finches
        ! That's all the analytics!

        Plus the desire for a direct gas pipeline exit from Qatar to the Mediterranean!
        1. Professor
          Professor 16 February 2016 09: 35 New
          +3
          Quote: Tol100v
          Plus the desire for a direct gas pipeline exit from Qatar to the Mediterranean!

          Is there anything around Syria? wink
          1. Oldwiser
            Oldwiser 16 February 2016 09: 44 New
            +2
            Saudis - Jordan - Israel? laughing
          2. Oldwiser
            Oldwiser 16 February 2016 09: 44 New
            0
            Saudis - Jordan - Israel? laughing
          3. hrych
            hrych 16 February 2016 11: 20 New
            +1
            Quote: Professor
            Is there anything around Syria?

            The point is, Dear Colleague, that it makes sense for an oil pipeline to reach the Mediterranean coast, but in the case of a gas pipeline, this is just the beginning, further along the bottom along the Turkish coast, naturally, in a straight line, it should jump ashore straight to the EU, i.e. in Greece. The same Turkey, having received a complete failure with Nabucco, in the "case" of the Trans-Syrian pipe, only taking into account that Syria would be a Turkish satrapy. Naturally, as one of the main concessionaires for Turkey, there can be no question of any way through the Promised One, for by the Turks. Even with uncontrolled Syria, they cannot be satisfied with this option, because again by.
            1. Professor
              Professor 16 February 2016 11: 35 New
              0
              And how is such an alternative? Who's stopping, colleague? wink
              1. hrych
                hrych 16 February 2016 11: 44 New
                +2
                Quote: Professor
                Who's stopping, colleague?

                Turkey also prevents, plus sea depths, from crossing the Mediterranean either on the shelf or along the bottom of the depression, the price matters there (even throwing one pipe alone, but serving and repairing with deep-water bathyscaphes at a depth of 1,5 kilometers is not an option). Plus, Qatari gas is not enough to fill the pipe, the pipe makes sense with the addition of Iranian gas, respectively, the starting point of the pipeline should be in the north of the Persian Gulf, where Iranian and Qatari gas mix and this point again has no alternative to Syria.
                1. Professor
                  Professor 16 February 2016 11: 52 New
                  0
                  Quote: hrych
                  Turkey also prevents, plus sea depths, from crossing the Mediterranean either on the shelf or along the bottom of the depression, the price matters there (even throwing one pipe alone, but serving and repairing with deep-water bathyscaphes at a depth of 1,5 kilometers is not an option).

                  Not. Turkey does not interfere. The sea bottom does not interfere with pulling the gas pipeline from Israel to Europe through which the Qatari gas can be launched. Iranian can be allowed through Turkey, bypassing Syria. The benefit of geography allows.
                  The reason for the hypothetical gas pipeline is far-fetched.
                  1. hrych
                    hrych 16 February 2016 12: 04 New
                    +1
                    The maximum depth of the Nord Stream is 210 meters, although it is unique in its own way. The trough from Israel to the Greek islands is on average more than a kilometer, if we keep on the shelf, we again find ourselves safely on the Syrian beach ...
                    1. Professor
                      Professor 16 February 2016 12: 09 New
                      0
                      Quote: hrych
                      The maximum depth of the Nord Stream is 210 meters, although it is unique in its own way. The trough from Israel to the Greek islands is on average more than a kilometer, if we keep on the shelf, we again find ourselves safely on the Syrian beach ...

                      In your opinion, Israel is going to pull the pipeline along the Syrian beach? wink From us to Cyprus people swim. Here it’s a stone's throw and this gas pipeline will be built regardless of Qatar and especially Turkey. To Cyprus, to Greece and further to Europe.

