Military Review

Christina leaves, comes Mauricio. Has Russia lost an important partner in Latin America?

24
While the attention of the world remains chained to the Middle East and specifically to Syria, an event has occurred in the other hemisphere that is hardly worth ignoring. Speech on the official announcement of the final results of the presidential elections in Argentina. These results should not be overlooked, if only because recently Argentina has become one of the largest Latin American trade and economic partners of Russia, which resulted in a significant increase in trade turnover between the two countries.


Thus, over the past five years, the volume of mutual trade between the Russian Federation and Argentina increased by almost 27%. This is an impressive figure, given the well-known economic difficulties that have recently been faced by the Russian Federation. After the introduction of retaliatory sanctions of the Russian Federation against the EU, the USA and a number of other Western partners, Argentina became one of the major suppliers of agricultural products to the Russian market. Volumes of delivery of Argentine fish and seafood to Russia increased by more than a third in the last two years. But why Russia itself can not provide the domestic market with its own fish products? - this is a separate question ...

The overall level of trade remains at a modest enough level for countries such as Russia and Argentina (just over 1,5 billion dollars), but there were (before the same announcement of the results of the presidential elections in Argentina) there was every reason to believe that the substantial growth in bilateral trade would continue. Agreements were made on the supply of mineral fertilizers, ferrous metals, fuel, electric motors, and paper to Russia by Argentina. In the spring of this year, Moscow and Buenos Aires signed a memorandum of understanding and cooperation in the field of nuclear energy. Rosatom actually got the right to work on the construction of a reactor at the Argentine nuclear power plant. In addition, Russian companies have increased their presence in the market for the maintenance of hydroelectric power plants in Argentina.

Russia and Argentina have managed to increase the volume of military-technical cooperation. The Ministry of Defense of the Latin American country purchased helicopters from the Russian Federation (Mi-171Е) and sea tugs for the needs of the Air Force and Navy, respectively.

Now a real Mkhatov pause is hanging in the air, after the completion of which it is far from a fact that cooperation between Moscow and Buenos Aires will follow the same path of mutual benefit and adequate perception of each other - as real partners. I do not want, as they say, to say something unkind, but some concerns about the further development of Russian-Argentine contacts arise.

The main reason for these fears is that Christina Kirchner leaves the presidency of Argentina and instead of her, the candidate from the country's opposition party Republican Proposal, former mayor of Buenos Aires, president of the Boca Juniors football club Mauricio Macri, becomes the head of state. . 10 December he will take office.

Makri went to the second round of presidential elections, where he beat rival Daniel Scioli, representing the Front for Victory party - a political force headed by Christina Kirchner. As a result, Makri - 51 with an odd percentage of the votes, Scioli - 48,6%. This is despite the fact that in the first round Scioli scored more than the other votes (37,08% versus 34,15% in Makri).

The new president of Argentina is a man who, in fact, built his entire election campaign on the basis of contradictions with the party of Christina Kirchner and the candidate of this party, Scioli.

From the October statement by Russian President Vladimir Putin, in which he addressed Christine Kirchner:
Whoever wins, I expect, he will support the course you have taken to strengthen multi-dimensional partnerships with Russia.


It should be noted here that Vladimir Putin was somewhat cunning. Certainly, from the point of view of strengthening those very many-sided partner relations with Russia, the victory of Christina Kirchner, the continuer of the party course, would be considered more positive. After all, if Scioli won, one could at least be sure that the reversal of Buenos Aires’s relations with Moscow at 180 degrees is definitely impossible. But now there is no point in talking about what would happen if Scioli won, for the simple reason that he lost the election.

Where it is more relevant to consider the question of who is Mauricio Macri? As the saying goes, hoo from mr. Macri?

Christina leaves, comes Mauricio. Has Russia lost an important partner in Latin America?


