Military Review

ATO: agony

14
ATO: agonyI don't know who shot down the Boeing. But I'm sure something went wrong. Over the past two days, the propaganda machine of the world media has clearly stalled. The news occasion fizzled out within 24 hours. This does not happen without some reason. After all, all the signs of a "world-class sensation" are evident: almost three hundred victims, "terrorists mocking the remains," a geopolitical scandal involving Russia. Official Kiev churns out "evidence of a terrorist attack" at the speed of a conveyor belt. From "spotters of fire" detained at the border with the Russian Federation, to recordings of conversations of field commanders telling the details of the destruction of the Boeing-777 live.

The only thing missing is the confession of the missile that shot down a civilian plane. What are they (the media) still missing? You know, during the so-called dispersal of the "European Maidan" (February), there were an order of magnitude more hysteria in the media. Statements were made every two to three hours. All speakers, experts, representatives of "human rights" organizations were put on their ears. The State Department and the European Commission literally competed in the number of "messages" issued to the mountains per unit of time. The news feed of Interfax-Ukraine was literally all red (this color is used to highlight the most important leads that precede the information itself). None of this in our case. This is strange to say the least. It seems that at the last moment the puzzle did not work out, the plane fell wrong, and I had to take a break to develop a new scenario. There are few proven facts that would make it possible to build an understandable big picture. Nevertheless, we will try.

Almost immediately after the tragedy with the Boeing, a massive offensive of all anti-terrorist operation forces began in the direction of Lugansk and Donetsk. The battles are taking place in the suburbs of megacities. Nobody takes into account the losses among the civilian population. Already on Sunday there were reports of Defense Minister Geletey about a series of "military victories". Among them - the next unblocking of the Luhansk and Donetsk airports, the occupation of the southeast of Luhansk, blocking all channels of military aid to the militia. Igor Strelkov, as far as can be judged from the available reports, reported heavy battles. Information about the "liberation" of two airports has not been confirmed. The enemy, according to the militia, throws into battle Tanks and armored personnel carriers without infantry support. Small sabotage groups operate in the metropolitan area, killing everyone in a row. Official propaganda passes it off as "an uprising of the local population killing militants." There is no word about the military group that got into the cauldron near the Ukrainian-Russian border. Occasionally there are posts in which the "encircled" with obscenities ask the ATO command to send them help.

It becomes clear: the ATO command was assigned the task of taking Lugansk and Donetsk at any cost up to a certain date. The most common date is July 22. The satellite cities should, most likely, simply be wiped off the face of the earth. Tanks must break into Donetsk and Luhansk to carnage in the center and "hoist the Ukrainian flag." Where is not important. All the resources and reserves available in the ATO have been thrown into this task. They are oblivious to communications and supplies, which have been stretched out. At the same time, a disinformation campaign is being conducted in the style of "a victorious offensive by the anti-terrorist operation forces, hundreds of militants surrender, the leadership fled to Russia."

And back to the downed Boeing. It seems that the fall of the plane was the signal for the beginning of a massive attack. Like three green rockets. Were they waiting for the Boeing 777 to be shot down? Of course not. The most likely scenario was the following: the world of the type shuddered from a tragedy of unprecedented proportions. How to make the most of this situation? First, to declare Russia a “center of international terrorism” and a “rogue state”. Secondly, to block the rebellious regions and wait stupidly. Whether "high-precision weapons"Of" peacekeeping forces ", or facts that irrefutably testify to the involvement of Vladimir Putin personally in the tragedy. Let the international commission draw conclusions.

Instead, the ATO troops rushed into the attack. Nobody even hinted about the need to "release the area of ​​the plane's crash seized by terrorists." What is there. Everyone is diligently shelling megacities, killing the citizens of "United Ukraine" and vying with each other to report on unprecedented successes. Practically "the decisive stage of the ATO". I see only one explanation for this behavior. The remains of the plane fell into the "wrong hands." Kiev was given literally a few days to deal with Novorossiya. The war, as you know, will write off everything. And when the "right experts", as well as representatives of international institutions arrive at the scene of the tragedy, there will be nothing left there. The corpses were taken in an unknown direction by the "terrorists", covering their tracks. They pulled the wreckage away. The Buk-M complex was hastily evacuated to Russia, the crew was shot by the GRU General Staff of the Russian Defense Ministry. Here, as evidence of canned food from the Mtsensk plant, and here is a video on which the militants train at the training ground in Plesetsk to shoot down a Boeing. Plus a bonus - an audio file of Lavrov's talks, which tells Putin about how by mistake the militia shot down a civilian plane.

