Military Review

What analysts do not say

62
At the end of the 1990-s in the Russian press it was popularly believed that the country needed a long-term development strategy. As an example, China was usually cited, for which such a strategy worked already then, but the overall mainstream development program of the Russian Federation was not created this way. Instead of it, programs appeared in branches and departments: rearmament of the army, housing construction, education, etc. In general, instead of the master plan, we received only its similarities that did not work well in a stable environment and would hardly work with the onset of lean years. . A comprehensive strategic project was required, as they say, just yesterday, and separate derivatives of the long-term plan were to be medium- and short-term horizons. By and large, the launch of such strategies was to occur even after the financial crisis of 1998, when with the fall of the ruble the mechanism of revival of the domestic industry was activated. But oil prices, which sharply jumped on demand from China and India, caused the illusion that a master plan was not needed.




However, it's all about planning in a calm, peaceful time. At the moment, the era of very different projects, plans for survival in extreme conditions. It must be admitted that now Russia is in a position where the rapid depletion of accumulated resources continues. The depletion of resources is not only monetary, which should work to support the ruble. Everything is much more complicated. There are intangible resources that cannot be measured. That is, it is impossible to measure in absolute numbers. For example, such a resource is public confidence in the government and its willingness to endure difficulties in the absence of political and moral guidelines. If the country's leadership does not keep a “hand on the pulse” of public sentiment, then one day it may become clear that these important resources have quietly dried up.

Forecasts and Prophecies

The raw material orientation of the economy remains. Budget revenues largely depend on the dynamics of world energy prices. We are losing the competition in the global market, which is more and more oriented towards the innovation sectors, the new economy - the economy of knowledge and technology. A significant part of the Russian economy is still in the shadows.

(Message from the President to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. July 8 2000.)

These words sounded a decade and a half ago. Today, the population of the Russian Federation continues to watch oil quotes with a sinking heart, counting how many goods with a changed course they can buy for their money. This is the result of the development of a country without a plan and strategy, which allowed officials to substitute real activity with its imitation. After all, if there are no concrete figures to which it is necessary to pull up, then anything can be given out for the success of a concrete leader.

Confusion has now come to the community of experts, who sometimes give the most fantastic predictions. Let us give a few examples to clarify what exactly we are talking about.

So, some economists ahead of time started talking about a possible paralysis of the Russian banking system almost as if the disaster of the country as a whole. A common mistake of Russian financial analysts is that they transfer someone else's experience to domestic soil, without taking into account local peculiarities. In the Russian Federation, the financial sector is a feeder for the elect, with the real economy practically not intersecting due to transcendental interest on loans. In the West, everything is different. There credit is the foundation. But it is according to Western patterns that our home-grown predictors for some reason measure their own economy.

Political scientists have also gone a short distance away with their reasoning about the imminent start in the Russian Federation of a brutal clash between oligarchs related to the collapse of the economy. The basis is, of course, the Ukrainian example. It cannot be said that this is absolutely impossible in our country, but two differences between countries cannot be missed.

The first difference: in Ukraine, decentralizing and chaotic beginnings were traditionally strong, while in Russia everything is much more centralized and authoritarian. Moscow does not yet allow the autonomy of the oligarchs to the extent that Kiev has always allowed it. Remembering the unforgettable Kuchma, one can say with a clear conscience that in this respect Ukraine is not really Russia.

The second difference. In Russia, in Russia, the ruling classes have already looked at the experience of their neighbors and are hardly in a hurry to repeat it. A similar “before Ukraine” could happen in the Russian Federation, but “after Ukraine” such a path is unlikely.

Examples can be cited to infinity. The most common mistake of analysts is that they too freely dispose of the word “collapse” and its synonyms, without giving transcripts to the general public.

And really, what is, for example, “economic collapse”? Something like that which took place in the late USSR? But a very specific type of economy collapsed there - a planned one that simply stopped working. A market type, even a market-oligarchic one (different from a real market economy, just like toilet paper differs from emery cloth) is arranged quite differently, and it is not so easy to sharpen it.

In modern Russia, the collapse of the economy, and of the country as a whole, is possible only with an illegitimate change of power, a coup d'état. And with a coup with equal chances of both successful and disastrous. In the event of a successful coup, many regions will refuse to recognize the coup and may seriously consider declaring independence - it is not for nothing that US Ambassador John Tefft traveled around Russia so much. In case of an unsuccessful coup, the situation is no less piquant: some subjects of the federation can recognize putschists before their defeat, thereby cutting off their own ways to retreat. After the restoration of the legitimate central authority in Moscow, such shifter nomenclatures do not have any other choice, except for all the same separatism, otherwise their heads will fly among the first.

Ring of enemies

Under current conditions, it is important not to repeat the mistakes of Gorbachev, who surrendered the outer contour of the defense, collapsed the economy and allowed the emergence of armed conflicts around the perimeter of the borders. The latter circumstance played an almost decisive role in the 1991 disaster. As a result of the rejection of the suppression of nationalist riots, the Soviet Union was immediately involved in several local wars on its territory. In conjunction with the frustration of the government and the collapse of the economy, there was an interception of power and a natural disintegration.

It was not for nothing that we remembered the occurrence of conflicts along the Russian borders, because more and more threatening signals are coming in from all sides. For example, in the Baltic States and Poland, military exercises are constantly being held under the sign of fighting the threat from Kaliningrad, which is presented in the Western press as something militarized and dangerous to the extreme. The question arises - how can Kaliningrad, which has a population of less than a million people, could threaten thirty-eight million Poland, a member of NATO? Right, no way. And the maneuvers are not at all like defensive ones. If a certain subject is afraid of an evil bear, then it would be logical to build a high fence near the forest, and not to go to the den for a bear skin with pitchforks at the ready - namely, our Eastern European neighbors are clearly preparing for the second way.

Naturally, today an attack on Kaliningrad would look insane, and the chances of success of the aggressor would not even be zero, but negative. However, is there any groundwork for the future? And the future is not so remote.



The tone of the media in neighboring countries of the Russian Federation also leads to suspicions. If in April 2014, the comments were frightened and confused, now printed and electronic publications are increasingly allowing themselves to scorn and snooty attacks on Moscow. A very significant change. Very little remains to the famous “colossus on the clay feet”.

In addition to Kaliningrad, there are a dozen more potential hot spots. Suffice it to mention two major official territorial disputes, three or four frozen conflicts in the CIS space (Transnistria, Armenia, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, Tajikistan) in which Russia participates in one way or another. Even one such conflict will become a serious test for crisis management. And already two or more conflicts that broke out at the same time can lead to a catastrophic overstrain of forces. It is precisely from this that a competently composed strategy providing for a variety of options can save.

Conventional planning provides for the prosperity of resources for the development of the country, a stable socio-economic situation in the country and a relatively calm external environment. An extreme or crisis plan considers the existence of a nation in conditions of limited resources, increasing internal instability and a frankly hostile external environment. Also an integral part of the extreme plan is to counter plans, let's call them so, hostile forces. Here it is important to understand, at least in general terms, what an enemy plan is and what means it will use. Until such an understanding arises, the country is doomed to receive blows from the outside — every time more and more sensitive. There is a certain limit beyond which the state falls. In physics, such examples are sufficient: this is the critical mass of uranium or the Oppenheimer-Volkov limit, beyond which the neutron star becomes a black hole. However, in the case of a randomized human society, it is practically impossible to understand what will be the limit. Therefore, it is so important not to bring the country to this limit, so that later it will not be overlooked.

