Military Review

The main sponsor of DAISH is seeking help in Moscow

The main sponsor of DAISH is seeking help in Moscow

The Russian expert-analytical community does not cease to amaze with its ridiculous friendliness towards our most non-hands-on "partners." So, last week Qatari emir Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani visited Moscow.

Following the meeting of the Qatari emir with Vladimir Putin, several formal and meaningless statements were made that allowed some Russian political analysts to characterize the past negotiations as “exceptionally successful”. They say there has been a warming in Russian-Qatari relations and the prospects for cooperation between Moscow and Doha instill "healthy optimism."

Such assessments are genuinely surprising, since Russia and Qatar today have only two points of contact: the global gas market and the problem of global terrorism. In both cases, Moscow and Doha act as each other’s natural antagonists.

Speaking about the prospects of economic cooperation, it should be noted that it is a priori unpromising. First, the trade turnover between the two countries is a modest 50 million dollars. For comparison, Qatar and India the year before last traded at 6,5 billion dollars. Secondly, they simply do not wait for us there: any attempts by Russian companies to enter the Qatari market are immediately blocked by Doha, as Eldar Kasayev has repeatedly written about.

But the fact that Doha is one of the main sponsors of modern international terrorism is the main obstacle to the development of partnership between Russia and Qatar. We have repeatedly noted that the “Islamic State” is a man-made project of Qatar, and not of the United States or Saudi Arabia, which domestic political scientists constantly ring out.

Qatar, in contrast to the United States, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, has in its assets quite competent military-political leadership, which, indeed, understands something in strategic planning and Middle Eastern realities. That is what enabled Doha in 2012 to catch three major trends in the Syrian crisis.

The first is the rapid radicalization of the Syrian opposition, which was simply clicked on in Washington. The second is the presence of intractable contradictions in Iraq with a tendency to the final split of the country into three parts: Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish. The third is the futility of betting on the Muslim Brotherhood, which by that time was the main foreign policy instrument of Doha. Realizing that the Egyptian scenario was impossible in Syria, Qatar stepped up on the traditional Saudi platform, that is, began to buy Salafi factions in batches, which by that time already constituted the overwhelming part of the armed opposition.

Understanding the three trends listed pushed the Qatari leadership to take decisive action. So, the veterans of the Libyan war and the Kistinian Chechens were transferred to Syria, who provided the future DAISH with the raw material base in the east of Syria. Remarkably, initially ISIS avoided clashes with the Syrian army and was mainly busy squeezing Saudi and Turkish groups from areas with oil spawning and an extensive communications system. In parallel with this, Qatar bought up entire clans and tribes in the Sunni provinces of Iraq, which were previously loyal to Saudi Arabia. Each of the tribes had at their disposal combat-trained brigades prepared by the Americans (the former Al-Sahwa). As a result, both Qatari branches simply merged, with the result that the Caliphate was proclaimed.

And if earlier the fact of the active participation of Qatar in the Syrian crisis could be ignored, based on the fact that this is the notorious “hybrid war” and each player has his own methods and tools, then after the appearance of the Russian military in Syria, the distance between Doha and Moscow was significantly reduced . Since 30 last September, any “unfriendly” action of “caliphates” against Russian interests in Syria began to be regarded as aggression against Moscow, and not Damascus.

Understanding that the Russian military operation in Syria has very specific goals and objectives, and, despite the "Arabian" propaganda, has nothing to do with the militarist PR action, came to the Qatari military-political leadership around November-December last year. It was at the designated time interval that the tonality of the statements of Doha’s official representatives changed significantly.