I could of course be wrong. However, facts are stubborn things. Until recently, the Supreme Commander-in-Chief explained to Geletey, who nervously thrust a tightly screwed ink pen into all conceivable and inconceivable holes in his body, that “it is necessary to narrow the ATO zone”. Tactical tasks were publicly announced: "blocking Donetsk and Lugansk, using pinpoint strikes, minimizing civilian casualties." And then the plane fell. All do not care. Massive offensive. A dozen tanks burst into Rubizhne, firing at everything that moves and does not move. In Luhansk, people stood peacefully at the crossing, waiting for the green signal. We waited for the shells from the "liberators". And the racially correct ones howled in social networks: "the mass death of bioscot in Luganda." Such a "single country". Files do not converge. This is the clear agony of the regime. Something went wrong…
Author:
Originator:
http://versii.com/news/308434/
14 comments
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  1. Sergey Sitnikov
    Sergey Sitnikov 22 July 2014 07: 14
    +6
    Ukraine went wrong, initially it was an enraged country, the country lost the basis of its national centuries-old way of life, customs of living and Orthodox holiness.
    1. Polevik
      Polevik 22 July 2014 07: 39
      +4
      Quote: Sergey Sitnikov
      Ukraine didn’t go wrong, initially - a frenzied country, the country lost its foundation


      A country that has tangled the coast.
      1. Spnsr
        Spnsr 22 July 2014 11: 34
        +2
        Quote: Polevik
        Quote: Sergey Sitnikov
        Ukraine went wrong, initially it was an enraged country, the country lost the basis of its national centuries-old way of life, customs of living and Orthodox holiness.


        A country that has tangled the coast.

        did Ukraine have the basics? centuries-old national way of life? customs? the holiness of Orthodoxy?
        maybe there was something of the above, before the beginning of the last century, but rather it was in the units who led this herd and whose function was assumed by the gay union and pin.dos.tan.
        look at their behavior in resorts ... and not only
      2. avg
        avg 22 July 2014 14: 49
        +1
        Quote: Polevik
        A country that has tangled the coast.

        So from the banks of the Rhine and the Mississippi, lard pulled, so they could not resist ... feel
  2. Alexgs
    Alexgs 22 July 2014 07: 15
    +4
    That's just, this ATO, in agony, destroys everything around, dragging with it to the grave the civilian population, infrastructure and crippling the lives of the rest. This government will be forever cursed by descendants.
    1. sgazeev
      sgazeev 22 July 2014 11: 58
      +2
      Quote: AlexGS
      That's just, this ATO, in agony, destroys everything around, dragging with it to the grave the civilian population, infrastructure and crippling the lives of the rest. This government will be forever cursed by descendants.
  3. VNP1958PVN
    VNP1958PVN 22 July 2014 07: 23
    +1
    Yes, everything is according to plan, Europe directly "said" to Putin, you do not hand over Novorossiya, we hand over Russia!
    1. sgazeev
      sgazeev 22 July 2014 12: 12
      0
      Quote: VNP1958PVN
      Yes, everything is according to plan, Europe directly "said" to Putin, you do not hand over Novorossiya, we hand over Russia!

      But will they not choke. Many have tried. Throughout history, Great Britain has tried to defile Russia. France and Germany are not far away, and there is nothing to say about the Lyakhs. angry
  4. Predator
    Predator 22 July 2014 07: 27
    +2
    Yes, there is no government there (in Ukraine). There is a gang of murderers and provocateurs, hirelings of the United States. Another puncture with Boeing must now be corrected. The militia and the Russian Federation, everyone understands nothing to do with it, but the culprit is covering his tracks and covering up the owner (the United States). that prostitutes always end up badly.
  5. Plamya77
    Plamya77 22 July 2014 08: 47
    0
    Everyone is talking about today's meeting of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. We will wait for its decisions. As the Poles say, “tso then benze?” Although personally, I VERY strongly doubt it ...
  6. Veteran of the Red Army
    Veteran of the Red Army 22 July 2014 09: 41
    +1
    We waited for the shells from the "liberators". And the racially correct ones howled in social networks: "the mass death of bioscot in Luganda." Such a "single country". Files do not converge. This is the clear agony of the regime. Something went wrong…

    http://topwar.ru/uploads/images/2014/416/jedk630.jpg
  7. tyrus
    tyrus 22 July 2014 10: 24
    0
    Indeed, there is no need to talk about the unity of the Outskirts. But how painful it is to read reports from the front!
  8. divangeneral
    divangeneral 22 July 2014 10: 54
    +2
    How to turn the tide in Novorossia without the intervention of Russian troops?

    In the eyes of the couch general. the main problems of the Opolentsians are: 1) lack of reliable supplies and rear and 2) significant superiority of Ukrainian troops in numbers and equipment around Lugansk and Donetsk.

    About such things. as the absence of the backbone of the army of New Russia in the form of experienced specialists of the main military specialties and the unwillingness of a significant part of the local population to take up arms to protect their home. keep silence.

    Also a problem seems to be the lack of a unified command of the DPR and LPR troops.

    By and large. now there is a war of extermination, the result of which will depend on that. who has more resources - military and human.

    What could theoretically be done about it?

