Days of madness

The recent intensification of hostilities in the Donbass can surprise only those who do not fully understand the logic of what is happening or have not particularly followed the events for some reason. Those who at least know about the evolution of regimes similar to modern Kiev, just nod - they have long known everything. The science история unequivocally tells us about dozens of similar dictatorships: they all had an extremely limited shelf life and about the same final. And they always resorted to means of delaying the final similar. The Ukrainian regime in this regard remains almost a textbook specimen, recognizable and predictable to the indecency.




Some time ago, with the onset of a relative lull in the Donbass, in the rest of Ukraine, a political bounty hunting season opened. Opposition of all stripes massively attacked the incumbent president, and Poroshenko, in turn, clumsily tried to clear the clearing around himself. Stories with Korban, UKROP, and other disloyal subjects are just the tip of the great fight that has unfolded in the vast Square. And if we add to this the chaos in Odessa, where the redistribution of the most profitable property is taking place, and the Kolomoisky group of ashes, the situation looks quite depressing. No, we are not talking about losing the control of the country, but this happy moment is just around the corner. If the war with Donbass still somehow supported the fragile unity of the elites, then the “truce” threatens to finish it off completely, because without reports from the fronts the deplorable state of the country is increasingly striking. For example, as predicted earlier, Ukrainian oligarchs exported far more grain abroad than even the most incorrigible pessimists could have imagined. This means that soon the country is waiting, no - not hunger, but a tangible rise in price of food in addition to the increased utility bills.

With military victories also wondered. Although Minsk-2 as a result must transfer the Donbass into the hands of Kiev, the dates are all shifted and shifted, and now the commander of the Azov Biletsky blames Poroshenko for the surrender of Donbass to Putin.

Generally, Peter Alekseevich not envy. He can not fully fight. On the one hand, Europeans are twisting his hands, who are vitally interested in the resumption of normal trade relations with the Russian Federation after the lifting of sanctions. On the other hand, the industry pumped up, which was unable to provide the release of new military equipment in the required quantities. The army, which has been sitting idle in trenches for months, gradually loses its offensive outburst and decomposes. The punitive battalions, which were supposed to prop up the military in the form of detachments, themselves became the source of endless problems.

But it is impossible not to fight, because as a peacetime leader, the incumbent president was completely incapacitated. If the “world” lasts long enough, then this fact will become obvious to everyone and Poroshenko will face an extremely unenviable fate.

The real way out for the Ukrainian leader is the resumption of low-intensity hostilities in the Donbas, which we are seeing these days. And this will continue until Moscow realizes simple truth - the Ukrainian regime is a constant threat, as long as it exists at all.

If we talk about Americans, then Poroshenko is needed as a stabilizing element of all this explosive mass, which gives it a kind of controllability. As soon as he cannot serve as such an element, he will be immediately written off. Washington does not care who will lead Ukraine — oligarchs, Nazis, or field commanders following the example of African Somalia. The main thing is that it creates problems for Russia. In this sense, "casino is always a winner."

In a sense, the military aggravation in the Donbass that began these days is also the reaction of the Americans to Putin’s actions in Syria, so here Poroshenko and his curators from across the ocean have a complete coincidence of interests. The discrepancy may be different - the United States may not organize a sluggish campaign, and then the president will be required to launch a large-scale offensive of July 2014 or higher. The reasoning of some observers and bloggers that after the demobilization of forces for the offensive Nezalezhnaya no longer looks strange. Even if we take it as an axiom that Kiev will not be able to capture the remnants of Novorossia at once (which, by the way, is not at all obvious), then it has everything necessary for victory in a limited but critical area. Military experts have long been calling the most likely direction a blow from Volnovakha towards the Russian border, upon reaching which Ukraine will immediately announce a ceasefire and next peace initiatives, and the DPR and LPR will be cut off from the sea with the prospect of a complete defeat of the coastal group. Let us pay attention to the fact that the APU and the National Guard are now more than equipped for such an adventure. Moreover, judging by recent exercises, the land part of the invasion will be propped up aviation, which almost fell out of the war from the spring-summer of last year. It is also important how Moscow will respond to the treachery of its neighbors - a decisive and merciless blow to the advancing columns or the next Minsk agreement.

Well, in the end a few words about the Crimea, to which Kiev’s attention will inevitably switch after a hypothetical victory in the Donbas. The gloomy genius of Ukrainian nationalism continues to generate the most wondrous plans for the peninsula. They could be ignored if excerpts from the meetings of such parties were not later found in the state programs of Ukraine. One of the fresh incarnations of the thought is that the Russian-speaking citizens themselves should return the Crimea to Ukraine through an uprising. Say, dissatisfied with rising prices and bureaucracy, the inhabitants of the peninsula themselves will revolt, hoping to return everything, as was the case in Ukraine with the restoration of Kiev power. Note that the authors' hope is for the very citizens who are later planned to be assimilated / evicted / exterminated according to other “cunning plans”.

