Military Review

Third world postponed?

At the very end of last week, another sudden inspection of the troops of the Central Military District began. The check concerns more than 65 thousands of servicemen, and for many of them this is already the second large-scale maneuvers this year. From the message distributed by the press service of the Ministry of Defense (quotes RIA News):

As part of a sudden comprehensive inspection of the troops of the Central Military District, the Strategic Missile Forces formations deployed in the district are put on full alert with withdrawal to combat patrol routes (IBE).

The units of the Strategic Missile Forces, involved in a surprise check, will work out the tasks and introductory missions in cooperation with the attached units of combat, logistics, security and reconnaissance, as well as perform tasks on the conditional launch of missiles.

In addition to the Strategic Missile Forces, the Airborne Forces were involved in the maneuvers: the Ivanovo 98 Division, the Ulyanovsk 31 Brigade. The training venues are selected polygons of the Chelyabinsk, Samara and Kemerovo regions. Participate in the exercises 15-I separate motorized rifle brigade, 2-I and 41-I combined armies.

Third world postponed?

If we talk about the use of military equipment during the audit, the numbers here are also impressive: about 250 planes and helicopters, more than 5 thousand cars, armored personnel carriers, infantry fighting vehicles, BMD, tanks and other equipment.

The teachings will last until June 28.

The main question that accompanies any recent Russian military maneuvers: is this sudden check of the combat readiness of the Central Military District troops related to events in Ukraine? Moreover, it adds a piquancy to this issue and the fact that in the midst of military exercises, Vladimir Putin suddenly called on the Federation Council to terminate the ruling allowing the Russian president to use military contingent in the territory of the Independent Square.

To try to answer this question, you need to carefully look at the facts that are - that is, the information that is in the shared mode. The troops of the Central Military District, as already noted, undergo a sudden check for the second time this year (the first was held in February) - just after the Maidan, fairly reinforced by Western “rolls” and radical shouts, brought about an anti-constitutional coup with bloody consequences. Those exercises, according to representatives of the Ministry of Defense, for obvious reasons, were announced as maneuvers that have nothing in common with the situation in Ukraine. They believed everything, especially in Kiev ... But in that case, Russian troops were checked, which is called near the Ukrainian border. And what about this time?

This time, the combat readiness of the Russian troops is checked at a more than impressive distance from the Ukrainian borders. So - now there is no connection between the Ukrainian events and the Russian surprise check of the troops? Well, this is unlikely ...

The order to start the maneuvers was given to the Supreme Commander at the very moment when there were consultations that representatives of different parties would gather in Donetsk and discuss at the table the possibility of at least a temporary ceasefire, and at that moment when Poroshenko set out his “peace plan” . That is, the Russian maneuvers can be considered a kind of catalyst for the appearance of Kiev at least a hint of a desire to begin the negotiation process on the peaceful settlement of the situation in the Donbas. Moreover, the catalyst is not so much the fact that large-scale exercises have begun, but the fact that their direction is eastern, not western. Kiev showed this hint in the form of Kuchma’s special envoy ...

That is, the logical chain here is this (quotation marks are proposed to be arranged by the readers themselves): Poroshenko to Putin: peace plan, Putin - Poroshenko: non-directed maneuvers against Ukraine, Poroshenko - Putin: Kuchma at consultations in Donetsk, Putin - Poroshenko: Ambassador Zurabov, his godfather Medvedchuk and the withdrawal from the Federation Council of the document authorizing the use of Russian troops in Ukraine, which are not already used. Damn it, who's trolling whom? .. Or the recent informational blows no longer allow us to objectively assess the situation and realize that these are Kiev’s real steps towards Moscow and vice versa?

So, let us assume that this is not a mutual trolling, but a forward movement towards settling the situation in the Donbas. Well, let's make an effort and suppose ... Then after June 27 (the deadline for the oral agreement on truce, which was recently reached in Donetsk), we can expect Poroshenko’s plan to actually be implemented, and its implementation will be supported by the Russian authorities. In this regard, it is worth recalling some points of the “Poroshenko’s peace plan”:

The withdrawal of illegal armed groups, the creation of a guaranteed corridor for the exit of Russian and Ukrainian mercenaries, disarmament.
If we take into account that illegal militia groups in Kiev are considered exclusively by the militias, then only militias will be disarmed ...

Creation in the structure of the Ministry of Interior units for the implementation of joint patrols

Sharing with whom? The militias are supposed to be disarmed, with an obvious unwillingness to disarm those structures of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, which consist of pravosek and other Maidan riffraff.

