Transdniestrian border

Unrecognized Republic turns into a powder keg of Europe


In the Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Respublika, the opposition of the executive and legislative branches of power, as well as the president and the business community, is intensifying. No other contemporary conflict, including the Ukrainian and Syrian ones, threatens us with a direct clash with NATO in such an explicit form.

All the attention of the Russian political elite, the expert community and the media turned out to be focused on Ukraine and Syria. Few people paid attention to the information that Kiev and Chisinau sharply tightened the movement of goods across the borders with the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic. This is partly understandable: there is not yet shooting, and the scale of the problems seems incomparable with the Ukrainian or Syrian ones.

The consequences of the blockade


Meanwhile, the aggravation of the situation in Transnistria can lead to much more serious threats to Russia's national security than Ukrainian and Syrian problems combined. Indeed, the Operational Group of Russian Forces (OGRV) is deployed on the territory of an unrecognized state. It consists of a separate motorized rifle battalion of peacekeepers (about 400 people), two battalions of military unit No. 13962 - 1500 people (guarding the weapons depot and military equipment), a helicopter detachment and support units. Here, in the area of ​​the village of Kolbasna, is one of the largest weapons depots in Europe, left over from the times of the USSR. A significant part of the ammunition exported from these countries was brought here during the withdrawal of groups of Soviet troops from the German Democratic Republic, Czechoslovakia, and Hungary. In stock over 100 tanks, about 50 infantry fighting vehicles, more than 100 armored personnel carriers and 200 air defense systems, self-propelled anti-tank systems, Grad MLRS, a huge number of artillery guns and mortars, armored combat vehicles, nearly 35 thousand cars and automobile chassis, about 500 units of engineering equipment, 130 engineering wagons and 1300 tons engineering ammunition, 30 thousand assault rifles, machine guns and other small arms weapons. The number of ammunition (shells, bombs, mines, grenades, ammunition) exceeds 21 500 tons (430 settlement cars), more than 50 percent of them are overdue.

We cannot leave this region without our attention and guardianship if only because more than 150 thousand people from almost half a million people in Transnistria have Russian citizenship. Ensuring their security is the duty of the state, prescribed in the Constitution. If, as a result of sabotage or simply unqualified attitude to the stored ammunition, an explosion occurs, then in its consequences it will be comparable to the atomic bombing of Hiroshima or Nagasaki and it will be Russia who will be responsible for the consequences.

Under such circumstances, Ukraine and Moldova are taking steps to drastically reduce the transit of excisable goods from Transnistria and back. Meanwhile, it no longer borders with any states and does not have access to the World Ocean. Accordingly, the actions of the Ukrainian and Moldovan authorities can be the beginning of the establishment of a blockade of the region. You can argue about the legality of such actions. One important thing: Transnistria, such a blockade threatens economic disaster. The OGRV is also isolated from Russia.

Russia does not have a maritime message with Transnistria. Railway - through Ukraine - easy to stop at any time. Air - through it - has already been terminated, automobile - in fact, too. With further tightening of the transit regime on the Transnistrian borders, Russia may face a dilemma: surrender the region, admit defeat, or “punch” communication with all available measures, including the military, if other tools do not help.

The first option will mean accelerated integration of the PPR into Moldova with the probable inclusion of the latter in NATO and the subsequent increase in military threats of the Russian Federation, a sharp decline in the compatriots' prestige of the president, the government and the entire ruling elite, creating favorable conditions for destabilizing the social and political situation in the country fraught with a social explosion .

The military operation to create a corridor from the Black Sea coast to Transnistria will take place on the territory of either Ukraine or Moldova. In both cases, at the first stage, it will be quickly and successfully completed - Kiev and Chisinau have nothing to oppose to the Russian naval landing force. The corridor will be “broken through”. However, NATO’s military intervention in this case is almost inevitable, that is, it is a direct military clash between Russia and the alliance. In a short time it is impossible to create a powerful grouping on a limited Transnistrian bridgehead; NATO forces will have absolute superiority in forces. As a result, Russia will either have to recognize a military defeat in a limited conflict with NATO, which is fraught with disastrous consequences within the country, or expand the scale of the conflict, extending it to adjacent territories. The answer is obvious: a military clash in Transnistria is likely to expand intensively, gradually turning into a full-scale Russia-NATO war. However, the military potential of the Russian Federation is incomparably less than the western one. Thus, the risk of a conflict entering the nuclear phase is quite high.

In this regard, it is worth taking a closer look at the situation in the Transdniestrian MTS itself.

Nationalization course


According to sources from the highest echelons of the power of the unrecognized republic (which are completely trustworthy), an internal conflict is growing in Transnistria. The main line of delimitation runs between the executive branch headed by Yugene Shevchuk, President of the PMR, and the legislative branch, that is, the Supreme Soviet of the republic. Tension comes to an open confrontation in the media by the head of the republic and the business community, especially large organizations that form the majority of the Transdniestrian Moldavian budget through tax revenues and provide jobs for a significant part of the population.

