Military Review

Analyst: Erdogan is looking for a reason to intervene in Syria

65
Yesterday, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation published a video evidence of the shelling of Syrian settlements from the territory of Turkey. Markus Papadopoulos, editor-in-chief of Politics First magazine, named the possible reasons for the shelling, reports the channel RT.


Analyst: Erdogan is looking for a reason to intervene in Syria


“Why are the Turkish military firing on Syrian territory? In my opinion, there are a number of reasons for this. Over the past few months, the Syrian army supported by the Russian military aviation is rapidly advancing along the Syrian-Turkish border, freeing up areas occupied by the Islamic State and Front al-Nusra groups, ”the analyst said.

According to him, "the Turkish government could decide to fire on areas of Syria, where military units of the Syrian army and Kurdish National Self-Defense Forces are located, as a deterrent measure, trying to keep the Syrian army and the Kurds from liberating their own territory."

“The shelling may also be a provocation - perhaps Turkey is trying to provoke Syrian troops to return fire, so that Ankara has a reason for military intervention in Syria,” said Papadopoulos.



In turn, Damascus demanded that Turkey stop violating the sovereignty of the SAR and respect international law.

“The Syrian government considers such actions a direct violation of international law and a crime against Syrian civilians. And it demands to stop violating the sovereignty of Syria and respect international laws, ”said in Damascus.

To stop the crimes, Syria "intends to demand that the international community put pressure on the Turkish government," the statement said.

The US reaction was predictable. State Department spokesman John Kirby said that he "does not have enough details about the incident." He noted that when the Allies hit the IS, “this is good and right,” and he is not going to comment on the Russian military record.

And in general, “Washington is not going to tell Ankara what to do or not to do,” Kirby added.

Photos used:
Valery Sharifulin / TASS
65 comments
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  1. Pravdarm
    Pravdarm 2 February 2016 10: 03
    15
    This Ergoferon comes to life!
    No one has ever been deleted from Putin’s blacklist without two red carnations!
    1. cniza
      cniza 2 February 2016 10: 06
      42
      It is very alarming that we are on the verge of war and war is big, but we did not manage to do much more, just like in the 41st.
      1. Ami du peuple
        Ami du peuple 2 February 2016 10: 15
        19
        Quote: cniza
        It is very alarming that we are on the verge of war and war is big, but we did not manage to do much more, just like in the 41st.

        If we are on the verge of a "big", that is to say, global, war, then do it, do not do it, but the end is one - the complete finish of human civilization. Maybe the old Earth woman, if she survives, will produce more responsible creatures for her fate? Well, there are ciliates .. Or some other cockroaches ..
        1. cniza
          cniza 2 February 2016 10: 19
          13
          Big does not mean global, but a big war can easily grow into a global one, gentlemen of the Westerners play with fire.
          1. Tatyana
            Tatyana 2 February 2016 10: 27
            +7
            From the text of the article
            Erdogan is looking for a reason for intervention in Syria

            Well it is clear. Which of the OBJECTIVE people would doubt it ?!
            Since the Daesh militants in Syria of the Russian Air Force and the Syrian Armed Forces, consider that they have almost been defeated and they are at the finish line to liberate Syria, what remains to be done for Erdogan? Only the Turkish armed forces invade Syria!
            But for this Erdogan - the time will come - will inevitably answer. So he dodges

            I liked the article. To author +
            1. Temples
              Temples 2 February 2016 11: 21
              +2
              No one has ever been deleted from Putin’s blacklist without two red carnations!

              Pravdarm US
              What are you talking about?
              Under the guise of thrown "Putin's black list."
              Can you tell in detail about this list?
              Personally lead and control?
              It is enough for Putin to simply bring a person out of his circle of friends.
              The "detached" will do the rest himself.
              What we observe with the Turk.
          2. WKS
            WKS 2 February 2016 11: 02
            0
            Quote: cniza
            Big does not mean global, but a big war can easily grow into a global one, gentlemen of the Westerners play with fire.

