Military Review

Analysts: Russia has managed to turn the tide in Syria

39
The antiterrorist operation of the Russian Federation in Syria has changed the balance of forces in favor of the Assad government, leads RIA News analyst conclusions from IHS Jane's.




“Thanks to Russian support, the territory controlled by the Syrian authorities increased by 1,3% between September 29 2015 and January 11 2016. These successes were a turning point for the government, given that it lost 18% territory in the first eight months of 2015, and everything went towards the loss of Aleppo and violent attacks on Latakia, the main area of ​​residence of the Alawites. ”- the report says.

According to analysts, "the immediate goal of Russia in Syria - strengthening the positions of the Assad government and preventing its military defeat at the hands of Sunni insurgents - has been largely achieved."

“As a result,” IHS Jane’s believes, “conditions have been created for a cease-fire in a number of regions of Syria, but serious concessions at the Vienna talks remain unlikely.”

Nevertheless, according to experts, "the successes of the Syrian authorities in the fight against the IG grouping in the area of ​​the city of El-Bab may induce the West to support the political solution to the conflict, in which the existing power structures in Syria will remain."
Photos used:
AP Photo / Vadim Savitsky
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  1. Alex_Rarog
    Alex_Rarog 23 January 2016 10: 30 New
    11
    So everything is in vain .... so we are in the right direction ...
    1. Ami du peuple
      Ami du peuple 23 January 2016 10: 35 New
      20
      Quote: Alex_Rarog
      So everything is in vain .... so we are in the right direction ...

      And someone doubted? But losing is always easier than giving back. The Syrians lost 18% of the country in eight months, and returned, with the support of Russia, 1,3% in three and a half. Can you imagine how prepared all kinds of "oppositionists" are? I am generally silent about the devils from DAISH - both preparation and fanaticism.
      I mean that the "patriotic sentries" screech: "Putin entered Syria to drain Assad in exchange for lifting the sanctions." Assad, at such a pace, would have merged by the middle of this year.
      1. Kent0001
        Kent0001 23 January 2016 11: 02 New
        +7
        I already wrote about this. The fact is that there are many Saddam officers in Yiddish. Where they studied try to figure out for yourself. Hence the ability to conduct hostilities.
      2. Tra-ta-ta
        Tra-ta-ta 23 January 2016 11: 12 New
        11
        1,3% is 2407 sq. Km ...
        Moscow Square - 2500 sq. Km.
        Of course, Stalin and Zhukov jaw clenched there ..
        But for us - not bad ...
        1. gergi
          gergi 23 January 2016 12: 16 New
          +5
          There are no fronts in Syria. In the desert there is a focal war. System of strong points at key points. The desert, it is also a desert in Africa, fuck is not needed if you can not live there.
      3. marlin1203
        marlin1203 23 January 2016 17: 37 New
        +3
        The specifics of the fighting in the desert - took a well or an oasis and already control 500 km of the desert around. So they fight from source to source, from intersection to intersection. So it was in the time of Salladin and Rommel, and now the same thing.
        It makes no sense to pour blood on anyone unnecessary sand and stones.
    2. SRC P-15
      SRC P-15 23 January 2016 10: 36 New
      24

      “Thanks to Russian support, the territory controlled by the Syrian authorities increased by 1,3% between September 29, 2015 and January 11, 2016.

      1,3%? - You can immediately see where the news came from:
      Quote: Alex_Rarog
      analyst conclusions from IHS Jane's.

      And the fact that in this territory there is more population than in the rest of the desert occupied by terrorists is nothing?
      1. 33 Watcher
        33 Watcher 23 January 2016 10: 43 New
        +7
        So according to their own maps, this area has increased several times there. Or are they just the area of ​​us. Counts, without a desert between them ..? request
      2. V.ic
        V.ic 23 January 2016 10: 46 New
        +6
        Quote: СРЦ П-15
        1,3%? - You can immediately see where the news came from:

        Do not worry you so! Considered to be a common land surface, the result would be microscopic. The main thing is that squeeze dushmans from territories previously occupied by them!
    3. Gushead
      Gushead 23 January 2016 10: 40 New
      +5
      Yes. The Ministry of Defense is doing just fine, but you still have to understand that it is important to accelerate in the fight against ISIS. The terrorist threat must be eliminated as soon as possible. To do this, you must provide all possible assistance. Starting with humanitarian aid and ending with personal "maturation" to go to the aid of the Syrian army, as, for example, I am going to do. So far, we only hear that people are fleeing to ISIS, but I wonder why few people are fleeing to fight ISIS. This is a serious threat and should not be treated as something distant, they say, "my hut is on the edge ..."
    4. vlad66
      vlad66 23 January 2016 10: 42 New
      24
      Quote: Alex_Rarog
      So it’s not in vain .... that means we are in the right direction ...