Rocking the state boat is not at all a cartoonist oppositionist in a rainbow leotard and with a white ribbon on his shoulder. The ostentatious destruction of food in front of millions of people living below the poverty line, and parole for Vasilyeva destabilize the situation more than a whole army of bulk and a hundred hundred swamp rallies. This is understood even by officials - those who are smarter and with the most developed self-preservation instinct. The famous phrase about the Russian revolt, which is always merciless, did not lose its topicality in the twenty-first century.

The ultimate goal of all external hostile forces is clear - to bring the Russian nation to a state in which it can no longer influence anything. Like the position in which the once great Greeks found themselves today. To do this, it is not necessary to destroy Russia to the ground. It is enough to achieve a separation of two or three regions, and economic ties will be broken, and Russia will be thrown back decades ago - until new ties are established.

In order to avoid such an outcome, a crisis plan is necessary, which should include, if not all scenarios, then very many. Whether such a plan is being created now is a big question. No less a question - who to trust the creation of such a plan. If the “specialists” of the HSE or “effective managers” like Serdyukov, then the result will be appropriate. We need new people, and with them - new ideas. But where do they come from in conditions of poorly working social elevators?

Сonclusion

Russia came to the fateful 2014 year with a whole fan of unresolved internal and external problems. Trying to solve them at once, now, in extreme conditions is dangerous and stupid. Not to decide at all - a crime. Only a faithful and balanced plan, which will rely on the trust of the people, will allow not only to survive difficult times, but also to see the overthrow of the enemy.
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  1. RiverVV
    RiverVV 4 September 2015 05: 43 New
    +2
    Analysts are now in fashion two trends: some scold Russia and praise Putin, the second praise Russia and scold Putin. The author refers to the second.
    1. Kibalchish
      4 September 2015 07: 04 New
      +3
      The author is not an analyst. He is a historian. bully
      1. SibSlavRus
        SibSlavRus 4 September 2015 09: 12 New
        +6
        Kibalchish! For your information, historians are the best analysts. The essence of historical science is as follows.
        1. SibSlavRus
          SibSlavRus 4 September 2015 09: 53 New
          +1
          Historical science has much more methods of cognition and analysis of all spheres of life and being, in aggregate, than anything. And accordingly, the author, as a representative of this science.
      2. Eternal Watch
        Eternal Watch 4 September 2015 09: 37 New
        +4
        Kibalchish, in general, for the article to you +
      3. sherp2015
        sherp2015 4 September 2015 11: 06 New
        +8
        Quote: Kibalchish
        The author is not an analyst. He is a historian.


        Without a doubt.
        What are your plans, what is your strategy? Oil, gas in exchange for gum and chewing gum ...

        Where are the factories?
        1. ermolai
          ermolai 5 September 2015 09: 55 New
          0
          Quote: sherp2015
          Where are the factories?

          which ones are vital to you? and then who will build them? the state now does not build anything at the expense of the budget, only private capital, and today it is focused on super-profits, and in a very short time. The sales market for these plants and factories is also busy, so apparently the most promising direction where a significant share of the state is the military-industrial complex. aviation industry, shipbuilding corporation, space construction / maintenance of nuclear power plants, and even today we have the consequences of betrayal of a hunchbacked ebn who donated everything and as a result received Sakhalin-2, it seems when oil / gas is like Russian and the income is foreign, in the Magadan Region . the mine is Kubaka, so gold from it almost went to America. and such examples are darkness. look at the share of foreign capital in the overall picture by industry and you will see that the Russian Federation owns a small part of what belonged to us. how to fix it? Nationalization? it came in the 17th. but voluntarily no one has yet refused.
          1. Awaz
            Awaz 7 September 2015 17: 45 New
            0
            you know. What you described in Russia, that is, in the USSR, already existed. At one time, when Trotsky came to power, he also distributed everything to the Americans. He handed out so that only after the death of Stalin was it possible to return the last gold mine under the jurisdiction of the USSR. About the same thing is happening now. Of course, there is no direct nationalization, but many processes to return various Western projects to Russian jurisdiction are either ongoing or completed. As I know, even Sakhalin 2 is also poorly controlled under control. I honestly know without details. I understand that not everything is good, sometimes very bad, but in terms of GDP, the RF is still the largest economy in Europe.
      4. dmb
        dmb 4 September 2015 12: 53 New
        +6
        Dear author, well, firstly, it is not entirely clear which year we have “fateful”. and secondly, it is not clear what this fatefulness is expressed in and what are you trying to demand from the government? Actually, you can demand anything from reducing Sechin’s fees to sending Serdyukov to places of deprivation of liberty. Only here, as a historian, you probably understand how your requirements will end. None of us wants a deterioration in the economic situation of the people in the event of a change of power, but alas, it is inevitable, like the change itself. Moreover, regardless of whether this change will be peaceful (option Allende) or armed (option October). In both cases, there will always be a force that does not want to give back the loot. This exhortation cannot be suppressed. It is for this reason that those who have not reached complete impoverishment now hope that they will not reach him, which is also impossible under capitalism. I think the latter is understandable to you as a historian too.
      5. Polkanov
        Polkanov 4 September 2015 13: 03 New
        -6
        ... tantrums. No facts, calculations, BNS ...
    2. Sid.74
      Sid.74 4 September 2015 07: 19 New
      +23
      But oil prices, which sharply jumped on demand from China and India, caused the illusion that a master plan was not needed.

