Scotland: grandma said in two
In recent days, three major sociological polls were summed up. According to the first, in Scotland the number of supporters of secession from Britain for the first time exceeded 50%. The second survey gave a ratio of 48 to 50. The results of the third "divided" the population of Scotland almost in half. The closer the voting day, the more heated passions in the United Kingdom ...
A referendum on independence, initiated by the Scottish National Party and its leader Alex Salmond, will be held on September 18. The Scots will answer the question: "Should Scotland become an independent country?"
How is broadcasting "BBC", according to a survey by the YouGov research company commissioned by the Sunday Times, the number of supporters of Scotland’s independence for the first time exceeded the number of opponents of the branch.
51% of the Scots surveyed were in favor of independence, and 49% were against. But only a month ago, the gap was 22 percentage points in favor of the supporters of the current union, the BBC notes.
Observers, whose opinion leads the television and radio company, believe that supporters of independence have been able to improve their positions thanks to an appeal to the youth. Young people were promised the constitutional recognition of the right to free higher education and employment. Something else was also promised: the lowering of the voting age from 18 to 16 years.
Vice Prime Minister of Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon, called the results of the poll “breakthrough,” writes BBC. “Independence is not a magic wand. But more and more people realize that the upcoming voting is an opportunity that falls once in a lifetime. Taking the fate of Scotland in the Scottish hands, we will live better. Our enormous wealth should work for the benefit of all who live here, ”said Nikola Sturgeon at a meeting with young people.
Opponents of independence warn: “divorce” from London threatens Edinburg with negative economic consequences, the channel reports "Euronews".
“I want a strong Scottish parliament, wide powers - even wider than today. But I want to join forces with the rest of the United Kingdom, ”ex-Prime Minister Gordon Brown (the Scot) expressed his opinion.
However, we should note that the economic consequences (starting with Scotland’s accession to the EU “anew”) have frightened the Scots even earlier, persuading them to preserve the union. These fears don't seem to stop supporters of independence.
Learning about the results of the poll, the head of News Corporation, Rupert Murdoch, said that he regards the will of voters as a serious threat to the reputation of the UK government. "Scottish independence is a huge bruise under the eye for the entire political establishment, especially for Cameron and Miliband," the media mogul quotes Twitter. "Independent newspaper".
Libby Brooks in the British newspaper "The Guardian" (source of translation - "InoSMI") spoke about the "blitzkrieg" (the term is given in jest), which began a campaign in support of the independence of Scotland. Supporters of independence "capture" supporters of the preservation of the union. This was announced by the head of “YouGov” (the company that conducted the survey) Peter Kellner.
According to Mr. Kellner, the speed of the potential loss of supporters of the campaign for the preservation of the union is impressive: “The fact that it is still too difficult to talk about the results, in itself, is quite remarkable, because quite recently the victory seemed to be in the pocket of Better Together ( "Better together"). For several months, supporters of the union were confidently leading, and on average their support was 58%. But over the past four weeks, alliance supporters have been losing support at an incredible pace. ”
The newspaper notes that the level of support for the independence of Scotland among voters aged up to 40 has increased from 39% to 60%, and among representatives of the working class - from 41% to 56%. Among women (traditionally they showed a lower level of support for independence than men), it grew from 33% to 47%. Mr. Kellner also noted that Alex Salmond managed to neutralize the topic of fear that surrounded the topic of independence, including its economic component.
The publication provides data from another survey, from 6 September, conducted by Panelbase on the request of supporters of the campaign for the independence of Scotland. His results showed that support for women's independence reached a record high. The survey showed that 47% women and 48% men voted for leaving the UK. True, Panelbase notes that the level of support for independence as a whole is 48%, and the level of support for the preservation of the union is 52%, with the exception of hesitant respondents.
Finally, September 9 website "RIA News" data from the third survey appeared: TNS led it.
According to the TNS poll, 38% of Scots would vote for Scotland’s independence, and 39% would vote against. A month ago, notes TNS, the number of supporters of the detachment of Scotland was less - 32% of respondents. "Against" was the 45% Scots.
“This poll shows a significant shift in the aspirations of voters. <...> It was held close to the vote, and now both sides will actively use the last days to do everything and try to convince the undecided electorate of the dignity of their campaigns, "said the head of TNS, Tom Costley.
Thus, it is obvious that the votes of the Scots in the referendum can be divided approximately in half. At the same time, it is clear that the closer the referendum is, the more independence supporters are in Scotland. It is also clear that the outcome of the vote will be decided by those whom sociologists today call "the undecided." It is for their votes in the last days before the voting that intense political struggle is underway, threatening London with a “blitzkrieg”.
If supporters of independence led by Salmond 18 September win, after a couple of years Scotland will gain complete independence. This, in turn, can serve as a spark from which a new bonfire of separatism in Europe will burn. Here you are both Spain and Belgium, and the remnants of Britain, and, in fact, the EU itself, the demise of which Nationalist Marine Le Pen has long predicted. By the way, German international journalist R. Herzinger predictsthat in 2017, Marin will be the president of France.
