About the future of Donbass. What should be done so that a military victory is not in vain
Hello, friends!
Against the background of the general euphoria of the referendum held in the Donbas, successful actions of the Donbass army and other slogans and positive, I want to add a little tar to this already sweet-smelling barrel of honey, and also drop some super optimists from heaven to the sinful earth.
So what do we have? And we have two state, however, no one recognized education, which are in a state of rather hot war. Yes, we must pay tribute, they can fight, at least against the so-called Ukrainian troops. Moreover, these guys even managed to hold a referendum, despite all the opposition from all sides. So, what else do we have? ...
Yes nichrome, absolutely not a damn. Is there a clear power? Not. Like someone is prescribed there every day, they talk about something, they chant something, but the authorities do not. The Bolotovs, the Gubarevs, the Strelkovs, who else is there, did they at least make one government decision? Minimum, state borders, at least on the map outlined? And at least pegs stuck there? Nah And what kind of state without a state border, think for yourself?
Go ahead. Do these guys have a financial system? What currency are they going to use? Hryvnia - the currency of the country with which they wage war? Interestingly, I imagine how the USSR in the 1941-1945 uses Reichsmarks. But Kiev understands this perfectly well, and therefore the National Bank of Ukraine, as far as I know, stopped its work in the Donbas. What's next? There is no state regulator, which means that other banks can do what they want, or rather, what they will be ordered by their state regulators. The National Bank of Ukraine will say to cut off the flow of the hryvnia to the region and that's it, welcome to the natural economy, I mean in ancient times, like Zimbabwe. Some optimists are screaming about getting away with the ruble. But, really, these sofa economists forget that they overslept or skipped classes in economics, and did not read economics books themselves. Therefore, they do not know that a ruble can be avoided only if the Central Bank of Russia, at the suggestion of the Russian government, allows them to build a dependent structure, from the Central Bank (or build its branch, which is unacceptable), which will act as a state regulator of financial flows with limited right emissions. Difficult, yes? Well, nothing, all these words can otguglit and something like to compare, it will be clearer. But simply put, Russia will not do this in relation to the unrecognized state, which means, again, welcome to the subsistence economy. It would be nice to remember how at the beginning of 90's wages were issued with bolts, heaters and other manufactured goods. Hence the conclusion - you need to create your own state bank, which will solve all these issues. The truth is not clear what to provide your currency, so that it does not become karbovanetsi times 90-x or Kerenki. But this, by the way, is the simplest question in economics. More importantly, according to what rules will this state bank work? After all, there is no law.
We turn to the next topic, which is closely related to the previous one. I honestly do not know what ministries and departments are in the DPR, but I do know for sure that there is a Foreign Ministry headed by Katya Gubareva. But tell me, friends, what kind of diplomatic success has this Foreign Ministry achieved, except for having written several witty press releases in the FB? This is not the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, this is some kind of press service. Where are the negotiations with the same Russia and Belarus? Where are the international agreements, but at least with the DPRK? What does this ministry do? After all, it is on his shoulders that there should be talks on gas, on the Central Bank and other points, but instead there are photos of VKontakte, tweets and other trash.
I have a suspicion that here it is, the Internet generation has gotten to power, but does not know what to do. Of course, the forerunner of the Internet generation in big politics was the ever-awake non-Dimon, but he had great management experience behind him and very serious professionals supported him, and from this generation he was alone there. Immediately almost everything. How did it happen? It is necessary to understand that politics is not tanchiki and not a forge of empires, they are living people who will imprison you if you make them starve. Even stupid Yatsenyuk with the Turchinovs (who, in fact, are not head and orders of magnitude higher than the leadership of the DPR understand the processes and management), as we see, they manage to gain support, get loans, create inside and outwardly economic ties and much more. Immediately it turns out that, they say, the referendum was held and everything, then everything will go on itself, get better and everyone will live happily. Fuck it, comrades, it does not happen. The referendum is only the first step in an endless way. This, speaking in a language that you can understand, is only registration in the game, and not at the simplest level, with tutorials, hints and other things, but rather serious. Not on hard, of course, only Russia plays on it and the United States plays, but nonetheless. And now we need to develop very quickly, solve a bunch of tasks and all that jazz. For example, I will tell you that no one seemed to be laughing at the State Duma of the Russian Federation, but even now, in a state with a formed legislative and legal basis, hundreds of draft laws are submitted daily for consideration in the Duma and dozens are accepted. In the DPR, there are no laws at all and they need to sit there around the clock and adopt them, work them out, discuss and adopt them, otherwise they will collapse. This is not a toy, where I clicked the mouse and everything went, then you have to work and work a lot. Well, okay, here, let him guys realize the truth about what it is to be a politician.