                      PS
                      The Turks now spoke out for the purchase of Israeli gas.
                      1. hrych
                        hrych 16 February 2016 12: 24 New
                        0
                        To swim on the surface, the pipe lies on the ground, no one will heat the pipe in the hollows - this is excluded. Even a hypothetically laid pipe that emerged on the Greek coast is only the beginning of the problem, if the South Stream all the way to Austria and so on. Gazprom took over, then even the Turkish Stream, when the Greeks only planned a hub, did not arouse any enthusiasm among EU consumers. Here again there is the question of building a pipe from Greece to the main industrial consumers. In short, neither Qatar with SA is not affordable, but they have no construction experience, and Western companies are not interested in projects when the payback is in decades, and guarantees come from the crazy old man Saud, with problems with the succession to the throne and with sanity in general. Moreover, all this is virtual, and pipes from the Russian Federation have been pumping for many years and from these pipes the meteostases of pipes within the EU diverge, and such "fools" as Gazprom cannot be found. It is clear that there will be a second branch of the Nord Stream, and the first branch with 50% of the load reserve will be fully operational. Always at war with Israel, at war with the SA, at war with Syria and Iraq, they will never find any investors. Everything will go to the peaceful North ...
                      2. Professor
                        Professor 16 February 2016 12: 32 New
                        +3
                        Nobel Energy has invested in Israeli gas production, provided that this company will be allowed to export Israeli gas. Do you think Nobel Energy understands anything in gas pipelines and was going to pull a pipe along the Syrian beach, a country with which we are at war?

                        Quote: hrych
                        Eternally warring Israel, warring CA, Warring Syria and Iraq, they will never find any investors. Everything will go to the peaceful North ...

                        In belligerent Israel, there was a line of investors and defeated Noblе Energy (market value of $ 12.5 billion). Do you know such a company?
                        By the way, I can draw a route from Egypt or Israel to Turkey, bypassing Syria. Interested in? wink
                      3. hrych
                        hrych 16 February 2016 12: 48 New
                        0
                        Quote: Professor
                        Interested in?

                        Honestly, not very, due to the political situation in BV. Or rather the threat of a big war ...
                        Quote: Professor
                        Do you know such a company?

                        Now I know: The most ordinary bankrupt who wants to have subsidies on the run laughing :
                        So, by 1985, the company became unprofitable ... In the late 80s, to reduce debt, the company also conducted an additional issue of its shares ... was renamed ...
                        https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noble_Energy
                        In general, the pipeline is in good hands wink
                      4. Professor
                        Professor 16 February 2016 13: 37 New
                        +1
                        Quote: hrych
                        Honestly, not very, due to the political situation in BV. Or rather the threat of a big war ...

                        The political situation in BV has always been not ice, but this does not prevent from pumping hydrocarbons in unreal quantities from here.

                        Quote: hrych
                        Now I know: The most ordinary bankrupt who wants to have subsidies on the run

                        Yeah. Founded in 1932, capitalization $ 12 billion, profit $ 3 billion. Typical bankrupt.

                        Quote: hrych
                        In general, the pipeline is in good hands

                        I have no doubt about that. A gas pipeline at the bottom of the sea is much more reliable and cheaper than what is pulled by land. His bearded guys will not blow up a couple of times a week, as was the case with the Sinai gas pipeline.

                        But we were distracted. I showed you that for a hypothetical gas pipeline from Qatar to Turkey, Syria has an alternative, and IMHO is cheaper.
                2. atalef
                  atalef 16 February 2016 12: 28 New
                  0
                  Quote: Professor
                  Quote: hrych
                  The maximum depth of the Nord Stream is 210 meters, although it is unique in its own way. The trough from Israel to the Greek islands is on average more than a kilometer, if we keep on the shelf, we again find ourselves safely on the Syrian beach ...

                  In your opinion, Israel is going to pull the pipeline along the Syrian beach? wink From us to Cyprus people swim. Here it’s a stone's throw and this gas pipeline will be built regardless of Qatar and especially Turkey. To Cyprus, to Greece and further to Europe.

                  PS
                  The Turks now spoke out for the purchase of Israeli gas.

