Military Review

NI: a new strategy is needed to solve the Ukrainian problem; it is not based on sanctions and the supply of weapons

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To bring Ukraine out of the crisis, we need not sanctions and arms deliveries, but a fundamentally new approach, says Michael O'Hanlon of the Brookings Institution and National Interest magazine columnist. His article leads RIA News.




“The current policy of NATO and the United States is inadequate to the tasks at hand,” writes the analyst. - The strategy of the West runs the risk of exacerbating the situation and, possibly, of a clash between Russia and NATO. In particular, in the event of the failure of the Minsk agreements, NATO countries may begin to deliver lethal weapons to Kiev.

According to him, “in order to resolve the conflict, we should first of all reconsider the European security architecture.” O'Hanlon believes that "along with the implementation of the Minsk agreements and the granting of autonomy to Donbas, the former Soviet republics that are not members of NATO should receive neutral status on a permanent basis." And the guarantors of the sovereignty of these countries should be NATO and Russia.

In this case, “geostrategic Ukraine will not become part of the Western world, but this will not prevent it, for example, from receiving financial assistance from the West,” writes the analyst.

“Moreover, if such an agreement is reached, NATO will be able to gradually abandon the buildup of military power in Eastern Europe, which will significantly reduce the risks of a clash between the alliance and Russia and improve Ukraine’s economic prospects,” he adds. .

A neutral organization such as the OSCE should monitor compliance with the agreement, says O'Hanlon.

There is not much time left to make such a decision. "It is necessary to start the implementation of this plan before the aggravation of the situation and before the presidential campaign of 2016 in the United States, which will limit Washington’s opportunities for political maneuvers," the analyst concludes.
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  1. MIKHAN
    MIKHAN 17 September 2015 08: 40 New
    +18
    We got already ... Surround Kiev, catch and shoot (while on the heap) ... am
    1. Wolka
      Wolka 17 September 2015 08: 49 New
      +2
      absolutely true, you can’t say otherwise.
    2. little girl15
      little girl15 17 September 2015 08: 54 New
      +4
      Why shoot? They must be judged and carried in cells so that people can spit on their faces.
      1. sherp2015
        sherp2015 17 September 2015 09: 41 New
        0
        Quote: Vovochka15
        carry in cells so that people can spit in their faces.


        Spit a little!
        to carry on foot behind a chaise, so that anyone who wants it for the soul could weigh a kick
      2. Magic archer
        Magic archer 17 September 2015 10: 26 New
        +1
        And for me, words from the gentlemen of fortune come right away! You need to carry them in a vat with shit! And so that a Cossack with a saber stands on top wink
  2. oleg-gr
    oleg-gr 17 September 2015 08: 41 New
    +1
    "... redefine the European security architecture." And who will review it? Europe no longer has independent politicians. Some puppets of Americans. The OSCE is no longer trusted for such an observation.
    1. WKS
      WKS 17 September 2015 09: 42 New
      +3
      “The current policies of NATO and the USA are inadequate to the existing tasks,” the analyst writes.

      It was as if someone had dedicated this analyst to the existing tasks of US foreign policy. Destabilization and chaotization away from American borders - this is the main task. In its mainstream, the USA is floating. And stabilization processes occur contrary to this task.
  3. solovey
    solovey 17 September 2015 08: 42 New
    0
    How who Americans lol
  4. Kradi
    Kradi 17 September 2015 08: 43 New
    0
    softly spreads ... but experience shows that such statements from the United States confirm the proverb about where the well-laid road leads
  5. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 17 September 2015 08: 47 New
    +1
    “In order to resolve the conflict, the European security architecture should be reviewed first.”

    The United States, and under their pressure and Europe will not go for it. So far they are satisfied with the state of affairs, although the EU has already begun to feel all the "charms" of unconditional support for the American position. The United States also felt that with Ukraine it did not work out what they intended. But support for even the smoldering conflict in this region is still in their hands.
  6. doc67
    doc67 17 September 2015 08: 48 New
    0
    However, there are sound thoughts. On this, in principle, they can and agree.
    1. kotvov
      kotvov 17 September 2015 10: 48 New
      0
      However, there are sound thoughts. On this, in principle, they can and agree. ,,
      There are thoughts, but this will not happen. Sasha has other tasks and goals. Do not be naive.
  7. V.ic
    V.ic 17 September 2015 08: 52 New
    0
    “We need to start implementing this plan before the situation worsens and before the 2016 US presidential campaign, which will limit Washington’s ability to political maneuvers,” the analyst concludes.

