From the Serbian Krajina to Novorossia

31
In the middle of 90-x, a proverb was born in the Balkans, behind which a bitter irony hides: “When Croats want independence from the Serbs is democracy, and when Serbs Krajina want independence from the Croats, it’s a rebellion.” It is a conflict between Serbian Krajina and Croatia 1991 (1990) - 1995, when Croats who had declared their independence from “big Yugoslavia”, led by Franjo Tudjman, refused to recognize the right to self-determination of the Krajina Serbs, and subsequently with the active support of the USA they defeated the enemy’s army, “ restoring territorial integrity "after the declaration of the" armistice regime ". 2015 marks the 20 anniversary since the end of the armed confrontation, which the Croats call the “Patriotic War”, and the Serbs “the war in Croatia”.

In connection with the Ukrainian events, the relevance of a number of components of that conflict has again manifested itself. Moreover, it was shown not without active discussion of this topic by Ukrainian politicians. It is well known that not so long ago, the head of the Petro Poroshenko Bloc faction in the Ukrainian parliament, Mr. Lutsenko, openly called for a repetition of Operation Storm (an operation in which the Croatian army defeated the Serbian Krajina army) in Donbass for several days. From Lutsenko's statement:

An example is Croatia. After the Yugoslav army captured Vukovar (...), the Croats were forced to accept the existence of the Serbian Krajina. For three years they not only endured, but developed the economy and the army. And then for hours tank they dared to attack the separatists from their land.

A hint is more than transparent ...

As seen, story what is considered “democracy” and what is considered “rebellion” is repeated again. The Kravchuk-Yeltsin-Shushkevich cabal in the framework of the Belovezhsky conspiracy in Viskuly - tse democracy, the third round of elections, in which Yushchenko “won” - also democracy, the February anti-constitutional coup 2014 - again, democracy, but the popular vote in the DPR and the LPR - “Separatism”, you know ... Years go by, the concept does not change ...

Let us return, however, to the previously expressed words of Lutsenko about the “development of the Croatian economy” in the 1991-1994 years. Turning to the documents that can now be considered historical, it can be concluded that the development of the Croatian economy was very peculiar in those years. Starting from the 1990 year and ending with the “victory over the rebels” in 1995, the economic downturn in Croatia was 46%. Against this background, expenditures on military objectives reached a colossal value for those times - around 38% of GDP. In 1994, the conflict between Croatia and the Belgrade-supported RSK (Republic of Serbian Krajina) came with a “truce”, which was achieved with the support of the UN. It is at this moment that the active phase of the preparation of the Croatian army military personnel by American instructors from the private military company MPRI begins. The “particularity” of this PMC can safely be questioned, since its employees were entirely retired high-ranking officials (generals) of the Pentagon, the intelligence services and other relevant ministries and departments of the United States. Thanks to the work of MPRI, Croatia was able to prepare several brigades in a fairly short time, get the most important intelligence about the plans of Knin (capital of the RSK) and Belgrade, which played a part in the victory over the Serbs of the RSK.

From the Serbian Krajina to Novorossia


Against this background, Croatia was engaged in the implementation of the privatization program. By the end of 1993, all major strategic enterprises were in private hands. It is noteworthy that it was in 1993 that active cooperation with the officials of the International Monetary Fund began with Zagreb. Representatives of the IMF made frequent visits to Croatia, Croatian government economists tried to keep up with the number of visits to the headquarters of the IMF. As a result, a whole series of agreements emerged under which financial assistance was intended for Croatia. The agreement, of course, appeared and "certain conditions of the IMF." One of the conditions is the intensification of the transfer of state property into private hands, as well as the conclusion of a framework agreement between Croatia and Serb Krajina on the renewal of the operation of the energy system and the oil pipeline. Croatia, for obvious reasons, accepted the conditions of the IMF, having received financial assistance, up to 40% of which was immediately sent to re-equip its army while simultaneously transferring it to NATO standards. Serbian Krajina also agreed to restore the operation of the pipeline and the transit infrastructure of the electric power complex. And in Knin, apparently, they believed that Zagreb by such agreement indirectly recognized the right of the RSK to an independent existence. Knin is known to be seriously mistaken in his interpretation of Croatian intentions.



