Putin's plan
The recent events on the Novorossiysk fronts and the diplomatic European ones make it possible to more definitely speak out about Putin’s strategy in the Ukrainian crisis. The deployment of the peacekeeping contingent "in the coming 48 hours" to Ukraine did not take place, but the withdrawal of the DPR troops from Slavyansk to the prepared positions took place. And this coincidence in time is suggestive ... The Donetsk militia left Slavyansk and Kramatorsk, the Strelkov group organizedly left these cities under pressure from the superior forces of the Bandera Nazis, and this brings to mind, of course, the surrender of Kutuzov to Napoleon in Moscow. The same, in essence, maneuver: he retained the militia, took him into the depth of the defense and began regrouping.
But Bandera was in the Napoleonic situation in Moscow: in the city bombed by them. The victory of the Ukroarmia is clearly “Pyrrhic”; Strelkov obviously gained time, and took a more comfortable position: Karachun hanging over Slavyansk was, of course, a constant headache for the militia.
Chairman of the State Duma Commission Alexei Pushkov said that relations between Russia and the United States are entering a confrontational stage. And in the face of confrontation, Moscow inevitably recognizes Novorossia: there will be nothing left to lose on the world stage. Question: when recognizes? This is determined by the strategy of confrontation with the West.
The notorious “Putin’s plan” in Ukraine seems to be connecting Berlin and Paris to resolving the Ukrainian crisis - this will strategically allow the situation in Ukraine to win, violating the Washington plan: to leave Russia in this crisis alone.
Prerequisites for this. The Ukrainian crisis, one way or another, will have to clear up Europe and Russia, not Washington. It seems that Moscow, Berlin and Paris have found mutual understanding in this. Only this can explain the cease-fire and truce initiatives in Ukraine until 5 July in Berlin and Paris. While in the US Congress a bill is being introduced: “The Act on the Prevention of Aggression by Russia 2014”.
Peace initiatives in Ukraine were thwarted by Washington, and we see that tensions began between “old Europe” and the United States, amid assurances of Atlantic solidarity. Washington threatens to impose sanctions on French and German banks, while in Germany they suddenly discovered an American spy in their intelligence. And they declare that this spy scandal threatens relations with the United States: “I must say: we have enough!” Informational touch: Euronews began to talk about “self-proclaimed DNR”, and not about militants and terrorists, like Washington.
We will not be naive, as if Chancellor Merkel was not aware of the status of Germany in Atlantic solidarity. On the contrary, the scandal in intelligence is hardly accidentally released into the light of God right now, and Merkel, while on a visit to China (!), Declared that “struck and confused” by this spy scandal - this is politically correct nonsense.
Rather, we are witnessing a conscious return of Germany to the world arena: it begins to distinguish its national interests from American, primarily in Ukraine, a painful point in Europe. And Putin is doing everything possible so that this process does not fail.
Probably, as long as the possibility of a situational alliance with Germany remains, Putin will be slow in taking decisive actions in Ukraine. Wait: will Atlantic solidarity prevail, or will it be called an addiction?
Another restriction for Russia is Novorossia. Lavrov, in general, unequivocally said that the suppression of the militia in the Donbass is not acceptable for Russia, in other words, Donbass Russia will not surrender. The task of Donbass today is to keep, to gain time for a possible turn of Europe to the East. Moscow needs to have time to play a game with Berlin - Paris in order to come together in the Donbass peacekeepers.
If Berlin and Paris capitulate to Washington ... This is the worst scenario, then Donbass will have to save Russia alone against the united front of the western countries. Then the confrontation will become an accomplished fact with the consequences in the form of a new Cold War. In any case, Moscow will make the next move, when, in one way or another, the struggle “for Europe” with Washington ends.
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