Asian "tigers" and "dragons" are ready to cut each other's throats

52
Азиатские «тигры» и «драконы» готовы перегрызть друг дружке горлоChina, Japan, South Korea and other APR states are rapidly increasing their arms costs. The costs of military programs and modernization of the Armed Forces are growing at such a rate that experts began to talk about a possible fight between the Asian powers. The attention of the whole world is riveted on Ukraine, and in the meantime the Asia-Pacific region is quickly heating up ...

Recall that three weeks ago, the government of Shinzo Abe adopted a resolution allowing the Japanese armed forces to operate in other countries. The main condition that Japan has set for itself: the need to protect "friendly countries".

The resolution prescribes the "minimum necessary" assistance to those states with which Tokyo has diplomatic relations and close ties. At the same time, military assistance can be activated only if other means of persistent enemies have not gotten through. Finally, the Japanese army will go to a foreign attack only when it becomes clear: there was a threat to the existence of the Japanese state, and at the same time the right of citizens - both to freedom and to life.

According to Abe, “the situation in the region surrounding Japan” has become “tough”. Therefore, the government had to "develop legislation to ensure security, protect people's lives and guarantee the peaceful existence of the country." To this, Abe even added: "To be ready for anything ..."

The other day, the “ready for everything” Japanese Prime Minister spoke in parliament, where he once again explained to the elected representatives of the people that, thanks to the changes in the constitution, the valiant Japanese would henceforth be able to protect both their citizens and allied citizens abroad - in the event that Japan’s survival will be threatened, ”and“ citizens ’rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness will be fundamentally undermined.” The prime minister said that the main provisions of the constitution remained unchanged: Tokyo would send troops abroad only in "emergency cases", that is, when the government considers that the well-being of Japan itself is at risk.

As an example of a “threat to well-being,” Abe called the alarming situation in the Strait of Hormuz: instability there could negatively affect the lives of the Japanese people, as an energy crisis would arise. The deputies did not appreciate this example at its true worth: after all, the United States “began to work hard” with Iran, where could the crisis of Ormuz come from?

The Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida spoke much more bluntly. It became immediately clear where the wind was blowing from. Fumio Kishida said that the threat to Japan would be ... the attack of enemies on the United States of America. And in this case, Tokyo will defend Washington. Japan will take measures to protect its allies, the minister said.

As for Washington, then, as we have already written on VO, fully approves of the new interpretation of the Japanese constitution.

“Japan has every right to equip itself as it sees fit. We urge her to do it in a transparent manner and continue to constantly communicate with her about this, ”said State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki.

American approval is easy to understand: a powerful and “legally” belligerent Land of the Rising Sun is needed by the White House to contain growing China.

Previously, the Japanese government was also in favor of tightening foreign policy, which means the same thing: the confrontation with China. What is this tightening? The search for regional allies, also not getting on with China, and real help to them. Tokyo has offered maritime assistance to countries that have territorial disputes with China, and has already provided it. In December 2013, the Philippines Coast Guard received ten patrol vessels from Japan.

At the same time, the Japanese authorities expressed their readiness to support Vietnam in the matter of the controversial Paracel Islands claimed by China.

And what about China?

He is rapidly arming himself. This is especially noticeable in his the fleet. The fleet is growing precisely because China has many maritime territorial disputes with its neighbors.

Today, the Celestial Empire is armed with a 51 submarine, among which are 28 atomic ones. Beijing rivets 3 submarines annually. In addition, in fifteen years (since 2000), eighty surface ships have been commissioned. And by the year 2020, Beijing will have three aircraft carriers (now it will be one).

The South China Sea is full of gas and oil, which is very interesting for Beijing. According to the government of the People's Republic of China, this sea alone stores about 18 billion tons (although there are other, much lower ratings in the press).

The fish resources of the South China Sea are also worrying the Chinese. According to government estimates, the region’s biological and hydrocarbon resources are being pulled by 1 trillion. dollars.

In addition, the Chinese do not like the increase in attention paid to the region of Washington. By building up naval power, Beijing is trying to make the White House understand: there is no place for the United States in the APR. Here is the main - China.

It was China that “activated” in recent years the territorial disputes around the islands in the South China Sea. Because of the conflicts around the Senkaku (Diaoyu) archipelago and the dispute over the Paracel Islands, relations between China on the one hand and Japan and Vietnam on the other quickly deteriorated.

