Not everything is as simple as the Western and domestic media. The United States had a clear plan to destabilize the situation in Ukraine (the goal of which is not completely clear to us). It is now accepted that they need to move the NATO bloc closer to the Russian border, but Ukraine in this regard is not the most reliable partner. With the same ease of planting their "democracy" and taking a tactically more advantageous position, they could, by drawing into a conflict, for example, Mongolia. But they are stubbornly climbing into Ukraine, spending huge resources and playing a very dangerous game that can haunt the whole world with a strong crisis. In Ukraine, there are no strategic, easily extracted oil and gas reserves; more than 50% of the population are Russian-speaking people who are pro-Russian. The strategic location of the Crimea peninsula is a rather weak explanation of the desire to shift Ukraine to its edge.
Most likely, here the question is more subtle. From my point of view, the States want to plant their people in Ukraine not only for confrontation with Russia, but also for pressure on the European Union. The fact is that recently the European Union's locomotive countries have become very attached to the Russian economy, thereby reducing the money turnover with the United States. Thousands of enterprises operate in the expanses of our country, where to some extent the founders and owners are European concerns. The economies of the EU countries are increasingly integrating with the economies of Russia. As an example, the economy of the Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) is 40% dependent on trade with us. Oil, gas, electricity come there from Russia, exports to our country are 34%, imports 31%. There are entire sectors of the economy that they depend on Russia for 100%. A similar situation has developed in Central Europe. The European Union’s locomotive, Germany, has recently integrated its economy into Russian business so much that it will not be able to return, and if it tries, it will inflict such a blow below the belt that it cannot recover from it for many more years. In Russia there are production and assets of many European concerns, and the rupture of economic relations will not return the money spent. The most important thing is that production facilities will remain in Russia anyway, and they will get it. Destabilization of Russia's relations with the countries of the European Union is beneficial only to the United States. For the past few years, Putin has been proving to the whole world and Europe, including that Russia is a reliable economic partner, that we can have a common business with us and make money together. It is under Putin's guarantees that investors come to our country and invest billions in the economy, build production, run factories. We already have the production of such giants as Volkswagen, Renault, Liebherd, Knauf, Schwarzkopf, Heineken, Dupont ... The list can be extended almost indefinitely. But from the Americans, except for the Ford plant near St. Petersburg, nothing else comes to mind.
Europe has something to lose in Russia. Putin has long established himself as a consistent and calm politician, without hysterics, abrupt reversals of 180 degrees, excesses and vacillations. While he is in power, we and Europe can sleep well, due to the fact that any abrupt gestures in politics are nothing but uncertainty in their course. Our president does not have this. He clearly knows what needs to be done and how to behave while doing so, and leads a systematic foreign policy of the state. The world community understands that Russia is an unsinkable giant, confidently standing on its own feet, with a strong economy and an authoritative leader at the head. That's exactly what infuriates the United States.
European industrialists look at Russia, European politicians look back at the United States, look around by habit. But money for election campaigns in Europe does not give the United States. Therefore, politicians are forced to listen to those who sponsor their political longevity. You can’t trample money!
From the above, it becomes clear that the main task of the United States is to embroil Russia and Europe, and to do this through Ukraine, provoking Russia to send troops, to a military conflict. Thus, downgrade the credibility rating to Putin around the world. This is what the United States is currently trying to achieve. They want to show that Russia and Putin are not credible as a political player. They seek to undermine Russia's authority in Europe. I can safely assume that this will not happen.
All the actions and statements that our president makes are very verified. And this is not the work of one person, but of a huge apparatus, more simply, of the analytical service, which analyzes data obtained from the sources of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, SVR, MO and many other departments. Analysts calculate every information and give weighted and politically thought-out decisions to the mountain, and the president is already deciding which solutions will be the most productive.
As you have already noticed, the scenario in Ukraine is very similar to the scenario of the Georgian events in August 2008 of the year. What unites them is not only the fact that they began on the eve of the Olympics - and in 2014, the prestige of the Games was very important for the president’s political longevity - but the fact that they have the same scriptwriter. In 2008, too, there was a lot of noise and stench about the Russian aggression, but the waves subsided, and now everything is calm in Ossetia and Abkhazia, power has changed in Georgia, and the United States has wiped off. At the moment, a similar game takes place, only on the Ukrainian chessboard. The rival, who had already once clicked on the nose, became more prudent and experienced. He does not go into open confrontation, but, as always, tries to heat the heat with someone else’s hands. Those clowns that are now in the building of the government of Ukraine, are well aware that they are changeable figures, and they will be given to please the political intrigues of the United States. But when they are removed from the chessboard, they will have where to go. I am sure that in the pockets there are already passports with a residence permit in the USA, and there are necessary amounts in the accounts. They are well aware that the chess game is not going according to plan, and soon the gambit will be played. The only question is whether they will manage to dump from Ukraine?
