Military Review

6 СѓРіСЂРѕР · РґР »СЏ РЎРёРђ РїРѕСЃР» Рµ СЃР ° РЅРєС † РёР№ против "Р“ Р ° Р · РїСЂРѕРјР ° "

45
6 СѓРіСЂРѕР · РґР »СЏ РЎРёРђ РїРѕСЃР» Рµ СЃР ° РЅРєС † РёР№ против "Р“ Р ° Р · РїСЂРѕРјР ° "



The US Senate may soon consider toughening sanctions against Russia, and first of all against the Russian gas giant Gazprom.

"I think now is the time to tighten the sanctions, whether against Russian petrochemical companies or Russian banks," said Democratic Senator Chris Murphy.

Moreover, according to him, the sanctions must be introduced, despite the fact that Europe will suffer.

At the same time, it should be noted that the US sanctions against Gazprom will not be able to cause serious damage to the company. The Russian company is primarily focused on European consumers; Gazprom has no common points of contact with the US gas market, so it is not clear what effect sanctions may have on Gazprom.

GAZPROM'S DEPENDENCE ON EUROPEAN CONSUMERS
Gazprom depends on European consumers more than they do on Russian gas, as the company supplies Europe about 90% of its exports in terms of value, and Europe buys only a quarter of the gas consumed from Gazprom.

In fact, in the current situation, Gazprom is hostage to the European market without a significant opportunity to reorient gas in other directions.

Moreover, the issue of reducing dependence on Russian gas was raised long before current events. In 70 and 80. Europe received 70% of imports from the USSR, and now only 41%. Throughout the 2000-x and 2010-x. shipments to Europe were in a state of stagnation: they fluctuated around the mark in 130 - 160 billion cubic meters. m per year.

An additional factor leading to a decrease in gas imports from Russia was the “shale revolution”, which brings additional volumes of gas to the market. This, as well as the development of the spot market in Europe, is increasing the supply of non-Russian gas through the competition of suppliers. Therefore, even without special measures, so to speak, in a natural market way, the share of Russian gas in Europe, apparently, would gradually be reduced.

However, Europe is not in a position to suddenly abandon Russian gas, since the region does not have enough infrastructure to transfer gas from other countries in a short time. The necessary import flexibility could provide liquefied gas. But the share of LNG in European imports is now 22%. Regasification capacity is not enough to quickly replace 130 billion cubic meters. m of natural gas from Russia. Therefore, the introduction of sanctions on Russian gas is technically unlikely.


Sanctions will only seriously hurt Gazprom’s positions if the European authorities decide to join this process, ignoring the economic damage. However, the likelihood of such a tough scenario is unlikely: no European politician will risk the fragile process of economic recovery in the region for the sake of the geopolitical plans of American partners.

1. OIL AND GAS PRICE GROWTH
Sanctions against Gazprom could provoke a rise in oil and gas prices. Even the American market, which is separate from the European one, seems to be insured against rising gas prices.

In the event of a significant increase in the cost of blue fuel, shale gas production can become profitable, which is good for operators' companies, but at the same time bad for consumers. The rise in prices in the domestic market is now hardly in the interests of the United States. Do not forget that it was the "shale revolution" that opened up access to cheap energy that significantly reduced the cost gap for industrialists between the United States and China.

As a result, many companies have revised their decision to transfer production capacity to China, and now they are experiencing a process of their return, which is important for the US economy. However, industrial sentiment may change if the US increases gas exports.


2. FAILED THE PROGRAM OF RESCUE OF THE ECONOMY OF UKRAINE
Rejection of Russian gas will almost instantly provoke a rise in gas prices in Europe.

In this case, the Ukraine project will be at risk, since Kiev will need far more funds to finance high gas prices. Attempting to once again raise the price of gas prices for end-users in Ukraine may cause a rise in non-payments, but more importantly and more dangerously, social tensions, since with declining incomes, the population of the country will not be able to pay for much more expensive gas.


3. REDUCTION OF THE SHARE OF THE DOLLAR ON THE GLOBAL MARKET OF RAW MATERIALS
The introduction of oil sanctions against Russia will create serious difficulties for the European market, but at the same time, the Russian gas giant will more actively reorient itself towards the east. Perhaps, even with the increase in revenues due to rising prices, which generally deprives sanctions of practical meaning.

What is more dangerous for the United States is that such actions may cause an increase in world trade in local currencies, which will reduce the dependence of these countries on the dollar. China is actively developing trade in national currencies, and Japan may eventually agree to similar measures, which is buying up gas at record high prices due to the abandonment of atomic energy.


