Greetings to you, dear colleagues. Believe it or not, I’ll tell you the strangest historythat happened a few days earlier. To be more precise, it is right on a significant day, when the frontier post of Ukraine in full force, having estimated one place to another and packed its suitcases, with a friendly hubbub, sent its feet to the territory adjacent to Ukraine. That is - to Russia.
So ... It was getting dark ... More precisely - by that moment it was already “getting dark” quite a while (Siberian time was the second hour of the night) and I, a sinful thing, having come from work, having had dinner with black breadcrumbs with a little water, looked into the net to catch something in it Anything that could shed light on what is happening in Ukraine. I repeat - the time was not childish, I was with a deep velvet and suddenly I heard on one of the stream channels that several streamers were imagined at once that allegedly through the above mentioned RFP (border checkpoint) in the direction of a settlement from Slavyansk and which the valiant Hunt army strenuously attacked, followed by a strange procession consisting of several armored personnel carriers and KamAZ vehicles. From where this caravan came from, no one could answer - that is how it immediately descended from the cloud of heaven, and, spying and spitting, moved into the territory of a friendly state. All regarded immediately - the gift of the Lord. The most remarkable thing is that this caravan was decorated with a bouquet of two very large flowers. Here is the name I forgot a little - either Rose, or Lilac, or cactus, or "Hyacinth" ... It seems the last name seems to be. For some reason, these beautiful flowers inspired me to think that they can NOT like our Ukrainian “partners”, who forget the lost in the city of Slavyansk, which is already becoming legendary, a certain Igor. Rumor still calls him a shooter. And why did I doubt that these flowers will like the gentlemen from Kiev? So no one liked those whom Russia offered to inhale the scent of these flowers during their “bloom”. True, there were joyfully mentioned such wonderful fruits as “Olives” and some other “Flies”, and some “Metis”. But, I think this is not significant, right? Whether it is not enough what insects fly in the summer and what relatives at whom happen by blood.
So ... Everyone who saw this vision, on the contrary, really liked these flowers, and the streamers began to very vividly clarify the details and inform each other with joyful voices that the Lord Arrow would not leave him to be torn apart and began to express other joyful cries and publish battle cries. But their joy was suppressed almost immediately by the thunderous Voice (it seems to me - Heavenly!): “Guys! If someone saw something, you shouldn’t go on the air about it! ”Believe me, colleagues, I heard it myself! The voice was so expressive and so intelligibly “reached” that the streamers, as if on cue, were silent and only ten minutes later they began to sigh, cough and talk.
I was very impressed with this phenomenon. So much so that when I went to bed, I regarded it as nothing less than a certain sign that it portends something and that we must wait in the coming days for some events that will explain something to us sinners. The words “Arrow”, which was said a day before this sign, that the Ukraine’s head is now no longer a rod, came into the memory by accident, preferring to shoot Arrow warriors from afar, and “NONA” has already exhausted all of its lifespan from the strelkovtsev and that in general , riflemen, even what little fluff, just to populate the insects, but they are too bold and take advantage of the fact that the strelkovtsy have only a gunshot left ...
And I waited for the news. And they appeared in a couple of days. And - lo and behold! We learn that the Gradov battery, which annoyed the Arrows, suffered damage, that there was a detonation of the ammunition assembly, that the BMPuhi of the Ukrainians were being destroyed, and that the shooters had a howitzer. The right word - encouraging news! But I still had some doubts and began to listen (chu!), What would they say behind the “hill”? Will they notice any signs or visions? It seems - noticed. Because June 10, neither in the morning nor in the evening, looking at the “indicator” - “Euronews” - did not see any bravura coverage of ukrovoyak victories, nor falsely-sympathetic regrets about the fate of Slavyansk residents and of the residents of Donbass and Lugansk region in general, nor the fake reassuring assurances of the new Kiev authorities. Just - silent! As if there is nothing.
