Military Review

As the US will force us to "financial submission", since it does not go to the political

42
As the US will force us to "financial submission", since it does not go to the politicalI have repeatedly said that many of the difficulties we face today, in particular, the misfortunes of Ukraine, are simply a consequence of the global problems that humanity has faced today. In other words, similar problems and processes will soon arise in more and more new countries and regions, about which we constantly write on this site. And we need to talk about this more and more often - because a correct understanding of the processes taking place can greatly help in the process of a crisis. The actual economic causes of the crisis have been discussed by us for more than 10 years. They consist in the fact that 30 and more than years of stimulating demand have led to a situation in which households consume much more than they receive: household spending in the European Union and the US exceed their real disposable incomes by 20 – 25%. At present, almost all instruments of stimulating demand have been exhausted - and it begins to fall. It is in this fall in private demand that the basic mechanism of the crisis consists, and there is no reason to believe that it will stop soon.


This theory of ours, however, says nothing about the timing of the beginning of a particular stage of the crisis; here we need to more thoroughly understand concrete details. The 2008 crisis of the year was visible in the sharp rise in private debt, and what threatens us today? According to most experts, this is a “bubble” in the US stock market, which has long been disconnected from the real economic performance of companies and is growing sharply against the background of a stagnant economy. We here, on our website, have repeatedly noted that, most likely, the “bubble” will break through to the middle of 2015. But today there is information that about the same opinion among the leadership of the Fed. In any case, this is the way to interpret the words of Fed Chairman Janet Yellen at a press conference after the last meeting of the Federal Reserve Committee of the US Federal Reserve. She said that by the end of 2015, the Fed's discount rate would rise significantly - to a few percent. Given the current state of debt markets and corporate finance, such an increase will cause massive bankruptcies of households and financial institutions, almost inevitably a serious collapse of the financial system. In other words, an increase in interest rates will either in itself cause another wave of crisis, or else it should occur after the crisis, as a way to reduce the sharply increased inflation. If we assume that the stock market crash will occur until the middle of 2015, then Yellen's words absolutely adequately describe the rational financial policy of the monetary authorities, she only modestly kept silent about the collapse.

This situation means that the United States does not have much time to prepare for a serious weakening of the role of the dollar on the world stage and, accordingly, to strengthen regional currencies. Actually, the maximum that they can count on is a year and a half. And during this time they have to prepare for the fact that the main instrument for managing the situation in the world, the control over the turnover of the world reserve and trading currency - the dollar - will sharply weaken. It is clear that in such a situation they should focus on those currencies that will increase as a result of this wave of crisis. And this reinforcement should be limited as much as possible and, if possible, coordinated with its policy. There are still tools for this, but all the resources need to be directed specifically to the solution of this task, everything else does not play a special role today.

And what currencies, theoretically, can dramatically increase? If you look at our environment, then three: the euro, the yuan and the ruble. And what do we see? The United States dramatically enhances the process of negotiating the creation of a free trade zone between the EU and the US (which actually turns Western Europe into a US trade colony), increases tensions in Ukraine (that is, on the way of the new Silk Road from China to Western Europe), frighten the EU Russia.

Separately, it is worth noting the situation with the ruble. Liberastic (I remind you that this word is used in our Forum to distinguish real liberals, that is, supporters of individual freedom from all violent external influences, from those who stand for "personal freedom" exclusively from the Russian state, but, say, not from the International Monetary Fund or international financial adventurers) the lobby in the government and the Central Bank of Russia is actively trying to prevent the creation of a full-fledged ruble financial system. This is clearly seen from the way Sberbank and the Central Bank agreed on the promotion of a deliberately disastrous project to create a national payment system based on the Sberbank “universal card” (using, by the way, Mastercard licenses). After it became clear that this project was not possible, it was decided to create an abstract joint-stock company, which should do from scratch what has long been done within the framework of the LFS project. However, almost all the actions of the Central Bank today are aimed at preserving or increasing the dependence of our economy on the dollar - and this, of course, is very sad.

