From the Serbian Krajina to Novorossia
In connection with the Ukrainian events, the relevance of a number of components of that conflict has again manifested itself. Moreover, it was shown not without active discussion of this topic by Ukrainian politicians. It is well known that not so long ago, the head of the Petro Poroshenko Bloc faction in the Ukrainian parliament, Mr. Lutsenko, openly called for a repetition of Operation Storm (an operation in which the Croatian army defeated the Serbian Krajina army) in Donbass for several days. From Lutsenko's statement:
A hint is more than transparent ...
As seen, story what is considered “democracy” and what is considered “rebellion” is repeated again. The Kravchuk-Yeltsin-Shushkevich cabal in the framework of the Belovezhsky conspiracy in Viskuly - tse democracy, the third round of elections, in which Yushchenko “won” - also democracy, the February anti-constitutional coup 2014 - again, democracy, but the popular vote in the DPR and the LPR - “Separatism”, you know ... Years go by, the concept does not change ...
Let us return, however, to the previously expressed words of Lutsenko about the “development of the Croatian economy” in the 1991-1994 years. Turning to the documents that can now be considered historical, it can be concluded that the development of the Croatian economy was very peculiar in those years. Starting from the 1990 year and ending with the “victory over the rebels” in 1995, the economic downturn in Croatia was 46%. Against this background, expenditures on military objectives reached a colossal value for those times - around 38% of GDP. In 1994, the conflict between Croatia and the Belgrade-supported RSK (Republic of Serbian Krajina) came with a “truce”, which was achieved with the support of the UN. It is at this moment that the active phase of the preparation of the Croatian army military personnel by American instructors from the private military company MPRI begins. The “particularity” of this PMC can safely be questioned, since its employees were entirely retired high-ranking officials (generals) of the Pentagon, the intelligence services and other relevant ministries and departments of the United States. Thanks to the work of MPRI, Croatia was able to prepare several brigades in a fairly short time, get the most important intelligence about the plans of Knin (capital of the RSK) and Belgrade, which played a part in the victory over the Serbs of the RSK.
Against this background, Croatia was engaged in the implementation of the privatization program. By the end of 1993, all major strategic enterprises were in private hands. It is noteworthy that it was in 1993 that active cooperation with the officials of the International Monetary Fund began with Zagreb. Representatives of the IMF made frequent visits to Croatia, Croatian government economists tried to keep up with the number of visits to the headquarters of the IMF. As a result, a whole series of agreements emerged under which financial assistance was intended for Croatia. The agreement, of course, appeared and "certain conditions of the IMF." One of the conditions is the intensification of the transfer of state property into private hands, as well as the conclusion of a framework agreement between Croatia and Serb Krajina on the renewal of the operation of the energy system and the oil pipeline. Croatia, for obvious reasons, accepted the conditions of the IMF, having received financial assistance, up to 40% of which was immediately sent to re-equip its army while simultaneously transferring it to NATO standards. Serbian Krajina also agreed to restore the operation of the pipeline and the transit infrastructure of the electric power complex. And in Knin, apparently, they believed that Zagreb by such agreement indirectly recognized the right of the RSK to an independent existence. Knin is known to be seriously mistaken in his interpretation of Croatian intentions.
It is noteworthy that in the IMF the misuse of funds aimed at “restoring the Croatian economy during the truce” 1994, was strangely “not noticed”. But thanks to agreements with foreign partners, Croatia was able to get rid of the “heavy communist legacy” in the form of a developed shipbuilding industry ... If in the 80-ies the Croatian shipyards allowed Yugoslavia to be among the leaders in shipbuilding not only among the countries of the so-called socialist bloc, but also on the whole European continent, by the middle of 90's both the main production segments of the sphere, and part of the finished product, were in the hands of local proprietors first, and then among western owners. Those in turn let everything go to the metal, making an instant profit and at the same time burying Croatian shipbuilding. Much of the "heavy legacy of the communist industry" was buried at that time. Both agriculture and the processing industry, which are still unable to obtain more or less efficient status in Croatia as a member of the European Union, have been threatened.
In general, the Croatian economy in 1994 had its own "peremoga" ...
This means that the current situation in Ukraine is in many ways reminiscent of the Croatian one. And they also promise and give Kiev credits for “economic recovery”, some of which it allows for the construction of the “Wall” on the border with Russia, then for the purchase of military equipment and the formation of more and more punitive battalions legalized under the banner of the Armed Forces of Ukraine or the National Guard. The economy of Ukraine is also dropping, trampling along the default line, but the “good and democratic partners” are still giving Kiev their leverage, taking root in the sphere of power, and getting closer and closer to the division of Ukrainian assets. Only in the case of Ukraine, the scale is much more impressive.
But if there is a definite repetition of the Croatian plot now, can the result that Mr. Lutsenko and many other representatives of the Ukrainian authorities are hoping to repeat? Kiev’s desire to “crush the insurgents” is enormous, but is one desire enough, even if it coincides with the aspirations of Western “friends of Ukraine”? One can reflect on this topic for a long time, declaring the desire of the DPR and the LPR to defend the right to independence, but in the end it is quite clear that the situation with the repetition of the Serbian Krajina scenario depends on Russia today. If the “partners” can make so that the Russian authorities, having stepped on the next rake, “realize that they are wrong”, then you see that the Ukrainian army will be given a victorious march to go through Donetsk and Luhansk. If the Russian authorities can step over the rakes that are systematically thrown by the “partners”, it is still unknown who is marching forward with victory ... In the end, Russia of the 1995 model of the year and Russia of the 2015 model of the year are two big differences: too much experience of understanding the plans of our "friends" during this time managed to save up to organize the discharge, after which the pressure will only increase with an eye and to the Crimea too ...
There is an opinion that if the repetition of the Croatian scenario with respect to the RAC happens in relation to Donbass, then this will be a fatal mistake for Russia, which positions itself as an alternative pole in world geopolitics.
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