      Of course, it was not in vain, it was not for nothing that the minke whales began to stir, excavators bombed for a year and a half and pushed the barbarians to overthrow Assad and the collapse of Syria, but the war in Syria is still far from over and the liberation will be long, but the most important thing is that the Syrian army has revived and is coming.
    5. Civil
      Civil 23 January 2016 10: 49 New
      +3
      Granary freed!
    6. kodxnumx
      kodxnumx 24 January 2016 19: 17 New
      +1
      Quote: Alex_Rarog
      So everything is in vain .... so we are in the right direction ...

      And where are they going to, I think I already understood that we are not giving up the Allies, either our conditions, or play for one hid on your thugs!
  2. NIKNN
    NIKNN 23 January 2016 10: 31 New
    +7
    Nevertheless, according to experts, "the successes of the Syrian authorities in the fight against the IG grouping in the area of ​​the city of El-Bab may induce the West to support the political solution to the conflict, in which the existing power structures in Syria will remain."


    Right now, the Americans will help. The troops will be introduced and the rest of Syria will be squeezed out for themselves ... request
    1. Nymp
      Nymp 23 January 2016 10: 46 New
      +7
      Quote: NIKNN
      Nevertheless, according to experts, "the successes of the Syrian authorities in the fight against the IG grouping in the area of ​​the city of El-Bab may induce the West to support the political solution to the conflict, in which the existing power structures in Syria will remain."


      Right now, the Americans will help. The troops will be introduced and the rest of Syria will be squeezed out for themselves ... request

      No doubt they would have done that 2 years ago! But even their "exceptional" minds became clear how dangerous it is to play a war with Russia. Most likely they will fight against the Russians by proxy hands. This is their favorite tactic against a strong opponent.
  3. Neko75
    Neko75 23 January 2016 10: 35 New
    +4
    The President of Syria is the only legitimate person chosen by the people.
    "The successes of the Syrian authorities in the fight against the IS group in the area of ​​the city of El Bab can encourage the West to support a political solution to the conflict, in which the existing power structures in Syria remain."
    But how else is that? Let us say that Obama needs to remove and put into power those who shoot people on the streets (they often have it) ...
  4. Thunderbolt
    Thunderbolt 23 January 2016 10: 35 New
    +4
    controlled by the Syrian authorities increased by 1,3% in the period from September 29, 2015 to January 11, 2016.
    At this rate, the war will not end soon. We must somehow hurry. It is clear that semi-guerrilla warfare is a sluggish phenomenon and breaks down into private episodes of battles with individual units. There is no clear front line and general battles. But 1,3% is not enough. In such a war, it is more important not the number of occupied towns, but the blocking of supply channels for militants. And this is not easy. Weapons and new soldiers are "thrown" into Syria from all sides and the potential of mad fanatics or people simply lured by the war does not dry out. Of course, it would be correct to have them in the training camps adjacent countries have yet to bomb, to strike at the reconnoitered weapons depots, but it is impossible --- politics.
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 23 January 2016 11: 32 New
      +4
      In order for Syria to be liberated at such a pace, it is necessary for at least 10 years of our VKS staying there.
      1. kolyhalovs
        kolyhalovs 23 January 2016 11: 52 New
        +3
        I think when Russia came to Syria, it was already assumed then that the aerospace forces would be there for a longer period than 10 years.
        1. gleb0606
          gleb0606 24 January 2016 00: 31 New
          +1
          Quote: kolyhalovs
          I think when Russia came to Syria, it was already assumed then that the aerospace forces would be there for a longer period than 10 years.