Transdniestrian border

Andrei Sedykh collage

According to available data, the conflict began to develop most intensively from 2012, when, against the background of the global crisis, a sharp deterioration in the socio-economic situation in the republic became apparent. Significantly exacerbated the situation of unrest in Ukraine, culminating in the coming to power of strictly pro-Western figures and civil war. The president and the government of the PMR were quick to take urgent measures to increase the budget. The tax burden has been increased by more than a quarter from 27 to 34 percent. An extremely unpopular step was the increase in 1,7 times the tariffs for gas for industrial enterprises. Since the Transnistrian industry is distinguished by high energy intensity, this led to a full or partial shutdown of the metallurgical plant in Rybnitsa, Moldavskaya GRES, Rybnitsa cement plant. The result was a reduction in tax deductions to the budget, a reduction in jobs, an almost twofold decrease in foreign exchange reserves and the loss of markets for enterprises. Against this background, the government and the president of the PMR began to develop bills aimed at introducing public administration in privately-owned enterprises in the event of a suspension of their activities. A source close to the republic’s leadership, who wished to remain anonymous, argues that the executive authorities offered to the heads of operating private companies to proceed to conclude individual secret contracts for the payment of taxes and fees, which provides for the transfer of part of the shares to the treasury in exchange for a reduced gas tariff. In general, it can be said that substantially worse economic conditions are created for non-state enterprises. Gas tariffs for private traders are almost four times higher than in Russia. Transnistrian state-owned enterprises pay significantly less. In fact, in the Transdniestrian Moldavian Republic there is a hidden nationalization of economic objects, first of all large ones. As a result, begins to leave a serious foreign business, including Russian. Thus, Alisher Usmanov left the shareholders of the Moldavian Metallurgical Plant.

The situation develops incrementally. As a result of 2014, investments in the Transnistrian economy declined by 11 percent, and by the first half of 2015, they fell by almost 40 percent.

According to the said source, the proposal to abolish statute of limitations in criminal cases, which is contrary to world practice, significantly contributed to the increase in tension in Transnistria (especially between the executive and business). This initiative was made by President Yevgeny Shevchuk. However, this bill and some others were not supported by the Supreme Council of the Transdnistrian Moldavian Republic. In turn, the president is not in a hurry to sign the laws adopted by the Supreme Court. There is evidence that today more than 50 of such laws are waiting for their time (in excess of the deadlines determined by the PMR constitution). The Transnistrian Television and Radio Company, which was established at the initiative of the President, which integrated almost all state-run electronic media, extremely restricted access to them by deputies from opposition factions of the Armed Forces.

Relations between the executive branch and the leader of the Transnistrian business community, the private holding company Sheriff, whose leadership issued an open letter, accusing the ruling elite of violating the law and deliberately strangling entrepreneurship, entered the phase of open confrontation. In response, the president in a televised address to the residents of the republic on the First Pridnestrovsky channel actually challenged the entire large business of the republic: "Some oligarchs have the audacity to actually blackmail the government:" Do not give cheap energy carriers - we will dismiss thousands of people. " If you, the so-called businessmen, continue and continue to blackmail the state, intimidate people, then you will have to deal with law enforcement agencies of the MRT. ”

Many in Russia will praise Shevchuk for putting the oligarchs in place, but the collapse of the Transnistrian economy has resulted from all these conflicts. In the first half of 2015, the PMR GDP declined by 19 percent. Moreover, the volume of external gas subsidies to the republic on the part of Russia reaches 60 percent of GDP. Industrial production as a whole declined by 16 percent, and in the main export industry - metallurgy - by more than 50 percent. Particularly affected are public sector employees and retirees, whose income fell by 30 percent. The natural reaction was a sharp increase in social tensions. After all, it is necessary to take into account that in Transnistria, about half of the population is retired, and every second employed in the economy is a public sector worker.

The intensification of contradictions in the political elite of the PMR, combined with the aggravation of the conflict between government and business, inevitably contributes to the growth of problems, and external forces will not fail to take advantage. The complex impact of these negative factors on the very fragile social and political system of the Transdniestrian Moldavian Republic may lead to a social explosion with the consequent possible destruction of the statehood of Transnistria. With such a scenario, Russia faces a whole bunch of threats and problems.

Our actions


First of all, it is likely that the Moldovan authorities in case of social instability will try to do everything possible to regain control over the region. After all, for them it is a pass to NATO. And for the Russian Federation such an outcome is fraught with not just the emergence of the largest NATO bridgehead in the post-Soviet space, but also the fiery contact of the Russian OGRT with the troops of Moldova. It is unlikely that the Ukrainian authorities, or at least the militants of the Right Sector, will remain on the sidelines. Thus, the risk of the Russian-NATO military conflict is high.

But even if Chisinau does not dare to get involved in the Transnistrian conflict, the following serious threats will remain.

1. The seizure of weapons and ammunition in the warehouse at the Sausage Irregular formations, which will inevitably appear with the beginning of an open confrontation with the authorities (including on the initiative of external forces). This could lead to an armed clash of the RIA and with the subsequent accusation of Russia of interfering in the internal affairs of Moldova. Further, it is very likely that NATO will be included in the conflict.

