Even the fulfillment by Syria of its obligations to destroy chemical weapons can not seriously defuse the situation
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki said that the Syrian air force had bombed the positions of Islamic militants in the Iraqi border town of Al Qaim. The head of the cabinet stressed: although the authorities did not ask Syria to inflict airstrikes on the Islamists, they support the initiative of Damascus. But the US Secretary of State John Kerry, the Syrians on the Islamists - the need to combat that they talk so much in the US - clearly did not approve.
About what he told at the NATO summit to his accomplices on the anti-Syrian coalition, stating the inadmissibility of intervention in the Iraq conflict "third party".
His discontent is quite understandable. The Iraqi party is not played by the administration of Barack Obama, it is here only a puppet of the Pentagon, the CIA, America’s arms and oil business. But the Democrats need to save face, show that they are at least something in the Middle East, yes they rule. In addition, both the president and the secretary of state seriously fear that the “hawks”, under the cover of the operation in Iraq, will begin to solve the “Syrian problem” on their own too straightforwardly. Without propaganda cover.
Syria suffered huge losses during the civil war and jihadist intervention. The borders with Turkey, Jordan, and Iraq are practically open, and from there, weapons are growing in an increasing stream, both for the secular opposition and for the Islamists. Having established control over the oil pipeline leading to Syria, the Iraqi militants of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant immediately blocked it, provoking power outages in the country ...
Syria’s losses are enormous, and the GDP during the war and intervention has halved. A huge number of citizens of the country were left without work, a significant part of the population became internally displaced persons, or even went abroad. The population of Lebanon is four million people, and the number of Syrian refugees has exceeded one million. In Jordan, a little more than six million live - the official number of refugees is 600 thousand.
But, albeit at the cost of enormous human and socio-economic losses, the country survived. The script of the Arab Spring for Damascus, written in Washington, failed. And if everything is clear with the tasks facing the Syrian leadership - to finish off the rebels, to carry out serious reforms, including political ones, to rebuild the country - then the prospects for further actions by the anti-Syrian coalition and its most active players are much less clear.
The problem is that the further development of the situation in the country does not depend on the choice of the Syrians themselves. They have made their choice just in favor of stability, peace and a secular state.
Peace in Syria does not depend on the position of Russia, Iran and China, no matter how consistently and firmly Moscow, Tehran and Beijing uphold the principles of international law and the inadmissibility of aggression.
Here it is, the curse of the unipolar world: now everything depends on the decision that Washington and its allies will take regarding Damascus.
Even the fulfillment by Syria of its obligations to destroy chemical weapons cannot seriously defuse the situation. The General Director of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), Ahmet Uzyumcu, stated that all the Syrian declared arsenals - 1300 tons of chemicals and precursors used to create chemical weapons, as well as more 1200 unloaded ammunition - were removed from the country and ready for destruction. In addition, Damascus provided information on 41 facilities, which are located at 23 facilities and can be used to manufacture chemical weapons.
However, the same John Kerry immediately after the official report of the OPCW stated that this was all well and good, but ... “We are still deeply concerned about reports of the systematic use of chlorine in areas where opposition supporters are located; the Syrian regime is reluctant to work on the destruction of production capacity; the international community has questions about what Syria has declared, ”he outlined the claims of the West. That is, the anti-Syrian coalition has more than enough contrived pretexts to accuse Damascus of violating agreements. And more than enough equally contrived reasons for a military action.
It cannot be otherwise, since the main goal of Washington and its clientele with regard to Damascus was, is and will be the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad.
In the Syrian issue, Barack Obama was terribly afraid of dirtyting his white clothes as a peacemaker, and in his habit of democrats, he lied. And, in the end, not only did he get confused himself, but he also drove US strategic partners, the same Saudi Arabia, to a rage. Officials of which, rejecting the norms of etiquette, directly accused Barack Obama of total betrayal: US interests in the Middle East, security of the Arabian “unsinkable aircraft carrier” and “Syrian fighters who fled to America against the bloody regime”.
As a result, other people took control of the Middle East processes in Washington - intelligence officers and the military, behind whom are the capital of the US military-industrial complex and the oil industry, and the political cover of which is carried out by the Republicans.
Their party looks immaculate: a sudden aggravation of the crisis in Iraq requires urgent American intervention in the "fight against terrorists." And under the cover of this struggle, you can deal with Syria.
Now Barack Obama has nothing else to do but to reflect on events launched without his knowledge. Actually, all the fluctuations, both of the American administration and of the circles close to it, were associated with only one question - the question of the price for mastering Damascus. No, we are not talking about the losses of the civilian population or the death of "fighters for democracy" - who and when considered the losses of "pawns" in geopolitical games? Moreover, the West has masterfully mastered the tactics of “proxy wars”, when people of the same faith, of one nationality, yesterday’s countrymen and neighbors cut each other for his interests.
The question is whether the “cure for Asad” would be worse for the West than the disease itself?
This, first of all, is about foreign jihadists fighting in Syria. Today, according to various estimates, from eight to twelve thousand. With criminal and radical scum, which the Arabian monarchies fused from their countries to “atone for sins with jihad,” everything is clear with extremists from Pakistan, Afghanistan and the Maghreb. They are prepared for the role of cannon fodder, it is a consumable material that no one regrets and does not take into account in long-term plans. But in the ranks of the "international jihad" today, 70 citizens of the United States are fighting, 700 citizens of France, 400 - of the United Kingdom and 1300 - from other EU countries. Western intelligence agencies are aware that this contingent of Syria will not be limited to that it will bring the war against the infidels to his home, the USA and Europe. Western politicians can not be bothered. It came to the point that the intelligence services of France and Great Britain through diplomatic channels appealed to the Syrian authorities with a request to provide data to the citizens of these countries fighting on the side of jihadists.
West is sobering? West is beginning to understand the reality of the threat "Afghanization" Syrian conflict?
The threats that the new Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi publicly warned about when deciding to neutralize his country in this conflict and quitting the anti-Syrian coalition? Nothing like that! The purpose of a purely tactical request is to take measures to neutralize these “internationalists from jihad” when, after drinking blood in Syria, for one reason or another, they want to return to the United States and Europe.
In addition, this request helps the anti-Syrian coalition find the answer to another very important question: who should we arm, who is the main stake in the fight against the legitimate government? Coalition strategists did not give an answer, although recently Barack Obama, in his sensational speech at West Point, said that America "is ready to build up support for those Syrian opposition forces that represent a better alternative than terrorists and dictators." Therefore, a new meeting of the heads of the intelligence services of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, England, France and the United Arab Emirates is being prepared for the end of July and the beginning of August. The topic is another consideration of the question of who of the "Syrian rebels" to supply with what will significantly increase their capabilities in the war against government forces and their own people. Man-portable air defense systems and heavy small arms ...
And it will be easy to do. The successful actions of the American agents in Iraq "under the roof" of ISIS allowed, on the one hand, to cut through an additional cross-border corridor for the supply of arms at the borders with Syria, and on the other - to seriously hamper the supply of equipment to Damascus from Iran. Well and, moreover, the igilovtsy managed to seize a significant number of both Iraqi military depots and army armaments. Recent data from Damascus suggests that part of the captured has already gone into the country from Iraq, that ISIL militants in Syria have already had army Hammers and trucks, and artillery systems are already on the way.
Who in such a situation will make out what has got to the “Syrian opposition” from Iraq, and what has come through other channels? The ideal situation in which militants can get an unlimited number of weapons without injuring the “high moral principles” of the West led by Obama the peacemaker ...
Especially since igilovtsy in Syria, by a strange coincidence, launched active operations against those who yesterday considered them as their allies - against the “jihadists.” The fact that in one of the battles between ISIS and Islamist Jabhat al-Nusroy losses on both sides amounted to 1400 testifies to the scale of the clashes. Objectively, ISIS in Syria works for the anti-Syrian coalition, clearing out those whose loyalty and controllability this alliance is not sure about.