Qatar Foreign Minister - Khaled Al-Attiyah

Qatar Foreign Minister - Khaled bin Mohammed Al-Attiyah, September 2015:
“No one can refuse the call of Putin to unite in the fight against terrorism, but we need to solve the main reason. We are confident that the Syrian regime, namely Bashar Asad, is the real reason. ”

Qatar Foreign Minister - Khaled bin Mohammed Al-Attiyah, October 2015:
“We with our Saudi brothers and Turkey do not exclude any options for implementing the protection of the Syrian people. If the military option is needed to protect the Syrians from the cruelty of the regime - yes. If the military invasion protects the Syrian people from a hard regime, we will do it. ”

Qatar Foreign Minister - Khaled bin Mohammed Al-Attiyah, December 2015:
“We have a common approach with the Russian side on many issues and one of the main ones is the commitment to the territorial integrity of Syria and support of the will of the Syrian people. We realize that the delay in resolving this crisis is harmful to all parties and, above all, to the Syrian people. ”

Qatar Foreign Minister - Khaled bin Mohammed Al-Attiyah, January 2016:
“We are convinced that it is Russia thanks to its historical relations with Arab countries can find a way to resolve the Syrian crisis. We have no doubt that Russia stands for a united, Arab, secular Syria. We agree with these principles. ”

“The leaders of the two countries agreed on the need to find a political solution in Syria. Therefore, the leaders agreed to intensify efforts to put an end to hostilities, killings and hunger among the civilian population. It was also agreed to ensure that the Syrian people could exercise their will, and this requires the support of Arab countries, as well as international players. ”

It is noteworthy that the tonality of the Qatari "gray cardinal" has a direct dependence on News from the front line, where the Syrian army is supported by the Russian aviation continued to move forward. And if in October-November a ballad was heard from every “flood” iron about “Assad’s marching in place”, then in December-January it was already impossible to hide the successes of official Damascus.

The most insightful military and political observers back in October suggested that the intervention of the Russian armed forces in the Syrian conflict would not only save official Damascus from inevitable defeat, but also contribute to the elimination of all terrorist groups in Syria. The international expert-analytical community did not share such assessments and called either the inevitable fall of Damascus or the preservation of the power of Bashar al-Assad in the Mediterranean coastal area - the so-called “Alavistan”.

However, in November-December, it became obvious that the Syrian army would continue to increase the pace of the offensive, and the level of combat capability of government forces will increase every month. As the experience of military conflict in the south-east of Ukraine has shown, the process of forming a modern army with the support of "polite instructors" takes from 6 to 9 months. In the case of Syria, the process of retraining and forming a new army can take from 12 to 16 months. The first results of the "northern rebranding" can be observed today.

"Polite Advisors" in the Palmyra area

In many ways, it was precisely the successes of the Syrian army’s offensive operations, with the active support of Russian aviation, that provoked the “international community” to take more decisive measures in the fight against the ISISH. Thus, the United States increased the number of its contingent in Iraq, sent a new batch of military advisers to Erbil, and advertised a joint offensive with the Syrian Kurds. The French began to deliver air strikes on the infrastructure of the "caliphate". The Germans sent their military contingent to Iraq and began to carry out reconnaissance flights in Syria. The remaining members of NATO also indicated their presence. The future of the Qatari project DAISH was predetermined.

However, the Qatari emir went on a visit not to Washington or Berlin, but followed in the footsteps of the head of his Ministry of Foreign Affairs, who had already visited Moscow in December. Apparently, according to the Qatari military-political leadership, the work of the American coalition does not represent a significant threat to the latter-day Caliphate.

Statements by the Russian president and the Qatari emir at the official press conference are unlikely to have anything to do with the conversation behind the closed doors. Coordination of efforts in the global gas market and the arena of the fight against international terrorism a priori cannot be a topic for dialogue between the leaders of Russia and Qatar. Only Syria and the Middle East region remain.

The positions of Moscow and Doha regarding the Syrian crisis are well known. However, Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani, not Vladimir Putin, turned out to be in the capital of the enemy, which already says a lot.

Some observers suggested that the Qatari emir used the “Saudi attack” practice during the negotiations, that is, he made the Russian leader an advantageous offer (investment or procurement of weapons, for example), and in exchange demanded that Moscow's position regarding Syria be revised. However, this is absolutely not a Qatari style, and the current situation is completely different.