It is noteworthy that in the IMF the misuse of funds aimed at “restoring the Croatian economy during the truce” 1994, was strangely “not noticed”. But thanks to agreements with foreign partners, Croatia was able to get rid of the “heavy communist legacy” in the form of a developed shipbuilding industry ... If in the 80-ies the Croatian shipyards allowed Yugoslavia to be among the leaders in shipbuilding not only among the countries of the so-called socialist bloc, but also on the whole European continent, by the middle of 90's both the main production segments of the sphere, and part of the finished product, were in the hands of local proprietors first, and then among western owners. Those in turn let everything go to the metal, making an instant profit and at the same time burying Croatian shipbuilding. Much of the "heavy legacy of the communist industry" was buried at that time. Both agriculture and the processing industry, which are still unable to obtain more or less efficient status in Croatia as a member of the European Union, have been threatened.

In general, the Croatian economy in 1994 had its own "peremoga" ...

This means that the current situation in Ukraine is in many ways reminiscent of the Croatian one. And they also promise and give Kiev credits for “economic recovery”, some of which it allows for the construction of the “Wall” on the border with Russia, then for the purchase of military equipment and the formation of more and more punitive battalions legalized under the banner of the Armed Forces of Ukraine or the National Guard. The economy of Ukraine is also dropping, trampling along the default line, but the “good and democratic partners” are still giving Kiev their leverage, taking root in the sphere of power, and getting closer and closer to the division of Ukrainian assets. Only in the case of Ukraine, the scale is much more impressive.

But if there is a definite repetition of the Croatian plot now, can the result that Mr. Lutsenko and many other representatives of the Ukrainian authorities are hoping to repeat? Kiev’s desire to “crush the insurgents” is enormous, but is one desire enough, even if it coincides with the aspirations of Western “friends of Ukraine”? One can reflect on this topic for a long time, declaring the desire of the DPR and the LPR to defend the right to independence, but in the end it is quite clear that the situation with the repetition of the Serbian Krajina scenario depends on Russia today. If the “partners” can make so that the Russian authorities, having stepped on the next rake, “realize that they are wrong”, then you see that the Ukrainian army will be given a victorious march to go through Donetsk and Luhansk. If the Russian authorities can step over the rakes that are systematically thrown by the “partners”, it is still unknown who is marching forward with victory ... In the end, Russia of the 1995 model of the year and Russia of the 2015 model of the year are two big differences: too much experience of understanding the plans of our "friends" during this time managed to save up to organize the discharge, after which the pressure will only increase with an eye and to the Crimea too ...

There is an opinion that if the repetition of the Croatian scenario with respect to the RAC happens in relation to Donbass, then this will be a fatal mistake for Russia, which positions itself as an alternative pole in world geopolitics.
Our news channels

Subscribe and stay up to date with the latest news and the most important events of the day.

31 comment
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. +15
    April 6 2015 06: 27
    In the photo of the victim of the tragedy in the Balkans ... I look and worry again ... as if it were yesterday.
    I had a chance to see other pictures of the direct participants in those events ... very eerie in their visibility showing the war in all its glory .. (I can not post it because of nervous breakdowns among unbalanced people).
    In general, I do not wish this to anyone.
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. +2
      April 6 2015 18: 32
      There was Yugoslavia, there was a choice, there was an ideology. Now everything is separate and who is faster in the European Union. If a people cannot preserve its unity and identity, then it goes into history and myths.
      1. +3
        April 6 2015 20: 43
        General Ivashov is one of the few who accurately expresses the truth.
  2. +23
    April 6 2015 06: 30
    ANY scenario where Russia merges Donbass - fatal
    The war has already come to our house ..
  3. +5
    April 6 2015 06: 38
    From the statement of Lutsenko:

    "An example is Croatia. After the capture of Vukovar by the Yugoslav army (...) the Croats were forced to agree to the existence of Serbian Krajina. For three years they did not just endure, but developed the economy and the army. And then, within hours of a tank attack, they swept the separatists from their land."