2. To evacuate the forces of the OGRV and the weapons and ammunition depot to Russia, it is necessary from 2500 to 3000 wagons, that is, 50 – 60 calculated levels. Ukraine is unlikely to let them pass through its territory. And Moldova, probably, will not agree with the transit of Russian military cargoes to the Black Sea through its lands.

3. The inevitable humanitarian catastrophe that will arise in the PMR with the onset of the acute phase of the internal conflict will also require Russia to take immediate measures. We must not forget about the need to protect the investment of domestic commercial structures, which again is fraught with armed confrontation with the participation of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.

In this regard, it is advisable for our authorities to take emergency steps to stabilize the situation in Transnistria. First of all, it is necessary, with the help of mainly diplomatic and economic measures, to restore the unimpeded transit of humanitarian and economic cargo to Transdnistrian Moldavian Republic, that is, to provide conditions for its preservation even if the international situation aggravates. An equally important area could be the strengthening of inter-parliamentary ties between the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation and the Transdniestrian Supreme Soviet. Finally, the most important for improving the situation in the Transdniestrian Moldavian Republic will be a set of measures to eliminate the conflict in the political and economic elite of Transnistria. Russia has a large range of unique opportunities to influence the situation in the PMR, including informal means.

Stabilization of the situation in the problem region will require certain expenses. Perhaps some economists will rate them as substantial. However, the adoption of all available measures will prevent incomparably large losses from the likely conflict between Russia and NATO, as well as the victims among our citizens.
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  1. Mikhail Krapivin 11 November 2015 18: 37 New
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    As the Kremlin will decide, so it will be in Transnistria.
    1. Baikonur 11 November 2015 19: 03 New
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      It will be too late to decide when hemorrhoids come out already! then have to heal! And this is the time. And much more strength and means!
      Therefore, the author says (and I agree with him) that it is necessary to decide NOW! (and more precisely - YESTERDAY!).
      In the stage of prevention!
      1. serezhasoldatow 11 November 2015 19: 38 New
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        It turns out the author is pleased and Russian President Putin V.V. rests on his laurels. No rupture of rhetoric is necessary. The article is informative, but ...
        1. Oleg14774 11 November 2015 20: 11 New
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          -7
          Quote: serezhasoldatow
          It turns out the author is pleased and Russian President Putin V.V. rests on his laurels.

          With this article, you can simply, if the author is so smart, then why is he still not at the top !? On the dean lying, you can make a world revolution, just what kind of sofa, such a revolution
          1. WINovikov 11 November 2015 20: 41 New
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            One lying on the couch wrote articles, made a world revolution. He lied and added to the ice ax. But there is no world revolution.
      2. Vasek 11 November 2015 21: 40 New
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        Quote: Baikonur
        Therefore, the author says (and I agree with him) that it is necessary to decide NOW!

        And in my opinion, the author has absolutely no control over the issue.
        To begin with, the two “only possible” solutions he proposes are too pessimistic. It seems that the author is not aware that the non-aligned status of the Republic of Moldova is prescribed in the Constitution. Its change requires a referendum, and the majority of the population is against both NATO and Romanianization.
        Russia cannot throw everything on its own. Here I agree that no one but Russia will protect the peacekeepers, Russian citizens and Russian business, and no one will neutralize rusty ammunition except Russia. In addition, the “Sheriff” there finally lost fear, very much like the insolent Berezovsky-Gusinsky-Khodorkovsky.
        And here comes a third, more optimistic version: is it time to take advantage of the situation already existing in Moldova? Dodon and Usatii only have a little support and suppress their coming to power. Immediately fix the course on non-joining military blocs, economic orientation on the EAEU market and the rejection of pro-Romanian aspirations. What turns out? Anti-Transnistria with the wind blew away! It remains only to unite (there was already a delimitation) as during the times of the Union and to honestly and conscientiously work together over decades of established ties to the market of Russia, Kazakhstan, etc.
        The most interesting thing is that in this situation, Ukraine, with its "transit potential", is no longer needed. Although the port of Giurgiulesti is small, it will be able to provide import-export of the newly merged MSSR (of course, if the terminal is modernized).
        But, as the great Hasek wrote, man assumes, but God disposes ...
        1. Lexa-149 12 November 2015 22: 35 New
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          The author of the article expressed his vision of the question. There is a logic in his thoughts. However, your thoughts are quite logical and real.
          There is only one thing left - to appoint the one who would realize all this and then the Russian Federation would build a good "goat face" by NATO and URKAain in this region. Well, the economy of both states would go uphill.
          I think so.
          hi
      3. Sharikov.P.P 12 November 2015 15: 15 New
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        Domkom advised?
    2. SAXA.SHURA 11 November 2015 19: 57 New
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      Хорош людям голову морочить,там в Европе надоело мягко спать и сладко есть что-ли,какой попрет против России сейчас,не надо гнать порожняк,там у Путина и Шойгу поумнее люди сидят,вот они и решат,а Приднестровье хрен кто получит. Вот-так.
  2. dmi.pris 11 November 2015 18: 41 New
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    Well, the ruins will refuse power (and completely) to let in goods .. Then what? It remains only to put them in their place ... The fact that NATO will inevitably intervene is a controversial statement .. Isolate us - this is most likely, they’re not afraid of it .. Such more than once in our history. But we must protect our people!
    1. Alekseev 11 November 2015 18: 59 New
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      Quote: dmi.pris
      The fact that NATO will inevitably intervene is a controversial statement .. Isolate us - this is most likely, they are not afraid of it .. This has already happened more than once

