Military Review

Kiev's nervousness

Kiev's nervousness

Over the past few days, Ukrainian politicians of considerable caliber reported on Russia's alleged invasion of Ukraine. Initially, this was stated by the permanent representative of Ukraine to the UN, and even gathered a special meeting of the Security Council on this matter. Then, Poroshenko informed about the same weight and weight. Today Avakov continued this topic.

The enhanced pedaling of the topic is associated with a possible upcoming offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which the Ukrainian leadership is trying to cover up with talk of a “Russian invasion.” Transferring from a sick head to a healthy one is quite a familiar method, so anything is entirely possible.

Another question that Kiev may be seriously concerned about the real breakdown of the situation, which is almost in the balance. The unprecedented pressure on Russia from the West may not end at all as calculated - in the end, all previous peace-loving gestures from Moscow and the readiness to make deals even with the loss of a person were very contemptuously ignored. Kiev almost completely refused to fulfill the Minsk agreements and defiantly acts contrary to it.

In the end, all this can “disrupt the thread”, and the position of those who insist on a tough solution to the problem will prevail in the Russian leadership. First of all, of course, we are talking about a corridor to the Crimea, which was already almost broken through during the August offensive. The corridor will completely change the whole strategic situation and will put Kiev in front of the fact of disaster.

A possible answer from the West will be little different from what it is doing now. The position of "two deaths do not happen" in the current situation becomes very, very possible. Most likely, this consideration and forcing Kiev to panic - the West has clearly conveyed the situation so as not to fear a possible change in Russia's policy or at least its tactics.

In addition, at all costs, the militia went through the equator of its transformation. The uncontrolled commanders were removed, the most disloyal to the current leadership of the troops dispersed and poured into more controlled units. The situation with the Brain "Ghost" seems to be the last in a series of similar ones - if we succeed in disbanding this squadron and scattering it in others, the formation of a unified army under a single command will be completed.

This process can be treated differently, and most likely, the original ideas of Novorossia without oligarchs and thieves already have nothing in common, but strictly rationally this approach is quite logical - if Russia takes control of the newborn Donetsk nomenclature, then it’s ridiculous that she will be allowed to build something other than the same oligarchic capitalism as in Russia.

In any case, the Makhnovshchina is gradually giving way to loyalty, and now the new leadership will carry out exactly what is prescribed, and exactly in the framework in which it is allowed. There will be no unexpected decisions like the seizure of Slavyansk or vice versa - there will be no way out of it.

Understanding this, Kiev begins to worry - now contractual matches, as practiced at the beginning of the war, are no longer possible. We will not have to communicate with the commanders who have been lured by local oligarchs, but with those controlled by Moscow. But what Moscow decides depends not on Kiev. Here he is deprived of freedom of maneuver and is forced only to fulfill the will of the embassies.

In this case, the panic of the first persons has a slightly different shade - they can really fear that Moscow, having become convinced of the futility of the policy of appeasement, can take over the game. And here nobody will help Kiev - no one will introduce NATO, unless they express sympathy. New sanctions against Russia will certainly be introduced, but this will not make Kiev any easier.

In general, for now, one can only say that nervousness in Kiev has every reason. True, no one can say how justified the hysterical reaction of his first persons. About this now we can only guess.
21 comment

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  1. Fedya
    Fedya 18 November 2014 07: 03
    Nervousness, nervousness. The story of a boy who shouted: Wolves! Do you remember?
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov 18 November 2014 07: 17
      Over the past few days, Ukrainian politicians of considerable caliber have reported the alleged Russian invasion of Ukraine
      How so belay We kinda already invaded laughing

      The Russian army invaded Ukraine in the direction of ... /.../ 3044290-armiya_rossii_vtorglas_v_ukrainu_i_dvizhetsy ...
      Aug 25 2014 year

      Russia invaded Ukraine and started the war for ... ›News› Politics of Ukraine
      Aug 28 2014 - 28.08.14 12:27 - Russia invaded Ukraine and started the war for land access to the Crimea, -

      Russian troops invaded Ukraine and are moving towards ... ›Incidents
      Aug 26 2014 - Regular troops of Russia invaded Ukraine from Taganrog

      Poroshenko: Russia invaded the territory of Ukraine ...
      Poroshenko: Russia invaded the territory of Ukraine. August 28, 2014;

      Russian troops invaded Ukraine - admiral ... - MFN
      Russian troops invaded the territory of Ukraine. They are now in Slovyansk and Krasny Liman

      A column of the 56th separate airborne invaded Ukraine ... /.../ 7902-v-ukrainu-vtorglas-kolonna-56-y-otdelnoy-desantn ...
      7 days ago

      General Philip Breedlove: Russian troops invaded ...
      5 days ago - Russia sent its troops to the territory of Ukraine,

      And so on .... and in connection with this I have a question, where can I see the Stream about the round-the-clock invasion of our military in Ukraine laughing
      1. PiP
        PiP 18 November 2014 08: 47
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        [b] Over the past few days, Ukrainian politicians of considerable caliber have reported the alleged Russian invasion of Ukraine, and so on.
        .... and in connection with this I have a question where you can watch Stream about the round-the-clock invasion of our military in Ukraine laughing

