So, we have two main facts:
First, Russia wages war in the Middle East
Secondly, the Supreme Commander has the right to use troops abroad.
These two facts add up to a new reality in which we all have to live in the near future: the war in Syria against ISIS has become Russia's entry point into a qualitatively new stage of post-Soviet development. The start of the bombing in Syria is an introductory chapter to the history of the Third World War, which began to spin not yesterday, but almost immediately after the collapse of the USSR.
The best thing you can do in a new reality is to develop your own attitude towards it. You can support the decision on the war in Syria and enjoy the evening chronicle of the victories of the Russian weapons on federal channels. You can condemn this decision and consider that a new Afghanistan is waiting for us in Syria ... No matter how you think, the reality will not change: Russia is leading the war, and now anyone connected with Russia is the enemy of ISIS. So far, only for ISIS.
It is today LIH seems to be something far from the TV. However, in the new reality, each of us is separated from ISIS only by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Nothing, except Russian weapons, does not stand between each of us and LIH.
ISIS is a brand. Below it, federal television denotes everyone who is considered the enemy of Russia in the Middle East. A year and a half ago, the collective image of the “Right Sector” emerged - an armed scumbag excited by Ukrainian nationalist ideas and animal hatred of Russians and Russia, so did the ISIL brand.
War is always creating an image of the enemy. You can be a pacifist thrice, but if you live in a country that is fighting a war, then you automatically become an enemy for the enemy of your country. And you can even not consider him an enemy - he considers you as such anyway. And believes that you must be destroyed.
The black and white military picture of the world is much simpler than the “multi-valued” peaceful one. Gradually, our picture of the world will be built from “ours” and “enemies”, because the psychology of the masses does not work in a different way.
This division into camps will inevitably affect all states and societies that suffer from Russia. Although in the Eurasian Union and the CSTO the status of all participants is equal and sovereignty is respected, but it is clear that both Belarus, and Kazakhstan, and Armenia, and Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan, having joined the defense alliance with the Russian Federation, identified themselves in the same camp with it and its citizens.
Each world war is preceded by a period of blocking and creating alliances. Thus, the First World War began after two camps were clearly defined - the Entente led by Britain and the Triple Alliance led by Germany. The situation was similar before Napoleon's invasion of Russia. In fact, it was not France who attempted to defeat Russia. This is a huge alliance of peoples and states, including Poland, Prussia, Austria and others. Fought against Russia, which was supported by England.
The open war of the Russian Federation in Syria is just a statement of the fact that Russia is ready to create pre-war alliances. Which, incidentally, immediately changed reality. So, Caspian cruise missile launches flotilla can and should be considered the day of the formation of a real military alliance between Moscow, Tehran and Baghdad. Because the missiles, in order to get into ISIS, passed through the airspace of Iran and Iraq. That is, in fact, Tehran and Baghdad gave the green light to Russia's use of its space to fight against a common enemy. This is the real military alliance, and not what they sign at round tables and discuss at conferences.
A key task for Russia will be the verification of all its military alliances, which were concluded in peacetime. And the main tests are waiting for the CSTO, which includes Kazakhstan, Belarus, Kyrgyzstan, Armenia and Tajikistan.
The war with ISIS is not just a war between Russia and terrorists. Today, ISIS is fighting in 500 kilometers from the Armenian border. A large number of citizens of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Kazakhstan are fighting in the Middle East in the ranks of ISIL. Today, taking on the costs of the war in Syria, the Russian army defends the interests of at least Astana, Bishkek and Dushanbe. And if we consider that all the CSTO participants are under the nuclear shield of Russia, then we can say that the moment of truth has come for all the post-Soviet republics. Because it’s one thing to sign treaties and say beautiful words about eternal friendship, but it’s quite another to take part in a war with a common enemy. Moreover, today it may be ISIS, and tomorrow there will be new ones.
This means that the CSTO allies are forced to decide here and now in relation to the actual alliance of Moscow, Tehran, Baghdad and Damascus. In the event that the CSTO allies do not join the new alliance, the viability of the CSTO itself will be on the agenda. Because today you refused to stand shoulder to shoulder with the Russian army, and tomorrow the Russian army refused to protect you. Because it is not clear whether it is possible to count on allies who are ready to maintain neutrality even in relation to ISIS terrorists.
A review of all military alliances that the Russian Federation has attempted to make since 1991 should be carried out as soon as possible. Because the army of the Russian Federation must protect only those frontiers that are recognized by the territory of historical Russia - not the one that emerged from the privatized RSFSR, but the Russia that was the Russian Empire, the Soviet Union, and now is being transformed into the Eurasian Union. And with its borders, accordingly, you will also have to decide: either defend the recognized borders, or expand existing ones. The third is not necessary. This is the true meaning of the beginning of the war in Syria.