    So that's why they need a thousand Abrams tanks ...
    1. +8
      April 6 2015 06: 47
      So that's why they need a thousand Abrams tanks ...

      smile

      The United States has a total of 6-7 thousand tanks and their production has been curtailed in the United States.
      Therefore, of course, they will not give them to the ukrohunt WASHINGTON.

      I am sure that even if the dill have tanks, they will crush the "insurgent miners"
      DONBASS will not work for them after all, all of RUSSIA.
      1. 0
        April 7 2015 01: 09
        Why give away Abrams if you can bail Ukraine old T-72 from Poland, Hungary, Romania and other Bulgaria on bail of land, real estate and other things? Double profit in any situation.
    2. +1
      April 6 2015 08: 53
      Therefore, we need a thousand "HERMES" .... angry
    3. +4
      April 6 2015 09: 45
      Quote: 71rus
      So that's why they need a thousand Abrams tanks ...

      However, the same requests from them ...
      1. 0
        April 7 2015 01: 12
        The militants in March 2014 rapturously yelled for a week that a NATO aircraft carrier with 17 escort ships would smash it into atoms))))) They are psycho-animals. What to take from them?
  4. +3
    April 6 2015 06: 56
    Forewarned is forearmed. Somehow it’s hard to believe that "Russia, sample of 2015" will want to stomp on the "rake", "sample of 1995". Both fools and outright traitors in our leadership have sharply diminished since then. And Donbass, at least geographically, is almost Russia ...

    As for the "tank marches". Much like the more prepared, disciplined and motivated Jews, in their last war in Lebanon, they suffered such losses in the most modern armored vehicles that only the maidan are capable of believing in the success of this adventure in Donbas.
    1. +1
      April 7 2015 01: 14
      Apparently, in the presence of a huge number of art systems in the APU, the militia and civilians suffer from shelling. And this will not stop until Novorossia has aviation and a powerful armored fist with more or less sensible staffers and mid-level officers. And in the current form, civilians will be killed for years.
  5. 0
    April 6 2015 07: 00
    Only in the case of Ukraine, the scale is much more impressive.
    And there is someone to attend to the outcome of operations such as "Lutsenko's Storm". I hope we don’t stall here? Http: //www.yaplakal.com/forum2/topic1080553.html So the IMF money has earned.
  6. +6
    April 6 2015 07: 02
    but the “good and democratic partners” so far are giving Kiev their shoulder, invading the spheres of power, and getting closer and closer to dividing Ukrainian assets.


    It’s just bad that the West, even to its own detriment, continues to provide assistance to Ukraine. This gives Ukrainians a false sense of being able to do whatever Kiev wants. And if Moscow gives up the slack in resolving the Ukrainian conflict, then it is really possible to "drain the water."
    1. +2
      April 6 2015 07: 20
      I completely agree with you! that will be so.
  7. +3
    April 6 2015 07: 29
    The author is in many ways right. I already wrote once that double standards for the West is a standard.
  8. +2
    April 6 2015 07: 31
    I think it’s not worth comparing the Donbass with the Serbian suburbs, the campaign of the Serbs relaxed since the Croats defeated them so easily. the most important thing for a military rule is difficult to learn easily in battle. Our instructors help our guys in training, we also have weapons. so donbass is so easy for them not to take
  9. +9
    April 6 2015 07: 41
    Russia in 95 was not only not up to business in Serbian Krajina, but also to many other things. Then it was generally about the integrity of Russia itself. And the leadership of the UK generally demobilized the army, relying on peacekeepers. Which simply made way for the Croatian troops. So why does Poroshenko need peacekeepers? For the script to repeat itself letter for letter? Only he was counting on it in vain. And the level of corruption in the Armed Forces of Ukraine is such that it will simply not be possible to restore combat effectiveness. And Russia will not watch all this disgrace from the outside.
    1. +2
      April 6 2015 08: 56
      I think that the Serbs will take their, give time ... angry
      1. -2
        April 6 2015 11: 05
        Serbs can take only what Russia will give them. But Serbia’s immediate plans include accession to the EU and NATO. And even sitting in the trenches and shooting at our soldiers, they will still talk about friendship and little brothers. Beni's only right move was that he did not defend the Serbs in '99. With all the talk about friendship, both the Serbs and the Bulgarians are pursuing a pro-Western policy. Serbs have always dreamed not of friendship and alliance with the Russian Federation, but of a great Serbia within the entire Balkan Peninsula. So do not flatter anyone - they are friends with us only when they need something from us. Sinners know that we have a holy friend and use it.
        1. +1
          April 6 2015 20: 38
          Serbs will never shoot Russians, Bulgarians will.
        2. 0
          April 7 2015 01: 31
          This is when the Serbs shot at the Russians? What are the dates? But the Bulgarians fired more than once. And they are forced to pursue a pro-Western policy due to their geographical location. Especially after 1991.
          1. 0
            April 7 2015 01: 53
            Quote: cast iron
            This is when the Serbs shot at the Russians? What are the dates? But the Bulgarians fired more than once. And they are forced to pursue a pro-Western policy due to their geographical location. Especially after 1991.

