Military Review

Scare dragon

39
Protests in Chinese Hong Kong over the weekend led to clashes with the police and arrests. The local authorities hope that they will be able to achieve the end of the "occupy" in a peaceful way, without resorting to the help of the army - but in any case, the protests will further complicate relations between China and the United States. In Beijing, Americans are directly accused of instructing protest organizers.

On Monday in Hong Kong, classes in schools located in the city center were canceled after protest actions that started at a local university at the beginning of last week spilled out into the business center area on weekends. Several thousand people, mostly students, gathered on September 27 near the building of the Hong Kong administration under the slogan "We need real democracy and general elections." Hundreds of demonstrators entered the administration building, while the rest tried to block the work of the business center of the city - the Central district.

“Beijing in any case will not allow the development of the situation in Hong Kong under the scenario of the“ color revolution ”

“Occupy Central” began - with clashes with the police (in which about 30 demonstrators and policemen were injured), detentions (not too large - only a few dozen people were detained, including one of the leaders of the students, Joshua Vaughn, most were soon released), tear gas and batons. The Air Force reported that the protests allegedly spread throughout the city - “in many places spontaneous barricades began to arise, about three thousand people were able to block the main road that runs through the bay in Mong Kok, more than a thousand people began to confront the special forces police in busy shopping area, which is located in central Hong Kong. ” Reuters talks about 80 to thousands of protestors, the Chinese media about a few thousand, and in the photos it can be seen that on the patch near the administration there will physically not contain more than ten thousand. On Wednesday, the opposition appointed an action of civil disobedience - but the authorities hope to calm the protesters.

The head of the Hong Kong administration, Liang Zhening, called on the organizers of the Occupy Central movement to “stop this action” on the basis of common interests ”and“ peacefully disperse as soon as possible ”, stressing that“ for a long time the stable development of Hong Kong was based on respect and respect by residents of the law. " In addition, Liang said that "in the past few hours, a version was circulated about the use of PLA forces and the opening of fire by the police, which has no basis," and urged residents to "keep cool and not believe lies." Representatives of the central Chinese government in Hong Kong supported the actions of the regional government and expressed "confidence that the wide layers of the Syanggan population would not bring law and order, peace and prosperity in the area to the sacrifice of the radical activities of several individuals." What do the protesters want?

The topic of electoral law reform has been haunting Hong Kongers for more than ten years now - but this summer it has reached a new level. In the summer of Hong Kong, an independent online survey was held, in which 800 thousands of people from seven million local residents took part - they were in favor of the first direct elections of the head of the region coming in 2017, without any filters.

Under current legislation, candidates will be put on the ballot only after they are approved by the local electoral college - the Committee on the Election of the Chief Minister of the Administration of Hong Kong, consisting of several hundred representatives of the Hong Kong business elite. The minister is in the old English manner, and for Beijing the head of Hong Kong is called the head of the administration of the special administrative region of Hong Kong. Liang Zhenying occupying this post was elected as an elector in 2012. In Hong Kong, the voters themselves never chose the head of the city — with the governor appointed by the governor, and after returning to China — the head of the administration appointed by the electoral college, which Beijing approves.

Now the opposition wants to achieve not just direct elections - the central government has already agreed to this a long time ago, it wants to remove the filter through which the candidates will pass. Beijing will not do this - there is already a corresponding decision of the Chinese parliament. The logic of the PRC authorities is clear - China is interested in the gradual integration of Hong Kong into a single political system, and not in the deepening of differences. The point is not that in Beijing they strongly fear the victory of an objectionable candidate or, even worse, a separatist - according to all polls this is unrealistic, but there they don’t fundamentally want to weaken the already rather formal control over the internal structure of this territory that has not yet fully returned to its homeland.