      How much can you repeat something?
      In general, Russia's GDP, oil, coal and gas occupy about 10%.
      In the general structure of exports, hydrocarbons occupy approximately 40%, but already with rent, duties and taxes. Taxes are already a separate item of income in the Russian budget.
      And as for oil, its revenues take into account the price of long-term contracts that are made up for six months, a year. And price fluctuations today, tomorrow or the day after tomorrow do not play a decisive role in income.
      The long-term decline, which lasts a year or six months, of course will affect the final price. It is also worth considering that the average annual price and the price in the middle of the year, or at the beginning are different things. Therefore, grasping the heart every time you hear that a barrel sank into a dollar unnecessary , pointless simply.
      The total income from hydrocarbons is about 180 billion dollars. But you need to take into account the fact that the ruble increased the amount of profit in rubles by lowering it.
      That somewhat leveled losses from lower oil prices.
      The outflow of money from Russia that year amounted to about $ 150 billion.
      As you understand, these are far greater financial losses than the fall in the price of oil.
      The question is, what is the actual money and where did it go?
      Here everything is completely ambiguous: the first is the money that went to pay off loans taken abroad by Russian companies and banks. By the way, the main creditors are not Americans at all, Americans invest in NGOs more than they invest in Russia, in the general structure of investments this is about 2,5%, right between Sweden and Kazakhstan. This is to the eternal howl of the Communists that money in the United States is leaking. Capitalists sucking money from Russia are more international.
      The main creditors are the UK, Holland, Cyprus !!! Namely, their offshores.
      And now it’s quite interesting, half of the firms that received loans are our large companies, such as KAMAZ and others. Tue until last year, although they were operating in Russia, de facto were listed as British and Cypriot.
      For a few percent of profit saved in a foreign land, as it seemed to our capitalists, is far better than to keep money in Russian banks.
      The second is the money that directly leaves Russia and finances foreign industry. Foreign machines, medical equipment and everything related to pharmacology. Other kinds of seeds, seedlings, and animal husbandry.
      The third is an extremely surprising and frankly wicked thing.
      Russian banks took from the Central Bank of Russia currency at repo auctions. The essence of this tool is quite simple: the bank receives from the regulator a currency secured by assets at a fixed rate, and after a specified period of time it performs the reverse operation.
      Foreign currency repos will be executed with banks classified by the Central Bank as 1 and 2 classification groups. The 1 group includes banks whose activities do not reveal current difficulties (whose capital, assets, profitability and liquidity are rated as “good” and the ownership structure is transparent). The 2 group includes banks that do not have current difficulties, but whose activities have shortcomings that, if not eliminated, can lead to difficulties in the coming year.
      The second group is the biggest pests, they took the currency from the Central Bank and clamped on it, while feeding panic rumors spread by the "unleavened" and head-board liberators from Kudrin to Sobchak and Gref.
      The dollar grows, the ruble falls and the people run to the exchange offices. The banks from the second group sell the currency and get 200% profit, give the Central Bank money and interest while getting a lot of money. And why should these banks finance industry and infrastructure in Russia for five or seven years, when with the help of speculation can you make a profit within six months?
      1. Sid.74
        Sid.74 4 September 2015 09: 43 New
        +9
        As for the bulk of the army, which are not terrible, it is simply enchanting stupidity in my opinion.
        You don’t have enough examples of Yugoslavia, Arab springs, Libya, Syria, Macedonia, Ukraine? Before that, there were Baltic countries from the times of the USSR.
        The same scenario, the same funds that pay for the conventional navalnyh activities. And then the marshland, Maidan, snipers, whose media hysterics aim for the same, arise, to shift the disagreeable American State Department power. Although our power is not ideal, it’s definitely not American .And all the oil from the US and Western partners, there is a lie.
        Their henchmen already came to power in 90, and the seven bankers and the power of the Gusinsky, Khodarkovsky, Berezovsky, what had already been forgotten?
        As for the one-legged structure of the economy of the Russian Federation. Since the end of 90-s to this day, several thousand banks have been liquidated, this is not in one country not at all.
        And each bank is its own master, and it was impossible to control them.
        Now in Russia about seven hundred banks, and every month, two, are liquidated
        some more unreliable, or frankly laundry financial structures. Ideally, you need somewhere 300. For the money will continue to flow away from the country. And the whole structure of the economy will collapse.
        Do you think that the 150 billion that Russia lost from capital outflows is unrealistic? Not at all, the United Kingdom lost last year
        $ 356 billion. Meanwhile, the UK economy in absolute terms is far less than the Russian one. And what, a lot of people in the UK turned out to overthrow the evil bloody regime of the queen?
        China for the year lost about 1 trillion dollars and devalued its currency.
        And what, the new Tiananmen something did not happen. How is that?
        As for the "poor" products, well, incredible nonsense. The same Germany destroys about 20 million a tone of products every year. And at the same time, the Minister of Agriculture of the Federal Republic of Germany accuses us of something, Russia and calls us uncivilized.
        Do not be like western hypocrites. Moreover, in one week after the introduction of the law, smuggling decreased by 80%.
        And each such batch of counterfeit is the lost profits of our farmers. And unlike in Russia, the EU countries subsidize the C / X industry in everything, subsidies for the C / X equipment, tax relief, loans, loans with ultra-low rates. The EU?
        1. THE_SEAL
          THE_SEAL 5 September 2015 23: 15 New
          0
          Why we do not support agricultural producers in the Russian Federation. Because the prime city dweller?
        2. The comment was deleted.
      2. Dark_Filin
        Dark_Filin 7 September 2015 10: 21 New
        +1
        There are many letters, but knowledge is not enough.
        Quote:
        "In total, Russia's GDP, oil, coal and gas occupy about 10%.
        In the overall structure of exports, hydrocarbons account for approximately 40%, but already with rent, duties and taxes. Taxes are a separate item of revenue in the Russian budget. "

        For the 2013 year, for example, the state’s oil and gas revenues are not 40%, but 18,19% MET, 27.88% is customs. This is 46% already. Source https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A4%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%X%%BBD



        0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9_%D0%B1%D1%8E%D0%B4%D0%B6%D0%B5%D1%82_%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D



        0% B8% D0% B8 Plus, we calculate how much profit will come from metals and other resources that we export, as well as indirect income - it will be for 50%, if not all 60%. I wonder what will happen if tomorrow the United States requires its companies and the EU not to buy oil and gas from Russia? If it is quite difficult with gas due to the fact that pipelines or an extremely expensive infrastructure for liquefaction and transportation are required, then there are no problems with oil. Iran enters the market, Ecuador sells already below cost - it's time!

        Quote:
        "And with regard to oil, revenue from it is taken into account with the price of long-term contracts, which are drawn up for six months, for a year. And price fluctuations today, tomorrow or the day after tomorrow do not play a decisive role in revenue.

        Especially for those who do not know - for such purposes there are settlement contracts with a price formula. And the formula depends on the price in the market. Here, for example, the execution price of such contracts for the Moscow exchange http://moex.com/a348

        Quote:
        "The total hydrocarbon income is approximately 180 billion dollars. But we must also take into account the fact that the ruble, by lowering it, increased the amount of profit in rubles."

        Of course. But here is one question - if you call a spade a spade, at whose expense did you get out? Yes, at the expense of their own population, whose salaries, pensions and benefits did not soar, like prices in stores by 2 times.
        And for this you still have to pay: since most of the goods have risen in price, people will stop buying durable goods (household appliances, cars, etc.), and cut back on other expenses, such as fitness clubs. Where are the people who get fired because of this? And their earnings, which they spent on purchases and from which they paid taxes?

        Quote:
        “For a few saved percent profit in a foreign land, as it seemed to our capitalists, this is much better than storing money in Russian banks.”

        The point is not to save interest. The point is that a business registered in offshore is much more difficult to select. Because you have to sue there, but there are no “own” judges and cops.

        Quote:
        "The second group is the biggest pests, they took currency from the Central Bank and pinched it, while fueled by panic rumors spread by" non-positive "and horned liberals from Kudrin to Sobchak and Gref."

        “And why should these banks finance industry and infrastructure in Russia for five or seven years, when, with the help of speculation, you can profit within six months?”

