Military Review

20 goals of the Russian military operation in Syria ("Publico.es", Spain)

30
20 goals of the Russian military operation in Syria ("Publico.es", Spain)The decisive military operation of Russia in Syria, which began on September 30 in a difficult and confusing situation in this Middle Eastern country, and the plan of the Russian leadership to end the conflict changed the balance of forces in this part of the Earth. Vladimir Putin’s proposal includes the creation of an international coalition under the leadership of the UN, which will support the Syrian armed forces and the government of Bashar al-Assad in the fight against terrorism, holding parliamentary elections with the participation of a “healthy opposition”. First of all, thanks to his virtuoso military-diplomatic move, Putin was able to take control of the situation in Syria and show the ineffectiveness of the coalition led by the United States, which includes about 40 states. In a few days, Russian pilots destroyed more jihadist objects than a coalition in two years, which carried out about 7 thousands of air raids. As a result, ISIS militants were pretty scared, and their regional and global sponsors were taken aback.


Goals of Russia

1. To show all the inconsistency of the imaginary fight against terrorism, which the Western coalition is trying to demonstrate. Let the White House explain what the Afghan Mujahideen did in the Oval Office in 1983, of which with the help of the CIA, the British intelligence service MI6 and the Pakistani Interdepartmental Intelligence (ISI), subsequently grew up ISIL.

2. Demonstrate the illegality of coalition actions. Russia has a request for assistance coming from the Syrian government, and permission from the Federation Council to use the Armed Forces abroad, that is, its actions are in full compliance with international law.

3. To declare oneself as an important world player and in opposition to US policy, which is responsible for spreading religious terrorism throughout the world, put forward a viable peace plan. So if someone is looking for a world leader, then he is in front of you: he uses diplomatic methods, but he acts tough.

4. Show military power, forcing the whole world to closely monitor the Russian actions in Syria, on a glow reminiscent of the 1962 Caribbean crisis of the year.

5. To split the ranks of the coalition: Germany and even Turkey and Saudi Arabia support Putin’s peace plan, which managed to convince them that the main threat to the world comes from ISIS, and not from Assad.

5. Relieve pressure on the Syrian leadership. Go from the Western thesis "Assad should go" to "at the moment it is better that he stayed."

6. Strengthen Russian positions in Syria, and ultimately, in the entire Middle East, which will allow to negotiate with the West on the lifting of sanctions imposed in connection with the annexation of the Crimea.

7. Negotiate the future of Ukraine. Until now, Russia has preferred an unstable Ukraine on its western borders to Ukraine, which has become part of NATO. Now, having restored order in Syria, Moscow will talk about Kiev in a different key.

9. Offer Saudi Arabia resignation from the post of Syrian president in exchange for the termination of financing of Islamic extremism in the region.

10. Play the role of the force that by non-violent means removed Assad from power, and replacements to get the decisive vote in the choice of his successor.

11. To restrain the further advance of the Islamists. Chechens, led by field commander Tarkhan Batirashvili, are the largest contingent of foreigners in the ranks of ISIL. In this regard, Moscow enjoys the support of China, which is also the object of a terrorist threat.

12. Show the effectiveness of the coalition in Russia, Iran, Iraq and Hezbollah, acting jointly with the Syrian army, as well as the Iranian and Lebanese military, leading military operations in the Syrian territory. Iran’s great success is that it has achieved a half-year cease-fire from Turkey (the sponsor of Al-Nusra and the Free Syrian Army).

13. Raise the price of hydrocarbons — because there are now four global oil producers — Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Iran — participating in hostilities. Price increases will have a favorable effect on the Russian economy. But these prices are set by political circles (Saudi Arabia and the United States), not paying attention to supply and demand.

14. To disrupt the plans of the United States and Turkey to create a no-fly zone over Syria, designed to protect Islamic radicals, and then begin to ruin the country, after which countries would begin to collapse along the lines of Iraq, Yugoslavia and Libya.