The release of illegally detained administrative buildings in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions.

This point logically stems from the first two: after all, if the militia disarms, then the pravoseki and the national guards will receive the will and rush to “liberate” the RSA on the basis of the option.

Restoring the activities of local authorities, updating the central television and radio broadcasting in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions.

“Restoration” in the language of Kiev in this case means the return of Taruta and other gentlemen, who also make television manual, which means Russophobic, as in other parts of the Square - for the treatment of the local population.

Well, of course, the apogee of the plan - 10 buffer zone on the border with Russia.

This is a kind of vision Petro Poroshenko epochal fence Kolomoisky. That is, in fact, the “fence”, only 10 is also a kilometer wide, so that if the centers of resistance in the LC and the DPR start to flare up, they will be put out without thinking about the redeployment of the Russian troops - after all, the Federation Council will approve the recall of the same permissive document ...

If Vladimir Putin decided to support just such a plan, then what would the case say about the presidential rating, for example, VTsIOM? .. But ratings are ratings, and politics is politics. Is it possible to say with great confidence that the words of support are the real support?

Moscow, at the same time, has an excellent opportunity to work with Ukrainian "partners" on the international "legal" patterns that the West uses today against Russia itself. That is - in the absence of any legal platforms at all ... Listen to the puppet Kiev, agree with him and do it your way - Isn’t it a variant of the new Russian policy regarding the Ukrainian authorities?

Therefore, the only conclusion that suggests itself in this situation is that there will not be a big (third, fourth, ennoe) war in Europe, at least in the near future, even if this is what the puppeteers of Kiev "power" really want. In this regard, someone will call Putin a peacemaker, someone a coward, but this does not change the essence of the matter - the horizons of the big war have been moved away (how far they moved away - this is a separate question). For the kitchen "Napoleons" - grief, and for ordinary residents of the same Donbass - real hope.

But the undercover battles, perhaps, will increase. One of these battles can be observed right now: against the background of seemingly unprecedented steps to de-escalate the conflict from Moscow (one appeal to the Federation Council is worth something ...) the Russian president systematically promotes the idea of ​​building the South Stream, convincing the Europeans that the project is more than rational. Austria has already given the go-ahead. If we consider that South Stream, under favorable conditions, will work in a couple of years, then the US influence on Europe and on its contacts with Russia through the implementation of new and new ukoscenarii with Maidan, pravosekami and "ladies" will steadily decline. Against the background of steps to de-escalate the conflict, the army participates in large-scale maneuvers (moreover, a day before the expiration of the armistice agreement), before June 28. Trifle? Useless mess against the background of "surrender" of New Russia? The big-big question, given the realities of modern politics. A drawn club is even on the Chelyabinsk training ground, even a couple of kilometers from the border with Ukraine - a brought club. Over whom it is brought - he sees perfectly, and he is forced to check his actions with her swaying.

And Putin’s accusations of cowardice in many ways resemble the situation of August 2008 of the year, when there were reflections on why Moscow, forcing Georgia to peace, did not send troops to Tbilisi (by the way, they still go). Moving troops to hang Saakashvili in one place and turn him into a national hero? The victory is great ... Saakashvili went to the garbage by the decision of the people of Georgia. Heroes in other places ... And his ukroklegi will go. Repeating the American "feat" in Iraq - is this not the main bait for Russia (in Georgia and Ukraine) by the same United States, which needs a desperate need of a great war for others?

