Military Review

Dollar, Asia and Russia. End of 2015 of the year

82



15 and 16 December there were two extremely important events that, at first glance, are not related to each other, but which will affect the entire world order. Event one - after a long discussion, the US approved a deal to sell weapons to Taiwan. Island will be sold weapons worth $ 1,83 billion, including two frigates class Oliver Hazard Perry. Event Two: The US Fed raised its base interest rate in the 0,25-0,5% range. The dollar strengthened, US goods are becoming more expensive. Now, for an airline located, say, in the Emirates, it is cheaper to buy an Airbus than a Boeing, and this is a problem for the American economy. What to do? This is where the frankly colonial mechanisms of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment and Trans-Pacific Partnerships come to mind. In other words, other countries will simply be forced to buy American products at an exorbitant price.

But China, which had previously greatly devalued its national currency, at the same time not being a political vassal of the United States, remains outside this scheme, and will receive an unprecedented economic push, which it just did not have. Moreover, the People's Bank of China literally two days before the historic decision of the Fed lowered the RMB exchange rate to the dollar by 137 basis points - to 6,4495 yuan for the dollar. Thus, these two currencies twice in a week went in opposite directions.

The only way to stop China striving for economic leadership (and simply seeking to trivial survival) China is war, and it is towards her that the US is moving fast-paced. On January 16, presidential and parliamentary elections will be held in Taiwan, in which the Democratic Progressive Party (supporter of independence) will definitely win. Even if the DPP does not take explicit steps toward secession, the relationship between Beijing and Taipei will no longer be the same as it is now.

The Spratly Islands continue to fester, where, in addition to Chinese and Taiwanese bases, there are still Vietnamese and to a lesser extent Malaysians, Filipinos and Bruneians. True, in the coming conflict the archipelago has more chances to become a peripheral front than the main one, but this front will be very hot. The 1988 experience of the year, when whole sea battles with dozens of casualties took place near the islands, should not be forgotten in any case.

In December, by the way, the Americans again circled over the archipelago with B-52 bombers, to which China responded by accelerating the construction of infrastructure.

Japan is also preparing for a possible aggravation in its southern seas. In 2016, Tokyo will conduct a public test of the new XASM-3 supersonic anti-ship missile, which will hit the recently decommissioned Shirane helicopter carrying 7500 tonnes. This step is more political, because the Philippines showed great interest in purchasing the ship, but in an aggravated situation, the demonstration of power becomes more important than commercial gain. In addition, Tokyo will test its own prototype of the fifth generation fighter, as well as adopt the F-35 fighter jets and convertible V-22 fighter jets, and the resurgent marines will receive the AAVP-52A7s amphibious aircraft.

However, if to arrange the conflict through the participation of Taiwan and will not succeed, then there are alternative options. For example, in the south. So in November parliamentary elections in Myanmar, the party of pro-American oppositionist Aung San Suu Kyi won. To understand what the views of this woman, even a cursory acquaintance with her biography is enough. It should be recalled here that just a few months ago, there was a border armed conflict between the PRC and Myanmar, which was practically ignored by all world media. And the provocative side was made by Myanmar, the soldiers and aircraft of which repeatedly attacked the territory of China.

On whose side to become in these conditions Russia? First of all, neither the US coalition, nor China are friends with us, and it’s not yet known who the enemy is to a greater degree. Secondly, our country is weak in the Far East, and cannot be a full-fledged ally of any of the parties. The population of the entire Far Eastern region is 6,3 million inhabitants. For example: the population of the northernmost prefecture of Japan, Hokkaido, is 5,5 million, and the northernmost province of the PRC - Heilongjiang - 38 million. We will modestly keep silent about economic and military development. When the Navy of a poor country like Myanmar receives more than two dozen surface warships for the 1991-2015 period, and the Russian Pacific Fleet for the same period is four times less (and only two in the post-Soviet Russia), then what kind of revival you can speak?

And finally, thirdly. Both Japan and China are preparing for the fact that Russia itself, under certain circumstances, can become a field for division. For example, the Chinese Xinhua news agency 17 December published an article entitled “Will Russia be able to withstand the test of strength against the backdrop of a complex crisis?”, Which states that the Russian Federation has come to a strategic dead end and a systemic crisis. The hint is more than transparent. Actually, this is not even a hint. So the big war in Asia, most likely, will affect Russia not at all on a tangent.

For a long time, more precisely, from the very end of the Second World War, in East and Southeast Asia, large-scale redistribution of borders did not occur. No, individual territories, of course, changed ownership - both by peaceful transfer of sovereignty and by force of arms. Often, very large areas, thousands or even tens of thousands of square kilometers, became objects of such revisions. But never after 1951, there was a massive one-time redrawing of borders with a large number of actors. The collapse of the bipolar system and global economic shifts have led to an imbalance, and the imbalance always ends in conflict.

Now the wicks are set on fire: financial, political and military. The huge Asian armies, which until recently had restrained the conflict potential of the parties, are now increasingly being viewed as a valid foreign policy tool. And woe will be to whose instrument is not good enough.

2016 will be a tough year ...
Author:
82 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must to register.

I have an account? Sign in

  1. Ajent cho
    Ajent cho 21 December 2015 06: 11
    23
    In which conditions should Russia take sides?
    On your own. There is no other way.
    1. Kibalchish
      21 December 2015 06: 15
      +5
      I agree. But to have a right to one’s side, one needs strength. And with forces not very.
      1. Tatar 174
        Tatar 174 21 December 2015 06: 48
        14
        If it comes to war in the Far East and if one of the nuclear powers is affected, then nuclear weapons will necessarily be used in this theater of war and two further ways: 1. General war using nuclear weapons. 2. On one hit, everything will stop and everything will calm down. But there is a third way, in the event of a conflict in the Far East, we must warn everyone that in the event of aggression against Russia, we will use nuclear weapons without fail.
        1. afdjhbn67
          afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 07: 11
          11
          Quote: Tatar 174
          If it comes to war in the Far East and if one of the nuclear powers is affected, then nuclear weapons will be used

          It’s not a fact that it’s necessary - the more so the war (hypothetically) will take place on neutral territory .. Without the invasion of China and the USA
          General war using nuclear weapons.

