Moldova: awl on soap

Events in Moldova more and more resemble a cheap TV series, where the authors are desperately trying to delay the final, which is already known to everyone in advance. For us, Russians, it does not matter what slogans are the protesters in Chisinau: whether it is the resignation of the president, the return of a stolen billion euros, or the protection of pets from abuse. For us, only a specific goal is important, which is pursued by external forces, leading people to the streets with posters printed in the printing houses. The anti-Russian force of the “color revolution” on the square opposes another anti-Russian force dominated by the republic. For both Transdniestria and the Russian Federation both forces are hostile, and the question is quite natural: if the government in Chisinau is anti-Russian, then why should the Western “supervisors” change it?

In fact, the answer lies on the surface. The current leadership of Moldova, despite its pro-Western orientation, is not in a hurry to fulfill the directives on escalating the conflict on the Dniester. The elite has accumulated property and capital, accustomed to power. And power and money love peace. Americans, who have a vested interest in a regional conflict, need someone younger, more zealous, and not so attached to his chair. Anyone who can give the army the necessary orders. Ukrainian events have convinced overseas analysts of the simple truth: you can not give puppets to grow rich, because wealth gives the resource to disobedience.

The current ruling class apparently understands everything perfectly and is trying to react in its own way. Not so long ago, Moldovan President Nicolae Timofti proclaimed counterproductive statements that the development of the army is contrary to the principles of democracy and peace.

“Until recently, we have advanced the idea that the development and improvement of the national army is contrary to the principles of peace and democracy in Moldova. Such statements are false and counterproductive, - cite the Moldovan media leader. - We must be prepared to defend our state. First of all, because to this day foreign troops are on the territory of Moldova, and the Russian Federation continues to support the anti-constitutional and anti-state self-proclaimed regime in Transnistria. ”

Translating from political to ordinary language, it can be stated that the current leadership of Moldova is seriously alarmed by the protest events on the streets and desperately notifies the outside world about its readiness to fight with Transnistria and Russia. “We will do everything, but do not overthrow us!” - this is the message that sounds in the words of the Moldovan president. Whether this is really so and whether high patrons are ready to listen to him, we will find out soon.

The ban on the activities of the Russian military attache, as well as the difficulties created for the Russian media, should also be perceived through the letter and spirit of such statements.

The goals of the United States are still seen as follows: a change of leadership in the republic through a violent coup and the creation of revolutionary chaos. Any revolution, as is known, needs to be exported. The direction for exporting a hypothetical Moldovan revolution can be only one - Transnistria. And here we come to what has been repeatedly written over the past year and a half. Before Transnistria, Russia has legal obligations, moreover, there are Russian troops there, an attack on which is considered an attack on the Russian Federation with all the ensuing consequences. We have already mentioned some obvious difficulties that distinguish the possible Transnistrian theater of military operations from the South Ossetian one. The main difference is the lack of common borders, which will force Russia to break through the corridor in one form or another through the openly hostile Ukraine.

What is happening in Moldova almost unambiguously highlights the American intention regarding the Transnistrian conflict. The main shock role in it will be assigned to the Moldovan units, and not at all to the Ukrainian ones, as previously thought. The latter, apparently, will also play their part in the implementation of the blockade and the carrying out of auxiliary operations, but their main purpose is to meet the Russian group, which will be sent to help Transdniestrians. By this time, the people's republics of Donbass, according to the Kiev interpretation of the Minsk agreements, are subject to liquidation.

So the idea is clear. And what about Russia? Having rejected the idea of ​​creating a large Novorossia, the Russian leadership found itself in a difficult position. In the event of a sharp aggravation of the military situation of the Transdnistrian Moldavian Republic, the Russian Armed Forces will have to act in extremely negative strategic conditions against an enemy who is ready to strike and is waiting for him in a particular sector. All this will take place in an atmosphere of the most severe foreign policy blockade and with the glowing points of tension that Russia has scattered throughout the continent. Needless to say, almost at the same time as Moldova, Tajikistan also flared - fortunately, locally and for a short time. But this is also quite a cause for concern, because we are hardly ready to extinguish fires in several directions at once in several directions.

So far, it is sufficient to simply observe the course of the Moldovan confrontation, collecting information about the statements and actions of the main actors. This information can be useful at any time when the period of peaceful standing in the squares comes to an end.