Hong Kong was returned by Britain to China only in 1997, after a century and a half of colonial status. At the same time, Hong Kong received a guarantee from the Beijing 50-year transition period on the principle of "one country - two systems". It was important for both Hong Kong and the Chinese government - the city is the largest financial center in Asia and one of the world's financial capitals. After the return of Xiangang, the next, far from being the first stories, the gathering of Chinese lands was almost over - now only Taiwan remains, which Beijing intends to return by peaceful means. But in order to convince Taiwanese of the need for and the possibility of a peaceful reunion with their homeland, the Chinese authorities need to conduct the reintegration process with Hong Kong as carefully and gently as possible.

Scare dragon


All this cannot please the main opponent of China on the world stage — the USA. Containment of China in the Pacific region is America’s main strategic task - and Washington is going to carry out this policy not only inflating fear of China among its neighbors of the Middle Kingdom, but also using China’s internal pain points. Along with the attempt to play the national-religious card with minorities - the Muslim in Xinjiang and the Buddhist in Tibet - Hong Kong is also given a lot of attention. For this, there are staffing opportunities - after all, in one and a half centuries of the Anglo-Saxon domination of the Hong Kong Chinese, a special outlook was formed - and the geopolitical one.

In essence, Hong Kong is becoming a new global financial center. The very fact of its transfer to China meant the transfer of the center of gravity of globalization to Asia - while the Anglo-Saxon "game masters" not only relied on China, but also hoped that Hong Kong would become an important tool, if not to tame the Chinese dragon, then at least to create with it some kind of "common cause", "partnership for managing the world." China did not give, and could not give any promise to be an obedient tool of globalizers - but at least in the Hong Kong situation he showed that he was ready to take their interests into account.

Now China has almost reached its main goal - it has essentially become the first economy in the world and is beginning to emerge from the shadow of foreign policy, articulating its interests and goals more clearly and clearly. Moreover, he openly rejects the proposed US division of the world for two - the idea of ​​the "big two" was rejected by Xi Jinping immediately after his election as chairman of the PRC two years ago. The conflict between Russia and the West not only demonstrated that Moscow and Beijing came closer together much more than it seemed to the Anglo-Saxons, but also led the struggle to change the world order to a completely different level.

Russia has actually challenged the United States, but has not yet voiced in a tough form all its claims to the "owners of the game." And if she does this together with China, all Anglo-Saxon’s calculations for peaceful coexistence with the dragon taking off (as long as they failed to build a layered defense against him) can finally be written off into the archive, and the collapse of the “American-style world” will accelerate. Under these conditions, China is trying, if not to knock off the course, then at least to divert to other topics - and Hong Kong is one of the best points for this.

But in Beijing they understand perfectly well with whom and what game they play. A week ago, an article appeared in the Chinese newspaper “Huanqiu Shibao” that American intelligence agencies were trying to transfer the successful experience of the “color revolutions” in Eastern Europe to Hong Kong. The submission notes that the leaders of the Occupy Central protest movement held training seminars at the Hong Kong-American Center, a non-profit organization designed to “promote better understanding between Chinese and Americans.”

The events held in this institution, which were attended by, among others, employees of the US Consulate General, demanded that student activists “promote democratic change”, promising support from Washington, including the opportunity to study and live in America. “During the seminars, some international experts taught them tactics of protest actions, strategies for negotiating with the authorities in the context of large-scale popular speeches, and singled out items from the list of political demands that should never be refused,” Huangyu Shibao informed, citing representatives administration of hong kong.

The newspaper calls the head of Morton Holbrooke’s Hong Kong-American center a “major spy” who has worked in the American intelligence structures for 30 for years - he, like Hong Kong media mogul Jimmy Lai, who sponsors the opposition, is close to former US Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz.