If you follow his campaign promises and statements during the election campaign itself, you can catch the following trend: Makri is an ardent supporter of warming relations with the United States of America. His statements that he would return Argentina to the “world”, where the world means the USA and its allies, met with warm support among young people (voting in Argentina can be done from 16 years), thanks to which he received a majority in the elections. The young generation of Argentines, apparently decided that if there are slogans about friendship with the United States, the American banks will abandon their claims to Argentina, as a result of which, even with a relatively stable macroeconomic situation in the country, Argentina has repeatedly been declared or tried to declare bankrupt, hanging with pocket agencies default rating.

The main goal of Makri is that Argentina should not suddenly appear among the BRICS member countries, and the possibility of such membership has recently been talked about very actively. This goal seems to be pursued by the main foreign partners of the Argentine Republicans - the Republican Party of the United States, which, perhaps, more of the Argentine supporters of Macri rejoiced at his victory in the presidential race.

It should be noted that Makri also has what is called a grudge against the center-left political forces of the country - the forces of the outgoing president, Christina Kirchner. The fact is that at one time Macri, who is a representative of the Argentine oligarchy, was faced with the need to “actively share” with the state budget in the implementation of his business projects. The left-centrists demanded this of him, which clearly hurt the future president of the country. Is revenge planned? .. In fact - yes. Immediately after the election victory, Makri announced a revision of the attitude to the social sphere in the country, greater economic liberalization with an active search for foreign (first of all, of course, American investors).

But the intra-Argentine clashes themselves are not at all what is primarily interested in this situation. The main interest is how abruptly the course of the new authorities of Argentina will change, and there is almost no doubt that it will change. Of course, the policy of supplying the same shrimp or beef to Russia is not the aspect that the new leader of the country will review (he needs it? ..), but the issues of strategic partnership, including the energy and military-technical sphere, are hardly republican friends from the United States will be developed with Russia in the future, even if the Makri himself wants it badly ...
Author:
Photos used:
https://www.facebook.com/mauriciomacri
24 comments
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  1. ImPerts
    ImPerts 1 December 2015 05: 58 New
    12
    I have sad assumptions about Russian-Argentine relations in the future. It is very interesting how the revision of the agreements will be conducted and how much blood will be shed.
    1. Goga101
      Goga101 1 December 2015 06: 05 New
      +7
      ImPertz - “blood” - this is unlikely, just everything that was planned - will be quietly drained ... but it's a pity recourse
      1. ImPerts
        ImPerts 1 December 2015 07: 02 New
        0
        This is exaggerated. Can be replaced by nerves what
      2. venaya
        venaya 1 December 2015 08: 06 New
        +3
        Quote: Goga101
        "blood" - this is unlikely, just everything that was planned - will be quietly drained ... a pity

        For reference: Argentina alone is able to feed the whole globe with meat products, for example a goby (600 kg) they sell for $ 50, count yourself how many kilograms of beef can cost in our store in this case.
        1. meriem1
          meriem1 1 December 2015 09: 13 New
          +4
          Quote: venaya
          Quote: Goga101
          "blood" - this is unlikely, just everything that was planned - will be quietly drained ... a pity

          For reference: Argentina alone is able to feed the whole globe with meat products, for example a goby (600 kg) they sell for $ 50, count yourself how many kilograms of beef can cost in our store in this case.



          Wholesale price (with delivery to Russia) $ 2.6 kg.
          1. venaya
            venaya 1 December 2015 10: 34 New
            +1
            Quote: meriem1
            Wholesale price (with delivery to Russia) $ 2.6 kg.

