The day before yesterday, correspondence from Germany arrived at the post office, which set forth the content of a conversation between a high-ranking employee of the National Security Agency and representatives of the German media about events in Ukraine. The content of the conversation is so frankly and rigidly talking about US policy in Europe and the world that I considered it my duty to publish this correspondence.
“We offer to get acquainted with excerpts from the conversation with the executive director of the Institute for Global Perspectives at Columbia University, Professor, Ph.D. Paul Christie, held at the editorial office of the weekly European Economic Herald (Bremen, Lower Saxony, Germany).
Editorial: Dr. Christie, the Ukrainian events of recent months cause our readers a lot of questions. People try to understand the essence of what is happening, but they cannot explain the logic of events. Why do new Ukrainian authorities do this and not otherwise in relation to the population of their country? Why did the European Union seek with all its might to tear Ukraine away from Russia? Why is the United States pursuing such an implacable policy towards Russia? Not only ordinary people, but also specialists often cannot answer these and other questions. Could you, dear professor, clarify the situation a little?
Professor: To find the answer to any political question, one should always use the technique known since the days of Ancient Rome: “Who benefits?” Who among the world players benefits the situation that has developed in Ukraine now? What does Europe, the USA, Russia and, perhaps, some other players, for example, look for? Which of them is most interested in such a development of events?
To answer this question we need to accurately determine the main world problem of our time, the solution of which no longer tolerates delay. Who among the world players is directly interested in resolving this problem will play a major role in the events.
Ed .: And what is the main global problem of our time, requiring immediate solutions, in your opinion?
Prof .: This is, of course, the resolution of financial issues that have arisen due to the rapid development of the US economy in the past three decades. 17 trillions of dollars of government debt hangs over the American economy with a Damocles sword and could lead to a global crisis.
Ed .: Please clarify, in some detail, what threatens the world with the collapse of the American currency?
Prof .: If America has to devalue the dollar, getting rid of debts (if it is not possible to find other ways out of the debt pit), the whole world will plunge into a deep economic crisis, since the dollar is the world currency, which is tied to all world production. Immediately break all international economic relations. The decline in production in all countries will be the inevitable outcome of the destruction of international cooperation. Due to a halt in production, a huge army of the unemployed will appear. Then inevitably there will be a decline in the standard of living in all countries of the world. A drop in the level of consumption will be a decisive factor in political changes in various states, when lack of money and hunger will require redistribution of property and political changes. In the full world weapons, hatred, misunderstanding and deferred disputes, may start a world war for the redistribution of spheres of influence. And no country, including America, can avoid this scenario.
It is simply unbearable for me to think about the worst thing that can happen if, as a result of starvation riots, a nuclear or other weapon of mass destruction falls into the hands of any group of desperate people. This option to resolve financial problems is completely unacceptable.
Ed .: I see. But then it is necessary to urgently find a way out of this difficult situation - is there simply no alternative to this?
Prof .: Exactly - you yourself answered the question about what is the spring of all the actions of America in recent years. Realizing the prospects for the destruction of human civilization on earth, we began to search for peaceful ways out of this situation.
Ed .: Very interesting! And how did the best minds of America answer this question?
Prof .: An interesting solution was proposed, the essence of which I will now try to set forth.
In order to resolve financial difficulties, the United States must take extraordinary measures, comparable only to a global cataclysm. The problem is to arrange such a cataclysm without devastating consequences for the United States itself and its allies. That is, it is necessary to play such a card in order to solve the problem of debts and not to arrange a world massacre in which you can easily burn yourself.
The ability to repay your debts without a significant drop in the standard of living of your population is feasible only at the expense of others, no matter how cynical it sounds. It is necessary to find someone with the help of whom America could solve its financial problems. And such a natural solution was found - itself история gives this chance.
Ed .: And who will pay for solving financial problems?
Prof .: Naturally, no country in the world could do this without being converted into a desert. Therefore, it is necessary to organize events in such a way that the whole world, each country to one degree or another, become involved in resolving America’s financial difficulties. Such global cooperation will not only preserve peace on the planet, but also set the strongest impetus to subsequent progress.
Ed .: How can this be done?
Prof .: In order to end the debts, the United States needs new markets comparable in scale to the US. The only such market now can only be the European market. Consequently, it is necessary to find a way through which one could fully open the European market to the United States. We have been developing this project for many years.
