Everyone understands that the Ukrainian pseudo-leaders brought the country into such a hole that it is simply impossible to get out of it. If even a month and a half ago it was possible to talk about unity, then now such a conversation would not cause anything but profanity. And in the west of the country, and in the east. Ukrainians do not want to live in a single state. It is the Ukrainians. Regardless of ethnicity.
The Ukrainian Rada, in connection with the yesterday’s demarche of the “Party of Regions” and the Communist Party, has practically become an illegitimate body. Nobody has even a mechanical majority today. Even the hawks of the new government speak of violations, of the arbitrariness of the authorities. Let timidly, but also on ukrTV appear frames, which are very difficult to comment on as an attack by armed separatists. Remember the capture BMP.
Yes, and in the Western, including American, the media are increasingly heard sound thoughts. They are increasingly talking about fascism.
But the use of helicopters with UN symbols was probably the last straw.
The successes of the army of the Southeast also play their important role in this process. Although the information from there is quite contradictory, but it is noticeable that the army controls the situation. Ukrainians have become much more circumspect. Party "Freedom" in a panic. The question of the use of the Slavyansk and Kramatorsk bombings is being seriously considered.
And the last. Putin's statement on gas and his letter yesterday. Europeans understand that there is no bluff. So, Russia will fulfill the promise. And this, in turn, will hit Europeans precisely. Gas will begin to steal. But Putin warned about this a month ago. Risk their economies can not afford the government of any country.
And what decision will be made soon? I think we should expect the UN resolution on the deployment of peacekeepers to Ukraine. The decision to create a buffer zone between the army of Ukraine and the army of the South-East. Junta is a must. Otherwise, today the Ukrainian army will start to suffer heavy losses. They simply cannot resist. Explosives can work against partisan tactics, and they, the so-called National Guard, are a hodgepodge of completely unprepared people. Spetsov almost gone. And those who were driven by threats to the ATO, will not seriously fight.
So, the introduction of peacekeepers will give two plus junta. Holding elections and saving the image of the government. But all this can be done in one case: if the peacekeepers from the Russian Federation are not included in the composition of the IS. With the rest you can agree.
Hence the task of the diplomacy of the Russian Federation, and to a large extent our representative to the UN, Mr. Churkin, in no case prevent the creation of the MC without the participation of the Russian Federation. The buffer should be, including ours.
The appearance of such a distinction will solve two problems - we will allow elections in parts of Ukraine (and we will not succeed in preventing them), but at the same time let us give an opportunity to strengthen our positions in the Southeast, to complete the formation of legitimate government bodies, military units and power structures.
The scenario, which we talked about last November, is implemented in strict accordance with the forecasts. Almost the second part of Ukraine was separated. It remains to wait for the collapse of the West and the Center. And we get what the Western countries wanted. Instead of one big, potentially strong country, two will appear on the map of Europe so far, and in the future three small, pocket states, without a real economy, without a real army, without own interests. The Yugoslav version in a slightly softer version.