Military Review

Putin does not win - he has already won

185
Putin does not win - he has already wonPutin wants to make Russia strong and great again, says the author of the article in Foreign Policy


Ah, Vladimir Putin! Former KGB Colonel, Ice Looker, a man everyone likes to hate so much. Is his ambition limitless? Is it difficult for him to behave well? Why should he not listen to the voice of reason? All these tantrums are absolutely meaningless. In fact, it is the mind that is Putin’s strength, and the West could learn a lot from him.

Putin wants to make Russia strong and great again and thus remain in stories as a strong and great leader. Since the current state of affairs does not allow this, he needs to change the global balance. At the same time, he does not want to take a lot of risk: every time he makes a risky bet and loses, Russia begins to look weak and stupid. Therefore, he always follows a simple three-point scheme, which should guarantee him success. It seems to be taken from a textbook on game theory and, in my opinion, works something like this:

1. Identify opportunity. All games, except for hockey, in which Putin plays, are games in which he is guaranteed can win. As required by game theory, he calculates his possible moves and the moves of the opponent. He considers all scenarios to the very end. If he wins completely, or at least he remains at least in any gain for any possible outcome, then he enters the game. And only very rarely is he forced to participate in games that he does not want to play.

2. Change the status quo. If Putin will be inactive, everything will continue to go on the groove that does not suit him. Therefore, it is necessary for him to give events an impulse that will shift the situation in the direction he needs. He can do it himself or with someone else’s hands, and those he uses may or may not understand what is happening. It is only important that they can achieve change, even if they are not able to secure success without help from others.

3. Force opponents to accept the new status quo. Putin prefers opponents who are willing to put up with defeat and accept change. To achieve this, the Russian president is trying to make other type of reactions unprofitable.

Putin’s actions in Ukraine fully comply with this scheme. His main goal was to increase the power of Russia and force the West to retreat, expanding its sphere of control and influence. He would prefer to do it in a peaceful way throughout the whole territory of Ukraine, but he is ready to act in stages and, if necessary, resort to violence.

At the end of last year, he probably calculated the situation as follows. First, he offers Ukraine a package of financial assistance. He knew that his ally, the pro-Russian President Viktor Yanukovych, would accept this package. If this is all over, fine: Ukraine is once again becoming a customer of Russia. If not, then there will be unrest, protests, riots, or all at once, - the situation in the country is destabilized. And an unstable Ukraine will not be easily taken under control, especially when you consider that a fair amount of its territory sympathizes with Russia.

If instability reigns in Ukraine, Putin’s next move will invade the Crimea and legitimize the return of the Russian peninsula in one way or another. This will be the first step in the gradual restoration of Russian power over Ukraine. Take control of the Crimea will be easy. However, you will need to force opponents to accept it.

Similarly, if we destabilize the situation in eastern Ukraine, this will raise the stakes. As a result, the Ukrainian authorities and the West will fear that Russia will go further, and the situation will slide into open war. We are now at this stage.

Further steps Putin is quite obvious. Having created enough tension in Eastern Ukraine so that opponents get worried, he “will listen to the voice of reason”. He will deny pro-Russian forces in the region (whose actions he had previously encouraged), privately assuring them of his support and explaining that it is too early to act. The West will call it a step in the right direction, will express cautious optimism and allow its economic sanctions to lose force. Putin’s opponents, including the government in Kiev, seeking to return to ordinary political games and needing Russian energy, will declare victory: Russia has retreated, and the war has been avoided. The return of the Crimea to Russia will become a historical fact, which will be reminded only by small annual meetings at the White House and the UN building at the end of February.

Good results for six months of work. Russia will demonstrate and increase its power, and Putin’s opponents will never understand anything. What lessons would it take to endure? They, again, can be reduced to three points:

1. Find vulnerabilities, current and potential. Putin’s games are not always so obvious. The situation in Ukraine was not unstable, but Putin saw how it could be destabilized. The situation needs to be assessed not only at a specific moment, but also taking into account possible options. It is important to see which cards Putin can play, and deprive him of these trumps.

