Middle Eastern Front. Part one
For more than a month, the center of military tensions has shifted from the briefly dying down east of Ukraine to the newly boiling Middle East. There is no chance here we are talking about, the calculation of arsonists in this direction is extremely simple and cynical. And no one hides the main goal. A big war in the Middle East will give a sharp rise in the dollar to all other world currencies. As you know, oil is traded in dollars, and in many respects, black gold gives green securities their current value. The massive abandonment of the dollar, which has been noted in world trade, is caused by the fact that the United States has dramatically increased the production of its main product, giving rise to the legitimate concerns of all other market participants about the reliability of the US currency.
Now Washington strikes back. Doubt in the dollar? Get it! Such is the business of blood. Such tactics worked three times already (remember the first and second world wars, as well as the collapse of the Soviet Union), and the American banking elites would very much like to repeat everything for the fourth time. No wonder that a whole century on the world map, geopolitical bombs were laid one by one ... The time for their one-time blast has come.
A big war does not start suddenly. For her always long and thoroughly prepared. Obviously, the number of weapons accumulated in the Middle East, as well as the severity of ideological and territorial disputes, have long reached a critical mass. If the Ukrainian crisis revealed the unwillingness of Europeans to again turn their continent into one big ashes, here, on the contrary, they are ready to fight for a long time, hard and to the bitter end. In addition to the sun, the hot blood of the local population is constantly warmed up by reminders of past mutual offenses, real or fictional. Splinters of the great Middle Eastern war, if it does take place, will inevitably catch Europe and Russia and East Asia in the form of many millions of refugees (only in Germany alone and only Syrian internally displaced persons now number around 100 thousand) and economic losses the scale of which is still difficult to imagine. Also, interruptions in the supply of hydrocarbons from the Persian Gulf zone will knock the soil out from under the feet of the developed economies of the Far East - China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, which just receive oil and gas from the Middle East region. The United States is reliably provided with considerable reserves of its own resources, which in the era of global instability will become an obvious competitive advantage. Hello again, the growth of the dollar! Everything is just so that there is even a slight disappointment with the primitiveness of the plan.
This begs the question: is the United States ready to throw its allies, Saudi Arabia and Israel, into a direct or indirect conflict with Iran? Yes, ready. The Saudis, for example, have become too independent and Washington, where the struggle of its own elites continues, is to its liking. Israel ... who is this Israel? Both Middle Eastern powers were cultivated by Americans all these decades with the sole purpose - to launch a torpedo at the right moment into the existing world order, blowing up everything around them. In this, both Saudi Arabia and Israel very much resemble the current Ukraine. Each of these countries has a messianic ideology, which is later cast into bullets and shells, destroying everything and everyone. Something painfully familiar, isn't it?
And then, if a few smaller states appear on the site of big Saudi Arabia, then the Americans will lose nothing economically, but they will win geopolitically, because it will be much easier for small, only emerging states to dictate their will. And the oil is not going anywhere.
And again the question arises: how close are the predictions about the collapse of the largest Middle Eastern monarchy to reality? Surely hard to say. Saudi Arabia is more like the traditional empire of the XIX - XX centuries, than the great powers of the present. The absolute monarchy, the harsh religiousness of society and the state, the territory welded by military force from the conquered independent states, a disproportionately large army and navy — in the 21st century it all looks like a dinosaur, not known to have survived world cataclysms. However, nothing eternal in a dynamically changing world is not and cannot be. The population in Saudi Arabia does not want to work, but it is accustomed to a high level of consumption. The fall in the standard of living may well cause discontent, especially against the background of military failures, if the army of the Kingdom nevertheless decides to enter Yemen. And there and close to the collapse of the country. Traditionally, the original Saudi land is only Nedzh, and Hijaz, Jebel Shammar, and Asher are former independent states conquered and joined by force to the Saudi empire. The position of conquered peoples turned out to be Shiite Muslims, who are forced to live not only in conditions much worse than the conditionally titular nation, but also subject to constant repression. Poverty, mixed with religious infringement, creates an explosive mixture, which so far has been able to keep in check only by brute force, based on the same petrodollars.
Like any empire that was moving towards its own decline, the Saudi monarchy fell into insanity, deciding to play in a great world power. Obviously, the new king, who has long been fed up with all the carnal joys, wants the immortal glory of the great conqueror and founder of the dynasty of Abdul-Aziz ibn Saud. That's just planning new increments, you should not forget another wisdom: walking on someone else's head, you carry yours.