                  Well, if a gas pipeline was dragged to Israel from the fields, and they are about a third of the distance between Israel and Cyprus, then the same way they will reach the other side.
                3. Professor
                  Professor 16 February 2016 12: 34 New
                  +1
                  Quote: atalef
                  Well, if a gas pipeline was dragged to Israel from the fields, and they are about a third of the distance between Israel and Cyprus, then the same way they will reach the other side.

                  Of course. For these purposes, gas was sought.

                  PS
                  This is for you for the next branch as demolishing "samostroy" together with "samostroychiki". fellow
  • Ermak
    Ermak 16 February 2016 07: 51 New
    +3
    Quote: Finches
    "Three reasons for the civil war in Syria" - The first is the USA! The second is the USA! The third is the USA! That's all the analytics!

    РЇ СЃРѕРіР »Р ° сен.
    As for the reasons, the article describes the problems characteristic of any country in the world with slight differences in composition and quality. Rather, they are mechanisms with the help of which they fanned the conflict. And the true reason is the presence of a monster - the United States, with their goals, to achieve which they use the presence of such problems. And since they are sitting on a printing press, which most countries in the world depend on, it is not difficult to inflate these problems. The same picture is in Ukraine. The difference is only in conditions and mentality, so the result is slightly different. And so a good description of the problems of the region and the right conclusions. In the general article, a plus.
  • Vega
    Vega 16 February 2016 09: 01 New
    +1
    I’ll add money and oil control to the USA.
  • Delink
    Delink 16 February 2016 06: 15 New
    0
    What for?
    She herself will soon run into and disappear.
  • Rav075
    Rav075 16 February 2016 05: 48 New
    +6
    Posted by Jamilya Kochoyan (Cemîla Ûsiv Koçoyi), Kurdish political scientist, international journalist ([email protected])


    A more in-depth analysis could be expected from such an author. Maybe the fact is that he, too, sits in London and internationalizes? what
  • Foxmara
    Foxmara 16 February 2016 05: 48 New
    +1
    The ophthalmologist turned out to be too soft. The siloviki relaxed, who wanted to - took advantage of the incident. This is if very briefly.
    1. Delink
      Delink 16 February 2016 06: 20 New
      +2
      This dentist gives teeth ISIS, not without the help of Russia, of course, but nice)))))))))
    2. Ami du peuple
      Ami du peuple 16 February 2016 09: 52 New
      +1
      Quote: Foxmara
      The ophthalmologist turned out to be too soft. The siloviki relaxed, who wanted to - took advantage of the incident. This is if very briefly.

      In short, an ophthalmologist will give one hundred points in advance to many Middle Eastern (and not only Middle Eastern) rulers in terms of perseverance and conviction. The same authoritarian rulers - Saddam Hussein, Colonel Gaddafi and Hosni Mubarak.
      Perhaps, as the author of the article claims, he was not prepared for such a high post of the President of the SAR, but the result is obvious - for the fifth year, Bashar has been resisting, and now he is winning.
  • Vladimir71
    Vladimir71 16 February 2016 05: 52 New
    +5
    If Bashar came to power unprepared, what can we say about the same Yanukovych) one can feel the difference in cultures, you can immediately see where people are with the rod inside and where there are rags and insignificance ...
  • venaya
    venaya 16 February 2016 05: 52 New
    +2
    Syrian cauldron flared up not without the participation of pro-Western structures

    Well, these will always find where and with what to profit, otherwise they would not have lived so comfortably.
  • Telemon
    Telemon 16 February 2016 06: 02 New
    +3
    Hello! Let me express my opinion about the mess in Syria, Iraq, Libya and many, many other territories (former countries), so to speak first! and one! reason:
    -USA.
  • avva2012
    avva2012 16 February 2016 06: 06 New
    +2
    Oddly enough, partly in the USA lies an external cause of the war in Syria.Author Jamil Kochoyan (Cemîla Ûsiv Koçoyi), Kurdish political scientist, international journalist

