Military Review

In search of sushi: Japan is ready to support anyone who will fight with China

64



Without exaggeration, tectonic changes are taking place in the Far East: Against the backdrop of the confrontation of North Korea with Japan, Japan with China, China with the USA, the United States and Russia, new surprising alliances are emerging. Each of the players in the region has its own goals, and recently Beijing and Tokyo have been the most active: they frantically search for allies in the coming battle with each other. Russia in this conflict was between two fires - both China and Japan would like to enlist its support, and they are trying to attract Moscow to their side.

The second life of Japanese militarism

Against the background of the diplomatic revolution in the Far East, the recent speech by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe looks significant. A senior official of the Land of the Rising Sun stated the need to oppose Chinese expansion in the Pacific. According to Shinzo Abe, Japan is ready to support any state that shares the same principle. The Prime Minister believes that Russia can also be such a country.

Abe is known in his homeland as a militarist, lover of drastic measures. The Japanese ambiguously assess his role in domestic politics: in the first period of his reign, Shinzo Abe was forced to resign due to a series of corruption scandals and economic failures. After that, a ministerial leap-up began in the country, due to which the Liberal Democratic Party headed by Abe plunged into a long crisis and lost the trust of voters.

Replacing several leaders, the LDPYa was reborn. Moreover, Shinzo Abe played an important role in her recovery: oddly enough, but he, who plunged the party into the chaos of internecine confrontation, saved him with his charismatic behavior.

And the behavior of the Prime Minister deserves a separate comment. The fact is that Abe visits the Yasukuni temple and worships the souls of warriors who fought on the side of militarist Japan during the Second World War. This causes irritation both inside the Land of the Rising Sun and in neighboring Asian countries, where revisionism stories considered unacceptable. In China and South Korea, Shinzo Abe is perceived in the same way as Yarosh - in Russia: attempts to rewrite the past must be strictly stopped, especially when it comes to the rehabilitation of fascism.

Because of this, China painfully perceives the conflict with Japan. Attempts by Abe to militarize the country lead to the fact that in Beijing the confrontation with Tokyo is viewed as an echo of the Japanese-Chinese war of 1937-1945.

Shinzo Abe supports the revival of the militaristic spirit of Japan, not only in words but also in deeds. He is actively lobbying for military reform, which will allow the country's Self-Defense Forces to turn into a full-fledged army, ready to carry out tasks in any corner of the world. The Prime Minister has already ensured that the Self-Defense Forces have the authority to strike at the enemy’s external bases and come to the aid of the allies. If earlier Japan, in accordance with the constitution, had the right only to defend itself on its own territory, now the Japanese army is gradually transforming into offensive force.

Sino-Japanese War

And Japan has someone to fight beyond its borders. Tokyo officially supports Vietnam and the Philippines in their territorial disputes with China. We are talking about the separation of islands in the South China Sea, including the fate of the Spratly Islands. Japan provided the Philippines with its patrol vessels so that Manila could control the waters near the archipelago. Thus, with the support of Abin in the Far East, a new coalition is being created, directed against the Middle Kingdom.

True, Japan, in order to create an anti-Chinese military alliance, needs to reconcile sworn enemies, because the Philippines and Vietnam also compete with each other for the possession of the Spratly Islands. It is unclear how Japan will cut this Gordian knot, but it can be assumed that the Philippines will get the archipelago, and in return, Vietnam will gain control over part of the special economic zone disputed by China. This is evidenced, for example, by a sharp statement by Shinzo Abe, in which he spoke in favor of providing military assistance to Vietnam, since China recently began oil production in a disputed area of ​​the sea.

Abe also said in an interview that the situation in the South China Sea is reminiscent of the tense atmosphere that prevailed in Europe on the eve of the First World War. The prime minister compared China with the German Empire, and Japan with Great Britain.

At the same time, the forces of the conflicting parties are quite comparable. Although the population of China is over 1,35 billion people, its army has predominantly obsolete models weapons. The population of Japan reaches 130 millions of people, but huge funds are invested in its Self-Defense Forces, and, moreover, Tokyo has absolute technological superiority over Beijing. Also, 92 million Vietnam, 96 million Philippines, 23 million Taiwan, 48 million Republic of Korea may join Japan’s war against China. However, even in the best case, the anti-Chinese group will be four times less than the population in China.