Comments

[mr.vasilievich]

America found another weak spot in Russia. It will be hard.

[SALLAK]

You need to use the weaknesses of the United States, they also have enough * some states do not mind moving away from the center ... Indians are indigenous people who are trapped in a geto ... African-Americans, etc.

[marlin1203]

One who can give the army the necessary orders.

to give orders to the very legendary Moldovan army? These "thugs of Chisinau"? Zhuuuut ...

[Kolka82]

In order to get a quote, you need to select the desired phrase with the mouse - just empty citation fields are somehow not comme il faut.

[Doctorleg]

Quote: SALLAK

You need to use the weaknesses of the United States, they also have enough * some states do not mind moving away from the center ... Indians are indigenous people who are trapped in a geto ... African-Americans, etc.

The Indians are not trapped in the geto, but can live where they want. There are reservations, but their meaning is that there are concessions in these territories - game business is allowed, etc.

[AID.S]

And how do you expect to implement this?

[user]

I think it's time to move on to direct support of the Black Panther organization, otherwise the impression is that the United States will not calm down, but it will deal with internal affairs, the problems of racial discrimination, the rights of the black population and much more, and notice in your homeland, because most Americans are only internal the problems of their country are troubling.

[gorsten79]

In my opinion "Black Panthers"

[user]

Yes, of course, Black Panthers.

[Now we are free]

Quote: mr.vasilievich

America found another weak spot in Russia. It will be hard.

This "Place" has already been known for a long time and is quite predictable that the States begin to shit where it smolders (in the neighboring country it seems to have stopped, three times on the cap they got + Petsya in Berlin bent over, they say, don't shoot, but talk "Night of the Long Knives"). In general, nothing good can be expected from the next "Op-op-op-op-Ukraine style" (this time in Moldova). Transnistria prepares, prepares and prepares again for the rut of the next "Maidanuty" this time Moldovashek. And behind the back of Transnistria is Mishiko. He will provide a stab in the back, he has good practice, and he has nothing to risk at all, he will not take him back on vacation to the USA to lecture at the University.
The goal of the States is simple: to stretch the forces of the Russian Federation along the polygon Novorossiya-Syria-Central Asia-Transnistria without directly entering into a conflict and always setting fire from different directions ...


I really hope that the leadership of the Russian Federation understands this simple but effective until recently plan of "Probable Partners" ...

[Finches]

It’s not even clever for Moldovans! They have dropped their national dignity so much that I recommend them to join Romania and dissolve there, but leaving Transnistria alone! I think that this compromise solution will satisfy everyone!

[Andrey Petrov47]

Amer’s eggs will be cut off for all this. God help.

[parusnik]

But what about Russia? Having abandoned the idea of ​​creating a big New Russia, the Russian leadership was in a difficult position. .... According to the author, Russia should have entered the war ... and it would have been better ... and the United States and NATO looked calmly at the Russian tank columns and "little green men" and if only they would shrug their shoulders ... I doubt it .. .A simple example from history, the Russian-Turkish war of 1877-1878 ... as soon as the Russian army reached Istanbul and concluded a profitable peace in San Stefano ... Europe croaked with all its might ... and it all ended with the Berlin Congress ... I think so far that's right, it's better to go down slowly and take the whole herd, than to run quickly and take one cow .. And Moldova, let them cut the branch on which they sit ..

[Kibalchish]

Just a statement of fact. If New Russia would be, the PMR would be safe. Agree.

[parusnik]

Yes, there would be no New Russia .. It didn’t exist in the project either ... Why amuse yourself with illusions .. And it won’t ... in the near future .. at least ...If New Russia were, the PMR would be safe. Agree... Emotions are all .. romanticism ..

[Kibalchish]

Initially, the idea of ​​creating a big New Russia was quite realistically considered by the leadership of Russia. Many are talking about this now.

[just exp]

and what would PMR security give?

[inkass_98]

Quote: mr.vasilievich

America found another weak spot in Russia.

There are more than half of the former Union of such weaknesses. We must work to eliminate weaknesses.

By this time, the people's republics of Donbass, according to the Kiev interpretation of the Minsk agreements, are subject to liquidation.

Igor, as always, is in his repertoire. We sold everyone, merged everyone, we will all die (kind of true, unfortunately). We will survive the elections in Ruin and LDNR, let's look at the preparation of the Ruins authorities for "winter quarters", and then we'll see.