15. Change the composition of regional alliances: Israel is moving closer to Russia. In addition to negotiations on the creation of the Customs Union, it agrees with Moscow on Israeli fighter flights over Syria and is considering the possibility of transferring Russia control of the Leviathan oil and gas field on the Mediterranean shelf, thereby preventing a possible attack on him from Iran or Hezbollah. In exchange, Moscow would block Iran’s deliveries to the Lebanese militia and would suggest that Tehran withdraw its troops after normalization of the situation in Syria.

16. Show Iran that only Russia can support the regime, although Russian fighters use the airspace of Iran and Iraq to get into Syria. That is, Iran seems to be sent a signal: “when approaching the West, take into account Russian interests.”

18. To put pressure on Recep Erdogan (especially now when his position is very weakened by the election results; there are two million Syrian refugees in the country and a new civil war with the Kurds is brewing) to stop supporting the forces opposing Assad.

19. Enlist the support of Egypt, the main country in the Arab world. General Al Sisi intends to eliminate the Islamists.

20. Return to the club of western countries. And this is a signal to those left-wing forces that still confuse modern Russia with the USSR and consider Putin to be Lenin’s reincarnation, and not the leader of the capitalist ruling circles who are partners with NATO with 1994. Another thing is that a polycentric world order is better for maintaining peace on Earth than a monocentric one.

21. For the first time to try modernized Su-34 fighter-bomber in real combat conditions.
Afghanistan-2

Russia cannot consider Syria as a second Afghanistan due to the following circumstances:

· Afghan Mujahideen Received the Most Modern from the USA weaponIn particular, the Stinger man-portable air defense systems. In Syria, Russia has military superiority over the enemy.

· In Syria, flat terrain, no mountains and ravines, where you can get into an ambush. But even so, the Russian authorities say that the troops will not be sent there.

· In Afghanistan, Soviet troops faced the hostility of local residents; in Syria, part of the population sees Putin as their savior.

· Russia operates from the sea and the air. If it blocks the passage to the Mediterranean Sea, it can lead to a direct collision between the two superpowers.

Moscow is aware that Assad irretrievably lost power over the country. Now it is necessary to save the area around Latakia from the Alawites and to keep the most important Russian ship maintenance station in the port of Tartus there.

Russians are coming!

The relief that Obama experienced after hearing about the Russian initiative in Syria did not last long. Republicans are tightening their attacks on Democrats, not only because the latter have lost control over another Middle Eastern country, but also because under Obama, the United States has ceased to be an important global player.

According to them, the enemies of America are Russia and Iran, not China, as the president believes.

Obama is still opposed to sending troops to Syria (as well as to Ukraine) for the following reasons: failures in Iraq and Afghanistan, where another Talipan plane, which had just seized Kunduz, was shot down by another NATO plane; the conviction that such actions could force Iran to arm itself seriously; the inability of the Syrian opposition to unite and put forward a viable and viable alternative, as well as the fact that, contrary to expectations, the people did not support the rebels, who turned out to be much more brutal than the army.

Obama also fears that complete destabilization of the situation will pose a threat to Israel’s security, and a possible power vacuum, which is formed after the departure of Assad, will be taken by Islamic terrorists. In addition, Syria does not have the necessary strategic importance that could justify a ground operation and apply the Doctrine on the Responsibility to Protect the Population. And finally, on the eve of the 2016 election of the year, Obama least needed a stream of pictures of his decapitated soldiers or hundreds of coffins with their bodies.

Obama must either agree to the Russian plan, or go for a clash with Russia in Syria. None of these decisions will add votes to the Democrats.

The script is complicated

Despite the fact that Russia has currently changed one scenario, it has encountered another one, which includes the Pentagon’s plans of military actions against Russia from the territory of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Bulgaria and Romania.

It is unlikely that Putin’s perilous game, which does not involve any actions aimed at reducing the suffering of ordinary people, will achieve its goals. We should not forget that this military operation will adversely affect the budget and, as a consequence, the welfare of the population.

In a word, one should not expect a happy ending for the participants of the Syrian feast.