In any case, Beijing will not allow the development of the situation in Hong Kong to follow the “color revolution” scenario. And, most likely, he will be able to do this without involving army units, because the majority of Hong Kong residents are not inclined to revolt against the central government. But the main result of the unrest will undoubtedly be that China-US relations will become even more tense - and Russia and China will come together in a common struggle for a new, just world order.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.vz.ru/politics/2014/9/29/708035.html
39 comments
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  1. Wiruz
    Wiruz 1 October 2014 18: 02
    +12
    Deja vu? We saw it somewhere. Only, I hope the Chinese authorities will be smart enough to press the "Maidan" force at once, otherwise the People's Republic of China may turn into a Chinese Republic at such a pace. (ay-ay-ay, if you don't know the difference)
    1. Arhj
      Arhj 1 October 2014 18: 07
      +10
      Quote: Wiruz
      Deja vu? We saw it somewhere. Only, I hope the Chinese authorities will be smart enough to press the "Maidan" force at once, otherwise the People's Republic of China may turn into a Chinese Republic at such a pace. (ay-ay-ay, if you don't know the difference)

      And how many times we will see. The problem with the states is a complete lack of imagination. Stencil without taking into account local specifics.
      1. avt
        avt 1 October 2014 18: 53
        +7
        Quote: Arhj
        . The problem with the states is a complete lack of imagination.

        What to do - the Pendos fade, degenerate, there are no such virtuosos in the State Department equal to Kissanger, only P ssaki remained.
      2. Demon0n
        Demon0n 1 October 2014 19: 40
        +3
        Quote: Arhj

        And how many times we will see. The problem with the states is a complete lack of imagination. Stencil without taking into account local specifics.


        The problem of the states is in the complex of nepotosy called "chosenness". There are no other problems there. In fact, this is state-national (that is, at the level of citizens of a particular state) chauvinism: "Only they are" human ", only they are worthy to be. All the rest are" subhuman ", must disappear or serve" people. "
        All actions of the states entirely and completely fit into this indecency. But ..., the most important thing is that most of the state population is quite happy with this. This means that the states do not and cannot have allies: relying on some, with their own hands to smash others, and joined fools in their turn, slowly reduce them to the necessary condition. This is one of the concepts of the development and struggle of civilizations, which at different times had its followers. The difference in the current situation is that old methods can lead to disaster, so now they are looking for and using new methods, which can be misleading about the reasons and intentions.
      3. Oleg Sobol
        Oleg Sobol 1 October 2014 19: 47
        +7
        Quote: Arhj
        The problem with the states is a complete lack of imagination.

        Why fantasize? The theme works, it practically doesn’t give failures ... Tested everywhere and everywhere with the result in favor of the USA. So what to invent?
        1. jjj
          jjj 2 October 2014 00: 24
          +5
          Hong Kong - Tse Brittany. Kytayaku - on the road! Hto ne skae - Toy Xy Ji!
      4. Evgen4ik
        Evgen4ik 2 October 2014 09: 52
        0
        And how many times we will see. The problem with the states is a complete lack of imagination. Stencil without taking into account local specifics.

        The USA is simply rushing around in agony. In my opinion. Teeth cling to the air, thereby showing weakness. This will only push China and Russia to more active actions. Russia will decompose the United States in Europe, China in Asia, Mexicans will decompose the United States in the United States)))
    2. makst83
      makst83 1 October 2014 18: 08
      +5
      scare the hedgehog naked scrack! Tiananmen apparently did not teach the protesters! They will throw you how to drink.
      1. Iline
        Iline 1 October 2014 18: 15
        +8
        Quote: makst83
        scare the hedgehog

        Not everything is simple in China at the moment. If you carefully look at the news from the Middle Kingdom for several months, then you will be unpleasantly surprised by the number of terrorist attacks. Not to mention the Beijing headache in Tibet. The wave came to Hong Kong under the guise of the good intentions of the protesters.
        Someone in this world urgently needs to wreak havoc and fish in troubled waters. Do not guess to whom?
        And in Russia, judging by the actions of liberals who have risen from oblivion and by the appointment of a new US ambassador, they are trying to crank out the same scenario.
        1. BYV
          BYV 1 October 2014 19: 01
          +11
          Something in Ferguson became quiet. Mess! And it’s time to attend to the struggle for the rights of the indigenous people of S.Sh.P.
          1. Wiruz
            Wiruz 1 October 2014 19: 25
            0
            Something in Ferguson County became quiet