This perverted logic has a rather weak rationale - the inhabitants of the peninsula compare the current realities with Ukraine under Yanukovych. But Ukraine today is a little like Ukraine Yanukovych, who will never return. I want to believe that Crimeans understand this.
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  1. svp67 4 November 2015 06: 44 New
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    For many Ukrainians, the main thing is that the next “change” has come, but they do not understand that these “changes” are steps not up, but into the abyss ...
    1. USSR 1971 4 November 2015 06: 56 New
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      No wonder. Overseas you yourself understand who from the white house will not leave the topic of Ukraine alone, you need a constant focus of instability at our borders. I feel sorry for people, again hostages of politics.
      And to understand where there is overpower, and where zrad no one is going to. A bunch of armed gopot from the territorial punitive battalions is not controlled by the authorities. The time will come and Poroshenko will be in their place of Yanukovych. There is a contingent with which it is possible to resolve the issue only as in Syria.
      1. Sid.74 4 November 2015 08: 25 New
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        Korban - Che Guevara of the Ukrainian Revolution: what a revolution, such a Guevara. laughing
        1. Bijo 4 November 2015 12: 45 New
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          Quote: Sid.74
          Korban - Che Guevara of the Ukrainian Revolution:
          1. Kos_kalinki9 4 November 2015 17: 47 New
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            Quote: Bijo
            Quote: Sid.74
            Korban - Che Guevara of the Ukrainian Revolution:

            but what is this Che Korban with the epaulettes of the marshal and the stars of the Hero of the Soviet Union? Have you flipped over or a Cossack mishandled?
            1. Bijo 4 November 2015 20: 23 New
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              I apologize, there were no others; chamomiles have recently been introduced.
          2. Company 4 November 2015 22: 02 New
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            Semen Mikhailovich Korban bl .... wassat
          3. Company 4 November 2015 22: 02 New
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            Semen Mikhailovich Korban bl .... wassat
  2. The comment was deleted.
  3. Name 4 November 2015 07: 05 New
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    "..You won’t envy Peter Alekseevich ...", because Kerry hinted that Ukraine should give Donbass a special status ... Here are the IMs and the “hedgehog out of the fog” crawled out.
  4. aszzz888 4 November 2015 07: 12 New
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    In general, you cannot envy Peter Alekseevich. He can’t fight fully.


    Petska from Roshen, only moonshine is good to eat, like a bull slop! laughing
    1. bondarencko 5 November 2015 22: 21 New
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      "The son is a drunkard! This is such a rage in a Jewish family! (Adjutant of His Excellency)
  5. Shiva83483 4 November 2015 07: 23 New
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    The gloomy genius of Ukrainian nationalism continues to generate the most marvelous plans for the peninsula. They could be ignored if extracts from the meetings of such parties did not later appear in the state programs of Ukraine. One of the fresh incarnations of thought - Crimea should be returned to Ukraine by Russian-speaking citizens themselves through rebellion. They say that the inhabitants of the peninsula, dissatisfied with the increase in prices and the bureaucracy, will revolt themselves, hoping to return everything, as was the case in Ukraine with the restoration of Kiev power. We note that the authors have the hope of those same citizens who later, according to other "cunning plans", are planned to assimilate / evict / destroy.
    Yeah, the captain of the chekushka dellirrum has tremors — moreover, it’s an extreme stage. The orderlies ay, the patient is panicking violent and free ... MANDATORY. laughing
  6. rotmistr60 4 November 2015 07: 24 New
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    Russian-speaking citizens themselves must return Crimea to Ukraine through rebellion

    Extra confirmation that not everything is in order with the Ukrainian heads (although there are plenty of confirmations). They rush from one extreme to the other without even thinking how to achieve the unreal.
    1. zennon 4 November 2015 11: 27 New
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      Quote: rotmistr60
      Extra confirmation that not everything is in order with the Ukrainian heads (although there are plenty of confirmations).

      Well, why? A sound thought. Follow the logic-As a result of the blockade in Crimea, the hedgehog rises in price and the unfortunate Crimeans in a single rush of keen love for the ridiculous nenka demolish the hated m.s. th regime, falling to the chest of the great dill people. Everything is logical.
  7. samarin1969 4 November 2015 07: 39 New
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    “It is important how Moscow will respond to the treachery of its neighbors - a decisive and merciless blow to the advancing columns or the next Minsk agreement.”

