Military Review

Grimaces "decentralization"

33
Something unthinkable is happening in Ukrainian politics. On January 23, President Petro Poroshenko spoke in favor of decentralization as an alternative to war and a sure path to a European future, and on Sunday, January 24, and Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk expressed a desire to hold a referendum on the new Constitution of Ukraine. It is hard to believe what is happening, given the past uncompromising statements by all the very same figures that there is only one united Ukraine. However, there is also an opinion that right now in world politics, including in the Ukrainian direction, radical changes are coming. And the change of the rhetoric of Kiev only reflects these changes. And Poroshenko, and Yatsenyuk only voiced what was ordered. If tomorrow we receive a directive to express sympathy for Putin, then it will undoubtedly be executed. Nothing personal.




Immediately, Russians should be warned against premature euphoria. All words about decentralization can be a tactical ploy and in the event of a truce breakdown (and regular battles in the Donbass make it possible to announce this at any time), the entire responsibility by the “international community” will be placed on the republics and Russia itself. Like, we wanted peace, and we agreed to a referendum, but they perfidiously violated the agreement.

If the meaning of what is happening is different, then the space for combinations and their interpretation becomes much wider. For a more complete understanding of what is happening in the Square, it is necessary to take as an axiom the fact that the current Kiev authorities are not independent in the absolute sense of the word. They strictly comply with the directives, which descend from the US Embassy, ​​without departing from them a letter. It was clearly visible on January 23 at the Association of Cities of Ukraine, where Poroshenko urged Rada to decentralize not one, but along with ... US Ambassador Jeffrey Piet. Apparently, the ambassador was nearby, so that Mr. Poroshenko, in a temper, did not say too much.

Ukraine in many ways disappointed the Americans. It turned out to be too weak to wage a full-fledged war against Russia, and it takes too much money and attention to maintain it. As it turned out, Turkey is much more suited for the role of a spear against Moscow: Ankara has more militant enthusiasm, the army is stronger, and the economy is stronger. In this regard, the role of the Ukrainian front for Washington has plummeted and the direction was recognized as secondary. Giving priority to the events in the Middle East, the Americans froze the war in Ukraine, leaving it as a source of irritation for Russia.

We should not take it as a victory. The return of millions of people who wanted to join the Russian Federation in the fold of Ukraine that hates them is anything but a victory. As well as the fact that Kiev will free up the army for possible provocations against the Crimea and Transnistria, where Russian troops are already officially standing. At the Pentagon, these moments were calculated and changed strategy. The correct result of the Minsk-2 is recognized as preferable to military adventures in a densely populated Donbas. In fact, the enemy gets an even more convenient configuration, and we - all the same problems.

The new rhetoric of the Ukrainian media also speaks in favor of the version about changing the general line. Now the leaders are increasingly admitting the previously unacceptable - that the representatives of the autonomous Donbass will sit in the Verkhovna Rada on a par with the other deputies. Television viewers are carefully summed up to this thought (which is understandable, given the almost two-year military propaganda hysteria), but the process is obvious. What happens in the minds of ordinary citizens from such somersaults can only guess. How Ukrainian radicals will perceive what is happening is also understandable. The question is: what will they really be able to influence and what external forces are behind them. Ukraine is a field where one cannot be sure of anything and no one gives guarantees for a long time.

For Russians, only a few key points remain important. First, we must admit that we lost the current batch of the battle for Ukraine, giving the initiative to the United States of America and driving ourselves into an unfavorable strategic configuration.

Secondly, the war in Ukraine can be thawed by the Americans at any time by clicking the fingers. Essentially, it still does not stop, it is enough to read reports from Gorlovka and other places, but all parties persistently pretend that they do not notice what is happening.

Thirdly, time plays against us, not for. The main front for the Russian Federation is socio-economic, and it is precisely here that there are failures and official misconduct, which would be more correct to call sabotage.

Fourthly, for the time being, leaving Ukraine our geopolitical opponents will try to create for us a whole range of problems on simpler (for them) sectors. First of all, the lingering possibility of a military conflict with Turkey comes to mind, but the real threats come not only from it. For example, it is not known for which transformations of the same Moldavia the foreign puppeteers will try to use quite fair popular indignation of corruption in the authorities. Social bombs were laid under Belarus, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and other republics, where, like in Russia, there is a depreciation of national currencies and an economic decline.

In general, the Ukrainian political community is able to present in the first quarter of 2016 of the year many more surprises, both generated by the measured actions of the great powers and accidentally brought to the surface by the forces of social chaos. Revolutions, albeit fake, are not different.
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  1. Putinets
    Putinets 25 January 2016 06: 45
    +5
    Senya is confident in the referendum. All 33 Ukrainians will vote for the unity, that they will come to the station, the rest will be attributed.
    1. Vend
      Vend 25 January 2016 09: 56
      +3
      Quote: Putin
      Senya is confident in the referendum. All 33 Ukrainians will vote for the unity, that they will come to the station, the rest will be attributed.

      And the opinion of those who do not come, they will write the right thing and add it to the bins. laughing
    2. Cubano405
      Cubano405 25 January 2016 17: 35
      0
      You read Kabardin for the night and you don’t need to watch a horror movie, so to frighten the master - Americans, Turks, Moldovans, and Ukrainians, dearly beloved by many Russians (he found a lot of Russophiles in Russia), well, everything is against us, but we all are stupid strategic miscalculations, unlucky ... - there would be no amers to listen to right away, would live in chocolate (and in slavery), but would earn the praise of Kabardin.
    3. Apache
      Apache 25 January 2016 17: 59
      -5
      they attribute it to you, but they visit us on their own
      1. user
        user 25 January 2016 18: 41
        0
        First, we must admit that we lost the current battle for Ukraine, giving the initiative to the United States of America and driving ourselves into an unfavorable strategic configuration.


        And we need it, sadly to say it, in the near future nothing good can be seen in the relationship, and even contain it at our expense. You accidentally did not forget that this is another state, did not allow the destruction of Russian-speakers in the Southeast, and then yourself.
        1. PKK
          PKK 25 January 2016 19: 36
          -1
          People were lost, people were given full control to scum. When dill cuts out normal people, you have to work with whom.
  2. VNP1958PVN
    VNP1958PVN 25 January 2016 06: 49
    +4
    Thirdly, time plays against us, not for. The main front for the Russian Federation is socio-economic, and it is here that failures and official crimes are observed, which would be more correct to call sabotage.
    Divorced saboteurs among officials is true. When will we see "in between" the explanatory work of Comrade Mauser?
  3. Riv
    Riv 25 January 2016 06: 58
    +5
    From Denikin's memoirs on the Provisional Government:

    “All his activities voluntarily or involuntarily had the character of destruction, not creation. The government canceled, abolished, disbanded, destroyed ... This was the center of gravity of his work. Russia of that period seems to be a dilapidated old house that required major overhaul ... The architects began to take out rotten beams, some of them were not replaced at all, another was replaced with light, temporary supports, and the third was grinded with fresh logs without staples - the last resort turned out to be the worst. And the building collapsed. "

    Ukraine was firmly stuck in February of the seventeenth year. But in the absence of the Bolsheviks (and even — this is a surprise! —Anarchists), as a state, there are no prospects at all.
  4. Same lech
    Same lech 25 January 2016 07: 21
    +6
    Thirdly, time plays against us, not for. The main front for the Russian Federation is socio-economic, and it is precisely here that there are failures and official misconduct, which would be more correct to call sabotage.


    That's right, that's right ...

    In China there is an exotic execution ... death from thousands of small cuts ... it seems our enemy chose this option.

    Now, how do we behave in this situation ... and IGOR KABARDIN?
  5. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 25 January 2016 07: 35
    +1
    If tomorrow comes a directive to express sympathy for Putin, then she will undoubtedly be fulfilled.

    The author has successfully shown the "firm position" of the Kiev authorities. It is not difficult to imagine with what faces they will voice it. But unfortunately this is completely unrealistic.
    1. Egoza
      Egoza 25 January 2016 09: 03
      +2
      Quote: rotmistr60
      It is not difficult to imagine with which faces they will voice it. But unfortunately this is completely unrealistic.

      Even as they will!
      The Ukrainian president expressed confidence that the Verkhovna Rada would have a constitutional majority, and deputies would vote for amendments to the Constitution to expand the powers of local authorities, and changes would be made to the country's Basic Law in 2016.
      “The second reading of constitutional amendments on decentralization should take place against the backdrop of the obvious and decisive progress in implementing those points of the Minsk agreements that must be implemented before the end of this year,” Poroshenko said.