        And now we look at the factual side of the matter - at what percentage is money provided to commercial banks? At a key rate. How much is this rate in the USA right now? 0,25%. The ECB? 0,25% In Japan? 0%. In the Russian Federation? 17%! This is more than in the US and the EU in (17% / 0,25% =) 68 times! What kind of business can be credited at such a rate, despite the fact that the bank itself still has to lay down its profits and its risks of non-return in this? It's clear where this money went - to the currency and stock markets - this is the only option to make a profit more than the interest that the Central Bank needs to give.
      3. Aqela
        Aqela 7 September 2015 20: 49 New
        0

        Here the import figures are different.
    3. SibSlavRus
      SibSlavRus 4 September 2015 09: 25 New
      +2
      Why be surprised? Our analysts, politicians and managers (especially those of an economic nature) on which educational materials were formed? Correctly! The fact that the West sent on a market economy, because in the beginning of the 1990s, we had no trace of our relations. Up to the textbooks on "management". But all this did not have “our” empirical base and other methods of cognition. We were “driven into patterns,” in a word.
    4. antoXa
      antoXa 4 September 2015 13: 00 New
      +6
      RiverVV
      I did not notice where he scolds him, in my opinion a normal, quite sober analysis, despite the fact that the author calls himself a nationalist - a communist)
      set + Kibalchish)))
      By the way, for fun, I asked at work from several colleagues aged 25-26) whether he knew who Malchish-Kibalchish was)))), he didn’t expect a damn, but it turned out they didn’t hear at all)))
      here it is the memory of generations
      1. The comment was deleted.
    5. Iskander69
      Iskander69 4 September 2015 19: 52 New
      +2
      "In the current circumstances, it is important not to repeat the mistakes of Gorbachev, who handed over the external defense circuit, collapsed the economy and allowed armed conflicts to arise along the perimeter of the borders." Damn it - these are not mistakes. He was not mistaken ..
  2. olimpiada15
    olimpiada15 4 September 2015 06: 26 New
    +18
    Each time, when I see the next analyst on the screen, I get an idea - how many you parasites have divorced. There are a lot of different thoughts, but no one talks about the main thing. The fact that the existing model of the economy does not work for their own country, but for foreign ones, because big business receives income from such a model, and they don’t care about the country and people. And as soon as the pinching begins, all problems are dumped on the domestic market and a people who cannot get out of endless problems anyway. The state is simply obligated to deal with solving internal problems and not by responding to emerging situations, but by spinning a mechanism working autonomously to develop domestic production.
    1. Gomunkul
      Gomunkul 4 September 2015 11: 35 New
      +1
      all problems are dumped on the domestic market and the people
      You correctly noticed that for them the domestic market is like a cash cow. Now the situation is the same again, everything for export, about the domestic market is the last thing the argument is recalled: take it at the export price, but don’t want to, well, we have export. Here is our economygood
    2. The comment was deleted.
  3. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 4 September 2015 07: 01 New
    +5
    bringing the Russian nation to a state in which it can no longer influence anything

    To understand this, one does not have to be an analyst. Just love your country.
    1. marlin1203
      marlin1203 4 September 2015 07: 44 New
      +3
      Hedgehog bird lazy until you kick, will not fly ... laughing
  4. parusnik
    parusnik 4 September 2015 07: 21 New
    +2
    it is important not to repeat the mistakes of Gorbachev, who handed over the external contour of the defense, collapsed the economy and allowed armed conflicts to arise along the perimeter of the borders. .... In this, the author is right ...
    1. ROMANO
      ROMANO 4 September 2015 15: 41 New
      +5
      It seems to me that Gorbachev, along with Shevarnadze, not only “made” mistakes, but consciously finished off the Soviet economy, the armed forces, and the military-industrial complex. And a lot of facts are an example. Accordingly, the results of his reign are so fatal for the country.
  5. Million
    Million 4 September 2015 08: 06 New
    +7
    When will the trial of Gorbachev be?
    1. Gomunkul
      Gomunkul 4 September 2015 11: 39 New
      0
      When will the trial of Gorbachev be?
      Only history can condemn it and popular memory.
      What is in vain, or what order was given to him? wink
    2. The comment was deleted.
  6. Stalnov I.P.
    Stalnov I.P. 4 September 2015 08: 35 New
    +24
    I listened to the performance of the GDP in Sochi at the school for gifted children, Sirius, just a terrific performance, one of the best for all the work, the goals of the country's development are precisely indicated, how the state will do it, just a wonderful speech by the head of state. I ask myself a question and I am addressing this question to the PRESIDENT, understanding that I won’t get any answers to it - but YOU yourself believe what SIRIUS said at the SCHOOL, I DO NOT BELIEVE, I do not believe you as the PRESIDENT, ruble collapse, sanctions, inflation, unemployment, 23 million. CITIZENS OF RUSSIA live below the poverty line, etc., and how many small and medium-sized firms and entrepreneurs went bankrupt thanks to this economic policy, here is the result of the activities of you, your government and government, YOU could not create COMFORTABLE conditions for development countries, economies, individuals, and now we are reaping these benefits. I don’t believe YOU as the supreme commander, you appointed a “stool” as the Minister of Defense, but he has a BOP written on his snout, thousands of officers, warrant officers, scientists were dismissed, military schools were closed, material resources were stolen. I do not believe YOU as the guarantor of the constitution, Vasiliev’s case, Altai sheep’s business, etc. shows that among all our equals we have very equal ones, those who YOU ​​surround, you created COMMUNISM for them, in economics, politics, and the criminal procedure sphere. But the worst thing is I don’t believe YOU as a person, you told the children about their future, and they believed YOU, believed as the LEADER OF THE COUNTRY, AS AN OLDER PERSON, but they will grow up and face the fact that it’s hard to get a job, there is no growth in official ladder, they are talented, and next to them, children of people close to YOU ​​hold the posts of directors, presidents, first deputies or simply deputies of large corporations, organizations, banks, etc. receive orders and seeing all this they will understand YOU DECEPED THEM, and after all this happens on the lower floors of the government and YOU do nothing to break it and therefore I say - I DO NOT BELIEVE, all that said above affects ALL citizens of RUSSIA their past, future and present, therefore I DO NOT BELIEVE YOU.
    1. Loner_53
      Loner_53 4 September 2015 08: 49 New
      +4
      You plus, read and it became hard on your soul chopping the truth. sad
    2. Bekas1967
      Bekas1967 4 September 2015 09: 11 New
      +6
      I also DO NOT BELIEVE. So many promises and some disappointments ... Is it really so difficult to create conditions for small and medium businesses? People themselves will start earning, just would not interfere ... But no, it is necessary to regulate, distribute, allocate .. But for the most part account -To collect, tax, fine. I DO NOT BELIEVE.
    3. Anatole Klim
      Anatole Klim 4 September 2015 09: 24 New
      +2
      Quotation: I.P.
      I ask myself a question and I am addressing this question to the PRESIDENT, understanding that I won’t get any answers to it - and YOU yourself believe what you were talking about

      I read your emotional commentary and remembered Putin’s answer:
    4. ivanzu87
      ivanzu87 4 September 2015 09: 33 New
      +15
      A good king is bad boyars, the principle of the people's love for the president rests on this principle. Political technologists masterfully support this principle. The population associates GDP only with victories and achievements.

      A lot has been done during his reign, this cannot be taken away, but the main thing has not been done, the country has not entered a new qualitative round of development. The second industrialization did not work. Russia has not become the flagship of the innovation process in the world, but the main thing is that the conditions for the implementation of key changes have not been created, there is no consistent policy for the implementation of sound ideas. The authorities have no political will to solve key problems.

      We don’t even know which state we are building and on what principles ... What is our democratic state? Are we developing a market economy? Or state. capitalism with AKU elements?
      Populism is everywhere and it scares.