If we draw an analogy with any kind of duel, usually such a reaction, when the enemy goes into a dull defense and ponders his further actions, comes as a result of a good hit “in the brain”. In this case, the Kiev junta went to just such a dull defense, wondering about her further actions and being in a knockdown. Consequently, the EU’s “mouthpiece” has nothing to say. As they say, "we will see what happens next." And that means - someone got something for their use. Someone inflicted damage “incompatible with life” to someone, and as a result of this damage, someone is at a loss. "What to do next? He, it turns out, is fighting and can go in his ear! ”As one movie character in the film“ Liquidation ”said:“ Mom! He woke up and does not want to! ”And at once the newly-minted president of all Ukraine became quite accommodating and spoke of a cease-fire this week. It's a sign! And what have Russia or Putin, it is not clear.
Such a simple comparison of some isolated facts gives an opportunity to get an idea that Heaven itself helps real fighters fighting against the junta. And also my note is about kindness. Only a pair of flowers (namely, a pair! As on the grave) is able to move the person bestowed on good deeds. GIVE TO NON-FRIENDS "FLOWERS", MY FRIENDS, AND THE WORLD WILL BE BETTER!
I apologize for a somewhat unusual style of presentation, but the Lord’s providence cannot be otherwise.
And now, rejecting the ironic tone, appeal to those who are difficult to explain (Svidomo!) Obstinacy shouts about the immediate entry of Russian troops in Ukraine. Guys, if you don’t know what is being done (and not to know, it’s a simple matter, because we don’t have the full amount of information, but we’re grinding what the media give us) for the people of Ukraine, this does not mean that NOTHING is being done! Those who lament that Russia is merging Ukraine and Putin spat on Russians in Ukraine will not prevent returning to their comments in the forums at the most dramatic moments of the Syrian epic. He himself looked in and made sure that nothing had changed - as tears were being shed about Putin’s devoted Bashar Assad, as now, but only about the militias. Maybe it's time to get crazy? And patience.
For completeness, dear friends, I offer you just such an analyst from a person, in my opinion, very knowledgeable and possessing a very significant information resource.
... Now questions about “peacekeepers”, “no-fly zone”, “betrayed”, etc., have again begun to fall.
I will try to describe how the situation may develop in the near future and why.
As in the last "assault" of Slavyansk, there were calls for the urgent entry of Russian peacekeepers, the no-fly zone, etc. Again they started an old song about "betrayed" and "a mustache was gone."
In order to prevent such “hysteria” for the future, I will try to describe how the parties will act, as well as the reasons that prompted them to do so.
Junta. They are all simple. As Kedmi has pretty well described, the junta has several "limiting factors." The factor of resources, which simply do not exist, and the time factor.
There are no resources within Ukraine. Completely Moreover, they are absent not only for war, but also for a peaceful life. Already announced “possible” financial assistance for this year does not cover even half of the “peaceful needs”. Not the fact that this money will be provided. There is a tough condition - sweep Southeast. This condition is not satisfied and does not seem to be fulfilled. Hence the conclusion — for the junta, a protracted war is death. In the literal sense of the word. Dates fall-winter, most likely. Spring - for sure.
There are actually two exits. The first "blitzkrieg" in the Donbass (which is taking place right now. The results are clearly deplorable) or drawing Russia into a war with itself. In this case, the loss of territory is not important. They are more than compensating for the “location” that the organizers of the “war” will receive from sponsors (their main task will be completed).
Hence the actions of the junta troops. As well as trends in the description of these actions by journalists. Artillery shelling is sticking out (blanks, not real shells. And they really don't feel sorry for the blanks). Single raids on peaceful cities (Lugansk, Donetsk, Slavyansk). Against this background, it is quite a significant attack on the militia positions (in the same cities).
If Russia “flinches” and introduces troops, it will be extremely difficult to “prove” the crime, given the fact that the propaganda machine of the West has already done the “primary pumping” and is only waiting for the go-ahead. Shelling "Gradami", as in Tskhinvali, there are no peaceful areas. By aviation again, single raids that "write off" either the pilots' mistake, or whatever. Howitzer artillery strikes with blanks, which means there are no mass destruction either. Everything, Russia is an aggressor, which is what the junta needs. All this is accompanied by increased pumping of the information field, which creates the effect of "panic" and "everything is gone." At the same time, in Russia, the fifth column painstakingly paints a picture of “vile betrayal” by the Russian leadership of its “brothers” in the Donbas, thereby pushing it to ill-conceived actions. Here is such a plan.