Most likely, in Syria, the tragic Libyan scenario, followed by the Balkan scenario, will be carried out for a few more years.
Author:
Originator:
http://blogs.publico.es/puntoyseguido/3017/20-propositos-de-la-intervencion-militar-de-rusia-en-siria/
30 comments
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  1. Wolka
    Wolka 7 October 2015 05: 44 New
    10
    a good analysis from the author, a very complex combination is formed, however, a multi-move is still the same, here you can't get off with a "childish obscenity", but I would like to think that there are no fuckers in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the General Staff of the Russian Federation, This is the first time this happens, in general, the whole history of Russia is endless survival surrounded by external and internal enemies, so let's break through now ...
    1. ver_
      ver_ 7 October 2015 06: 24 New
      +2
      ... and who promises heaven on Earth? ... He is not and never will be .. is like a mirage, or a mosquito's dick .. ".. he is, but his nema .. (army humor - comparison with the trajectory ) ..
      1. BMW
        BMW 7 October 2015 06: 50 New
        0
        Bullshit, not an article. It looks like a neighboring one, but with a slightly different slope. Minus.
        1. dauria
          dauria 7 October 2015 09: 33 New
          +5
          Bullshit, not an article. .. smile . Minus.


          wink What, didn’t like it?
          "And this is a signal to those left-wing forces that still confuse modern Russia with the USSR and consider Putin to be the reincarnation of Lenin, and not leader of the capitalist ruling circles"

          I also didn’t like it, but nowhere to go, that’s true. sad So, "for the faith, the king and the shares of Gazprom, Hurray !!!"
          Putin only put in place the bourgeois who were mad with greed and forced them to unfasten them for the army and social services. Merit? Yes, but this is how ALL bourgeois countries live ... So do not wait, there will be no circus with "landings and justice".
          1. BMW
            BMW 7 October 2015 11: 53 New
            0
            consider Putin reincarnation of Lenin


            The author hit his head many times in childhood.

            Quote: dauria
            social


            ?????

            Quote: dauria
            So, "for the faith, the king and the shares of Gazprom, Hurray !!!"


            Whig you !!!! tongue
      2. inkass_98
        inkass_98 7 October 2015 07: 33 New
        12
        Quote: Volka
        good analysis from the author

        Tokmo pedals are confused:
        Now it is necessary to save the area around Latakia from the Alawites

        What Alavites? Assad himself Alavite, like almost all of the ruling elite of Syria.
        It’s good to sit an Armenian kid in Spain and make predictions on the edges far from him.
        Pentagon military action plans against Russia from Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Bulgaria and Romania.

        Shaw smoked a designer? (C) The main strike forces from these territorial misunderstandings will be their own unarmed forces or what?
        Another couch strategist 3-th world, damn it.
        1. Boatsman_Palych
          Boatsman_Palych 7 October 2015 11: 18 New
          +1
          In-in! What "strategists" are, such are "analytics". They live in the virtual world of their European illusions, elves 79 leveled ...
        2. Boatsman_Palych
          Boatsman_Palych 7 October 2015 11: 18 New
          0
          In-in! What "strategists" are, such are "analytics". They live in the virtual world of their European illusions, elves 79 leveled ...
    2. 73bor
      73bor 7 October 2015 08: 02 New
      +1
      I also did not like the "heavy economic burden", in my opinion it is much cheaper than a ground operation, there are simply no conclusions ...
      1. Altona
        Altona 7 October 2015 11: 58 New
        0
        Quote: 73bor
        I also did not like the "heavy economic burden", in my opinion it is much cheaper than a ground operation, there are simply no conclusions ...

