A headless body is not just a sign of poor vision, but also evidence of brain amputation. You understand this, watching the actions of the Ukrainian army, which is similar to the rapidly running chicken without a head. No, of course, the Ukrainian generals have heads, but it seems that these heads are not meant for thinking, but for wearing military hats.
Those who watched the military parade on Khreshchatyk on the occasion of the next Independence Day, could not help but pay attention to the Ukrainian generals, dignifiedly lined up near their supreme commander. You look, and you understand, they are not just “team”, but eagles! One another beautiful! Everything is as per selection. And this beauty is also tightly hung with some shiny pendants - awards for parquet battles in the walls of the Ministry of Defense. When you see such pompous luxury, you understand that in Ukraine the general is not a title, but happiness.
What is interesting, while Petro Poroshenko ominously shook his fist from the podium at the enemies of Ukraine, read poems, talked about rampant patriotism and promised to shed the Ukrainian army in the very near future, in the Donbass the armed forces of the DPR without any pathos statements slammed the next “boilers” with seven thousand Ukrainian soldiers. Such a gift to conscious Ukrainians on Ukraine’s Independence Day.
According to the headquarters of the DPR Army, in the areas of Voikovsky, Kuteynikovo, Blagodatnoe, Alekseevskoe, Uspenka, and Ulyanovskoye settlements, the 8 Army Corps headquarters, 28-I and 30-I mechanized brigades, 95-I airmobile brigade, forces of Ukraine, as well as battalions "Aydar", "Donbass" and "Shakhtersk." And in the "boiler" is smaller, in the area of the settlement Elenovskoe, in addition to the Ukrainian military, the battalions "Azov" and "Dnepr" were.
Such a set of encirclements can be called the “Dream of the Donbass Militia”.
After a convoy of Ukrainian prisoners of war was conducted along the central streets of Donetsk, the headquarters of the armed forces of the DPR routinely reported that at the moment the surrounding groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are being systematically destroyed. This sounds sad for Ukraine, since in the previous “Southern boiler” about six and a half thousand Ukrainian soldiers and officers were surrounded, of whom about four thousand people were killed. At the moment, the forces and organization of the DPR army are much higher, so the scale of the new military catastrophe of the Ukrainian Armed Forces may be more significant.
The situation is complicated for Kiev by the fact that, simultaneously with the entourage of the Ukrainian southern group, the Donetsk army launched a fairly rapid attack in the direction of Mariupol. Her forward detachments are already in Novoazovsk. In the Mariupol panic. The Ukrainian leadership of this city was evacuated to Dnepropetrovsk. T.N. territorial defense battalions are gradually being “absorbed”. there is practically no one to defend Mariupol. On the outskirts of the city in the direction of Zaporozhye on the highway there was a giant traffic jam. The National Guard is massively running using all cash vehicles.
The facts show that the war came at the time of its breakthrough. Destruction of the most capable units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that turned out to be in the “Southern boiler”, and the exit of the armed forces of the DPR to the coast of the Sea of Azov can finally break the offensive potential of the Ukrainian army. This, in turn, will lead to the fact that the tactical counter-offensive operations of the armed forces of the DNR-LPR in the near future can develop into a large-scale strategic attack. It seems that Zaporizhia will soon become a theater of military operations.
As I remember, at one time the representatives of the Ukrainian army and the National Guard were very outraged that the political leadership of the country did not give them the order for a full-scale military operation in the Donbas. The brave Ukrainian generals and officers were deeply convinced that as soon as Bankova told them “face”, they would tear the “separatists” within a week, totally “cleaning” the rebellious provinces from the anti-Ukrainian “Nepotribe”. Self-confidence of these warriors was absolute. Obviously, at that time they had not yet passed the Maidan euphoria.