A "hot" conflict between Vietnam and China is already underway. The ships of both states collide bloodless on the border of territorial waters, while Chinese riots began in Vietnamese cities. China and Vietnam already fought in 1979, and then the Celestial Empire lost: her Tanks passed through enemy territory several tens of kilometers and got stuck in the jungle. The entire offensive potential of the PLA was leveled by a complex mountain landscape and dense vegetation. A month after the start of the war, Beijing realized that there was no point in continuing the conflict, and backtracked.

Taking into account the historical experience, it is safe to say that Vietnam has a chance to cope with the Chinese army if China does not use nuclear weapons. In addition, Japan, as assured by its Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, will not stand aside, and will help the enemy of his enemy. In addition, we should expect unofficial support from Washington, which will certainly take advantage of the war to weaken China, although it will not send its troops into the open.

The contours of the anti-Chinese coalition

In addition to Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan and other states of the Far East, Japan wants to enlist the help of Russia. Although Shinzo Abe took a tough stance on the ownership of the Spratly Archipelago, he is not so categorical when it comes to the issue of the Kuril Islands. One might think that militarist Abe is ready for concessions, but this is not so: any government that refuses claims to the Kuril archipelago will automatically lose popularity in the eyes of voters and go to the dustbin of history. Therefore, concessions from the Prime Minister of Japan should not be expected, although he will certainly soften the dialogue with Moscow and, unlike his Western colleagues, will not impose restrictions on Russia.

Japan needs Russia in order to conduct a dialogue with China. Tokyo understands that it is impossible to draw Moscow to the side of the anti-Chinese alliance, but the Kremlin will at least help in maintaining a dialogue with Beijing. Russia can take advantage of this to promote its own interests in the Far East according to the principle “service for service”.

Russia's actions are beneficial to Japan. In Asia, it is necessary to preserve the balance of power based on a system of balances and checks. It is impossible for someone in the Far East to become stronger than their neighbors, be it China, Japan or the United States. Russia is already under strong pressure from the European direction; What will happen if the “second front” opens in the Asia-Pacific region? To ensure that the military-political consolidation of Asian countries did not take place, it is important that the conflict between them becomes endless, turning into a kind of cold war.
Author:
64 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. polly
    polly 30 May 2014 08: 02
    +5
    "Japan's actions are beneficial to Russia."
    A call for friendship with samurai to the peak of Beijing?
    1. tilovaykrisa
      tilovaykrisa 30 May 2014 09: 45
      +7
      In no case, the role of a translator and intermediary with the possibility of obtaining benefits for themselves from both parties, this really is very good for us.

      While reading the article I remembered a movie about the near future where huge Japanese robots smashed no less large Chinese robots for some fictional cities, a film from the 90s.
    2. Gluxar_
      Gluxar_ 30 May 2014 17: 24
      +1
      Quote: polly
      "Japan's actions are beneficial to Russia."
      A call for friendship with samurai to the peak of Beijing?

      Cheap vyser another Westerner.
      The minus article, it is surprising that there are so few of them.

      Although I personally also think that rapprochement with Japan is quite possible and profitable. However, China should be nearby. The task is very difficult, because the parties are not inclined towards peaceful reconciliation and continue to play with muscles.
      However, what is described in the article is far from the truth. Japan, unfortunately, is far from being a sovereign player in this party, but rather a US-occupied country. Japan is by no means capable of creating an anti-Chinese coalition itself, much less confronting China itself. The Japanese have no technological superiority, at least in the military sphere. As well as Vietnam is not a rival to modern China. It’s not worth giving an example of 40 years ago, because these are two different China.
      Militarily, modern China has one super trump card in front of all regional opponents. This is the missile potential of China. Today, even without the use of nuclear weapons, China is capable of destroying or causing significant damage to the industry of all neighbors in the Asia-Pacific region, without even introducing troops and tanks into their territory.
      This is a very important point. Japan can’t even close compete with China in this crucial component.
    3. Estrendor
      Estrendor 30 May 2014 22: 14
      -2
      The author does not talk about friendship with anyone. The author says that the quarrel between China and Japan is beneficial to Russia, provided that Russia turns out to be an intermediary.
    4. Akuzenka
      Akuzenka 31 May 2014 22: 34
      0
      Certainly beneficial, but not in defiance of Beijing. We just need to remember that our Motherland has only three allies, and all of them are OUR ARMY!
  2. Egor69
    Egor69 30 May 2014 08: 12
    +6
    The eternal principle, divide and rule so far no one has canceled)))
    1. Muadipus
      Muadipus 30 May 2014 14: 27
      +11
      Japanese! Do you want to?
      - An alliance with Russia?
      - The South Kuril Islands as part of Japan?
      - protection from the Chinese?
      - independence from the USA?
      - the opportunity to avenge the United States for Herosima?
      - Get energy independence?
      - Get full access to the markets of the customs union?
      - "cut through" a window to Europe?
      - every Japanese can personally tease the naked ass of Latvians?