[Kibalchish]

The key point is the transfer of the border under the control of Ukraine according to the Great Dane .. After that, one can talk about betrayal completely.

[kotvov]

The key point is the transfer of the border under the control of Ukraine according to the Minsk Treaty .. ,,
there will be no such transfer. you at least follow the statements of the guarantor. it was said that Kiev does not fulfill the conditions of Minsk, then nevermind them.

[Sasha75]

Here is Ukraine nearby, which is not clear how it will end, no, you need to check everything on yourself let them try.

[mihai_md2003]

The idea, in principle, is correct about the example of Ukraine, BUT SIT AND DO NOT DO ANYTHING WHEN YOU BREATHE FROM COLLECTION AND CORRUPTION IN YOUR COUNTRY ALSO IS NOT PATRIOTISM. Another thing those who think can understand what this can lead to. But even then, what to do? Again, to sit at home and wait until they strangle you completely? Here is such a fun choice. I personally participated in these events, there were 2 rallies. One was gathered in the square (despite the fact that 90 percent came up with slogans against corruption, there were also Natsiks who advocated the loss of Moldova’s sovereignty in favor of Romania), so I joined with another manifestation at the Academy of Sciences. They promised to walk in the center and connect with the protesters in the square. So they drove us 2 hours to the center of the city, they even shouted speeches from our main thief deputy, but that’s not the point when activists tried to break into the room next to the prosecutor’s office and started a scuffle with the police. There was a feeling that they threw me and now I participate in what I did not subscribe to, because I do not agree to destroy my city, especially knowing that it will not be repaired for money of the olegarchs)))
PS And the meaning of all this my story is that I will think 10 times next time before going to such events because I have a feeling that we are being used in our political intrigues. I must say, in any case, from the inside like a manifesto, I didn’t have a feeling that they were leading the process like on the Maidan. They didn’t give out pies and didn’t give money in an organized way; people took off for the food of the activists who remained on the square themselves. Another thing is who saddles this popular anger and will receive dividends! Mute distracted from the topic written, but I will say that the state was strong and it could not be shaken by all sorts of Maidan or orange revolutions, you should try to maintain at least minimal social justice and the rule of law. I’ve stood for Putin with two hands and I think he did a lot for Russia, but this whole story with Serdyukov and Vasilyeva (((((. In short now I have only one hand for.

[rotmistr60]

Americans, who are vitally interested in a regional conflict, need someone younger, more zealous and not so attached to their chair.

From the point of view of tactics and strategy, Americans are doing everything possible to achieve their goal and for them it does not matter which way. The author is right when he quotes the statement - "an awl for soap."

[Volga Cossack]

everything according to the standard scenario again ......... well, if the circuit works .....

[dchegrinec]

For this, there is foreign policy and counterintelligence, so as not to sit on the couch and not catch up on horror stories for readers ..

[Nagaibak]

“What is happening in Moldova almost unambiguously highlights the American plan for the Transnistrian conflict.
Author! And what is the emphasis))) of the Moldovan army?)))) And they will strike with all six thousand of their troops?))) The state of finances and motivation of the Moldovan army is not worth considering. Low salaries for officers do not increase morale. Who will fight there?)))

Technics? As in the Ukrainian army before the war in the Donbass, we see good numbers))) And they have D20, Hyacinths, and Hurricanes.))) I only have a question. How many of them are in good condition and are Moldovan artillerymen able to fire these guns too? And most importantly, how professionally can they do this?))) Or can they only get into cities?
And most importantly, they have no tanks at all. Aviation is also not visible.))) So what is the emphasis of the army of Moldova?)))

[Kibalchish]

Pumping money, equipment, reinforcing mercenaries and instructors - it will not be so bad. The EU could very well go for it - the costs there are an order of magnitude lower than the Ukrainian army., And the enemy is much less serious - an isolated and blocked enclave. Motivated thugs can always be found. Even in Moldova. They were found and 1990 year, and there are now.
But the political effect for Russia from the fall of Transnistria will be enormous. So your malice is out of place.

[Nagaibak]

Kibalchish "So your malice is out of place."

To the place of my malice))) if the author argues as a schoolboy.))) Sorry for the directness.)))
Kibalchish "The EU may well agree to this - the costs there are an order of magnitude lower than for the Ukrainian army."