4. BLOW ON POSITIONS OF GLOBAL OIL AND GAS CONCERNS
Despite the fact that Gazprom has quite a few points of intersection with US companies, at the same time there are a number of joint major projects in which major oil and gas concerns of the world are taking part, such as Royal Dutch Shell, Exxon Mobil.

Sanctions against Gazprom and other Russian companies can seriously hit the positions of world giants, deprive them of access to interesting Russian projects, such as Sakhalin-2. In the case of their forced refusal to participate in joint projects with Gazprom and other companies, their place will be taken by Chinese oil workers.

The geopolitical interests of the United States may be too expensive for large companies, it is easier to buy the opinion of senators and congressmen - it is cheaper than losing promising markets.


5. LOSS OF SUPPORT IN EUROPE
The participation of European politicians in the sanctions against Gazprom will cause gas prices to rise. The price increase depends on measures that Europe will take to reduce Gazprom’s share in the local market. If supply restrictions are introduced, then the countries of the region will face the question: where to get additional gas volumes?

At the same time, the Netherlands reported recently that gas production will significantly decrease, which is due to environmental reasons and an irreversible decrease in reserves, as the authorities of the country intend to maintain the volume of reserves to ensure domestic consumption as long as possible. And the cost of Norwegian gas will grow, as it is becoming more and more expensive to develop new reserves, and the UK, which is the largest importer of gas from Norway, plans to increase supply volumes to 30%.

At the same time, Qatar increases exports in the Japanese direction, where it can get almost 80% more due to the price when exporting the equivalent of 1 thousand billion cubic meters. m of liquefied natural gas.

In addition, Algeria is building up its own domestic demand, while it is also trying to maintain close ties with Gazprom for the implementation of future joint projects, and the volume of recoverable reserves in the country seems to have reached its maximum level.

The total amount of reserves in Algeria is about 4 trillion cubic meters. m, which is equivalent to 5-6 years of consumption in Ukraine or Turkey. That is, these reserves will not exactly solve the problems of the EU from a strategic long-term point of view.

Azerbaijan, although deeply involved in the opening of the Southern Corridor and supplies to Turkey and the EU through the TANAP-TAP pipeline system, has only 1 trillion cubic meters. m in the form of proven reserves with an increase in domestic consumption. That is, gas may be offered to Georgia, Turkey and even Greece and Bulgaria, but the country will not be able to supply it to the EU in the medium term.

Other major players, such as Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, are focused on the giant Chinese market.

Europe may find itself in a rather difficult situation, with the result that politicians who have supported the United States may lose support, with the result that a number of major posts in Europe may be occupied by pro-Russian politicians or pragmatists who are not determined to support the United States to the detriment of their own interests.


6. LOSS OF GEOPOLITICAL INFLUENCE IN THE REGION
The geopolitical influence of the United States in the Mediterranean region may be under threat. Already at the moment, the Turkish authorities, extremely dissatisfied with the actions of the United States, began their own game, where a separate item is the tactical rapprochement with Russia. Moreover, the gas issue is the main way to bolster economic partnership.

A decision has already been made between the Turkish and Russian sides to increase the throughput capacity of the Blue Stream pipeline to 19 million cubic meters. m from the current 16 million cubic meters. Perhaps it will be decided to lay the South Stream gas pipeline across Turkey, in the event that the European authorities block its construction.

The loss of Turkey’s position for the United States will mean difficulties in the Middle East. Until the problem of Syria has been solved, it is fraught with Washington. In addition, the country that controls the straits to the Black Sea is very important for the USA in the current conditions.
Originator:
http://www.vestifinance.ru/articles/42011
45 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. JoylyRoger
    JoylyRoger April 23 2014 12: 28
    +12
    Like the famous 10 strokes of Stalin
    1. Validator
      Validator April 23 2014 12: 33
      +36
      I suggest spending a little time and paint and showing amers their place
      1. Validator
        Validator April 23 2014 12: 39
        +7
        Guess what Obama has on his forehead?
        1. Little Muck
          Little Muck April 23 2014 12: 42
          +14
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?

          Flies are always th ... they will find!
          And the breed is most likely "dung". I was drawn to my homeland. wassat
          1. Apologet.Ru
            Apologet.Ru April 23 2014 15: 33
            +3
            hi



            There is such an opinion and it is to me - LIKE ...
        2. podpolkovnik
          podpolkovnik April 23 2014 12: 44
          +9
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?