            All, cursing, left for Kherson region
        2. Patriot.ru.
          Patriot.ru. 1 October 2014 21: 36
          +2
          One superpower ran over two "regional" powers. I think the superpower got excited.
    3. pinachet
      pinachet 1 October 2014 18: 28
      +14
      China will do everything right, they have experience!
    4. Giant thought
      Giant thought 1 October 2014 18: 40
      +5
      All troublemakers dancing to the American tune to reeducate in the Gobi Desert, even in harsh conditions, comprehend the foundations of democracy.
    5. avt
      avt 1 October 2014 18: 51
      +3
      Quote: Wiruz
      Deja vu? Somewhere we saw it.

      request ,, Occupy Wall Street " bully
      Quote: Wiruz
      , I hope the Chinese authorities are smart enough to press the force of the "Maidan"
      Well, they have already crushed the maidan on Tien an myn, and this will be a light polish with rubber products with gas, like in New York, but with cries of “human rights and political prisoners” like in Bolotnaya.
    6. max702
      max702 1 October 2014 20: 17
      +1
      Winding on the tracks and all is not in debt .. Positive experience is available ..
    7. Andy1967
      Andy1967 1 October 2014 20: 45
      +2
      China is not "super-Ukrainians". Americans are VERY screwed up with this promotion! And again into our hands! And the PRC will still miss ... the US "onolitegs"
    8. Privat
      Privat 1 October 2014 21: 07
      +4
      Yes, there’s no need to even crush anyone. The Chinese simply can introduce law enforcement into Hong Kong.
      The trick is that human resources make it possible to ensure that for every Hong Kong there are 3-5 law enforcement PLA fighters. laughing
  2. spech
    spech 1 October 2014 18: 05
    +17
    the best way to avoid the "color revolution" is the absence of the S_S_P_P embassy.
    1. Alexey RA
      Alexey RA 1 October 2014 18: 07
      +21
      Quote: spech
      the best way to avoid the "color revolution" is the absence of the S_S_P_P embassy.

      the best way to avoid the "color revolution" is the absence of S_W_P. smile
  3. RESEARCHER
    RESEARCHER 1 October 2014 18: 06
    +8
    The normal development of the situation. We can more confidently do not give a damn about Western sanctions. Given the aggravation of the situation in Donetsk, no truce is valid. To create maximum problems with providing the junta and the most hostile EU countries with gas. And help in the speedy liberation of Ukraine from fascism.
    1. cergey51046
      cergey51046 1 October 2014 18: 34
      +1
      I fully support you.
    2. cergey51046
      cergey51046 1 October 2014 18: 34
      0
      I fully support you.
  4. Evgen2x
    Evgen2x 1 October 2014 18: 16
    0
    У
    Quote: Wiruz
    Deja vu? We saw it somewhere. Only, I hope the Chinese authorities will be smart enough to press the "Maidan" force at once, otherwise the People's Republic of China may turn into a Chinese Republic at such a pace. (ay-ay-ay, if you don't know the difference)