    Yeah, the first Tuesday after the first Monday of November of the month of a leap year ... 1 year, 1 month and 16 days left. It seems that according to the prophecies of the mystics smoked should be the last of the presidents of the USA?
  8. Arkan
    Arkan 17 September 2015 08: 52 New
    0
    NI: a new strategy is needed to solve the Ukrainian problem; it is not based on sanctions and the supply of weapons


    The author is right, a monkey with a grenade (APU) is a terrible thing! Diet for Ukrainians will be very useful.
  9. Snowman
    Snowman 17 September 2015 08: 53 New
    +5
    Naive or naive O'Hanlon.
    How much money to invest for the milking parlor of Europe and the spread of Russia and just curtail - tales. They do not need security in the world, only chaos and lawlessness. And most importantly, away from their borders. Until popularly they don’t get bread, I think everything will only get worse!
  10. zzz
    zzz 17 September 2015 08: 54 New
    -1
    Very interesting from another resource, spread in parts, because a lot of obscene words, you need to adjust, and the bukaf a lot!WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16, 2015
    Every little thing and cho there with Yakunin

    Karochi's case was this: let's start. from ... from afar
    Last August, Girkin was suspended (August 14), on August 30, an assassination attempt was made on Zakharchenko, the muridka sculpted an alibi Girkin, about which I wrote.
    Here is a new alibi from Beard
    "Village madman" ... that is, all these multimillionaires are Malofeyev, beards and others financed and supported the CRAZY ... a wonderful attempt to move out under schizophrenia, I wrote by the way about the use of these techniques (and I will not be surprised if Girkin really "shows up" some kind of disease BUT I'm not talking about that)
    What is the main thing in this text? The main thing here is that a certain "guard" really took Girkin out of the Donbass and even in a bound state (did he have seizures? Autumn aggravation? ...) That is, an alibi - Boroday as BE confirms that Girkin was not on August 30 in Donbass for some "guard" took him out .... we don’t know about any guard, for the first time we hear it. We know that Girkin was "revealed to the world" only on September 11 (9 1 1 - they love this date)
    1. zzz
      zzz 17 September 2015 08: 56 New
      0
      And from here we draw a short conclusion - the cat was absolutely right when he wrote that there were no ultimatums. on the topic, either leave or starve the Donbass, no FSB showed him what Girkin directly hinted at.
      (by the way, why doesn't the Washington Post interview Zakharchenko?)

      So, okay, I just noted that.

      Then Zakharchenko became president of the DPR, then the younger Gabrellianov dumped in the United States, several dozen employees of life were fired. Further, in parallel with this, we carry out a secret special operation for a long time - we substitute the nipples according to their method of room-lip, which for months has been negotiating with the Kolomoisky end company for the future. The result of the special operation was the expulsion of Kolomoisky from the game and many different nishtyaks, ESPECIALLY - laws were adopted, including on the special status of Donbass, which Putin directly reminded in Crimea - the law was passed, it just wasn’t enacted ... so
      Here is a bit. just a hike, we note an important one. What conclusions can we still draw from TOY special operation? Look: they were satisfied that Gubarev, Girkin, and others would enter the parliament - EASY! You understand - it didn’t bother them, they made all the laws for this case. They were not embarrassed by the special status of Donbass. nor recognition of the legality of the elections and representatives .... but what changed dramatically when they realized that Gubarev is a joint-mouth member? ear .... why such a pancake hysteria and the abolition of all adopted laws? WHAT CHANGED ?
      1. zzz
        zzz 17 September 2015 08: 57 New
        0
        I’ll tell you that - according to that scheme, the Gubarevs would not deprive the Waltzman of power, they would only share it with them .... And now it’s clear to the Waltzmen that the power will be taken away, with all the consequences
        Damn ... the cat doesn’t want to talk about it at all, but I have to dump it all again to get to the point that I ...