    .........
  8. Alexander 3 4 November 2015 07: 42 New
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    Rather, Ukraine will join the Crimea than Crimea to Ukraine. And they understand this, but they are so zombie and angry at all. Their heads live a separate, invented life.
  9. Nagaibak 4 November 2015 07: 52 New
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    "Although Minsk-2 should ultimately transfer the Donbass into the hands of Kiev."
    I do not agree with this phrase. Minsk-2 is essentially the surrender of Poroshenko in the negotiations. In my opinion, Germany and France are tired of this mess and they force Petya to peace. If the author read the document, then almost everything is stipulated by the magic phrase ACCORDING TO SEPARATE DISTRICTS OF THE DONETSK AND LUHAN REGIONS. AND DESCRIBED STEP-BY-STEP WHAT TO DO. THEREFORE, THE PETA WILL CLEAN THE MOST FROZEN, THAT WOULD NOT HAVE BETTER TO FULFILL THOUGH THESE AGREEMENTS BAS MERKEL PRESSES HIGHLY. Control over the border will be ..... BUT, and by agreement.))) The militia of the LDNR, consisting of 1 and 2 army corps, will also be in place.)))) In what hands and who passes the Donbass?))) Economically, the Donbass already reoriented to Russia. If Ukraine brings again to an armed large-scale conflict ... then the result is predictable, Ukraine in the form in which it will not exist and this is understood in the West and are trying to freeze the conflict. Even the Uses do not need to be afraid to lose everything at all, and it reached them.
  10. smith7 4 November 2015 08: 20 New
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    What will Moscow answer? If nothing? How do they relate to GDP ratings? Somehow uneasy from the unknown. Rumor has it (only rumors) that serious changes have been planned in the Russian government at the end of November. If the permutations are effective, then this will begin to work no earlier than March. And if it will be really effective, then we will "tighten our belts" by eight years. In order for a truly popular government to win in the Donbass, it is necessary that in Moscow the Government get rid of the proteges of comprador elites.
  11. Vladimir71 4 November 2015 08: 32 New
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    Yes, Ukraine is facing an increase in prices. And it’s in full swing ...
  12. Riv
    Riv 4 November 2015 08: 41 New
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    The author’s logic is somewhat reminiscent of “War and Peace”. Do you remember? "Erste to the column marshir ... Give the column marshirt ..." And the author somehow forgets that the enemy also has troops and he can even control them. Breakthrough to the border at Volnovakha? Is there anything you need? Great, they will even be missed. There will be another boiler with extremely unpleasant consequences for the APU, and artillery will add laurushki to this boiler from Russian territory. A truce is not enough. It is also necessary for the enemy to agree with this.
  13. Voha_krim 4 November 2015 08: 43 New
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    Well, in the end, a few words about the Crimea, which Kiev will inevitably switch to after the hypothetical victory in the Donbass.

    How environmental “pests” “mine” the Kerch bridge

    http://www.politnavigator.net/kak-ehkologi-vrediteli-miniruyut-kerchenskijj-most
    .html
  14. bulat 4 November 2015 08: 45 New
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    Korban, honey! Where did you get that?
  15. Yuri Y. 4 November 2015 08: 49 New
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    In general, you cannot envy Peter Alekseevich. He can’t fight fully.

    As far as I understood, Orthodox dill (especially at the beginning of the conflict) was simply not allowed to win in order for the conflict to flare up and draw Russia in. Here, by the way, the brave actions of Strelkov’s actions. Now, if active actions begin, then of course, to support the ideology of the regime and hysteria there, they will try to get military victories. Or even eliminate the DNI and LC, because hysteria has developed and strengthened. Those. the clash will be tougher and more uncompromising. To continue the conflict, they have Crimea, or rather, its absence. Therefore, in the Donbass it is strictly forbidden to allow even a hint of any success on their part.
  16. parusnik 4 November 2015 09: 37 New
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    And this will continue until Moscow realizes a simple truth - the Ukrainian regime is a constant threat, as long as it exists at all.... In Moscow, they realize ... therefore they will not send in troops as the author wants .. This is the simplest solution, but with the most serious consequences for the country .. No matter how fascistic the Potroshenko regime was, but for the West and the USA "democratic" regime..A "democratic" regime for the West, this is a sacred cow that will not be allowed to slaughter ..
    1. Russia 4 November 2015 10: 41 New
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      .A "democratic" regime for the West is a sacred cow that will not be allowed to slaughter ..

      she must die herself!
      1. Kos_kalinki9 4 November 2015 17: 51 New
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        Quote: Rossi-Ya
        .A "democratic" regime for the West is a sacred cow that will not be allowed to slaughter ..

        she must die herself!

