Military Review

Half a year without Saakashvili: where do Georgian dreams lead

49
Half a year without Saakashvili: where do Georgian dreams lead



Six months have passed since the election of the philosopher George Margvelashvili as the President of Georgia. The timeframe is quite sufficient to understand whether it was possible to realize the “Georgian dream” in life and come closer to building the Platonic ideal state on Georgian lands. Therefore, it’s time to sum up the interim results of the six-month rule of the new Georgian authorities and understand where the country is heading.

First of all, deal with predecessors

Abused Saakashvili was overthrown by the whole of Georgia, and the citizens' hope was for rapid changes in the country. However, nothing significant happened to Georgia during all this time - what serious changes could there be in a country under external control?

First of all, the new authorities began to fight with their predecessors, etching them from all levels of the power vertical.

The chief security official of the times of Saakashvili, Vano Merabishvili, charged under three articles, went to the colony on 5 for years. Mikhail Saakashvili himself was called for interrogation, however, now he is inaccessible to the Georgian investigation - helping the provisional Ukrainian government to remain without part of the land and citizens. So what is it, and in this he is a great specialist.

Political analysts predict the likely arrest of the former head of the Georgian Security Council Gigi Bokeria, he was questioned on April 5 in a case of misappropriation of funds. The same is likely waiting for the mayor of Tbilisi, Gigu Ugulava. And this is by no means all the officials of the times of Saakashvili who have come under investigation.

And while the “Georgian Dream”, through law enforcement, is dealing with the “United National Movement” (UNM), the former party members of Saakashvili have hit the power from the rear.

Split the “Georgian Dream”

The seemingly monolithic "Georgian Dream" after Bidzina Ivanishvili left politics began to split. So, the cat ran between the president with curtailed powers Georgy Margvelashvili and changer Ivanishvili as head of government Irakli Garibashvili.

For the first time, the president began to express dissatisfaction with the need to move to a presidential residence rebuilt by Saakashvili, popularly referred to as the “Palace of Caligula”. In the end, it was necessary to enter it.

Then a conflict arose on the basis of the separation of powers: the deputies decided to deprive Margvelashvili of the right to grant citizenship. Further removal of authority from the president risks turning him into a purely ceremonial head of state.

But the problems did not end there: Ivanishvili publicly expressed dissatisfaction with the appointment of Margvelashvili. The fact is that Vano Machavariani (brother of the former Vice-Speaker Mikhail Machavariani, one of the leaders of the opposition UNM), became adviser to the president on political issues. Ivanishvili lamented: “The point is not in kinship, but in the fact that this adviser is the bearer of the ideology of the“ nationals ”, and this manifested itself for a long time.”

As a result, Bidzina Ivanishvili, on the air of Georgian TV, stated the futility of relations with the president: “Margvelashvili has changed a lot. This is not the person I knew before the presidential election. I am disappointed. We often argued with him, did not agree with each other, but now the best thing I could do was to stop communicating. ”

Thus, UNM party members found an approach to the Georgian president and, playing on his discontent, exacerbated the power conflict. Meanwhile, Georgia’s economy is like a dying patient.

The patient is still alive, but ...

Since the time of Saakashvili, Georgia has tightly settled on a credit needle, and now the total amount of debt owed to international creditors is equal to the country's GDP. The republic should pay the creditors over 13,6 billion dollars in aggregate. For the time being, Georgia is able to pay its debts, but after August (it is planned to sign an association agreement with the EU in August) it will be problematic to pay off debts. And despite the fact that 70% of the population of Georgia in the 2012 year, called themselves not employed.

In the meantime, the Russian Federation has given the republic's economy a few deep breaths, allowing the supply of wines, fruits and mineral waters. It is clear that Moscow will accept the capitulation of Georgia to the European commodity producer without enthusiasm and the trade turnover of the countries will fall again, which will be an additional blow to the “Georgian Dream”.

Shadow of the Ukrainian Maidan

Over Georgia, it seems, hung the shadow of the Ukrainian euromaidan. Georgian political technologists and revolutionaries have nothing more to do in Kiev, and now they are returning to Georgia, but not alone, but in the company of their Ukrainian colleagues in the revolutionary workshop.