2. Understand the goals of the enemy. The West could not stop Putin, because for Putin the Crimea was more important than the damage that the West could cause. He was willing to pay for the peninsula and a much higher price. However, by showing this, he also demonstrated how highly he appreciates the various currencies of the geopolitical market — territory, money, reputation, and the like.

3. Use reverse induction. This is a key tool in game theory that allows analysts to predict in advance the actions of players, given how they will behave in the final stage of the game. For example, if I know that in response to a blow, you always turn the other cheek, I will be less inclined to compromise in negotiations and more likely to attack if they fail. Sounds familiar, doesn't it?

Recently, German Chancellor Angela Merkel remarked that Putin broke away from reality and lives in his own world. It's not like that at all. Putin is a rational player, consistently pursuing his own interests, which are generally well known to the world. Appeals to morality, international law and other regulators of behavior that are not limited to pure pragmatism can hardly work with it. At the same time, his straightforward approach makes him an extremely convenient adversary for any strategist who is able to think in a similar way. Probably, he is surprised that the West is so clumsily playing against him.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.km.ru/world/2014/04/10/737029-putina-ne-pobedit-uzhe-vyigral
185 comments
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  1. skifd
    skifd April 12 2014 11: 02
    +76
    Well, it’s necessary ... What Putin, however, is insidious ... the author is a provocateur. Minus
    1. elmi
      elmi April 12 2014 11: 19
      +37
      Putin’s next steps are quite obvious. Having created enough tension in Eastern Ukraine so that the opponents become worried, he “listens to the voice of reason”. He will renounce pro-Russian forces in the region (the actions of which he had previously encouraged), privately assuring them of his support and explaining that it is too early to act.

      Like clockwork all painted))) wishful thinking want to give out or impose their own version of events, muzzle them. For the sake of lifting sanctions, Putin will not step back from the southeast and in the event of bloodshed he will send troops and annex the southeast.
      1. NEMO
        NEMO April 12 2014 11: 31
        +30
        Quote: elmi
        Like clockwork all painted))) wishful thinking want to give out or impose their own version of events, muzzle them.

        Propaganda article for western layman, and not very sophisticated.
        If the author of the article were given the opportunity to “develop thought” further, the article would end up in vain that Putin distributed “cookies” on the Maidan. hi
        1. mirag2
          mirag2 April 12 2014 13: 22
          +9
          Absolutely, this article is from the resource "KM" - look what they are talking about, they are writing, a copy of the "echo" and "edges" ...
          1. Muadipus
            Muadipus April 12 2014 14: 29
            +17
            "In short, no one loves us, but they really want to fuck us"
            1. The comment was deleted.
            2. Tarpon
              Tarpon April 12 2014 15: 03
              +5
              Appeals to morality, international law and other regulators of behavior, ..., can hardly work with him
              The author mixed up everything - it's all about Obama and his allies.
            3. nemec55
              nemec55 April 12 2014 17: 41
              0
              What does it mean by love (gum brain frostbitten) without love we won’t give, degenerates are fucking.
      2. Kurkin
        Kurkin April 12 2014 12: 49
        +24
        The author of the article is apparently a worthless player. They are all trying to play cards, they are looking for "trump cards" from Putin, and Putin plays chess, and this is a completely different game. And they all think for him, put themselves with their habit of card sharpeners to bluff and cheat, in his place. Therefore, analysts and politicians are constantly sucked in. Moreover, not possessing the Russian mentality, they are simply not given the opportunity to try to calculate the moves of the Russian strategist. We are not frightened at all by any sanctions on the issue of the return of Kievan Rus. We are not mercantile, petty goons, worshiping the golden calf like "civilized" Western fallen people. Therefore, the victory will always be ours!
        1. Ross
          Ross April 13 2014 00: 02
          +2
          Kurkin
          They are all trying to play cards, they are looking for "trump cards" from Putin, and Putin is playing chess, and this is a completely different game.

      3. Well well...
        Well well... April 12 2014 13: 19
        +1
        You need to look ... otherwise it will be so!
      4. maks-101
        maks-101 April 12 2014 14: 46
        +5
        Do you know that? I’ll tell you one clever thing, but don’t be offended. All this is crap Putin’s plan to write his plan for him, and to whom he won’t tell which one.
      5. Ross
        Ross April 12 2014 16: 31
        +2
        The West wonders again: Huh, Mr. Putin?
    2. hommer
      hommer April 12 2014 11: 21
      +44
      Quote: skifd
      Well, well ..