      Where are the pending reforms in public administration? Judicial, administrative, LSG and others require reform.
      People don’t believe in courts, people don’t believe in officials, people don’t see the point in the local government system.
    5. Alexl
      Alexl 4 September 2015 09: 48 New
      +15
      Putin has been talking about this for 15 years. But does nothing.
    6. Vladimir 1964
      Vladimir 1964 4 September 2015 11: 33 New
      0
      And I, Ivan Petrovich, liked your comment.
    7. Tambov Wolf
      Tambov Wolf 4 September 2015 11: 57 New
      +9
      Simply put. BOLTUN.Now how can you believe it if you refuse your words. Even grannies already talk about this.
    8. IIIIvanov
      IIIIvanov 4 September 2015 14: 41 New
      0
      You dear nonsense write!
      Apparently, you never faced the need to control a large number of independent people, and besides this, you are completely unfamiliar with the process of implementing measures or decisions under the current laws, you simply cannot imagine the conditions that must be observed.
      I could write for a long time and a lot, but I think when the criterion is chosen I believe I do not believe, it becomes impossible to talk about facts. After all, if you consider any of the examples that you have listed, each has two sides, emotional and legislative. Your side is extremely emotional, unfortunately.
      Sincerely.
    9. ROMANO
      ROMANO 4 September 2015 15: 52 New
      +6
      And how, in fact, you can trust the "official successor" EBNa ??? In the first months of his reign there was still a timid hope for a miracle, but alas, unlike EM Primakov, this ... turned out to be a faithful ally of the seven-bankers. negative
    10. The comment was deleted.
    11. The comment was deleted.
    12. THE_SEAL
      THE_SEAL 5 September 2015 23: 08 New
      +1
      I subscribe. Putin has no faith. For 15 years they sat on an oil needle, and now it took "heroes". The worst thing is that Putin put himself on the kingdom for many years, and the Russians have no alternative. They will arrange castling with dimasik. The blasphemy of "clicks" on television is striking, which extol the personality cult, not realizing that they have repelled the country in development for decades. And they call it patriotism. Prokhanov is a hysterical six.
  7. Volzhanin
    Volzhanin 4 September 2015 09: 15 New
    +5
    The famous phrase about the Russian rebellion, which is always merciless, did not lose its topicality in the twenty-first century.

    I would not want to get to this. The planet cannot stand it. Not even Australia will seem a little. Yellow stone will explode 100%! And the geyropa will simply disappear from the face of the Earth.

    We need new people, and with them new ideas. But where do they come from in conditions of poorly functioning social elevators?

    This is simply a huge problem that impedes the development of our Power. I personally do not even know how to approach the solution of this problem. "Tops" can not, do not know how and do not want to (who will voluntarily refuse the feeder?), But they do not want to leave! “Bottoms" have not wanted for a long time, but also can not, because The consequences are obvious - there is an example of the outskirts. Here we stand again raskoryaku. How long is it so simple?
  8. Izotovp
    Izotovp 4 September 2015 09: 23 New
    +2
    The fateful will be 2018, the year of the election. The current system of delays and balances is tied to Putin, and what will happen after him. It seems that the United States is waiting for his departure to start playing the Yugoslav scenario with us.
  9. Neputin
    Neputin 4 September 2015 09: 35 New
    +8
    Summarizing a certain opinion, it can be said that an understanding of the need to change the socio-economic system is gradually forming in the country. The question is who and how will this be done? How much Russians differ in this respect from Ukrainians, whom only the lazy did not call “patters” and “suckers”, “housekeepers”, etc. After all, talking only about this topic is an unambiguous search for adventures on your own ass, and even actions are pure crime. This power will tear those who want to change something with their teeth. Peacefully, no one will give anything to the people. But in the near future nothing will happen - the revolutionary situation has not matured, when "the tops cannot, and the lower classes do not want" to live in the old way. We'll have to wait and continue to rock this rotten, corrupt, liberal boat called "OUR POWER"
    1. Eternal Watch
      Eternal Watch 4 September 2015 09: 41 New
      0
      Quote: Neputin
      Neputin

      Only categorical + you drinks
    2. The comment was deleted.
  10. Vladimir 1964
    Vladimir 1964 4 September 2015 10: 18 New
    +9
    Good, competent article. And surprisingly relatively calm and clear comments. The author organized a serious debate. But the result of this polemic is still unequivocal, most of the population does not believe in AUTHORITY. In what degree? Here opinions differ, someone else believes in a fairy tale about a good king and bad boyars, someone already does not believe in this. The result is one, in spite of all the idiotic propaganda campaign, discontent with the authorities is ripening among the people, and this discontent itself is intensely nourished by all its actions. But this is already very bad.
  11. morozik
    morozik 4 September 2015 11: 14 New
    -8
    started "do not believe do not believe" ...
    offer specific leaders! your “I don’t believe” and putinsil - it’s not original ... the whole 5th column shouts so hiding abroad ...
    War goes both inside and out. Either go to the Maidan - or fight on the side of the P-resident. Then everything will become clear who - for whom.
    In my environment, 95% of 100 BELIEVE!
    OFFER OPTIONS! WHO can break through to power pure and spotless ???
    1. dmb
      dmb 4 September 2015 12: 36 New
      +6
      But can you find out who your environment is made up of and is it big? Of course, there are no last names and addresses, although why hide them for the sake of it if the truth is behind you. Just wondering what your faith is based on. Here is the "unbelievers" they specifically write, what causes their disbelief, and what motivates you and the environment except the slogans about the 5 column. By the way, the “unbelievers” do not belong to it, with rare exceptions, because their problems with the well-fed “column” are unknown.
      1. morozik
        morozik 4 September 2015 13: 55 New
        -1
        my environment includes a wife, three children with wives / husbands, then: matchmakers -4 (2e - I do not communicate ideologically), relatives of my wife - 10, to add about those at work in a friendly working class team?
        My faith is based on the dynamics of events, on a comparison of what was before and what is after ... that's all.
        1. dmb
          dmb 4 September 2015 14: 01 New
          +5
          Naturally, your family ties were least of all interested, interested in your social status and what you mean by a friendly collective of the working class: your position, number of people in the enterprise, manufactured products, region of residence, average earnings (without exaggeration).
          1. morozik
            morozik 4 September 2015 14: 45 New
            +3
            St. Petersburg region and Leningrad region
            class composition:
            hired engineers / workers (salary cp.40-50), civil servants (salary 20 with additives), small-sized business (income from ... I don’t know for sure), housewives, doctors, ordinary pensioners, military pensioners, working pensioners. Education is usually higher.
            Religion - Orthodox, National composition: Russians, Ukrainians.
            My position was different - from the machine tool to the production manager (up to 50 people), currently a design engineer at the factory (happiness is not at work), the work team in my immediate environment is about 20 people, Russians, Ukrainians, too.
            I almost forgot ... the TV has not been working for almost a year with us)) ...
            1. dmb
              dmb 4 September 2015 15: 31 New
              +10
              And all of you are unspeakably glad to raise utility bills, raise food prices, introduce new unjustifiable taxes (for repairs and housing), official fundraising in schools, and medical care. at which you pay for any sneeze (you can continue for a long time). If all this does not concern you, then you do not live on the salaries that you indicated, or try to make others pay for you. If it concerns, but you are ready to endure it, then I would like to know the goal for which you are ready to do it. Just do not need pathos about Great Russia. Personally, I and Sechin have different Russia. You hope he is not among the familiar engineers ?.
              1. morozik
                morozik 4 September 2015 16: 34 New
                -3
                I also don’t like much in today's Russia, but that doesn’t mean that Putin is to blame ...
                See the root