          Vladimir Vladimirovich said that at the end of the war we will not leave the air base.
  5. The comment was deleted.
  6. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 23 January 2016 10: 40 New
    +2
    That which began to recognize success is already good.
    however, serious concessions at the Vienna talks remain unlikely

    And who, according to IHS Jane's analysts, should make concessions? It is very doubtful that Russia would make concessions to the United States and the SA in the upcoming negotiations, which by hook or by crook are trying to drag outright terrorists and bandits into this process.
  7. Yak28
    Yak28 23 January 2016 10: 41 New
    +6
    There is too much pathos and boast in the media, and the situation was reversed and how smartly they bombed, and what wonderful planes, then the Turks shot down the plane and immediately lowered it from heaven to earth, now the NATO forces will be brought in and in the ass we’ll sit down again. they’ll knock them down, they’ll have to wipe themselves again. We need to shake our tongue less and do more. I still remember how our paratroopers entered Kosovo, occupied the airport, they met the population with flowers and hope, and what was the result? The local population was cut out and driven out, a piece of land was cut off from Serbia, and Russia was once again disgraced sharply.
    1. V.ic
      V.ic 23 January 2016 10: 50 New
      +2
      Quote: Yak28
      Once again, Russia was embarrassingly disgraced.

      Amerikosov had a "trump card", and they knew what was in the buy-in.
      1. Yak28
        Yak28 23 January 2016 10: 53 New
        +6
        They had trump cards, but we have trash in the country's leadership
        1. SeregaBoss
          SeregaBoss 23 January 2016 11: 32 New
          +2
          Let’s appoint you to the management, you’ll quickly settle there, right? Do your hands itch with amers to cling? And about Kosovo, there are more intelligent Americans than you, did not dare to start a war by attacking our military.
          1. yuriy55
            yuriy55 23 January 2016 11: 55 New
            +5
            Quote: Serge Boss
            Let’s appoint you to the management, you’ll quickly settle there, right?


            If he doesn’t drink, he’ll ruin ... You don’t get carried away by Yeltsin’s indispensability. Its indispensability was paid by those who now, at the last Gaidar forum, were crucified about the development of the economy ... negative The current leaders are not particularly tense because they make collegial decisions. There is no responsible person among them (who will be responsible for everything) who can say:
            "I directed you, I will be responsible for everything."
            Most often heard:
            "How I directed you - you know, so be responsible for everything yourself" ... yes
          2. Yak28
            Yak28 23 January 2016 11: 55 New
            +1
            But why should the Amers attack, ours were dumped from there anyway, and if they had attacked the paratroopers, what would Yeltsin do? In those years, traitors in power were led by Yeltsin, the army was a wretched sight, the country depended on imported food. have you entered the convoy of paratroopers? They introduced it, and no one knew what to do next, they did not begin to create military infrastructure there, and with disgrace brought it out, it would be better not to meditate at all. They would have simply leaked Milosevic, without unnecessary pathos about the allies of the Serbs, for whom Russia would intercede and all.
    2. remy
      remy 23 January 2016 12: 05 New
      +4
      there is a double meaning in your comment Yak28.
      I put a plus in the first part.
      and then something like a sofa whining, without taking into account many factors external and internal, military and political, and much for a very long time will be classified as "top secret"
  8. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 23 January 2016 10: 42 New
    +2
    From the point of view of arithmetic, this is not enough, 1.3%, but this is a plus, not a minus! The territory is not shrinking, but growing. And taking into account the desert area, which is not inhabited at all, one must look at the population. What percentage of the population is on this 1.3%? And all the same, stockists call such a situation "trend breakdown", i.e. the downward dynamics was replaced by upward ones.
  9. Dam
    Dam 23 January 2016 10: 43 New
    +5
    The operation is hard. The roofing felts are literate and motivated, the roofing felts of the SAR army are the usual Arab army. It seems to me that here it’s not only the videoconferencing system, here you need to learn and teach these sheep.
    1. Yak28
      Yak28 23 January 2016 11: 19 New
      +1
      I remember the Arabian Israeli soldiers, where the Soviet Union heavily armed Arab countries, where the number and quality of Arabs tanks exceeded the Jews by several times, but thanks to inept command, and the lack of intelligible tactics, the Arabs lost. Syrian tanks in cities, without infantry support, this is suicide.
    2. flay
      flay 23 January 2016 12: 20 New
      +2
      Quote: Damm


      The operation is hard. The roofing felts are literate and motivated, the roofing felts of the SAR army are the usual Arab army. It seems to me that here it’s not only the videoconferencing system, here you need to learn and teach these sheep.