            Unlike you, they believe that they are playing with a trained kitten.
            1. Volzhanin
              Volzhanin 2 February 2016 13: 32
              0
              I think that they are sure that at the last moment we will "glue the flippers" and raise our hands.
              But where did they get such confidence from - the question.
              1. NIKNN
                NIKNN 2 February 2016 19: 52
                +2
                Erdogan does not want to apologize for the incident with the plane and believes that Russia should apologize ...
                I also think that Russians should and are even obliged to apologize to Erdogan. Just write on missiles and bombs: “Forgive us, Erdogan” ...
        2. The comment was deleted.
        3. Vadim237
          Vadim237 2 February 2016 13: 28
          +2
          A nuclear conflict will not lead to the end of mankind, it will only lead to the end of those states that use it against each other - the USA and Russia and NATO countries - and the rest both lived and will live on, but in new environmental conditions because their infrastructure will survive.
        4. RUSS
          RUSS 2 February 2016 22: 18
          0
          Quote: Ami du peuple
          If we are on the verge of a "big", in other words, global, war, then do it, do not do it, but the end is one - a complete finish

          Global in its current form most likely means that the war will cover almost all continents, but wars will be local.
      2. The comment was deleted.
        1. igorka357
          igorka357 2 February 2016 10: 26
          +4
          Oh Tatiana, your words and God in the ears ... before the defeat of the "daishek" in Syria, oh, how far, but the trend went into a plus, so the Turks are rushing about!
      3. Blondy
        Blondy 2 February 2016 10: 43
        +2
        Quote: cniza
        Very disturbing, we are on the verge of war and big war


        Yes, who will allow this Erdogan even to begin the Syrian intervention, and you worry about the big war. Or do you think NATA will tear the veins for Turkey - it’s not for you to scare the people of Russia and slowly lay around it.
        1. Corsair
          Corsair 2 February 2016 10: 52
          0
          Quote: Blondy
          Yes, who will allow this Erdogan even to begin the Syrian intervention, and you worry about the big war. Or do you think NATA will tear the veins for Turkey - it’s not for you to scare the people of Russia and slowly lay around it.

          So the Americans and give the go-ahead type start, and to push the AUG closer to the shores of Syria. They will look for someone to harness or as if to throw firewood into the fire, otherwise you will look at gasoline.
          1. Blondy
            Blondy 2 February 2016 15: 48
            0
            No, this is a theater in pre-caliber retrospective.
        2. Vladimirets
          Vladimirets 2 February 2016 11: 29
          +1
          Quote: Blondy
          Yes, who will allow this Erdogan even to begin the Syrian intervention

          Counter-question: who will not allow it?
          1. Blondy
            Blondy 2 February 2016 16: 05
            +1
            Well, what is there to pickle. Specifically, let us recall the Turkish-Iraqi incident, when Turkey tried to cheerfully rush in tanks to "specialize" Mosul. So how? Silence, not even news links. and such passions raged a couple of weeks ago.
      4. Volzhanin
        Volzhanin 2 February 2016 13: 29
        0
        Not yet had time to implement one main event - to neutralize the traitors in the person of the 5th column.
        The rest is nonsense, we will break through.
        The main thing is that no one sticks a knife in the back, or else doesn’t muddle some dirty tricks in the rear.
    2. bocsman
      bocsman 2 February 2016 10: 08
      +4
      "Good" deeds are not forgotten especially in the east. So Syria will deal with the militants and then with the Turks.
      1. Vladimirets
        Vladimirets 2 February 2016 12: 56
        +1
        Quote: bocsman
        "Good" deeds are not forgotten especially in the east.

        Are you seriously?
    3. The comment was deleted.
    4. Major Yurik
      Major Yurik 2 February 2016 10: 16
      +7
      It’s interesting, as far as I remember, all the rulers of the Turks always had problems with the army, and Rdogan also. How does Turkovsko feel about the wonderful prospect of falling under the ice rink of a nuclear power, for the sake of denyushek 2 taxis of turkland? I think we will find out soon, though ......! negative
      1. igorka357
        igorka357 2 February 2016 10: 29
        +8
        Just like ordinary ukronatsik, they don’t tell the truth there! The Russian aggressors will say and want to destroy Turkland, and the ordinary illiterate Turk will go to defend his country, just like the ordinary illiterate hohloukr!
        1. Major Yurik
          Major Yurik 2 February 2016 11: 01
          +3
          Quote: igorka357
          Just like ordinary ukronatsik, they don’t tell the truth there! The Russian aggressors will say and want to destroy Turkland, and the ordinary illiterate Turk will go to defend his country, just like the ordinary illiterate hohloukr!