      Guys, that's it, I can’t laugh anymore - the new pearl from censor.ua -
      In the Kherson region SBU detained subversive groups which tried to put labels for conducting anti-aircraft fire, - the governor

      “These are groups that, under the guise of a civilian population, are trying to penetrate Ukraine with false documents and conduct activities here,” Odarchenko said.

      According to him, the SBU has identified more than one such group in the Kherson region. “For example, sabotage groups were detained by the SBU, who tried to label anti-aircraft fire,” the governor said.

      He said that very powerful work is being done to identify saboteurs by both the central and local departments of the SBU in cooperation with the military and internal affairs bodies. Source: http://censor.net.ua/n280697

      What ground marks for anti-aircraft fire ?! Shoot tracked aircraft ?! laughing

      And in the comments - "why haven't they been shot until now?"
      1. Dart2027
        Dart2027 April 12 2014 11: 36
        +12
        Quote: hommer
        What ground marks for anti-aircraft fire ?! Shoot tracked aircraft ?!

        Well, apparently, Ukrainian scientists have developed transformer airplanes that are capable of both flying and traveling. Or maybe they know how to fly.
        1. sichevik
          sichevik April 12 2014 11: 48
          +7
          Quote: Dart2027
          Well, apparently Ukrainian scientists have developed transformer planes that are capable of both flying and traveling

          Maybe they can ride (in tow), but flying is unlikely. Well, except that to throw off the cliff ...
          1. Sergh
            Sergh April 12 2014 12: 10
            +10
            Quote: hommer
            who tried to label anti-aircraft fire

            What are you guys? Everything is simple. Black saboteurs were marking Ukrainian planes and satellites on the runway, and identified them by a can of paint produced by the Uryupinsky paint and varnish factory in Russia.
            1. Sergh
              Sergh April 12 2014 12: 57
              +3
              Infected, confused, put article + accidentally. Here is the bold.
              1. The comment was deleted.
              2. The comment was deleted.
          2. Penzyac
            Penzyac April 12 2014 12: 50
            +9
            Quote: sichevik
            Quote: Dart2027
            Well, apparently Ukrainian scientists have developed transformer planes that are capable of both flying and traveling

            Maybe they can ride (in tow), but flying is unlikely. Well, except that to throw off the cliff ...


            Hedgehog - a proud bird, do not kick - will not fly! wassat
        2. nika407
          nika407 April 12 2014 13: 17
          +4
          Quote: Dart2027
          Well, apparently, Ukrainian scientists have developed transformer airplanes that are capable of both flying and traveling. Or maybe they know how to fly.

          hommer, you censor to read a laugh?
        3. Korolev
          Korolev April 12 2014 16: 12
          +10
          You laugh in vain. The defense industry of Ukraine has developed Zbroya vidplati (retaliation weapon approx.) Shoots with firecrackers, dressed with cookies. While he does not shoot accurately, but eats a lot.
        4. PValery53
          PValery53 April 13 2014 08: 23
          0
          Antiaircraft marks are sratostats and airships hanging in the sky! - Now their "brilliant" military cunning is clear!
      2. infinite silence ...
        infinite silence ... April 12 2014 11: 38
        +12
        And they did not catch scouts in the buffet of the SBU? And it painfully looks like they are drinking something wrong .... Well ... or smoking wink
      3. Alexander Romanov
        Alexander Romanov April 12 2014 11: 43
        +9
        Quote: hommer
        In the Kherson region, the SBU detained sabotage groups that tried to label anti-aircraft fire

        Antiaircraft fire what I do not understand they tied their laughing
        If you follow the news on Censor.net, then in Ukraine, every day, take two, three groups of Russian saboteurs.
        Quote: hommer

        What ground marks for anti-aircraft fire ?! Shoot tracked aircraft?