God gave the United States advanced technology, the most powerful industry, huge financial resources and huge natural resources - and this must be used to overcome the difficulties of the growth of the American economy. God gave the same thing to Europe, therefore, in order to solve common financial and economic problems, it is necessary to simply connect the two main land economies into a single economy. And for this you need to reorient the European economy to closer cooperation with the United States.
Ed .: But the European economy is already tightly tied to the US economy.
Prof .: Exactly. However, the degree of cooperation needs to be done even more. In essence, we are talking about the two economies literally merging into one, mutually complementing each other.
Ed .: And then how about Europe’s dependence on energy supplies from various countries, primarily from Russia.
Prof .: Therefore, it is necessary to create such a situation in Europe so that the Europeans themselves abandon their energy cooperation with Russia and with other energy suppliers, and link their economic interests with energy supplies from the United States.
Ed .: But after all such a step is extremely disadvantageous to the European economy.
Prof .: True. But how else is it possible to peacefully resolve the financial and economic problems of the two first economies of the world? Peaceful resolution of problems will require participation from all countries, and Europe itself has set itself up, tying its economy to energy supplies from problem regions.
The United States has always helped Europe, we have contributed to the revival of Europe after World War II, and now Europe should, as a sign of gratitude to the United States over the decades of its prosperity, take part in restoring the American economy. Who is to blame for the fact that the circumstances were such that assistance is already needed for the United States from Europe? We are counting on the understanding of the current situation by the Europeans, but in any case, there is nowhere to retreat and we are all hostages of the moment.
Ed .: Well, good. And what will the Middle East, Russia, say to this?
Prof .: The US policy, if you remember, in the last decade was aimed precisely at waking the Middle East and introducing the peoples of this region to democracy. The Middle East is currently experiencing turbulent social and political changes, and in the future these changes will only increase, turning this region of the world into a very troubled place, which is very likely to affect the security of energy supplies from this region.
The fate of Russia is in her hands. Everyone will survive as they can, and Russia, of course, must suffer in many ways from a break in relations with Europe, but the extent of this suffering will largely depend on Russia itself. Russia is now in an extremely unenviable position - it has to resolve very dangerous and in principle unresolvable issues. And whatever the Russians take, any decision will not be in Russia's favor, since any steps taken by the Russian leadership are no longer capable of fundamentally changing the current situation.
Ed .: That is, the West does not intend to give Ukraine to Russia?
Prof .: And where is Ukraine? Whether the united Ukraine will remain on the world map or disintegrate is absolutely irrelevant for solving the main problem. The main task of the events in Ukraine is to dissolve Europe with Russia so that the Europeans completely refuse to cooperate with Russia and redirect their economies to full cooperation with the United States. The main goal - to tie Europe's economy more tightly to the US economy, and what happens in Ukraine in this case does not interest anyone. Ukraine is only a means by which it is possible to solve all problems without drawing the world into another world war. Ukraine is given the role of the rubble, which will interrupt European cooperation with Russia. And what kind of structure there will be, the form of government - these are absolutely not interesting questions. Only the people of Ukraine will be able to determine how tragic their fate will be in the establishment of a new order in Europe.
Ed .: But why exactly Ukraine was chosen to solve the problem of the world economy exit from the situation of default of the American currency?
Prof .: It's very simple. After all, it is through Ukraine that Europe supplies power from Russia. If you create controlled chaos in Ukraine and cut off energy supplies from Russia, then Europe will cry out for indignation. It remains only to accuse Russia of intransigence and aggressiveness, and Europe will be forced to break off economic relations with Russia and reorient on energy supplies from the United States. And then with our shale gas we will again find ourselves in the role of benefactors of Europe, in the role of a kind of energy wand.
Europe, rejecting Russian supplies, would retain its face as a defender of European human rights values and at the same time help the United States to solve the problem of financial indebtedness.
Yes, the refusal of energy supplies from Russia will create a lot of economic and social problems in Europe, but who said that Europe should not pay for the years of prosperity while being protected by the American nuclear umbrella? May Europeans also take part in preserving the well-being of a free world. It is necessary, ultimately, that 500 billions of dollars, which make up Europe’s trade with Russia, would become Europe’s trade with America. Then we will have a real chance to settle our financial obligations and save the dollar as a world currency.
Ed .: As we now understand from your words, the United States does not intend to stabilize the situation in Ukraine?
Prof .: A wide range of activities can be applied here. But whatever happens in the sphere of politics in Ukraine, the main thing should remain unchanged - the termination of broad cooperation between Russia and Europe. Let the events in Ukraine go on as you please, but in any case they should lead to a gap between the Russians and the Europeans.