      Yes, comrade Sivkov, although an academician and a military sailor, but his statement that NATO, for the sake of conquering Transnistria, would risk the well-being of Berlin, London and Paris - this is unlikely.
      On this score, in a simple way, in a manner uncharacteristic of him, illiterate, but, in general, true, Nikita Khrushchev spoke in the time, in my opinion, of the Berlin crisis.
      He asked his western opponents: will you fight with infantry, tanks? Three bombs on England, six on France and the deal with the end.
      Europeans remember the likelihood of such an outcome, and they are not at all comforted that they, too, can use nuclear weapons.
      They are not kamikaze. request И not the last they have features. They have something to lose and where to retreat to a much greater extent. than us.
      Moreover, after a graphic demonstration of the attacks of cruise missiles in Syria ...
      1. Alex_Rarog 11 November 2015 19: 48 New
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        Согласен с вами, не станут натовцы лезть в молдовию, да и за руину им тоже впрягаться проку нет! Поноют мол имперские амбиции кремля.... санкций новых кучу ввидут... Но вот огребать точно не полезут! Пример тому Сирия все они против Асада, но только нам сказать не че не могут, кишечник слабоват.
    2. Persistent 11 November 2015 19: 40 New
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      NATO will inevitably intervene laughing

      What is NATO now ?? - A handful of states each with its own bureaucracy and with its own interests !! While they gather ... They will consider (what will they have and whether it will be profitable), the transfer is a lot of time ... Ours will already be on the banks of the La Mancha !!!
      1. Secta haki 12 November 2015 09: 10 New
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        intervenes - sniffs the atom ...

        The blockade is an act of war, Russia intervenes to forestall a humanitarian catastrophe in this way, or first officially recognizes the TMR - countries blocking transit there, and it must be ensured under international treaties on landlocked countries, commit an act of war, and receive it in response.
      2. Secta haki 12 November 2015 09: 35 New
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        In the case of maintaining limited databases, it is quite possible to provide a corridor for escorting humanitarian and military convoys through Budzhak and Odessa region, as well as parts of Moldova adjacent to the Dniester. To begin with, destroying the known BW batteries, air defense divisions, and strike aircraft at regional aerodromes (or only their runways) of one or two well-known countries with which the PMR has a common and blocked border ...
    3. Zoldat_A 11 November 2015 22: 49 New
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      Quote: dmi.pris
      Well, the ruins will refuse the power (and completely) to let in the goods .. Then what? It remains only to put them in their place ... The fact that NATO will inevitably intervene is a controversial statement ... Isolate us - this is most likely, it’s not worth fearing ..

      If Ukraine completely blocks the delivery of goods, they are unlikely to do anything - they have already done so much nonsense to spite us - think, one more. But on the "partners" we always have something to give.

      I apologize for the repetition, yesterday I wrote only on a different occasion -
      I don’t remember for what reason, but something else under Bush Jr. America bucked. So then ours did not hesitate to do the only thing that America does as easily as it breathes - to mix politics and economy. Banned the import of "Bush's legs." Not even banned, but threatened. And - oh, a miracle! - America is right there in the stall! And she herself forgot what she kicked!


      And now there is something they can step on the bells with, and they can talk with Ukraine - a snap of their fingers - and Porosenko will forget what he said yesterday.
  3. uhu189 11 November 2015 18: 42 New
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    Finally, at least someone remembered about Transnistria! And then the food blockade of the Crimea was at least a little remembered (and even then not for long), but no one spoke about the food blockade of Transnistria in the media. Now only Syria is in the tapes. Distraction policy applies to all 100. And the paradox of the situation is that it turns out that the fate of the Shiites with the Alawites is more of a concern to us than compatriots ...
  4. Andrey Draganov 11 November 2015 18: 46 New
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    It is necessary to prepare a revolution in Khokhlobyl-Dylostan to raise a rebellion in Odessa and other areas where the Benderasts have not yet managed to crush humanity. And then to develop the offensive of the DPR and LPR. Only in this way we will avoid the stalemate. It will be very difficult to do something with diplomatic steps.
  5. alkur 11 November 2015 18: 50 New
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    The mechanism is debugged, take in the composition!
  6. PQ-18 11 November 2015 18: 54 New
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    In the Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Respublika, the opposition of the executive and legislative branches of power, as well as the president and the business community, is intensifying. No other contemporary conflict, including the Ukrainian and Syrian ones, threatens us with a direct clash with NATO in such an explicit form.