And if I started about the laws, I can not say a few words about Akhmetov. As if someone did not belong to him, but there is one fact - he is not a fool. And when he spoke his vision of the development of events, he was not so wrong, because he clearly sees that five days after the referendum nothing had changed, only the slogans had become more. Naturally, they all snapped up on him, they said that he should pay taxes to the budget of the DPR, and some journalist said that he either pays or will not be in the Donbas. Renat rightly sent everyone to hell, because there are no laws, there is no tax, there are no conditions for business, and it is not clear what payment to pay in any currency. So, what is next? Nothing, because in order to nationalize his enterprises, again, a law is needed, otherwise the authorities of the DPR will simply turn into gangsters who, in lawlessness, squeeze business from respected entrepreneurs and no one will recognize them, and even Russia will not help, because to move the gangs - moveton . And Akhmetov understands this, in contrast to the newly-minted authorities of the DPR.
So, as I said a month ago, when I tried to go to the leadership of the then informal DNR, in order to offer my help, I repeat again: DNI, UNTIL LATE, LOOK FOR PROFESSIONALS, AND ELSE WAIT FOR A FAST AND UNINQUISABLE CRASH, WITH ALL OVERCOMING!
Phew ... I could still continue in the same vein for a long time, but, apparently, I have already tired you, and indeed, who needs this boring honor, it’s better to look at the video about the Donbass army, everything is beautiful and positive there .
Against the background of the general euphoria of the referendum held in the Donbas, successful actions of the Donbass army and other slogans and positive, I want to add a little tar to this already sweet-smelling barrel of honey, and also drop some super optimists from heaven to the sinful earth.
So what do we have? And we have two state, however, no one recognized education, which are in a state of rather hot war. Yes, we must pay tribute, they can fight, at least against the so-called Ukrainian troops. Moreover, these guys even managed to hold a referendum, despite all the opposition from all sides. So, what else do we have? ...
Yes nichrome, absolutely not a damn. Is there a clear power? Not. Like someone is prescribed there every day, they talk about something, they chant something, but the authorities do not. The Bolotovs, the Gubarevs, the Strelkovs, who else is there, did they at least make one government decision? Minimum, state borders, at least on the map outlined? And at least pegs stuck there? Nah And what kind of state without a state border, think for yourself?
Go ahead. Do these guys have a financial system? What currency are they going to use? Hryvnia - the currency of the country with which they wage war? Interestingly, I imagine how the USSR in the 1941-1945 uses Reichsmarks. But Kiev understands this perfectly well, and therefore the National Bank of Ukraine, as far as I know, stopped its work in the Donbas. What's next? There is no state regulator, which means that other banks can do what they want, or rather, what they will be ordered by their state regulators. The National Bank of Ukraine will say to cut off the flow of the hryvnia to the region and that's it, welcome to the natural economy, I mean in ancient times, like Zimbabwe. Some optimists are screaming about getting away with the ruble. But, really, these sofa economists forget that they overslept or skipped classes in economics, and did not read economics books themselves. Therefore, they do not know that a ruble can be avoided only if the Central Bank of Russia, at the suggestion of the Russian government, allows them to build a dependent structure, from the Central Bank (or build its branch, which is unacceptable), which will act as a state regulator of financial flows with limited right emissions. Difficult, yes? Well, nothing, all these words can otguglit and something like to compare, it will be clearer. But simply put, Russia will not do this in relation to the unrecognized state, which means, again, welcome to the subsistence economy. It would be nice to remember how at the beginning of 90's wages were issued with bolts, heaters and other manufactured goods. Hence the conclusion - you need to create your own state bank, which will solve all these issues. The truth is not clear what to provide your currency, so that it does not become karbovanetsi times 90-x or Kerenki. But this, by the way, is the simplest question in economics. More importantly, according to what rules will this state bank work? After all, there is no law.