Another scandal between China and Japan erupted quite recently - in July, when pictures of “nuclear mushrooms” appeared on the site of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and the caption: “Japan wants war again”. Official Tokyo, writes Newsru.com, promised to respond decisively to the pictures, and Beijing, in response, called on the Japanese authorities to come to terms with their “militarist” past.

And here is another artistic caption for the pictures: "The blood in the hands of Japan, the butcher of World War II, is still drying."

There are news from South Korea. Seoul is also arming.

The other day "Russian newspaper" spoke about the creation of South Korea's own fighter.

The choice was made in favor of creating a twin-engine C-130 aircraft. The new machine should go to the troops in 2025. Seoul decided to look for foreign participants in the program. Indonesia has already given the go-ahead, stating that it is ready to take on 20% costs.

As part of the KFX military program, South Korea is going to develop and produce F-120 fighters near 16, moreover, they are using stealth technology. New aircraft must replace the F-4 and F-5, which are in service with the Air Force of South Korea.

The Korean military says they need "safe fighters with excellent performance." “It’s true that the twin-engine platform will cost more, but our military needs safe fighters with excellent performance to ensure the effectiveness of their actions,” said a spokesman for the South Korean military.

Alexander Gabuev in the magazine Kommersant Vlast spoke about the 13 conference on security, which was organized by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). The meeting ended on June 2 at the Shangri La Hotel in Singapore. At the conference "Shangri La Dialogue" met military, intelligence and military experts.

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Pentagon chief Chuck Hagel, Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the People’s Liberation Army of China Wang Guanzhong and other officials were present.

The Kommersant correspondent notes that the participants of the forum were given a “Report on regional security” prepared by IISS, in detail, on 200 pages, outlining the key trends in the APR. The dynamically developing and most densely populated region of the world is slipping into a large-scale arms race, along with which nationalism is intensifying and contradictions between the powers are growing.

IISS is worried about the rise in military spending in the APR. 2011 to 2013 Nominal defense expenditures in Asia rose by 23% (real growth, that is, taking into account inflation, was 9,4%).

Experts from the Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) are confident that the APR has become the region of the world with the fastest growth in military spending.

China on military spending on the planet ranks second after the United States. Celestial "officially" accounts for 12,4% of expenses in the APR (112,2 billion dollars). Researchers believe that this number should be multiplied by at least 1,3: after all, China’s military budget does not reflect the cost of purchasing foreign military equipment, etc.

In third place after the United States and China - Japan (5,6%, 51 billion dollars). Next come India (4%, 36,3 billion dollars), South Korea (3,5%, 31,8 billion dollars).

In turn, IISS experts say that over the past few decades, the defense budgets of the APR countries and their military capabilities have been inferior to many European powers. Asian countries, the Kommersant correspondent notes, focused on the development of the economy and science. However, now many of them have begun modernization of the Armed Forces, and at the same time. Foreign military equipment is acquired, own samples are developed, the salaries of servicemen are raised and the number of exercises increases.

Today, many citizens of APR countries fear that territorial disputes with China will lead to war. That is the conclusion that came to the company “Pew Research”, which is known for its sociological polls. According to a recent public opinion poll conducted in eleven countries, most of the population is “very concerned” about the likelihood of a military conflict with China. This was announced by the portal. "Vesti.Ekonomika".

In the Philippines, the possibility of war with China concerns 93% of respondents, in Japan 85% of respondents, in Vietnam 84%, in South Korea 83%, in India 72%, in Malaysia 66%, in Bangladesh 55% Indonesia - 52%.

As for China, there 62% of respondents are convinced that the conflict over disputed territories with neighboring countries could escalate into a war.

Well, the last news on the theme of the East Asian "boiling".

It has already reached the space military plans: the Celestial Empire received technology capable of destroying satellite communication systems. These technologies will be useful to the Chinese for disabling American satellites.

As reported by 22 July "GLONASS Bulletin"In addition to missiles that can intercept and destroy satellites, China has developed jamming technologies capable of destroying satellite communication systems. According to the president of Nexial Research and the aerospace consultant in Tokyo, Lance Gatling, the Chinese are testing ground-based lasers that could destroy satellite solar batteries, while at the same time they are studying the use of boarding equipment on satellites that could deactivate equipment on American satellites. Such is the piracy of the XXI century.