By the way, it was stated that the president “will not be able” to use the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. But after all, the LC and the DPR is not Ukraine at all, but the Union of People's Republics ...
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  1. johnsnz
    johnsnz 25 June 2014 08: 44
    All this truce is fiction! Kuchma is a negotiator? Ha ha ha To more or less resemble the truth, Porosh should sit at a table with his security forces at least, but on the contrary Bolotov, Gubarev, the leaders of the militia. Broadcast online.
    And so - bullshit golem. It is good if a pause helps restore energy and water supply to the southeast. Regroup forces, it is possible to commission several units of equipment. Hold on, brothers Slavs!
    1. voldmis
      voldmis 25 June 2014 14: 32
      In general, the Supreme again outplayed everyone. Who will accuse Russia of direct aggression now? We are waiting for what will happen next ... laughing
      And the army of New Russia can already stand up for itself.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Max
        Max 25 June 2014 22: 59
        By the way, it was stated that the president “will not be able” to use the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. But after all, the LC and the DPR is not Ukraine at all, but the Union of People's Republics ...
        Exactly the same. Author hammer - great noticed
        1. krpmlws
          krpmlws 26 June 2014 20: 34
          Quote: Max
          Exactly the same. Author hammer - great noticed
          How do you get such confidence that the Russian Federation considers SE not a part of Ukraine?
    2. krpmlws
      krpmlws 26 June 2014 20: 31
      Quote: johnsnz
      to suspend Saakashvili for one place and turn him into a national hero?
      What’s Saakashvili’s here? What could put the pro-Russian government in Georgia, turning Georgia’s political vector towards Eurasian integration is probably a trifle for the author. It is much more important not to let Saakashvili become a hero, but how would he suddenly become a hero? to the west, you don’t believe that he would be like Allende. In general, most of the articles published on the site are of little interest, many do not make sense to read, because the feeling is that the same author is writing, who seeks at all costs to justify the political decisions of the authorities and the price is true.
  2. Stiletto
    Stiletto 25 June 2014 08: 57
    There are two days left until June 27. Let's look at this "peace plan". In the meantime, there are battles near Lugansk.
  3. cerbuk6155
    cerbuk6155 25 June 2014 09: 04
    Everything goes according to plan. And we will not hand over our own at DONBAS, and we will help with arms and militias. soldier
  4. bob
    bob 25 June 2014 09: 06
    it was necessary to strangle all this mess right away as soon as it started and now we disintegrate the consequences, I don’t know how it ends, maybe the special services should have foreseen such a turn of events and take measures in time to cost a little blood or just do it
  5. xackera
    xackera 25 June 2014 09: 08
    Do not forget that in December 2009 the President of the Russian Federation (then D.A. Medvedev) received an unlimited right to the operational use of the armed forces abroad. In this case, the consent of the Federation Council can be obtained after the troops are deployed.
    1. Stypor23
      Stypor23 25 June 2014 09: 42
      It’s the same as giving an LDC-2 to a child. It doesn’t charge, it will shoot itself.
    2. Serg 122
      Serg 122 25 June 2014 09: 43
      It is interesting that the formal meaning of the abolition of permission to use troops, in contrast to the huge political one, is practically absent. Even if Putin’s request is granted, this will not deprive the president of the right to send troops to Ukraine - in December 2009, then-President Dmitry Medvedev received an unlimited right from the Federation Council for the operational use of armed forces abroad.
      Five years ago, Sergei Mironov, who headed the Federation Council at that time, explained: the head of state made a proposal, indicating that the use of troops abroad would serve to protect the interests of the state and its citizens, and to maintain international peace and security.
      Formally, it was never canceled, and its cancellation was not required, Konstantin Dobrynin, deputy chairman of the Federation Council committee on constitutional legislation and state construction, explained to Vedomosti. The Constitution does not provide for a special procedure for revoking a decision that gives the president the right to send troops to other countries.

      So (probably) not everything is as bad as it seems Yes
  6. Stypor23
    Stypor23 25 June 2014 09: 25
    I wanted the base in Ulyanovsk, I’m afraid the paratroopers won’t be upset by such a thought and will sort the whole base for souvenirs and gifts. By the way, I recall the Georgian barracks on the walls of which the Airborne Forces sincerely thanked Uncle Sam for the ammunition and other equipment left in that place.
  7. Iline
    Iline 25 June 2014 09: 39
    Poroshenko’s plan is not a plan at all, but an ultimatum. There is not a single line about problems with the local population and their will. And this fictitious piece of paper is not executed by the Ukrainian side. Who can believe them? Well, maybe Europe and the USA. For this, the little thing was written.
  8. Alex_Popovson
    Alex_Popovson 25 June 2014 09: 50
    But I think that the militias should be disarmed. By forces of the Russian Federation. Here is a reason for you, Ukraine is not coping with the ATO, and Russia will help, and it will send its contingents to Donetsk and Lugansk.
  9. Veteran of the Red Army
    Veteran of the Red Army 25 June 2014 09: 55
    By the way, it was stated that the president “will not be able” to use the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. But after all, the LC and the DPR is not Ukraine at all, but the Union of People's Republics ...