      Japanese, you have such a chance!

      To do this, an all-Japanese referendum "On the entry of the Japanese People's Republic into the Russian Federation"

      "Give me a referendum"

      "Japan tse Russia!"
      "The Japanese and the Russians - Brothers forever!" ( Well, etc., etc. :))
      1. Muadipus
        Muadipus 30 May 2014 14: 33
        +5
        Russia and Japan do not have a peace treaty (if my memory serves me right), which means that formally we are at war. Japan just needs to conclude a pact on complete surrender with the transfer of land to the Russian Federation. Here the Americans go nuts)))))
        1. Akuzenka
          Akuzenka 31 May 2014 22: 36
          +1
          And you are right! No contract. They only discovered in Montenegro in 2004 that they were fighting.
      2. Echo
        Echo 30 May 2014 20: 43
        +1
        Rzhal aki kon.
  3. Nayhas
    Nayhas 30 May 2014 08: 16
    +14
    Somehow the author just drew everything. The place of the Republic of Korea in this case is very incomprehensible. The Koreans have their own claims to Japan, maybe they are not enemies now, but not allies for sure, and what is the point for the Koreans to fight China? It seems like Vietnam and Japan are on the side opposing China, but they are each on their own. Is an alliance possible between them? I guess, yes. The Philippines, from a military point of view, is 0 without a wand, no sense from them. The most difficult situation in Vietnam, the presence of a land border with China gives reason to worry, after all, the result of the last war is not so unambiguous, maybe the Vietnamese and good partisans, but the dermal tactics, and the PLA, have changed a lot for the better, which cannot be said about the Vietnamese army, the generation that had combat experience left, and were replaced by "children who did not know war."
    Well and the most important thing. It is foolish to demand our participation in a possible war against China, we do not have such resources, the maximum that Japan can count on is neutrality. And is it in theory already clear, why the hell should we get involved in their snot?
    1. Evkur
      Evkur 30 May 2014 12: 33
      0
      +1 - I painted everything correctly
    2. Very smart
      Very smart 30 May 2014 12: 57
      +3
      Nayhas Somehow the author very simply painted everything.
      The author is absolutely right - respect for the article.
      The contradictions in the AT region have been accumulating for a long time, there are many players there, but the most serious are Japan and China. About this and the article. Vietnam, Korea (one and the other), Indonesia, the Philippines, etc. - all had questions to their neighbors when they began to divide economic zones. Previously, they did not pay attention to some seedy islet, especially since there are thousands of them, and how the water area of ​​several tens or hundreds of miles began to be attached to it - it went! And how they were able to drill on the shelf and found oil - it started! And then it will only get worse. Japan was not in vain beginning to suck up to the Russian Federation - against China's gut is thin. However, the agreement with the Russian Federation does not sign and does not refuse claims on the islands. So we need to calmly help in the negotiations and sit quietly. Let them knock their foreheads. We, as in a Chinese fairy tale, will sit out on the mountain, go down to the end of the showdown and add the rest.
      Another question is bewildering - all these territorial conflicts slowly smoldered for many years, and as soon as Shalash Obama paid a visit to the region, it began! Well, what a bastard nation of Americans! Around shit.
    3. VeteranS
      VeteranS 30 May 2014 17: 11
      +2
      "The East is a delicate matter ..." My nephew has been working in South Korea for more than ten years, and more than once told how coldly or latently hostile the authorities and ordinary citizens are towards Japan and its citizens working in South Korea, they still consider the descendants of the invaders .... Although South Korea has an agreement with the United States, like Japan, on military and technical cooperation.
      Russia has a wide choice in determining foreign and domestic policy in the Far East. We have very good relations with China, with Japan, normal trade and economic relations, as well as with the two Koreas and Vietnam! Lavrov has already outplayed the American impudent "Pskakov" democracy here. !
  4. Rostovchanin
    Rostovchanin 30 May 2014 08: 20
    +5
    by the way the next psaka in this subject
    WASHINGTON, May 30 - RIA Novosti, Alexey Bogdanovsky. US State Department spokesman Jen Psaki urged China to avoid tensions over an incident with a Japanese aircraft in China's air defense zone.