Upon learning of this, the Americans and the Japanese gathered to unite their space programs.

So, it is clear which allies are ready for a possible confrontation with China. But who is China's ally? Or is there a warrior in the field? Or maybe there are hopes for the Kremlin, from which Japan demands "its own" Kuril Islands?

After all already rumor has it about the upcoming seizure of the Kuril Islands by Japan "according to the Crimean scenario" ...

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
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    1. +8
      24 July 2014 09: 06
      spoke about the creation of South Korea's own fighter
      - Yes, the United States will not let its "allies" create their own planes! We must shove off our illiquid assets somewhere! bully
      1. +7
        24 July 2014 09: 26
        I can’t even imagine how Korea and Japan will fight against China, China will trample Japan and Korea with their infantry and without weapons =)
        1. +9
          24 July 2014 09: 35
          Quote: Cormorants
          I can’t even imagine how Korea and Japan will fight against China, China will trample Japan and Korea with their infantry and without weapons =)

          Actually, they do not have common land borders, so how would hypothetical "stompers" do this?
          1. G_sl
            +1
            24 July 2014 10: 58
            Korea definitely has it!
            1. Bodrov
              0
              25 July 2014 08: 57
              Celestial Empire received technology that could destroy satellite communications systems. These technologies are useful to the Chinese to disable American satellites.

              I would like to see how US carriers will sail without GPS, using a compass. So the truth will be able to sail to Belarus))
        2. 0
          24 July 2014 09: 56
          Quote: Cormorants
          China with its infantry
          - I doubt it. Even in the Middle Ages, they were under the yoke of the Japanese ...
          1. G_sl
            +6
            24 July 2014 10: 56
            The story must be read! Under whose oppression was China in the Middle Ages !!!! Do you consider the 1800s under the Middle Ages?
            1. +3
              24 July 2014 12: 21
              Quote: G_Sl
              Under whose oppression was China in the Middle Ages !!!! Do you consider the 1800s under the Middle Ages?

              really "was not" under yoke, but the Japanese wako / wokou pirates pinched the Chinese periodically. As an example, General Qi Jiguang (1528-1587) at one time had to cleanse the coastal territories of China from Japanese pirates (ronin, wandering samurai).
              besides, I heard that the Vietnamese pirates loved to live, not only by Chinese ships ...
              1. +3
                24 July 2014 13: 31
                If the army of Kublai Khan landed in Japan, perhaps the Mongols would live there.
            2. +4
              24 July 2014 12: 36
              Quote: G_Sl
              You count the 1800s under the Middle Ages
              - to blame! I just remember that the Japanese offended them! hi
          2. +1
            24 July 2014 14: 00
            If China is considered the Kingdom of Ryukyu (present-day Okinawa), once located in the Middle Empire in vassal dependence, then yes: it was part of the Edo period under the rule of the princes Shimazu - the lords of Satsum. In general, in Japan, after the suppression of the Shimabar rebellion in 1627 and until the middle of the 19th century, an isolationist policy was carried out in Japan and they did not own China
        3. avt
          +4
          24 July 2014 10: 46
          Quote: Cormorants
          China with its infantry and without weapons will trample Japan and Korea =)

          Fewer video games, return from the virtual to real life and read books about the history of the Korean War, which happened exactly after the Patriotic War, you will learn a lot of interesting things about such an attempt by the Chinese in the days of Mao and stupidity will stop coming to mind immediately.
        4. -3
          24 July 2014 13: 13
          Forget about mass wars .... wars with tons of people in the past. Now relevant remote high-tech war!
          1. +1
            24 July 2014 23: 05
            Quote: mark_rod
            Forget about mass wars .... wars with tons of people in the past. Now relevant remote high-tech war!