A referendum on independence, initiated by the Scottish National Party and its leader Alex Salmond, will be held on September 18. The Scots will answer the question: "Should Scotland become an independent country?"
How is broadcasting "BBC", according to a survey by the YouGov research company commissioned by the Sunday Times, the number of supporters of Scotland’s independence for the first time exceeded the number of opponents of the branch.
51% of the Scots surveyed were in favor of independence, and 49% were against. But only a month ago, the gap was 22 percentage points in favor of the supporters of the current union, the BBC notes.
Observers, whose opinion leads the television and radio company, believe that supporters of independence have been able to improve their positions thanks to an appeal to the youth. Young people were promised the constitutional recognition of the right to free higher education and employment. Something else was also promised: the lowering of the voting age from 18 to 16 years.
Vice Prime Minister of Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon, called the results of the poll “breakthrough,” writes BBC. “Independence is not a magic wand. But more and more people realize that the upcoming voting is an opportunity that falls once in a lifetime. Taking the fate of Scotland in the Scottish hands, we will live better. Our enormous wealth should work for the benefit of all who live here, ”said Nikola Sturgeon at a meeting with young people.
Opponents of independence warn: “divorce” from London threatens Edinburg with negative economic consequences, the channel reports "Euronews".
“I want a strong Scottish parliament, wide powers - even wider than today. But I want to join forces with the rest of the United Kingdom, ”ex-Prime Minister Gordon Brown (the Scot) expressed his opinion.
However, we should note that the economic consequences (starting with Scotland’s accession to the EU “anew”) have frightened the Scots even earlier, persuading them to preserve the union. These fears don't seem to stop supporters of independence.
Learning about the results of the poll, the head of News Corporation, Rupert Murdoch, said that he regards the will of voters as a serious threat to the reputation of the UK government. "Scottish independence is a huge bruise under the eye for the entire political establishment, especially for Cameron and Miliband," the media mogul quotes Twitter. "Independent newspaper".
Libby Brooks in the British newspaper "The Guardian" (source of translation - "InoSMI") spoke about the "blitzkrieg" (the term is given in jest), which began a campaign in support of the independence of Scotland. Supporters of independence "capture" supporters of the preservation of the union. This was announced by the head of “YouGov” (the company that conducted the survey) Peter Kellner.
According to Mr. Kellner, the speed of the potential loss of supporters of the campaign for the preservation of the union is impressive: “The fact that it is still too difficult to talk about the results, in itself, is quite remarkable, because quite recently the victory seemed to be in the pocket of Better Together ( "Better together"). For several months, supporters of the union were confidently leading, and on average their support was 58%. But over the past four weeks, alliance supporters have been losing support at an incredible pace. ”
The newspaper notes that the level of support for the independence of Scotland among voters aged up to 40 has increased from 39% to 60%, and among representatives of the working class - from 41% to 56%. Among women (traditionally they showed a lower level of support for independence than men), it grew from 33% to 47%. Mr. Kellner also noted that Alex Salmond managed to neutralize the topic of fear that surrounded the topic of independence, including its economic component.
The publication provides data from another survey, from 6 September, conducted by Panelbase on the request of supporters of the campaign for the independence of Scotland. His results showed that support for women's independence reached a record high. The survey showed that 47% women and 48% men voted for leaving the UK. True, Panelbase notes that the level of support for independence as a whole is 48%, and the level of support for the preservation of the union is 52%, with the exception of hesitant respondents.
Finally, September 9 website "RIA News" data from the third survey appeared: TNS led it.
According to the TNS poll, 38% of Scots would vote for Scotland’s independence, and 39% would vote against. A month ago, notes TNS, the number of supporters of the detachment of Scotland was less - 32% of respondents. "Against" was the 45% Scots.
“This poll shows a significant shift in the aspirations of voters. <...> It was held close to the vote, and now both sides will actively use the last days to do everything and try to convince the undecided electorate of the dignity of their campaigns, "said the head of TNS, Tom Costley.
Thus, it is obvious that the votes of the Scots in the referendum can be divided approximately in half. At the same time, it is clear that the closer the referendum is, the more independence supporters are in Scotland. It is also clear that the outcome of the vote will be decided by those whom sociologists today call "the undecided." It is for their votes in the last days before the voting that intense political struggle is underway, threatening London with a “blitzkrieg”.
If supporters of independence led by Salmond 18 September win, after a couple of years Scotland will gain complete independence. This, in turn, can serve as a spark from which a new bonfire of separatism in Europe will burn. Here you are both Spain and Belgium, and the remnants of Britain, and, in fact, the EU itself, the demise of which Nationalist Marine Le Pen has long predicted. By the way, German international journalist R. Herzinger predictsthat in 2017, Marin will be the president of France.
Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
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