In the end, their dream came true. Poroshenko became president and gave the army a “fas” command. After that we went Tanks, howitzers, multiple launch rocket systems, helicopters and attack aircraft. Kiev strategists planned to finish the ATO in a few days. And suddenly it turned out that a quick, victorious military campaign in the Donbass is a stupid bluff of not quite smart people, and the self-conceit of the Ukrainian military borders on cretinism. Ordinary Donbass men with machine guns suddenly turned out to be more effective fighters than the entire Ukrainian army combined. Strelkov’s detachment, defending Slavyansk for several months, was a clear confirmation of this. The Strelkovites were able to confront the regular units of the Armed Forces for a long time, surpassing them in numbers and armaments by tens of times! The "stupid cattle of Donbass", which for the conscious Ukrainians are residents of Donetsk and Lugansk, in some inexplicably turned into a formidable force that can not only protect itself from the punitive and terrorist measures of Kiev, but also come to the capital on a return visit. It is no secret that now in the Donbass there are a huge number of people who dream of putting long-range howitzers in Troieschyna and in a couple of days to demolish not only the Maidan and Bankovaya, but also the floor of Kiev. The bestial cruelty of Ukrainian punishers aroused a terrible destructive force on the ancient Cossack land. And, most likely, to the death of Ukraine.
By itself, the phenomenon of Slavyansk showed that Kiev does not have a full-fledged and capable army. And it was not a secret to anyone even before the outbreak of hostilities. To start a war without having an army and military allies is not just a stupid adventure, but a frank insanity. But, nevertheless, Kiev started the war.
After Slavyansk, convinced of the inefficiency of the Armed Forces, the leaders of the Maidan relied on massive attacks on rebellious cities with heavy artillery and aviation. Ukrainian generals and the political leadership of Ukraine proceeded from the fact that the total destruction of the settlements of Donbass will make their defense meaningless and impossible. Until a certain point, this tactic yielded results. Demolishing everything in its path with the help of shelling and bombing, the armed forces of Ukraine began to gradually compress the ring of fire around Donetsk and Lugansk, being on the outskirts of the capitals of the rebel republics. They were followed by punitive battalions of Ukrainian neo-Nazis, organizing mass executions and executions of the "wrong" civilian population.
However, the deeper the tank wedges of the Ukrainian army plunged into the Donbass, the more violently and effectively the resistance of the militia became. And in this, at first glance, chaotic defense, there was its own clear strategic goal - to maximally exhaust and deplete the advancing enemy. In fact, the Donbass used the traditional defensive strategy of Russia, consisting in the gradual absorption of the invader army. There was no clear front line in the Donbas. For his organization there was neither strength nor meaning. The militia only held key territories, gradually “enveloping” and “digesting” enemy units. In fact, with the stubbornness of an idiot, the Ukrainian army chopped down a viscous "swamp" of the militia with tank columns, which gradually and inexorably absorbed them. The blows of the APU for the most part went into the void, bringing death most often to civilians. At the same time, the Donbas militia methodically “ate” the strike potential of the Ukrainian army without any special harm.
First of all, the DNR-LC was tasked with neutralizing Ukrainian air superiority. Given the scale and effectiveness of Ukrainian aviation, this was not difficult to do.
At the time of the outbreak of hostilities, the APU had approximately three dozen Mi-8 helicopters and twenty Mi-24 helicopters. And from them to rise into the air was capable of at best half.
The hunt of the militia on the Ukrainian rotorcraft gave quick results. The losses of combat helicopters turned out to be so high that, as an important military factor, they ceased to exist within a few months.
After this, the process of systematic destruction of the APU attack aircraft began. At the time of the outbreak of hostilities, the Ukrainian army had three dozen attack aircraft Su-25 (299-I brigade of tactical aviation) and two dozen fighter-bombers Su-24 (7-I brigade of tactical aviation). At the same time, of all the Su-25 available to the Ukrainian Air Force, about 14 machines could have flown into the sky, and only eight from the Su-24. Most of this “aviation armada” was destroyed by early August. The remaining attack aircraft are no longer able to exert a fundamental influence on the course of hostilities.
Ukraine still has several dozen MiG-29 and Su-27 fighters, which Kiev is trying to use as bombers, but their use against ground forces is ineffective and at low altitudes fighters are just as easily knocked down as ground attack aircraft.
Thus, by July, the superiority of the Ukrainian army in the air was completely neutralized.
After that, the main task of the Armed Forces of the DPR-LPR was the methodical destruction of the APU armored vehicles.
No one knows for sure (except for the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, which has studied this issue in detail a year before the war) how real the number of tanks and armored personnel carriers is in the Ukrainian army. In the warehouses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine there are thousands of units of Soviet armored vehicles, but most of it is scrap metal. According to some reports, in general, Ukraine can make up to a thousand, in one degree or another usable, tanks move and shoot. For the scale of hostilities in the Donbas, this is more than a serious military potential. A tank connection in 300-400 vehicles, reinforced by armored personnel carriers and infantry, could in itself tear down any defense of the militia that still lacked enough artillery in its path.