It seems obvious that the Qatari emir flew to Moscow for the sake of discussing the postwar world order of Syria. We have repeatedly noted that the Syrian conflict is likely to be resolved during negotiations between official Damascus and the so-called opposition. The success of the government forces will be the “Damascus argument” at these negotiations.

However, the incorporation of overtly Islamist forces (behind which Doha, Riyadh and Ankara stand) into the power structures of Syria is excluded, and therefore Qatar can be left out because two years ago it made an exceptional bet on the Salafi element. The Muslim Brotherhood Brigades, which are patronized by Doha, today are few and unauthorized, that is, there is no place for them in future Syria.

However, Qatari partners in the terrorist coalition in the person of Turkey and Saudi Arabia have in their assets a number of groups that, under certain circumstances, can be moderate. That is, Ankara and Riyadh, unlike Doha, have certain chances for the post-war incorporation of their Basmachis.

Thus, the main sponsor of the most efficient and effective terrorist group in Syria may simply not fit into the process of "peaceful settlement of the Syrian conflict." It seems clear that this circumstance explains the Moscow visit of the Qatari emir. Simply put, Doha is trying to find its place in the postwar world order of Syria, which is already under the Moscow wing.
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  1. polite people
    polite people 1 February 2016 15: 49
    Everyone knows that there are no limits to arrogance. And they didn’t see it. They’ll get a donut hole.
    1. Ami du peuple
      Ami du peuple 1 February 2016 15: 56
      Quote: polite people
      They get a donut hole

      I would even more categorically speak out on what kind of hole and what the Qatarians will get from, but self-censorship and moderators of VO do not allow laughing
      Until I read it to the end, I thought that the article was written by Yevgeny Yanovich, who Satanovsky is an ardent, to put it mildly, unlover, Qatar and personally Khaled bin Muhammad al-Atiyi. What I completely agree with him.
      1. SRC P-15
        SRC P-15 1 February 2016 16: 02
        Simply put, Doha is trying to find its place in the post-war world order of Syria, which is already under the Moscow wing.

        There will be no place under Doha under the Moscow wing, except perhaps under the tail - there it is the place.
        1. Oldwiser
          Oldwiser 1 February 2016 16: 56
          From a dead donkey to them ears, and not [Kemsky volost], that is, "the incorporation of their players" into the post-war system of Syria.
          Or another old rhyme -
          "and with that DOHA I gave a blunder - it does not warm ... absolutely" ...

          In short, we send DOHA to where Makar did not drive calves.
          1. Scoun
            Scoun 1 February 2016 17: 34
            Quote: OldWiser
            In short, we send DOHA to where Makar did not drive calves.

            + and if Moscow acted as suggested by some iksperdy, then it would be a bold cross
            Some observers have suggested that during the negotiations, the Qatari emir used the practice of the “Saudi attack”, that is, made a favorable offer to the Russian leader (investments or arms purchases, for example), and in return demanded that Moscow’s position on Syria be reviewed.

            It would be for the Russian Federation that the status of political "simple and here ki" would appear and it would be naive to believe that the GDP would allow this.
      2. The comment was deleted.
      3. Foresterer
        Foresterer 1 February 2016 17: 58
        Who did not hear Satanovsky on the air of the TV Center yesterday, I highly recommend watching it.
        From yesterday: It would be my will, I would wipe Qatar from the face of the earth.
      4. ILYA M
        ILYA M 2 February 2016 08: 59
        Here, politics comes first. Receive. And ours waited and did everything so that the situation would turn out that way. Receive on certain conditions, such as reduced oil production.
    2. Kostyar
      Kostyar 1 February 2016 16: 00
      Let the little thing grunt! They need a place in Syria ....?!
      And over time, things will come to Qatar, as with the main sponsors of terrorism, including in our Caucasus .... !!!!!
    3. Major Yurik
      Major Yurik 1 February 2016 16: 02
      Oh, damn it, you remember the Soviet Union! With him, this Papuan would be accepted in the Khanty-Mansiysk House of Culture, and without feeding sent home on a regular bus! And here you go, prince however! am
      1. Oldwiser
        Oldwiser 1 February 2016 16: 58
        From an old anecdote - "black-assed monkey is written together and with a capital letter - after all, the head of state" laughing
    4. Tor5
      Tor5 1 February 2016 16: 20
      I do not think that our leadership will enthusiastically accept the activities of Qatar in post-war Syria.
      1. Amurets
        Amurets 2 February 2016 01: 23
        Quote: Tor5
        I do not think that our leadership will enthusiastically accept the activities of Qatar in post-war Syria.

