Military Review

Sarkis Tsaturyan. Third World: Preliminary Results

30
The Third World War, launched in 2011 by coups in the Arab-Muslim world, is entering its decisive stage. Iraq and Ukraine are divided. Syria expects a similar fate. No conferences and official statements, only secret diplomacy, which in moments of impotence is replaced by a military struggle between the parties to the conflict. It is a global conflict over resources that redraws the borders in the Middle East. Its waves are so strong that they go beyond North Africa, Eastern Europe and Central Asia, reaching the shores of the Arctic, which will help the planet meet the 40% increase in energy consumption by 2030 g. The Third World is a series of hybrid wars , political and cultural variables whose actions are determined by the context, varying from events in different parts of the world. The front line does not exist. The dividing line is determined not only by ethnic horizons, but also by spiritual values ​​that are more mobile and less stable than consanguinity. In a broad sense, this is a war for Russia.

Networks confront networks and government armies simultaneously. Using the example of Iraq, we note that with its existence the network is pushing ethnic groups to form new states. Thus, the “Islamic State” turns Kurdistan into an independent state, which is supported by Israeli Prime Minister B. Netanyahu. 29 June 2014. An Israeli politician declares the need for an independent Kurdish state. The collaboration of Israel and Iraqi Kurdistan has never been so fruitful. According to the Izvestia newspaper, Erbil sent the first batch of oil to Tel Aviv at the end of June of this year. A non-random "coincidence" in time and space: it is 29 of June Salafi al-Baghdadi that proclaims "Caliphate". IG becomes a symbol of the Third World War, its culmination, uniting people from 80 countries under its banner. We are confronted not only with a terrorist organization, but with the international coalition, represented by individuals so far.

If the “Kurdish awakening” in Iraq is the result of a longstanding policy of the United States and Israel minimizing the Arab factor in supplying Middle Eastern oil to Europe and China, the “Russian awakening” in eastern Ukraine caused by the coup in Kiev is a result of attempts by Washington and Brussels to stop growing influence Moscow on the economy of the Old World. The elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine on October 26 and the election of the leadership of the DPR and the LPR of 2 in November are two claims for legitimacy, which means the actual disintegration of Ukraine. The ultimate goal of this process is to freeze (with the help of sanctions, the weakening of the ruble and the fall in oil prices) oil and gas production projects carried out by the corporations Rosneft and ExxonMobil in the Arctic.

Iraq and Ukraine are followed by Syria, torn by a multilateral civil war. The Islamic State strengthens its position in northern and western Syria by capturing the largest gas field in the province of Homs on October 31. According to the Russia 24 television channel, aviation The United States flies at IS positions in Kobani and also in several areas of Iraq. Americans are worried about the fate of Kurdistan, on the state of affairs in which US relations with Turkey and Iran depend. The territorial integrity of these two regional powers is at stake. Given the fact that Homs is located 90 km from the Russian naval base in Tartus and 162 km from Damascus, the political and economic consequences of the breakthrough of the militants do not leave Russia indifferent. The main headquarters of the Russian Navy takes a principled position: “The Logistics Support Point (TUR) in Tartus will not only be maintained, but also significantly updated, taking into account the new political situation in Syria and the military situation in the Mediterranean region. Since 2015, we plan to begin updating the entire infrastructure of this item. By separate agreement with the Syrian side, we will strengthen all types of protection for this facility, including air defense and anti-sabotage defense. "

Fights for Homs - one of the bloodiest episodes of the civil war in Syria. IG makes its way to the Eastern Mediterranean, which will create the infrastructure for the supply of oil and gas from its Iraqi and Syrian territories to Europe. Then the role of Turkey as a transport corridor will be weakened. After establishing control over the Mediterranean coast of Syria, the next arena of struggle will be neighboring Lebanon, which will force Iran to officially go to war with the "Islamic State". The consequences will be disastrous for the entire region. Iran’s participation in this fight will call into question not only the participation of the Gulf monarchies in energy supplies to Europe and China, but also their very existence.

Lebanon is already involved in the conflict. According to ITAR-TASS, in the mountainous region of Kalyamun between Homs and Damascus, Syrian pilots attacked gangs of mercenaries leaking from Lebanon from the air. Their targets were the gorges, along which the militants made their way to Syria from the Lebanese district of Ersal. With reference to the Syrian TV channel "Surya" ITAR-TASS states: in Deir ez-Zor on the Euphrates, the Syrian Air Force attacked the positions of the IG in Mukhasan, Abu Omar and M-Meye. The troops launched a counter-offensive in the area and came close to the Tim-Oil oil field seized by the militants.