        You still do not understand? Our ride in a circle! In the south they go in the north go out and so on ad infinitum,
        so to speak, not a disruptive intrusion)))
      2. Petergut
        Petergut 18 November 2014 11: 58
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        Over the past few days, Ukrainian politicians of considerable caliber have reported the alleged Russian invasion of Ukraine
        How so belay We kinda already invaded laughing

        Well, the heroic ukrokiborgs have already destroyed all the previously invading Russian special forces and armored vehicles ... without losses. Tymchuk repeatedly repeatedly reported this to Facebook.
      3. Baloo
        Baloo 18 November 2014 12: 29
        It’s like political ananism: it’s in, it’s in, it’s in… Who’s in ?: Underwater cavalrymen, horse-drawn divers, underground tankmen ... The Russian Federation still has many invisible arms.
        1. Oldwiser
          Oldwiser 18 November 2014 13: 36
          Posts and fraud in Kiev have been firmly established since the Soviet era
    2. dimdimich71
      dimdimich71 18 November 2014 07: 32
      Ts ... this is a military secret .., in fact, ours is already in the city ..
  2. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 18 November 2014 07: 24
    In general, so far we can only say that nervousness in Kiev has every reason. True, no one can say how justified is the hysterical reaction of his first persons.

    Their hysterical reaction is very justified. And here is not only the understanding that the junta militia cannot be defeated. Here and the onset of winter, the collapse of the economy and the need to turn to Moscow (which they swear). And further down the list.
  3. saag
    saag 18 November 2014 07: 36
    Nervousness is faced with uncertainty, if there would be a real intrusion then everything is clear what to do, and whether it will be, whether it is not and what it will pour into, no one knows, they can only guess, but it tires
    1. Litol
      Litol 18 November 2014 15: 51
      hi The expectation of death is worse than death itself. Even politicalam
  4. A1L9E4K9S
    A1L9E4K9S 18 November 2014 07: 37
    So many months in a row, Ukraine has been fighting with Russia and almost one hundred percent of Russian troops have been destroyed by the valiant warriors of Ukrostan, but why is it all only in a dream and in dreams, why Russia still hasn’t come to this war, although various liars in the west say once in a week about the entry of Russian troops into Ukraine, but until now, although they are looking in the afternoon with fire, they cannot find it.
  5. Balamyt
    Balamyt 18 November 2014 07: 46
    .... In general, so far we can only say that nervousness in Kiev has every reason. True, no one can say how justified the hysterical reaction of his first persons.

    All of the first persons, with such statements, act as if according to a pre-approved schedule, over and over again raising the "degree" of hysteria. Thus, they try to keep the society "in good shape". But there is a high probability that such statements will soon be ignored ... And then .......)))
  6. SveTok
    SveTok 18 November 2014 07: 46
    This Parash already got everyone with his stupidity, Russia needs to take a vacation and New Russia itself will restore order in Ukraine before the New Year.
  7. Flinky
    Flinky 18 November 2014 08: 10
    Elmyuridovshchina uninteresting.
  8. Gray 43
    Gray 43 18 November 2014 08: 11
    If the junta and its patrons do not talk about our invasion, then the population will raise a new Maidan for heat in houses, for electricity, for Euro-free, while it turns out to write off everything for war
  9. Siberian1965
    Siberian1965 18 November 2014 08: 12
    Quantity goes into quality. I’m afraid that a certain paradigm has already developed in the west of this constant howl - Russian troops in Ukraine, and since the quality of human material in the west is lower than the baseboard, they think with anything but their head that sanctions and war cannot be avoided.
  10. Bosk
    Bosk 18 November 2014 08: 44
    Yesterday I talked to my sister on Skype, so she's worried that her son is leaving again on a business trip ... and my nephew "works" as a tanker ..., this is me so that let's wait a couple of years with kmments on this topic ... because emotion is not the whole truth, and the truth doesn't even come close to emotion.
    1. I read the news
      I read the news 18 November 2014 09: 22
      And she also told the route of the column, the number and composition of units, and what kind of anti-tank weapons is best to shoot at her son’s tank?
      Yes, no mother will tell such a thing. Not just on Skype, but on my thoughts.
      1. Bosk
        Bosk 18 November 2014 10: 04
        The nephew serves in Russia, the route, the number, the composition of the ash tree stump does not know, but the fact that in the part from the "teachings" a couple of "zinc" came to her somehow ... I don't know how, if the nephew said nothing, or "babsky the telegraph "reported, but that is what it is ..., he tried to talk to him on the phone ... so he is silent like a partisan, though he promised that it would not work for a couple of years and he will clarify this" situation "... now we are waiting ...
        1. Baloo
          Baloo 18 November 2014 12: 32
          Losses on any exercises have always been and will be, alas.
          1. Bosk
            Bosk 18 November 2014 13: 33
            I agree, but the catch here is that these "exercises" are mainly attended by contractors and accidents usually happen to them and everything connected with this is classified ... here.
        2. stariy
          stariy 18 November 2014 13: 40
          Quote: Bosk
          "teachings" a couple of "zinc" has come

          Unfortunately, the scholars and a couple of chinks are not separable, such is the specificity of the profession.
      2. The comment was deleted.
  11. Dragon-y
    Dragon-y 18 November 2014 09: 14
    In the troops of which country does the nephew "work"?