        Why not? As a raw materials appendage. And in post-war Syria, at their own expense, they will restore everything destroyed with the help of migrant workers from Germany.
  2. Baloo
    Baloo 1 February 2016 15: 51
    The main sponsor of DAISH is seeking help in Moscow
    Provide the address. I’ll send a rope and soap.
    1. cap
      cap 1 February 2016 17: 33
      Quote: Balu
      Baloo (6) RU Today, 15:51 New

      The main sponsor of DAISH is seeking help in Moscow
      Provide the address. I’ll send a rope and soap.

      The address is written like this:

      Mr. Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani.
      PO Box No. xxx

      Specify the mailbox number at the embassy laughing
      Qatar Embassy in Moscow
      119049, Moscow, Koroviy Val, 7 st1 (196, 198 office)
      (495) 980-69-18
      (495) 980-69-16

      Monday: 0900 - 1500
      Tuesday: 0900 - 1500
      Wednesday: 0900 - 1500
      Thursday: 0900 - 1500
      Friday: 0900 - 1500
      Saturday: -
      Sunday: -
      We will assume that you were joking. I, too. But I liked the train of thought.
  3. Mikhail Krapivin
    Mikhail Krapivin 1 February 2016 15: 52
    It is time to determine who are our friends, who are our enemies, with whom and where we will go next.
    1. Vasya_Piterskiy
      Vasya_Piterskiy 1 February 2016 15: 57
      Russia goes its own way - the path of national interests, and who will join us and for how long, let's see!
    2. LÄRZ
      LÄRZ 1 February 2016 16: 21
      Quote: Mikhail Krapivin
      It is time to determine who are our friends, who are our enemies, with whom and where we will go next.

      Yes, we have already decided. Tokmo must "work" with those and with those. As in the second world. The main thing is the result both now and after the victory.
  4. Michael67
    Michael67 1 February 2016 15: 52
    They said: "East, it's a delicate matter." In this situation - cunningly @ opoe. Weathervans are bad. Where the wind blew, they turned there. To ignore them. It is diplomatic to bow and ignore.
  5. The black
    The black 1 February 2016 15: 53
    It is funny to read the statements of this gentleman in the nightie, which he expressed from month to month. smile Apparently, the attacks of the Russian aerospace forces clearly benefited the prevention of mental illness from this gentleman laughing
    1. SklochPensioner
      SklochPensioner 1 February 2016 16: 59
      Quote: Black
      gentleman in the nightie

      In addition, mind you, in the WOMAN’s nightie ... And the handkerchief on the head is crushed by two tires from a children's bicycle, or what? I'm not talking about the most disgusting ro..the face of this, ridiculous from impunity and bad money .... ka!
      It seems that the main reason for the current fuss of these gentlemen is ordinary fear for their insignificant skins.

      And we will accept everyone, smile, without promising anything, silently endure rudeness and ... firmly and rigidly bend our line. It looks like our "opponents" will soon put them in their pants (or whatever they have), in anticipation of a "response" from Russia yes
  6. njvlin
    njvlin 1 February 2016 15: 53
    Why did he come to Russia? He would go to the friends of the United States (Old Pants of the Anglo-Saxons), who killed the main enemy of Qatar, Osama BL. They are there and "POMO GUT".
  7. izya top
    izya top 1 February 2016 15: 54
    Why didn’t they feel his face at the airport? As far as I remember, it was in Qatar that our diplomat flew
  8. viktor561
    viktor561 1 February 2016 15: 54
    So what? Met and talked - you need to talk with enemies - politics is a dirty business (C) - not I said!
    And you need to talk toughly with Erdogan - he asks himself!
    1. Kostyar
      Kostyar 1 February 2016 16: 04
      And you need to talk toughly with Erdogan - he asks himself!