                1. RUSS
                  RUSS 9 September 2015 19: 02 New
                  +1
                  Quote: morozik
                  I also don’t like much in today's Russia, but that doesn’t mean that Putin is to blame ...
                  See the root

                  The king is good, the boyars are bad.
          2. morozik
            morozik 4 September 2015 16: 43 New
            0
            here too ... those whom Putin interferes with

        2. The comment was deleted.
    2. Glot
      Glot 4 September 2015 12: 49 New
      +1
      And what could be the options?
      Is there anyone, or those who, replacing today's power, will only work for the good of the country and the people?
      I don’t see such people. Absolutely. Generally.
      Perhaps they are crushed still on the way. But that is, that is.
      What other options?
      Get "from under the hemp sawed-off" and let's go Maidan?
      No, I don’t want these options! There is absolutely no desire to plunge the Country into the likeness of what is happening with the neighbors. And with us with this option, it will be much worse. And again, well, there is no such force that could come as a result of the coup and begin to build a "Great Future". I don’t see such strength here.
      So, to believe or not to believe this power, it is our right, but to live with them, or rather, under them, we still have no idea how much time. To live, to survive, it’s someone who was lucky, and who became who, or remained nobody.
      1. dmb
        dmb 4 September 2015 14: 11 New
        +3
        Sorry, but your comment doesn’t correspond to the avatar. And you will have to live UNDER THEM just as much as you will consider yourself a forced cattle, and not a person. And when you get tired of it, but want to believe (judging by the avatar) that this will happen much faster than the authorities think, then it is quite possible that you will be one of those who replace this power and will work for the good of the country and people. Judging by the commentary, it is unlikely that you will personally come to power out of selfish interests. And there are already a lot of people like you in the country, and every day there are even more.
        1. Glot
          Glot 4 September 2015 15: 56 New
          +2
          Well, there is another option - to dump. There, I have a friend, dumped in Argentina. Lives does not bother. ))) Although not, when the wife offered to bring down her relatives in Germany, I refused. It’s not mine, it’s a stranger will always be a stranger ...
          As for tired and whether I will. I do not know what I will be, and how it will be. I do not know. If the time comes, well, then you have to turn on. But here’s such a hitch ... It’s easy to condemn those who take advantage of this or that position, rowing for themselves, until he himself finds himself in that position, in such a place. After all, we are all human beings, and a demon can confuse everyone. )) Therefore, I can’t know how I would behave myself.
          1. dmb
            dmb 4 September 2015 20: 13 New
            +1
            You know a colleague, do not think about yourself worse than you are. The demon does not confuse all. An example of this is our ancestors. They, for the most part, building socialism were not thinking of their own benefit. For their own benefit and a piece of sausage they can kill, they cannot die for it. And we may be worse than them, but not all and not enough to continue to kill for a piece of sausage.
            1. Glot
              Glot 4 September 2015 21: 02 New
              +2
              No, I’m certainly exaggerating, about demons and stuff. )) And there was an example when having ousted the incapable and snickering, and after having ousted the incapable and failed again, those who were able to raise the country from the ruins of the Civil took power, when it was said that the cook could rule ... and so on. Yes it was. And people had ideals and aspirations. But what price had to pay for it. How much blood did it spill. That’s what I wouldn’t want, that’s why it’s scary. Indeed, according to his will, no one from the fed will leave the nourishing. And they will not kill their own for sausage, for views, for an idea ... I hope it will not come to that.
            2. TWR
              TWR 5 September 2015 12: 29 New
              0
              Quote: dmb
              An example of this is our ancestors. They, for the most part, building socialism, did not think of their own benefit. For their own benefit and a piece of sausage they can kill, they cannot die for it.

              Let me remind you, it was built (socialism), according to Stalin, until 1939. This year it was "mostly built." And in 1936. the "foundations of socialism" were built. I will not remind you that in the USSR it was between 1936 and 1939. What exactly allowed "from the basics to move to the built." Everyone knows that.
              What a sausage there. For a bowl of balandy, "socialism was built." Those who were not "spanked" in the process of "selecting workers for active construction."
              What a benefit there is. Balances "foremen of the construction of socialism" will not give, and another "builder" will play in a box. There is no way to profit. To survive.
              And after all, these “builders” were lucky, they were not shot in the basement of the Soviet Depot secret police. They even managed to get to the Sovdep concentration camp. True, not many were able to come back from there. Basically it was a one way ticket. But they were not told about this. Such cunning was such a Bolshevik. Today it is called the beautiful word "motivation", and then the ugly word "kidos". Not in "one bottle", but sequentially: first "motivation", and at the end "kidos". Therefore, these unfortunate people believed that they could return.
              1. dmb
                dmb 5 September 2015 20: 49 New
                0
                Is that all you wrote about your parents? I think that in their presentation the history of the country sounded a little differently, and if not, then why be surprised that a lot of people on the site consider the repressions to be absolutely fair (by the way, I (unconditionally) do not belong to them (adherents). After all, then they were enemies of the people without any quotes, longing for the capitalists to come to power.
                1. TWR
                  TWR 5 September 2015 21: 42 New
                  0
                  Quote: dmb
                  I think that in their presentation the history of the country sounded a little different

                  Wrong.
                  Quote: dmb
                  that a bunch of people on the site consider the repression to be absolutely fair

                  There are a lot of bad people. Nobody argues with this. But good anyway, more.
                  Quote: dmb
                  After all, then they were enemies of the people without any quotes,

                  There are no enemies of the people in wildlife. Remember this. Even the commissars in the red trousers who carried out the repression of the population were not them (enemies of the people). They were probably just sadists and monsters. Perhaps some of them were pseudo-religious fanatics. Those. in any case, they were people most likely to be of interest to professional psychiatrists.
                  Quote: dmb
                  longing for the capitalists to come to power.

                  There are objective laws for the development of productive forces. And after them the society itself. They claim, and this has not yet been refuted by anyone, but only confirmed by life, that feudal production relations are inevitably followed by capitalist ones. Just as the feudal lords themselves at one time changed slaveholdings.
                  In a normal human society, people who strive for something more advanced than they are are called advanced people. And in a pseudo-religious feudal society (better known as "socialism"), such people were called "enemies of the people." And basically exterminated. Tell me, the destruction of the advanced people of society is a positive development for him? Where then, in the absence of such people, such a society rolls? That's right, in the insanity of "developed socialism." And get out of senility, oh how difficult.
                  1. dmb
                    dmb 7 September 2015 08: 51 New
                    0
                    Bravo. Complete discrepancy between the last part of this comment and the previous one. However, I can assume that for some reason you include the exclusively Stalin period in the concept of socialism. Then I would like to hear who you mean by advanced people, and what kind of society should these people build with the inevitable (in your own words) change of economic formations? Or is capitalism the kingdom of God on earth?
                    1. TWR
                      TWR 7 September 2015 09: 31 New
                      0
                      Quote: dmb
                      Or is capitalism the kingdom of God on earth?