We turn to the next topic, which is closely related to the previous one. I honestly do not know what ministries and departments are in the DPR, but I do know for sure that there is a Foreign Ministry headed by Katya Gubareva. But tell me, friends, what kind of diplomatic success has this Foreign Ministry achieved, except for having written several witty press releases in the FB? This is not the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, this is some kind of press service. Where are the negotiations with the same Russia and Belarus? Where are the international agreements, but at least with the DPRK? What does this ministry do? After all, it is on his shoulders that there should be talks on gas, on the Central Bank and other points, but instead there are photos of VKontakte, tweets and other trash.
I have a suspicion that here it is, the Internet generation has gotten to power, but does not know what to do. Of course, the forerunner of the Internet generation in big politics was the ever-awake non-Dimon, but he had great management experience behind him and very serious professionals supported him, and from this generation he was alone there. Immediately almost everything. How did it happen? It is necessary to understand that politics is not tanchiki and not a forge of empires, they are living people who will imprison you if you make them starve. Even stupid Yatsenyuk with the Turchinovs (who, in fact, are not head and orders of magnitude higher than the leadership of the DPR understand the processes and management), as we see, they manage to gain support, get loans, create inside and outwardly economic ties and much more. Immediately it turns out that, they say, the referendum was held and everything, then everything will go on itself, get better and everyone will live happily. Fuck it, comrades, it does not happen. The referendum is only the first step in an endless way. This, speaking in a language that you can understand, is only registration in the game, and not at the simplest level, with tutorials, hints and other things, but rather serious. Not on hard, of course, only Russia plays on it and the United States plays, but nonetheless. And now we need to develop very quickly, solve a bunch of tasks and all that jazz. For example, I will tell you that no one seemed to be laughing at the State Duma of the Russian Federation, but even now, in a state with a formed legislative and legal basis, hundreds of draft laws are submitted daily for consideration in the Duma and dozens are accepted. In the DPR, there are no laws at all and they need to sit there around the clock and adopt them, work them out, discuss and adopt them, otherwise they will collapse. This is not a toy, where I clicked the mouse and everything went, then you have to work and work a lot. Well, okay, here, let him guys realize the truth about what it is to be a politician.
And if I started about the laws, I can not say a few words about Akhmetov. As if someone did not belong to him, but there is one fact - he is not a fool. And when he spoke his vision of the development of events, he was not so wrong, because he clearly sees that five days after the referendum nothing had changed, only the slogans had become more. Naturally, they all snapped up on him, they said that he should pay taxes to the budget of the DPR, and some journalist said that he either pays or will not be in the Donbas. Renat rightly sent everyone to hell, because there are no laws, there is no tax, there are no conditions for business, and it is not clear what payment to pay in any currency. So, what is next? Nothing, because in order to nationalize his enterprises, again, a law is needed, otherwise the authorities of the DPR will simply turn into gangsters who, in lawlessness, squeeze business from respected entrepreneurs and no one will recognize them, and even Russia will not help, because to move the gangs - moveton . And Akhmetov understands this, in contrast to the newly-minted authorities of the DPR.
So, as I said a month ago, when I tried to go to the leadership of the then informal DNR, in order to offer my help, I repeat again: DNI, UNTIL LATE, LOOK FOR PROFESSIONALS, AND ELSE WAIT FOR A FAST AND UNINQUISABLE CRASH, WITH ALL OVERCOMING!
Phew ... I could still continue in the same vein for a long time, but, apparently, I have already tired you, and indeed, who needs this boring honor, it’s better to look at the video about the Donbass army, everything is beautiful and positive there .
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