Georgian Interior Minister Alexander Chikaidze said that representatives of the party of former President Mikhail Saakashvili’s United National Movement and activists of the Ukrainian Euromaidan plan to destabilize the situation in the country in order to change power. “Our opponents brought activists of the Ukrainian euromaidan to Georgia, with whom they conduct trainings and preparatory work for the action. They (UNM) are also hiding behind several non-governmental organizations that are actively working to bring people to the streets and carry out a coup, ”says Chikaidze.

The UNM, of course, denies any involvement in the above, and the Prime Minister states that he will not allow destabilization of the situation in the republic. However, to destabilize the situation, the actions of the Georgian Dream functionaries, intending to sign an association with the EU, will be enough.

Georgia on the NATO bench

The failure of the new Georgian authorities and the foreign policy field. Suddenly, it turned out for Georgian politicians that Georgia does not need NATO, and no one in the organization is waiting for the republic. However, the NATO leadership thanked Tbilisi for supplying soldiers to the alliance’s hot spots, calling Georgia a “security exporter” and “exemplary model for post-Soviet states.” And the truth is that Georgia is, in fact, an exemplary model of a state completely under the control of the West.

What's next?

Georgia is not expecting anything good in the near future. "Fuel" is enough for an analogue of the Ukrainian euromaidan, and the organizers have completely enriched themselves in Kiev with new experience. And the degradation of the economy after the entry into force of the association agreement with the EU will create a favorable background for a social explosion.

It is not yet clear whether the order will be received by the Georgian revolutionaries to take the tires to the center of Tbilisi, but in any case the authorities of the country should think about fundamental changes in foreign and domestic policy. However, any unauthorized movements of Georgian politicians will lead to the fact that their career will end quickly after a call from overseas.

And Russia will once again be forced to prepare for the possible extinguishing of the revolutionary fire in Georgia, because the Ukrainian events are only the beginning of the collapse of the post-Soviet limit-countries.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.odnako.org/blogs/polgoda-bez-saakashvili-kuda-privodyat-gruzinskie-mechti/
49 comments
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  1. Comintern
    Comintern April 24 2014 19: 33
    +5
    How would Georgia not go according to the scenario of an independent (
    1. andrei332809
      andrei332809 April 24 2014 19: 42
      +5
      Quote: Comintern
      How would Georgia not go according to the scenario of an independent (

      and what do we need from the Georgians? What can they chop off?
      so let them exchange "experience" with euroxlams
      1. Duke
        Duke April 24 2014 20: 04
        +5
        and what do we need from the Georgians? What can they chop off?

        Corridor with Armenia.
        1. Stavros
          Stavros April 24 2014 21: 17
          -1
          And the faster, the better.
        2. koshh
          koshh April 24 2014 22: 07
          -1
          Quote: Duke
          Corridor with Armenia.

          That's for sure.
        3. O. BENDER
          O. BENDER April 25 2014 01: 09
          0
          Quote: Duke
          and what do we need from the Georgians? What can they chop off?

          Corridor with Armenia.

          No, the Panki Gorge is better
      2. thrower
        thrower April 24 2014 21: 22
        0
        and what do we need from the Georgians? What can they chop off?


        Nothing is needed from them, but it is simply necessary to return their citizens to them. Since they have no work, let them learn "Suliko" to the tune of the American anthem.
      3. ermolai
        ermolai April 25 2014 05: 21
        -1
        Yes, chop off everything so that they don’t twitch
      4. Gluxar_
        Gluxar_ April 25 2014 12: 41
        +1
        Quote: andrei332809
        and what do we need from the Georgians? What can they chop off?
        so let them exchange "experience" with euroxlams