Iran is increasing its activity in the region through the Yemeni Shiites, who are heading for the squeezing of the enemy’s sea transport arteries. The transit of tanker oil from the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf is under threat after the Shiite group Ansarulla seizes the key port of Hodeidah on the Arabian Peninsula, threatening to block the Bab El-Mandeb strategic strait linking the Gulf of Aden and the Red and Mediterranean Sea. According to Kommersant, Sunni monarchies urgently consider the creation of a joint Navy. Recall that about 4 million barrels of oil passes through this strait every day. And this is only the first answer of Iran to the militants from IS. Given that the Strait of Hormuz (through which 17 million barrels of oil passes daily) is also controlled by Iran, there is no room for maneuver in Sunni monarchies. Their hopes are laid on the "Islamic State", which is breaking through to the Mediterranean.

The Echo of the Third World War also reaches China, in Muslim regions (XUAR) of which large-scale conflicts flare up on ethnoreligious soil. Uyghur separatism risks turning Northwestern China into the epicenter of a bloody hybrid war. The engine of this tragedy is Pakistan, whose integrity is also in question.

The international system is undergoing the most significant changes since the fall of the Yalta-Potsdam order. No authority and principles, only the right of the strong. And the most important thing is a war that no one has declared to anyone.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.regnum.ru/news/polit/1862665.html
30 comments
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  1. zao74
    zao74 7 November 2014 21: 19
    +13
    In a broad sense, this is a war for Russia.

    I agree. And during the war - to traitors and collaborators - death. Therefore, the liberals - to the wall!
    1. GRF
      GRF 7 November 2014 21: 28
      +4
      Deprive citizenship in Europe ... Permanent residence without the right to return ..
      The war is not declared ...
    2. Vitaly Anisimov
      Vitaly Anisimov 7 November 2014 21: 32
      +2
      The article "scarecrow" is another .. There is a simple redivision of the world and Russia in this game has good cards in hand and can "bluff" .. As the "great" Obama said, the world has three threats 1) Ebola, 2) Russia, 3) ISIS. .. bully Nice damn it ... laughing laughing drinks
    3. Giant thought
      Giant thought 7 November 2014 21: 48
      +3
      World War III has just begun, the main events are yet to come.
      1. Viktor Kudinov
        Viktor Kudinov 8 November 2014 03: 32
        0
        The big mess always starts with the small. A small mess today a lot. Especially in Asia and Africa. Is it possible to consider that a big mess in the form of a new world war has already arrived? Probably, experts should answer this question, and on the basis of their conclusion - an appropriate UN definition. Moreover, today we have a certain distrust of the UN. negative
      2. The comment was deleted.
    4. The comment was deleted.
  2. Tra-ta-ta
    Tra-ta-ta 7 November 2014 21: 29
    +1
    no comment .. got negative emotions ..
  3. nomad74
    nomad74 7 November 2014 21: 30
    0
    We all, I'm talking about society, need to consolidate and be prepared for any surprises of mattresses. Matrasnikov is crushing the crisis and total debt, and they are engaged in pyromania all over the world.
    pc little hands would tear them
    1. corn
      corn 7 November 2014 21: 43
      +3
      Nomad74
      I learn from the mattresses during the crisis mainly in the comments on the site.
      But what I see in stores recently and most of the comments of near-power personalities makes me want to tear off little hands for mattresses, and little heads for someone else.
      1. Velikoruss
        Velikoruss 8 November 2014 01: 40
        +2
        If you think a little, you can understand that these little heads are a continuation of the handle of the mattress
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. alone
      alone 8 November 2014 12: 34
      0
      Quote: nomad74
      . Matrasnikov is crushing the crisis and total debt, and they are engaged in pyromania all over the world.


      I’ve been hearing about this crisis for about 15 years. You’ve even looked at how things are going in the Russian economy. The dollar has almost come close to 50 rubles, the euro has already slipped over 60.

      Crisis, crisis.
  4. corn
    corn 7 November 2014 21: 30
    0
    I wanted to hear through which borders and who will support the Chinese separatists - the Uyghurs, whose number is 11 million in China and about 0.5 million abroad.
    How tired of all these conspiracy theorists.
    1. Cat man null
      Cat man null 7 November 2014 21: 54
      +4
      - Ask yourself a question - through what borders and who supports the Kiev "power" now, and you will understand everything at once)

      And Honduras, by chance, does not bother you (by joke)

      - the world, it is small, and everything in it is interconnected, understand? )
      1. corn
        corn 7 November 2014 22: 20
        0
        Cat man null
        Got a cool comment:
        1. Answer your own question for yourself.
        2. Get the answer for another.
        Do you want to be a stopper in all places?
        1. Cat man null
          Cat man null 7 November 2014 22: 52
          +1
          Quote: corn
          Do you want to be a stopper in all places?