          Igor, unlike Khokhlovoisk with their military elite such as Semenchenko, Moseychuk and Gelethey, the Turks have a very ancient army, with their own traditions of participating in government, and believe me there are a lot of literate, hereditary military men of the highest army echelon who don’t like sheep on a rope will lead
    5. vyinemeynen
      vyinemeynen 2 February 2016 10: 20
      +4
      In today's conditions, "reason" is by no means a problem! He crossed the unguarded border and smashed through his own peacekeepers from the anti-tank gun - which is not a reason for the invasion.
    6. Pereira
      Pereira 2 February 2016 10: 20
      +5
      Too optimistic PravdARM statement.
      So far, only Chechen bandits have been crossed out, and even that is not all. Kaczynski doesn’t count, there was a wrong birch. Sahak turned out and hides from castration in Ukraine under the wing of the prezik Parasha, who is also sure that the line will not reach him.
      So while Erdogan is especially afraid of nothing. Of course, we will wait for the development of the situation and hope. But you shouldn’t frighten a Turk with threats; on the contrary, he dared, as evidence of which he wanted to aggravate the situation.
      That's when we have a reason to say "wow" then yes. In the meantime, it is too early to threaten.
  2. Not_invented
    Not_invented 2 February 2016 10: 03
    +9
    Will find a reason for intervention in Syria - there will be a reason for intervention in Turkey
    1. tol100v
      tol100v 2 February 2016 10: 17
      +1
      Quote: Not_invented
      Will find a reason for intervention in Syria - there will be a reason for intervention in Turkey

      Not a reason for intervention, but a legal right to protect the sovereignty of your country! And what forces is another question!
    2. asadov
      asadov 2 February 2016 10: 25
      +2
      I agree completely. And Erdogan should have understood for a long time that, apart from the words of moral support, he will not receive anything from the West.
    3. The comment was deleted.
    4. Nikolay K
      Nikolay K 2 February 2016 15: 04
      0
      Which, in fact, is what Amers need: to push the two largest armies in Europe. States do not change the tradition of fighting with the wrong hands.
  3. brasist
    brasist 2 February 2016 10: 06
    +3
    What else can you say, jackal ...
  4. Woodman
    Woodman 2 February 2016 10: 06
    +2
    If he finds, he will already be. And NATO will not help him.
  5. Magic archer
    Magic archer 2 February 2016 10: 09
    +2
    apparently the Turks decided to rattle with weapons ... well, well, it's time to start arming the Kurds !!!
  6. bikeev1234
    bikeev1234 2 February 2016 10: 18
    +3
    The State Department is generally inadequate, they do not own the situation and carry nonsense.
    1. cniza
      cniza 2 February 2016 10: 21
      +4
      Quote: bikeev1234
      The State Department is generally inadequate, they do not own the situation and carry nonsense.



      This is the big problem when non-professionals are in power.
      1. cap
        cap 2 February 2016 10: 37
        0
        Quote: cniza
        Quote: bikeev1234
        The State Department is generally inadequate, they do not own the situation and carry nonsense.



        This is the big problem when non-professionals are in power.

        Money bags don’t need adequate power in the government. The dumber the better. The less questions asked. World capital needs war to become even richer. How much will the people die in doing so?
        The bigger, the better.
        The whole history of mankind speaks only of this. am
  7. Papapg
    Papapg 2 February 2016 10: 26
    0
    We help Syria in a difficult period for it, at the request of the leadership of the state, and if the state of Syria asks the Russian Federation for help in controlling the border from illegally crossing it, what would we do?
    1. AlexTires
      AlexTires 2 February 2016 10: 34
      +1
      Quote: Papapg
      if the state of Syria asks the Russian Federation for help in controlling the border from illegally crossing it, what would we do?

