Back in the distant 2012, after Russia conducted the Moscow velvet revolution according to all the rules, but it did not obey, some have declared that there is a big confrontation ahead. Whether we like it or not. Both inside the country and outside - for such is the logic of the struggle for sovereignty in a unipolar world.
In connection with this, a question has arisen (and has long been in fashion), which global idea Russia will offer to the world, jumping off from the Pax Americana shelf given to it. What a way to describe the world, what aspirations and dreams for the masses, what new way of life it will carry earthlings.
A week ago, for the first time in a quarter of a century, Russia attacked an enemy outside its borders. historical territory. That is, Russia’s entry into the world power market took place in an open order.
If you wonder what idea we are going to the outside world with today, let's talk about it.
In short, this idea is not about offering a new way of life to the people of Earth. On the contrary, this is the idea of categorically refusing to interfere in the way of individual states.
Actually, Russia has been doing this for a long time. Even defeating the army M.N. Saakashvili in 2008 - she did not throw the current Odessa governor from the Georgian throne. Even returning the Crimea to itself and arranging the Kiev junta Ilovaisk a year ago, Russia did not develop a “march to Kiev” (in fact, the very return of the Crimea was organized strictly in the absence of any legitimate Kiev authorities in compliance with all formal procedures).
But now this behavior of Russia is not just a practice. This is a position personally drawn up by the president himself: “the problem can be fundamentally solved only by re-establishing statehood where it was destroyed” (from a speech at the UN).
In Syria, another version of the same concept is being demonstrated - the support of the existing state against the agents of chaos.
For the only (by the end of September) global player in the force market, this is definitely a low blow. A quarter of a century the United States, together with its “roof”, imposed on its client countries its internal management and its exclusive right to change the local elites, faced with an alternative proposal, which made them nervous.
But we are about something else.
Is the current “Russian idea, export version” a kind of global slogan, according to which the world can build the future?
No, it's not. This Russian idea, of course, is designed to ensure the immediate future of Russia itself and its present and future client countries, but in fact it is just a way to mitigate by political means the political problems generated by the contradictions of the current world order. It does not break the world order: numerous “alternatives to the iPhone” can cut its market share, still remain part of the smartphone market.
Is the current “Russian idea” a program according to which you can build the strategic future of our own Motherland itself?
No, especially not.
Speaking frankly, an operating system is installed on today's Russia (and on the near future Russia), which functions in many respects similar to the ex-monopolist's operating system.
We have our own state-forming giants - in which the line between "private" and "state" is as elusive as in the United States. We have our own political economy elite. This elite is docked by a second-generation shift - 20-year-old students, to whom state-owned banks issue loans in 200 000 000 000 rub. for the purchase of gold companies.
We have, of course, an order of magnitude less developed business sectors than America - but current international practice shows that today it is less important than having an effective army and defense industry. The well-known Pushkin formula “I will buy everything, said gold; I'll take everything, he said bulat ”- not always relevant, but for periods (usually - when gold fails to cope). And now, of course, such a period. Just because no one can find the way out of the global crisis with the help of “gold” for eight years. So, the contradictions will be resolved by Bulat. For Russia, this coming crisis and the “bulat era” is the same “window of opportunity” as the end of 90 for security officials, who suddenly turned from the service personnel of the seven bankers into the masters of the situation.
But otherwise - we are like a "geopolitical opponent". The same caste society, the same demographic processes, the same widening gap between the "golden percentage" and the rest of 99.
And now - the main thing.
Practically, our invasion of the world redistribution, which does not affect the world way of life, means that for the next few years we (as indeed in the rest of the world) do not have such an element of public life as the dream of a Bright Future.
This element, we note, gave meaning to the existence of our country most of the XX century, and the last quarter of the century was the “people's faith”. Heated by the return of the melody of the old anthem (albeit with new words), then the landing of the oligarchs, or the timid installation of the monuments of the pre-USSR minister I.V. Stalin, today finally passed to the rank of people-characters.
This element in the circumstances - will be absent.
This does not mean that everything is bad and there is only one darkness ahead. The military estate, the first to enter the crisis division of world influence, has a lot of advantages and chances to “successfully participate”. Today’s Russia is not burdened by the illusion of persisting global grandeur (on the contrary, 25 years of humiliation, recognized by everyone, behind it). It does not drag on itself the burden of social parasites, comparable to the European (the Tajiks do not go to us for benefits), or the burden of “dictatorship of many minority groups”, like the USA. Such qualities as love for the Motherland, loyalty, courage and every kind of championship will certainly be actively promoted and brought up in the military estate state (by the way, yesterday the President of the Russian Federation officially returned the TRP standards. That, recall for young readers, stands for “Ready for Labor” and defense "and to fitness has a zero ideological attitude). And so on.
And only the national dream - that is, the appearance of the future, which would cover most of the citizens with super-development projects, would force them to develop themselves and show their best qualities - such a dream for today's and tomorrow's Russia has not been established. Nothing, at least presumably leading to the Great Ring of Efremov, the Half-Day World of young Strugatskys and good giants of Snegov (as, incidentally, in the current USA there is nothing that would lead to the Star Trek communist world order). Even at the level of declarations.
By the way, attempts to reinstall various copies of the Soviet dream of a bright future to today's Russia are and will be obviously unsuccessful. They simply have nothing to install and no one - most of the living citizens of the Russian Federation either grew up in 1990, or were born after the USSR. And, therefore - not able to reproduce the matrix, which is not known. The propagandists of the “remakes of the Soviet bright future” are not only few, but often extremely infantile, that is, they usually act not as organizers and preachers of the new world, but as offended reprimands of their fellow citizens in the betrayal of the old.
Of course, one may wonder whether a common dream of a bright future is needed at all (there are enough yellow-eyed contemporaries who, at the very mention of this formula, involuntarily stand out “gulag-shootings-sealed-wagon-antichrists”).
But the thing is that you still have to invent it. The society is looking for the meaning of its existence in the same way as an individual person - and in the absence of a clear vector of development, it also self-destructs itself (in a purely demographic way, for example).
It is possible that it will be necessary to invent a common dream already after the current round of global redistribution - since it didn’t work out instead. But this work is still inevitable.