    This is of course the logical consequence of the events. But do not be like our many opponents. Everything should be carried out within the legal framework. Like in the Crimea.
  10. 2224460
    2224460 25 June 2014 09: 55
    Another sudden check of troops of the Central Military District began.
  11. shaman-25rus
    shaman-25rus 25 June 2014 10: 01
    You have a good `` plan '', comrades ... get some sleep, I'll poison the rats in the basement ...
  12. volodyk50
    volodyk50 25 June 2014 10: 07
    Great article, thanks to the author. I would like to add that the exercises can and do take place far from the Ukrainian border, however, the routes of combat patrol who knows where they lie.
    I liked it very much - more than sure, many of this fact will not be taken into account. laughing
    By the way, it was stated that the president “will not be able” to use the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. But after all, the LC and the DPR is not Ukraine at all, but the Union of People's Republics ...
    1. 25 June 2014 20: 22
      Quote: volodyk50
      But after all, the LPR and the DPR are not Ukraine at all, but the Union of People’s Republics ...

      Did Russia recognize them?
      However, it can be recognized in the evening, and by morning the troops will already occupy positions. Somewhere we have already seen this ...
  13. ZU-23
    ZU-23 25 June 2014 10: 37
    Ours are doing everything right, so eternal trolling is inappropriate here, we better discuss why we are doing this, rather than tryndet with the confidence that we are doing everything wrong.
  14. Batiste Polka Dots
    Batiste Polka Dots 25 June 2014 10: 54
    Great article. Putin inspires unlimited respect.
  15. Edvagan
    Edvagan 25 June 2014 10: 57
    The truce and the abolition of permission to send troops are such virtual pieces in a chess game. There is a difficult game on the chessboard, pawns are already donated and serious pieces must be put forward with the threat of losing them. Then the Americans and Poroshenko decided to come up with a virtual non-existent ceasefire figure, which initially suits no one and cannot be recognized by anyone. that is, they put forward not a real figure, but a virtual one, and expect that in response we will be forced to put forward a real figure and lose it. and here, oops! - we have the same virtual figure- the cancellation of permission to use troops- and we quietly put it forward — here, eat!
  16. loaf
    loaf 25 June 2014 11: 43
    Maybe someone noticed that when covering the exercises there were shots with helmets on which stood the symbols of the MC (peacekeeping forces) were the same on BMD. DNR asked for a peacekeeping force, and we are ready
  17. MSA
    MSA 25 June 2014 12: 00
    By the way, it was stated that the president “will not be able” to use the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. But after all, the LC and the DPR is not Ukraine at all, but the Union of People's Republics ...

    Accordingly, again, all according to the rules and without violations, whoever shouted.
  18. parusnik
    parusnik 25 June 2014 12: 13
    What can I say .. observe the stages of persimmon ripening ..
  19. yana532912
    yana532912 25 June 2014 12: 32
    As always! Putin outplayed everyone. Yes, all of you Western democratizers compared with him just went for a walk. Health and patience to our president! good
  20. provincial
    provincial 25 June 2014 12: 33
    It’s not possible to postpone the third world war. The deadlines are simply shifted. Amerikos are studying the theater of war., Are planning a future operation., Ukraine will start, and then their allies will be pulled up.
  21. Dezinto
    Dezinto 25 June 2014 12: 52
    In the years 2020 ohm, 2030 ohm somewhere. But it will be, unfortunately. Actually this is the dark side of human evolution. But the fact is, people can’t live without wars, I myself am indignant, why.? Without wars we live a hundred plus or minus years ...
    1. gray
      gray 25 June 2014 19: 11
      After 1945, there were only 26 peace days. (Wikipedia). If you can believe her.
  22. Leshka
    Leshka 25 June 2014 15: 27
    God forbid that she was
  23. Rurikovich
    Rurikovich 25 June 2014 19: 01
    If we knew even a small part of what Putin alone knows, we would not be so categorical in our judgments, whether he is right or not. We can sit on the couch looking into tomorrow and shout our slogans, and VVP plans its steps, oh, how far (certainly not for tomorrow, but much further) and we will get the final result only when everything settles down and all the points are dotted " i ". Therefore, one should not criticize the one who sees everything much farther away from us.
    Time will tell... hi
  24. snifer
    snifer 25 June 2014 20: 28
    everything, there will be no kin, the electricity is over. Everyone sits and thinks that it would all mean, but everyone still has a sediment that we are .. or, and most interestingly, many understand that they will continue to push, but no one knows what and how to do, change Putin it’s impossible, the prospect is even worse, and we will continue to live spat upon but lost.
    P / S Our right to shut up and be silent, you still do not understand, chase your grandmother ...
  25. podpolkovnik
    podpolkovnik 26 June 2014 09: 07
    stated that the president "will not be able" to use the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. But the LPR and DPR are no longer Ukraine at all, but the Union of People's Republics ...

    It is said strongly. Yes, and explains a lot ...