Ed .: Could you show on some examples of events in Ukraine how your concept is implemented? The fact is that some observers, trying to predict the logic of events, often become stumped, not understanding the reasons for the actions of the new Kiev rulers. People do not understand the logic of the behavior of Americans in connection with some steps to resolve the conflict in Ukraine.
Prof .: Of course. Only it is necessary to clearly realize one simple thought: the United States pursues its own goal exclusively to preserve the world monetary system based on the dollar - in order to realize this goal and all steps are being taken. For the practical implementation of this main goal, a Ukrainian campaign was launched to break the economic relations of Europe with Russia. All events taking place in Ukraine should be considered exclusively from these positions.
For example, the agreement of 21 in February, when the leaders of the Ukrainian opposition and representatives of France, Germany and Poland signed an agreement with Yanukovych on the early presidential elections in Ukraine, were doomed to non-compliance in advance. If this agreement had been realized, the discord in Ukraine could have subsided and then there could be no question of any break in the economic ties between Ukraine and Russia. Consequently, it was necessary to grossly violate the agreement, which was done. Both Russia and Europe should have become hostages of the complete unpredictability and illogical actions of the new Ukrainian authorities. The more misunderstandings then arise between Russia and Europe, the sooner the conditions will be created for the realization of our plans to create an economic barrier in Ukraine.
America needs an order in Ukraine that would interrupt the economic cooperation of Russia and Europe with each other. And the American policy is to develop events in this way. Now events in Ukraine are only unfolding, and there is no point in waiting for pacification - a troubled Ukraine should become an insurmountable barrier between Russia and Europe.
Understand one thing. In order to break the economic ties between Europe and Russia, Europeans need to be so intimidated by the Russian threat that they themselves want to do this - it is necessary to radically change European public opinion about cooperation with Russia. It is necessary to emphasize in every possible way the aggressiveness and unpredictability of Russia, provoking it to escalate the conflict in Ukraine. The media should constantly talk about the growth of tension in Ukraine, about the violence and cruelties perpetrated by the Russians, so that Europe is ripe for a break.
Let the Europeans shudder at a possible Russian invasion - creating an image of an unceremonious Russian ready for any adventure, starting from the provocative flyby of the American destroyer and ending with the advance of the Russian armada tanks to the borders of the Baltic states and Ukraine, all the activities of our media should be devoted now. The mindset of the European population and, ultimately, the success of the Ukrainian campaign for the United States depends on the activities of the media.
Ed .: Please explain that America will benefit from this development?
Prof .: With pleasure. In the event of a gradual reduction in the economic relations of Europe with Russia, it will be forced to reorient its economy towards the United States, since only the economy of America can now be compared with the economy of America in terms of the volume and quality of goods. This will give a powerful impetus to the development of the American economy, which will allow the elimination of American debt to begin.
But the most important should be the energy cooperation between Europe and the USA. Europe’s refusal of Russian and Middle Eastern energy sources will lead to huge investments in US shale gas production, will lead to the creation of a powerful infrastructure for its processing and delivery to Europe. Europe will be interested in the rapid creation of such infrastructure, and will not skimp on spending, which will allow the US to quickly eliminate its financial problems.
Ed .: And what if Europe does not agree with this scenario and does not want to sever relations with Russia?
Prof .: This is simply impossible to imagine - Europe is too dependent on the United States politically, militarily and economically. And besides participation in the structure of NATO, there is a moral duty of Europe to America, who once saved her from totalitarianism and ensured a comfortable life for Europe.
But if we consider it purely hypothetical, then this would be extremely irrational on the part of Europe - it would only be worse. This would have doomed America to the inevitable collapse of the dollar, and then world history will follow the most unfavorable scenario, as we have already discussed above. Yes, the gap between Europe and Russia is not an easy step, but the preservation of the status quo will result in more serious consequences for Europe and for the whole world.
Ed .: Thank you, Professor. Could you conclude our conversation with a few words about the fate of the world in the short term, as you imagine it.
Prof .: Of course. The reorientation of Europe to close economic cooperation with the United States should ultimately lead to the emergence of some kind of unity under the code name, for example, the North Atlantic Cooperation Organization. Moreover, the military basis of such a union, represented by NATO, has long existed. Such unification would be a logical continuation of the integration processes taking place in the modern world, and would allow to unite all democratic peoples on both sides of the Atlantic into a single democratic civilization. Other democracies could join this union in the future: Japan, Australia, and so on.