          - in no way, just your questions me .. amused NP

          Quote: corn
          1. Answer your own question for yourself.

          - OK, I’ll expand the answer: USA manage to maintain tension in Ukraine, not having with her, Ukraine, common borders. So? If so, what will stop them from doing the same anywhere else in the ball?

          Quote: corn
          2. Get the answer for another.

          - as far as I know, the rules of the forum are not prohibited, no?

          Voooot ...
          1. corn
            corn 7 November 2014 23: 26
            -4
            Cat man null
            In chronological order:
            1. I will try to amuse myself further.
            2. I will quote myself: How tired of all these conspiracy theorists; and, I’ll add: I’m tired of listening to and reading hints, subtle and not subtle, about Washington’s long arm, and, most importantly, blaming many of our troubles on the Americans (according to the principle: if there is no water in the tap, it means they drank f. .
            3. In distant childhood there was a talk: two in a fight, the third in ....
  5. vo.dum
    vo.dum 7 November 2014 21: 34
    0
    Yes. Russia now has to be strong. It has been done more than once in history. They don’t want to leave us calmly to develop, come to bend ... we will have to prove that we are worthy descendants ...
  6. Belisarios
    Belisarios 7 November 2014 21: 36
    +3
    I completely agree with the author that the conflicts mentioned are interrelated. I would also add tensions between Japan and China over Senkaku and constant attempts to undermine Venezuela.
    1. corn
      corn 7 November 2014 21: 47
      -5
      Belisarios
      And Honduras, by chance, does not bother you (according to the joke).
  7. hard
    hard 7 November 2014 21: 45
    +1
    Quote: GRF
    Deprive citizenship in Europe ... Permanent residence without the right to return ..

    Together with the children, their souls are also poisoned.
  8. sv68
    sv68 7 November 2014 21: 47
    +2
    the author is just not quite right, the United States has declared this war to all of humanity and is rocking regions and countries with the hands of various fundominental formations.
    1. Viktor Kudinov
      Viktor Kudinov 8 November 2014 03: 41
      0
      Can we take a look at the text of the US declaration of war on all mankind? Would like to watch. And another question for experts: can the US population not be considered part of humanity? request
  9. andrei1
    andrei1 7 November 2014 21: 59
    0
    American panties from such a wide gait would not be torn !!!
  10. Patriot.ru.
    Patriot.ru. 7 November 2014 22: 03
    0
    And the Strait of Hormuz is controlled not by Iran but by SGA. Although I would like to.
  11. Urri
    Urri 7 November 2014 22: 17
    +2
    Quote: MIKHAN
    As the "great" Obama said, the world has three threats: 1) Ebola, 2) Russia, 3) ISIS ...


    He forgot to put himself in the first place, ye ... ok. Hasidim searched for a long time where is his button. Found it. Vanity painfully, like any puny Negro. It is enough to tell him that the Grandmaster called him a slippery swamp toad, and also a worm, an earthworm ... And do with it that hosh.
    Even Republicans in the Senate think so. As soon as they recently knocked out a monkey’s hand grenade from the results of the congressional elections, in a moment the next package of sanctions against Russia was blocked.

    By the way, as soon as this was reported today, in Moscow both the dollar and the euro rolled down.
    1. pest
      pest 7 November 2014 22: 37
      0
      Soon the impeachment will be impeached, then he will surely have to blame it on his historical homeland, and on the river designated under the number 1 of crocodiles to please. Maybe in their own skin the threat of the batsyli will try. And the threat number 3 will kill him there.
  12. TECHNOLOGY
    TECHNOLOGY 7 November 2014 22: 41
    +3
    Although fantastic, but most likely a reality.
  13. polkovnik manuch
    polkovnik manuch 7 November 2014 22: 48
    +1
    The fact that the third world war has already begun is a no brainer, none of the sides are trying to stop it, everyone is waiting for something (whose nerves are the first to fail) Until it's too late, we need to decide who is Iran: a good neighbor or an ally ? Time is running out ! The USSR tried to play the Kurdish card back in the late 70s, early 80s, but with Afghanistan it faded into the background, now "colleagues and partners" are muddying the waters there. We still cannot decide who is our friend and who is our enemy (like Batko In 1919 Makhno thought “in which direction to turn the machine-gun carts.” True, now the stakes are different.
  14. SHAKESPEARE
    SHAKESPEARE 7 November 2014 23: 04
    +1
    It would be nice if Putin agreed with the Islamic State and gave the Americans to be torn to pieces, let them tease.
  15. TECHNOLOGY
    TECHNOLOGY 7 November 2014 23: 09
    0
    Shakespeare. Have you stepped the wrong way?
  16. TECHNOLOGY
    TECHNOLOGY 7 November 2014 23: 11
    +1
    However, they taxied.
  17. Litvin from Grodno
    Litvin from Grodno 7 November 2014 23: 44
    -5
    Quote: zao74
    In a broad sense, this is a war for Russia.