In May, a play entitled “Democratic Presidential Elections” will be held in Kiev. On which the protégé of the United States will definitely “win,” and the elections are recognized by the director and the entire director group. But it is not important. It is important how Ukraine will continue to live. In the USA, they understood perfectly well that a military solution to the conflict in the south-east of Ukraine is suicide, because if blood is shed, it will be in the hands of Ukrainian puppet clowns and the United States. Then Putin will quietly send troops to the east of Ukraine and will hold a referendum for federalization or secession of the Southeast into an independent state. Geopolitically, Russia does not need south-eastern Ukraine, it is expensive to raise another region. It is easier to make them independent and restore trade relations with them. Their industry will feed themselves, and the road to the Crimea will be open. Now time is playing on us.
Time is the main enemy of the United States. Everyone understands that after a hot summer, autumn always comes, and behind it, and winter. And then the fun begins. Gas consumption will increase in Ukraine and Europe. The fact is that now Ukraine has unpacked gas storages, where gas has been pumped for delivery to Europe in the winter, and pumps it from there for its consumption, while not pumping anything there. The contract with Slovenia on the reverse supply of our gas will not override the needs of Ukraine in the winter period. But do not forget that in the winter in the direction of Europe all branches are pumping gas. And given that in the winter Ukraine will have nothing to supply to Europe, since storages are printed, then the scenario of unauthorized selection of European gas will go. It is then that Europe will already be under pressure from Europe, and it will be deeply violet to them that the United States think about it, because if the population starts to receive less gas and freeze, then it is not far to emergency situations and riots. In Ukraine, something like this will happen. There is no gas, and if there is, then stolen, there is no coal, no one gives it without money. No money either. No matter how much Europe and the United States promised gingerbread, they still haven’t even given a crouton (and will not give). Europe is not a charitable organization, it will not give money, especially since Ukraine is de facto bankrupt. In the US, money is not given by McCain and Obama, there is money given by Congress. Try it yourself with bad credit history take a bank loan. You will not be given, because no guarantee of return. Here is exactly the same. Promise money, but do not give. Now imagine the situation: winter, no money, no gas, no coal ... What does it look like? Humanitarian disaster! The government did not cope with their duties. Where is it? That's right - in the furnace. They will have time to get out of the country - well done. Do not have time - their problems. On the wave of this comes Russia and gives gingerbread and heat. In the eyes of the world community, Russia is kind polite uncles. Then a new election and a pro-Russian government.
What can the US do in return? In addition, what has already been done, nothing. "Visa" and "Mastercard" have already realized that it is more expensive to fulfill the will of monkeys stupidly. They may, of course, threaten with sanctions in the economy, but they are well aware that Russia can introduce only one, and the US will go to the forest in the direction of its own default. We can introduce one very tangible sanction - to sell oil and gas for rubles. And it will hit only the United States. Europe on the drum, what currency to buy to pay for energy. Rubles, they will buy for euros. In short, the United States found itself in a very difficult situation: it is necessary not only to save the face, but also the economy, and this is not so easy, especially since they are accustomed to acting from a position of strength and pressure, and Russia acts from a position of legality and does not allow hysterics, because annoying American politicians. But even more annoying is the fact that Putin does not make mistakes, unlike the others, and he acts clearly and systematically, and most importantly, without haste and ignoring the whole pig squeal. Believe me - this is very annoying directors.
What remains to us? We should stock up on popcorn and wait. The script is registered, the moves are known, the pieces on the board are arranged. Putin leads his gambit to throw off the next queens and kings from the board, he is good at it, and most importantly - without hysteria and snot.
What else amazes and cheers at the same time is that the Internet trolls, who in every forum and blogs shouted at once, disappeared, that Putin is an American spy and gets paid in the USA. I know one thing: while he is at the helm in Russia, I can live peacefully and raise my children.
Condolences to the people of Ukraine and sympathize with the fact that American politicians have chosen your country for their political games in which the common people are not even pawns. But I think that everything will work out for you. Russia is not going anywhere from you. Can not transfer countries. We have always been and will be neighbors, we have always been and will be one nation - Russians.