    1. It is necessary to achieve diplomatic recognition of the DPR and LPR by Abkhazia and Transnistria.

    This is necessary for that. to ensure the supply of weapons (captured Ukrainian-Georgian equipment from South Ossetia) to the DPR and LPR. South Ossetia has already recognized the DNI and LC, the next step needs to be taken. Abkhazia is needed here for the logistics of 6 delivery of equipment by sea through Mariupol (though for these purposes Mariupol will have to be beaten off one way or another).

    2. to reduce the concentration of troops around Donetsk and Lugansk. need to open a second front. and a third is better. so that part of the troops was forced to retreat to new hot spots.

    What could be the direction - Kharkov and Odessa.

    Why Kharkov: this is the last truly pro-Russian city. where else could a referendum be theoretically possible (of course, after clearing it of Ukrainian forces).

    Also, do not underestimate the defense potential of Kharkov: now tanks and self-propelled guns for the Ukrainian army are being repaired there. it would be good to deprive them of this resource and put it at the service of New Russia. Kharkovites could replenish Strelkov’s army.

    Why Odessa: in general terms, do not forget about that. what they did to Odessa residents on 2 in May ... I think. they remember. The strategic importance of the port of Odessa for military supplies by sea is also clear. Judging by the information. Now the Poles are driving their equipment there.

    How to do it in practice: probably. It would be effective if Transnistria would act on the side of New Russia after recognition of the conflict. Transnistria borders on Odessa region. Geographically, it is sandwiched between Moldova and Ukraine. who have signed an association with the EU and will soon overcome Transnistria.

    By and large, the only chance for Transnistria to survive is to join the New Russia, and ideally through New Russia, to Russia.

    Given the Transnistrian ties between Strelkov and Antyufeev, one could resolve this issue and ensure that volunteers from Transnistria enter Odessa and take control of Mariupol.

    Thus, a second front would be open.

    As for Kharkov, it’s clear that you won’t get there by open march. It is necessary to enter Kharkov in small groups in civilian, weapons separately in caches. all with the help of trusted local sympathizers.

    On day D and H, groups arriving in Kharkov could take up arms. put on masks and take the city from the inside, organizing its defense, thereby opening a third front.

    After the opening of the second and third fronts. the military situation can radically change in favor of New Russia.

    Add to this the economic and political problems of Kiev, where the probability of a third Maidan and a new coup is extremely high, which increases the likelihood of survival of New Russia. After a new coup, the new government will be illegitimate. which will give rise to part of the Ukrainian troops, and so do not want to fight, refuse to comply with criminal orders.

    http://narodedin.com/post/Kak-perelomit-voennuju-situaciju-v-Novorossii-/
  9. marsavin.yu
    marsavin.yu 22 July 2014 11: 06
    0
    Yes, that's right. Only the scenario is not amerskiy and not ukro-military.
  10. Serbor
    Serbor 22 July 2014 11: 09
    +1
    In my opinion, 2 versions are real.
    1. Non-professionalism of Ukrainian air defense 1) there were precedents (2001) 2) general anti-Russian hysteria 3) the colors of the Malaysian Boeing are similar to the Russian tricolor
    2. Provocation This is where something really went wrong. The author is right - there is not that screech that could be expected. Perhaps the plane should have crashed on the territory of Russia (whose area of ​​responsibility?). + underestimation of the capabilities of our radar and space reconnaissance (everything is bad with us, soon kirdyk)
    In any case, it is necessary to pressurize these cattle with information. The first step has already been taken in the form of an MO briefing. But this is only a trump card. I hope that the ace is still in hand.
  11. Serbor
    Serbor 22 July 2014 11: 30
    0
    In my opinion, 2 versions are real.
    1. Non-professionalism of Ukrainian air defense 1) there were precedents (2001) 2) general anti-Russian hysteria 3) the colors of the Malaysian Boeing are similar to the Russian tricolor
    2. Provocation This is where something really went wrong. The author is right - there is not that screech that could be expected. Perhaps the plane should have crashed on the territory of Russia (whose area of ​​responsibility?). + underestimation of the capabilities of our radar and space reconnaissance (everything is bad with us, soon kirdyk)
    In any case, it is necessary to pressurize these cattle with information. The first step has already been taken in the form of an MO briefing. But this is only a trump card. I hope that the ace is still in hand.
  12. nik4422
    nik4422 22 July 2014 12: 29
    0
    Something went wrong. I don’t know what else Ukrainians can come up with when they print out black boxes, when they carry out identification of corpses, will they really work to destroy international affairs?
  13. Watchman
    Watchman 22 July 2014 15: 16
    0
    It’s not lucky to live in Ukraine!
  14. Victorio
    Victorio 22 July 2014 16: 42
    0
    Quote: nik4422
    Something went wrong. I don’t know what else Ukrainians can come up with when they print out black boxes, when they carry out identification of corpses, will they really work to destroy international affairs?


    perhaps the leadership of the Russian Federation did not expect such activity and cruelty of the Ukrainian army, because after the Crimea it was completely demoralized, and things won’t go beyond positional fights on the border of rebel regions, and after some time Ukraine itself would have collapsed