      Teach, teach .... already taught officers of the Hussein army. Saddam was pulled up, and where are his officers? That is, now in Syria our school is fighting against itself.
  10. Mikhail Krapivin
    Mikhail Krapivin 23 January 2016 10: 48 New
    -1
    We are like that:)
    1. yuriy55
      yuriy55 23 January 2016 12: 07 New
      0
      Quote: Mikhail Krapivin
      We are like that:)

  11. Voha_krim
    Voha_krim 23 January 2016 10: 50 New
    +1
    “Thanks to Russian support, the territory controlled by the Syrian authorities increased by 1,3% in the period from September 29, 2015 to January 11, 2016.

    The head of North American diplomacy, J. Kerry, said that the territory of the ISPTD in the current 2016 year, "will be seriously reduced."
    According to Kerry, IS "has already lost up to 30% of the territory in Syria and about 40% of the territory in Iraq. "

    http://www.nalin.ru/SSHA-my-ne-pobedim-IG-v-etom-godu-iz-za-Rossii-968
  12. Panabebis
    Panabebis 23 January 2016 10: 52 New
    -4
    the territory controlled by the Syrian authorities increased by 1,3% from September 29, 2015 to January 11, 2016

    Direct mega achievement :))
  13. Gormenghast
    Gormenghast 23 January 2016 10: 55 New
    +1
    The more successful the actions of the Syrian army, the more politically stronger Assad becomes. A simple axiom.
    Coming soon "to forget"mythical barrel bombs and chemical poisoning, and Assad will shake hands.
  14. GRAY
    GRAY 23 January 2016 10: 56 New
    +3
    Fresh video compilation of military operations of the Kurdish Workers' Party in Turkey.
    Erased here: http://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/
  15. Maple
    Maple 23 January 2016 11: 06 New
    +1
    In any case, due to the tasks performed by the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, the situation in Syria has changed for the better and these ISIS have become less bold, so good luck on our side, at such a pace, we will eradicate this evil! Personally, I have a great desire to personally turn my heads to these monsters, I hope I succeed ...
  16. naGua
    naGua 23 January 2016 11: 27 New
    +1
    The news, of course, is pleasant, but doubt arises of such a property, namely: "can induce" - it does not mean "induce". And also, the opinion of analysts is not yet the opinion of the leaders of Western governments and NATO. And even such decisions will be made, it is not yet a fact that they will adhere to them. Give the floor, sign the relevant documents and immediately violate them, these gentlemen, oh, how much!
  17. Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 23 January 2016 11: 40 New
    0
    These inveterate analysts will not cheat, so they will save it, maybe the area has grown 1,3 times, then another song.
  18. lysyj bob
    lysyj bob 23 January 2016 11: 50 New
    +3
    Lord !!! Look at the root:
    According to analysts, "Russia's immediate goal in Syria - to strengthen the position of the Assad government and prevent its military defeat at the hands of Sunni rebels - has been largely achieved"
    According to their conclusions, Russia does not fight Daesh terrorists in principle! The purpose of Russia in Syria is exclusively, support for the Assad government! Russia is fighting against Sunni rebels!
    How do you like this?!!!
  19. Jan2016
    Jan2016 23 January 2016 12: 04 New
    +2
    After Carter's statement, it becomes clear that the American army is entering Syria. And that Kurdistan as a state is likely to be ... i.e. part of the territory of Syria is still grabbed. And the Russian leadership actually agreed with this after the talks in Geneva (on the topic of who should be considered a terrorist in Syria). The Kurds are no longer terrorists. The fact that the process has begun confirms Turkey’s discontent over the United States.
  20. ivanych
    ivanych 23 January 2016 14: 13 New
    +1
    .... or what? They wait, who will keep the upper hand, and then we'll see - for whom to get involved?