Much, if not all, in our world depends on the tasks. That is, not from the “correctness of the answers”, but much more deeply: from the correct formulation of questions. And in this sense, “what will happen next with Ukraine” and “what should we do with Ukraine and in Ukraine” is also one giant question.
And before looking for answers to it, - it would be necessary at least for a start to ask yourself stupidly.
So, the first question is obvious: what is happening in Ukraine now?
The answer is simple and it seems that no one even discusses it: a civil war is taking place in Ukraine.
I emphasize: not a “national liberation revolution”, but specifically a civil war. The phenomenon, no matter what they say in Kiev, is not “national”, but “civil” and “political”. And this, in spite of all this civil war, bitterness, is perfectly realized by all the people living in this unfortunate territory. Please note that the “nationally-oriented”, let's say, the Freedom party, even with all the cutsti and, which is already there, the obviously inadequate representativeness of the modern Ukrainian elections - even to the Verkhovna Rada did not go there.
Therefore, in Ukraine it doesn’t matter: in Donetsk, Lugansk, Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, yes, what’s really there, and in Kiev itself, there is one people living. Which is now there and is engaged, we will speak directly, fratricide. And he realizes it internally, and suffers, and wants to stop, and invents "Mongolokatsap with the Chechens," and still wants to stop.
Now - the second question: how, as strange science shows us историяAre the civil wars ending?
Fragmentation of a single cultural, religious, linguistic, ethnic space ?!
Yes, by no means.
Civil wars, always and everywhere - be it, for example, France, Britain, the United States of America (they also happened) or Russia - historically always end with the same thing: the victory of one of the warring parties.
Figuratively speaking, either Paris will crush Vendée, any Vendée will take Paris.
There are no other options.
And precisely, by the way, so Moscow will not be able to recognize the people's republics of New Russia. Here, too, everything is simple: Moscow does not just consider Ukraine to be a single territorial and state entity, it considers it a part of the “Russian world” and, therefore, something one with itself. Therefore, going down to a more “pragmatic level”: guys! in order for Kiev to stop shelling the Donbass, the Donbass will still have to take Kiev sooner or later. Not necessarily by military means, perhaps (and, which is already there, we would like to) at the expense of other, political or economic means of fighting. Because, paraphrasing one well-known phrase, civil war is a continuation of the domestic political struggle, only by violent means.
But do not deceive yourself: you still have to take Kiev.
There is no other way.
And Kiev will have to take
- Dmitry Lekuh
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