    For such a passage, the level of confidence in the political scientist somehow decreases. Apparently he is one of those Kurds. what the United States oversees.
    In my opinion, the layman, ISIS, did not get out of control, this organization was originally created by the United States, not in order to control it. It was released as a war virus and should destabilize the situation, and then deactivated. The Kurds have a specific role to play in US plans, but to understand which, you need to have more information, but this information is secret. On the outside, perhaps in the plans, the destruction of all the monarchies that control oil reserves. Syria, this is not a trap for us, this is a trap for the Saudis and Turkey. If they get in there, then the US plan will work. Most likely, our answer, and this is the end of both Turkey and the CA. If everything would have happened without our participation, most likely ISIS, sooner or later, destroying Syria, would go both north and south. Northern beast for Turkey and the SA, and so and so. Another bonus for the United States, the collapse of the European Union (refugees, the Islamization of Europe, the activation of right-wing forces in Europe itself). And why do they need competitors?
    1. Volzhanin
      Volzhanin 16 February 2016 09: 07 New
      +1
      I agree. If desired, this gadyushnik could be covered in a fairly short time. But not for that, the mattress created it, to swell a lot of money, to slow down everything.
      It is clear that the goal of chaos is to weaken Russia and completely subordinate the geyrop. And all these monarchies, the mattresses simply rolled up in the sand and say that it was. And in their place there may be a mattress-Arab caliphate, extracting all BV oil in the interests of the Yankees. After this, isolating Russia will become much easier, squeezing from the south and west. In the east is the Pacific Partnership. That’s the plan for the naglosaxes!
      1. avva2012
        avva2012 16 February 2016 10: 55 New
        0
        Mattress-Arab caliphate, that's great! good So it seems a crescent moon by stripes
  • itr
    itr 16 February 2016 06: 11 New
    +1
    Civil wars have no reason, probably more.
  • Mikhail m
    Mikhail m 16 February 2016 06: 19 New
    0
    The assault on the Hama forgot to mention.
  • aba
    aba 16 February 2016 06: 26 New
    +1
    Quote: itr
    Jamila Kochoyan

    And why is that? And if you put the question differently: what preceded the investigation?
  • Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 16 February 2016 06: 35 New
    +4
    Just the collapse of Syria, the United States planned, and implemented the Turks, Saudis, cataracts and other rudeness of the bay
  • sa-ag
    sa-ag 16 February 2016 06: 38 New
    +3
    the author mentions only a superstructure, ignoring the basis
    1. aba
      aba 16 February 2016 07: 21 New
      0
      So what prevents you from chewing this base for us ?! Or can’t you explain in simple words, but we won’t understand with clever ones? wink
      1. sa-ag
        sa-ag 16 February 2016 07: 22 New
        0
        Quote: aba
        So what prevents you from chewing this base for us ?!

        Hydrocarbons
        1. aba
          aba 16 February 2016 07: 36 New
          0
          Clear....
          How did Mephistopheles say ?!
          People are dying for metal! Satan rules the ball there! (C)
  • Denis DV
    Denis DV 16 February 2016 06: 58 New
    -1
    In Syria, not a civil war, and not inter-religious - it is a fact! Article negative
    1. Professor
      Professor 16 February 2016 09: 38 New
      0
      Quote: Denis DV
      In Syria, not a civil war, and not inter-religious - it is a fact! Article negative

      Civil and in essence and by definition. Learn the materiel. A minus article.
      1. Oldwiser
        Oldwiser 16 February 2016 09: 49 New
        +1
        The intervention of international terrorism grown and sponsored by mattresses and their sixes. So - this is not a civil war, but only resistance from outside aggression.
        1. Professor
          Professor 16 February 2016 11: 16 New
          0
          Quote: OldWiser
          So - this is not a civil war, but only resistance from outside aggression.