          What is it based on that it will become universal ?? (imagine such a situation China vs USA - why should Russia "press the button" ??
          Russia can only defend its own Far East and this is spelled out in the doctrine .. further its interests are not so great that they would enter into a nuclear conflict .. (in the event of another "battle for Guam")
          It annoys me that lately many fans have begun to talk about the use of nuclear weapons with an incredible ease .. if your photo is on your Avatar, then I am sincerely surprised by this position - I remember in the CA they brought up the "flash-left or right" in great detail .. hi
          1. sa-ag
            sa-ag 21 December 2015 07: 36
            -13 qualifying.
            Quote: afdjhbn67
            It annoys me that in recent years, many fans began to talk about the use of nuclear weapons with ease simply incredible.

            That's okay, but when the first person publicly says that if something happens the Caliber can be equipped with nuclear weapons, and now this type of weapon is used in the "war against the Papuans", this is annoying, it looks like this ease is contagious, Khrushcheva somehow reminds
            1. afdjhbn67
              afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 07: 58
              +7
              Quote: sa-ag
              That's okay, but when the first person publicly says that in case of which the Caliber can be equipped with nuclear weapons,

              Talking and doing are things of a different order, he talks a lot about what ..
              1. Byshido_dis
                Byshido_dis 21 December 2015 13: 37
                +4
                The author of the article is a fat minus!

                When the Navy of such a poor country as Myanmar receives more than two dozen surface warships during the period 1991-2015, and the Russian Pacific Fleet for the same period - four times less (and only two are built directly in the post-Soviet RF), then what kind of revival you can speak?


                What kind of fleet do you have in Myanmar? ONE frigate! One Corvette! and a bunch, a bunch, a bunch of boats) I don’t want to talk about submarines ... since there are none !!!

                What revival is the author talking about? In general, it is not clear why the article was written? About the fact that in the Pacific Ocean it is restless (so it is already clear), or about the fact that in which case, let's give the Kuril Islands and Vladik down?

                In general, frank nonsense. Provocation and the creation of a false opinion that we have nothing THERE!
            2. hrapon
              hrapon 21 December 2015 09: 36
              +8
              Quote: sa-ag
              Quote: afdjhbn67
              It annoys me that in recent years, many fans began to talk about the use of nuclear weapons with ease simply incredible.

              That's okay, but when the first person publicly says that if something happens the Caliber can be equipped with nuclear weapons, and now this type of weapon is used in the "war against the Papuans", this is annoying, it looks like this ease is contagious, Khrushcheva somehow reminds


              See, you're already annoying. This is how nuclear deterrence works.
              1. afdjhbn67
                afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 10: 00
                0
                Quote: hrapon
                See, you're already annoying. This is how nuclear deterrence works.

                Actually, I am a citizen of the Russian Federation .. and I do not need to restrain)))
            3. ver_
              ver_ 21 December 2015 16: 46
              -1
              ... and why not - or was there no Herosima?
          2. Tatar 174
            Tatar 174 21 December 2015 08: 41
            +6
            But there is no need to swallow tears and snot of resentment, if you don’t have enough firmness to answer, then you will surely offend, and who is not lazy ... That's just how it is necessary with "incredible ease" and declare it and do it if necessary. And then first a combat plane will be shot down, and then by chance troops will land on an island, and then the end will be near. To avoid this, decisiveness with "incredible ease" is needed. Is there another option? If there is a variant of an adequate answer without the use of nuclear weapons, everyone will be only happy, because no one wants to observe "flashes on both the left and right" I remember how during the Cuban missile crisis we prepared bomb shelters, whoever prepared them as best they could, I still remember and do not want more...
            1. sa-ag
              sa-ag 21 December 2015 09: 13
              -1
              Quote: Tatar 174
              That's just how it is necessary with "incredible ease" and declare it and do it if necessary.

              Is spare land available?
              1. aksakal
                aksakal 22 December 2015 00: 59
                +2
                Quote: sa-ag