                      Absolutely not. But he is in any case better than feudalism. Even feudalism in the form that was called socialism. Better even simply because it is the next, after feudalism, formation.
                      1. dmb
                        dmb 7 September 2015 11: 39 New
                        0
                        Well, why separate the last sentence from the whole comment. So what about advanced people and the stage of development of human society following capitalism?
                      2. TWR
                        TWR 7 September 2015 13: 01 New
                        0
                        Quote: dmb
                        So what about advanced people and the stage of development of human society following capitalism?

                        What other stage in the development of society follows capitalism? The world has never seen such a thing. A minority of the countries of the world have passed over to capitalism. So, in the framework of capitalism, human society still has room to grow. And develop.
                      3. dmb
                        dmb 7 September 2015 13: 22 New
                        0
                        That is, in your opinion, is capitalism the final stage in the development of mankind? But then you contradict yourself. By the way. and what, therefore, are the “leaders” mentioned by you and who are they?
                      4. TWR
                        TWR 7 September 2015 13: 38 New
                        0
                        Quote: dmb
                        That is, in your opinion, is capitalism the final stage in the development of mankind?

                        What stage of human development will be final did not even know Nostradamus and grandmother Wang. Today, the latest and most progressive is capitalism. Those countries that have already switched to capitalist relations (they are still a minority in terms of population in the world) are gradually developing it. Countries that today are stuck in feudalism (most of them) still have a transition to capitalism. Here and there on earth there are slaveholding relations. The law of uneven development of productive forces. Everything is normal and regular.
                        Quote: dmb
                        By the way. and what, therefore, are the “leaders” mentioned by you and who are they?

                        I don’t quite understand who you are talking about.
                      5. dmb
                        dmb 7 September 2015 14: 08 New
                        0
                        If I understand you correctly, all of the above is your personal thoughts, as well as assessments of socialism as such. "Advanced" you yourself mentioned in a comment from 5.09. So I wonder who you refer to them in particular. By the way, the characters you mentioned did not speak out at all about the social structure. it is the prerogative of philosophers and sociologists.
                      6. TWR
                        TWR 7 September 2015 14: 35 New
                        0
                        Quote: dmb
                        By the way, the characters you mentioned did not speak out at all about the social structure. it is the prerogative of philosophers and sociologists.

                        These were not "talkers." These were mental carriers of advanced ideas (not all, of course; after all, not only they were destroyed). Ideas foreign to Soviet pseudo-religious feudal society (later called the term "socialism"). Ideas dangerous for him. After all, society within one country is developing as unevenly as society on a global scale. Therefore, the carriers of these ideas (I repeat, advanced ones, from the point of view of the development of social relations) were destroyed. As "enemies of the people", as "pests", etc. Formal grounds are not important. The end result is important.
                        Actually, it was the "Soviet Inquisition." If so, very briefly. The analogy here is complete.
                      7. dmb
                        dmb 7 September 2015 15: 10 New
                        0
                        Well, firstly, I haven’t called anyone talkers yet, and I asked you only for the names of the carriers of these advanced ideas. Judging by the fact that you persistently shy away from the answer, you cannot call.
                      8. TWR
                        TWR 7 September 2015 15: 24 New
                        0
                        Quote: dmb
                        from you asked only the names of the carriers of these advanced ideas.

                        Ivanov
                        Petrov
                        Sidorov
                        Enough for now? Do you want to reduce everything to personalities? To leaderism? That would be fundamentally wrong. It's not about them. The leader only "saddles" the impulses of the people. In the right place at the right time. Without these impulses, as well as without the carriers of these impulses, the leader alone does not mean anything. Soother.
                        In science, such "impulses" are called "prerequisites."
                      9. dmb
                        dmb 7 September 2015 15: 31 New
                        0
                        This is to be expected. The affected advanced personalities do not fit into your concept of the bliss of capitalism, and therefore get off with general phrases. After all, you name them, well, those who allegedly suffered for capitalism. and it turns out that they fought against him.
                      10. TWR
                        TWR 7 September 2015 15: 49 New
                        0
                        Quote: dmb
                        You them, well, those who allegedly suffered for capitalism. and it turns out that they fought against him.

                        Among the repressed there was a mass of people who never fought for anything. Not a member of any armed formations. They just thought differently. Is the term “dissent” familiar to you? It is for this dissent that they have suffered.
                        What is incomprehensible?
                        Under the tsar, these were also. In prisons, they were called "political" and sat separately from criminals. It was easier for the criminals to sit. And registered “political” (peaceful) were not in the police, but in the gendarmerie.
                      11. dmb
                        dmb 7 September 2015 16: 22 New
                        0
                        No, it’s just all clear to me. Least of all are you interested in the truth, so the discussion becomes simply not interesting. Read some of the serious apologists for capitalism, then you can return to the topic. And so you practically except: "Tortured, father" do not give out anything.
                      12. The comment was deleted.
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                      14. TWR
                        TWR 7 September 2015 21: 31 New
                        0
                        Quote: dmb
                        Least of all are you interested in the truth

                        You look at yourself from the side.
                        Quote: dmb
                        Read some of the serious apologists for capitalism

                        It’s ridiculous. Once again? What are you reading on this topic?
                        Quote: dmb
                        And so you practically except: "Tortured, father" do not give out anything.

                        You don’t want to understand anything. So the system is some kind of "exclusive" you know, socialism is called. Such "socialisms" in the world (were and are), at least a dime a dozen. Here you have "socialism" on the juche pseudo-religion (North Korea). And here on pseudo-religion is Maoism (Kampuchea / Cambodia). And here, in pseudo-Islam (ISIS is called). And even in history, you can dig a dozen or two if you wish. The only difference is that in the USSR pseudo-religion was called Marxism-Leninism. And everywhere is lawlessness, the extermination of dissenters and, as a logical result, hunger. Do not want to notice this? That's your business.
                        In the meantime, for you to familiarize yourself with the picture of "Cambodian socialism." They called him "one hundred percent communist society." From local "death fields" (polygons).
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  • loaln
    loaln 4 September 2015 11: 33 New
    0
    Interesting analytics. True, by its evidence and superficial presentation of the facts.
    Well, the article noted the problem, the flaw. State your vision: why it happened, who is guilty, what to do. In Russian. And not creeping to the side back.
    But, in general, it seems that the whole article covers with a fig leaf the main phrase, littered with words above and below.
    "In modern Russia, the collapse of the economy, and the country as a whole, is possible only with an illegitimate change of power, a coup."
    So it already happened in the 90s! And, nothing, such scope for theft has opened! And Russia is worth it. Like a count Blown by the winds of history.
    True, soon everyone will learn to go around it. Not noticing.
  • Vega
    Vega 4 September 2015 12: 48 New
    0
    Analysts in the media speak and do not speak, analyze and predict, depending on the market situation and demand for the forecast, that is, on the fee received.
  • company7777
    company7777 4 September 2015 13: 18 New
    0
    I watched the video, as usual, they’re doing shit out of shit. Flag in their hands, the wind in the back. We have at least really practiced, unlike rear-wheel drive.
  • ussr1960
    ussr1960 4 September 2015 13: 48 New
    0
    At one time, in the east in the palaces there was a post of court stargazer. How those stargazers differ from modern analysts, I can’t imagine. As you listen, you see that it’s not the analyst, that is the stargazer. And most importantly, they are not responsible for any of their forecasts and advice. To stargazers, those heads were chopped for wrong predictions! Barbarism? Or maybe right?
  • ROMANO
    ROMANO 4 September 2015 15: 31 New
    0
    Quote: Kibalchish
    I'm 28 if that)))


    "So you read the necessary books in your childhood!"
    (V. Vysotsky)
  • 31rus
    31rus 4 September 2015 15: 53 New
    +3
    Dear, I completely agree, we don’t know what we are building? I’ll answer now the state for the elite and this can be seen in everything, someone saw it before, someone just saw it because before the crisis it was not important, secondary, it’s clear immediately and everywhere to bring order in a huge country is difficult, but the paradox is that no one wants to bring it in and even think about it
  • ROMANO
    ROMANO 4 September 2015 16: 10 New
    +1
    Quote: morozik

    started "I do not believe I do not believe" ... offer specific leaders! ... the entire 5th column screams so hiding abroad ... The war is going on both inside and out. Either go to the Maidan - or fight on the side of the P-resident ...