The Israeli leadership has also fallen into insanity, albeit not so obvious, and it seems that even the tactical alliance with the Middle Eastern monarchies against Shiites in general and Iran in particular is ready to go. But if monarchies risk the collapse of their kingdoms, then Israel put at stake its very existence - not only the state, but also the people.
It is clear that in such conditions the confrontation will be very tough, and no one will ask for it or beg for mercy. The spectacle promises to be interesting ...
Now Washington strikes back. Doubt in the dollar? Get it! Such is the business of blood. Such tactics worked three times already (remember the first and second world wars, as well as the collapse of the Soviet Union), and the American banking elites would very much like to repeat everything for the fourth time. No wonder that a whole century on the world map, geopolitical bombs were laid one by one ... The time for their one-time blast has come.
A big war does not start suddenly. For her always long and thoroughly prepared. Obviously, the number of weapons accumulated in the Middle East, as well as the severity of ideological and territorial disputes, have long reached a critical mass. If the Ukrainian crisis revealed the unwillingness of Europeans to again turn their continent into one big ashes, here, on the contrary, they are ready to fight for a long time, hard and to the bitter end. In addition to the sun, the hot blood of the local population is constantly warmed up by reminders of past mutual offenses, real or fictional. Splinters of the great Middle Eastern war, if it does take place, will inevitably catch Europe and Russia and East Asia in the form of many millions of refugees (only in Germany alone and only Syrian internally displaced persons now number around 100 thousand) and economic losses the scale of which is still difficult to imagine. Also, interruptions in the supply of hydrocarbons from the Persian Gulf zone will knock the soil out from under the feet of the developed economies of the Far East - China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, which just receive oil and gas from the Middle East region. The United States is reliably provided with considerable reserves of its own resources, which in the era of global instability will become an obvious competitive advantage. Hello again, the growth of the dollar! Everything is just so that there is even a slight disappointment with the primitiveness of the plan.
This begs the question: is the United States ready to throw its allies, Saudi Arabia and Israel, into a direct or indirect conflict with Iran? Yes, ready. The Saudis, for example, have become too independent and Washington, where the struggle of its own elites continues, is to its liking. Israel ... who is this Israel? Both Middle Eastern powers were cultivated by Americans all these decades with the sole purpose - to launch a torpedo at the right moment into the existing world order, blowing up everything around them. In this, both Saudi Arabia and Israel very much resemble the current Ukraine. Each of these countries has a messianic ideology, which is later cast into bullets and shells, destroying everything and everyone. Something painfully familiar, isn't it?
And then, if a few smaller states appear on the site of big Saudi Arabia, then the Americans will lose nothing economically, but they will win geopolitically, because it will be much easier for small, only emerging states to dictate their will. And the oil is not going anywhere.
And again the question arises: how close are the predictions about the collapse of the largest Middle Eastern monarchy to reality? Surely hard to say. Saudi Arabia is more like the traditional empire of the XIX - XX centuries, than the great powers of the present. The absolute monarchy, the harsh religiousness of society and the state, the territory welded by military force from the conquered independent states, a disproportionately large army and navy — in the 21st century it all looks like a dinosaur, not known to have survived world cataclysms. However, nothing eternal in a dynamically changing world is not and cannot be. The population in Saudi Arabia does not want to work, but it is accustomed to a high level of consumption. The fall in the standard of living may well cause discontent, especially against the background of military failures, if the army of the Kingdom nevertheless decides to enter Yemen. And there and close to the collapse of the country. Traditionally, the original Saudi land is only Nedzh, and Hijaz, Jebel Shammar, and Asher are former independent states conquered and joined by force to the Saudi empire. The position of conquered peoples turned out to be Shiite Muslims, who are forced to live not only in conditions much worse than the conditionally titular nation, but also subject to constant repression. Poverty, mixed with religious infringement, creates an explosive mixture, which so far has been able to keep in check only by brute force, based on the same petrodollars.
Like any empire that was moving towards its own decline, the Saudi monarchy fell into insanity, deciding to play in a great world power. Obviously, the new king, who has long been fed up with all the carnal joys, wants the immortal glory of the great conqueror and founder of the dynasty of Abdul-Aziz ibn Saud. That's just planning new increments, you should not forget another wisdom: walking on someone else's head, you carry yours.
The Israeli leadership has also fallen into insanity, albeit not so obvious, and it seems that even the tactical alliance with the Middle Eastern monarchies against Shiites in general and Iran in particular is ready to go. But if monarchies risk the collapse of their kingdoms, then Israel put at stake its very existence - not only the state, but also the people.
It is clear that in such conditions the confrontation will be very tough, and no one will ask for it or beg for mercy. The spectacle promises to be interesting ...
Information