                Is spare land available?
                - And why should Russia and Russians think about this? Russia is not going to be an aggressor. Let the aggressor think about the availability of spare land. My dear, you load the wrong horse! wassat
                It always surprised me - for the Caribbean crisis, the blame was placed on Khrushchev and the USSR, because the USSR dared to place nuclear weapons in the underbelly of the United States. And the fact that in the same underbelly of the USSR - in Turkey, this same nuclear weapons was placed much earlier - is this normal?
                And here - the aggressor is automatically blamed for the death of the planet, it is automatically assigned to the Russians for daring to defend themselves. Interesting position laughing
                My dear, with a question about a spare planet - to the aggressor, ask them these questions.
            2. Countermeasure
              Countermeasure 21 December 2015 11: 19
              +2
              The impending situation without Russia will not cost unfortunately. For Russia is considered by the parties as battlefields and a trophy to the winner. If the United States succeeds in establishing political control over the country as in the 90s, China will go to us. This is their general strategy to push opponents over their foreheads. They are not shy in methods, there can be any provocations.
            3. Countermeasure
              Countermeasure 21 December 2015 11: 19
              -1
              The impending situation without Russia will not cost unfortunately. For Russia is considered by the parties as battlefields and a trophy to the winner. If the United States succeeds in establishing political control over the country as in the 90s, China will go to us. This is their general strategy to push opponents over their foreheads. They are not shy in methods, there can be any provocations.
          3. S_last
            S_last 21 December 2015 09: 15
            -4
            I completely agree. Too many appeared willing to solve all the problems of nuclear weapons, which clearly indicates an insufficient coverage of the population with the services of psychiatrists.
        2. igorka357
          igorka357 21 December 2015 08: 00
          10
          Yes, my friend, you consider yourself a strategist, I advise you to familiarize yourself with the military doctrine of the Russian Federation .. but you probably think some good news was offered ..))? Everything has been written there for a long time, in case of a threat to the national security of the Russian Federation, Russia has the right to application of nuclear weapons! It’s written black and white!
        3. spolo
          spolo 21 December 2015 08: 08
          0
          What is the problem? Moreover, there is a political difference between strategic and tactical nuclear weapons. On the example of Hiroshima, a sobering effect is traced. Indeed, a second time will not be needed. IMHO
        4. Shark Lover
          Shark Lover 21 December 2015 12: 33
          +2
          And there is no other way here. I do not know about the technological level, but the neighbors will overwhelm the mass scale, and the loss of 10-20 million for them is a blessing, overpopulation is wild. Pride and patriotism are excellently developed in them, this is immediately evident when communicating with the usual help. In Dalian there is a quarter in which the Japanese lived, so the houses are still empty there, the Chinese live there "zapadlo", the quarter is beautiful, comfortable. Most importantly, they are unpredictable, laughing and fawning in the face, spitting in the back. Difficult neighbor.
        5. silver_roman
          silver_roman 21 December 2015 12: 35
          0
          Considering our frail reaction with the Turks, I think it will not reach nuclear weapons.
          When there was a turmoil in Tamansky, the States warned the USSR that in the case of the use of nuclear weapons against the PRC, the states would deliver a nuclear strike against the USSR. heard such info, not sure if this is true, but very similar to that.
          In general, if the war begins on the Far East, then in fact, apart from nuclear weapons, we have nothing to answer in essence. Against the Navy of Japan or China, there is no chance at all. except to draw them deeper into the territory, but the sad thing is that there are no strong points in the depths. Our command post is located in Khabarovsk, this is generally on the nose of China. In short, all this is sour
          1. igorka357
            igorka357 21 December 2015 16: 25
            +1
            It’s sour that you even spelled the name of the island!
            1. silver_roman
              silver_roman 21 December 2015 16: 46
              -1
              Damansky ... forgotten corny.
              I think you do not make such mistakes. where ....
              but as a matter of fact neeeeee ???? or the spelling of the eye can still colitis? or the ensign "zhovto-blakitny" ???
              so do not be shy, open your eyes to the world!
              1. igorka357
                igorka357 21 December 2015 20: 51
                +1
                Listen to the "Silver Roman" before you post your messages for everyone to see, you need to reread them yourself, and the flag of ukraine does not hurt my eyes at all .. I will tell you more, my grandfather's name was Ilya Moiseevich Cherevatenko .. wink so why did you drag the flag here I don’t know, maybe it’s it that offends you request ? Regarding Damansky and Tamansky .. of course such mistakes hurt the eyes)), it is impossible to forget the name of Damansky Island!
                1. silver_roman
                  silver_roman 21 December 2015 20: 57
                  0
                  Quote: igorka357
                  It’s impossible to forget the name of Daman Island!

                  Well, then I did the impossible bully
                  maybe it somehow hurts you personally. I do not know. thank god my ancestors did not participate in that battle.

                  Quote: igorka357
                  Ilya Moiseevich Cherevatenko

                  sometimes there is "an apple from an apple tree ......."

                  Quote: igorka357
                  Before you post your messages on public display, you need to reread them yourself

                  Something I do not remember such a rule but the forum. ask the moderators to ban me!

                  I really didn’t understand the reason for your reaction, but God bless her.
                  1. igorka357
                    igorka357 21 December 2015 21: 43
                    -1
                    You try to infringe me, and get me crazy wink ? Yes, my friend, you just now look like a troll .. Unfortunately, you even begin to write with a small letter winked! And re-read your messages before sending are not the rules of the forum, but the rules of educated people wink !
                    1. silver_roman
                      silver_roman 21 December 2015 22: 31
                      0
                      I am trying to lead you on the path of adequacy! For completely unknown reason, you behaved ugly enough in my humble opinion, I would even say defiantly.
                      At the expense of the troll: I was on this site a long time ago and left a lot of comments, so by.
                      At the expense of education and grammar: to me your opinion is not important in this matter, I write so that you understand me. If you finally stop talking nonsense and start a normal conversation, then perhaps we will reach a consensus, otherwise I see no reason to answer you in the future. Just fill up your black list!
                      I hope the capital letters will bring you a lot of pleasure. Not too lazy, even re-read. hi
                      1. Scraptor
                        Scraptor 22 December 2015 11: 37
                        -1
                        Usually masers and not lasers. Do you both have (h) salags? I trudge with you! It is called who will fly first laughing Taman pov next
                2. silver_roman
                  silver_roman 21 December 2015 20: 58
                  0
                  bliiiin ....
                  forgot to reread my own message again fool
          2. The comment was deleted.
          3. Things
            Things 22 December 2015 00: 10
            +1
            Quote: silver_roman

            When there was a turmoil in Tamansky, the States warned the USSR that in the case of the use of nuclear weapons against the PRC, the states would deliver a nuclear strike against the USSR.

            State Department bullshit!
            At Damanskoye, the then secret "Grads" of the Chinese were turned into fertilizers, after that they were very docile for some time
            1. silver_roman
              silver_roman 22 December 2015 11: 27
              0
              to the account of Grad in the course. at the expense of nonsense - it is likely.
              one can only guess.
              I remember the bike was still going, they supposedly burned all the Chinese there with secret lasers.
              1. Things
                Things 25 December 2015 17: 02
                0
                Quote: silver_roman

                I remember the bike was still going, they supposedly burned all the Chinese there with secret lasers.

