Asian "tigers" and "dragons" are ready to cut each other's throats
Recall that three weeks ago, the government of Shinzo Abe adopted a resolution allowing the Japanese armed forces to operate in other countries. The main condition that Japan has set for itself: the need to protect "friendly countries".
The resolution prescribes the "minimum necessary" assistance to those states with which Tokyo has diplomatic relations and close ties. At the same time, military assistance can be activated only if other means of persistent enemies have not gotten through. Finally, the Japanese army will go to a foreign attack only when it becomes clear: there was a threat to the existence of the Japanese state, and at the same time the right of citizens - both to freedom and to life.
According to Abe, “the situation in the region surrounding Japan” has become “tough”. Therefore, the government had to "develop legislation to ensure security, protect people's lives and guarantee the peaceful existence of the country." To this, Abe even added: "To be ready for anything ..."
The other day, the “ready for everything” Japanese Prime Minister spoke in parliament, where he once again explained to the elected representatives of the people that, thanks to the changes in the constitution, the valiant Japanese would henceforth be able to protect both their citizens and allied citizens abroad - in the event that Japan’s survival will be threatened, ”and“ citizens ’rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness will be fundamentally undermined.” The prime minister said that the main provisions of the constitution remained unchanged: Tokyo would send troops abroad only in "emergency cases", that is, when the government considers that the well-being of Japan itself is at risk.
As an example of a “threat to well-being,” Abe called the alarming situation in the Strait of Hormuz: instability there could negatively affect the lives of the Japanese people, as an energy crisis would arise. The deputies did not appreciate this example at its true worth: after all, the United States “began to work hard” with Iran, where could the crisis of Ormuz come from?
The Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida spoke much more bluntly. It became immediately clear where the wind was blowing from. Fumio Kishida said that the threat to Japan would be ... the attack of enemies on the United States of America. And in this case, Tokyo will defend Washington. Japan will take measures to protect its allies, the minister said.
As for Washington, then, as we have already written on VO, fully approves of the new interpretation of the Japanese constitution.
“Japan has every right to equip itself as it sees fit. We urge her to do it in a transparent manner and continue to constantly communicate with her about this, ”said State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki.
American approval is easy to understand: a powerful and “legally” belligerent Land of the Rising Sun is needed by the White House to contain growing China.
Previously, the Japanese government was also in favor of tightening foreign policy, which means the same thing: the confrontation with China. What is this tightening? The search for regional allies, also not getting on with China, and real help to them. Tokyo has offered maritime assistance to countries that have territorial disputes with China, and has already provided it. In December 2013, the Philippines Coast Guard received ten patrol vessels from Japan.
At the same time, the Japanese authorities expressed their readiness to support Vietnam in the matter of the controversial Paracel Islands claimed by China.
And what about China?
He is rapidly arming himself. This is especially noticeable in his the fleet. The fleet is growing precisely because China has many maritime territorial disputes with its neighbors.
Today, the Celestial Empire is armed with a 51 submarine, among which are 28 atomic ones. Beijing rivets 3 submarines annually. In addition, in fifteen years (since 2000), eighty surface ships have been commissioned. And by the year 2020, Beijing will have three aircraft carriers (now it will be one).
The South China Sea is full of gas and oil, which is very interesting for Beijing. According to the government of the People's Republic of China, this sea alone stores about 18 billion tons (although there are other, much lower ratings in the press).
The fish resources of the South China Sea are also worrying the Chinese. According to government estimates, the region’s biological and hydrocarbon resources are being pulled by 1 trillion. dollars.
In addition, the Chinese do not like the increase in attention paid to the region of Washington. By building up naval power, Beijing is trying to make the White House understand: there is no place for the United States in the APR. Here is the main - China.
It was China that “activated” in recent years the territorial disputes around the islands in the South China Sea. Because of the conflicts around the Senkaku (Diaoyu) archipelago and the dispute over the Paracel Islands, relations between China on the one hand and Japan and Vietnam on the other quickly deteriorated.
Another scandal between China and Japan erupted quite recently - in July, when pictures of “nuclear mushrooms” appeared on the site of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and the caption: “Japan wants war again”. Official Tokyo, writes Newsru.com, promised to respond decisively to the pictures, and Beijing, in response, called on the Japanese authorities to come to terms with their “militarist” past.
