Will Gaddafi Leave? The West and the rebels are clearly tired of fighting

Will Gaddafi Leave? The West and the rebels are clearly tired of fightingGaddafi is ready to give up power. This particular news - not of a clear origin - they savor the media now, speaking of the apparently stalled Libyan confrontation. As a matter of fact, it is still unclear where the colonel should go, according to the West, from where and where. But this is subtlety. At the moment, everyone is so accustomed to phrases like "Gaddafi must go", which is sometimes forgotten - the Libyan leader does not occupy any official posts, which he himself indicated more than once.


However, the notorious refusal of power is possible only if the colonel is provided with certain security guarantees. If Gaddafi really "leaves", then the moment he chose the right one - his once irreconcilable opponents seemed to be rather tired of war. And it seems that they are even ready for significant concessions.

France, once marching to the forefront of the military campaign in Libya, now opens an attraction of unprecedented generosity: Sarkozy is supposed not only to defrost some of the accounts of the Gaddafi family, but also to make efforts so that the disgraced Libyan leader would not appear before the International Criminal Court, which had already issued a warrant for him arrest. On the other hand, one should not overestimate French altruism, in fact, theoretically, Gaddafi, appearing before the court, may well inform the international community that it would not be worthwhile to voice, in the opinion of the same French,. Let us recall at least the statement of Gadhafi’s son Saif al-Islam that Sarkozy allegedly used Libyan money during his election campaign. The scandal then stalled, not having time to break out - the French prudently and quickly “silenced” Saif with their “Mirage” - but no one has yet learned the truth. Now, by the way, the son of the colonel once again points the French to their likely personal insults: “If you are angry with us because we did not buy your Rafale aircraft, then you should talk to us.” If you are not satisfied with the course of oil deals, you should talk to us. The rebels will not give you anything, because they will not win. ”

The Libyan opposition in their possible concessions to the colonel is much more restrained than the French, because Gaddafi is closer to them, and therefore it can deliver more inconvenience. Therefore, the head of the National Transitional Council Mustafa Abdel Jalil said that the rebels are ready to allow the colonel to stay in the country, but with reservations. In particular, he will have to be in a place determined by the opposition under international control. In addition, for opponents of the Gaddafi clan, the option proposed by him regarding the nomination of Saif al-Islam for possible future elections is also unacceptable.

OPINION OF EXPERTS

How likely is the "leaving" of Colonel Gaddafi from the political arena?

Yevgeny SATANOVSKY, President of the Institute of the Middle East:


“Since the rumors are of incomprehensible origin, the statement was made by a certain Russian person, and Russia is still not Libya, while Gaddafi himself did not say anything like that, it’s too early to talk about his departure.” This may be a kind of stuffing information, and from any side. From the side of the colonel - "maybe you will make concessions to me." From the opposition, which can not fight anymore. This may be just a journalistic trick, because the snow people have disappeared somewhere, there are no green men either, so they decided to return to the Libyan topic. What is really happening is absolutely unclear. Western media lies to us mercilessly, it is a fact. Naturally, if Gaddafi leaves, then only with strong guarantees for himself, and with the fact that his son will go to the polls. As for the opposition protests, taking into account its composition, it is unlikely that it will be able to influence this. And the West has already become disillusioned with it, realizing that it is impossible to educate the rebels, and as for money, how much they don’t invest in, they will plunder everything.

Gumer ISAEV, Head of the St. Petersburg Center for the Study of the Modern Middle East:

“Gaddafi refers to those leaders who are not just heads of state — and he emphasizes that he does not hold any posts, but is the leader of the Libyan revolution. Therefore, his departure is the termination of the revolution as the very idea of ​​the Libyan Jamahiriya. I believe that he is unlikely to leave, unless it is some kind of maneuver aimed at tricking the west. Now, after the Libyans are faced with aggression from the outside, the support of the colonel is very high. And all the rumors about his possible withdrawal are, in my opinion, an attempt to fill the information vacuum, and perhaps sow panic among the Libyans to see that they might lose their leader.
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  1. Stavr
    Stavr 6 July 2011 13: 36 New
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    I believe that the political ambitions of Nicolas Sarkozy will soon subside. And after the publication of documents that his election campaign was carried out including and the money of the Libyans, plus the influence on the opinion of the French Strauss-Kahn, and without that tarnish the reputation of the French president. He will also recall the decisions taken to increase the retirement age. Sarkozy will certainly not be the next president of France. NATO generals are increasingly realizing that you can defeat a weak country, but it is impossible to defeat the people who live in it.
    It is a pity that Dmitry Medvedev, who declared Muammar Gaddafi to be shook hands, did not understand this.
    1. datur 6 July 2011 17: 14 New
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      I agree with you. especially regarding our lawyer.
  2. Rashid 6 July 2011 14: 50 New
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    Unfortunately, we can still meet people, and educated, who sincerely consider Gaddafi a "dictator", "the executioner of his people," etc. But the majority, of course, sees what's what, and this majority is ashamed of its president-lawyer for the words "Gaddafi has lost legitimacy." The lawyer himself, but I can’t understand this expression, is some kind of nonsense.
  3. Bob
    Bob 6 July 2011 20: 59 New
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    Gaddafi is today at the forefront of the struggle with the West. In view of the delayed operation, most likely it is necessary to wait for a provocation on their part (their favorite method of untying their hands) against some Western country. And then the carpet bombing of Tripoli to wipe it off the face of the earth together with the stupid leader of the Libyan revolution. However, the next victim of the imperialists is Syria and its leader Assad. This is where hour X will strike for all international and Russian diplomacy and leadership. If we surrender to Syria, we lose the only military base in the Mediterranean, we lose the status of an influential power in the region, billions of arms contracts, etc. The next is Iran, an ally of Syria in the fight against Israel and its hegemony. This chain of crisis may become not only explosive for Russia (for the Caucasus), it threatens the Russian Federation with the collapse of the state. Medvedev is not something that he does not understand, apparently he simply does not own the situation. After Putin, there was a sharp roll towards liberalism, and this, as experience shows, is destructive for Russia. He is very intelligent in front of subordinates and the political elite of the West, he talks a lot, but real action is needed, you need to call everything by their proper names, and then act according to the situation. The West understands only the language of Kuz'kina Mama and it will not work otherwise to stop their ambitions. And of course, you need to choose a team competently, otherwise Serdyukov spoiled his reputation a lot, and he still spoils it. Here’s the message today - the defense order 2011 was again thwarted, to which the furniture maker gives an answer - it’s not his fault, the manufacturers increased the cost of equipment. Demand Offer. The market however. He will write everything off (according to the furniture maker). And then what ?! It's time to think about it. Who is Medvedev, who is Putin, who is next ...
    1. Ivan35
      Ivan35 7 July 2011 19: 50 New
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      That's right, although there is apparently no power now to argue with the Pindos, but it seems Syria is almost the last frontier - then Iran and then we
  4. His
    His 7 July 2011 20: 55 New
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    We would now be on the contrary to support the strong side (Gaddafi), it is clear that the people for him