    I DIDN'T UNDERSTAND THIS passage !! ...
    Зачем НАТО этот головняк ?!
    if in Transnistria there is an internal tear, then ... as the Kremlin says, SO, and ...
    WHY why blow up the snot with a bubble. When (for Russia) are there MORE IMPORTANT and HOT points ?!
    Article - PANIKERSKAYA, pumping up unhealthy hype "out of the blue"!
    Sit, work, DO NOT JUMP ... Russia DOES NOT DROP YOU! angry
    1. Buffalo 11 November 2015 19: 08 New
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      Trepach!
      You try, live in Transnistria, which is in complete blockade. "Work ..."!
      Where will you get the products later ?! Where do you get raw materials and components ?!
      Quote: PQ-18
      I DIDN'T UNDERSTAND THIS passage !! ...

      Change your brain!
      1. PQ-18 11 November 2015 19: 16 New
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        Move X to Russia and DO NOT bang your brains with your CP-Dniestria!
        DO NOT want, then - go storm Chisinau and establish Russian power in it!
        Clouds are gathering over Russia, but here several acres of Bessarabia, the Lei cannot share among themselves ...
        Move (to Russia) or .. RELAX silently in place at the will of the enslaved you!
        1. Weyland 12 November 2015 00: 41 New
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          Quote: PQ-18
          Move X to Russia


          Exactly what on X! Relocate and homeless? How much is housing in Transnistria and how much - in Russia? Russia (yes, yes Russia is YOU, but we did not elect and re-elect this EBN! am ) meanly betrayed 25 million Russians, and now does nothing for them - and all of these “Programs for Immigrants” are complete BOB!
        2. The comment was deleted.
    2. vsoltan 11 November 2015 19: 18 New
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      PQ-18

      Yes, a normal good article, in vain you are. Not all the same screaming "Hurray!" ... you need to evaluate all the options.
      1. Denis DV 12 November 2015 04: 00 New
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        Article is bad negative
        The lack of URA has nothing to do with hi
    3. aleks700 12 November 2015 05: 55 New
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      I DIDN'T UNDERSTAND THIS passage !! ...
      Why does NATO need this bogeyman ?!

      I need it. Get in. A year and a half ago they would not have climbed, but now they will climb. And the Guarantor knows this and does not twitch.
  7. mitrich 11 November 2015 18: 55 New
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    Punching corridors, the last thing, is fraught with complications, increased sanctions. But about the war with NATO and the nuclear apocalypse, this is nonsense of inflamed consciousness. Nobody will fight for Moldova.
    It is necessary to change the government in Moldova, such as the purple revolution, to pro-Russian, the situation now contributes to this. And it will be cheaper, it’ll be better than to beat the corridors and the consequences of this.
  8. maxim1987 11 November 2015 18: 58 New
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    for me, so many don’t have boobs without creating New Russia from Bender to Kharkov and / or returning this territory to Russia, this porridge will boil and sometimes burn
    1. max702 11 November 2015 21: 58 New
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      Quote: maximNNX
      for me, so many don’t have boobs without creating New Russia from Bender to Kharkov and / or returning this territory to Russia, this porridge will boil and sometimes burn

      Дело в том что этого для кремля маловато и в случае такого раздела МЫ очень сильно проиграем, в лучшем случае кремль согласен на потерю галиции и то в самом крайнем.. Щас тихонько без особых ( что были бы в результате вмешательства ВС РФ в конфликт) разрушений руинда доходит до нужной степени зрелости чтоб потом упасть к ногам РФ "ну возьмите нас .. мы больше не будем!" Посидят в холодной, голодной глядишь мозги и зашевелятся. Вы скажите это цинично и бесчеловечно , да есть такое ощущение, но вот опыт прежних времен показывает что рвать рубаху за брата как бы не очень правильно .. Не ценит это никто , а наоборот обвиняют во всех бедах .. Так что все сами , да с нашей помощью и поддержкой но сами..
  9. viktor561 11 November 2015 18: 58 New
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    The blockade of Transnistria certainly exists - but the peacekeepers there under the UN mandate - and to save the peacekeepers, the Russian Federation has every right to use force - that is, to break through the humanitarian corridor and not a single NATO will blather
    1. Lelek 11 November 2015 19: 16 New
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      Quote: viktor561
      break through the humanitarian corridor