        Tex ... in order to negotiate with Merkel Oland and Obama, we need to control the situation. (The cat wrote down Obama for it is obvious that although he didn’t have a signature near Minsk 2, his representative in the Security Council approved this plan without blinking, so we can make it anyway) controlled from the outside, and therefore ... Batman and company, for example, went to the cemetery .. but again, I’m not right

        Right now, about that .. and now, when the most important days arrived - February 11 and 12, Merkel and Oland arrived in Minsk, Putin came to Minsk, Zakharchenko and Plotnitsky were doing the torn years of the junto army at that very moment, in short, work practically went to the coveted signatures of BUT so that some would not have thought of throwing some kind of a trumpet precisely at that time. I had to have their henchman and their wallet in their hands exactly on these two days. So that it would sit and not even dare to utter a peep, not to give a command to its mercenaries to arrange something in Donetsk at that time. That the signing would not take place
        1. zzz
          zzz 17 September 2015 08: 58 New
          0
          Further .... here is now the information from the source of the cat Moti:

          Yakunin framed Malofeev. Yakunin is not in a dream about that. Malofeev is far from acting in the interests of the Russian Federation and far from "on the instructions of Putin." Yakunin, of course, was “involved” in the transportation of the “Holy relics” and other things, for he heads the foundation of St. Andrew the First-Called ... and the fucking Malofeev put Girkin in the guard and he hung around everywhere and sniffed out everything and smeared the stain. Even you crack. How did Yakunin know who Girkin was and what he was going to do ... damn
          In short, what is the essence - the investigation of the event in the Donbass will certainly be and it is already underway, it’s just a closed investigation. If, or rather, when. if the courts begin, then the name of Yakunin can be pulled out by the asshole of Malofeev INTENTIONALLY to force him to help them.
          So, well, I’ve practically quoted the source of the cat, in my own translation. I’ll say right away that the sources of the cat are not the sources of “entrants to the Kremlin” who know exactly when Kadyrov fled to Jordan and when Putin died. If Motin said the source. This means it is ... however, this particular source has one big drawback - it is not a cat, and therefore, to my chagrin, I did not think of asking my source at least a couple of leading questions, all the way put in its place ... well nicho. then the cat digs up.
          Hereafter, I, encore of the source. We look, we have. (this is me yesterday, in the wake of what I heard I dug up an interesting nuance)
          OK, watch out for the tail: the U.S. sanctions were imposed against Yakunin, but did not introduce the EU.
          And now: against Malofeev, he imposed EU sanctions, BUT DO NOT ENTER THE USA
          Do you feel the difference ??? She is fucking on her own! In the USA it is more difficult to lift sanctions, because a bunch of senators will be aware and FOR YOURS it is better not to introduce them. Malofeev can dump off at any time in the USA, for some reason they don’t consider him involved in the events in the Donbass (... ear)
          1. zzz
            zzz 17 September 2015 09: 02 New
            0
            (Here, the navaliers have long received an order for Yakunin, but there is nothing worse than the patriots, the liberalists are not suited for wrecking, they didn’t lie near bl)
            Now Navalner ..., by the way, due to the fact that Yakunin refused senatorship yelling at him, they say, clearly - a thief. therefore does not want a declaration. Like, dump it. Vile stupid animals

            Tex .. by the very first comment, the cat realized that. softly speaking, not everyone is aware of what I'm talking about .. right now, briefly schematichiski lyapanu
            So. Malofeev is the direct employer of Girkin and Beard. Communication with Yakunin - only thanks to the friendly (commonwealth) relations with Yakunin. he managed to put Girkin in the Orthodox mission. Girkin, under the cover of this mission, came to Kiev, including during the Maidan in KIEV-PECHERSKAYA LARA. WHERE AND MET WITH A CIA recruited now arrested by a high-ranking church figure. It was Malofeev who paid and armed Girkin’s brigade initially, when they march to Slavyansk and AT THIS - the USA did not find reasons to apply sanctions against him (!)
            Well now it’s clear, probably .. it’s so short
            It was Malofeev who made the throw into the Novaya Gazeta with a fake report on his own behalf, allegedly to Putin. This report was supposed to convince the public that everything is done in agreement with Putin. That is, he made a throw-in (he wrote about himself as a traveler) and Malofeev immediately sluggishly denied that this was his report, but they naturally emphasized in the media that he cannot confirm, for this is a secret report. In short, there is one scheme with Girkin - he hinted that Putin sent him and Malofeev hinted that he was acting in agreement with Putin. By the way, take a look at the text of Beard above, it’s about the time when Boroday was in the DPR - HE ALSO LESTS PUTIN HERE "he acted carefully and competently "UNDERSTAND? - Like did not say anything bad. but Putin PUT to events for “HE ACTED” - is that clear?
            1. kotvov
              kotvov 17 September 2015 10: 52 New
              0
              Like did not say anything bad. but PUTIN ATTACHED to events for "HE ACTED" - is that clear ?,
              Well, why this nonsense here, you didn’t get anything wrong?
  11. Gormenghast
    Gormenghast 17 September 2015 08: 56 New
    +3
    First of all, we must stop screaming about the mythical annexation of the original Russian Crimea, illegally gifted Ukrainian Khrushchev Ukraine.

    Secondly, you need to stop shamanistic dances with tambourines around the criminal junta.

    After that, you can talk about something specifically - about the "association", security guarantees, agreements on conventional weapons, economic relations (including the notorious 3 billion dollars of public debt to Russia), Donetsk coal, Russian gas, military-technical cooperation, humanitarian problems.
    1. V.ic
      V.ic 17 September 2015 13: 49 New
      0
      Quote: Gormengast
      donated Ukrainian Khrushchev Ukraine

      They say that the true name of this bastard Perlmutter (translated from Yiddish = mother’s pearl).
  12. Masya masya
    Masya masya 17 September 2015 08: 59 New
    +5
    Nonsense! The states do not need a solution to the Ukrainian problem, they do not need a way out of Ukraine from the crisis! They want more chaos on our borders!
  13. Tra-ta-ta
    Tra-ta-ta 17 September 2015 08: 59 New
    0
    As the “hell” smelled, so immediately they went from the “goblin” to the normal language ..., luring into protracted negotiations.
  14. Meh-forester
    Meh-forester 17 September 2015 09: 03 New
    +3
    Now Ukraine, more and more begins to play the role of "weights", on the feet of the EU, whose main problem, at the moment, is the emigrants. So, I think that soon in Ukraine and in the implementation of all agreements, it will begin to change in a positive direction for Russia.
  15. AleBors
    AleBors 17 September 2015 09: 03 New
    0
    These are all bright theories. They are far from reality. It will be as it will be. Pintos will rest until the end.
  16. atamankko
    atamankko 17 September 2015 09: 22 New
    0
    With the junta and its support by the West
    there will be no changes.
  17. Anchonsha
    Anchonsha 17 September 2015 09: 43 New
    +1
    These dreams of the American romance about taming the Ukrainian crisis are illusory, like Sir John Ashton’s desire to involve Russians in sodomy and wild gay European debauchery. The bloodthirsty politicians in the USA, and behind them the gay European handcuffs, are surprised and annoyed by the sudden appearance of a completely different Russia, which got in the way of Western dependency and the brutal exploitation of "subhuman" And Ukraine is a storehouse of corrupt little souls, ready for the promise to let them go for free to the ghostly geyropeysky depraved values ​​to finally ruin their country .... And now the geyrope is not up to the inhabitants - lovers of freebies from Ukraine, now there In connection with the influx of refugees, the question of the survival of the EU is.
  18. roskot
    roskot 17 September 2015 10: 28 New
    0
    Bounced in the dill. Then only a cliff and a free fall.
  19. vladimirw
    vladimirw 17 September 2015 10: 47 New
    0
    A neutral organization such as the OSCE
    such an OBSE is already an OBSA ... on monitoring the implementation of the Minsk agreements.
  20. Lelek
    Lelek 17 September 2015 11: 56 New
    0
    In his opinion, “in order to resolve the conflict, we should first of all review the European security architecture.” O'Hanlon believes that “along with the implementation of the Minsk agreements and the provision of autonomy to the Donbass, the former Soviet republics that are not members of NATO should receive neutral status on an ongoing basis.” And NATO and Russia should act as guarantors of the sovereignty of these countries.

    Plagiarism. Russia proposed this option 10 years ago, but the State Department and the EU-Soviet Vitii have repeatedly rejected this. It seems that this time too - purely "blah blah." stop
  21. VadimSt
    VadimSt 17 September 2015 20: 12 New
    0
    Somewhere there, everything remains - the Sevastopol Marine Plant, the Liphen Factory Roshen, the grain terminal in Sevastopol, hopes for a quiet old age ... a strong and reliable neighbor. Bitch, this Obama!