It seems that no one will actually bombard the cities with “Grads” (at this stage). Because this has already happened, and it is clear that this is a losing option. Apparently cluster bomb munitions, apparently, too. Although such "stuffing" will be. Rather, there have already been (and will be), and it is very regrettable that some people in the leadership of the DNR and the LC are engaged in such “divorces”. (I take this opportunity to appeal to them again. Organizing an information department like “Anna-News” is a primary task not only for “promoting our actions”, but also as an information resource for myself. Or, at least, working closely with them correspondents who already work there. And very quickly and efficiently).
At the same time, such actions allow the junta to gradually "play" its only trump card in this game - the heavy weapons of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Here, however, there is a question: "And what will remain of the APU at the moment when this trump card can be used to the full?" (The time factor.) Judging by yesterday's assault, the work of the heavy weapons of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is very "weak", if not more. More pressure on the psyche (here successfully). Who will replay whom in this "party" will be visible.
Southeast. Their primary tasks: restoring order in the subordinate territories; creating their own aircraft; opening borders with Russia.
All this is successfully performed. Covers the execution of these tasks garrison Strelkov. Very successful, by the way. Now we look at the prospects.
During the month, the number of soldiers of the LC and the DPR has grown by an order of magnitude (as acknowledged by the junta itself). Armament and the provision of "technical" means are incomparable with those that were a month ago. Most of the army is trained and coordinated in special camps. One-tenth of the Armed Forces actually takes part in the battles (if in numbers. However, for the time being these are the most combat-ready units. There are no shifts for them yet). In a month or two, the real "fighting" forces of the Southeast will grow by an order of magnitude (this is already obvious to everyone. Even the junta. Semyonchenko's interview will help you).
True, there is a problem. It's one thing to supply 1000 people. A completely different army of several tens of thousands. Separate caravans can not do this. Here we need "serious" delivery. But how to do it so that everything looks "beautiful" for the West. I see one way (and judging by those markers that I notice, it is being successfully implemented). Donbass should be declared a zone of humanitarian catastrophe. And to begin deliveries (train) "humanitarian" aid. Approximately 10 days ago, Lavrov said "how to cut off" that humanitarian aid would be provided in the "necessary" volume.
It is clear that some drugs here are not rolled. It is necessary that it be officially stated that there are no food products (here the volumes are oh-oh-oh). Yesterday it was done.
For the full functioning of such a "humanitarian" corridor, an open border is needed. Today a very big step has been taken in this direction. It is noteworthy that not only the control was “redeployed”, but also the frontier detachment, which by the way very often flashed in the reports a week or more ago.
Today's “rush” of the main water supply system in Slavyansk (which works not only on Slavyansk) greatly simplifies the “justification” of such a corridor. There are no bases there. The very same junta, according to a survey of local, and dropped bombs on the water. Apparently, they did not understand how much they are "unleashing the hands of" Russia. Well, they have one genocide on their mind. Fascists, what can I say.
Another very important to take control of the Donetsk railway. If you remember, such attempts have already been. And all this is hidden by such a "fog" (well, really, who now DNR can prevent it), that the idea involuntarily suggests that this section of preparations is already under the operational control of "the right people."
I think everyone already understood the plan of Russia. This is not a troop introduction or no-fly zone. This plan is called "full-scale humanitarian assistance to Donbas." It is clear that in the general flow of supplies for many millions of people, supplying the army of thousands of people with “everything necessary” to the 30-50 is already trifles. If the junta wants to prevent this by starting the bombardment, then they will simply be shot down, providing cadre of evidence from real echelons with humanitarian aid and cadres of bombardment of "these" echelons by bad Grachs. Here and the air defense umbrella will be in place. To cover the West it will be nothing.
And the liberation of Ukraine will not be Russia, but the army of New Russia. There is no doubt about it.
As you can see, the authorities of the LC and the DPR, as well as Russia, act according to a quite deliberate plan that some people really want to disrupt. I do not think that we need to help these people and plant a "panic". The laws of information war has not been canceled. Panic should only be in the camp of the enemy.
But the point here is this: until the end of the 18 century, Slavyansk was called ... hold on tight ... TOR.
Flowers for the junta