    Earlier, the Ministry of Defense of Japan said that Chinese-made Su-27 aircraft of Russian production flew a dangerous distance of 30-50 meters to the Japanese YS-11 aircraft in the area where the air defense zones declared by the two countries intersect. China, for its part, said that the Japanese military had previously allowed themselves such maneuvers.

    “We have seen reports of Chinese and Japanese aircraft getting very close to each other in the area where the air defense zones of both countries intersect. We urge all countries to respect the safety of aircraft during the flight,” said Psaki.

    "Any attempt to interfere with freedom of flight in international airspace increases regional tensions and the risk of miscalculations, confrontation and unintentional incidents. We do not accept China's declared air defense zone over the South China Sea and urge China not to implement measures to maintain this zone," she added State Department Representative.

    She also encouraged China to work on confidence-building measures with other countries in the region, including establishing emergency communication channels with other countries' military in case of incidents.

    RIA Novosti http://ria.ru/world/20140530/1009941843.html#ixzz33AYjXg5g
  5. vladsolo56
    vladsolo56 30 May 2014 08: 23
    +9
    Japan still does not want to sign a peace treaty, therefore, counting on positive on its part is stupid. Anti-Russian sentiments in Japanese politics do not even intend to cool down. At this stage, we have no alternative to a commonwealth with China.
    1. Nayhas
      Nayhas 30 May 2014 09: 39
      -5
      Quote: vladsolo56
      Anti-Russian sentiment in Japanese politics does not even intend to cool down

      Come on, the Japanese have always been nice to Russians. And the people are pretty friendly. And by the way, they don’t have such ambition as the Chinese ...
      1. teron
        teron 30 May 2014 10: 12
        +7
        The Japanese did not treat anyone well; they do not have such a habit. The surrounding nations are considered barbaric (including us and the Chinese). Given the mentality of the people and their strange habits, the people are completely alien to us. Looking at the Japanese, you understand sharply how Russian-Europeans are.
        1. Nayhas
          Nayhas 30 May 2014 11: 55
          0
          Quote: teron
          The Japanese did not treat anyone well; they do not have such a habit. The surrounding nations are considered barbaric (including us and the Chinese). Given the mentality of the people and their strange habits, the people are completely alien to us. Looking at the Japanese, you understand sharply how Russian-Europeans are.