Especially - against the background of our country's foreign policy. Here we need to say one very important word separately: sanctions against our country are not at all caused by its actions. This is clearly seen in the reaction of ordinary citizens of the European Union and entrepreneurs from around the world. The activity of government elites of a number of countries against Russia was caused by overt pressure from the United States and is associated with one single reason: that Russia's actions were not previously coordinated with the United States. Another thing is that serious troubles in the economy do not give the politicians of this country the opportunity to deliver a really serious blow. But they can no longer stop - because the refusal of the answer in such a situation causes a shaft of independent actions from all sides ...
Author:
Originator:
http://www.odnako.org/blogs/kak-ssha-budut-prinuzhdat-nas-k-finansovoy-pokornosti-raz-uzh-ne-vihodit-k-politicheskoy/
42 comments
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  1. Stiletto
    Stiletto April 23 2014 12: 21
    +17
    Let them wipe themselves off with the dollar, I threw off my balance back in 2002, and basically have no savings in the enemy currency. We will not die of hunger, but I strongly doubt about the sanctions. And in general, for some reason I really want to fence ourselves off from these .... choose the defining word yourself - a new iron curtain. I'd rather live like in North Korea than with this, God forgive me, "the world community"
    1. Arhj
      Arhj April 23 2014 12: 27
      +1
      They will not succeed. Everything is on the cards. And plastic can only be scraped off. Well wipe in any way. wink
      1. Validator
        Validator April 23 2014 12: 36
        +6
        All-Russian flash mob
        1. Validator
          Validator April 23 2014 13: 39
          +1

          Interview Tsarev
          1. Apologet.Ru
            Apologet.Ru April 23 2014 15: 30
            +1
            hi



            There is such an opinion, and it to me - LIKE ...
    2. Baikal
      Baikal April 23 2014 12: 33
      +15
      We already had a "curtain", at the recollection of which Messrs. Liberals begin to hysteria.
      And what was bad? The fact that any trash Western did not climb to us? Or were the products quality and cheap? Or the fact that all rot from the TVs did not pour? Or that bribe takers, rapists and murderers were shot? Or did they build their country in the way we needed, and not all the shitty things in Europe or the USA?
      Delayed ... in exchange for beads.
      Only it was not a "curtain". And our home. With strong walls.
    3. IRBIS
      IRBIS April 23 2014 16: 00
      0
      Quote: Stiletto
      I took off my rest in 2002

      That you are even a little late! Somewhere around the beginning of the century, I definitely did not hold them in my hands - there was no point.
  2. Draz
    Draz April 23 2014 12: 21
    +2
    They refused from UEC, because It is expensive, and many of its functions will not be used in large quantities, the Chinese from Unionpei have already come to us in Moscow, so the scales are leaning toward the Chinese path (copying), the main thing is to finally convince the government. good
  3. irk_tma
    irk_tma April 23 2014 12: 25
    +1
    I certainly understand that we have democracy and pluralism of opinions
    but, on a fig to spread articles about anything
    Lots of "smart" words or scary predictions
    If Mr. Khazin considers himself a great macroeconomist, then let him deign to back up his words with facts. Now all the opus comes from the series "intertwinedsepolymers" and nothing more
    1. sledge
      sledge April 23 2014 12: 36
      +1
      You should read other articles by Khazin, perhaps then it will become clear what is discussed in this article
    2. W1950
      W1950 April 23 2014 13: 02
      0
      You, dear, first understand the home budget, and then speak out.
    3. vlad63
      vlad63 April 23 2014 15: 36
      0
      There is nothing easier - go to the Worldcrisis website and you will understand who is a talker and who is an economist.
  4. WETER
    WETER April 23 2014 12: 27
    +5
    "... practically all the actions of the Central Bank today are aimed at preserving or strengthening the dependence of our economy on the dollar - and this, of course, is very sad."
    Do not be sad! Must be cleaned! To pursue a balanced domestic and foreign policy, without regret getting rid of harmful elements.
  5. Fornit
    Fornit April 23 2014 12: 28
    +6
    In general, it looks somehow strange - "The Central Bank is doing everything to make our economy dependent on the dollar" ... And where does the FSB look? Is this not sabotage? Who put Ms. Nabiullina to feed in this hotbed of liberalism, and not only her ... The same Gref is the twin brother of Tole-Red ... Dog's tribe ... Ugh-you, Lord ... There is no longer any strength to be indignant. .. Wherever you look - everywhere there are masks of virtue ... But in reality - murlyn-murlo!
    1. cheega69
      cheega69 April 23 2014 13: 27
      +4
      In the light of the recall, communication with Putin was wildly disappointed. With such a degree of support, you can twist mountains, or roll. And the result, again wobbles around the bush. Already fried pecks, and carts and not there.
    2. varov14
      varov14 April 23 2014 16: 09
      0
      Probably the FSB has enough of its own liberals, it’s time to figure out who is for their homeland and who is @ early. Hence the rest.
  6. Little Muck
    Little Muck April 23 2014 12: 30
    +3
    Another thing is that serious troubles in the economy do not give the politicians of this country the opportunity to deliver a really serious blow. But they can’t stop anymore.