            Agree, make good money. Therefore, we destroyed both the world's largest shipping companies themselves and the possibilities of their restoration, destroying the production of ships in shipyards, for example, recall at least Nikolaev in Ukraine.
        2. Gost171
          Gost171 2 December 2015 03: 09 New
          0
          Thanks for the information, I wonder where? Bychkov weighing more than 350 kg. , for sale, in general, no one is unprofitable. Yes, and they sell animals to a meat factory in a very peppy state with all the necessary checks. Live weight and cost of 1 kg-2-3 dollars. (live. weight)
        3. Gost171
          Gost171 2 December 2015 03: 09 New
          0
          Thanks for the information, I wonder where? Bychkov weighing more than 350 kg. , for sale, in general, no one is unprofitable. Yes, and they sell animals to a meat factory in a very peppy state with all the necessary checks. Live weight and cost of 1 kg-2-3 dollars. (live. weight)
      3. Misha Honest
        Misha Honest 1 December 2015 10: 34 New
        +3
        And so it is clear that it is the Yankees who pull Macri by the strings. Argentina was one of our strongest allies in Latin America under Kirchner and is likely to become one of Macri's most implacable opponents. We are slowly losing influence in Latin America ... recourse
    2. Sergey S.
      Sergey S. 1 December 2015 12: 10 New
      +5
      Quote: ImPerts
      I have sad assumptions about Russian-Argentine relations in the future. It is very interesting how the revision of the agreements will be conducted and how much blood will be shed.

      Thoughts are sad, that's right. There are several reasons.
      1. I can’t understand why, again, in Latin America, the state’s political course is reversed - in this case, from left to right ...
      In principle, in our opinion, this is practically a revolution, and there it is more or less calm ... There is hope in this too - it is unlikely that they will refuse from mutually beneficial contracts. But military purchases from Russia can be truncated, and this is very bad - Argentina does not yet have our equipment in such quantity that our relations are sealed with spare parts and service regulations ...
      2. This is a blow to the BRICS. This is an even more unpleasant fact. It is important how other members of the community react to this. Perhaps the BRICS will not suffer financially, but the political resonance will be used by the enemies on the slogan "Join the BRICS - lose the election."
      3. It is a pity, a beautiful woman left the political elite ....
  2. anfil
    anfil 1 December 2015 06: 11 New
    -3
    The Italian began to control Argentina, well, well, how bask: - "Wait and see, survive, find out, survive, consider." The same womanizer as Berlusconi, I think our Alfazamets will find a common language with him.
    1. Bayonet
      Bayonet 1 December 2015 07: 43 New
      +5
      Quote: anfil
      The same womanizer as Berlusconi,

      Yes, it's better than impotent! wink
  3. cap
    cap 1 December 2015 06: 25 New
    -3
    Maybe he is still a man, he will find the strength not to harness himself with the United States.
  4. Svarog5570
    Svarog5570 1 December 2015 06: 57 New
    +5
    So America will unfold in Argentina under the new ruler, all kinds of his company was sponsored, now it will pay for help
  5. inkass_98
    inkass_98 1 December 2015 07: 03 New
    +2
    It’s too early to make forecasts, time will tell. Changes in the foreign policy will be, this is understandable, but it is impossible to guess the degree of deviation. We will wait (C).
    1. U-96
      U-96 1 December 2015 07: 43 New
      +3
      Quote: inkass_98
      Foreign policy changes will be, it’s clear,

      dialectics) The Kirshnerov family has been steering Argentina for 12 years - first a husband, then a wife, it didn’t lead to anything good, there were only more problems. Regarding Argentinean exports to the Russian Federation, I think nothing will change - unions and agricultural producers will not give) Even during the junta, the "gorillas" did not quarrel with the USSR)
  6. ljvjdbr
    ljvjdbr 1 December 2015 08: 29 New
    +3
    It is necessary to continue cooperation with Argentina, to make every effort to establish contact with the new president. Water wears away the stone.
    1. U-96
      U-96 1 December 2015 09: 34 New
      +2
      Quote: ljvjdbr
      It is necessary to continue cooperation with Argentina, to make every effort to establish contact with the new president

      There is no doubt, of course, there are some levers for influencing Argentina, but the States can “make an offer ...” (hereinafter referred to as the Godfather)
  7. AID.S
    AID.S 1 December 2015 08: 33 New
    +1
    Quote: venaya
    For example, a goby (600 kg) they sell for $ 50

    Well, indeed, beyond the sea, a heifer-half-bird ...
    1. venaya
      venaya 1 December 2015 09: 05 New
      +4
      Quote: AID.S
      ... indeed - overseas heifer - half ...