          I somehow didn’t notice when communicating with the Japanese.
          1. smile
            smile 30 May 2014 17: 12
            +2
            Nayhas
            And you did not notice that they, among other things, are very secretive and often try not to show their true emotions? Well, maybe they’ll break out on a binge, or their absolutely crazy youngsters ... In addition, the concept of politeness is not an empty phrase for them, therefore they will be rude in extremely rare cases, and claims are perceived as rudeness. The Japanese advised me not to believe sincere smiles, bows and deliberate politeness of their compatriots. :)))
            Of course, at the same time, I’m not going to say that they are all bad and they hate us without exception. On the contrary, there are a lot of people in love with Russian culture who understand it an order of magnitude better than, for example, me ... and nonetheless ...
            1. GradusHuK
              GradusHuK 30 May 2014 17: 34
              +1
              If they kill, it is very polite and very culturally quoting RUSSIAN CLASSICS.
              1. smile
                smile 30 May 2014 22: 42
                0
                GradusHuK
                :))) Well, you are a visionary! My friend told me something like this, only she added something like that - constantly apologizing and not forgetting to bow ... :)))
      2. dmitry21
        dmitry21 30 May 2014 11: 32
        0
        well, the races are different ...
        where does this information come from?
        1. teron
          teron 30 May 2014 19: 20
          0
          That's right, we are VERY different. And yes, I also talked with the Japanese - at work and in English, polite, smiling people. Although, maybe I am somehow one-sidedly familiar with the ancient, original culture? True, during their Second World War they did not repent. They say remorse is alien to the representatives of the land of the rising sun? Or am I confusing something?
      3. vladsolo56
        vladsolo56 30 May 2014 12: 03
        0
        Here are some interesting people. we are talking about politics, and they are about ordinary people, but these are like two different worlds.
      4. Isum
        Isum 31 May 2014 02: 22
        +1
        I live in the Far East, and I want to say that the Japanese "detachment 731" is well remembered here. Having got acquainted with the activities of this detachment, one can be convinced that the Japanese have problems with the concept of humanity and humanity!
  6. Angro Magno
    Angro Magno 30 May 2014 08: 27
    +1
    If this is their position, let them prepare Russia for the war with China.
    As evidence of good intentions, for a start it would be worth shutting up about our islands.
  7. silberwolf88
    silberwolf88 30 May 2014 08: 45
    +8
    I frankly don't give a damn about the troubles and aspirations of Japan and the Japanese ... for centuries they have sowed discord and destruction in the region ... they killed and robbed ...
    It will be quite fair ... if the boomerang comes back and hits Japan ... according to their interests.
  8. Selevc
    Selevc 30 May 2014 08: 50
    +2
    Eh - it's time for Russia to show some warriors "Kuz'kina's mother" again - about 100 megatons of commercials ... Otherwise, in my opinion, Americans and Japs have joint failures in the people's memory ...
  9. Ram chandra
    Ram chandra 30 May 2014 09: 35
    0
    It would be interesting to see their mahach ..
  10. Mother Theresa
    Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 09: 41
    -3
    And what's worse is China or Japan.
    Japan claims the islands and the floor of Sakhalin.
    China to the entire Far East all the way to Lake Baikal, although for now in the form of maps and statements by historians and journalists, but everything can change, politicians can easily join them.
    Japan does not possess nuclear weapons.
    China possesses and is constantly building up and improving it.
    Japan does not have so much cannon fodder.
    China will drown anyone in the blood of its own soldiers.
    For the Japanese, the word honor is not an empty phrase.
    For the Chinese, there is no such thing, the benefit is the principle of the Chinese is enough to recall Mao.
    The list can still be continued and continued, and all is not in favor of China.
    1. Evkur
      Evkur 30 May 2014 12: 38
      -5
      Japan possesses nuclear weapons and he has the most modern - they can carry them in a backpack !!! there are such technologies - mom do not worry !!!
      1. Tolerast
        Tolerast 30 May 2014 16: 49
        0
        The owner will not allow them stop
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. Mother Theresa
      Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 13: 38
      +1
      Put the cons further, but indicate what am I wrong?
      I have not heard anything about Japanese nuclear weapons and their delivery vehicles.
      Versions about backpacks and suitcases from the arsenal of books about spies.
    4. Tolerast
      Tolerast 30 May 2014 14: 24
      0
      In my opinion, you are wrong. Russia is currently not dangerous either China or Japan. The first needs resources, not territories and even more problems than even ours. In addition, he is very vulnerable. The second is not a fully independent state in foreign policy, does not have a significant number of offensive weapons (prohibited by the constitution), and is also extremely vulnerable.
      PS Negative is not the case. Need to discuss. Catch a plus.
      1. Mother Theresa
        Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 14: 59
        0
        The meaning of my comment is that China is more dangerous as a possible partner.
        He is more patient, able to hide his goals, more unprincipled (although in politics all are). He is more ambitious than his claims can not be compared with the claims of Japan. Recently, there was information that China has joined part of the territory of Tajikistan in the Pamirs. And this is the sphere of influence of Russia, the territory of the former USSR. China is an unreliable ally, unlike Japan. And the complex of resentment over the years of national humiliation makes itself felt, not only among ordinary people but also among politicians.
        P.S. Thanks for the plus.
      2. Mother Theresa
        Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 14: 59
        0
        The meaning of my comment is that China is more dangerous as a possible partner.
        He is more patient, able to hide his goals, more unprincipled (although in politics all are). He is more ambitious than his claims can not be compared with the claims of Japan. Recently, there was information that China has joined part of the territory of Tajikistan in the Pamirs. And this is the sphere of influence of Russia, the territory of the former USSR. China is an unreliable ally, unlike Japan. And the complex of resentment over the years of national humiliation makes itself felt, not only among ordinary people but also among politicians.
        P.S. Thanks for the plus.
        1. Mother Theresa
          Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 15: 23
          +1
          yes that they are duplicated, what nonsense !!!
        2. The comment was deleted.
  11. N-FORCER
    N-FORCER 30 May 2014 10: 17
    0
    Does Japan have an army? Or am I behind the times?
    1. chunga-changa
      chunga-changa 30 May 2014 11: 00
      +2
      Lagging behind. The population of Japan is the same as in Russia. Industrial potential is higher. The Japanese fleet surpasses the KTOF every 10 times. Tanks produce their own, not very bad, American planes, which are slightly outdated. If desired, and it suddenly appeared a couple of months ago, they will put up the same army as Russia. Only all of it will be in the Far East, and in our country most of it guards the western frontiers. In general, everything is like in 1904. The only thing we have is nuclear weapons, everything rests on it.
    2. Tolerast
      Tolerast 30 May 2014 12: 09
      0
      Self-Defense Forces. A relatively small, well-equipped and trained army. First-class fleet, the second most powerful in the Pacific after the mattress. It is a modern air force. Plus tremendous economic power. Plus Big Amer brother behind.
  12. Sigismund
    Sigismund 30 May 2014 10: 37
    +1
    It’s clear that there are no friends in politics. There are partners. But ignoring the historical factor, it’s a little silly. I have nothing against the Japanese, they are even nice to me. But historically and geographically, China was closer to us.
  13. chenia
    chenia 30 May 2014 10: 52
    +2
    Quote: Mother Teresa
    And what's worse is China or Japan.
    Japan claims the islands and the floor of Sakhalin.
    China to the whole Far East all the way to Lake Baikal,