    Everything is like in Krylov’s fable:
    Sees an eye, but tooth noumet.
    Addicts in one word.
    A little more and withdrawal will begin, and this infection can only be treated with "tough therapy".
    The "doctor" will have to work hard, but I'm sure he can handle it.
  7. Giant thought
    Giant thought April 23 2014 12: 31
    +2
    Our leaders, awakened by liberal influence, woke up. They finally realized that being friends with Uncle Sam was at a loss, but better late than never. Financial independence, as well as political, is inherent only to world powers, so if we call ourselves a world power, not a regional one, then let us ensure Russia's financial independence.
  8. Polarfox
    Polarfox April 23 2014 12: 33
    +3
    Thank you, very nice post. I always knew that under the political confrontation lies the economic background. And in this situation it is completely unimportant for the US what Russia does (or does not) in foreign policy, the reasons for exerting pressure on it will be sought in any case.

    And I found it on the network. I understand that it is naive and innocent, but Putin’s look at Obama in the last picture really appealed to him.
  9. sledge
    sledge April 23 2014 12: 34
    +1
    Everything is as always right
  10. groin
    groin April 23 2014 12: 34
    +4
    Everything is correct. Americans do not know any other way to get out of the financial impasse, except by organizing an international "squabble". It has been proven time and again. Only with Russia, bad luck comes out, it also knows what America wants. And whoever is warned is armed. correctly emphasizes that the reason is rather financial and economic, and taking into account their Bykov mentality, they will shove until they get a "sniff".
  11. Good cat
    Good cat April 23 2014 12: 35
    +2
    In my humble opinion, the topic has not been disclosed, I would also like to hear explanations why Sberbank and the Central Bank want us to depend on a green piece of paper. Fifth column? The charges are serious, so proof is needed. Otherwise, an article from the series "they are all k.o. evil ..". What solutions does the author suggest?
    1. gandalf
      gandalf April 23 2014 12: 56
      +1
      There is always one proposal - the nationalization of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation.
      Therefore they want that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is governed not by the government, but by the IMF, etc.
    2. cheega69
      cheega69 April 23 2014 13: 29
      0
      Yes, not the fifth column. Worse. They do not know how otherwise. All the chicks of Gaydarov’s nest.
    3. mamont5
      mamont5 April 23 2014 13: 57
      0
      Quote: Good cat
      why Sberbank and the Central Bank want us to depend on a green piece of paper.


      Are you afraid of change? The consequences are not calculated.
  12. skeptic
    skeptic April 23 2014 12: 37
    +1
    I would like to believe that this is a concession to China, since for them, holding the global amount of Gringos debt, breaking a buck is a disaster.

    I would like more to hope for the selection, the optimal moment, after which the gring will go to tartarar.
  13. Yuri Y.
    Yuri Y. April 23 2014 12: 46
    0
    After it became clear that this project was impossible, it was decided to create an abstract joint-stock company, which should do from scratch what has already been done within the framework of the ODP project. However, almost all actions of the Central Bank today are aimed at maintaining or strengthening the dependence of our economy on the dollar

    Honestly, I did not understand why AO is reinforcing its dependence on the dollar from scratch, but the ODP project is not. The only thing they differ in my eyes is the owners. But I don’t know either of them why they are from the ODP project better than others.
    1. Yuri Y.
      Yuri Y. April 23 2014 13: 12
      0
      Yes, I almost forgot.
      Liberal (I remind you that this word is used in our Forum to distinguish real liberals, that is, supporters of personal freedom from all violent external influences, from those who stand for "personal freedom" exclusively from the Russian state

      We do not have others in Russia. If there is an honest liberal (which is ridiculous), then in the gap behind him, in the current confrontation, liberalists of all stripes will break. Conclusion: liberal, then a traitor.
  14. Tulip
    Tulip April 23 2014 12: 50
    +2
    We should also note the situation with the ruble. Liberal (I recall that this word is used in our Forum to distinguish real liberals, that is, supporters of personal freedom from all violent external influences, from those who stand for "personal freedom" exclusively from the Russian state, but, say, not from the International Monetary Fund or international financial adventurers) the lobby in the government and the Central Bank of Russia is actively trying to prevent the creation of a full-fledged ruble financial system.

    I would like to hope that the creation of a nationally oriented elite in our economy will severely suppress such lobbyists.
  15. Andrey_K
    Andrey_K April 23 2014 13: 01
    0
    To protect against any sanctions, it is necessary to introduce a sanctions insurance fund.
    The money will come from special duties on imported goods, which can be called "insurance tax".
    Duties will be levied on goods of those countries from which the imposition of sanctions is most likely:
    From those who in the past have already applied sanctions to someone or those who have anti-Russian rhetoric and politics or threats, and from countries that are first in vassal dependence.
    The value of the duties is determined by the "reliability index" - it shows how much you can trust a particular country and whether there is a risk of receiving any sanctions from this country (or the failure of contracts).