      How do you imagine that?
      1. viktor561 11 November 2015 19: 27 New
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        From Crimea to Tiraspol there is only one transition - and that they will shoot at blue helmets - all the thugs in the ATO in the east, and if they start to shoot, then Ukraine will sign a sentence
  10. Horly 11 November 2015 19: 01 New
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    Just don’t need again tales about the NATO invasion because of the internal conflict in Moldova - in fact, the main message is read between the lines of the article - they don’t allow the Russian and their oligarchs to withdraw (steal) money quietly. Here the danger is that Romania can intervene (moreover, not as a member of NATO, but on its own initiative), and then it will be complete ... oops. The author forgot to recall that in addition to Russian passports, Transnistrians also have Romanian passports from Moldova, and by the number of them no less!
  11. zekaze1980 11 November 2015 19: 03 New
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    I do not envy and sympathize with the Prednstrovites. I think that economic and social growth will not come there soon.
  12. kav669 11 November 2015 19: 03 New
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    I suppose military action is inevitable. What are the consequences? That’s the problem
  13. Buffalo 11 November 2015 19: 13 New
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    The situation in Transnistria was also worsened by the Russian authorities themselves, who forcibly replaced the leadership of Transnistria (with threats and bribery), which at one time defended this land in battle. They set up a liberal imperfection, and here we are reaping the benefits.
  14. viktor561 11 November 2015 19: 14 New
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    About the corridor - this is normal and there is reason - only this must be done instantly and on a serious occasion - winners are not judged, and protracted conflicts lead to victims and sanctions (the example of South Ossetia, or the seven-day Israeli war) - everything quickly shut up, and protracted wars attract all vultures ready to profit
    1. max702 11 November 2015 22: 03 New
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      Сдается мне что и планы и карты нужные готовы и лежат до поры до времени, глядя на операцию в Сирии и " военторг" в северном габоне, есть ощущения что в штабах таки научились планировать и организованно проводить эти планы в жизнь..
  15. Lenin 11 November 2015 19: 20 New
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    Honestly, we relaxed a bit, and forgot because of other conflicts. But we must not forget, because there are a number of Russian well-wishers who want to rekindle the armed conflict in Transnistria.
  16. AdekvatNICK 11 November 2015 19: 20 New
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    sorry for the militia Minsk dogs. they didn’t allow us to break through the corridor to Transnistria. when such an opportunity will still be.
  17. CheByrashka 11 November 2015 19: 21 New
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    There is something to think about. In any case, the solution will be multi-way. The main thing is that in the end the game was won with minimal losses.
  18. kasperian_1 11 November 2015 19: 23 New
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    Transdniestria cannot be handed over, no matter what happens in the region, control over Transnistria should remain in the hands of Russia
  19. steelmaker 11 November 2015 19: 25 New
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    And what can orange revolutions only suit pindas?
  20. Indifferent 11 November 2015 19: 27 New
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    If you believe Sivkov, then all of our weapons are guarded by a pair of 70-year-old grandfathers with berdanks!
    2000 military of our army, and even the DPR army are quite capable of standing up for themselves. Neither the Moldavians, nor even the Ukrainians in the West have really combat-ready units. And if the battles begin, I’m sure that the rest of our army will be tightened.
    Do you really think that because of the flea of ​​Moldova, the United States will start an atomic war?
    1. Vasek 11 November 2015 22: 04 New
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      Quote: indifferent
      Do you really think that because of the flea of ​​Moldova, the United States will start an atomic war?

      Due to the flea of ​​Bosnia and the even more flea Danzig, the two most bloody wines in history began ...
      1. Oleko 12 November 2015 00: 11 New
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        Васёк (6) SU  Сегодня, 22:04 ↑ Новый



        Quote: indifferent

        Do you really think that because of the flea of ​​Moldova, the United States will start an atomic war?

        Due to the flea of ​​Bosnia and the even more flea Danzig, the two most bloody wines in history began
        Quote: Vasek
        Quote: indifferent
        Do you really think that because of the flea of ​​Moldova, the United States will start an atomic war?

        Due to the flea of ​​Bosnia and the even more flea Danzig, the two most bloody wines in history began ...

        But not nuclear. Atomic war - the death of civilization. This is well known to both the Yankees and we. Nuclear weapons - the very last argument before death.
        1. aleks700 12 November 2015 05: 59 New
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          But not nuclear. Atomic war - the death of civilization. This is well known to both the Yankees and we. Nuclear weapons - the very last argument before death.
          So this one will not be nuclear. Russia will not use nuclear weapons because of Transnistria, and it’s not enough to keep other means.
      2. The comment was deleted.
      3. Weyland 12 November 2015 00: 45 New
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        Quote: Vasek
        Due to the flea of ​​Bosnia and the even more flea Danzig, the two most bloody wines in history began ...


        Do not confuse occasions to wars with their reasons!
      4. The comment was deleted.
      5. The Chat 12 November 2015 13: 10 New
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        Quote: Vasek
        Because of the flea of ​​Bosnia and the even more flea Danzig, the two most bloody wines in history began ...


        This is an occasion, not a cause of war. You can always find a reason for war (casus belli), and the reasons are usually more fundamental ....
    2. Victorio 11 November 2015 22: 20 New
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      Quote: indifferent
      If you believe Sivkov, then all of our weapons are guarded by a pair of 70-year-old grandfathers with berdanks!
      2000 military of our army, and even the DPR army are quite capable of standing up for themselves. Neither the Moldavians, nor even the Ukrainians in the West have really combat-ready units. And if the battles begin, I’m sure that the rest of our army will be tightened.
      Do you really think that because of the flea of ​​Moldova, the United States will atomic warfare?

      ====
      but economic, informational? the question is how long the locals have the patience to live in such conditions. business so far only grumbles, and then? 1
    3. Victorio 11 November 2015 22: 20 New
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      Quote: indifferent
      If you believe Sivkov, then all of our weapons are guarded by a pair of 70-year-old grandfathers with berdanks!
      2000 military of our army, and even the DPR army are quite capable of standing up for themselves. Neither the Moldavians, nor even the Ukrainians in the West have really combat-ready units. And if the battles begin, I’m sure that the rest of our army will be tightened.
      Do you really think that because of the flea of ​​Moldova, the United States will atomic warfare?

