After the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Third World War will follow.
On the channel "Culture" 17 July scientists discussed the upcoming date: 100 anniversary of the outbreak of the First World War.
“Practically all countries did not want war, but it did happen,” said the director of the Institute for stories RAS Alexander Chubaryan. “And this is very relevant today, it raises the question of the mechanism of the origin of a major conflict.”
The exhibition “The Last Battle of the Russian Empire” will open in the Moscow Historical Museum. “A monument will be unveiled on Poklonnaya Hill, dedicated to the victims and heroes of the First World War,” said Yuri Petrov, director of the Institute of Russian History, RAS. “In Kaliningrad, this monument is already standing, and a lot of memorials are being created in the battle zone - this is Belarus, the Baltic countries, and our Kaliningrad region”.
In addition, the theme of world wars was touched on. And in the "application" to the modern geopolitical realities.
According to Alexander Chubaryan, the "idea of punishment" was the impetus for the beginning of the First World War. “In general, the idea of punishing the country is absolutely unconstructive and completely immoral. But Austria-Hungary after the murder of the archduke declared that she would certainly punish. And this idea of punishing the country, the desire to present a different account to another country - it still exists, ”the historian quotes. Utro.ru.
In 1914, the participants in the outbreak of the conflict were sure: they would have to fight a little bit. However, “local interests” led to a “big war”: “They did not think that there would be such a big war, but one of the bloodiest conflicts of the 20th century arose. And today we need to understand what local interests can lead to. ”
According to Professor George Malinetsky, a hundred years ago, Russia had much more weight in world politics, and today the picture is different: “Today 32% of the world's population support Russia, 39% are bad, while the US supports 62%. Therefore, now, when we are going to the Third World War, we are in a very difficult situation - we have come under the influence of the myth that the world is multi-polar. In fact, this is not the case - the US spent 20 years on armament more than the whole world, taken together ... And Russia was ready for the First World War better than the Third ... "
The scientist also recalled that Russia is the home only for 2% of the global population, and these two percent give only 2,9% of the global gross domestic product. Excluding nuclear weapons The ratio of the power of Russia to the countries of NATO - 1 to 60.
According to a scientist who leads Utro.ru, Russian political analysts predicted a blow to Russia from Central Asia in the 2015 year, but Ukraine faces a blow: “Events in Ukraine are developing like an avalanche. Americans are in a hurry, they are losing influence, they are following the path of late Rome, and we have to hope for the best, but expect the worst. ”
At the same time, the task of the United States is to destroy the European Union, which will serve the rapid movement of the world to the Third World War: “So we are rapidly moving towards the Third World ...”
On the Russian portal "New Eastern Review" A few days ago there was the material of progressive journalist Tony Cartalucci (Tony Cartalucci), specializing in geopolitics.
The observer talks about the publications of the Western media on the baseless allegations that Russia has sent troops to Ukraine, or is going to enter them in the coming days. According to the analyst, the West today is trying with all its might to draw Russia into a military confrontation.
According to Comrade Kartalucci, a clear picture has already been imprinted in the minds of Westerners: in the ongoing conflict, Russians have already invaded Ukraine. The proofs are as follows: since Kiev cannot overcome the eastern regions, then the reason is in the Russian “intervention”.
If Western journalists write that the Russians have not yet invaded Ukraine, then, therefore, they will do it in the near future.
There is a third version: Russia has already “invaded”, but then postponed the invasion, as if on purpose, in order to frighten Westerners in their aggressive plans. And he, sitting at the TV, is now waiting for the "other invasion", then the "re-invasion."
The fact is that in fact Russia's invasion of Ukraine would only play into the hands of both Kiev and its patrons both in the European Union and in NATO.
The author calls Lugansk “Stalingrad in miniature” and notes that at the moment “Russia has few reasons to“ invade ”Ukraine”.
Still, he writes, the West is “determined” and makes propaganda attacks against Russia, watching how the “ineffective” Ukrainian army builds mountains from civilian victims and loses battles.
As for the Kremlin, the Russians warned Ukraine of possible “irreversible consequences,” reminds the journalist, after a shell has flown across the border and killed a Russian citizen. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that his country is ready to take all necessary measures to protect its territory.
The West wants to present Russia as an aggressor, ready to invade Ukraine. What for? In this way, Russia's political influence will be undermined and the doors will be opened for support by NATO countries of the “shaky” power in Kiev. The picture, in which Russia is represented as an evil aggressor, can affect EU and NATO members who are not yet ripe for full support of the harsh US sanctions and condemnation of Russia.
Kartalucci believes that in fact Russia does not need an invasion of Ukraine.
If Russia does not support the rebels operating inside Ukraine, then it looks like these fighters are able to defeat Kiev’s forces and unite with each other to wage the “classic partisan war” - independently, without the participation of Moscow.
If Russia still secretly supports these fighters, then all that needs to be done is to send more secret assistance, the journalist writes.
By crossing the border at some point in the conflict (unless the provocations of Ukraine become quite obvious), Russia will gain nothing. The restraint of Russia has so far shown the "defending" doctrine of the West as imperialist acting. The West not only does not condemn Kiev’s attacks on the cities of Eastern Ukraine, but even encourages them, demonstrating to us who is who. The West, according to Kartalucci, is the one who covers unilateral military aggression.
Russians, the author believes, should not succumb to the provocations of Ukraine. Provocations are being undertaken for the Russian troops to cross the border, which will give NATO a justification for interfering in the affairs of Eastern Europe.
Instead, Russia should allow Kiev to act in order for Ukraine to demonstrate to the world its "cruelty" and its "incompetence on the battlefield." At the same time, eastern Ukrainians will join forces.
Thus, Western analysts and Russian experts agree on one thing: the introduction of Russian troops into Ukraine could be a pretext for the response of the NATO bloc, which would then lead to World War III.
- especially for topwar.ru
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