    The expansion of China to the Southeast is obvious. The prospect of a serious economic conflict between China and the United States is inevitable. Hence, China is wholly interested in extremely good relations with Russia (and the rear is covered and receives resources, and the country does not give in to external influence).

    Russia needs to somehow get Vietnam out of the attack (we need Kamran). And there, let them figure it out themselves.

    And to be an intermediary is a sweet deal - a bunch of devidents (the United States will definitely not play such a role as an interested person). And all this seriously and for a long time (there will be time to strengthen the Far East).
    1. Tolerast
      Tolerast 30 May 2014 12: 20
      0
      Yes, you're just smart! And then all around, one whale. They still don’t understand how China has not populated and swallowed our Far East over the past 20 years. what But they won’t stop waiting! That's stubborn tongue Catch a plus!
      1. Mother Theresa
        Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 13: 24
        0
        And where is the most important thing for China to rush, why is it waiting for the fruit to ripen and fall into its own hands.
        1. Tolerast
          Tolerast 30 May 2014 14: 28
          0
          So they are waiting. Already 3000 years it will be. Everyone is going to the North.
          1. Mother Theresa
            Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 14: 38
            0
            Then look where is the great wall and where are the borders of China now? China captured East Turkestan, assimilated (captured) Manchuria, captured Mongolia which was able to achieve independence only during the period of China's weakness. China captured Korea but could not hold it. On the face of the desire to the north and west, and not to the southeast.
            1. Tolerast
              Tolerast 30 May 2014 19: 17
              0
              They will get everything from the North and the West. For money. There is no reason for them to risk their tail. And in the South there is a lot of easy tasty and weak prey. As soon as the Big Mattress’s brother recovers, everything that they need to wring out from their neighbors is Chinese. But they won’t conquer anyone. In the sense of airplanes and missiles.
          2. The comment was deleted.
      2. Mother Theresa
        Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 13: 24
        0
        And where is the most important thing for China to rush, why is it waiting for the fruit to ripen and fall into its own hands.
    2. Mother Theresa
      Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 13: 22
      0
      And where to rush to China? He is patient and waits for the Far East to fall into his hands like a ripe fruit.
    3. The comment was deleted.
    4. Very smart
      Very smart 30 May 2014 15: 19
      0
      chenia
      There has been talk about Camran for about 5 years, and things are still there. Vietnamese friends include a fool. The base is really needed. Location is good. But, it seems to me, a guideline has been adopted that there will be no bases, but there will be support points. And what it is is really unknown. Although, maybe I missed. One seems to be in Syria. So the Vietnamese are on their minds, and only troubles with China can move them to solve this issue. They have a land border. The Chinese collective farm can trample all the jungle. There will be no partisan.
      Well, China is a great power, whatever one may say. They have before the people .... a lot. The mentality is very nasty. But we are no longer friends with us against the Americans in that region.
  14. mig31
    mig31 30 May 2014 10: 52
    0
    The interests of Russia above all !!! The time passed for Sorge, we can and should monitor the samurai, from the Far Russia is conceived and protect our borders to us ...
  15. Standard Oil
    Standard Oil 30 May 2014 11: 13
    +1
    I didn't understand from the article how the Japanese can resist the Chinese, then? Russia will definitely not help them, South Korea is shackled by North Korea, Vietnam is incapable of attacking, so what will the Japanese do? Even if the Americans send some kind of help? How to resist the army whose strength almost the entire population of Japan? You can only win if you strike first and constantly attack, but surely the PLA first of all expects a strike from the Japanese, and even if the concentration of Japanese troops "suddenly" eludes the Chinese GRU, you need to land, gain a foothold , to keep the bridgehead from massive attacks and then attack, even the samurai spirit will not help here, and he has "weathered" a bit. No, a gamble in my opinion, and what are the Japanese trying to achieve?
