Refugees from the Middle East rushed through the Balkans to Europe
Refugees and immigrants in Europe are a familiar thing, in the Balkans they are also not uncommon. In the last 25 years, the peninsula has experienced an avalanche of displacement, resettlement, eviction, and the flight of people from wars. Serbs from Croatia, Kosovo, the Muslim part of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), Croats from Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Jews from Croatia and Bosnia fled. Last year, Kosovo Albanians unexpectedly rose from their seats; They even talked about 100 of thousands who crossed the border with Serbia and rushed through Hungary to Europe.
This movement was so unexpected and large-scale that for a long time Belgrade could not understand its reasons. The Kosovo authorities claimed that the Albanians had tore the rumors that had appeared from their homes that many jobs had opened up in Germany. Serbian authorities and Europe tended to highlight unresolved social problems in Kosovo as the main reason for the great Albanian relocation. It seems to us that the flow of Albanians unexpectedly rushed to other countries is the pressure on Europe, the desire to accelerate the recognition of Kosovo by European and world institutions. Albanians also became active in Macedonia, Montenegro, and Greece. Even the statements of the Tyrants have become more radical. However, all these were processes within the post-Yugoslav space, so to speak, internal migration.
For some time now, a completely different phenomenon has become noticeable: flows of refugees from the Middle East, mainly from Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan, have flowed to the Balkans. According to the official data of the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), for the first time such refugees in the Balkans appeared in 2008 year, when 77 people asked for asylum in Serbia. In 2013, they were already 5000. And in the next year, 2014, this figure jumped more than threefold - to 16.490 people.
In 2015, this phenomenon acquired a grandiose scale: in the first five months alone, 22.182 people crossed the Serbian border. These are official data, according to which "refugees arrive in Serbia through Macedonia from the territories of the Middle East and Afghanistan covered by war." 95% of them come from Syria and Afghanistan. However, official data are clearly underestimated, they do not give a complete picture.
The route of the overwhelming majority of refugees runs through Turkey, from there they go to Greece by sea, then cross the border of Macedonia, then go or go towards the Serbian border, cross it and go to the small border town of Presevo, 90% of whose population are Albanians. With the help of the Red Cross and the city authorities, a headquarters for emergency situations was created in Prešev, the reception of refugees and their accommodation was organized. The UNHCR delegations and the Doctors Without Borders organization visited there, set up tents, and organized first aid.
There are actually two streams: one is legal, the other is illegal, where refugees are helped to cross the border for money using “goat paths”. They are transported in closed trucks, freight cars, helping to cross the border, bypassing border points. Every day, in Prešev, 300-500 people seek asylum. So, only in June, 15 thousands of emigrants arrived in Serbia. And the problem did not arise in June ...
How many Muslims from the Middle East have sought asylum in Serbia? Some publications say that for the first 4 months of this year 10 thousand people arrived in Serbia from Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq and other countries, and by the end of the year they will arrive to 30 thousand. Serbian Interior Minister N. Stefanovich talks about 30 to thousands of those already in Serbia, plus another one and a half million (!) Accumulated on the border between Syria and Turkey. According to our calculations, in the first half of 2015, at least 60 thousand people have already crossed the border of Serbia.
According to the UNHCR, worldwide the number of people who were forced to leave their homes reaches almost 60 million. Now most of all are refugees from Syria (3,9 million), Afghanistan (2,6 million) and Somalia (1,1 million). “It is the refugees from these countries that we most often meet on the streets, bus stops and parks in Serbia,” says UNHCR Head Hans Friedrich Choder.
It must be said, UNHCR responds to a wave of refugees in Serbia rather curious. Previously, the refugees who were rushing to Serbia were not noticed. And now Choder calls Serbia “a democratic country in the heart of Europe” and praises the Serbian government for not closing the borders. And Shoder promises assistance to the Serbian authorities in the “functional building of the system” of receiving refugees. That is, the UN stands for the full opening of borders to refugees from Syria and Iraq, and in fact there are 15 millions of them.
Another interesting fact: the flow of refugees, which is moving to Serbia, spontaneously or not, chooses a direction through Hungary, ignoring parts of the Serbian border with Romania and Croatia. This year, according to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, 40.500 citizens sought refuge in Hungary, of which 23.800 came from Kosovo, the rest from the Middle East. In Budapest, the avalanche of refugees did not arouse enthusiasm. Without looking back at the European Commission, Hungary made an independent decision to close the border and to build a high wall on the border. About the same talked Croatia. The European Commission criticized the "Hungarian" project, but did not solve the problem. This increases the number of Muslims remaining in Serbia and Macedonia. In difficult negotiations with the EU, Belgrade wants to demonstrate its openness and declares that it will welcome all refugees from the East.