Here is the EU, then another hemorrhoids with an unpredictable result is not needed.))) You want to say that they in the EU do not understand that in the event of a conflict, Moldova will finally collapse? You do not know the national alignment in Moldova? Gagauz and Bulgarians took off? And there are still enough Russians there. And among Moldova, not everything is clear. Of course there are not many Gagauzes.))) But in which case everyone will rise. This must be understood. This is one point. The second finance is from Europe.))) Already ridiculous ... Do you seriously think that they will finance Moldova?))) The United States can send hammers, of course, toss money, send dry rations.))) Yes.

Kibalchish "You can always find motivated thugs. Even in Moldova. They were found in 1990, and will be found now."
You confuse times and mores at the same time.))) In the 90s there was one thing, now another.
Here are justified ones just on earnings in construction sites and in Europe on the fields, grapes are harvested and the streets are sweeping.))) They will call who remained, and there the contingent will be even better trained than in Ukraine.))) Especially if from the countryside.)) ) Before I talk about Moldovans, I want to ask ... Have you ever seen Moldovan yourself in your life? What makes you think that they will directly rush to fight with Transnistria. In fact, it is a calm and peaceful people. Romanians, of course, can help them with equipment and weapons, but for how long they will last here is the question. And no one will fight for them.
Kibalchish "But the political effect for Russia from the fall of Transnistria will be enormous."
And where did you get the idea that Transnistria will fall?))) It will not fall anywhere. I assure you.))) And the mercenaries from Europe, after Ukraine, are unlikely to go into another heat to fight with the Russians.))) Yeah, it’s better for them to drive blacks somewhere in warm Africa through the jungle. Everyone understood this ... except that except for the Poles, well, it will come to those.

[Kibalchish]

Quote: Nagaibak

Here is the EU, then another hemorrhoids with an unpredictable result is not needed.))) You want to say that they in the EU do not understand that in the event of a conflict Moldova will finally break up?

The EU is a tool in the hands of the United States. The states don't give a damn what is beneficial for them and what is not. They do not care about Moldova. 99% can’t even find it on the map.

Quote: Nagaibak

To the place of my malice))) if the author argues as a schoolboy.)))

Judging by the arguments, it is you who is the student who argues. And as a schoolboy-dvoeshnik on history.

Quote: Nagaibak

In 90 there was one thing, now another.

And then and now you can find scumbags. What changed? Have people become kinder? Take a look at Ukraine.

[Nagaibak]

= Kibalchish "The EU is a tool in the hands of the US."
So it is so, only Minsk 1 and 2 they were forced to sign. Although they are an instrument.))) So they do not really need war. Would be against would not sign.
Kibalchish "Judging by the arguments, you are the one who thinks as a schoolboy. Moreover, as a schoolboy who is a history student."
I may be a Losers))) I just do not carry such nonsense as you. You claim that you can create a strike force from the Moldovan army in which there are no tanks or aircraft.))) Hire and arm Moldovans with the money of the West.))) This cannot even be called naivety. Who will train them and how many? How much money will they give?))) Ukraine is an example for you.))) You did not give any facts.))) Who will support this "armada"? Again, who will they take there? In Moldova, almost the entire working-age population is working. There are old people and young people, the rest of the Sabbath.
You did not reveal the potentials of the parties and rushed into some sort of lengthy reasoning. This is just a tough analyte of level 348.
For your information, Transnistria can put about 30-40 thousand under arms. And they will have normal mobilization. They have a STATE and it took place. They have the potential to resist Moldova. They produce weapons themselves. Unlike Donbass, they don’t need to create an army from the wheels. And there are special services there.
In order to raise the armed forces of Moldova from their knees, not only large cash injections are needed, it is necessary to train military personnel. Nobody is engaged in this and it is not visible that someone would begin to be engaged in the near future. And you fight them.)))) So there’s nothing to get to the war.)))

[dmb]

Dear Andrey, who told you that the PMR will fall and that the Americans are pursuing this goal? It is important for them to create a conflict, to extinguish which and restore the destroyed will be spent our funds. To a certain extent, the USSR was strained due to the forced assistance to various Papuans, with all its might. Today Russia, in addition to its desperately stealing "establishment", has to spend funds on at least five "hot spots". So, alas, the staff members outplay us.

[Nagaibak]

dmb "Dear Andrey, who told you that the PMR will fall, and that the Americans are pursuing this goal?"