                This, again, the Chinese and Americans rumored in the media, because at that time they were really shocked by how fast (and figs understand what!) Russians chopped and ironed the Chinese provocateurs-invaders!
      2. afdjhbn67
        afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 06: 59
        +7
        Quote: Kibalchish
        But to have a right to one’s side, one needs strength

        The simple maneuvering between the interests of China and America is actually the two main forces .. (a wait-and-see attitude, following the example of China in Syria) there really are no other options
        1. IS-80
          IS-80 21 December 2015 08: 36
          -5
          Quote: afdjhbn67
          The simple maneuvering between the interests of China and America is actually the two main forces .. (a wait-and-see attitude, following the example of China in Syria) there really are no other options

          Be the first to hit. smile
      3. ankir13
        ankir13 21 December 2015 19: 51
        +1
        I agree, we need strength, but not with the forces ... We need to give birth more, like the Chinese at least. Earth is three times as much, but there is NO people .. Golnnye space for settlement Banzai. How many new cities have been laid down since .... Uh ... ancestors. ? in recent history? Tokmo reduction ..
    2. marlin1203
      marlin1203 21 December 2015 10: 19
      10
      Enough to frighten China and Japan with wars of conquest against Russia. China has not waged this kind of war for 500 years and in general will soon just buy everyone. Japan will not climb for the simple reason that an already rich state with "relaxed" and Americanized youth. In addition, he cannot afford new atomic explosions in his small territory, the old people still remember Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Neither country has an "umbrella" from our RVSN.
      1. Diana Ilyina
        Diana Ilyina 21 December 2015 11: 19
        +8
        Quote: marlin1203
        It’s enough to scare China and Japan with the aggressive wars against Russia.


        I have been following the publications of this Kabardin for a long time and came to the conclusion that he is just a provocateur, though veiled under the patriot! All his articles (especially about Ukraine and the Donbass) boil down to the tricky conclusion that Putin is not doing everything right, he is not introducing troops, he is applying the wrong sanctions, etc., but he knows exactly what Mr. Kabardin where and how to lead the country! We have seen such, others are already gone, and those are farther!
      2. igorka357
        igorka357 21 December 2015 20: 54
        0
        You don’t know the story, the great China, with its treatise of the winners of Sun Tzu, has for thousands of years already only been raking from everyone a little ..)))
  2. heal
    heal 21 December 2015 06: 44
    +5
    So, the Chinese Xinhua News Agency on December 17 published an article “Can Russia pass the test of strength against the backdrop of a difficult crisis?”, Which notes that the Russian Federation has come to a strategic impasse and a systemic crisis.

    How did the lovers of Putin jump with songs of joy about China’s ally?
    And what are the Chinese wrong?

    2016 will not be easy ...

    And the subsequent, at least 5 years, too. And taking into account the collapsed industry in the Russian Federation and the feverish discussion of oil prices by Putin, the government and other leaders, then 10 years.
    1. Amurets
      Amurets 21 December 2015 07: 05
      +8
      Quote: heal

      How did the lovers of Putin jump with songs of joy about China’s ally?
      And what are the Chinese wrong?

      Yesterday I drew attention to this publication and carefully read it in the local media. The fact that the Medvedev government causes dissatisfaction of the Chinese with their inaction in fulfilling the May agreements does not benefit Russian-Chinese relations. The link is in the results of the week.
    2. afdjhbn67
      afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 07: 32
      +2
      Quote: heal
      So, the Chinese Xinhua News Agency on December 17 published an article “Can Russia pass the test of strength against the backdrop of a difficult crisis?”, Which notes that the Russian Federation has come to a strategic impasse and a systemic crisis.

      How did the lovers of Putin jump with songs of joy about China’s ally?
      And what are the Chinese wrong?

      2016 will not be easy ...

      And the subsequent, at least 5 years, too. And taking into account the collapsed industry in the Russian Federation and the feverish discussion of oil prices by Putin, the government and other leaders, then 10 years.

      Putin and the government don’t have such a margin of safety and time .. Kim Jong-un
      And the article is a message to Putin - collaborate, not talk about cooperation ..
    3. atalef
      atalef 21 December 2015 07: 59
      +6
      Quote: heal
      How did the lovers of Putin jump with songs of joy about China’s ally?
      And what are the Chinese wrong?

      Yes, I posted an article from Xinhua. for some reason they didn’t let her through.
      http://newsland.com/news/detail/id/1661437/
      1. afdjhbn67
        afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 08: 31
        +5
        Quote: atalef
        Yes, I posted an article from Xinhua

        Hi Sasha, since this article passed as a rumor - probably everyone who has the Internet and the brain has read it ..
        for some reason they didn’t let her through.

        It’s scary to submit comments on it .. the administration will get tired of banning .. lol
        1. Stirbjorn
          Stirbjorn 21 December 2015 09: 19
          +2
          Quote: afdjhbn67
          It’s scary to submit comments on it .. the administration will get tired of banning ..

          If the article was western, then the patriots cheerfully declared that if they scold our government, then we are doing everything right. But as with the Chinese FIG knows what
          1. afdjhbn67
            afdjhbn67 21 December 2015 09: 47
            +5
            Quote: Stirbjorn
            If the article was western, then the patriots cheerfully declared that if they scold our government, then we are doing everything right. But as with the Chinese FIG knows

            That's why there is such an interest in her, because it is relatively objective ..
            And completely contrary to Putin’s message
      2. heal
        heal 21 December 2015 09: 42
        +1
        Quote: atalef
        Yes, I posted an article from Xinhua. for some reason they didn’t let her through.

        It’s strange why they didn’t miss it. The Chinese write everything right there.
      3. vadgen
        vadgen 21 December 2015 09: 50
        +7
        Yes, I posted an article from Xinhua. for some reason they didn’t let her through.

        No need to be misled. In the link you posted from the article of the Chinese agency itself, there are only two paragraphs, and the rest of the comments of some very dubious expert. And the discontent of the Chinese, in my opinion, means that they are not allowed to invest in the Far East, which I, as a resident of the region, I can't help but rejoice, because to create something serious, a slave must also be involved. power from China, and without this "happiness" we can somehow manage!
      4. saturn.mmm
        saturn.mmm 21 December 2015 09: 56
        +2
        Quote: atalef
        Yes, I posted an article from Xinhua. for some reason they didn’t let her through.

        Due to the devaluation of the Russian ruble among the Chinese, the trade balance goes from positive to negative, so they are furious, but there they will agree.
        I am more concerned about the Americans, why did they decide to sell strategic oil reserves when it fell in price, which is not logical.
        1. Loreal
          Loreal 21 December 2015 10: 04
          +1
          And what are your thoughts?
          1. saturn.mmm
            saturn.mmm 21 December 2015 11: 09
            +1
            Quote: Loreal
            And what are your thoughts?