    The Chinese have enough, if it’s not enough then they need to prepare for a big war, then the killers of the whole civilization (North American) won’t hold on, they don’t stop when they feel weakness, I accept objections, but reasoned, just because I won’t))
  5. northerner lech
    northerner lech 1 October 2014 18: 17
    +2
    Chinese, hold on. It's time for us to jointly pay attention to Fergusson
  6. IAlex
    IAlex 1 October 2014 18: 18
    +3
    Nuland is probably making a new batch of pies ...
    Patriotic oppositionists - you need to listen, opposition collaborators - you need to crush tanks ...
  7. The comment was deleted.
  8. Major Yurik
    Major Yurik 1 October 2014 18: 32
    +6
    Angry bear and kirdyk tiger to Amerovsky eagle. On his grave it will be written: Misha and kitty were here, sleep calmly impudent chicken! am
  9. cergey51046
    cergey51046 1 October 2014 18: 33
    +1
    It is necessary to bomb the United States. Otherwise it will never end.
  10. APASUS
    APASUS 1 October 2014 18: 55
    +5
    You’ll get horseradish from the Chinese, they’ll immediately bring tanks to the square
    An armored car demolishes one of the tents set up by protesters in Tiananmen Square early on Sunday morning, June 4, 1989. (REUTERS / Stringer)
  11. Standard Oil
    Standard Oil 1 October 2014 19: 05
    0
    We must already understand all this gibberish that modern politics has turned into. On one side of the United States and those who hopelessly suck them, they are hopeless and have nothing to spend energy and attention on them, in another pile of hesitating, you can try to work with them, in third so-called adequate countries with which you can safely work without waiting for the next trick on the orders of Washington. In other words, to create your own pole of power as opposed to the American, there is still no other way. The Americans will alter us one by one.
    1. Vladimir73
      Vladimir73 2 October 2014 10: 47
      0
      So they try: BRICS, SCO, TS, etc. Apparently it’s according to your scheme that they are sorting.
  12. mamont5
    mamont5 1 October 2014 19: 06
    +2
    "In Beijing, the Americans are directly accused of instructing the organizers of the protests."

    You don’t even have to doubt it. Who benefits and whose handwriting?
  13. WIN969
    WIN969 1 October 2014 19: 13
    0
    Dying attempts to pind Pindocs will not lead to anything, they no longer have time for a carefully thought-out strategy.
  14. Venier
    Venier 1 October 2014 19: 17
    +3
    It is high time, in relation to mattresses, to proceed to active subversive actions.
  15. The comment was deleted.
  16. Playerman
    Playerman 1 October 2014 22: 31
    +1
    Like a carbon copy! Tan has a complete lack of brains and imagination, well, thank God!
  17. Ural resident
    Ural resident 1 October 2014 22: 35
    0
    It seems to me - the Chinese just provoke a tough answer to the protesters
    To them, on the contrary - it is necessary to act illogically - to show maximum loyalty to their citizens, however, they must deal with the protest leaders tightly.
  18. Boa kaa
    Boa kaa 1 October 2014 22: 45
    +4
    Russia and China will come closer in a common struggle for a new, fair world order.
    AMEN!
  19. GDV
    GDV 1 October 2014 23: 09
    +2
    I would not be surprised if the Americans are drawn into a local conflict by China, for example, with Vietnam, and Hong Kong is just a distraction, a scenario like Georgia 080808.
    I agree with the opinion that they act on a carbon copy
    I am amazed at the stupidity of all the former republics striving for the fact that in fact the same thing
    pull the growth target over yourself and run with it along the firing range where there are live firing.
  20. tasey
    tasey 1 October 2014 23: 26
    +2
    Americans will drag China into the war with Vietnam ??? I do not comment. They just need to remember how it was on Tiananmen ..
    And show the video in Hong Kong. And all ... Silence and peace for a long time
  21. mackonya
    mackonya 2 October 2014 07: 14
    0
    This has already been done in Taiwan, I do not think that the Chinese party will not have enough strength and will to keep the levers of control. The "revolution" will not pass, but the plans of 2017 may be thwarted, and this is exactly what they are trying to achieve.
  22. Lyton
    Lyton 2 October 2014 08: 05
    0
    Yeah they scared the hedgehog with a bare ass, they wanted democracy, they chose the wrong country.
  23. nvb
    nvb 2 October 2014 08: 40
    +1
    Argentina, Venezuela, China, who is the next of the friends of Russia to be attacked from the evil empire. These moral freaks are jarring if anyone has a different look from their world order. For me, words like democracy, human rights, etc. have become common nouns They would sort it out at home, and even whole megalopolises would turn into garbage dumps. And how they dealt with their supporters of the occupation of Wall Street or the last unrest in Ferguson should be made an instruction from the most democratic nation. That's how to suppress your people. And no y from this instruction.