And here is another artistic caption for the pictures: "The blood in the hands of Japan, the butcher of World War II, is still drying."
There are news from South Korea. Seoul is also arming.
The other day "Russian newspaper" spoke about the creation of South Korea's own fighter.
The choice was made in favor of creating a twin-engine C-130 aircraft. The new machine should go to the troops in 2025. Seoul decided to look for foreign participants in the program. Indonesia has already given the go-ahead, stating that it is ready to take on 20% costs.
As part of the KFX military program, South Korea is going to develop and produce F-120 fighters near 16, moreover, they are using stealth technology. New aircraft must replace the F-4 and F-5, which are in service with the Air Force of South Korea.
The Korean military says they need "safe fighters with excellent performance." “It’s true that the twin-engine platform will cost more, but our military needs safe fighters with excellent performance to ensure the effectiveness of their actions,” said a spokesman for the South Korean military.
Alexander Gabuev in the magazine Kommersant Vlast spoke about the 13 conference on security, which was organized by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). The meeting ended on June 2 at the Shangri La Hotel in Singapore. At the conference "Shangri La Dialogue" met military, intelligence and military experts.
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Pentagon chief Chuck Hagel, Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the People’s Liberation Army of China Wang Guanzhong and other officials were present.
The Kommersant correspondent notes that the participants of the forum were given a “Report on regional security” prepared by IISS, in detail, on 200 pages, outlining the key trends in the APR. The dynamically developing and most densely populated region of the world is slipping into a large-scale arms race, along with which nationalism is intensifying and contradictions between the powers are growing.
IISS is worried about the rise in military spending in the APR. 2011 to 2013 Nominal defense expenditures in Asia rose by 23% (real growth, that is, taking into account inflation, was 9,4%).
Experts from the Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) are confident that the APR has become the region of the world with the fastest growth in military spending.
China on military spending on the planet ranks second after the United States. Celestial "officially" accounts for 12,4% of expenses in the APR (112,2 billion dollars). Researchers believe that this number should be multiplied by at least 1,3: after all, China’s military budget does not reflect the cost of purchasing foreign military equipment, etc.
In third place after the United States and China - Japan (5,6%, 51 billion dollars). Next come India (4%, 36,3 billion dollars), South Korea (3,5%, 31,8 billion dollars).
In turn, IISS experts say that over the past few decades, the defense budgets of the APR countries and their military capabilities have been inferior to many European powers. Asian countries, the Kommersant correspondent notes, focused on the development of the economy and science. However, now many of them have begun modernization of the Armed Forces, and at the same time. Foreign military equipment is acquired, own samples are developed, the salaries of servicemen are raised and the number of exercises increases.
Today, many citizens of APR countries fear that territorial disputes with China will lead to war. That is the conclusion that came to the company “Pew Research”, which is known for its sociological polls. According to a recent public opinion poll conducted in eleven countries, most of the population is “very concerned” about the likelihood of a military conflict with China. This was announced by the portal. "Vesti.Ekonomika".
In the Philippines, the possibility of war with China concerns 93% of respondents, in Japan 85% of respondents, in Vietnam 84%, in South Korea 83%, in India 72%, in Malaysia 66%, in Bangladesh 55% Indonesia - 52%.
As for China, there 62% of respondents are convinced that the conflict over disputed territories with neighboring countries could escalate into a war.
Well, the last news on the theme of the East Asian "boiling".
It has already reached the space military plans: the Celestial Empire received technology capable of destroying satellite communication systems. These technologies will be useful to the Chinese for disabling American satellites.
As reported by 22 July "GLONASS Bulletin"In addition to missiles that can intercept and destroy satellites, China has developed jamming technologies capable of destroying satellite communication systems. According to the president of Nexial Research and the aerospace consultant in Tokyo, Lance Gatling, the Chinese are testing ground-based lasers that could destroy satellite solar batteries, while at the same time they are studying the use of boarding equipment on satellites that could deactivate equipment on American satellites. Such is the piracy of the XXI century.
Upon learning of this, the Americans and the Japanese gathered to unite their space programs.
So, it is clear which allies are ready for a possible confrontation with China. But who is China's ally? Or is there a warrior in the field? Or maybe there are hopes for the Kremlin, from which Japan demands "its own" Kuril Islands?
After all already rumor has it about the upcoming seizure of the Kuril Islands by Japan "according to the Crimean scenario" ...
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