            When did the Bulgarians shoot the Russians? In WWI, the Bulgarians refused to fight on the Russian front. During the Second World War, the same thing, and when the Red Army liberated Bulgaria, then they immediately surrendered at the border and that’s all.

            So when did they shoot it?
    2. 0
      April 6 2015 21: 35
      Army Martich did not demobilize. Croats stupidly crushed number.
  10. +2
    April 6 2015 07: 43
    And they really think so and behave. They stopped and are building up their military potential. Damn they gave the freaks a respite, they didn’t press it down. and the weed grows quickly and densely, and then it will be necessary to exert much more effort to remove this fascist weed from the ground.
    1. 0
      April 7 2015 01: 33
      Well, I would go to Donbas and help. And then without you it didn’t work like that. Debaltsev’s pocket was crushed for a month - and this is a failure by staff standards. Yes, and the loss is not frail. But with you everything would be different, this is stopudovo!
  11. +4
    April 6 2015 08: 04
    the militias, too, were running out of power, a bad peace is better than war. during this time, the mobilized will be able to prepare and gain strength.
  12. +3
    April 6 2015 08: 14
    Quote: ovod84
    the militias, too, were running out of power, a bad peace is better than war. during this time, the mobilized will be able to prepare and gain strength.


    So, we will soon find out which was better: a war to a victorious end, or "a bad peace."
  13. +4
    April 6 2015 08: 19
    Yes, there is not the slightest chance of repeating the version of the Republic of Srpsk Kraјin.
    Geographically, Krajina did not have a common border with Serbia, just like the western part of the Republic of Srpska on the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and therefore the Serbs simply did not have the opportunity to quickly build up forces and resources at the expense of Serbia. In Novorossiya, which has a common border with Russia, even irregular formations of Cossacks and volunteers will be on the territory of Donbass in three hours. It will take more time, of course, to redeploy several "duty" BTGs, but I think not more than a day.
    Ethnically, the rest of Croatia was an almost mono-ethnic entity consisting of Croats (Catholics). In Ukraine, the militant Ukrainians have no such support and support.
    And as always, the article does not completely disclose the topic of the participation of Germany in the victory of the Croats. Although without any MPRI, the Germans supplied weapons and equipment from the arsenals of the former GDR. Where the United States and where Germany ... In Germany, this topic is still taboo.
  14. 0
    April 6 2015 09: 32
    American democracy.
  15. +6
    April 6 2015 09: 36
    A long time ago, Herluf Bidstrup had a cartoon about such "objectivity":

    American objectivity
    Dulles: Rebellion in Hungary! US troops are ready to help the rebels against the damned Hungarian government!