        Well, yes, 90% of the Ukrainian Air Force is riveted to the ground, if they want to, they’ll have to put anti-aircraft guns on direct fire wassat
        1. serzh 58
          serzh 58 April 12 2014 12: 58
          +6
          The FSB and the GRU will soon be left without personnel. laughing
      4. Nils bor
        Nils bor April 12 2014 11: 48
        +17
        You didn’t know in Ukraine for a long time all tracked planes, but the tracks were lowered!
      5. antoha
        antoha April 12 2014 12: 12
        +17
        Topic: Quiet Ukrainian night,
        the cries on the Maidan fell silent
        To help homosexuals all
        Klitschko is writing a letter to Abama:
        My dear black-ass friend
        send us a couple of billion
        And then zayets our Yaytsenyuk
        Crimea blew Russia into backgammon.
        Sashko put on an oak tailcoat and
        Doesn’t run already to attack
        his shot jacket
        Tyagnibochek stuck in the asshole.
        Yarosh wanted to blow up the pipe
        but they called from Europe
        said if he is a cook
        they put a pipe in his ass.
        Julia’s roof was blown away,
        shaking and shaking with a hoof,
        she recently carried
        at a closed party meeting.
        Abama scratched his balls
        put his tail with a gun
        and to Kiev for the nickname sent
        american biscuits
      6. Orc-xnumx
        Orc-xnumx April 12 2014 12: 31
        +3
        Insanity was strong ...
      7. vlad.svargin
        vlad.svargin April 12 2014 14: 27
        +3
        hommer
        “For example, sabotage groups were detained by the SBU, which tried to label anti-aircraft fire,” the governor said.

        Tags put, raising his hind paw? belay
      8. Locksmith
        Locksmith April 12 2014 15: 23
        +1
        Quote: hommer
        What ground marks for anti-aircraft fire ?! Shoot tracked aircraft ?!

        vdrug zenitnue kompleksu nauchatcya letat wink a tut gotovue metki na zemle ,,,
      9. Turkir
        Turkir April 12 2014 22: 13
        +2
        And in the comments - “why haven't they been shot yet?

        But really, but why, they didn’t shoot ... together with the governor? winked
    3. vadson
      vadson April 12 2014 11: 23
      +12
      if my grandmother had a penis, she would be a grandfather. Western Byrans are all trying to figure out and understand Putin and the Russian soul. nude nude, good luck.
    4. schizophrenic
      schizophrenic April 12 2014 11: 26
      +1
      When one person armed with a club, another armed with a bow, did parity become equal or not?
      Quote: combat66
      : "Against the scrap, no reception if there is no other scrap."


      Take a gun, the best tool against scrap, though it all depends on the human factor.
      1. afire
        afire April 12 2014 11: 44
        +7
        article minus
        I will explain, instead of thinking and calculating possible moves, clumsy power and money act. And this journalist is trying on the existing situation in Ukraine under his conjectures, to which he is accustomed, which are convenient for him, who will be supported by "friends".
        I want to answer him, comrade! only it’s impossible to work with the mind, there is intuition, there is history, use it! besides, personally you don’t know what will happen next and you will never give forecasts. Here the analytical brain is needed. like this
    5. Stalnov I.P.
      Stalnov I.P. April 12 2014 11: 33
      +15
      I agree with the first paragraphs and the last paragraphs of this article that he is a KGB colonel and smart. a rational player, he wrote the rest of the scribbler of this article himself, the script that was written does not correspond to reality, only because HE PUTIN is a KGB colonel and rational, I add a pragmatic and smart politician-player and what he conceived, you will never know, just the KGB had good and smart teachers, and the fact that he is a PATRIOT of his country and it is not possible to calculate it, he thinks, and Western pseudo-democracy lives on instincts, feelings, well, just simple animals, threw a piece of sausage and stroked it on the head.
    6. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 12 2014 11: 39
      +14
      Quote: skifd
      . author provocateur

      Sorry, what did you actually expect from a man named Daniel Altman?
      The analyst of the publication Foreign Policy, who paid him, he licked hi
    7. predator.3
      predator.3 April 12 2014 11: 59
      +13
      The situation in Ukraine was not unstable, but Putin saw how it could be destabilized.