        We need to expel Russophobes from all power circles in Georgia, open direct communication with Armenia and "end" the Karabakh crisis ... make close friends with Azerbaijan and pursue a joint energy policy in the Russia-Iran-Azerbaijan format.
        There is the Adjarian question as a pain point in Tbilisi. It is necessary to go to the borders of Turkey, so that the authorities of this country think about their future and make the right decisions on the Syrian issue.
        After such consolidation in the region, you can think about promoting your interests throughout the Middle East and support Iran and all Shiites in their confrontation with the Sunnis of Saudi Arabia and Qatar, which also meets Russian interests.
        So Georgia was and will be an important area of ​​our foreign policy. It is not worth rushing here, but you need to keep a finger on the pulse.
    2. serega.fedotov
      serega.fedotov April 24 2014 19: 45
      +4
      Quote: Comintern
      How would Georgia not go according to the scenario of an independent (

      This is an independent one that followed in the footsteps of a bicker! Then the same finale, though in Ukraine nothing else has come to pass - it might be possible to twist the bite!
    3. Riperbahn
      Riperbahn April 24 2014 19: 50
      +1
      To that she seeks.
    4. cheega69
      cheega69 April 24 2014 20: 07
      +1
      Yes, and to hell with it. Each one chooses his own path. And it scratches him.
  2. Good
    Good April 24 2014 19: 37
    +2
    Forgot our paratroopers. And they promised to come back!
  3. Ilotan
    Ilotan April 24 2014 19: 38
    +7
    Children, learn Kalashnikov assault rifle, not English. Life is not a teacher, asks - you can’t write it off. Spurs will not work.
  4. delfinN
    delfinN April 24 2014 19: 40
    +12
    Quote: Good
    Forgot our paratroopers. And they promised to come back!

    They are still studying F-1, Georgians are so timid.
  5. rugor
    rugor April 24 2014 19: 45
    0
    Quote: Comintern
    How would Georgia not go according to the scenario of an independent (


    Well, it’s not Georgia’s decision.
  6. ya.seliwerstov2013
    ya.seliwerstov2013 April 24 2014 19: 47
    +5
    Saakashvili introduced fashion!
    Shish kebab off all the menus!
    From now on, ties to the people,
    The lamb will be replaced by a pig!
    ABOUT! Tie low calorie!
    There is simply no tastier dish!
    The plot of all hit the media,
    Where Misha ate him for lunch!
    1. Committee
      Committee April 24 2014 20: 32
      +2
      It is still not clear what drug he abused in order to "bite"
  7. Arkan
    Arkan April 24 2014 19: 52
    +5
    The deplorable result of Georgian "independence" is debts and vassalage from the USA.
    1. prophet
      prophet April 24 2014 22: 23
      0
      that something many former republics are stepping on the same rake .. apparently other people's mistakes do not cure.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  8. mamont5
    mamont5 April 24 2014 19: 59
    +1
    It looks like the United States decided to bring out the Georgian map again. Though battered, but true.
  9. upasika1918
    upasika1918 April 24 2014 20: 02
    +4
    hi Gentlemen, comrades! I want to remind you, NO! such a country "Georgia". There is GEORGIA.
    1. Committee
      Committee April 24 2014 20: 36
      +3
      Quote: upasika1918
      There is GEORGIA
      this is certainly one of the states of the usa ...
  10. upasika1918
    upasika1918 April 24 2014 20: 09
    0
    Georgia, remained Georgia.
  11. Roman1970
    Roman1970 April 24 2014 20: 11
    +2
    And God's grace has come down
    To Georgia! She bloomed
    Since then, in the shadow of their gardens,
    Without fear of enemies
    Beyond friendly bayonets.

    But as it was part of Russia ....
  12. s.melioxin
    s.melioxin April 24 2014 20: 21
    0
    What people, what country was. Where is all this? It's a pity, it's a shame.
  13. Stinger
    Stinger April 24 2014 20: 31
    +5
    70% of the Georgian population in 2012 described themselves as not being employed

    So far, apart from highly qualified apartment thieves, Georgia is unable to supply anything. Well, maybe even the middle-class man purse.
  14. Anatole Klim
    Anatole Klim April 24 2014 20: 54
    +10
    Quote: upasika1918
    NO! such a country "Georgia". There is GEORGIA.