Why hide the fact that such an association would be the most powerful in the history of mankind, and it would forever eliminate the danger of the revival of totalitarianism in the world. Such an association would contribute to the creation of such progressive productive forces, which would be on the shoulder of the rapid development of outer space and the transformation of Earth civilization into space.
Russia, of course, will not be finally excluded from the world community, but only if it does not oppose itself to American efforts to overcome financial problems. Russia will have to be alone with its natural resources if it persists in its quest for the restoration of Russian hegemony. Then, in relation to Russia, the policy of isolation and promotion of democratic processes inside Russia will be applied.
China may help Russia to some extent, but it does not want to strengthen this cooperation too much due to the threat of losing the united Euro-American market. Thus, Russia must choose between its progressive development and participation in the common cause of overcoming the crisis in the modern world, or become marginal, doomed to eternal backwardness, as a mean knight guarding its own useless natural wealth.
Ed .: And the last. Tell me, Professor, what caused your intention to reveal the secret springs of the modern Ukrainian crisis? What or who directs you?
Prof .: I am not a supporter of coercive methods of settling conflicts, therefore I would like to make an effort to solve problems peacefully. For this, it seems to me, world leaders should be clear about what is happening in the modern world. Only complete openness of the policy can lead to predictable results. I want the world community to understand the difficulties of the current moment and to take whatever part they can to resolve them.
In addition, there are people in the United States and in Europe who hold similar views, and they would like through our dialogue to convey to the public their views on the peaceful resolution of problems and cooperation.
On the other hand, there are many hawks, both in the West and in the East, who would like to force resolution of urgent issues. Therefore, the main goal of our meeting is to show that there is a peaceful way to overcome all difficulties, so that people understand that peace on the planet will depend on their efforts. ”
I cannot tell you in detail exactly how the recording of this conversation fell into my hands. I also cannot judge with complete confidence how the facts presented in the conversation are true. However, I have complete confidence in the people through whom this record was provided to me.
And by the way, if we follow the latest statements by representatives of the American authorities, we will see that they are broadcasting in full accordance with the material outlined in the correspondence from Germany.
According to The New York Times (19 April 2014), the White House plans to isolate Russia, cutting off its economic and political ties with the outside world.
“Imagine what the situation would be today if you could tell Russia that it can keep its gas for itself,” said US Vice President Joe Biden on Tuesday, 22 on April 2014, at a meeting with self-appointed Ukrainian rulers. And in a conversation with Ukrainian lawmakers, Biden said that the priority direction of the US’s work is to help them gain independence from the supply of Russian energy resources.
Now it remains only to draw conclusions and take stock.
1. America in Ukraine pursues its own selfish interests in creating such a situation in Europe that would allow it to overcome the current financial crisis and remain the world economic leader, keeping the dollar as the world currency.
2. America’s actions are directed not against Russia, but towards the creation of such an oversized government in Ukraine, in which stable energy supplies from Russia to Europe would have been impossible.
3. The goal of American action in Ukraine is to cut off the economic cooperation between Europe and Russia, forcing Europeans to completely reorient themselves to the American market.
If events in Ukraine develop according to the American scenario, then soon Russia will face very serious economic problems. The inevitable will be a reduction in economic cooperation with Europe and with all countries where American influence is strong. A reduction in cooperation will lead to a reduction in Russian production, with all the ensuing consequences.
To counteract the negative phenomena, Russia will have to more actively engage in accelerated development of the domestic market and intensify cooperation with countries independent of American influence.
But most importantly, Russia needs to urgently develop its own ideology of development, which would explain the Russians why they need to suffer economic hardships, opposing US policy, and not disarm. Unfortunately, Russia still doesn’t have such an ideology. But only she can give people confidence in their rightness and allow them not only to withstand the growing struggle, overcome difficulties, but also create a strong and prosperous state. Without such an ideology, Russia simply cannot hold out.
As soon as economic difficulties begin in the country, the Russian liberals of all stripes will blame everything, of course, the “Putin regime”, and they will begin to “rock the boat” vigorously, fulfilling the American order. A merciless battle for the minds of Russians will begin, in which the strongest will win. If this is liberalism, Russia will be doomed to collapse and destruction, despite all its weapons and resources. Therefore, the speedy development of the Russian ideology of development is not a question of tactics, but a question of fate.