          Tell it to Lavrov. He doesn’t know and mistakenly calls it a civil war. lol
          1. Denis DV
            Denis DV 16 February 2016 11: 33 New
            +1
            Quote: Professor
            Tell it to Lavrov. He doesn’t know and mistakenly calls it a civil war.

            He is a diplomat, and calls her that not by mistake. If Lavrov says how it is, it will be a declaration of war on the United States and its NATE. hi
      2. Oldwiser
        Oldwiser 16 February 2016 09: 49 New
        +1
        The intervention of international terrorism grown and sponsored by mattresses and their sixes. So - this is not a civil war, but only resistance from outside aggression.
      3. Denis DV
        Denis DV 16 February 2016 11: 23 New
        +1
        Quote: Professor
        Civil and in essence and by definition.

        Give at least one definition, and your materiel is from the category of "the essence of one in the sand"? fool
        1. Professor
          Professor 16 February 2016 11: 38 New
          +1
          Quote: Denis DV
          Give at least one definition, and your materiel is from the category of "the essence of one in the sand"?

          Twist at your temple again. Maybe you’ll cheat that.
          Civil war is a large-scale armed confrontation between organized groups within a state or, less commonly, between nations that were part of a previously unified united state.
          1. padded jacket
            padded jacket 16 February 2016 11: 52 New
            +1
            Quote: Professor
            Civil war is a large-scale armed confrontation between organized groups within a state or, less commonly, between nations that were part of a previously unified united state.

            Then it turns out in Israel there is a civil war, Israeli Jews are fighting against Israeli Arabs and vice versa.
            But here, of course, the fact that most of the territory of Israel consists of the lands of Palestine occupied by Jews is mixed in.
      4. The comment was deleted.
  • with
    with 16 February 2016 07: 32 New
    +1
    " Divide and rule!" - the slogan of not only this war.
    Who with "civil society", twitter and agents of influence fired up hot oriental guys, obviously. It is also obvious that not only revenge for "their" killed pushed the warring groups to continue the armed conflict, but the special services of the "Saudi coalition" countries - Qatar, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, arming their "moderate terrorists". At some point, the Syrians, and even their curators, became it is obvious that such a common fate was prepared for them by the good uncle Sam. And the monarchies of the Gulf (which are no different from the "moderates", except for legitimacy in international relations), nor the Turks, who tyrannize the Turkish Kurds with a cruelty equal to the intensity of passions in Syria. And now there was a chance to come to an agreement. Finish everything. But this is already unacceptable for Washington's pawns, who imagine themselves to be queens. We will live longer, see more.
  • Gormenghast
    Gormenghast 16 February 2016 08: 16 New
    +2
    The main reason is that in such a truly ethno and religiously diverse country, the United States tried to introduce "democracy"and generally do good.

    Even if we assume that the mattress is run by idealistic and infantile fools who really believe in Arabic "democracy"- Surely the previous suspicious experience did not teach them anything? The Arab spring as a whole led to terrorism and disintegration, but not to any democracy. How many times the striped men will beat the Arabs with a hammer with a hammer until they understand that they are"valuables"nobody cares?
    1. Volzhanin
      Volzhanin 16 February 2016 09: 11 New
      0
      Duc, so far no one has distinctly answered the bastards that no one needs their values. Including the Russian authorities mumble something slurred, do not understand anything, as if they put pebbles on the cheek. So they don’t know about the merrik, that most people don’t like their democracy.
  • raid14
    raid14 16 February 2016 09: 18 New
    +2
    The United States and the countries of the Persian Gulf played the "Sunni" card in Syria, found and "matured" representatives of the Sunni society, "cut in power" by the Alawites, driven by the reforms from the lands of peasants, urban radical lumpen, funded protest movements, provoked the authorities into armed resistance, abandoned weapons and militants taking advantage of the weakness of border protection.
  • Professor
    Professor 16 February 2016 09: 32 New
    +4
    The first two reasons are correct. The third fashion trend is to blame Obama for everything. An official takes a bribe, Obama is to blame. In the elevator they urinated, Obama is to blame, and so on. wassat
    Recently, there has been an interesting article in the Israeli press based on university research. It hypothesized that the cause of the war, among others, was the unsustainable use of water resources, as a result of which many poorly educated peasants (of course the Sunnis) lost the opportunity to irrigate their plots and, due to hopelessness, reached out to the cities. Nobody expected them there, of course, and when their number reached a critical mass, what happened happened. People took to the streets demanding change. Assad made a strategic mistake here too. Instead of negotiating, he decided to suppress the protests by force. The Sunnis began to massively desert from the army and off and on.

