Why Ukraine will be Southwestern Federal District
The economic reunification of Ukraine with the rest of Russia is inevitable for many reasons, of which the main one is that Ukraine as a producing structure is not needed by anyone except the rest of Russia in principle. And what's more, it will never be needed by anyone except the rest of Russia - for natural reasons.
The point here is not even that Ukraine initially, at least for almost four centuries, has been developing within the framework of a single all-Russian manufacturing complex, it could still be somehow replayed. But it is important that the natural conditions characteristic of the whole of Russia, including Ukraine, impose requirements on the product that differ sharply from the requirements of all other currently available markets.
I will give only one example, a small but sufficient. While the average distance of a car trip, which is typical of modern Western Europe, it is advisable to invest a lot of money in maintaining, improving and developing the road network of the highest technically possible quality. While the average distance of a car trip, which is typical for the European part of Russia, including Ukraine, not to mention Siberia or Central Asia, it is advisable to invest the same money not in the creation of technically advanced roads, but in the creation of cars that do not need technically perfect roads. Perhaps the only exception to this general rule is the Donbass, where, in view of the very dense location of urban-type settlements, it is advisable to maintain the road network according to Western European type. But, besides Donbass, it is impossible to name such regions to the east of the Curzon Line.
There are a great many such examples, and they all boil down to the same thing. The requirements of the Russian market, including Ukraine, are radically different from the requirements of any other market with a comparable population.
And at the same time there is a so-called threshold of recoupment of new developments. If the market, which produces a new development, the population is below this threshold, it certainly will not pay off. In the current post-Soviet space, it is about 200 million people, in present-day Western Europe or North America, about 400 million people, this threshold depends on several factors, including the overall level of technical excellence achieved and the ratio of developers 'and serial manufacturers' salaries.
So: it turns out that if Ukraine will be guided, say, to the market of Western Europe, then it simply will not have enough opportunities to simultaneously develop and produce products that meet the requirements of its domestic market. Whereas the all-Russian market in general is already sufficient for Ukraine to cover all its needs with its production efforts. Well, since, as Comrade taught us. Ulyanov, politics is a concentrated expression of the economy, it is clear that economic unity sooner or later requires political.
This is illustrated by the example of the current European Union. Before the collapse of the USSR, the EU was developing in the direction of growth and economic and political unity, but when several post-Soviet countries that were politically adherent to pro-American were included in the EU, problems immediately began with the economic unity of the European Union.
Well, considering also that Ukrainians are an integral part of the Russian people, which is evident from the fact that for the clear majority of citizens of Ukraine, the native language is Russian and the native culture is Russian, the question arises: is it worth keeping several states for the sake of one Russian people?
Of course, there are such precedents - the English people have five states, while the Arabic has 22. But, as experience has shown, only those who benefited in one way or another from destroying Great and Small and White Russia insisted on political separateness of Little and White Russia from Great Russia. Therefore, it is obvious that we can oppose them only in the format of a single state. For only then can we coordinate not only our own interaction, but also opposition to external forces.
- Anatoly Vasserman
- http://www.nalin.ru/Anatolij-Vasserman-pochemu-Ukraina-budet-YUgo-Zapadnym-Federalnym-Okrugom-1154
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