            They probably invented an alternative form of energy, and they sell it as unnecessary.
            Or maybe there’s nothing more to fix the trade balance.
            1. Loreal
              Loreal 21 December 2015 11: 24
              -2
              And the Ministry of Atomic Energy of the Russian Federation is building a tsekel-tsekel everywhere the nuclear power plant is building in order to have time to beat off the grandmothers and if they are lucky to take more people off.
              Now I’ll dial 10 and put you a plus. drinks
              1. saturn.mmm
                saturn.mmm 21 December 2015 13: 34
                +3
                Quote: Loreal
                And the Ministry of Atomic Energy of the Russian Federation is building a tsekel-tsekel everywhere the nuclear power plant is building in order to have time to beat off the grandmothers and if they are lucky to take more people off.

                So in Fukushima, Rosatom did not rivet, there, according to the American project, it was done.
                Rosatom is one of the world leaders in the production of fuel rods, that's what they build for themselves, and God ordered it, they built it before the crisis, they build it during the crisis and they will build it after the crisis. This is a different plane.
                In 2016, the stock of oil will be sold, and in 2017, German gold and figs the Germans will take it until 2020, as I read about the desire of the Germans, I laughed.
                Quote: Loreal
                Now I’ll dial 10 and put you a plus.

                You don’t have to bother me.
                I didn’t give you cons if the ratings matter to you, it’s extremely rare to practice this, only for outright rudeness.
                1. Loreal
                  Loreal 21 December 2015 16: 50
                  0
                  There will be no demand for nuclear power plants either.
                  1. saturn.mmm
                    saturn.mmm 21 December 2015 18: 07
                    0
                    Quote: Loreal
                    There will be no demand for nuclear power plants either.

                    You tell the French that they produce at 70% nuclear power plants and about 20% in Russia and the United States.
                    Maybe when it does not happen, they build and put it into operation in this way. How many of them have closed in the US?
                    1. Loreal
                      Loreal 22 December 2015 10: 56
                      0
                      Well, while they give electricity what to close them?
                      Quote: saturn.mmm
                      and so they build and put into operation

                      very suspiciously and intensely build
                      Quote: Loreal
                      And the Ministry of Atomic Energy of the Russian Federation is building a tsekel-tsekel everywhere the nuclear power plant is building in order to have time to beat off the grandmothers and if they are lucky to take more people off.
      5. S_last
        S_last 21 December 2015 09: 56
        -2
        An article in Xinhua, and this is clear to everyone, is nothing more than the machinations of communist China against the growing power of Russia.
    4. The comment was deleted.
  3. Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 21 December 2015 06: 46
    +3
    It is an ungrateful job to engage in forecasting the future! And Russia has no other choice but to constantly struggle for its independence and territorial integrity. And, yes, but what year was simple for Russia?
  4. Platonich
    Platonich 21 December 2015 06: 53
    +6
    It seems that if we do not take urgent measures to improve the Russian economy, we will have a bit of a shit. Although even now the situation in Russia is very shitty - they surrounded us and were pretty, very tight! Moreover, the worst thing is that there is no strategic program to bring the economy out of the crisis. No one knows what to do next: even in 2016. Of all the provinces of Russia, 70-80% are subsidized. And it already looks like cranks !!!
    1. Cap.Morgan
      Cap.Morgan 21 December 2015 08: 53
      -1
      Well, what should be the program.
      Produce more meat and vegetables? Introduce production facilities? No program is needed here, and so everything is clear to me.
      We had cranes in the 90s.
      And now ... peer into the scattered faces of your housemates. Here is a true indicator of things.
    2. S_last
      S_last 21 December 2015 10: 06
      +4
      Why they don’t know, they even know very well. Will they do another question?

      “The main features and requirements of the basic economic law of modern capitalism could be formulated in approximately the following way: ensuring maximum capitalist profit by exploiting, ruining and impoverishing the majority of the population of a given country, by enslaving and systematically robbing the peoples of other countries, especially backward countries, and finally, by wars and the militarization of the national economy used to ensure the highest profits ”
      I.V. Stalin
      "Economic problems of socialism in the USSR." Op., T. 16, p. 181.
    3. The comment was deleted.
    4. alexej123
      alexej123 21 December 2015 13: 34
      +3
      Previously, 90% of the regions, except for oil and gas and Moscow, were subsidized. So what? The fact is that even though we are a Federation by name, this is not the case economically. Subsidized regions are subsidized from the federal budget, plus loans that will not be given back. This is not the point. And not even a drop in oil prices. The crisis is SYSTEM. "Krants" will be when the crisis - "devastation" - moves into the heads of people. The question is, what does the government intend to do to avoid "chaos in their heads"?
  5. Good cat
    Good cat 21 December 2015 06: 58
    0
    I guess that this is a slip of the tongue, but still, "I-52 bombers" are too much!
    1. Kibalchish
      21 December 2015 07: 01
      0
      Thanks, I’ll fix it now.
    2. Amurets
      Amurets 21 December 2015 07: 09
      0
      Quote: Good cat
      I guess that this is a slip of the tongue, but still, "I-52 bombers" are too much!

      Do not judge strictly, my keyboard layout can also fail. Russian "I" and English "B" on the same key.
  6. Aleksandr72
    Aleksandr72 21 December 2015 07: 08
    +7
    Regarding Asia and the strengthening of the US dollar - my comment is more likely not related to the article itself and the topic raised in it. But still, my opinion is that this cut paper, painted green with black and with portraits of the long-dead presidents, should be rejected for a long time. It's a shame for our native tenge:
    And now it’s 350 tenge for one green candy wrapper! Where are we going?
    I have the honor.
  7. inkass_98
    inkass_98 21 December 2015 07: 08
    0
    Quote: Kibalchish
    I-52 bombers

    Igor, what kind of beast is such an I-52? B-52 I know, B-2 I also know, E-2 is also there, although not a bomber, but I don’t know I-52.
    1. Kibalchish
      21 December 2015 17: 02
      0
      I celebrated my birthday on Saturday. Apparently too active.
  8. parusnik
    parusnik 21 December 2015 07: 21
    +5
    2016 will be a tough year .....And then 2015 was bright and festive ...
    1. atalef
      atalef 21 December 2015 08: 05
      -3
      Quote: parusnik
      2016 will be a tough year .....And then 2015 was bright and festive ...

      well known anecdote from Putin
      Putin began his response with a joke, which he described as "mossy."