    PS
    I remember how they attacked me here when I said that there was a civil war in Syria. Now this phrase sounds even from the lips of Lavrov. Where is the world heading? bully
    1. guzik007
      guzik007 16 February 2016 11: 47 New
      -1
      plus you, professor. With tongue removed. absolutely empty and superficial analysis. Water and its sharp deficit as a result of the illiterate agrarian policy of Assad Sr. and, as a result, the impoverishment of a bunch of peasants are the main reason. all over the world, this factor - hunger - was the trigger, or was used by provocateurs to overthrow the regimes.
      Threat. business trading in one hand, you say? Well tady here in Russ is directly pre-revolutionary situation, panimash ...
    2. Fat
      Fat 16 February 2016 19: 16 New
      0
      Professor, you have really intelligible and reasoned comments, thanks. And the article, although interesting, but with a weak and superficial analysis. Your thoughts are deeper. IMHO the complex of reasons for the civil war was not fully disclosed either in the article or in the subsequent comments.
  • voyaka uh
    voyaka uh 16 February 2016 11: 06 New
    +4
    "after which a powerful terrorist group" Islamic State "appeared,
    designed to end, finally, the regime of Bashar al-Assad. "////

    IG was founded by former army officers of Saddam Hussein, when the Sunnis who were in Saddam
    Iraq's ruling elite, turned into a new Shiite Iraq in an oppressed minority.
    They revolted against the Shiites in the so-called "Sunni triangle":
    the cities of Mosul, Fallujah, Ramadi.
    Very quickly, radicals came to power in the Islamic State. To Syria, the IG at the time of foundation did not have
    not the slightest attitude, and the United States (those who killed Saddam) from the very beginning were their worst enemies.
    Al-Qaeda, at the time of its foundation in Afghanistan, collaborated with the CIA, but quickly got out of
    control.
  • Algetxnumx
    Algetxnumx 16 February 2016 12: 25 New
    +1
    Quote: Professor
    The third fashion trend is to blame Obama for everything.

    Well, of course, a raven will not peck out a crow's eyes, but a "prohessor", "black-faced" is the great "peacemaker" Nobilevsky, the bearer of "democracy", it's a direct light, all pink and fluffy. And don't talk about officials and elevators, not about that talk. Although, in general, this is a usual manner of dialogue for you. Yes, by the way about the elevators and about the entrances so loved by you, what's the problem?
  • Weyland
    Weyland 16 February 2016 22: 42 New
    0
    Kurds, who before the war in Syria did not even have passports, being the most oppressed minority. (...) The Kurdistan Workers Party - the most dangerous organization for modern Turkey, threatening its integrity - originated in Syria, and the latest generations of Assad (Hafez Assad and Bashar Assad) actively supported this organization.

    Similarly - Erdogad presses his Kurds, helps Iraqi! Etc - politics in all countries of the region is the same: to push Kurdish separatism at home - and in every possible way to support the neighbors! The result is a bit predictable: Turkish Kurds do not like Iraqi ones because they "sold out to Erdogad"; Syrians do not like Turkish people for "selling out to Assad" ... So while the Kurds of different countries hate each other - they do not shine to create a single and sovereign Kurdistan!