    I agree. And during the war - to traitors and collaborators - death. Therefore, the liberals - to the wall!

    Well, you are not very "against the wall." All your Russian liberals are Jews by nationality. Here on the site there are clever people who cling to words without deep analysis of the written, and then shout "anti that", then "anti that". So, you stroke, and you will be "accused". smile
    You have to be kinder. "Against the wall" is not necessary - for a person's life is priceless, you do not give it, it is not for you to take it away. The Slavs need to be humane, it is in our blood. It is necessary to take all of them (these liberals, ie the 5th column) as gray cats, on a barge (emphasis in naval style on "y") and to Africa "for creative work", even there, among the savages, they build liberalism. People in Africa are kind, cheerful, dance and sing around the fire, meat is fried on a spit (rarely, only on the occasion of a successful hunt) ........... smile - and here they are already a whole crowd of liberals from the Russian Federation goes ashore - such smooth, well-fed, well-fed ......... smile smile smile
    1. Viktor Kudinov
      Viktor Kudinov 8 November 2014 03: 51
      0
      Liberals must atone for Russia with hard labor. And - until the end of their filthy life! No smoke breaks and amnesties! am am am
    2. The comment was deleted.
  18. fedok
    fedok 8 November 2014 00: 28
    +3
    In the whole world, we have only two faithful allies - our army and navy. All the rest, at the first opportunity, will take up arms against us.
    Alexander III.
    How true it is said.
  19. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 8 November 2014 01: 54
    0
    No authorities and principles, only the right of the strong. And most importantly, this is a war that no one has declared to anyone.

    If only the right of the strong is valid, then you need to "swing your rights" guided by this rule. Today Russia can already afford it. In the 90s, there remained a weak country led by Western "consultants" looking into the mouth of the United States. And as for the liberals - I agree, stop fumbling with them.
  20. Volzhanin
    Volzhanin 8 November 2014 01: 54
    +1
    Quote: hard
    Quote: GRF
    Deprive citizenship in Europe ... Permanent residence without the right to return ..

    Together with the children, their souls are also poisoned.

    But why to Europe? We have so much construction planned in the north wink
  21. Mainbeam
    Mainbeam 8 November 2014 07: 33
    +2
    Thank. Good review article.
    The conclusions may be premature, but the purpose of the hostilities and the trends of advancement are clearly shown.

  22. alone
    alone 8 November 2014 12: 31
    +2
    laughing The author is a specific humorist. It turns out the whole mutnyak is that to knock Russia out of the PMTO in Tartus. And yet. Soon they started to divide the countries into pieces, oh how early. And yet this is a reference for some. If the Third World seriously begins, divide already there will be nothing and no one. Nuclear war, you see.
  23. Litvin from Grodno
    Litvin from Grodno 8 November 2014 23: 24
    +1
    Quote: Litvin from Grodno
    Quote: zao74
    In a broad sense, this is a war for Russia.

    I agree. And during the war - to traitors and collaborators - death. Therefore, the liberals - to the wall!

    Well, you are not very "against the wall." All your Russian liberals are Jews by nationality. Here on the site there are clever people who cling to words without deep analysis of the written, and then shout "anti that", then "anti that". So, you stroke, and you will be "accused". smile
    You have to be kinder. "Against the wall" is not necessary - for a person's life is priceless, you do not give it, it is not for you to take it away. The Slavs need to be humane, it is in our blood. It is necessary to take all of them (these liberals, ie the 5th column) as gray cats, on a barge (emphasis in naval style on "y") and to Africa "for creative work", even there, among the savages, they build liberalism. People in Africa are kind, cheerful, dance and sing around the fire, meat is fried on a spit (rarely, only on the occasion of a successful hunt) ........... smile - and here they are already a whole crowd of liberals from the Russian Federation goes ashore - such smooth, well-fed, well-fed ......... smile smile smile

    Fine?! When some visitors put the liberals against the wall - this is normal, but when I save them from retaliation - this is a minus. What a site ?! Oh, I probably got it. These are secretly the Nemtsovs, Chubais, Khodorkovsky and other ill-wishers of Russia from the 5th column, controlled from the United States, take offense at their nationality - so from the biography (the 5th column of the Soviet questionnaire from the clothes of personnel) you cannot throw it out, like words from a song - parents do not choose. And then the crowd at the forum shouts "liberals to the wall, to the wall." I say - no one is needed to the wall, you should be kind, including your home-grown liberals, we are all people. What kind of site ?! smile