            Pffffff, let's see how the adherents of the high-tech war will screech when a half-million group is locked up to them.
        5. 0
          24 July 2014 18: 00
          And do not forget about North Korea, which, it seems to me, will support China against South Korea.
      2. +1
        24 July 2014 12: 43
        The blockade of China is not dangerous, as there is Russia. And here we are obliged to support the ally in the UN, and possibly something else but behind the scenes.
      3. 0
        24 July 2014 13: 29
        I think if a big storm stirs up in Europe, then movements will also begin in Asia.
    2. Andrey609
      +2
      24 July 2014 09: 11
      if the Japs with China start a war, we will have to support China anyway
      recourse
      1. +12
        24 July 2014 09: 35
        No, you can’t get involved. It will be necessary to do as the Chinese - to appeal to all for peace and humanism.
        1. halexa
          0
          25 July 2014 08: 24
          This is the point. And then the boomerang effect. laughing
      2. UFO
        +9
        24 July 2014 10: 08
        Who wins when two tigers fight? That's right - a monkey sitting on a tree and watching the fight. wink
        1. 0
          24 July 2014 12: 45
          America or what? laughing
          1. 0
            24 July 2014 13: 05
            In my opinion, American bases in Japan are still standing.
      3. 0
        24 July 2014 17: 30
        In no case. We should only advocate for a peaceful settlement of the conflict, and not take sides. We must not forget that the Far East and especially Primorye maintains stable good relations with China, Japan, South and North Roots and other Asian countries. We have a bunch of joint projects in the field of business, science and education, tourists, students and businessmen from all Asian countries are actively visiting us, and we go to them
        1. 0
          24 July 2014 23: 05
          In general, Russia needs to try not to get involved in wars as long as possible. To join without war. Enough, enough.
        2. timer
          0
          25 July 2014 00: 47
          I agree with the comment. We have problems up to our neck even without a war! The war will begin, everyone will suffer !!
    3. Bogopodob
      +7
      24 July 2014 09: 14
      Yeah, as if Russia would just allow chopping off the Kuril Islands!
      1. +2
        24 July 2014 10: 53
        Quote: Bogopodob
        Yeah, as if Russia would just allow chopping off the Kuril Islands!

        from the article
        After all, rumors are already circulating about the impending capture of the Kuril Islands by Japan "according to the Crimean scenario" ...

        I already submit the headlines on the referendum in the Kuril Islands: ...... ?????
        I explain - these are uninhabited territories and, accordingly, the Russian military personnel who are there can vote there, but I think we can be sure of them!
        1. +6
          24 July 2014 17: 22
          Dear, you in your phrase betrayed complete ignorance of the Kuril realities, so typical of the inhabitants of the western Trans-Urals. The permanent population of the Kuril Islands is about 20000 people, excluding the military. There are 2 cities, 1 urban settlement and 16 villages on the islands. So theoretically one could try to hold a referendum there, but it would not be in Japan's favor. Even in the 90s, the inhabitants of the islands spoke out for the preservation of the Kuril Islands in Russia, despite the very low standard of living at that time. Still, Japan and Russia are not Ukraine and Russia. Different mentalities, different cultures; Japanese foundations are not suitable for all Russians.
          1. 0
            26 July 2014 06: 01
            Quote: Greenwood
            The permanent population of the Kuril Islands is about 20000 people, excluding the military. There are 2 cities, 1 urban settlement and 16 villages on the islands.

            Thanks for the information, I will know.
    4. +4
      24 July 2014 09: 17
      "After all, there are already rumors about the upcoming seizure of the Kuril Islands by Japan" according to the Crimean scenario "..."

      I think this is not the case. The states forced Japan to accept a new warlike interpretation, and China is considered the main adversary here.
      1. pg4
        +5
        24 July 2014 09: 49
        They will hold a referendum among Russians on joining Japan. laughing
        1. 0
          24 July 2014 09: 54
          + I can’t laugh !!! laughing
        2. 0
          25 July 2014 06: 59
          Quote: pg4
          They will hold a referendum among Russians on joining Japan

          Something to rzhunimaga from such a referendum laughing
          ALL Russia will take and join Japan.
          The Kuril issue will be resolved once and for all.
          Like the issue with all the disputed territories in the South China Sea.
    5. +5
      24 July 2014 09: 20
      Economic growth will inevitably lead to a desire to "build muscle" and chop off from neighbors what is bad. The neighbors also start doing gymnastics in the morning. With the fall of the "Main star-striped guarantor", China will inevitably become the dominant value in the APR.
      1. +1
        24 July 2014 15: 34
        With the fall of the "Main star-striped guarantor", China will inevitably become the dominant value in the APR.


        Rather, the world is already in this situation.
    6. +2
      24 July 2014 09: 26
      And why didn’t the article say anything about North Korea? Already dropped from the account?
      1. +1
        24 July 2014 09: 36
        Quote: another RUSICH
        And why didn’t the article say anything about North Korea? Already dropped from the account?

