Storms are still coming. Causes of calm in the emerging Novorossia
The south and east of the former Ukraine are now not only in a different legal status, but also in a different actual state. Therefore, a lull in these regions is due to various reasons.
The lull in the relatively passive south is primarily due to the fact that Kiev had to concentrate the bulk of its combat-ready militants in the openly resisting east. In addition, those who stayed in the south (mainly in Odessa) have already done so much for intimidation (remember, at least, a massacre in the Odessa Trade Union House) that they are forced to stop, because now they risk further their activities in this direction rather embitter the people before the explosion, than to achieve complete submission.
As for the actions of the militants in the east, the hottest heads there, it seems, have cooled the ambush near the Kramatorsk Donetsk region. Even the Kiev revolutionaries themselves were forced to admit the loss of seven people there. Judging by how much military equipment is lost, the Donbass is really free from the presence of a noticeably larger number of bandits.
Moreover, the leaders of Donbass themselves rightly noted: now, after the success of the referendum, they have the moral right not only to defend themselves, but also to attack. Consequently, in the near future, the militants will face not isolated checkpoints and practically unarmed citizens, but already well-organized and coordinated resistance. But practically everyone who fights out of greed or from politically misconceptions is ready to kill, but not to die. Accordingly, in the near future, the militants will either try to accumulate absolutely superior forces (which is almost impossible: the mobilization potential of the Donbass facing the threat to their lives is much greater than the number of Ukrainianization fanatics), or (which, in my opinion, is incomparably more likely) will find ways to escape from this the region, while it is still possible to do it with your own feet, not feet first.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the accomplices of the Kiev coup d'état will be able to accumulate really superior forces in some direction and kill some more civilians, but I do not think that this will last for long. Most likely, in the near future, the lull will be replaced by the complete liberation of the east of Ukraine from these criminals. And then, I hope, the east will find a way to support the liberation of my native south.
The lull in the relatively passive south is primarily due to the fact that Kiev had to concentrate the bulk of its combat-ready militants in the openly resisting east. In addition, those who stayed in the south (mainly in Odessa) have already done so much for intimidation (remember, at least, a massacre in the Odessa Trade Union House) that they are forced to stop, because now they risk further their activities in this direction rather embitter the people before the explosion, than to achieve complete submission.
As for the actions of the militants in the east, the hottest heads there, it seems, have cooled the ambush near the Kramatorsk Donetsk region. Even the Kiev revolutionaries themselves were forced to admit the loss of seven people there. Judging by how much military equipment is lost, the Donbass is really free from the presence of a noticeably larger number of bandits.
Moreover, the leaders of Donbass themselves rightly noted: now, after the success of the referendum, they have the moral right not only to defend themselves, but also to attack. Consequently, in the near future, the militants will face not isolated checkpoints and practically unarmed citizens, but already well-organized and coordinated resistance. But practically everyone who fights out of greed or from politically misconceptions is ready to kill, but not to die. Accordingly, in the near future, the militants will either try to accumulate absolutely superior forces (which is almost impossible: the mobilization potential of the Donbass facing the threat to their lives is much greater than the number of Ukrainianization fanatics), or (which, in my opinion, is incomparably more likely) will find ways to escape from this the region, while it is still possible to do it with your own feet, not feet first.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the accomplices of the Kiev coup d'état will be able to accumulate really superior forces in some direction and kill some more civilians, but I do not think that this will last for long. Most likely, in the near future, the lull will be replaced by the complete liberation of the east of Ukraine from these criminals. And then, I hope, the east will find a way to support the liberation of my native south.
- Anatoly Vasserman
- http://www.odnako.org/blogs/buri-eshchyo-predstoyat-prichini-zatishya-v-formiruyushcheysya-novorossii/
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