      “Two acquaintances meet. One asks the other: "How are you?" He replies: "There are two stripes - black and white. Now black." They meet again in six months. "How are you?" - "Yes, again a black stripe." - "Well, it was the last time!" "Now it turns out she was white."
      1. saturn.mmm
        saturn.mmm 21 December 2015 10: 58
        +2
        Quote: atalef
        well known anecdote from Putin

        This joke can be told from Obama.
        1. atalef
          atalef 21 December 2015 12: 57
          +2
          Quote: saturn.mmm
          Quote: atalef
          well known anecdote from Putin

          This joke can be told from Obama.

          Of course it can, but Putin told him.
          1. saturn.mmm
            saturn.mmm 21 December 2015 13: 40
            +1
            Quote: atalef

            Of course it can, but Putin told him.

            Hear such from Obama.
        2. The comment was deleted.
    2. IS-80
      IS-80 21 December 2015 09: 24
      +4
      Quote: parusnik
      2016 will not be easy ... ..And then 2015 was bright and festive ...

      The harsh years go by, Fights for the freedom of the country!
      Others come for them, They will be the same difficult
      laughing
  9. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 21 December 2015 07: 22
    +5
    2016 will be a tough year ...

    Thanks for warning. And then I slept all 2015 and I don’t know what was happening there. Regarding the division of China and Japan by Russia, the author was clearly in a hurry.
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov 21 December 2015 07: 24
      +5
      Quote: rotmistr60
      Regarding the division of China and Japan by Russia, the author was clearly in a hurry.

      Kabardin constantly writes that Kitai is about to attack Russia.
      1. Kibalchish
        21 December 2015 07: 30
        +6
        I have never written this. You confused me with someone. Here Alexander Khramchikhin often really writes about the imminent attack of China on the Russian Federation.

        Personally, I do not believe that this is possible now. The invasion of China is generally possible only in one scenario - the critical weakening and collapse of Russia.
        1. S_last
          S_last 21 December 2015 10: 21
          -1
          Why should China attack Russia? We sell them 20% of Rosneft along with huge oil fields. We lease entire areas for timber cutting, mining, they have no reason to fight, it is not economically profitable.
          1. Ykrofashist
            Ykrofashist 22 December 2015 01: 03
            0
            FREE = better than CHEAP. Just maybe not ready yet
      2. IS-80
        IS-80 21 December 2015 09: 00
        +2
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        Kabardin constantly writes that Kitai is about to attack Russia.

        Perhaps. Recently, he was depressed in his writings to the impossibility. And the conversation about the fact that the main goal of the United States is China does not stand up to criticism at all.
        1. Voltsky
          Voltsky 21 December 2015 09: 23
          0
          You are partly right, the goal of the SGA is absolute domination, and pushing the PRC, Russia or Iran into the mud with a boot is just a step in the right direction. Whichever is easier, they will be strangled first, they tried to Russia, they seemed to have lost a couple of teeth, and now they stopped at 'we will meet later'. Now we decided to ask the PRC for a cigarette, it will be expensive to see.
    2. Senior manager
      Senior manager 21 December 2015 08: 59
      0
      China and Japan have strategic thoughts, like those of Fashington, to divide Russia. It has always been (for the PRC since the days of Chairman Mao). Therefore, the use of strategic nuclear forces, during the outbreak of conflict, is very likely. Moreover, it is necessary to apply it according to the governing body of manufacturers of regional chaos, the think tank, and it is not necessarily located in the States.
  10. Vyacheslav73
    Vyacheslav73 21 December 2015 07: 22
    +1
    Maybe finally China with its cunning ... will understand that only with the Russian Federation they are able to "move mountains" ... And separately, the only question is who will be the first and who will be the second ... hi
    1. Linkin
      Linkin 21 December 2015 08: 20
      0
      China itself is capable of turning mountains without help.
      And in economic terms, it’s like comparing a first-grader with a businessman, that’s for sure.
      1. Volzhanin
        Volzhanin 21 December 2015 11: 34
        +2
        Not able to.
        There are racial intellectual objective limitations.
        They can work, come up - no.
  11. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 21 December 2015 08: 07
    +6
    A Chinese proverb says, "God forbid you to live in an era of change!" We're out of luck. The spiral of change is spinning faster and faster. One thing pleases. Our country will not be torn light.
  12. Corsair0304
    Corsair0304 21 December 2015 08: 23
    -1
    The issue of population and the economic component of the Far East cannot but worry. This has been discussed for a long time and a lot. Unfortunately, apart from triumphant reports and Medvedev’s visit to the Kuril Islands, nothing significant happened. There were still exercises of the Marines on repelling the landing of the alleged enemy, but somehow inaudibly and not on a large scale.
    Meanwhile, overpopulated Japan is preparing for aggression by building helicopter carriers and training its marines, that China, no less densely populated, is looking in the same direction .... Only those who do not want to see this cannot fail to notice this. Maybe it was for them (Japan, China) that the phrase was uttered about the possible equipping of "Caliber" nuclear weapons? I don't really see anything else.
    Europe values ​​its security too much to poke into our territory, and their internal problems with migrants are now higher than the roof, but Japan-China is quite possible. What then do we oppose to the aggressor, if suddenly what?
  13. Cap.Morgan
    Cap.Morgan 21 December 2015 08: 46
    +1
    Then all retirees who still have Soviet diplomas of technical universities gathering dust in stacks of sheets of linen will have to get up to the machines.
    Since both Russia and the warring parties to enjoy tanks, guns, planes in thousandths of series.
    Meneger and lawyers are unlikely to distinguish the sleeve from the turbine.
    1. Wheel
      Wheel 21 December 2015 10: 58
      +3
      Quote: Cap.Morgan
      Then all retirees who still have Soviet diplomas of technical universities gathering dust in stacks of sheets of linen will have to get up to the machines.
      Since both Russia and the warring parties to enjoy tanks, guns, planes in thousandths of series.
      Still used to find those machines for which you can stand ...
      Everything has been "optimized" long ago, melted down and sold.
      This is on the one hand.
      On the other hand, putting people with Soviet diplomas at the machine tool is a waste of clean water.
      On the third hand, preparing a machinist from raw material takes a maximum of six months.
  14. Evgeniy667b
    Evgeniy667b 21 December 2015 08: 53
    +4
    I wonder what our leaders hope for? It can already be seen with the naked eye that the remains of the few remaining defense industry enterprises, such as the Omsk Tank, are being sought from us. They are trying to sell all the latest weapons produced, and only a few copies are delivered to the Russian army. The same S-400, in China, India still looms. You can list for a long time. It turns out that the Army and Navy, our main and only allies, are deliberately weakening. For what purpose and what is the role of the Guarantor in this? If Medvedev has repeatedly created negative precedents, then why is he still in power? What is happening now is a threatened period, so we must put together all our forces, mobilize the entire economy to achieve maximum security, otherwise our policy is simply a bluff.
    We are counting on winning some masses of dollars on the sale of weapons, but forgetting at the same time that these are "30 pieces of silver" for heavy losses.
    1. Cap.Morgan
      Cap.Morgan 21 December 2015 09: 18
      +2
      Tell me, if we are going to supply S400 complexes to China and India, then it will probably be not piece copies, but a series of dozens of samples. So someone should deliver them. So the industrial enterprises producing them will be loaded with orders? Or will rockets emerge from the air themselves? What kind of collapse of industry can we talk then?
      Something you do not fit.
      C400 is going to China.
      In the Russian Armed Forces - C500. With the best features. Have you been warned about this?
      It is not customary in the military sphere to publicize their plans widely. Necomilfo.
      We have probably had no better leader than Putin in recent years.
      Everything is relative. Putin gives the result. This result is visible, it is.
      Remember what state the country was in the late 90s and compare with the current situation.
      1. heal
        heal 21 December 2015 09: 47
        +3
        Quote: Cap.Morgan
        We have probably had no better leader than Putin in recent years.