      We make a PCB along the entire length of the border, sprinkled with radionuclides deliciously ....
  8. Taygerus
    Taygerus 2 February 2016 10: 27
    -1
    Perdogan would have taken up his country, not today, so tomorrow the grateful Turks can lift the pitchfork themselves, they are already selling hotels
  9. AlexTires
    AlexTires 2 February 2016 10: 31
    +1
    Erdogan has nowhere to go - he will have to start a war in any way to stay in power, because there are too many dissatisfied with politics in Turkey + Kurds .. My forecast: 2-3 of the month ...
  10. Primus pilus
    Primus pilus 2 February 2016 10: 31
    +1
    If the Turks have the intelligence, they will not begin the intervention in Syria, having the Kurds in their rear. Such a step can cost them dearly.
  11. Barakuda
    Barakuda 2 February 2016 10: 32
    +2
    Vanga once predicted that the war would begin with Syria, the war with Turkey, and Turkey would eventually be dismembered. Russia will win.
    War is always bad. I hope for peace.
  12. BOB044
    BOB044 2 February 2016 10: 39
    0
    Until Erdogan receives from Syria with the support of Russia on the teeth. Yes, so that he wouldn’t have more thoughts. He should repeat this. They will continue to do all of these from NATO, Russia will belong to us. Flirting and skipping everything will not lead to good.
  13. avg-mgn
    avg-mgn 2 February 2016 10: 41
    +3
    Quote: Primus Pilus
    If the Turks have the intelligence, they will not begin the intervention in Syria, having the Kurds in their rear. Such a step can cost them dearly.

    The Turks have not had their own mind for a long time, since joining NATO, they hid behind the backs of the States and stopped thinking (however, this can be attributed to all countries of the alliance - a living example of crazy Baltic states).
  14. Neko75
    Neko75 2 February 2016 10: 48
    +2
    Turkey will never act alone, without US orders. Everything that happened and happens is planned things, Turkey is the same dependent country as the EU countries. The USA cannot only accurately calculate the behavior of Russia. So the lack of a direct answer to the downed SU-24 probably confused all the plans and had to start first. The main goal is to expose Syria and the aggressors helping Russia, to drag Turkey into a local war. False stuffing in the media about the bombing of civilians does not work. It is always easier to look clean if you mess around.
  15. kizhe
    kizhe 2 February 2016 10: 48
    0
    As soon as the perdogan finds a reason, he will receive it immediately.
  16. Dimontius
    Dimontius 2 February 2016 10: 48
    +3
    Personally, I think that all we are seeing is "Putin's plan", no kidding. If our intelligence is the best in the world, then we initially knew about the involvement of the Turks in the chaos in the Middle East. And if we add to this the NATO activity near our borders and their insidious plans for missile defense, then a picture emerges of our forced counteraction! From this I conclude that our victory is the collapse of NATO, and this goal can be achieved thanks to a strike on all fronts, on the second-strongest member of the alliance and a key US ally. Ambitious? Exactly! The wedge knocks out like a wedge, as they say + our frequent violations of the Turkish border are also alarming. Moreover, Ankara has left us no other choice with its actions. All the same, I agree that we are living in an age of global changes on the military-political map of the world!
  17. LINKor55
    LINKor55 2 February 2016 10: 48
    +2
    Of course I want to embed so that Erdogan’s teeth fly out. But we should not forget that Turkey is the second most powerful country in NATO. And it is precisely on the territory of Turkey that most of the US warheads in Europe are located, so that five minutes after the retaliatory strike against Turkey, NATO and the United Nations, almost entirely subject to the United States, will be cut for it. And China, although it is a necessary ally, but so far it does not really support us, it even refuses to deal with organizations against which the United States imposed sanctions, are thoroughly pragmatic. Although maybe such an ally is more predictable.
    1. sa-ag
      sa-ag 2 February 2016 11: 28
      +1
      Quote: LINKor55
      And China, although a necessary ally, but so far it does not really support us

