Russia will be bankrupted like the USSR

Russia will be bankrupted like the USSR

American entrepreneur and investor Louis Woodhill proposed to break the back of the states that are not acceptable to Washington, using the strategy of Ronald Reagan. Among the countries threatening the national security of the United States, he named Iran, Russia and Venezuela, which should be brought to bankruptcy in the same way that 40-th President of the United States ruined the Soviet Union.

“The Mahmoud Ahmadinejad regime is transferring centrifuges to enrich uranium under the ground to protect its nuclear program from a possible attack,” the author of the publication at Forbes explained the essence of the claims. , 635 helicopters and 600 ships over the next ten years, while Venezuela spreads the Bolivarian Revolution of Hugo Chavez throughout Latin America.

Woodhill then asks the question: how can America counter these threats to national security? And then he answers himself: “Before sending (to these countries) marine infantry, we could achieve dollar stabilization. A strong dollar in 80's was the main weapons Ronald Reagan in the destruction of the Soviet Union, who was a far more formidable opponent than those we are now facing. "

When Reagan came to power in January 1981, the USSR was flexing muscles with might and main. In 1979, he invaded Afghanistan and at the same time supported the Sandinista party in Nicaragua, the author recalls. And the Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev proclaimed a course in which the movement towards communism was considered irreversible.

In turn, Reagan started an arms race and made efforts to strengthen the national currency. A stable dollar exchange rate returned world oil prices to within the normal range, which affected currency receipts to the treasury of the Soviet state. The reduction in external revenues dealt the USSR economy such a blow, from which it had not recovered.

In proof of his words, Woodhill cites statistics on the rise in oil prices. According to his data, in ten years - from 1971 to 1981 - the USSR revenue from the export of black gold increased by 158% without any efforts on the part of the Soviet leadership. But when Ronald Reagan came to the White House, Moscow had to gradually tighten the belt. Supporting the financial policy of the head of the US Federal Reserve, Paul Walker, the president launched an attack on inflation, which significantly affected world oil and gold prices.

By March, 1985, when Mikhail Gorbachev came to power in the USSR, the price of crude oil fell from $ 84,51 to $ 52,24 per barrel. Only a year later, prices fell to $ 22,85 per barrel of crude oil, thanks to which the USSR lost 73% of oil export revenues in real terms. The next four years of low hydrocarbon prices put the Soviet regime on the verge of bankruptcy.

In May, 1990 Gorbachev met with German Chancellor Helmut Kohl and asked him for a loan in 20 billion German marks to prevent a financial catastrophe, reminds Louis Woodhill. Kohl transferred only 5 billions to the Soviet treasury. In the summer of 1990, Gorbachev again asked for help, but it was already too late: the Soviet Union began to fall apart.

That’s the way the United States should act today, the analyst and investor said. He writes that the strategy of Ronald Reagan on the bankruptcy of the USSR "can and should be used against Iran, Venezuela and the successor state of the Soviet Union." Again drawing a parallel with the 1980's period, he points out that the futures price for crude oil, as then, is a little over $ 80.

In addition, congressmen and the Federal Reserve, as in the days of Reagan, attended to the issue of stabilization of the national currency. According to Bill No. 1638, submitted to Congress by Rep. Ted Po, the Fed should set the exact date and time when the dollar will stabilize.

According to Woodhill's calculations, with the right approach, crude oil prices will drop to about $ 35 per barrel. This will reduce the incomes of Iran, Russia and Venezuela from the export of raw materials abroad by about 57% from the current level, which will immediately "reduce their ability to make trouble." And in the future, such a reduction in revenues threatens these countries with the collapse of the ruling regime, as happened with the Soviet Union.

"To have a stable economy and stable financial markets, we must have a stable dollar," Woodhill sums up. "A stable dollar is necessary for rapid economic growth, full employment, and true prosperity. Well, as a bonus: what's good for America will be just as bad for our opponents. "
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  1. Sergh
    Sergh 1 October 2011 11: 47 New
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    Oh, Woodhill suffered something, obviously he had read the old newspapers, I saw the toilet paper was over, and here’s the newspaper! Only the engine has already left. And with his theory, he will remain without pants, and Europe will grunt. The stick is not about two, but about three ends. In the clan something.
    1. Vadivak 1 October 2011 23: 00 New
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      "Before sending (to these countries) marines

      I would hear it Joseph Vissarionovich ......
  2. подводник 1 October 2011 11: 50 New
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    DAAA! If not for Misha ... Unknown!
  3. dominion
    dominion 1 October 2011 12: 31 New
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    So it is likely to be, because Putin is positioning himself as the new Brezhnev, and such a development is very likely.
    But in every systemic crisis there is also a big positive moment, as soon as the price of a barrel of oil drops to $ 30 and $ 20, Putin’s criminal power will end and he will disappear like a dirty puddle in the sun.
  4. abzrais
    abzrais 1 October 2011 12: 37 New
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    It is unlikely that the scenario will pass when Reagan and then Bush threw us so well. Oil is also needed for China, India, etc. Yes, and American companies are also not interested in a drop in oil prices.
  5. cyberspace 1 October 2011 12: 40 New
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    Impossible project. To do this, we need a president like Roosevelt, who can force businesses to invest in industry rather than financial operations, return the production of goods from Asia to the United States, and cut back the appetites of large businesses, which have become speculative rather than industrial. But such a president in the White House will live less than Kennedy. And Reagan’s strategy led not only to the financial collapse of the USSR, but also to the current not brilliant, to put it mildly, economic situation of the United States.
  6. Konsmo
    Konsmo 1 October 2011 12: 42 New
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    The reverse scenario.
    Russia is switching to the ruble based on the parity of prices for valuable and rare-earth metals and oil, gas.
    Example Gold, silver, nickel, zinc, copper, uranium, oil, gas.
    Translates all future contracts for the export of raw materials, weapons, grain, chemicals and so on only to the ruble, with the possibility of buying the ruble on the Moscow Currency Exchange to everyone.
    Dollar p ... c.
    Ameriga flies very far with her paper.
    1. zczczc
      zczczc 1 October 2011 13: 33 New
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      Konsmo, I remember, I asked this question to understanding people, they said that there are two problems:
      1. An unstable ruble without prospects of stabilization;
      2. Overhead when converting to rubles, which no one has there.

