What steps is Kiev going to do to prevent Medvedev’s forecast from coming true?
Option One: banal theft. This method during the time in power in Ukraine of the most diverse (up to the opposite political views) authorities worked. It is believed that this method works now. True, a big minus of this method for Ukraine is that if gas is continuously stolen, then by the first night frosts gas will certainly be seized in the European Union. And even though they get the CPU, they can dance under the Washington flute, but they are able to count the money, and therefore they will surely find where exactly the paid cubic meters disappear from the pipe.
This means that the option of theft is good for Kiev, but Ukraine can only be used as an accompanying move, since Ukraine is paying too close attention today to be able to steal enough.
The second option means NAK "Naftogaz of Ukraine". According to the proposals of the management of Naftogaz, Ukraine should immediately be transferred to the rails of a large storage facility of American and European liquefied gas. In the terminology of the Ukrainian oil and gas company, it sounds like this: create a hub so that gas from this hub can later be sent to consumers. That is, Naftogaz offers American and European companies to pump gas (first of all, we are talking about liquefied fuel) into Ukrainian storages (including UGS), and Ukraine will send gas that has already been injected to those who are going to buy it. In this case, Kiev is going to commit itself to the formation of the Eastern European Exchange.
The main goal of this proposal is to reduce European “dependence” on Russian blue fuel. They say that neither Ukraine nor Europe will soon need Russian gas and the gas will be supplied by Americans, Algerians, Qatari and Norwegians, and honest Ukrainian “master gas schemes” will sell this gas at reasonable prices for consumers.
Well ... Such a fairy tale must be very beautiful for Ukraine. Especially for that part of it, which is simply crazy about “European integration”, having plunged into the Russophobic project being implemented on the territory of the Square.
Can the proposals of NAK “Naftogaz” to create an exchange hub on the territory of Ukraine for the concentration of gas volumes and their implementation be considered seriously? If from mentioning such a name as “Yatsenyuk” a person pulls out howl “no more died ...”, then undoubtedly, it can be considered and even necessary - the doctors, they say, are advised to resort to delusional fantasies ... For all the others, such proposals look at least least absurd.
The main absurdity is that in order to turn Ukraine into a gas hub, the gas itself must be taken somewhere. The fact that it can put the Americans, unless there can be doubts? Of course, they will. At first, they can even declare that the price of such gas is mere pennies ... It will be clear even for the finally politicized American businessmen (and there are such, apparently) to drag gas through the Bosphorus to the banks of the Square to sell gas gas, for example, Poland or the Czech Republic - pure economic masochism. For a long time, breaking the comedy with the low cost of such supplies, the American business cannot simply by definition - the loot for the States always wins ... So, in the end, the price of gas supplies from the US to the Ukrainian "hub" will be such that with similar success for Kiev gas receive from the depths of asteroids, which undoubtedly will be "exactly" (well, like the Ukrainian army, shells ...) send ukroastronauts directly into the target - into the "neck" of the UGS ...
But what about Norwegian or Qatari gas? Yes, about the same ... Any representative of the Norwegian gas sector, having only imagined the route of deliveries of liquefied gas to Ukrainian UGS, and considering that Ukraine is going to resell gas, will think for a long time: is it such an anecdote or “Naftogaz” - seriously? ..
Then the only option left is to pump gas from Russia. But this way is not for the Ukrainian authorities. Not for this, these braziers in the chairs of the government offices sat down.
Third Embodiment from Kiev. Premier Yatsenyuk spoke about him a couple of weeks ago, and now he has returned to his (or someone suggested) idea. It's about the possibility of introducing a state of emergency in Ukraine in the energy sector. But this option is precisely the reason why all of this Ukrainian “gopak”, perhaps, was started. Well, at least, including for the sake of it ...
From the speech Yatsenyuk (quotes to Reuters):
In the event of a special period, enterprises, institutions and organizations of the fuel and energy complex must comply with the instructions of the central executive bodies (...) despite the conditions of the signed agreements.
In case of restriction or termination of energy supplies to the territory of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine may decide on the mandatory sale of natural gas by gas producing enterprises (...) to a subject authorized by the Cabinet of Ministers (...) at a price set by the government.
The main points are: “despite the conditions of the signed contracts” and “at a price fixed by the government”.
That is, Kiev is going to legitimize not only the methods of coming to power on the basis of a coup d'etat (judging by the new proposals for amendments to the Constitution from Poroshenko), but also the possibility not to comply with any agreements, interfering in the trade relations of the subjects. That is, if company A bought energy from company B for the price of, for example, 1 “Tugrik”, but didn’t like such a deal for Kiev, then Kiev is utterly clumsy: announces a state of emergency and sets such a price for companies to benefit exclusively from the ukrovlast. Wants - poltugrika, wants - all five. This is due to circumstances. If this is not a corruption scheme, then what? ..
Oh yes! More reverse supplies ... Fourth option.
On the eve of Kiev announced that the Slovak Eustream AS has completed accepting applications from companies intending to supply gas from Slovakia by reverse to the territory of Ukraine. For God's sake! If Slovakia has got too much extra cheap gas, then let it deliver. Only Gazprom will have to ask the question: why is Slovakia relatively cheap, and even extra gas? .. Gazprom doesn’t like it when someone’s dreams come true based on the gas it produces ...
PS Their morals: