The man who never under any circumstances removes his helmet, even if it is a question of sending strictly intimate needs that do not require participation in the ATO, counted: “separatists,” “terrorists” and “quilted jackets” have violated forty-seven times since last Friday ceasefire agreement. " Tymchuk, of course, can be trusted. He is Ukraine’s largest expert in sabotage and reconnaissance groups, identifying them on the basis of excrement residues and used products of the Mtsensk rubber plant. The rebels are accused of violating the regime of the ATO forces, who regularly bombard a number of settlements, including in the area of the Ukrainian-Russian border. In addition, cases of undermining of railways became more frequent. For 12 hours - 6 explosions on the Donetsk railway. If you add the same actions over the past two days, then we can talk about a full-blown rail war. Who leads it is not clear. And finally, yesterday a Mi-8 helicopter was shot down exactly on Mount Karachun. The Ministry of Defense officially confirmed the presence of nine corpses, four of which are SBU officers. The president threatened that the temporary ceasefire could be terminated ahead of schedule. As for me, this will not be done, since it is planned for June 27 "historical event ”in the form of signing an association agreement between Ukraine and the EU. If you notice, then no one cares about association and European integration against the background of a "ceasefire" in the southeast. How will events develop further?
First, the clashes will continue in the civil war zone, which is still embarrassedly referred to as the three-letter abbreviation (ATO). The army is currently a poorly managed union, consisting of various units that do not have the slightest coordination. The Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Security Service of Ukraine, the National Guard, the army, more than thirty "special forces", each of which operates according to its own schedule. Coordination - zero. The level of combat training is “we will show everybody pokazhemo and budemo”. Plus, the current acting minister of defense will go into deep retirement, and it’s unclear who will take his place. Clearly, when the question of leadership is being decided, no one at all is inclined to show any zeal. Koval was offered to work in the NSDC as Deputy Parubiy. The issue is also being resolved with Mr. Krutov, as if the acting head of the Anti-Terrorism Center. The man in Kasga shouts that he is a traitor to the Motherland and a traitor. Perhaps he was able to investigate Krutov’s litter and find all the same canned meat of the Mtsensk Plant there. Who knows ... I personally do not know. Because I don't have a helmet. Now, if it was, then it is quite another matter.
On the one hand, the uncontrolled concentration of the mass of troops, on the other - the resistance forces that were offered to either put down weaponand then be shot, or be shot first, and then automatically lay down their arms. Excellent and very humane choice, which, you see, inspires. What is their motive for supporting the cease-fire? I doubt that everyone will flee to throw out the AK when they find out that the president submitted to the Verkhovna Rada a draft of the new Constitution, which presupposes “unprecedented decentralization of power” and “the status of the Ukrainian language as the only state language”.
Secondly, there is information that another meeting of the “contact group” on “resolving the situation” will take place. The first was held in Donetsk and ended with a cease-fire agreement. Execute the agreement failed. One of the reasons is the extremely tangled way of representing the “Ukrainian side”. In the AP claim that Kiev was represented by one Leonid Kuchma. In his old age, Leonid Danilovich became a patriot of Ukraine, as well as an honorary zits-chairman at numerous political gatherings of his son-in-law patron. Nobody knows what his powers are, because there is an official "authorized to resolve the conflict in the Luhansk and Donetsk regions." This is a “real Bandera” (as she positions herself) Irina Gerashchenko. Kuchma, according to the official version, met with Poroshenko, and he asked for it. That's all. As it turned out recently, Viktor Medvedchuk also does not understand whom he represents. The OSCE claims to be rebels. Medvedchuk says: not everything is so simple, guys. I've been walking past the presidential administration, Poroshenko called me and asked. In addition, everyone remembers that the participation of Medvedchuk announced and Putin. However, it is unlikely that he represents the Russian side, otherwise why is Zurab present at the talks? What does in the contact group Shufrich - no one knows. Probably, Nestor Ivanovich went by the AP and unexpectedly met Medvedchuk, who offered him a trip to Donetsk. Supporters of conspiracy theories of conspiracy claim that Shufrich sent Tymoshenko. She allegedly wanted to participate herself, but she was not given. There is Oleg Tsarev, positioned as the leader of the South-East movement, but with very little influence on the leadership of the DPR and the LPR. I understand that it is necessary to excel in the formation of a contact group, since no one officially talks with “terrorists” and “separatists”. So it turns out a strange combination of characters. However, such contacts should be continued. At least in order to indicate the direction of the transition to the essence of the negotiation process. And the bottom line is this: in the “terrorist-anti-terrorist” format, the effectiveness of the negotiation process is zero. Need to change the concept.
Thirdly, more and more the most realistic variant of the continuation of the ATO emerges. Nothing new. All the same "decisive blow to the nest of terrorists" with the support of sharply "the sight of the local population." Peace talks were? Were The cease-fire was? It was, but frustrated by the fault of the leadership of the republics, which does not control the rebels. Constitution made? Have made. Here you have the excuse for a decisive tank strike. The new Minister of Defense, the regrouping of forces, the demand of the “public” to strengthen integrity and so on. Again, "the decisive phase of the ATO."