      ====
      but economic, informational? the question is how long the locals have the patience to live in such conditions. business so far only grumbles, and then? 1
  21. zoknyay82 11 November 2015 19: 34 New
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    The entire burden of unraveling the knot will now fall on the Foreign Ministry and Comrade Lavrov. Personally, I do not see a military solution to this problem.
  22. Anchonsha 11 November 2015 19: 34 New
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    May our overseas partners not allow us to settle diplomatic or political measures to provide a humanitarian corridor like Moldova, let alone Ruin, and no matter how we would have to break this corridor by military operation. And this is really fraught with conflict with the United States and NATO. But something needs to be chosen, and we still cannot avoid a conflict with the NATO military.
  23. 1536 11 November 2015 19: 35 New
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    Somehow it is necessary to plant your own government, at least in Moldova. Even at the price of a bridge across the Kerch Strait. It’s time to talk with the black man in his language, since he still doesn’t understand the other, which means that the neutralization of the actions of the American embassy in Moldova is the first priority. But who is thinking about this now ..., I agree with the author.
  24. serezhasoldatow 11 November 2015 19: 44 New
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    They are rightly doing that they do not attract attention to Transnistria. Not time, comrades, not time !!!
    1. kartalovkolya 12 November 2015 08: 10 New
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      It reminds a remark from the comedy "Irony of Fate or Enjoy Your Bath": "... something quite a while ago Ippolit did not appear ...!"
  25. Strezhevchanin 11 November 2015 19: 45 New
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    Нужно не оценивать а просчитывать и это уже сделано, вопрос лишь в том насколько хватит ума у заморышей. Я думаю что реакция будет мгновенной и что-то мне подсказывает что положение америки как и европы будет намного хуже того, на что они рассчитывали.
  26. Yeraz 11 November 2015 20: 06 New
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    I don’t understand. And why did the author decide that Moldova and Ukraine would not let the output of such huge Russian equipment through their territory ??? On the contrary, they would be happy that they would get rid of heavily armed Russian soldiers at their side in both countries.
  27. gop
    gop 11 November 2015 20: 14 New
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    Quote: Yeraz
    And why did the author decide that Moldova and Ukraine would not let the output of such huge Russian equipment through their territory

    greed
  28. kartalovkolya 11 November 2015 20: 37 New
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    I don’t know about you, but I began to "stir up" from this "vomit" article! And who needs it, because of the crazy "Svidomo" and not very smart Moldavian "gentlemen" to let Europe "spray"! Yes, it will be cooler than ours, so to speak, William Shakespeare and somewhere on a level with Jules Verne, so to speak! Well enough to scare people, he is already more than once puffed up, and here are new forecasters and analyzers (it seems from the corresponding laboratory for the study of urine and feces)!
  29. gladysheff2010 11 November 2015 20: 41 New
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    I hope that this direction is supervised by people who think not only in tactics, but also in strategy, not only in politics, but also in military affairs. Thanks to the author for reminding me of the presence of a problem region!
  30. galakt 11 November 2015 20: 52 New
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    There is a feeling that they really want to warm up this point. But the Ukrainians still nothing luck.
  31. VadimSt 11 November 2015 21: 03 New
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    Correct and timely formulation of the question. If today, Russia is trying to "tax" even at the level of Olympic sanctions, then certainly they will not miss the chance to use more substantial and effective military-political benefits. Moreover, the United States, in this situation, will have a wonderful moment not only for rallying the entire Western force against Russia, but also again doing everything with the “alien hands” - with the hands of the Europeans and under the vigilant leadership of NATO, i.e. USA!
    So, to be baptized .. take action, you need now. And then, with us Russians are always like this - until a man on a mountain whistles, a man crosses himself.
  32. chunga-changa 11 November 2015 21: 06 New
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    This is a cunning plan, or the liberals are to blame.
  33. sailor roman 11 November 2015 21: 08 New
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    I believe that the internal problems of Transnistria with the help of Russia can be resolved, Europe and the United States are now “hard”, Russia, China and Iran have created so many problems for them in Syria, Ukraine, the Far East, and the Persian Gulf that in the next 2-3 years they will not they will be able to actively intervene in Transnistria as well, except to make a small contribution, to outbid part of the upper echelon, but this is fixable if one does not "clap one's ears".
  34. bumerang. 11 November 2015 21: 32 New
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    This is what bothers me the most:
    Thousands of ISIS fighters arrived in Odessa - expert

    The militants of the Islamic State terrorist group banned in Russia were brought to Ukraine from the Middle East to fight against militias.

    This was written by the portal "Russian Spring", citing a member of the expert group of the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (RISI) in Ukraine Yegor Kvasnyuk.
    “The number of Islamist militants is growing on the line of contact between the DPR-LPR and the former Ukraine. We see that Islamists from the Middle East are being brought to Donbass in order for them to fight. However, these people do not know how to do anything else, ”said Kvasnyuk.
    According to him, the number of terrorists in southeastern Ukraine is growing and has already reached several thousand.
    According to Kvasniuk, the militants cross the border with Turkey, then head to Romania, from where they arrive by sea to Ukraine. A large number of terrorists are now in Odessa.