      The temperature there is almost constant all year round, from all sides the oceans, everywhere only prairies, no corrals need to be built. The only problems are the delivery of the final product, specialized ships approaching the shore on which they organize a slaughterhouse, then freezing and transporting to all parts of the world. They say: "The true taste of meat can only be felt in Argentina."
  8. Zomanus
    Zomanus 1 December 2015 08: 45 New
    +5
    If the dude is initially ready to put the country under the United States,
    then there’s nothing to talk about. America is most likely
    and paid and pushed his advance and victory.
    No one knows how much we borrowed from him and, accordingly,
    how much will they have to forgive in the future?
  9. moskowit
    moskowit 1 December 2015 10: 28 New
    +3
    With Latin American countries it is very difficult to count on a permanent, friendly partnership. They are very tightly included in the sphere of political and economic interests of the USA. The rulers of states trying to take independent economic and political steps are quickly eliminated in any way, from the very peaceful "democratic" to the very bloody military ...
  10. dchegrinec
    dchegrinec 1 December 2015 11: 01 New
    0
    Each country primarily focuses on relations with its neighbors and world leaders. Argentina is no exception. It would be strange if the new president of Argentina immediately went to Russia, why would it? Such interactions as countries that are far from each other are often not from a “good” life, and in the case of Argentina, one could well think so. Argentina seems to even have delays in loans and bankruptcy problems. And the new leader, of course, wants to fix everything and give a "heat", especially after a female politician! But as often happens, few give heat and everything returns to normal. The case of Greece is in the face. So, ties with Russia will not be lost ..
  11. voyaka uh
    voyaka uh 1 December 2015 11: 27 New
    -5
    Charming Christina Kirchner ruined the economy, and for this the people flooded her.
    Sometimes ... winked
    But it will not be easy for a new one to crawl out of a hole. Therefore trade agreement
    will be fulfilled, I suppose.
    1. U-96
      U-96 1 December 2015 11: 59 New
      +1
      Quote: voyaka uh
      But it will not be easy for a new one to crawl out of a hole. Therefore trade agreement
      will be fulfilled, I suppose.

      undoubtedly. The reason for mutual sanctions is unlikely to arise) Unless, Rospotrebnadzor finds something in Argentinean beef, and even as recent events show, it (RosPN) should be politically motivated.
  12. chunga-changa
    chunga-changa 1 December 2015 11: 37 New
    0
    The Argentines have their own rake and they run on them under the strict guidance of America, like all other countries of the second or third world. A step to the right and left is immediately stopped, only jumping in place is welcome. It’s possible to get out of this disaster, Chile succeeded, a rigid dictatorship, control, the right owners. After some time, the people are weaned out of buzzing, getting used to work and not asking unnecessary questions.
  13. Jääkorppi
    Jääkorppi 1 December 2015 13: 25 New
    0
    South America is the United States courtyard, they do what they want there! The USSR, with the help of Cuba and the Sandinists, spoiled their blood, now, all is not thank God!
  14. evil partisan
    evil partisan 1 December 2015 14: 39 New
    0
    I suspect that in Argentina, the opinion of its president is much more important than that of Diego Armanda Maradona, the living legend of Boca Juniors and an idol of 100% of Argentines. And he is a notorious americophobe. Urgently to Maradon in politics! Give Maradona as President of Argentina.
    1. Nikotin13
      Nikotin13 2 December 2015 02: 32 New
      0
      no one takes this idiot for a long time
  15. Nikotin13
    Nikotin13 2 December 2015 02: 40 New
    0
    On elections: the main reason to vote for Macri was that during his presidency, the Boca Juniors football club won everything possible. Believe that for a country where football fans are the entire population of the country, this is a serious argument. There will be deterioration, people will take to the streets Nobody will endure ...