        And what is there to consider? Hungry mouths?
    7. +4
      24 July 2014 09: 33
      Let them cling and fight, the main thing is that they would not fight with Russia.
      Quote: Andrey609
      if the Japs with China start a war, we will have to support China anyway

      China then for a while will forget about Siberia, and Japan about the Kuril Islands. The main thing is that nuclear weapons would not be used, or even bring them with the wind.
      In general, the mattress covers are probably not averse to engaging China in any kind of military adventure, the main thing would be without our participation.
    8. +3
      24 July 2014 09: 34
      Military conflicts getting closer to our borders
    9. +3
      24 July 2014 09: 36
      Asian "tigers" and "dragons" are ready to cut each other's throats
      This cannot be allowed, let them bite, scratch, growl .. but the main thing is that they wouldn’t sniff at each other and wouldn’t bite their throats ...
    10. 0
      24 July 2014 09: 48
      The main thing is that these tigers and dragons are engaged in each other, and even more recently there were fears that they aimed at our Far East
    11. 0
      24 July 2014 09: 50
      How interesting will a hypothetical war between China and Japan take place? Well, of course, the fleets will shoot at each other, and then what? The Japanese in China will land? So they will get rid of it right away, especially since the samurai spirit has long died. And the Chinese are not the same. that in the 19th century. But the Chinese can block all trade for the Japanese, what then the Japanese will do? And on the seizure of the Kuril Islands in the "Crimean" way, I would have seen how it would look.
      1. 0
        24 July 2014 13: 23
        Quote: Standard Oil
        And on the seizure of the Kuriles in the "Crimean" way, I would see how it would look.

        the Japanese electoral commission arrives at Kunashir, and starts shouting into the "matyugalnik" "Aina, come out, we will vote for joining Japan" and so on several times. a Russian border guard climbs out of the pillbox and begins p.i.z. dit "orator" saying: "There are no Ainu here, say thank you." something like this "Crimean add-on"
    12. +1
      24 July 2014 10: 02
      As you can see, through the efforts of the United States, the "wise monkey" will not be able to sit out on a branch.
    13. kirs
      +1
      24 July 2014 10: 07
      As I understand it, Japan in alliance with South Korea and Vietnam, with the support of the United States against China and the DPRK with the support of Russia?
      1. 0
        24 July 2014 10: 31
        You forgot India, the Philippines, Indonesia, Australia, Taiwan, and indeed in the Asia-Pacific region almost no one sympathizes with China. Only China fanatics from the DPRK and perhaps even the Chinese will be able to incite Pakistan to India as allies to China. Of course, I would have been on the side of the anti-Chinese coalition, but the allies would have traded us, as in the WWII, in the hope that the Chinese would get lost in the vastness of Siberia.
    14. +2
      24 July 2014 10: 44
      After all, rumors are already circulating about the impending capture of the Kuril Islands by Japan “according to the Crimean scenario”

      Even if they want the United States they will not be allowed to unleash a war with Russia on their own. No matter how Japan boasts for Russia, it is not an equal rival.
    15. 0
      24 July 2014 10: 53
      Well, I think that a bear can cope with tigers, Japan and Korea are not the United States, but they alone can come into conflict with us (and if without nuclear weapons, it can even be victorious, but this is if a spherical horse in a vacuum, without taking into account the people, the spirit, cohesion, etc.), but still if China catches up with the Yap and Koreans, I think we do not need to enter, for weakening potential enemies is only at hand
      1. 0
        24 July 2014 23: 14
        I absolutely agree to all 100 and more smile
    16. 0
      24 July 2014 11: 18
      Everything will be fine! Maybe.:)
    17. +1
      24 July 2014 12: 30
      The Japanese are funny. Without nuclear weapons, they will not oppose anything to China. You will see that in 5-7 years there will be news about their possession of nuclear weapons.
      1. +1
        24 July 2014 13: 24
        Quote: Ram Chandra
        The Japanese are funny. Without nuclear weapons, they will not oppose anything to China. You will see that in 5-7 years there will be news about their possession of nuclear weapons.

        given the possibilities of Japan, perhaps even faster.
        1. 0
          24 July 2014 16: 44
          Yes, but there are still political opportunities.
    18. +2
      24 July 2014 12: 38
      Oh, these Americans, that’s who you need to learn from so that strangers defend your interests.

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