      “Holding a course towards decentralization, we use the European compass. Decentralization is the key to preparing for membership in the European Union, ”the president said.

      They still didn’t figure out the association, but I’ve already soaped myself into membership! However, it seems to me that someone put a hatchet under the European compass.
  6. Zomanus
    Zomanus 25 January 2016 07: 39
    +2
    There is only one question, "How do American curators see it?"
    Maybe as a separation of profitable areas from subsidized.
    Some will support, others will die out.
  7. Flinky
    Flinky 25 January 2016 07: 59
    +1
    First, we must admit that we lost the current battle for Ukraine, giving the initiative to the United States of America and driving ourselves into an unfavorable strategic configuration.

    A good warrior always knows when to retreat. And the profitability of the "strategic configuration" to Igor Kabardin, of course, is very clearly visible from a cozy sofa.

    Secondly, the war in Ukraine can be unfrozen by the Americans at any moment at the click of a finger.

    Was she freezing? Slow conflict, shooting from both sides. In this case, the cozy sofa for some reason prevented us from seeing the obvious. In contrast to the "disadvantageous strategic configuration". It is logical, the big is seen at a distance, isn't it?

    Thirdly, time plays against us, not for. The main front for the Russian Federation is socio-economic, and it is precisely here that there are failures and official misconduct, which would be more correct to call sabotage.

    Time is playing on us. Another question is that it is also not infinite. Leave the sofa and work in the field, because tryndet is not to roll bags. Failures and malfeasance await you, Mr. Kabardin (I can't even call you a "comrade").

    Fourth, temporarily leaving Ukraine, our geopolitical opponents will try to create a whole range of problems for us in simpler (for them) areas.

    One might think they have no "whole spectrum of problems".
    In general - the article clearly smacks of Katz, who, as you know, always offered to give up. Minus.
    1. PKK
      PKK 25 January 2016 19: 41
      0
      What other initiative have we given back? We are fulfilling Minsk 2. And when they opened the plan of the attack, is this the same return on the initiative?
  8. Evgesh91
    Evgesh91 25 January 2016 08: 03
    +2
    Autonomy for the Donbass? how will they look into the eyes of both their people and the people of Donbass, after all that was?
    1. Your friend
      Your friend 25 January 2016 13: 17
      +1
      Quote: Evgesh91
      Autonomy for the Donbass? how will they look into the eyes of both their people and the people of Donbass, after all that was?

      Seriously? You still say that they have a conscience.
  9. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 25 January 2016 09: 08
    +6
    The author is direct "burns with a verb." Again "... leaked everything!" So far, I would say that nothing of the kind is observed. Donbass did not arm itself and shed blood to allow Dill to take everything back, mumbling the usual phrases about "federalization". Nobody will give anything.
    As for Turkey - let them try. Who can - does, who cannot - teaches how to do it. And this applies not only to sex ...
    1. avt
      avt 25 January 2016 10: 24
      +3
      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      The author is direct "burns with a verb." Again "... leaked everything!"

      Well, something like that - yes. Right on the points in the first, everything was gone; in the second, the gypsum is removed; thirdly, the client leaves. wassat I don’t understand - why didn’t I write anything about Surkov!? wassat Probably didn’t want about the terrible night? laughing
      Quote: baudolino
      If the author took the trouble to visit Donetsk, he would not write nonsense about the "return" of Donbass. Here everything is being redrawn "for Russia",

      ,, Surkovskaya "propaganda! laughing
      Quote: baudolino
      , and all this rhetoric is just an element of politics.