      And brought to the Maidan Bandera! fool
      1. sufix
        sufix April 12 2014 12: 29
        0
        Well, but what-Putin is to blame)
      2. sufix
        sufix April 12 2014 12: 29
        0
        Well, but what-Putin is to blame)
      3. Ulairy
        Ulairy April 12 2014 13: 11
        +2
        Oh, yes, it's all familiar! Vaughn, in the center, with a chain - "ghost rider"; on the left, Hulk Hogan, beaten by a moth, and on the right with a bully and a "stick" - Harry Potter (matured, grown up, dumbbell). And it's not a cobblestone. Judging by the way he tries to let them "bunnies" with a snide face, this is the notorious "philosopher's stone"! And they have the new Marvel logo on their sleeves. I’ll go and unsubscribe to this, what’s it, tribute to the altman that this new movie was shot in Kiev - "Man-Pook 4" ... wassat
      4. stalkerwalker
        stalkerwalker April 12 2014 14: 48
        +6
        Quote: predator.3
        And brought to the Maidan Bandera!

        Ilham ... Well, shame on you ....
        Well ... laughing
        "Children in Lviv played at the Gestapo ..."
    8. Penzyac
      Penzyac April 12 2014 12: 45
      +2
      Quote: skifd
      Well, it’s necessary ... What Putin, however, is insidious ... the author is a provocateur. Minus


      The author is a representative of the West and honestly shares his views, what do you want from him?
      Article plus, for one title!
    9. shurik
      shurik April 12 2014 13: 13
      +3
      The article is some kind of nonsense. First, second and dessert. The author must have completed the culinary college.
    10. W1950
      W1950 April 12 2014 13: 35
      +2
      The author, it seems, is a victim of the Amerov Unified State Examination, which reduced everything to 1,2,3. Everything is simple, but the reason is simple, the economist analyzes geopolitics .. It seems to him that it’s also just like a pot. with their external debt, and then they climbed into politics.
    11. Albert1988
      Albert1988 April 12 2014 13: 52
      +2
      Quote: skifd
      What Putin is however insidious ... author provocateur

      The author is more likely not a provocateur, but poses as an "analyst type" - puffs up so secretly - they say, how smart I am - I can see through Putin! And, as always, he carries him to his favorite propaganda steppe: again, it was Putin who destabilized the situation in Ukraine ...
      Yes, if you look, Russia and Putin, in particular, are precisely what stabilized the situation - is everything in the Crimea calm and peaceful, but in the rest of Ukraine? ..
    12. The comment was deleted.
    13. Rblipetsk
      Rblipetsk April 12 2014 14: 20
      +11
      Quote: skifd
      Well, then ... What Putin is however insidious ...

      here is his creepy plan
      1. Aleksandr68
        Aleksandr68 April 12 2014 16: 31
        +2
        Yes, I would not mind such a plan. Only, sorry, I will not survive - it is very long-term.
    14. askort154
      askort154 April 12 2014 15: 34
      +6
      skifd .... Well it is necessary ... What Putin however insidious ...

      "... Merkel noticed that Putin has become detached from reality and lives in his own world." (From the article)

      Today they showed how Merkel GARES (in the full sense) makes her way to an audience with Greek rulers. Merkel for the Greeks is a red rag for a bull! The day is not far off when it will become such for the Germans. Obamku and Merkel (not to mention the lower ones, Otland, etc.) are annoyed by the rise of Putin's international authority.
      An ordinary, base sense of envy. Neither Obama nor Merkel will become historical
      figures. And Putin has already blended for centuries. (Crimea)
    15. gispanec
      gispanec April 12 2014 15: 48
      +1
      Quote: skifd
      Well, it’s necessary ... What Putin, however, is insidious ... the author is a provocateur. Minus

      The author is not a provocateur, but a puny Jew ... following his logic, Israel deliberately supports fighting around the borders so that people only think about unity in connection with the fear of being destroyed (well, cry in front of the world for financial help .... free of charge)
    16. bif
      bif April 12 2014 16: 18
      +12
      Quote: skifd
      Well, it’s necessary ... What Putin, however, is insidious ... the author is a provocateur. Minus
  2. combat66
    combat66 April 12 2014 11: 04
    +15
    Not undeniably, but interesting.
    In general, it is possible to simplify primitively: "There is no reception against a scrap if there is no other scrap." smile
    1. ya.seliwerstov2013
      ya.seliwerstov2013 April 12 2014 11: 12
      +18
      I agree. There is no second Putin and the entire world community will not be able to oppose their leader of this level.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. vell.65mail.ru
        vell.65mail.ru April 12 2014 11: 28
        +10
        I am referring to the article: "Putin is not scary, he thinks logically well and God forbid there are more of them."
      3. Fin
        Fin April 12 2014 11: 30
        +7
        Quote: ya.seliwerstov2013
        There is no second Putin and the entire world community will not be able to oppose their leader of this level.