    What should Georgians be called now? Georgie, georgy, georgy, zhoriki, blind men ...?
  15. Giant thought
    Giant thought April 24 2014 20: 55
    +2
    Georgia will be restless until a new Dzhugashvili appears.
  16. A1L9E4K9S
    A1L9E4K9S April 24 2014 21: 16
    +3
    Quote: Stinger
    So far, apart from highly qualified apartment thieves, Georgia is unable to supply anything. Well, maybe even the middle-class man purse.


    You forgot about the thieves in law and about the "great" Georgian sculptor Zurab Tsereteli. Yes, after Joseph Vissarionovich Dzhugashvili there were no more great people in Georgia, sorry, I forgot Lavrenty Pavlovich. How can the people who were once proud, courageous and brave allow dumb-headed Americans to command oneself, in Russia turn from friends into persons of Caucasian nationality.
    1. Uncle lee
      Uncle lee April 25 2014 05: 59
      +5
      I communicate with Georgia. The common people do not want to join NATU, but want to live in friendship with Russia. And nostalgically recall the times "under the communists"
  17. thrower
    thrower April 24 2014 21: 19
    0
    It is still unclear whether the order will be received by Georgian revolutionaries to bring tires to the center of Tbilisi.


    You can start to take, let Maidan. After 2008, my personal attitude towards Georgia and Georgians is very cold. I do not believe them, they killed the Russians.
    In general, how much time should pass for the 2008 war of the year to be forgotten?
    1. koshh
      koshh April 24 2014 22: 37
      0
      Quote: thrower
      You can start to bring, let Maidan

      Thought is good. Just whom to put the main nation? Svanov, Mingrels, Adjars? Who will be the ringleader?
    2. Lelek
      Lelek April 25 2014 00: 00
      +2
      Georgians are good, kind people. I know not by hearsay. But their rulers have 50% shit in their heads with rusty nails. The family has its black sheep, and they () strive for everything in power. bully
  18. appolon44
    appolon44 April 24 2014 21: 37
    0
    - Helps the interim Ukrainian government to remain without a part of the lands and citizens. That's what, but in this he is a great specialist.

    he already helped with Crimea
  19. Black
    Black April 24 2014 21: 40
    0
    Interestingly, how is "Maidan" in Georgian?
    Maidanut is an infectious disease ...
    1. Stavros
      Stavros April 24 2014 22: 47
      +1
      Area in Georgian MOIDANI.
  20. sv68
    sv68 April 24 2014 21: 54
    0
    on the Georgian Maidan everyone will chew ties together fool fool
    1. ermolai
      ermolai April 25 2014 05: 28
      0
      who does not chew
  21. BlackJack
    BlackJack April 24 2014 21: 55
    -1
    Washington must be destroyed !!!
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. O. BENDER
      O. BENDER April 25 2014 01: 19
      -1
      Quote: BlackJack
      Washington must be destroyed !!!