        ---------------------
        The beginning was good, and he covered the endgame with secondary details and completely oiled ...
      2. satellite
        satellite 7 October 2015 18: 53 New
        0
        Without claiming to be true, but ... 1) Any weapons are aging, whether it be airplanes or cruise missiles, as a result they must either be written off or put into business, and we must take into account that the money for them has already been spent or would have been spent on their modernization or replacement, regardless of whether they are decommissioned or used for their intended purpose
        2) The Syrian events are a good training ground for domestic weapons as well as good advertising for the Russian military-industrial complex ... somewhat cynical but truthful.
  2. valokordin
    valokordin 7 October 2015 05: 47 New
    +3
    Most likely, a tragic Libyan scenario will be carried out in Syria for several years, after which the Balkan will come.
    It is not necessary to present the probable outcome of the war in Syria as negative. NATO members will not risk a direct clash with Russia, not even Turkey, but once again strengthening sanctions is their hobby. Perhaps the incredible US will agree on a separation of functions in the Middle East. The best thing is to get Israel as an ally.
    1. Igor39
      Igor39 7 October 2015 06: 09 New
      +4
      The fact is that Putin has shown what Russia is capable of for the sake of its interests, many countries have come to their senses and become thoughtful, after the bombing, if it is possible to restore less control over Syria, Ukraine will be engaged.
    2. V.ic
      V.ic 7 October 2015 06: 32 New
      -2
      Quote: valokordin
      The best-it will gain in the allies of Israel.

      Is there something you wanted to say? Who do you mean by "this"?
  3. aszzz888
    aszzz888 7 October 2015 05: 48 New
    +3
    Obama must either agree to the Russian plan, or go for a clash with Russia in Syria. None of these decisions will add votes to the Democrats.


    And it’s better to shoot yourself, well, you can still, in extreme cases, resign.
  4. ImPerts
    ImPerts 7 October 2015 05: 53 New
    +5
    It is unlikely that Putin’s perilous game, which does not involve any actions aimed at reducing the suffering of ordinary people, will achieve its goals. We should not forget that this military operation will adversely affect the budget and, as a consequence, the welfare of the population.

    Without a spoonful of tar could not do. But it began so beautifully ...
    But Nazanin Armanyan could not do without his own: "Carthage must be destroyed" *.
    * Marc Porcius Cato the Elder ended all his speeches with this phrase "Ceterum censeo Carthaginem esse delendam".
  5. tlauicol
    tlauicol 7 October 2015 05: 53 New
    +3
    Everything is correct, except for 9,10 and 11 points. Replacing Assad with his puppet or his overthrow - it is rather a western pasta thinks. It is unlikely that GDP stirs up such a vile thing. And the fact that a Georgian commands a detachment of Chechens (paragraph 11) - pf!
    1. ssn18
      ssn18 7 October 2015 06: 15 New
      +2
      "And the fact that a Georgian is commanding a detachment of Chechens"

      Nothing special. Maybe he changed his surname for reasons of conspiracy, maybe the consequences of a mixed marriage, maybe he just converted to Islam. There, the main thing is not nationality, but faith.
      1. V.ic
        V.ic 7 October 2015 06: 34 New
        0
        Quote: ssn18
        There, the main thing is not nationality, but faith.

        About "faith" you got excited ...
      2. tlauicol
        tlauicol 7 October 2015 06: 46 New
        0
        rather, for Italians, Caucasians all look the same
  6. EvgNik
    EvgNik 7 October 2015 06: 00 New
    +4
    It turns out darkly from the author.
    "" Obama needs to either agree to the Russian plan, or go to a clash with Russia in Syria. None of these decisions will add votes to the Democrats. ""
    The only thing I agree with. Everything else is not the ultimate truth.
  7. Tra-ta-ta
    Tra-ta-ta 7 October 2015 06: 07 New
    0
    Obama needs to either agree to a Russian plan, or to clash with Russia in Syria. None of these decisions will add votes to the Democrats ..
    Current Russia, having returned a human face to "democracy" and diplomacy, will save Barak in the upcoming elections ..
  8. Yak-3P
    Yak-3P 7 October 2015 06: 12 New
    +1
    that's all they have scripts .. Livian .. Balkan .. and people then die in batches
    they fuck the iglists .. in Syria they’ll clean them for another 5 years .. the kurdistan will appear and ours will recognize him and these highlanders will stumble everyone there
  9. slizhov
    slizhov 7 October 2015 06: 21 New
    +3
    Much is written correctly and truthfully, except for the ACCENT ON THAT "the people are even more impoverished."
    The people have long seen their sight and do not want any guide to dress him in a red "caftan" and lead him demonstratively to the slaughter. Putin, on the other hand, provided "redness" from the fires in their warehouses, which for many years have been equipped with the latest equipment by the Pentagon. AND EVERYTHING - PSU UNDER THE TAIL !!!
    Strengthening in all our positions leads to the LIFTING OF THE HEADS OF THOSE WHO ARE INTERESTED IN ONLY THE BOWL IN THE LAP, which was put by the USA.
    Putin once again showed that he is ABLE to carry out a simultaneous game with this entire company, which is used to seeing Russia on the sidelines of history.
    Russia WILL SAVE THE WORLD FROM VIOLENCE AND EVIL!
  10. tommy717
    tommy717 7 October 2015 07: 24 New
    0
    Quote: ImPerts
    It is unlikely that Putin’s perilous game, which does not involve any actions aimed at reducing the suffering of ordinary people, will achieve its goals. We should not forget that this military operation will adversely affect the budget and, as a consequence, the welfare of the population.