    “My compatriots from Odessa confirm that many dark-skinned, typically Arab faces appeared in the city. These residents of the Middle East are suspiciously short in Odessa. We arrived, visited somewhere, did something - and then went off in an unknown direction, ”explains a member of the RISI expert group on Ukraine.

    http://tvzvezda.ru/news/vstrane_i_mire/content/201511010846-t4qv.htm
    The fact that the Ishilovites will come to Ukraine I have no doubt, since the same gang, but what they will do in Ukraine is not known. Although ... for some reason, Poroshenko signed a decree on the adoption of citizenship by foreigners fighting in Ukraine.
  35. samarin1969 12 November 2015 00: 09 New
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    Konstantin Sivkov’s quite reasonable proposals ... the resource of economic pressure on Ukraine is still almost not working: to completely close the market, to close air and sea corridors in response to the water, food and energy blockade of the Crimea, to press the "lamination" of coal trade .....

    In Ukraine, in terms of sanctions, fantasy is already turning into senility, and Russian sanctions are only waiting for "POLITICAL WILL" ...
  36. Ryazan62 12 November 2015 00: 17 New
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    Ребята, современным тем, кто не из СССР и родился в республиках уже пох до начала, России, им бы заработать чтобы не сдохнуть. Политика глобальная там не решает. Там решает кусок хлеба и надежда проснуться завтра. Нужно продумывать более глобальную тактику, чем "напали" , "отстояли", "наши и ненависти". До австро-Венгрии - все наши. И все, кто думают, что наши - тоже наши. Глобально воевать никто не будет сегодня- факт. Но!!! Нужно вертать СССР обратно как был - факт. Хоть и спорят на западе, но они же сделали ЕС. А это по сути тоже самое. Почему бы и нам не возродить, а? Пока не умерло поколение тех, кто там жил и понимал зачем.
  37. Weyland 12 November 2015 00: 34 New
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    A military operation to create a corridor from the Black Sea coast to Transnistria will take place on the territory of either Ukraine or Moldova. In both cases, at the first stage, it will quickly and successfully end - Kiev and Chisinau have nothing to oppose to the Russian amphibious assault. The corridor will be broken. However, NATO’s military intervention in this case is almost inevitable, that is, we are talking about a direct military clash between Russia and the alliance.

    And the Georgians thought so. And svidomye too ... laughing
  38. Balagan 12 November 2015 02: 52 New
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    It’s hard to imagine a complete blockade. With West Berlin, the issue was resolved diplomatically. I think it can also be decided here, although the geyropets and mattresses can be fooled by evil Russians.
  39. maikl50jrij 12 November 2015 04: 48 New
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    I read the article and the sediment is not good. Hysterically defeatist. According to the article, wherever you throw, there’s a wedge everywhere ... A wedge is knocked out with a wedge. Of course, internal disagreements, blockade, interest of external forces .., all this is not gut! Something new is emerging in the Moldovan region. Maybe something combined, or maybe two neoplasms. I am more inclined to unite. Under our strict guidance. The article discusses NATO intervention in any scenario ... I have vague doubts. As an example, dill and Syria. Such problems should be approached with a cold head and not shout that everything is bad!
  40. iliya87 12 November 2015 08: 38 New
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    My personal opinion is that the article is about nothing. The author took several excerpts from the previously described situation in Poland and, on the basis of this, began to make proposals on what and how to do. Rave. Anyone can write such articles for 5 pieces a day on various topics from military to environmental.
  41. alex-pmr 12 November 2015 10: 57 New
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    It is believed that the author is generally incompetent in the issue reflected in the article ... The article is truly defeatist
    Excerpt: "More than 100 tanks, about 50 infantry fighting vehicles, more than 100 armored personnel carriers and 200 air defense systems, self-propelled anti-tank systems, MLRS Grad, a huge number of artillery pieces and mortars, BRDM ..."
    Какие танки, какие БМП? Все танки,БМП и почти все БТР, минометы были порезаны в начале 2000 г., вся остальная артиллерия (САУ) вывезена на территорию РФ, где была просто брошена в "специально оборудованном" поле, под открытым небом... Там же и вертолеты. Миротворцы вооружены лишь стрелковым оружием, да несколько "полужевых" БТР-70... Единственная сила так это армия ПМР, у которой еще кое что есть из артиллерии и несколько танков (Т-64)... Это во первых. А что касается противостояние, то его могло и не быть, если бы РФ не бросила все на самотек... Народ ПМР уже 25 лет ждет, что РФ наконец-то примет волевое решение и признает Республику, поэтому и сопротивляется возврату в состав Молдовы. Однако, Россия держит этот регион на "коротком поводке". Отпускать не отпускает, но и не приближает. Признавая территориальную целостность Молдовы, дает какую-то абстрактную надежду на признание Республики...
  42. AlexJN 12 November 2015 15: 57 New
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    Express your opinion at http://golos-naroda.ru/golosovanie.php?poll=101 about what Russia should do in the event of a complete blockade of Transnistria