        That’s when everybody drops out to the last drop then they let him die. But I am afraid of this process for a long time. So far, you’ll take out all the black soil.
  17. Mountain shooter 4 November 2015 10: 38 New
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    Poroshenko’s regime will bury itself. Peremoga had already taken place. Meat for 100 hryvnia per kilo! This is in Ukraine, in / in which a good salary is 5000!
    And a distinct sobering-up appeared. A little more, and enlightenment will come. Surviving in Dill is increasingly difficult.
    1. zennon 4 November 2015 11: 34 New
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      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      Surviving in Dill is increasingly difficult.

      Oh, come on! Why cliche. Yes, there are some temporary difficulties. But a little more and visa-free regime in your pocket! Modest women and hard-working, sober men from dill flood into the geyropa. They can be torn out with their hands. And maybe not only with hands ...
      1. pts-m 4 November 2015 13: 29 New
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        the cough in the geyrop will not differ much from the current refugees. their prayer .... give and give freebie as much as possible. I don’t see the difference between them. For example, the film 90x Brother 2. own crime, your own mov and piss them on local laws.
  18. Vega 4 November 2015 11: 03 New
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    Poroshenko cannot end the war (if the world is needed by anyone), he cannot start to raise the country either ("friends" will not allow it), and he cannot unite people into a circle. But he can listen to “friends” and steal, and this requires war and instability.
  19. bad
    bad 4 November 2015 11: 20 New
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    "The army, which has been sitting idle for months, gradually loses its offensive impulse and decomposes. The punitive battalions, which were supposed to support the military in the form of detachments, themselves turned into a source of endless problems" ... did they have morale? Turn in the back is it now called an offensive rush from the detachments? .. armed, always drunk, chopped, and uncontrollable herd of which 5–10% are adequate .. the best part of the dill was ground .. the scum remained.
  20. sagitta25 4 November 2015 13: 17 New
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    I don’t understand why write something about Ukraine? Let them do what they want. What few of their problems? He China will soon capture the whole of Siberia, you need to raise the economy. Why is that Ukraine needed? That you already forget about it, there is enough of your land which needs to be developed. Already pretty fed up that Ukraine !!!
  21. pts-m 4 November 2015 13: 23 New
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    the stinkers are still struggling to unravel the mystery phenomenon ... the pear (Crimea) hangs and cannot be eaten. but they did not try to swallow the light bulb, and then they cannot do without a traumatologist (Russia).
  22. Xenos 4 November 2015 14: 25 New
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    A big problem usually requires the simplest solutions ...
  23. SKR-1135 4 November 2015 16: 50 New
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    The Nazi regime in Kiev is an infection. And you can’t agree with the infection
  24. misterwulf 4 November 2015 17: 06 New
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    This perverted logic has a rather weak rationale - the inhabitants of the peninsula compare the current realities with Ukraine under Yanukovych. But Ukraine today is a little like Ukraine Yanukovych, who will never return. I want to believe that Crimeans understand this.


    We have lived with this scum for 23 years and we know what and with whom and whom to compare. And perfectly, “as before,” we are tracking that Achtung that takes place at Perekop.
    Do not consider us inferior.
    1. zennon 4 November 2015 21: 57 New
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      Quote: misterwulf
      Do not consider us inferior.

      Well, you, no, of course. hi
  25. Good cat 4 November 2015 17: 59 New
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    A hole for you from the public, not the Crimea!
    1. kotvov 5 November 2015 20: 35 New
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      A hole to you from the public, not the Crimea! ,,
      I’ll add, and they won’t receive the republic.
  26. misterwulf 4 November 2015 18: 13 New
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    Dead Donkey Gorges!
  27. prawdawsegda 4 November 2015 21: 06 New
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    Gentlemen, healthy Ukrainians, when the war ends and there will be peace, you will need free labor to rebuild the economy. Make lists of Bandera, current law enforcement officials, corrupt magazines, science fiction historians, warriors from the U.S., etc. You know better. Wake up faster. Morning is coming soon!
    1. THE_SEAL 5 November 2015 14: 18 New
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      Ukraine has never lived independently normally. Only as part of Russia. Now they only have to go but bow to the Tsar of Moscow as in the Middle Ages or during the Northern War.
  28. aba
    aba 4 November 2015 23: 35 New
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    One of the fresh incarnations of thought - Crimea should be returned to Ukraine by Russian-speaking citizens themselves through rebellion.

    Everything is clear: when you can’t do it, you need to have a chat, but Ukrainians simply carry the blizzard - they do it masterfully even without acting on thought processes.