However, the overwhelming superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in armored vehicles is leveled by the lack of the necessary number of trained tank crews and the army command, capable of effectively commanding a similar tank armada. That is why the Ukrainian army is forced to use relatively small tank groups in the combat zone, the largest of which do not exceed 6-8 dozens of vehicles. At the same time, the Ukrainian tank divisions, which are not reinforced by combat-ready infantry, especially in the conditions of large urban conglomerations, become very easy prey for Donbass infantry, currently supported by artillery and tanks. Moreover, as practice shows, the DPR-LPR manages to use its heavy weapons as efficiently as possible, as evidenced by the “boilers” constantly arising in the combat zone with the surrounded groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Stocks of tanks and armored personnel carriers of Ukraine are significant, but not infinite, and at the moment they are beginning to dry up. This is directly evidenced by the fact that the Americans began to transfer trains with old Soviet armored vehicles from the countries of Eastern Europe to Ukraine. This is the first sign that the strategy of the Donbass army is paying off - the APU is rapidly losing stocks of its heavy weapons.
And finally, no less, and perhaps a more important element of the strategy of the DPR-LPR army, this is the process of continuous, large-scale destruction of personnel of the units of the Ukrainian army and the National Guard.
In recent months, the extermination of Ukrainian soldiers, national guardsmen and militants of various territorial defense battalions has become simply catastrophic in connection with the succession of “boilers” in the south of the theater of military operations. All this, to a greater degree, begins to resemble not war, but a gigantic meat grinder, to which Kiev continuously sends thousands of recruits mobilized, but not ready for war.
In fact, the same scheme is repeated: the next grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, supported by tanks, deeply enters the territory of the DPR with a motorized wedge, and then the militia’s slamming blows from the flanks follow and the attacking Ukrainian units are surrounded by methodically destroying them with heavy artillery. At the same time, Kiev has neither the strength nor the desire to unblock the subunits that were surrounded. They are simply abandoned to their fate. In fact, the war of recent months has become a series of bloody "boilers" with the massive destruction in them of soldiers and officers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
If we are already summing up the preliminary results of the military campaign in the Donbas, then it is necessary to state that, at the moment, the Ukrainian armed forces were unable to accomplish any of the strategic tasks assigned to them.
Firstly, the Ukrainian Armed Forces failed to cut off the DPR-LPR from the Russian-Ukrainian border.
Secondly, the Ukrainian army was unable to dissect and isolate the territories of the rebel republics from each other.
And, thirdly, the armed forces of Ukraine could neither surround, nor even capture the Donetsk and Lugansk.
At the same time, at the time of August, the Ukrainian army lost its most combat-ready infantry units, was left without aircraft and is now rapidly losing armored vehicles.
If the “Southern Cauldron” of the name of Independence Day will be destroyed in the same way as the previous ones (and this is likely to be the case), by the end of September the Ukrainian armed forces will lose their offensive potential. And this, in turn, will mean a turning point in the war.
It should be borne in mind that at the moment Donbass already possesses a sufficiently large, fired, volunteer (and therefore well motivated) army, which was able to move in its organization from scattered militias to a centralized system of army control. If in the initial phase of the battle for Donbass, the militia fought with sticks and hunting rifles, now the combined army of Novorossia has heavy artillery, tanks and armored personnel carriers. At the same time, judging by the effectiveness of the conduct of hostilities by the units of the DPR-LPR, the backbone of the Donbass armed forces consists of experienced personnel soldiers who are able to plan and carry out military operations at least at the level of brigade units.
If we talk in general, we have to state that the Ukrainian army has already reached the peak of its forces and now its military potential will only decrease (due to objective reasons that have developed not only in the combat zone, but also in the rear) LNR is just beginning to move towards the peak of its strength, and its military potential will only increase. This process will be especially intensive if new regions in the south and east join the rebellious republics.
In fact, for the time being, Donbass has become one big “boiler” for Ukraine, from which, apparently, it is no longer able to escape. Each new month of war inexorably brings the death of the country.
Donbass "boiler" for Ukraine
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