        Come on. O_o

        Quote: Cap.Morgan
        Remember what state the country was in the late 90s and compare with the current situation.

        Remember what state the country was in 1980 and compare with the current one.
      2. Evgeniy667b
        Evgeniy667b 21 December 2015 11: 48
        +2
        Dear Sar Morgan, how do you imagine such a production? Human resources of the enterprise are limited, as elsewhere, one production line, and two or more contracts. Only in order of priority, and not otherwise. So again, we will deprive ourselves. As for the S-500, it seems to be as soon as tested, if it would otherwise be grateful for the link. As for China itself, it is the dominant country. When they need, they are adequate, smiling. If not, then remember the island of Damansky and Zhelanshkol.
      3. The comment was deleted.
  15. Cap.Morgan
    Cap.Morgan 21 December 2015 09: 07
    0
    There is another factor to trade with China.
    Market shuttle trade. It seems to go on the tourism column and nobody takes it into account.
    Meanwhile, everything in which we go is Chinese-made.
    And mink coats with Italian labels, too. So evaluate the volume of cooperation.
    The computer on your desk is also probably assembled in China. Not everything is so sad in our relations as some want to imagine.
    1. heal
      heal 21 December 2015 09: 38
      +4
      Quote: Cap.Morgan
      Market shuttle trade. It seems to go on the tourism column and nobody takes it into account.
      Meanwhile, everything in which we go is Chinese-made.

      But one should wear clothes of one's own production. But alas ...

      Quote: Cap.Morgan
      The computer on your desk is also probably assembled in China.

      And this is also not in favor of Putin's economy.
  16. Al_oriso
    Al_oriso 21 December 2015 09: 09
    0
    The fact that tension is growing everywhere has long been understood. Point flashes are very likely. Only there will be no global war, at least as long as there are no prerequisites for this. America will certainly squirm with its dollar, but what will come of it is the main question of 2016.
  17. Voltsky
    Voltsky 21 December 2015 09: 11
    0
    Kraine’s apocalyptic script, the author is clearly a fatalist, the Middle East TVD is on fire so bad, why should the Americans set fire to two ?! The Americans will not overpower the control of such a number of changes, and this is fraught with a big ahtung, very much even by the standards of Texas. IMHO Taiwan will be put on a leash so that they don’t play against the PRC, they will also heat up burma whenever possible, well, of course, the PRC will have fewer problems in the South China Sea ... But Japan will not be able to catch up by 2016, and without it the PRC will not you eat, so all the fun in 18-20 is expected.
    1. heal
      heal 21 December 2015 09: 39
      0
      Quote: Voletsky
      Well, of course, China’s problems in the South China Sea will be reduced several times ...