      Chinese builders are just waiting for the construction site to be cleared, then they will come in orderly rows to hang the alucobond :-)
    2. fzr1000
      fzr1000 2 February 2016 12: 32
      +2
      Will not "get it". NATO when attacking its member, according to Art. 5 of the Charter, can express concern, send their representatives to help the ally, help financially, and not just immediately join the database. Plus, if it is clear that this NATO member was the first to display aggression, then it is completely unclear how NATO should act. I can hardly imagine the Germans and others joining the ranks of the Janissaries. Well, if the United States participates, then we have changed our military doctrine on the use of nuclear weapons, and they know how this could end.
      So, do not have a mustache so simple.
  18. V.ic
    V.ic 2 February 2016 10: 56
    0
    Baba Yaga / USA / Against. / By the way, I didn’t even doubt it! /.
  19. Neko75
    Neko75 2 February 2016 10: 56
    0
    My previous post is that the United States wants to prevent Assad from remaining in power and make Russia an aggressor. Two countries in the Middle East interfere with them - Iran and Syria. The others are affected to varying degrees. The Americans do not want a multipolar world, they need chaos and confusion, but away from their borders.
  20. barclay
    barclay 2 February 2016 11: 05
    0
    Primitive but true. Erdogan is beneficial to present Assad in the negative light of the aggressor, in order to justify his unrighteous actions in Syria. Here he pursues a policy of provocations at the border. So far, he does it poorly and primitively. The main thing is to document and publicize all these provocations.
  21. Yugan Oleg
    Yugan Oleg 2 February 2016 11: 06
    0
    Somehow you gentlemen Iraq and Iran missed (read comments) that the batch will be cool, then a fact.
  22. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 2 February 2016 11: 09
    0
    Quote: Primus Pilus
    If the Turks have the mind, they will not begin the intervention in Syria

    Turks may have intelligence, but their leaders, apparently, do not. Therefore, you can expect anything from Erdogan and his entourage.
  23. KnightRider
    KnightRider 2 February 2016 11: 20
    +1
    Well, let them try if the brains are dumb ... Meet them fully armed am
  24. evge-malyshev
    evge-malyshev 2 February 2016 11: 22
    +1
    “Washington is not going to tell Ankara what to do or not to do,” Kirby added.

    But what about the coalition? The actions of the partners are not coordinated? Who is what? This cannot be.
  25. rotor
    rotor 2 February 2016 11: 49
    0
    There is a suspicion that in several border areas of Syria, the provinces of Latakia and Idlib, Turkish troops are already present.
  26. Wolka
    Wolka 2 February 2016 11: 52
    0
    Erdogan understands that as a result of hasty reckless actions (downed Russian plane), his Turkey has already dropped out of the upcoming process of rebuilding the Middle East, i.e. a clear outsider in comparison with the Saudis, Qatar and the same Iraq and Iran, but he still shows his efforts in the hope of getting into this process by force, not without the help of the "almighty" NATO, but who will allow him now, his time is gone, the situation is fundamentally has changed and will still change ... this is how Erdogan lost the future of his country with his greed and cunning in pursuit of immediate gain ...
  27. Anatolii_Iv
    Anatolii_Iv 2 February 2016 12: 03
    -1
    Sultan Perdogan is looking for adventure on his ass!
  28. Mikolas
    Mikolas 2 February 2016 12: 06
    0
    Tovarischi! Have you forgotten or do not know that there are nuclear warheads in air defense missiles. And one such "pretty girl" knocks down not one plane, but N-th number at once !!!
  29. SergGrey318
    SergGrey318 2 February 2016 12: 23
    +1
    That's interesting. But can the Turks violate security measures when handling artillery weapons and ammunition?
    1. Mikhail Krapivin
      Mikhail Krapivin 2 February 2016 13: 07
      0
      Under the Soviet Union, their accidents would have simply tortured. Now I do not know...
  30. nic086
    nic086 2 February 2016 12: 33
    0
    Erdogan is looking for a reason for intervention in Syria
    -As my grandfather used to say: "There will be a fight - they will get it!" They have already gotten into a mess with our airplane, and this time, only the consequences will be immeasurably harder and the partners in the block will not help!
    1. almen1
      almen1 2 February 2016 15: 19
      +1
      And what is the reason ... the Turks? We shot down their plane, bombed the airfield? Forgot, banned the import of tomatoes, and this is an adequate answer? We have two dead, the plane and the helicopter are lost, and in your opinion ... they are.
  31. Mikhail Krapivin
    Mikhail Krapivin 2 February 2016 13: 06
    0
    There can only be one answer to the title of the article: Putin is looking for a reason not to destroy Turkey.