      I don’t agree, the White House, yes, the Abama administration, yes, the Pentagon, yes, and what about the city?
      1. BlackJack
        BlackJack April 25 2014 08: 09
        0
        this whole city is just an appendage of the objects you have indicated, it was built as the infrastructure of the federal government, and there are NO implications there.
  22. Tanechka-clever
    Tanechka-clever April 24 2014 22: 43
    +3
    “The Russian Federation gave the republic’s economy a few deep breaths” - this policy is beginning to worry me personally. And what is its essence - we are buying Georgia's "good" attitude to Russia as in Soviet times - in Soviet times, Georgian "thieves in law" controlled practically the entire thieves' world. And now what - "fascism" is flourishing in Georgia, veterans are humiliated, but Georgians take loans like the Balts, and Moldova, not from us, but from their Euro-American friends - so why should they pay these debts at the expense of Russia? Why should we have "Pepsi" from Georgia in our stores if we have our own manufacturers? Probably this policy is intentional, which is not available to me - but it also starts to smell like double standards. There is a limit to everything - they spit in our souls, and we in Russia raise a glass of Georgian wine for this - this is bad and not right. Respecting yourself means not letting spit in your direction or not leaving such impunity that would not happen anymore
  23. PureGUN
    PureGUN April 24 2014 23: 19
    +1
    to hang a shit !!!
  24. Lelek
    Lelek April 24 2014 23: 51
    +3
    What is Georgia? A small mountainous country, mired in strife and disputes. A country that cannot exist without an external master. Previously, its owner was the USSR, which nursed and cherished her, and under which she (Georgia) lived happily ever after. This well-being gave rise to megalomania (to the point of "navel") in her. Now she has a new pragmatic owner, who says: "I order, you absolutely obey, and for that I may give you a piece of sugar. I'm baking about you. We'll make a wild democrat out of you.) But mania is something. greatness remains and itches. And money, work, economic development and prosperity and prospects are not present. How can you not win here and bark. And besides, these stewards ... fellow
  25. dazefex
    dazefex April 25 2014 02: 58
    +4
    Saakashvili’s foreign policy was, to put it mildly, not very. We can talk about internal pluses and minuses until blue in the face (there are much more pluses). The current government has no idea what it is doing. 70 percent of the unemployed ..... well, a lot. Guys - I’ve been reading you for a long time, and it may be enough to cook everyone all in one porridge and see enemies where they are not there. Georgia was and is a small mountainous friendly country - those who were here will understand, the rest is politics.
    1. afdjhbn67
      afdjhbn67 April 25 2014 04: 29
      0
      Hamarzhob genatsvale ,, but you choose politicians? although a special thank you to Joseph Vissarionovich Stalin (Dzhugashvili)! love
      1. dazefex
        dazefex April 25 2014 18: 31
        0
        Gamardzhoba)) The charity of the poor in favor of the prosperous is called elections. .. (c) Yes, please))
    2. Uncle lee
      Uncle lee April 25 2014 06: 10
      +5
      My relatives think the same way! It has been in Georgia, though for a long time. drinks
  26. afdjhbn67
    afdjhbn67 April 25 2014 04: 28
    0
    Georgia has one plus sore point near Russia for the West .. and the rest is beautiful songs, wine, etc., slowly rolls to the beginning of the 20th century, nobody needs and is not interesting
  27. terrible
    terrible April 25 2014 05: 52
    0
    Quote: afdjhbn67
    Georgia has one plus sore point near Russia for the West .. and the rest is beautiful songs, wine, etc., slowly rolls to the beginning of the 20th century, nobody needs and is not interesting

    type of island somewhere in Micronesia, heat, sea, fruits, affordable Aboriginal women))) ethnic villages with dancing and songs around the fire)))
    1. dazefex
      dazefex April 25 2014 18: 32
      +1
      Fine ))
  28. Turkir
    Turkir April 25 2014 06: 49
    0
    Pay attention to the axis of states having the same predictable psychology, mentality and repeatability of political leaders, political events: Poland, Lithuania, Ukraine, Georgia.
    All these countries are united by the mentality of the petty nobility of corrupt political elites, their identical ultra-nationalist trends and the backwardness of political consciousness among the people. All these signs help gangsters from the USA to easily pursue their policies in these countries and not to indulge them with a wide variety of political scenarios conducted there.
  29. DanSabaka
    DanSabaka April 25 2014 15: 52
    +1
    What kind of income does Georgia have? Industry is in its infancy, agriculture since the Soviet era is subsidized, there are no hydrocarbons .... What are the prospects for the country?
    1. dazefex
      dazefex April 25 2014 18: 39
      0
      Tourism. Very large income. Energy (electricity) for export. Industry - a couple of mines and military orders for Israel (small but there). Agriculture awaits 2 percent in the local market (Turkey is in the lead. Russian and Ukrainian sea products). Tourism feeds in general. The rest is the private sector. And few of us - 3.5 million is not so difficult to feed.
  30. AIRO
    AIRO April 25 2014 16: 13
    0
    I feel there is a possibility that September-October to us и Georgia will join (I hope everything will be resolved in Ukraine by that time, for the better for the people). (read between the lines)
    1. dazefex
      dazefex April 25 2014 18: 43
      +1
      Great doubts on this score. We have all those who were on the side of the Maidan (not without the help of the media) sharply negatively perceived the fact of the withdrawal of troops against the people. The opinion is that if you wanted to fight the "enemy" in the Crimea, and there you fight once so wise.