      Not a ride, the American leash prevents Erdogan’s leash, it makes sense to talk with him ...?! Well, the second Patrashenko, who does not have this I! Fu and Fas - this is his element !!!
  9. Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 1 February 2016 15: 56
    I am not a prophet, but the Qataris, as well as the Saudis, will soon have their own hands - the igil will start "production and sale of oil and gas" there, and these emirs, at best, are waiting for Europe, with an alternate party of refugees.
  10. Bulrumeb
    Bulrumeb 1 February 2016 15: 56
    The main sponsor of DAISH is seeking help in Moscow

    Contact us, we can help
  11. shtch
    shtch 1 February 2016 16: 08
    Insuring yourself against the cold
    I bought Doha, I’m wearing fur,
    but with that Doha I gave a swing
    Doha does not warm .... well, absolutely! laughing
  12. hartlend
    hartlend 1 February 2016 16: 10
    Quote: Bulrumeb
    The Russian expert-analytical community does not cease to amaze with its ridiculous friendliness towards our most unshakable “partners”.

    If you figure out who this expert-analytical community serves, then their friendliness will not seem so ridiculous.
  13. Shark Lover
    Shark Lover 1 February 2016 16: 12
    I read so much about Qatar, do I have to at least see on the map where it is ???? Recently, Israel could not find. Shame on me.
    1. LÄRZ
      LÄRZ 1 February 2016 16: 24
      Quote: Shark Lover
      I read so much about Qatar, I need to at least see on the map where it is?

      "Small bug, yes smelly"
      1. Oldwiser
        Oldwiser 1 February 2016 17: 01
        next to the Emirates and Bahrain, Kuwait there - shorter than the Persian Gulf
        1. cap
          cap 1 February 2016 17: 52
          Quote: OldWiser
          next to the Emirates and Bahrain, Kuwait there - shorter than the Persian Gulf

