Vasily Koltashov: Under a new blow
For more than a month, pensioners in the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics do not receive their money. This is the main, but not the only threat to the territories liberated from the Kiev junta.
The truce in Ukraine was short. The source of it was not at all the peacefulness of the Kiev authorities, but the failure of their quick victory plan.
It had to take place before the signing of the economic association of the country with the EU, and now the war will continue. And the republics of New Russia, in turn, will have to forge their rear.
In Kiev, hoped to succeed under Slavic. For this, they did not spare either the lives of Ukrainian soldiers or money. After the defeat of the Strelkov's grouping, a blow from three sides to Donetsk would be possible, and then the forces could be concentrated to capture Lugansk.
Bandera generals got enough time for this operation, especially since it was not clear whether the militia would have new forces.
Perhaps the Kiev junta was counting on its people in Donetsk. It could be not only militant nationalists, but also some local authorities. The plan failed when the militia received support: new groups arrived from the border regions, including a convoy with tanks, artillery and anti-aircraft weapons.
Kiev could not wait for a quick victory. He announced a truce, somewhat calming down tired of the loss of people, and at the same time began to prepare for new battles. In addition, he signed the economic bloc of association with the EU so that society would switch to the expectation of the realization of its European dream.
There was a pause in the war, which for the republics of New Russia means only the need to organize the rear and normalize the lives of its citizens as soon as possible. It is extremely necessary for victory, especially since no one here believes in the possibility of removing Ukrainian punishers from Donbass.
But what are the main problems of the rear? They are social and economic, which is quite natural. Worst of all things with payments. For more than a month, pensioners in the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DPR and LPR) do not receive the required money. This is the main, but not the only threat to the territories liberated from the Kiev junta. And all these threats are not military.
The separation of Donetsk and Luhansk regions from Ukraine was accompanied by considerable chaos. Governments were eventually formed. But they still could not take control of the financial and economic processes in both people's republics. Invisibly, following the rise of the national movement, the crisis of the DNI and the LC came.
The decision to create Novorossiya does not cancel it, because by the end of the second month, when pensioners do not receive pensions, and many workers do not receive wages. Business activity is declining, even loyal businessmen leave the republic.
The authorities of New Russia made the right decision, refusing to create their own currencies. They chose the ruble. Appear in the DPR and LNR own bank notes, they could depreciate more quickly than the hryvnia in the conditions of chaos and civil war. Meanwhile, not without the help of the West, Kiev managed to stabilize the rate of its currency.
Falling money DNR and LC could be an advertisement for "stability in Ukraine." The trouble is that the new authorities are not able to pay money to people, and indeed do not have the necessary resources for the survival of the republics.
Guide DNR recently announced the creation of its own bank. Prior to that, it had assured the world community of the inviolability of private property, canceling its own nationalization plans. All these steps can be of little benefit.
First, in the first week of the people's republics, money was taken out of the branches of all Ukrainian banks to Kiev. If the people's leaders had sent armed people on time to these banks, would have taken them under state control, forced the employees to swear allegiance to the republican authorities, and those who refused would be arrested ...
If the merging of branches into a general structure was carried out quickly, then the DNR and the LC would now have a working bank and money. None of this has been done. Therefore, it is difficult to talk about resources for a new bank.
The sacred cow of private property pushed the authorities of New Russia to the second strategic mistake. They missed not only the export of money, but also the export of food. Now analysts say that in extreme cases it will be possible to introduce cards in the winter.
However, empty granaries and warehouses may not allow this to be done effectively. Alas, in recent months, whole columns of cars exported cereal and other products from the territory liberated from the Kiev junta. Tough and decisive measures in response were not taken neither by the heads of the republics, nor by the field commanders, although the population at times stopped cargo convoys.
It was possible to prevent food and money from being brought into the territory of the enemy even without encroaching on the "sacred principles of property." It was necessary to outlaw those entrepreneurs who directly or indirectly help the enemy.
Even paying taxes to the Kiev authorities in a war should be treated as treason, followed by the seizure of property. And this concerns primarily the oligarchic business, which consciously supports the Bandera power of Ukraine.
Thanks to the misses of the leaders of Novorossia, the enemy received a powerful campaign weapon. He used to rely on terror and intimidation. Now he can use the timely payment of pensions in the territory he occupied for the DPR and the LPR as an illustration of the “advantages of order”.
It’s another matter that the Bandera officials are unlikely to be able to immediately use the new capabilities of corrupt and sinking into material problems. And this leaves the DPR and LPR time to remedy the situation. On top of that, the Kiev junta raises tariffs more and more than it repels even those impressed by Bandera’s nationalist pathos.
Two months without retirement people in the LC and the DNI will be able to live. Chronic non-payment of them, as well as delayed wages and benefits, will lead to an increase in discontent, to the strengthening of the disappointment that many people have already had about independence.
The shortage of food products can further complicate the situation in Novorossia, especially if emergency measures are not taken. Emergency solutions are now required on other issues. Only by taking them, you can create a strong rear and win the war. Kiev will try to use the weaknesses of the rebels.
The Bandera jump to Donetsk failed to be realized in June, when in heavy battles "300 shooters" exhausted and stopped the enemy. However, the summer campaign is not over, as the war itself is not over.
And this means that the rear still has to work to win. For this, it must be properly organized. And do not stop and tremble from doubts in front of the property of the enemy and his institutions, of which there is still a lot in the territories liberated from Bandera.
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