    Without a spoonful of tar could not do. But it began so beautifully ...
    But Nazanin Armanyan could not do without his own: "Carthage must be destroyed" *.
    * Marc Porcius Cato the Elder ended all his speeches with this phrase "Ceterum censeo Carthaginem esse delendam".

    So at first I thought that the analyst had quite sober thoughts, and he once fell into a tailspin of a Western worldview.
  11. linadherent
    linadherent 7 October 2015 07: 42 New
    0
    Oh, these pasta, there’s nothing to eat on our own, but everyone is worried about us ... laughing All the same, I could not resist, so that the pasta would not hang on my ears. negative But we will not eat these pasta, we have anti sanctions ... And in general, how can pasta understand the strategy? If they fought, then during the time of the Roman Empire, I do not argue that they fought badly, but military science has gone far ahead, since the time of Manipular Tactics! fool
  12. Indra7120
    Indra7120 7 October 2015 08: 38 New
    -3
    "6. Strengthen Russian positions in Syria, and ultimately, in the entire Middle East, which will allow negotiations with the West to lift the sanctions imposed in connection with the annexation of Crimea.

    7. Negotiate the future of Ukraine. Until now, Russia has preferred an unstable Ukraine on its western borders to NATO-member Ukraine. Now, having put things in order in Syria, Moscow will talk about Kiev in a different tone. "

    cesans? .... What negotiations with the West over sanctions over our Crimea ??. They themselves will be removed and no need to ask ...
    What are the negotiations about the future ruins? and so everything will come piece by piece ...
  13. Volzhanin
    Volzhanin 7 October 2015 08: 42 New
    +1
    Pasta boys are not bad, mentally the closest to us from the western scum. Yes, and the Russian people, it seems, have never really been crap.
    And the fact that the mess in my head, so the Western media do their own obscene business!

    Although, I think that in the information war we have a huge advantage - our language!
    Not a single language of the world can reflect the essence of processes and phenomena that take place on Earth in such a capacious, figurative, concise and substantial way.
    1. Rurikovich
      Rurikovich 7 October 2015 09: 04 New
      0
      Quote: Volzhanin
      Not a single language of the world can reflect the essence of processes and phenomena that take place on Earth in such a capacious, figurative, concise and substantial way.

      Sometimes just in one word ... wink
  14. ImPerts
    ImPerts 7 October 2015 09: 20 New
    +2
    Satanovsky about Syria (in my opinion, more qualitatively than Mr. Armanyan):
    “The appearance of the Russian Air Force in Syria as part of an air regiment and escort services radically changed the situation in the region. In principle, it was possible to expect something different: outside observers, apparently, believed that Moscow would act there according to the Soviet scenario.

    That is, accusing the West of all sins, it will deploy a bulky military machine that can be simply attacked with the hidden (or overt) support of Islamists, like the one that Senator McCain currently requires them to lend. It is curious whether the West will deliver modern MANPADS to terrorist groups after everything that has happened between them since the mega terrorist attack 11 of September. Since the fact that they will fire at any aircraft, helicopters and UAVs, starting with the US, is more than clear. And Russia will not leave such an answer without an answer.

    Where did the lads have Syrian sadness?

    Unlike all forecasts, Russia acted covertly, quickly and efficiently. What, in principle, could be expected by analyzing its actions in Ossetia and the Crimea. She was extremely polite and constructive, but firmly offered everyone to cooperate on her terms or leave the road and not interfere with her to fight with terrorist groups there and in such a way as she considered necessary. At the same time, the legitimacy of its actions in Syria by the Assad government was ensured. And let us add: in the event of a decision being taken by the Russian leadership, his hands are untied for military action in Iraq, since the government of that country invited Russia to such actions. Fortunately, a center in Baghdad, called to coordinate the counter-terrorist actions of Iraq, Syria, Iran and Russia, has been created.

    The latter is a slap in the face for President Obama, whose hulking coalition of 62 members has been operating in the Iraqi skies for more than a year without any significant success. This partly explains his predictions of the failure of Russian actions in Syria, while Putin is much more correct about the United States and Obama himself. With ground support in the person of the Syrian army, Kurdish and Druze units, Shiite troops and Iranians, and in Iraq, if the Islamic State (IS) has to finish off there, the Iraqi armies, Iranians and local Kurds and Shiites, the Russian Air Force is more effective than the US Air Force and their allies by two orders of magnitude. However, in the end, no one interfered with the Americans to establish the necessary connections, except for the confusion they themselves created in goals, tasks and allies ... "
    Read more: http://vpk-news.ru/articles/27396
  15. Erg
    Erg 7 October 2015 11: 59 New
    0
    Funny little article. All in a bunch - and nonsense and truth. To understand all this is a task feasible only for Cinderella ... laughing
  16. Mihail55
    Mihail55 7 October 2015 12: 05 New
    0
    Progress is evident, no matter how cynical it sounds. Oil has already jumped over 52. If only they would not fall asleep up there again - IMPORT SUBSTITUTES. The lesson has not yet been completed, and time is in a hurry. It would not be hard to do everything at the same time, but Putin, in addition to successes outside the country, urgently needs to strengthen the internal block of his power PROFI! The main thing is not one of those who DOES NOT TAKE PART IN VOTING. It's nice to look at our aces in the sky of Syria, I would like that despondency would also be dispelled in the vastness of Russia!
  17. Black
    Black 7 October 2015 12: 23 New
    0
    "Everything is confused - people, horses ..."
    But anxiety, in which the author is right, has not diminished. It strains some kind of inaction on the ground .... When we finally give the weapons to the Kurds, the Syrian fighters, why don’t they come ... Two weeks of artillery preparation, if there’s a lot, bearded cockroaches will climb up holes, it will start to feed, it’s time to pour dust from the ground ....probably...
  18. 1536
    1536 7 October 2015 12: 30 New
    0
    The twentieth paragraph is the main one, in my opinion.
    It all started when the Americans did not sell the Opel and, apparently reproaching the "Soviet past", did not open the door, despite our persistent calls. At the same time, they themselves slipped into Trotskyist "permanent revolutions", "Bolshevik" coups d'etat and conspiracies against the legitimate authorities of countries where American interests were so illusory that it would not make sense to consider them without these actions.
    And the Balkan scenario can really take place if again, as then, decisions are made by "individuals" similar to the "leaders" of that time.
  19. Allax
    Allax 7 October 2015 19: 22 New
    0
    The main bugs of the article:
    Point 5: did not notice where Turkey and Saudi Arabia supported the initiative of Russia. Yes, and in Germany, in my opinion, the author got excited.
    Paragraphs 9 and 10 - and what for do we need me allied Assad as a puppet of the West or in exchange for Saudi Arabia's promise "not to sponsor terrorism"?
    Paragraph 15 - I did not notice any rapprochement with Israel against the background of our operation against ISIS.
    Moscow is aware that Assad has irrevocably lost power over the country. Now you need to save from Alavites (highlighted by me) the area around Latakia and save there the most important Russian technical service point for ships in the port of Tartus.

    No comments!
    In general article Big minus