      As a result, Russia will lose most of its non-oil contracts right away. They added about the ruble exchange rate - its instability is precisely due to the hydrocarbon contracts themselves. Those. if there were none, then the rest of the contracts would have a greater chance of becoming ruble.

      In general, everything rests on the oil needle, with which Putin gets off the original method - he builds gas pipelines, and directs the profit to support the United States.
  7. atheist
    atheist 1 October 2011 12: 49 New
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    Since the 80s, much has changed, new states have appeared (exporters and buyers of crude oil), oil production sites have decreased, almost no new fields are being developed, there are almost no mass production in America itself (they are in China, Latin America, Japan, Africa) What should she cover with an unknown green toilet paper? I never used it
  8. merkawa
    merkawa 1 October 2011 12: 57 New
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    This Woodhill doesn’t know that he lives on credit himself, the Americans got stuck with their pearls, soon they will collapse and everyone is teaching someone how to live.
  9. Evil Tatar
    Evil Tatar 1 October 2011 15: 04 New
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    Let us think about how many US soldiers stay with their throats cut regardless of defaults, defaults, etc.
    But in fact, today's realities say that it is time for everyone to think about where they will arm themselves and with which commander to keep in touch ... In order to give their life brighter and really for future generations of the peoples of RUSSIA!
    Many who will come to us will be choked up with blood!
    1. esaul 2 October 2011 10: 16 New
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      You are angry, Tatar! Highly! But, this is our Tatar! And this is good!
      1. LESHA pancake
        LESHA pancake 2 October 2011 15: 01 New
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        ha ha ha very happy.
      2. Evil Tatar
        Evil Tatar 2 October 2011 15: 52 New
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        How's the joke?
        Strong but light ...
        Therefore, the evil su ... ka ...
        Although in the shower, and in kind, almost light heavy.
  10. kostya
    kostya 1 October 2011 16: 17 New
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    and the fact that America has long been a bankrupt country and the dollar is not backed up by anything, but just a piece of paper that is not even worth the paper on which Woodhill was printed didn’t think about it? The future is for Russia, and pi will soon come to America ..
    1. Motherland
      Motherland 1 October 2011 18: 50 New
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      I completely agree. Only America is already hooked on the world leader and just like that will not give up this place, here it is either for us or for China
      1. Banshee 1 October 2011 23: 18 New
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        Podsela ... So let him stabilize her dollar first, but we'll see. it would be nice to just say this, something like "The United States is beginning to actively stabilize the dollar!"

        I would stock up on popcorn ...
  11. Owl
    Owl 1 October 2011 20: 46 New
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    As a possible option, it is worth considering. The collapse of the remnants of the economy, the final impoverishment of the majority of the population, protest revolutionary and terrorist actions of part of the population, the request of the next "ruler" to ensure the protection of nuclear facilities and the entry into the country of US troops, the UK, etc., wearing "blue helmets" of the corrupt UN. As a result, the pure victory of "democracy" and the occupation of the raw materials appendage.
    1. kosmos84 1 October 2011 23: 14 New
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      straight call of duty 4
  12. APASUS 2 October 2011 10: 03 New
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    According to this scenario, US foreign policy is moving. In a strange way, Pindos don’t like the leaders of countries with huge oil reserves. Iraq, Libya. They didn’t climb into Somalia - there is no oil there !! But in the modern world there is the Chinese economy, which will soon become the first economy of the world! Oil consumption in India is growing. So the scenario under Reagan will not work. Unless all the Pindos will shoot a bullet in their forehead - so as not to buy oil!
    1. LESHA pancake
      LESHA pancake 2 October 2011 15: 02 New
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      Bolivar will not stand two, someone must die.
      1. Evil Tatar
        Evil Tatar 2 October 2011 15: 54 New
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        I agree!
        They, the Yankees, will die first if they turn up ... So that I die!
  13. datur 2 October 2011 17: 39 New
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    rather, at the Pindos, the navel will untie butting with the whole world!
  14. Reddragon 19 January 2012 18: 06 New
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    The article is irrelevant, because we are talking only about oil prices. If you look at how much oil amounted to GDP, taking into account which percent was sold worldwide, and which one was fraternally owned (at a discount) and the dollar-to-ruble ratio (0,6 to 1), then we can’t talk about the effect of oil and its needle have to.

    PS In the region, when the price of oil fell, the USSR developed gas fields and made supplies with Germany and France, which blocked petrodollars.