          I can say for sure what is missing ..... Zelenka ....
        3. COLUN
          COLUN April 23 2014 12: 46
          +6
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?


          Hope a promising steel pill homing system!
        4. Alexander Romanov
          Alexander Romanov April 23 2014 12: 48
          +7
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?

          G., which the fly sat on. Have I guessed?
          1. Validator
            Validator April 23 2014 12: 55
            +5
            Quote: Alexander Romanov
            Quote: Validator
            Guess what Obama has on his forehead?

            G., which the fly sat on. Have I guessed?

            Bingo!!!
        5. Validator
          Validator April 23 2014 12: 54
          +10

          Anthem polite people
        6. fif21
          fif21 April 23 2014 12: 56
          0
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?
          greenery
        7. The comment was deleted.
        8. Sid.74
          Sid.74 April 23 2014 12: 57
          +13
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?

          Guess what the fly landed on?

          1) To the most unpopular black man in the history of the US autocracy!
          2) President of a recognized banana republic!
          3) On the waste of human life!
          4) To LGBT-tolerant human waste!
          5) For the person who paid for the state expense of the separation and accession of Crimea to the territory of a potential enemy!
          6) To a man who declared before the end of his country: Russia is only a “regional power”!
        9. rolik
          rolik April 23 2014 13: 33
          +12
          Quote: Validator
          Guess what Obama has on his forehead?

          This is him Lavrov chewing piece of paper, from a tube, shot in the forehead)))))))
          Apparently he was shooting))))))))))))
        10. ALTAY2
          ALTAY2 April 23 2014 13: 49
          +3
          Flies are rarely mistaken.
        11. mirag2
          mirag2 April 23 2014 15: 34
          +1
          The deputy found in the river:
      2. ZU-23
        ZU-23 April 23 2014 13: 01
        +2
        Yeah, the world is tied in a knot, so no one is happy with these sanctions, especially those idiots who invented them.
      3. The comment was deleted.
      4. Validator
        Validator April 23 2014 13: 03
        +2

        The final version of the referendum issue in the Donetsk People’s Republic was announced.
      5. Canep
        Canep April 23 2014 13: 08
        +4
        not a single European politician will risk the fragile process of economic recovery in the region for the sake of the geopolitical plans of American partners.
        I hope the Europeans realize that Ukraine is a wedge driven by the United States between Russia and Europe, with the goal of weakening both Russia and Europe.
      6. Validator
        Validator April 23 2014 13: 43
        +4
        Poisonous cookies
        1. The comment was deleted.
      7. 225chay
        225chay April 23 2014 16: 25
        +1
        Quote: Validator
        I suggest spending a little time and paint and showing amers their place


        Yes, it’s time for a long time ago to send the Americans fuck in all positions.
        No relationship!
  2. Markusmooon
    Markusmooon April 23 2014 12: 31
    +16
    less than a month left Gazprom itself will switch to prepayment and all Europe will howl
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 23 2014 12: 38
      +11
      Quote: MarkusMoon
      less than a month left Gazprom itself will switch to prepayment and all Europe will howl

      Europe will buzz if all supplies of oil and gas are stopped there for a week. Prices will skyrocket so that the necessity and correctness of sanctions against Russia will have to be explained to the numerous discontented crowds of their citizens.
  3. fregina1
    fregina1 April 23 2014 12: 31
    +12
    In December, everything will be more accommodating! COLD is not an aunt, I would say! And if they start to freeze, then some governments will simply fly to x ... And NATO with them! And if the winter is cold, then at all ... Then we will apply sanctions, for example, on the position of some in Kosovo!
    1. avg
      avg April 23 2014 16: 48
      +1
      Don't wait for winter. You need to gouge, gouge and gouge a dollar. While our government makes loud statements, China silently switches to trade for yuan and completely removed "green" from its internal trade. Something does not prevent us today from switching to rubles in trade within the CIS and the CU. Down and Out trouble started!
  4. dirty trick
    dirty trick April 23 2014 12: 33
    +12
    Moreover, according to him, the sanctions must be introduced, despite the fact that Europe will suffer.

    fun!
  5. Giant thought
    Giant thought April 23 2014 12: 37
    +2
    Smart people in the West are not eager to impose sanctions on Russia, because they themselves can suffer more than they cause us damage. In all likelihood, this will not come to this.
  6. Little Muck
    Little Muck April 23 2014 12: 38
    +5
    6 СѓРіСЂРѕР · РґР »СЏ РЎРёРђ РїРѕСЃР» Рµ СЃР ° РЅРєС † РёР№ против "Р“ Р ° Р · РїСЂРѕРјР ° "

    "April Theses", or what else we forgot for the collapse of the United States.
    Forward Gazprom!
    1. rasputin17
      rasputin17 April 23 2014 13: 06
      +2
      In the words of Lenin, "Gazprom must take the situation on the European energy market into its own hands!"
  7. Anton Gavrilov
    Anton Gavrilov April 23 2014 12: 38
    +3
    The author says everything correctly. But the matter is different: will it come to the minds of those sitting in the white house or not? To be honest, I’m honestly to gradually transfer imports to Asia, and to Europe.
  8. Chemicalin23
    Chemicalin23 April 23 2014 12: 39
    +4
    Let them continue to impose their "sanctions" - we are army! We can get along well without them.
  9. Chemicalin23
    Chemicalin23 April 23 2014 12: 40
    0
    Dear moderators, why, I’m embarrassed to ask, did my flag change from Soviet to don’t understand which one?
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 23 2014 12: 50
      +3
      Quote: Chemicalalin23
      my flag changed from Soviet to don’t understand which one?

      What's yours? My advice, have a good bite, it will not seem like a dash of che.
  10. Commander
    Commander April 23 2014 12: 40
    +6
    And carry out calculations in rubles !! Let them buy rubles from us and pay for gas !! lol
  11. gandalf
    gandalf April 23 2014 12: 42
    +7
    Let's! Enter the same!
    This will force:
    - abandon the dollar in the calculations (dollar exchange rate - down, inflation in the usa - up)
    - even faster to make a national payment system
    - will give one more trump card to Putin for the nationalization of the Central Bank
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 23 2014 12: 52
      +8
      Quote: gandalf
      This will force:
      - abandon the dollar in the calculations

      Medvedev has already said that in foreign trade we are moving slowly to rubles. Goodbye America ... where I will never be. (Nautilus)
  12. ramsi
    ramsi April 23 2014 12: 43
    -1
    one should use every opportunity to aggravate relations (especially since they are submitted), the worse - the better
  13. Name
    April 23 2014 12: 44
    +5
    Quote: Alexander Romanov
    Europe will buzz if all oil and gas supplies are stopped there for a week

    The EU will panic only by November, they also recently live by the principle: Until the thunder strikes ... hi
    Quote: Little Muck
    "April Theses", or what else we forgot for the collapse of the United States.

    It's time to start putting it into practice! And that bubble called the American shale breakthrough will burst ...
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 23 2014 12: 53
      +3
      Quote: name

      The EU will panic only by November,

      And the factories work on their wood, or do you think that they only heat gas.
      1. Name
        April 23 2014 13: 04
        +1
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        And the factories work on their wood, or do you think that they only heat gas.

        In zagashniki they’ll scrape together a little ... One Germany need not worry, Nord Stream for them.
    2. Dafalphard
      Dafalphard April 23 2014 12: 56
      +2
      About shale gas, it has already been written here earlier http://topwar.ru/35264-yadovitye-itogi-slancevoy-revolyucii.html
  14. pensioner
    pensioner April 23 2014 12: 46
    +8
    Well, in general, I concluded as follows: I’m cheating on you with horseradish, and put the sanctions in your ...
  15. REDBLUE
    REDBLUE April 23 2014 12: 47
    +2
    Yes, of course, if Europe refuses our gas, then we will lose. But again, we need to figure out who will lose. I personally will not lose anything, you dear readers of VO think too. Loses Miller and Gazprom in the first place. But Europe will lose much more. And they will not have money for Ukraine. Because it will be necessary to buy gas somewhere, at prices that are still not clear to everyone. The Americans again on their island will remain aloof from the whole problem. I think that their goal is not only to ruin Russia. If you look at what they offer, then put in the pose of a doggy style the whole of Europe. There I think people are not enemies to themselves. Therefore, no one can easily refuse our gas so far. As much as I would not like
    1. Anisim1977
      Anisim1977 April 23 2014 13: 48
      +2
      Gazprom is half a private company, and not all Russians are private traders.
      Vladimir Vladimirovich in a straight line called something like this:
      1) He profits oil about 300 billion greenbacks.
      2) From gas 28 billion green stuff ..
      Total - if the absolute Khan to Gazprom, the budget loses about 14 billion greenery. I emphasize, complete (and this is nonsense) hi
  16. Espado
    Espado April 23 2014 12: 48
    +7
    Chatter. It has long been no secret that the US Federal Reserve is a private bank with the exclusive privilege of printing money. The entire US government is the lobby of certain sectors of the economy, and as a result, those who have harder moshna will win. The Democrats had it harder in Iraq, but there is no more money for Libya and Syria. Now the Republicans are coming to the fore, and they are not the arms lobby, but the machine-building, and Detroit will remember the health care reform, the valiantly pumped up space, and the entire social policy inside the country.
  17. mackonya
    mackonya April 23 2014 13: 04
    +2
    All this reminds me of a picture where the United States asks the EU to hit its heels in the balls, and from the grimace of pain on the face of the EU, Russia must be just bad.
  18. Strashila
    Strashila April 23 2014 13: 06
    +4
    DEPENDENCE OF "GAZPROM" ON EUROPEAN CONSUMERS.
    To begin with, any supplier depends on the buyer, just as the buyer depends on the supplier ... such a symbiosis.
    Europe will not buy gas .. this is their right, now answer the question ... what level of gasification of Russia, there is a silver lining ... pay attention to the domestic market ... yes, booming Asia is at hand.
    1. OIL AND GAS PRICE GROWTH
    "In the event of a significant increase in the cost of blue fuel, shale gas production may become profitable ..." - this is the answer for the sake of what all this is being undertaken.
    The United States insists on the prospect of this unprofitable business ... both from the point of view of the economy and especially from the point of view of ecology, which promises even greater losses over time.
    2. FAILED THE PROGRAM OF RESCUE OF THE ECONOMY OF UKRAINE
    "The refusal from Russian gas will almost instantly provoke a rise in gas prices in Europe." ... in fact, what does Ukraine have to do with it ... about the dead, or only good things, or keep quiet ... let's keep quiet.
    3. REDUCTION OF THE SHARE OF THE DOLLAR ON THE GLOBAL MARKET OF RAW MATERIALS
    "The introduction of oil sanctions against Russia will create serious difficulties for the European market, but at the same time the Russian gas giant will more actively reorient itself to the east. Perhaps even with an increase in income due to rising prices, which generally deprives the sanctions of practical sense." ... of course .. Moreover, having a good margin, you can always make your partners an additional gingerbread or caramel ... and after that, what price competition can we talk about between Europe and the United States and Asia?
    4. BLOW ON POSITIONS OF GLOBAL OIL AND GAS CONCERNS
    The fact that all large companies are interconnected is understandable.
    But large companies such as Gazprom are the largest customers of engineering equipment ... and who will benefit from this ... Russia, we will begin to produce everything on our territory.
    5. LOSS OF SUPPORT IN EUROPE
    Actually, Russia is not much loved in Europe, and this is not because of gas ... they haven’t been loved at any time.
    The question is what should we lose ... Russia has nothing to lose correctly ... and Europe is ready to give up $ 400 billion. ??? Don’t get squeezed ...
    6. LOSS OF GEOPOLITICAL INFLUENCE IN THE REGION
    "The geopolitical influence of the United States in the Mediterranean region may be under threat." ... well, tfu on them ... and again tfu.

    And actually ..
    "6 threats for the United States after the sanctions against" Gazprom "
    Yes, there are not any threats to the United States alone pluses ... only the United States benefits from sanctions, especially since once again Europe.
    Today, the turnover of Europe with Russia is $ 400 billion, the United States has $ 40 billion ... and who has what to lose.
    Only any sanctions also have retaliatory measures on the other hand ...
  19. mabuta
    mabuta April 23 2014 13: 17
    +7
    Like summer, so are questions of energy dependence, like winter, so are requests for increased supplies. Transfer to prepayment, let them appreciate Ukraine. And sanctions on ...
  20. mig31
    mig31 April 23 2014 13: 18
    +1
    The mind for the mind of the shit is stumbling, all the trouble is the exclusivity of the amers ...
  21. rasputin17
    rasputin17 April 23 2014 13: 19
    +4
    Really sick on the head !! Chop the branch beneath you and make others do it !!
  22. lotar
    lotar April 23 2014 13: 28
    +1
    I think that the US sanctions on Gazprom are hardly feasible in the near future. Since if any gay European "power" is in solidarity with the Yankees in these sanctions, then expect the imminent re-election of presidents, chancellors, etc. in all leading European countries.
  23. Jurkovs
    Jurkovs April 23 2014 13: 31
    +2
    The Americans understand that if, in the history of Ukraine, they once again do not prove their world leadership, then a rollback may begin in all positions. Therefore, they are ready to sacrifice the interests of Europe, only to save themselves. Apparently Europe needs to urgently realize that it and Russia will bear the greatest costs in this story and, together with Russia, begin to counteract US economic adventurism.
  24. alex47russ
    alex47russ April 23 2014 13: 31
    0
    TIME !!! Really it's time to switch to settlements in rubles !!! Stop waiting !!!
  25. Stinger
    Stinger April 23 2014 13: 34
    +2
    Ukraine has already applied severe sanctions - it has stopped paying. We also have something left to play the sanctions scenario. It is automatic after the seventh of May - first money, then chairs. If they begin to steal, out of habit, then reduce supplies to Europe by the amount of stolen goods. According to the laws of hospitality. And let the states help.
  26. 1812 1945
    1812 1945 April 23 2014 13: 41
    +1
    Quote: ZU-23
    Yeah, the world is tied in a knot, so no one is happy with these sanctions, especially those idiots who invented them.

    As soon as the "sanctions intentions" were voiced - to take actions necessary for Russia in this situation, significantly exceeding what was stipulated by the sanctions and linking this with the provocative nature of the sanctions policy itself.
  27. The comment was deleted.
  28. The comment was deleted.
  29. individual
    individual April 23 2014 13: 48
    +1
    The decisions of US senators will remain on paper - there is a conflict of interests between US geopolitics and European business.
    European politicians no longer ambiguously said:
    My shirt is closer to my body.
  30. Zomanus
    Zomanus April 23 2014 13: 49
    +2
    It may be worth amers and bend Europe, but do not do it too sharply. Because, as for us, they can hit very tangibly. And we will have our own Maidan here. So now we need to spread our influence, to be included in all sorts of communities and unions. That would then any pressure on us significantly beat the rest.
  31. sem-yak
    sem-yak April 23 2014 13: 49
    +7
    I have a feeling that the Americans have sent us not to interfere with the collapse of the entire European Union. And for this they will be invited "to the table" when everything is ready. It can be seen that their economy does not like the expensive euro. Summer will fly by, yes ... with gas, Europe is losing markets for its products, ignoring the Russian market and introducing debilitating sanctions. We have a large country, we can trade with ourselves, and the CIS is again under the CU. Apparently the Jew will break the backbone, not otherwise!
    1. kocclissi
      kocclissi April 23 2014 14: 06
      0
      And the firewood is in Siberia, then on xer!
  32. asar
    asar April 23 2014 14: 14
    0
    The West scratches the back of his head, in thought! And the States are raging with powerlessness! It would be necessary to "teach a lesson", but very few people agree seriously!
  33. andj61
    andj61 April 23 2014 14: 29
    +1
    The most real Russian sanctions were implemented by Ukraine, having stopped paying for gas, but such sanctions by Russia are like a grain of salt. But already in May, Ukraine will start taking gas from the European gas pipeline. And how Europe will react to this. Of course, Russia will be to blame - "inflexible" approach, energy blackmail, etc. But gas prices will go up because of this, especially when it is resold. If Europe boycotts Gazprom, Gazprom will find someone to sell gas to, but what will Europe do? Or will they announce sanctions gradually? that is, this year we are reducing purchases by 10%, next - by another 15%, and so on. It somehow smacks of surrealism. In any case, ordinary people in Russia will only benefit: not everything is gasified here, and Crimea is next in line. Plus, prices may have a tendency, if not to decrease, then to stabilize.
    So everything will be fine!
  34. Timmir
    Timmir April 23 2014 15: 01
    0
    America is sick, this disease, rulers, psychos, senile old people, paranoid oligarchs. If Europe makes concessions to America and abandons Russian gas, refuses to cooperate with Russia, it will simply flood its economy. Over time, China and India will switch to a better product release, and even a low price, will displace European goods from the markets. Russia will reorient most of its energy resources to the east. And America will lose its friends and will quietly live out its age, swimming (homeless), somewhere between the oceans.
  35. A1L9E4K9S
    A1L9E4K9S April 23 2014 15: 36
    0
    America has never been in such a piquant situation. You can’t go to the world with Russia, all the bridges are burned, and the rating will drop below the baseboard and the European partners can stick ... go ahead, run into the wall, sanctions do not give the expected effect, it remains only to declare war, but it’s not realistic, they themselves can get so shouted, it will not seem enough. The only way out is to shoot yourself.
  36. sokrat7
    sokrat7 April 23 2014 16: 06
    0
    I think that this year Putin will decide to switch to ruble settlements for gas and oil. Let them jump then.
  37. The comment was deleted.