      Now the LDNR army has already been renamed into the police, now it remains ... to be called the border police and, according to clause Minsk No. 2, legalize it. Here Poros’s dream will come true - the border with Russia will come under control. laughing
  10. MKP
    MKP 25 January 2016 09: 27
    -2
    Well, a very scary article.
  11. surrozh
    surrozh 25 January 2016 09: 29
    +2
    Ukrainians are already howling from their revolution, they will start yelling at us from the Euro-association. Time works for us, this is called de-Ukrainianization ..
  12. baudolino
    baudolino 25 January 2016 10: 02
    +7
    If the author took the trouble to visit Donetsk, he would not write nonsense about the "return" of Donbass. Here everything is being redrawn "for Russia," and all this rhetoric is just an element of politics.
  13. Scud
    Scud 25 January 2016 10: 59
    +7
    There can be no talk of any independent state; yesterday the farm laborers of the Little Russian and Polish magnates believe that the state is a village, that they can build it as if to dig a garden after a dance of a vodka. . And, And, Denikin ,, Essays on Russian Troubles ,,
  14. Belousov
    Belousov 25 January 2016 12: 28
    0
    There are many controversial and controversial issues in the article, but what the author is definitely right about is in the third paragraph. The socio-economic policy of our state is aimed at anything, but not for the good of the people, but Putin is satisfied with the "work" of the government. So think in whose interests he works, only the mantra about the good king and evil boyars can not remember, it has not rolled for a long time.
    1. PKK
      PKK 25 January 2016 19: 46
      -1
      He put the quotation marks incorrectly: Putin is "satisfied" with the work of the government. China has clearly indicated the replacement of Medvedev's default government, but so far apparently there is no possibility for this.
  15. lex locis
    lex locis 25 January 2016 13: 11
    0
    The junta Poroshenko, even with the Provisional Government (sample 1917) is impossible to compare. At least they tried to save the country. And this one - as it were, is more expensively sold to the occupation authorities ...
  16. Yaushev Artyom
    Yaushev Artyom 25 January 2016 16: 14
    0
    "Social bombs have been planted for Belarus, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and other republics, where, as in Russia, there is a depreciation of national currencies and an economic recession" - this phrase is alarming and, frankly. scares. I would like to wish Putin, Aliyev and Lukashenko to continue the adopted conservative course and prevent a repetition of the same Ukrainian events.
  17. Ruslan Shevela
    Ruslan Shevela 25 January 2016 17: 12
    0
    Looking at the countries where democracy came, I personally become more and more conservative. Because of his youth, he liked Navalny and other "oppositionists", and now more and more Putin, Lukashenko, Aliyev, Nazarbayev, getting smarter along the way
  18. chelovektapok
    chelovektapok 25 January 2016 17: 39
    0
    Used President P. Alkashenko discussed decentralization at a meeting with the Green Serpent. The meeting was initiated by the Bandera party in a friendly atmosphere. Statements were made based on the results. On day 10, in different directions, depending on the ppm in the losing side.
  19. Apache
    Apache 25 January 2016 18: 02
    0
    in your country it is customary to deceive each other? some write nonsense and the second read and rejoice
    1. uzer 13
      uzer 13 25 January 2016 18: 25
      +2
      However, no one insults even such provocateurs like you. Go for comparison to your native independent site in a similar direction, maybe you will notice how we differ from you.
  20. Chulman
    Chulman 25 January 2016 18: 56
    +2
    Quote: Apache
    they attribute it to you, but they visit us on their own

    Do not tell my gray-haired I ... ah !!!
  21. Former battalion commander
    Former battalion commander 25 January 2016 19: 49
    0
    In the current situation in Russia, one way out -
    1. Cleansing of internal enemies. A dictatorship is called the proletariat (people).
    2. The transition to a planned economy everywhere excluding can be a household thing.
    3. Well, in general, repeat the past in the 30s.

    An alternative is COMPLETE DESTRUCTION of the STATE from within. Of course it is difficult to imagine such a thing, but EVERYTHING will have to start from the very beginning. If Putin does not understand this, then he will have to be removed, but now is the time to understand the essence of what is happening. Otherwise, he will become famous for centuries as the grave-digger of Russian civilization. They will forget about Gorbachev and Yeltsman, and they will remember him ...
  22. Dimitrakis
    Dimitrakis 25 January 2016 20: 46
    +1
    The Russian is taken into a cell, in a prison ... And there are only Ukrainians! It's night here, the Russian went to bed. And the Ukrainians, while he was asleep, climbed into his bag, they saw that there was bacon there ... Let's say, let's eat bacon, but let's say to the Russian that we didn't take it. It’s morning, the Russian wakes up, opens the bag and says ... Who has not seen bacon? Ukrainians unanimously - not nebacheli! Russian speaks-strange ... For ten years this piece of bacon with him in prisons, he smeared fagots asses! And then again ... And not hto not bachel)))) one crest to another, I told you it smells like shit! And you! Smoked smoked !!! "