    If then someone suffers from the actions of foreign partners (because of the actions of politicians), then their losses can be reimbursed for insurance, and the country can reduce the "reliability points".
  16. mig31
    mig31 April 23 2014 13: 13
    +1
    The State Department bubble must be pierced, and the thing is zilch ...
    1. Spnsr
      Spnsr April 23 2014 15: 40
      0
      Quote: mig31
      The State Department bubble must be pierced, and the thing is zilch ...

      not everything is as simple as we would like. a lot of people are hooked on greens, including Russian citizens, on them this bursting bubble will also fly by fragments ...
  17. Delink
    Delink April 23 2014 13: 21
    +3
    There is only one problem in the world, USA!
    This is one big problem.
    1. cheega69
      cheega69 April 23 2014 13: 31
      +1
      For us, the problem is rather not in the USA, but in ourselves. It is necessary to decide what to do and do.
    2. sluganska
      sluganska April 23 2014 14: 23
      0
      it remains for this "evil" to endure for a year and a half)
      they will tie their submarines to the pier so that they don’t drown and aircraft carriers in India and China ask for scrap metal
      and in Mexico for earnings it will probably be possible to go weeding cacti)
  18. demon184
    demon184 April 23 2014 14: 09
    0
    Ours even do not answer in any way, would long ago disconnect the GPS stations in our territory and is it time to unscrew the Russian part of the station from the ISS station and transfer it to another orbit? It’s harder to deal with this snickering and foul-smelling cattle, and it's time to deal with pests and agents of influence within the country. The country has provided such support to Putin and he is slow, it's time to put everything in its place.
  19. Prutkov
    Prutkov April 23 2014 14: 11
    +1
    The fact that America is "hysterical" can be seen with the naked eye. All these maneuvers with economic sanctions and seizure of accounts destroy the foundation of all liberal capitalism - the inviolability of private accounts and property. Accounts are seized without a court order, without any evidence. Only because someone did not like someone or did not say so, or did it. Pure banditry. It becomes dangerous to keep savings in dollars and euros. Russia and China do not need to do anything. The mattress toppers will do everything themselves. The main thing is to convey to the world the idea that dollar savings are in danger.
  20. Mareman Vasilich
    Mareman Vasilich April 23 2014 14: 24
    +3
    Khazin is clever. The fact that he described this is one of the main issues for the authorities, which, in order to solve it, requires courage and will.
  21. AIRO
    AIRO April 23 2014 14: 31
    0
    Isn't it possible in some way to change the current situation with the Central Bank? (if everyone knows that he is playing in someone else's favor ... and "figs" with them with the liberals).
  22. sledge
    sledge April 23 2014 15: 33
    0
    Quote: Mareman Vasilich
    Khazin is clever. The fact that he described this is one of the main issues for the authorities, which, in order to solve it, requires courage and will.

    Plus. Khazin is really smart. I read almost all of his publications - always correctly and intelligibly explains.
  23. zulusuluz
    zulusuluz April 23 2014 16: 44
    0
    It is possible, only this is a repetition of the 17th year. And the current ideology is rather weak - since Lenin will carry a maximum of half the population of the logs (I mean the secured).
  24. msv
    msv April 23 2014 17: 01
    0
    Quote: Baikal
    We already had a "curtain", at the recollection of which Messrs. Liberals begin to hysteria.
    And what was bad? The fact that any trash Western did not climb to us? Or were the products quality and cheap? Or the fact that all rot from the TVs did not pour? Or that bribe takers, rapists and murderers were shot? Or did they build their country in the way we needed, and not all the shitty things in Europe or the USA?
    Delayed ... in exchange for beads.
    Only it was not a "curtain". And our home. With strong walls.


    You are mistaken Baikal. Isolation or even worse self-isolation will lead to limited access to technology in various industries, respectively, inhibiting the development of the economy. And the fact that we are behind in the technological plan in different sectors from developed countries, I think you do not need to prove. Even Comrade Stalin was ready to cooperate with any ideological adversary, even with the devil himself, in order to purchase high-tech equipment and product samples for the implementation of industrialization. Because I understood that patriotism is good, but without a powerful industrial base, the country is doomed.
    Therefore, emotions are emotions, but you need to do your job.
  25. DanSabaka
    DanSabaka April 23 2014 18: 26
    0
    I have already commented on this topic and I will say it again:
    - Russia will not be able to collapse the dollar as long as these green candy wrappers are in such great demand inside Russia itself. And the demand for dollars is huge due to the fact that every self-respecting guest worker considers it his duty to send dollars to his homeland. An exception - only the Chinese, they buy and send yuan. But here - radish horseradish is not sweeter.