And journalists and “scientific experts” at this time continue to “brainwash”, trying to divert public opinion from understanding the true causes of what is happening in the Middle East. Here comes the political philosopher Francis Fukuyama, the one who once proclaimed "the end stories":" What we see today in Iraq and Syria is the slow growth of the conflict between Sunnis and Shiites, in which local forces act on behalf of Saudi Arabia and Iran. A humanitarian disaster is brewing. ”
Lies and fog ... There is no conflict between Sunnis and Shiites do not exist. Even on closer examination, Islamists from ISIS turn out to be completely not Islamists, but on 70-80 percent, an organization under the control of the CIA.
And, accordingly, there is an operation led by the Washington-led coalition to overthrow the legitimate government of Syria, in which there is now a short pause. It is necessary to prepare the next phase of the "Battle of Damascus".
What will it be, this next stage?
After the failure of Washington and its allies to impose on Damascus ideas of a coalition government with the participation of the “secular opposition” and the refusal of Bashar al-Assad from power as a guarantee of a cease-fire, it became clear that this stage would be exclusively violent. And the main role in it will be played only and exclusively under the control of the anti-Syrian coalition gangs of rebels, cleaned of Islamists.
It is this “stripping” that is now the most important task for those who are tied up at the second stage of the operation. Corridors in the areas controlled by the rebels are cut through almost the entire perimeter of the Syrian border. It means that there are no obstacles for increasing the supply of weapons to the “right oppositionists” who, in the intervals between sabotage attacks and terrorist acts against government forces and civilians, cut the opposition’s “wrong” ones.
At the same time, the training of the rebels in the camps near the border with Syria will unfold even more.
Actually, the request of Barack Obama from the 500 congress of millions of dollars "for the preparation and arming of the rebels in Syria" is precisely for these purposes.
The next step is the preparation of "humanitarian corridors" into the zones controlled by the rebels already in Syrian territory. And this is one of the main dangers for Damascus, which he officially warned the UN Security Council and Ban Ki-moon the other day: “Delivery of assistance in coordination with terrorist organizations and without consultation with the Syrian state will be equated with an attempt to attack the Syrian state.” Such an acute reaction is quite explicable: the task of the second stage of the operation of the anti-Syrian coalition is the proclamation of a "free Syrian state" in the territory seized by the rebels with a provisional government formed by the secular opposition.
Well, since Western journalists have prepared public opinion that a humanitarian catastrophe is about to erupt in Syria - some have already assured that it has already erupted - a "no-fly zone" will be created to cover humanitarian corridors by hook or by crook. It will dominate aviation countries participating in the anti-Syrian coalition. And there, and to the "humanitarian bombing" of Damascus is not far, the tactics have already been worked out - from Yugoslavia to Libya.
Optimism to the developers of the second stage of the operation on the “final resolution of the Syrian issue” is added by information from Tel Aviv, shaking on its part of the border with Syria.
The Israeli Air Force and Army artillery are already openly conducting reconnaissance in force, checking the state of the Syrian air defense and the combat readiness of the army.
On Monday night, Israel launched airstrikes on nine Syrian targets, including the headquarters of the armed forces. The reason is the shelling of an Israeli truck by unknown persons from the territory of Syria. Moreover, first Tel Aviv struck from tank guns, subjected the Syrian territory to rocket and mortar shelling, and then carried out five air attacks, the targets of which were the positions of the army and the headquarters of the 90th brigade of government forces.
Israel’s successful air attacks convince the anti-Syrian coalition that the air defense system has weakened significantly and can only be a threat to combat aircraft over Damascus. Consequently, there are no particular obstacles to “humanitarian bombings”. Of course, if Russia does not intervene, but this is already a topic for another conversation. In the meantime, with piercing distinctness, it becomes clear that a certain tactical pause, which occurred in Syria, means only the preparation of a new attack by the anti-Syrian coalition.
Peace plans for Syria Washington and its allies do not provide. In these scenarios on the “final solution of the Syrian issue” - only American puppets in Damascus and cemetery peace over the torn earth ...