I’m not talking about this but the author of the article.)))

[just exp]

in Moldavian there are specialists who studied back in the USSR, some of them later fought as advisers in Africa, I served as an urgent in artillery in the Moldovan army (born and raised in Moldova) 2003-2004 and saw what this army was like, all the equipment was destroyed and it’s been stolen, that is, it’s sort of like it’s, but in essence it needs to be repaired at least, the ammunition is old, the live firing has not been carried out since 1996, when they drunk in the village during drunk drills and wrote in excuse that it was because of old ammunition, the only troops it’s border guards, the artillery brigade where I served was a disaster, there are no uniforms, no shoes, only 5 rounds of AKM from combat training, the training on the gun can only be said to be theoretical, it is dictated that they are brought to the disassembled guns a couple of times and this is the whole process of training, so when they ask me where I served and by whom, I say nothing to the artillery sergeant or say that I did not serve, because I sergeant, but I don’t know a damn thing about artillery.

[Historian]

Having abandoned the war last year, we will get it in this. Like a famous proverb. It’s not a shame to speak the language

[lilian]

This is the Moldovan Maidan. I am here, from Russia, watching what is happening in my homeland. The first thing that was stunned was the fact that I did not see the red flags of the communists and the flags of the socialists, i.e. opposition. I took part in a protest march (about fifty thousand protesters) from the Communist Party, then we shouted: "Lyanka on a rack" and it was clear, European prostitutes must be overthrown.

But who the hell brought these people to the streets ?! There are ruling parties (liberals and democrats), they themselves will not want to overthrow themselves. And this is not the opposition. Then this is some kind of third party.

[nail]

Cool down gentlemen. Where to fight, with our aligarchs or with our pro-Yidar government? Look at our ruble. The same economy and army, which was destroyed starting with the "hunchback."

[vladimirw]

What can be added to this article? The Russian Federation, its leadership, lost everywhere, in the entire post-Soviet space! They gave out loans, built everything on credit in Libya, Syria, etc. And now, at the expense of raising prices for everything within the country, they are again going to sell gas to Armenia, ukrainian fascists, weapons and so on.
But he cannot organize elementary price control within the country. Today we talked about the unprecedented price of apples, our Russian, with a huge apple crop inside the mill. I don’t understand something or is it a wrecking job?

[sherp2015]

Quote: vladimirw

The Russian Federation, its leadership, lost everywhere, in the entire post-Soviet space! They gave out loans, built everything in debt in Libya, Syria, etc. And now, due to the increase in prices for everything inside the country, they are again going to sell gas to Armenia, ukrainian fascists, weapons and so on.
But he cannot organize elementary price control within the country. Today we talked about the unprecedented price of apples, our Russian, with a huge apple crop inside the mill. I don’t understand something or is it a wrecking job?

It is not interesting for our government to restore order and restore industry with agriculture ... even education with health care continues to be killed.

[EvaFerrari]

Life is becoming harder, and survival is even harder ...

[Neophyte]

There’sn’t enough lace panties for everyone! Ukraine has been convinced of this, but Moldovans haven’t!
In view of possible provocations, Russia needs to create countermeasures to support pro-Russian forces (there are plenty of them there) .In general, ordinary people are sympathetic to
Russia and possibly prevent the Maidan.

[Prutkov]

This is strange. If the hegemon decided to exchange one of his hangers-on for another, then for this there is no need to shake up the entire Vasal country. There are enough opportunities to simply "persuade" to leave the post "on their own". The same "lost" lard of greenery. It is enough to demand that the grandmother be returned at the "adult" level. And shake the whole country in order to then popresovate Transnistria and make Russia nervous? The EU does not need it now. The very conversation between Merkel and Oland and Petya shows that the EU members are tired of all these revolutions. Of course, Merkel and Oland will not say anything directly to the hegemon. But the sediment will remain. To force Russia to pay for a country with which there is no common border and the government is clearly not pro-Russian will not work. Conflict with Transnistria? But what if a serious war really begins? After all, it is enough for a couple of shells to fly in from the Ukrainian side or vice versa ... If they wanted to make a mess, it would have thundered in Donbas. So it would be safer.

[Volzhanin]

The logical consequences of the toothless policy of our authorities.
Looks tight their Yankermans hold by their eggs. There is no reluctance to part with wealth. And so far they are standing idly by. All are waiting for something.