    Dulles: Rebellion in Libya! US troops are ready to help the Libyan government against the damned rebels!
  16. 0
    April 6 2015 10: 04
    In the end, Russia is the sample of 1995 and Russia is the sample of the year 2015


    It is better to say that Russia 2015 is not the FRY of 1995, although the quote is true. The Yugoslavs could not resist the NATO aggression, and Milosevic had a choice between NATO bombings sooner or later. He delayed the decision for a long time, handing over the Serbian enclaves one after another, in the hope that he would be able to maneuver between Europe and the United States, completely not hoping for the support of Yeltsin Russia. Our situation is different now. And only the victory of the Maidan in Moscow, or a complete military defeat from NATO, and, of course, not from the Ukrainian army, can make GDP leave Donbas.
  17. +1
    April 6 2015 12: 02
    Quote: alicante11
    Our situation is different now. And only the victory of the Maidan in Moscow, or a complete military defeat from NATO, and, of course, not from the Ukrainian army, can make GDP leave Donbas.

    I completely agree. The Ukrainian Armed Forces is preparing intensively, but we are not sleeping either. For example, 7DShD in Novoross is reinforced by the N number of seconded persons who are not sent back on the unspoken expectation of compliance with the Minsk agreements. And it seems that this state of affairs is not only in this unit. Everyone is well aware that the failure of these agreements will transfer the conflict into a "hot" phase, and not so much for the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the militia, but for us and the United States, with all their henchmen
  18. +5
    April 6 2015 17: 07
    With the Russians, Serbs will become one in a row.
    1. +1
      April 6 2015 20: 35
      Yes, in Russia we have the only person who calls a spade a spade - Mikhail Zadornov.
  19. 0
    27 June 2015 08: 59
    I agree with the author of the article 100% ... This is exactly what is happening in Ukraine, while the junta is arming its army of punishers with IMF money and preparing them for a throw to New Russia, Western capital destroys Ukraine as a producer, turning it into an eternal debtor and just a market sales of goods !!! And in case the junta wins in this war, Ukraine will become a NATO base, a huge NATO base ... Russia’s days will be numbered ... Putin is not eternal, and the existing political system does not have inside competition consisting essentially of the mafia clans of Zyuganov, Zhirinovsky, Mironov’s six and Zhopalizov United Russia ... This system does not allow to put forward new candidates for the post of leader of the country !!! IT NEEDS TO CHANGE - oblige all parties to hold intra-party elections, as well as prohibit re-nominating one candidate for the next election !!! The new candidate for the post of leader of the country should not present a criticism of the existing government, but the ways and deadlines for solving existing problems !!! Otherwise, we can’t survive !!!

"Right Sector" (banned in Russia), "Ukrainian Insurgent Army" (UPA) (banned in Russia), ISIS (banned in Russia), "Jabhat Fatah al-Sham" formerly "Jabhat al-Nusra" (banned in Russia) , Taliban (banned in Russia), Al-Qaeda (banned in Russia), Anti-Corruption Foundation (banned in Russia), Navalny Headquarters (banned in Russia), Facebook (banned in Russia), Instagram (banned in Russia), Meta (banned in Russia), Misanthropic Division (banned in Russia), Azov (banned in Russia), Muslim Brotherhood (banned in Russia), Aum Shinrikyo (banned in Russia), AUE (banned in Russia), UNA-UNSO (banned in Russia), Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People (banned in Russia), Legion “Freedom of Russia” (armed formation, recognized as terrorist in the Russian Federation and banned)

“Non-profit organizations, unregistered public associations or individuals performing the functions of a foreign agent,” as well as media outlets performing the functions of a foreign agent: “Medusa”; "Voice of America"; "Realities"; "Present time"; "Radio Freedom"; Ponomarev; Savitskaya; Markelov; Kamalyagin; Apakhonchich; Makarevich; Dud; Gordon; Zhdanov; Medvedev; Fedorov; "Owl"; "Alliance of Doctors"; "RKK" "Levada Center"; "Memorial"; "Voice"; "Person and law"; "Rain"; "Mediazone"; "Deutsche Welle"; QMS "Caucasian Knot"; "Insider"; "New Newspaper"