  16. antikilller55
    antikilller55 30 May 2014 11: 23
    +2
    Sorry, but how can we be an ally of Japan if we are at war (legally), and this is important and says a lot not in favor of Tokyo, especially since they are friends with America. Yes and
    Now in our country there are so many Chinese that they can put together an army if they want, and then there is a gas contract, we have no way with Japan.
  17. Greenhorn
    Greenhorn 30 May 2014 11: 41
    +1
    They (Japan) are simply equated with the ocean by nuclear strikes. A very convenient target is far away and you can’t hook your own.
  18. Dan Slav
    Dan Slav 30 May 2014 12: 09
    +1
    With Japan, we do not even have a peace treaty.
    That is, if you bomb Japan, it can do it even without declaring war. )))
    Do not go there is not worth it! Let them understand. We will wait until the corpse of the enemy swims past us.
  19. Mother Theresa
    Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 13: 48
    0
    Quote: chenia
    Quote: Mother Teresa
    And what's worse is China or Japan.
    Japan claims the islands and the floor of Sakhalin.
    China to the whole Far East all the way to Lake Baikal,



    The expansion of China to the Southeast is obvious. The prospect of a serious economic conflict between China and the United States is inevitable. Hence, China is wholly interested in extremely good relations with Russia (and the rear is covered and receives resources, and the country does not give in to external influence).

    Russia needs to somehow get Vietnam out of the attack (we need Kamran). And there, let them figure it out themselves.

    And to be an intermediary is a sweet deal - a bunch of devidents (the United States will definitely not play such a role as an interested person). And all this seriously and for a long time (there will be time to strengthen the Far East).


    And to whom is this expansion obvious? Throughout its thousand-year history, China has not moved much south-east. The biggest conquests of China in the West of Dzungaria and in the north of Manchuria see how China moved north relative to the great wall.
    And when in the history of Russia was it possible to pit competitors into war and at the same time stay away? This was possible only for Stalin and all the same then it turned into a difficult war.
    1. Tolerast
      Tolerast 30 May 2014 14: 33
      +1
      My friend, it was the warlike Manchus who themselves captured the giant China and attached it to their Qing. And the Chinese have been sitting on the pope for thousands of years.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Mother Theresa
        Mother Theresa 30 May 2014 15: 25
        0
        And in the end, the warlike Manchus assimilated, turned into Chinese, so this is a question of who conquered whom.
  20. Lion
    Lion 30 May 2014 16: 13
    0
    But after the sale by Russia to China of the Su-35 and S-400 ................ what will happen? Russia relied on China. And so that everything is under control, pipes will go to Korea and Japan. And Russia will be above all this, keep order, and unite everyone through profitable trade !!! Putin will do everything for this. And there will be peace in the Asia-Pacific region.
  21. capex1
    capex1 30 May 2014 17: 57
    +1
    China and Russia are an explosive mixture that is too tough for either NATO, or America, and especially Japan. To say that Russia will go against its strategic neighbor is at least ridiculous. Japan, as always, wants to solve its problem by the hands of Russia, but as they say in the Kremlin, it is not Yeltsin who has been sitting there for a long time, who was ready to give all the Kuril Islands with the Far East to the bargain, only the West will like it. Putin knows a lot about friendship and, most importantly, benefits his country. And in the end, this notorious Ukrainian crisis showed who is our friend and who is the enemy!
  22. Repty
    Repty 30 May 2014 18: 08
    +2
    “Japan could buy Russian gas much cheaper if a similar deal was concluded - if, of course, a gas pipeline was built. Russia will also benefit from such a project, said Osamu Fujisawa, an independent energy economist from Tokyo. - Russia seeks to expand its market. She has already made a deal with China, and Japan is next in line. Then Russia will not have to rely on Europe, which in the conditions of the crisis in Ukraine is trying to reduce its dependence on gas supplies from Russia. ”