Once again we will pay attention to the fact that part of the refugees remain in Macedonia, part, having crossed the border, settles in the south of Serbia in areas with a Muslim majority. And someone goes to the cities and villages of the deep regions of Serbia. Another important detail: refugees go without documents; they receive certificates and documents “with words” only in Serbia. According to international laws and the Serbian Law on Refugees, when people flee from war-ridden areas, crossing the border is not considered illegal. Therefore, they are treated with care in Serbia. The Refugees Center has been set up in Banja Koviljac, another 4 temporary accommodation center has been opened - Bogovadzha (70 km from Belgrade), Krnjača (a village on a mountain plateau near the Serbian-Montenegrin border), Senica (in southern Serbia) and Tutin (Raska district, on the border with Kosovo). All of them are under the jurisdiction of the Republican Commissariat for Refugees and Emigrants.
Europe reacts very sluggishly to all this. The text of the agreement on the distribution of refugees across EU countries is still not ready. Over the next two years, European countries are expected to voluntarily distribute around 60 thousands of Middle Eastern refugees who are currently in Italy and Greece on a voluntary basis. Nobody agrees to quotas. Therefore, the Balkan countries of Orthodox culture, faced with a flood of immigrants from Muslim countries in the Middle East, will have to solve the problems of their own survival.
For Serbia, which cannot overcome the consequences of wars and economic crisis, which 20 has not been able to completely solve the problem of Serbian refugees from Croatia, Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina, this is a terrible blow to the economy. However, not only. There is another, almost invisible problem ...
Are all refugees refugees?
While in Belgrade in June, I noticed that young people who do not speak Serbian and do not resemble refugees began to meet regularly in the city. They usually walk in threes, try not to stand out, although their athletic physique is striking. Solid troika "aliens" seen in other Serbian cities. Information in the media about them sketchy. Most of the “refugees” who have appeared in Serbia are males no older than 27, 94% are of the Islamic religion, 56% are without families. They do not like to be photographed, not constrained in cash ...
The first thing that comes to mind: under the guise of refugees, Islamists who are well trained and have passed through “hot spots” can flood the country. Being distributed on the territory of Serbia and concentrating on the south, they can easily become a force that will come out in support of the "Balkan Muslim Brotherhood." The newspaper "Telegraph" writes: it can not be that among the refugees there was not a single terrorist, given that the majority of refugees come from war-torn Syria! Moreover, the majority of these alleged refugees enter Serbia in organized groups. According to some reports, now there are about 1000 "jihad warriors" in Serbia, of which around 200 are in Belgrade. The rest are located in Ledintsy, Zemun, Palilula, Medakovich. Among them are many Kosovars. The money they receive from Vienna.
We read in the comments to the articles of the electronic Serbian publications about refugees: “Just look at these so-called emigrants. All young, capable of serving men without documents. Why don't they have any documents? Help them issued in Serbia only on the basis of words. Who ordered it? After all, these are the future brigades of Islamists ... ”-“ The influx of these refugees is part of the plan to Islamize Europe! Alo, people, wake up! ”-“ I’m not sure about the Islamization of Europe, but the Islamization of Serbia is for sure. ”
As criminalist Zlatko Nikolic says, among hundreds of refugees it is easy to “get lost” to one “sleeping” terrorist. The task of such singles is to hide in a crowd and wait for an order. Their actions are coordinated by local Albanian Wahhabis from Prizren, Bujanovac and Gracanica, they also recruit new supporters. Nikolic believes that several tens of thousands of Muslims who arrived from abroad are now moving freely in Serbia, and the number of Wahhabis reaches several hundred.
The Islamic State makes itself felt. One of his representatives in a video message to his brothers in BiH called to fight for the victory of Islam in Bosnia and Serbia. “Put them bombs under the hood of cars, blow up houses, pour poison into drinks, food, let them die from poison, kill them everywhere you meet, in Bosnia, in Serbia, in Sandzak. You can do this, Allah will help you. ” This was said by an Albanian from Kosovo, Ridwan Hachifi, who was famous for his cruelty in Syria. The press flashed reports that the attacks in Serbia were preparing for the Orthodox holiday Vidovdan (June 28). General Momir Stojanovic, a former senior security officer, claimed that the Kosovo terrorists were planning three terrorist attacks in the period between 25 and June 28 in the central and southern regions of Serbia.