          If you look at a map of the world, it is better to take a 10x magnifying glass. If the scale is large Qatar, Israel and some "partners" simply "do not fit", there will be numbers (letters to their majesties, there is simply not enough territory). hi
  14. Stinger
    Stinger 1 February 2016 16: 25
    Analyze further your analytical analyzes.
  15. bikeev1234
    bikeev1234 1 February 2016 16: 33
    The russians began to fuss, the boat gave a leak.
  16. Hooks
    Hooks 1 February 2016 16: 35
    For such partners, you need to prepare material assistance in the form of scarves with embroidery "In the Name of the Russian Federation" or tea "Lugovoy limited edition"
    1. kotvov
      kotvov 1 February 2016 19: 30
      tea "Meadow limited edition" ,,
      you are clearly well informed, don’t share. if you don’t know, don’t chat, how much in vain.
  17. vell.65
    vell.65 1 February 2016 16: 37
    They apparently wanted to agree with Russia later on the name of the ruler of Syria, who would be completely loyal to Qatar and the Saudis for quite certain concessions on their part. hiMaybe the key to the apartment, where the money is?
  18. dchegrinec
    dchegrinec 1 February 2016 16: 37
    In drawing conclusions, you need to be guided by two aspects: the history of the relationship and the circumstances for the visits. In this case, all Middle Eastern visitors obviously don’t go to pancakes, and they don’t shine with partnership! Therefore, to draw conclusions about warming or cooling in today's conditions is simply ridiculous. peacetime and peacetime assess intentions.
  19. sisa29
    sisa29 1 February 2016 16: 41
    Friends, enemies, what's the difference ??? This is a foreign policy once, Vladimir Vladimirovich considered it appropriate to meet, so there is something to talk about. Yes, and it is probably more correct, let the politicians agree than the military wave their sabers.
  20. LÄRZ
    LÄRZ 1 February 2016 16: 42
    Yes, Uncle Vova stirred up the Arabian hornets' nest. Flew to us, not to the Nobel Peace Laureate. The Arab "Chuika" worked. We lost a lot in the Middle East, and now we are returning. So welcome the "Russian Troika". PS For a long time I have not seen such a well-coordinated work of the President and his administration, the Foreign Ministry, the Ministry of Defense, the State Duma and everyone else. To the fierce envy of enemies.
  21. Oldwiser
    Oldwiser 1 February 2016 17: 04
    Naturally - they probe the soil - for how many lards of green will GDP agree to "the honorable departure of Assad from the political arena" ...
  22. crazy_fencer
    crazy_fencer 1 February 2016 17: 14
    Well, for an attempt to sow mistrust between Russia and Syria (read: between Putin and Assad), the appropriate information coverage of such a visit is perfect. It seems that our X-perts (oh, another letter instead of "t" asks for) have already attached a pen to that. The only question is, where do they get their money?
  23. 8140
    8140 1 February 2016 17: 52
    In foreign policy, my softness, forgiveness, and such boundless kindness frighten me. And these are all qualities that prevent us from achieving a result, not to mention the 50/50 situation, and sometimes even 100% in all ...
    The lack of a sober, sound calculation to achieve and strengthen a dominant position not only in principle but also in current, ordinary issues is what our Foreign Ministry and GDP lack in foreign policy. Everything that is done should be aimed at the good of his people and exclude the mission of saints and whites. For maximum benefit. (Not the topic, but so many debts written off) And Qatar, Qatar must be bent.
    1. 31rus
      31rus 1 February 2016 18: 48
      Dear, they wrote quite right, there are also miscalculations (belief in Erdogan's decency), some illusory hopes for China, it turns out not so rosy as our media shout, you need to destroy the militants until the negotiations themselves and only demand surrender , and only then decide about the future of Syria and its president, the negotiations will now allow the militants to "legolize" and muddy the waters for a long time
  24. olimpiada15
    olimpiada15 1 February 2016 19: 59
    Today in the news drew attention to information on the Syrian negotiations.
    The opposition, which together demands an end to the bombing of the air forces, is: attention!
    divided into three groups, depending on the sponsors of these bandits claiming a piece of Syria.
    So much for the negotiations with the opposition!
    Well, there is no opposition in Syria, but there are armed gangs representing the interests of other states.
    If there is an opposition in Syria, then it does not sit in Geneva, but for a long time coordinates its actions with the government army and protects the Syrian people from bandits of all stripes.
    For for real citizens, first of all, the interests of the country.
  25. Former battalion commander
    Former battalion commander 1 February 2016 23: 28
    The article is so-so ... The speculation of the assumption and those are not based on any objective data. The successes of the Syrian army, described as already achieved, will come well if by summer, or even later. While Damascus, even with the support of Moscow, looks pale to significantly influence the situation. Negotiations are beneficial for the time being ONLY to terrorists. If Putin, like the Minsk agreements, stops the offensive of the Syrian army, it will be a complete failure and all efforts will be in vain.
  26. faterdom
    faterdom 1 February 2016 23: 43
    We owe them more for Afghanistan, Tajikistan and two Chechens. And we must give it back!
    And Qatar, and the KSA and Turkey, and God willing - states with the Britons. This last also for two world.
  27. Zomanus
    Zomanus 2 February 2016 03: 07
    Eh, would squeeze ISIS back to Qatar and CA.
    That they there would begin to restore their order.
    But dreams, dreams ...
    And what about the moderate, when Syria regains control of its territories and resources
    you can privately clean the ranks of the opposition.
  28. Wolka
    Wolka 2 February 2016 05: 32
    apparently the Anglo-Saxons Qatar picked up impudence and impudence, but with all this, the donkey will never become an Arabian horse ...