    Japan is the world's largest importer of LNG. According to the Ministry of Finance, in 2013, the country bought 87,49 tons of fuel. 9,8% of all gas is imported from Russia - this is the fourth largest Japanese supplier after Australia, Qatar and Malaysia.

    It is necessary to build a pipeline to Japan. Then Merkel, Hollande, Rasmussen, etc. they rub a cleft between the buttocks with petroleum jelly and amicably lined up at the Spassky Gate of the Kremlin ...
  23. Repty
    Repty 30 May 2014 18: 49
    +1
    “Japan could buy Russian gas much cheaper if a similar deal was concluded - if, of course, a gas pipeline was built. Russia will also benefit from such a project, said Osamu Fujisawa, an independent energy economist from Tokyo. - Russia seeks to expand its market. She has already made a deal with China, and Japan is next in line. Then Russia will not have to rely on Europe, which in the conditions of the crisis in Ukraine is trying to reduce its dependence on gas supplies from Russia. ”

    Japan is the world's largest importer of LNG. According to the Ministry of Finance, in 2013, the country bought 87,49 tons of fuel. 9,8% of all gas is imported from Russia - this is the fourth largest Japanese supplier after Australia, Qatar and Malaysia.

    It is necessary to build a pipeline to Japan. Then Merkel, Hollande, Rasmussen, etc. they rub a cleft between the buttocks with petroleum jelly and amicably lined up at the Spassky Gate of the Kremlin ...
    1. Tolerast
      Tolerast 30 May 2014 19: 11
      0
      There will be a Nippon gas pipeline, do not even hesitate bully But not in the next five years.
      PS What are they all duplicating here? First, Mother Teresa, now respected Che? Young liberals are already doubling in their eyes wassatI don’t know which of the Comandante plus to put what Both had to drinks
      1. Mother Theresa
        Mother Theresa 31 May 2014 18: 49
        0
        He got into the liberals recorded.
  24. chenia
    chenia 30 May 2014 21: 02
    +1
    Quote: Mother Teresa
    And to whom is this expansion obvious?


    Territorial claims of China (moreover, a gypsy with an exit), Victory Day over Japan (In the future, the demand for material compensation - for 30 million people). This is when you bend a competitor, and he still pays for pleasure. Unification with Taiwan (and this will happen).
    And political and economic dominance in the region. And there would be if not allies, then at least a sanitary cordon. And most importantly, that the main economic competitor (USA) would not smell nearby.

    China understands that it is the No. 1 goal for the United States. Can you imagine what it means to lose the economic race for the United States (and they will lose it if China does not bump into a worthy adversary who will thoroughly weaken it - and this can only be Russia)?

    Does China need this? He will be the best friend with Russia, and digest her guts (I’m not going to idealize them), as they did with the conquerors


    Quote: Mother Teresa
    And when in the history of Russia managed to pit
    competitors in the war and at the same time stay away?


    It's time to learn. I said while China is engaged in the Southeast, to stand above the battle (the US will definitely be pulled in there, it means they will be more accommodating in Europe) and strengthen Transbaikalia and the Far East.
  25. Theton.
    Theton. 31 May 2014 08: 25
    0
    I have long had this thought. I think why Tokyo and not Japanese for example))))