28 June, a meeting of the board of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Serbia was held on the issue of internal security in the country. The same problem of the influx of refugees was discussed. In Macedonia, apparently, the danger was realized, and at the end of June the parliament passed a law according to which refugees can stay in the country for no more than 72 hours. In BiH, the Service for Work with Foreigners started activity on obtaining biometric data of all foreigners in the territory of BiH. Money for this in the amount of 800 thousand dollars was allocated by the US government (?). In Sarajevo in February 2015, a trial began in the case of Hussein Bosnich, who propagandized Islamic radicalism in BiH, and called for membership in terrorist organizations.
Frankly spoke about the danger of Islamic radicalism in the Balkans, the President of the Republika Srpska M. Dodik. There is evidence, he said, that in Sarajevo and Ilidzh, 34 is being built in thousands of apartments for Arabs, and 380 citizens of BiH are fighting on the side of the “Islamic State”. According to the data available to the authorities of the Republika Srpska, said M. Dodik, there are 3400 potentially dangerous entities on the territory of BiH capable of committing terrorist acts (there are no Serbs among them). It should also be noted that in the territory of the Muslim-Croatian federation in BiH 5 operates factories for the production weapons.
The Macedonian portal Netpress writes that oppositionist Zoran Zaev is preparing a “black and bloody scenario” for Macedonia with the participation of radical Islamic elements. Italian police reported that there is a camp in Albania where Islamists are trained. In Italy and Albania, people who recruited fighters for the Islamic State in the Balkans were arrested. Vojislav Sheshel, the leader of the Serbian radicals, publicly warns that Washington is preparing Operation Eagle, which includes conducting a series of terrorist attacks in Serbia and activating terrorist groups already concentrated in Nis, Chacak, Kragujevac, Belgrade. Groups of 170 people in Belgrade and 20-30 people in other Serbian cities, according to V. Sešelj, are just waiting for a signal to take up arms. Synchronized terrorist attacks in large cities and crowded places will draw attention to themselves, and at this time the main events will take place in the south of Serbia, where Albanians will take another step towards unification. At this time, the Kosovo Albanians will move north to Kosovska Mitrovica. Tirana, which previously dissociated itself from all events outside the borders of Albania, now says that it cannot control the discontent of Albanians in the Balkans, that Albanians can rise in the name of their dreams to unite all the territories with the majority of the Albanian population.
Recent events in Serbia, Kosovo, BiH and Macedonia should be linked together. On the one hand, in all these countries, a model of external governance was consistently introduced, suppressing manifestations of state sovereignty, but Washington did not achieve complete success here. The Republika Srpska strengthens its position, tries to defend the independence and integrity of the country of Macedonia, Serbia does not recognize Kosovo at all, and all these countries continue to rely on Russia and do not break relations with it. And it is necessary for Americans to "solve the problem" with the recalcitrant Balkan Slavs. On the other hand, the growth of the activity of Islamic radicalism in the Balkans is evident. In the south of Serbia and in Montenegro there are Islamist organizations “Wahhabia” and “Red Rose”, in Macedonia - “Tarikat”, in Kosovo and in the north of Albania - “Al Qaeda” cells. In BiH, Islamists advocate a unified Muslim Bosnia, organizers and perpetrators of terrorist attacks. Their goal is the formation of the “Green Transversal,” that is, a continuous belt of Muslim states in the underbelly of Europe. And it seems that the implementation of this plan has come to an end.
It is impossible not to notice that the influx of refugees into the Balkans intensified in the 2014 year - when the new terrorist group Islamic State was suddenly brought to the forefront of international politics. Apparently, the "Balkan" scenario "has already been formed. At the same time, Albanians will rise with weapons in Macedonia and in the south of Serbia - in the Presevo Valley, Sandzak. Kosovo police will try to occupy areas with a Serbian population. In central Serbia and BiH, several acts of distraction will be carried out. Police in Macedonia and Serbia will launch operations against armed groups of terrorists. As a result of provocations in the clashes, peaceful Albanians will die, and then all Islamists in Serbia, Macedonia and BiH, waiting for orders, will take up arms, speaking to the aid of the “perishing” Muslim Brotherhood. Collisions will gain wide scope. Military actions of varying intensity will cover Serbia, Macedonia, Montenegro, and BiH. With weakened (“reformed” in American terminology) armies and police, it will be extremely difficult to defend the Balkan countries subjected to Islamist aggression. The most difficult will be the Republika Srpska in Bosnia and Herzegovina. "Resolve the conflict" will come there or NATO members, or new Islamist detachments.
It seems to me that the conflict will be unleashed in late August - early September. Russia has very little time.