    The world is not divided into "Black" and "White", respected morozik. The world, it is increasingly composed of semitones. And Putin has his own merits, especially in comparison with the EBN, but only the "shortcomings" are not an example anymore.
  • Dima Čalevo
    Dima Čalevo 4 September 2015 16: 11 New
    +2
    Well, theoretically, yes, of course, it wasn’t worth getting involved in an open confrontation with the West, knowing that he had a lot of leverage over us. We now understand and observe this. But did we have a choice but to stand our ground?
  • Thunderbolt
    Thunderbolt 4 September 2015 17: 55 New
    +2
    The raw material orientation of the economy remains. Budget revenues largely depend on the dynamics of world energy prices. We are losing in competition in the global market, more and more focused on innovative sectors, on the new economy - the economy of knowledge and technology.
    I hasten to inform the apologists for the economy of knowledge and technology that the power and vector of development of our country is in the muscular hands of our oligarchs. And since they are mainly raw materials or buy-sell, plus they like to get into the state budget with their shaggy paws, through the existence of absolutely inefficient state-owned companies, pushing privileges and preferences, then normal competition is impossible --- investments and capital are floating away from our country. The truth is more important than patriots except for them in the Fatherland and do not find anyone, but let this not deceive anyone. The head of Russian Railways is so patriotic, responsible for delivering the blessed fire to the Fatherland. And the fact that his son in London registered in non-dilapidated apartments and with non-destructive assets, they will not tell about this in the Vremya program (IT is somehow not accepted ..) "Our West is our enemy, we are surrounded by predators hyenas, rally, tighten our belts and throw these vulgar green candy wrappers out of our being (all the more so because the Americans owe everyone and if the BRICS asks for it, the dollar will collapse. Well, not collapse, so Ye Lustone wakes up and punishes the Omeriks. And we will throw European homosexuals with Iskanders. soldier RA! drinks )))
  • Governor
    Governor 4 September 2015 18: 01 New
    +2
    Always be ready for the revolution for it will come soon. Always be ready to give your life for the future of your country.
    And remember - living under the yoke of criminals and not doing anything you become an accomplice.
  • alkt
    alkt 4 September 2015 18: 06 New
    +2
    Good publication by Igor Kabardin.
    It’s good because it gives thought to two eternal questions who is to blame and what to do (in a very soft style)
    Answering the right questions is easier.
    But there are two more questions in the capitalist world - Power and money.
    So who do we have in the modern world? That's right - the US government and the owners of the Fed.
    Once we did not care about both the first and the second. Since we were self-sufficient and independent.
    How can independence be achieved now. After all, we cannot print dollars.
    What are our development paths? So that the export of material assets would seriously exceed imports or have at least a self-sufficient economy. What kind of export can there be under the application of sanctions against us, and indeed, what will we export - the periodic table, which would then buy more high-tech products for a higher price?
    And here there are still questions who needs to do something high-tech, to develop science and technology, if it is possible to skate like cheese in butter on the table? As they say - To whom is war, and to whom is mother dear. It seemed to us that we would give up socialism and all will heal both in West Germany, and that is, they have healed even more abruptly, but by no means all).
    Every day in the news, films on radio and TV from the beginning of perestroika, they impart directly or seemingly casually what our grandfathers and fathers built and shed blood for. And they fought and built in the hope of our bright future.
    And here we see the famous events in Ukraine. As they say radish horseradish is not sweeter.
    And still I want to tell all the bourgeoisie. We know that you don’t give up power just like that. We know that just does not resolve. Once upon a time, it seemed to us that no matter what kind of system, if only people lived well. And we don’t want a civil one. But now we understand that the thirst for personal profit is unlikely to run out in the capitalist world. Hoping for at least an economic revolution from above is becoming more difficult. It is strange that our commodity oligarchs still think that they will not be devoured by the more powerful sharks of capitalism. But the people’s patience is not infinite, there will be no endless death for your capital and not the fact that it will not take power and embody the ideas of the dictatorship of the proletariat when the time comes. Future generations have something to learn and how to take power and how to build a society of creators.
  • Governor
    Governor 4 September 2015 18: 07 New
    +1
    Quote: Glot
    And what could be the options?
    Is there anyone, or those who, replacing today's power, will only work for the good of the country and the people?
    I don’t see such people. Absolutely. Generally.
    Perhaps they are crushed still on the way. But that is, that is.
    What other options?
    Get "from under the hemp sawed-off" and let's go Maidan?
    No, I don’t want these options! There is absolutely no desire to plunge the Country into the likeness of what is happening with the neighbors. And with us with this option, it will be much worse. And again, well, there is no such force that could come as a result of the coup and begin to build a "Great Future". I don’t see such strength here.
    So, to believe or not to believe this power, it is our right, but to live with them, or rather, under them, we still have no idea how much time. To live, to survive, it’s someone who was lucky, and who became who, or remained nobody.


    Warm place to lose is not hunting, right? Hut from the edge - a bad position, very unreliable.
    1. Glot
      Glot 4 September 2015 22: 37 New
      +3
      I assure you, personally, I have nothing to lose. Absolutely.
      Reluctance The country is plunged into civil strife, reluctance in deaths, children are a pity.
      Well, do you see me want to show off with Molotov cocktails?
      It seems Stolypin said:
      “You need great shocks, and we need a great Russia.”
      Do you feel the difference, but, "bomber." )))
  • vladimirvn
    vladimirvn 4 September 2015 19: 22 New
    +3
    Maybe it's time?
    "A man in a store addresses a saleswoman: - Hello, please, 3 boxes of vodka, 50 liters of beer, 5 boxes of martini and 30 packs of condoms. - Here you are. - Thank you. - Young man, wait! - What is it? - Take me with you!"
  • ship
    ship 4 September 2015 20: 54 New
    0
    The author is a physicist, but informed.
  • Reptiloid
    Reptiloid 5 September 2015 15: 28 New
    +1
    Discontent in the Russian Federation always ripened, probably. During the time of Stalin. Hr Br.and further on the list. But I didn’t find it personally. But here are the hopes for Gorb E.B. --- I remember well, the conversations of the elders. Somehow EBN was reelected. The Russian people were kind-hearted and trusting always.