      or increase?
      1. Voltsky
        Voltsky 21 December 2015 09: 59
        0
        Well, of course, it will be added, if you can insert a stick into the wheels, stick a log, which would be for sure. Or maybe not, if the Chinese dragon gets scared and crawls back into the hole, China is not particularly interesting, but it seems to be more cold-blooded but less flexible than the Russian approach to business. If one door has been closed for the PRC, they are looking for another, and Russia first at the very least shams under the door, and then searches for another door.
  18. Nikolay71
    Nikolay71 21 December 2015 09: 39
    +1
    Sergei Pereslegin in his book "Hilbert's Desert" considered the scenario of a big war in the Far East with a simultaneous Japanese attack on China, Russia, Taiwan and both Koreas. So it was not without tactical nuclear weapons. And the Japanese are the first to use nuclear weapons, moreover, on their territory, to accuse North Korea and trample on it. So it seems that tactical nuclear weapons will be used in the event of a major war. And the scenario with the use of strategic nuclear weapons does not want to even consider, and senselessly.
  19. urapatriot
    urapatriot 21 December 2015 10: 15
    0
    As for China’s plans for our Far East, I’ll say this: China has the richest experience of defeats, lost wars and shameful capitulations. They remember this, and therefore do not really jerk. And forget - recall.
  20. VL33
    VL33 21 December 2015 11: 18
    0
    Nowhere to retreat! Which side you look at. And behind Moscow!
  21. Alexey-74
    Alexey-74 21 December 2015 11: 24
    0
    Both China and Japan are well aware of the consequences of the attack on the Far East. Both countries have large armies, but they have no experience in warfare ... Russia has shown that it is capable of quickly deploying large forces anywhere in the country and not only ... plus tactical nuclear weapons. The consequences have long been calculated by all parties and if everything was so bad I think the conflict broke out a long time ....
  22. Volzhanin
    Volzhanin 21 December 2015 11: 30
    0
    In the event of a serious upheaval, a massive nuclear strike against England and America is necessary. Otherwise, the world will never leave their chaos.
    It would be better, of course, to limit it to an Englishwoman, and to show the Americans what happens when the banks are confused.
    But the Japs are in vain straining - they have one of the few territories that can be lowered into the water with the click of a button!
    China can tuck into us only if the Russians in our territory do not remain at all, and this is unrealistic.
  23. pavelty
    pavelty 21 December 2015 12: 24
    0
    For some reason, the author’s companion is projecting Sino-Myanmar differences on the border (and they have always been), as well as from Bangladesh, to all of Asia, and Russia is also included in it ... too somehow everything is strained, obviously not from here we may have problems
  24. vladimirvn
    vladimirvn 21 December 2015 12: 33
    0
    As it does not sound cynical, war in this region is beneficial for us. Demand for oil and our weapons will increase. And we will help China wink , just as he is to us, with meaningful silence, well, it can be a supply of weapons, for a lot of money.
  25. seti
    seti 21 December 2015 13: 34
    0
    If the United States switches its activity, especially financially and militarily, to China, then for Russia this means a breath of fresh air - there will be nowhere to go for the Chinese except us. God forbid that they mate there for a long time. Then, on many issues, the Chinese will be more accommodating for us. Especially since they and our neighbors, as well as ours, to put it mildly, not really. So their complications, especially tensions with Taiwan, are good news for us.
  26. aviator1913
    aviator1913 21 December 2015 14: 07
    +1
    Whatever happens, the center of power will be either China or the USA. Another has not yet been given. Therefore, our main task is to get out of this crisis with profit. To be honest, I don’t give a damn which of them will turn out to be stronger, because in any case they are our competitors and not allies or fraternal peoples, therefore the maximum pragmatism in relation to each of the parties, who will offer more, who has more chances, etc. things. To betray the United States or China is no difference.
  27. ROMANO
    ROMANO 21 December 2015 15: 05
    0
    Quote: seti
    If the United States switches its activity, especially financially and militarily, to China, then for Russia this means a breath of fresh air - there will be nowhere to go for the Chinese except us. God forbid that they mate there for a long time. Then, on many issues, the Chinese will be more accommodating for us.


    I wouldn't count on that too much. After the shocks of the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution, China prefers the position of the "Wise Ape", watching from the mountain as the "two tigers" fight.
  28. Sir1966
    Sir1966 21 December 2015 19: 53
    0
    Quote: heal
    Quote: Cap.Morgan
    We have probably had no better leader than Putin in recent years.

    Come on. O_o

    Quote: Cap.Morgan
    Remember what state the country was in the late 90s and compare with the current situation.

    Remember what state the country was in 1980 and compare with the current one.

    I remember very well both the 80s and 90s. Yes, in the 80s the industry worked more stable and agriculture ... But this did not provide an abundance of different and good goods in stores. Of course, they wore domestic shoes and clothes, but by all means (cronyism, speculators) they tried to get something at least from the countries of the socialist camp. And there was no abundance in grocery stores. The most coveted word was "got it"! And the term "scarcity" was coined long before the 90s.
  29. Barnaul, Altai
    Barnaul, Altai 21 December 2015 20: 39
    0
    Wait 2015 to write off: I personally expect that Obama is "shark eating" in Hawaii. And this, you understand - oh, how all the cards will mix.
  30. Barnaul, Altai
    Barnaul, Altai 21 December 2015 20: 44
    0
    Quote: aviator1913
    Whatever happens, the center of power will be either China or the USA. Another has not yet been given

    so China is tied to the United States ... so hoping that China will "flourish" if the United States is blown away! Both "leaders" will then get problems over the roof ...
  31. ROMANO
    ROMANO 21 December 2015 21: 19
    0
    Quote: Sir1966
    I remember both the 80s and 90s.


    And in the 50s, so people in general were malnourished, did not have their own housing and, scary to say, personal Maybach-Lexus!
    Nobody argues with this. The question "somewhat" is different. Whom did the state support: a commodity producer or bazaar speculators, and who is ours? Where did organized crime "live" in the TOM state, and where does it sit now? When did the working majority feel freer and more confident in the future, then or now? When did we finally have more allies? ...

    To measure the well-being of the people, the economy and the state only by the degree of filling the "trough" is to deceive oneself and sing along to the thieves-oligarchs who have grabbed not only all state resources, but also the right to "public" opinion.
  32. mivail
    mivail 21 December 2015 21: 37
    0
    No one will attack us. Take a closer look at the conflicts that are unleashed by pinostan, in Libya the civil war, in Syria, too, in Ukraine, too, everywhere an internal conflict is inflamed. And we are being prepared for the same scenario. The war between China and Taiwan will also be essentially a civil war. Most likely the Americans will try to set a pack of their Pacific lapdogs on China, they will not be able to bite, but the trousers will be torn.
  33. Dimachrus
    Dimachrus 21 December 2015 22: 36
    +1
    The article certainly sounds like a panicky scent, but somehow a short news message popped up in my memory that was not particularly covered in various News sources about the fact that Comrade Schi officially allowed Chinese citizens to give birth and raise a SECOND child ... Maybe someone else heard besides me ???
  34. dmitrymb
    dmitrymb 21 December 2015 22: 52
    0
    Russia must remember lesson 1941 and keep gunpowder dry as never before !!!
  35. surrozh
    surrozh 22 December 2015 05: 39
    -1
    China has one and a half trillion dollars, it does not need to fight, just throw green into the world economy.