        At the moment, such on the horizon is not observed.
        his straightforward approach makes him an extremely convenient adversary for any strategist who is able to think in the same way.

        Well, here the author clearly did not make a conclusion to the cashier. The West has never calculated a single move, but it is about some "strategists".
        1. ya.seliwerstov2013
          ya.seliwerstov2013 April 12 2014 11: 57
          +3
          To calculate, you need to have something in your head other than ambition. And about the horizon
          not observed, here excuse me, oranges do not grow on the aspen.
    2. dmitriygorshkov
      dmitriygorshkov April 12 2014 11: 16
      +3
      Quote: combat66
      Not undeniably, but interesting.

      All that Altman scribbled can be called ANALYTICS if only from the word ANAL!
    3. W1950
      W1950 April 12 2014 13: 41
      +3
      There is nothing complicated. Just one good colonel of the KGB of the USSR several times steeps all the hated CIA. This is not James Bond. bully
  3. Baikal
    Baikal April 12 2014 11: 04
    +37
    Give me another term! wink And the author is suspicious.
    1. Srgsoap
      Srgsoap April 12 2014 11: 41
      +13
      And here's another ...
  4. Egoza
    Egoza April 12 2014 11: 04
    +34
    Oooh! Putin is winning! But the West will fight !!! Sanctions apply! Very specific! (Since the weekend is not a sin and laugh)

    How to punish Russia?



    “Matthew Bourne has just offered one of the answers to it, refusing to take his gay interpretation of Swan Lake to Russia. I think that a cultural boycott, in this case, is a good idea ... No art for Russia until it returns to a democratic and peaceful path! "
    http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2014/4/9/1397045840580

    /Swan-Lake--by-Matthew-Bou-002.jpg

    http://www.theguardian.com/artandd....an-lake
    xxxxx
    Yes, we somehow manage Russian classical ballet, dear Matthew! We do not need YOUR interpretations of RUSSIAN culture!
    1. Baikal
      Baikal April 12 2014 11: 16
      +27
      Somehow I recalled the footage of one video about a gay maggot on Airborne Forces Day.
      But this is the way out - everything ingenious is simple!
      You just had to buy tickets and educationally give them to the company of paratroopers laughing
    2. Dimy4
      Dimy4 April 12 2014 11: 56
      +4
      Ugh damn right now vomiting looking at this .. these pi ... th ... in general, they can not be called men and non-traditional.
  5. Hippopotamus
    Hippopotamus April 12 2014 11: 04
    +38
    Speaking of Putin, they forget about the 145 million Russians who stand behind him.
    1. yur
      yur April 12 2014 13: 03
      +13
      Quote: Hippo
      Speaking of Putin, they forget about the 145 million Russians who stand behind him.
      Plus for you, but we, thank God, are already 147 million! CRIMEA fellow drinks
      1. Hippopotamus
        Hippopotamus April 14 2014 07: 52
        +1
        A plus for you in response, but, unfortunately, there were only 143+ million of us at the beginning of 2014:

        http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/population/
        demography / #

        145 - this is taking into account the Crimea. However, there is reason to hope that soon it will be over 150! wink
        1. yur
          yur April 14 2014 11: 09
          0
          Quote: Hippo
          145 - this is taking into account the Crimea. However, there is reason to hope that soon it will be over 150!
          Dear Maxim, unfortunately we are both wrong. 143,7 + 2,7 = 146,4 million people. But I'm a little to the right. lol Sincerely.
  6. psychologist
    psychologist April 12 2014 11: 05
    +22
    Recently, German Chancellor Angela Merkel noticed that Putin has come off reality and lives in his own world. ahaha !! what a wonderful inner world he has !! and in the history after Crimea he certainly entered himself !!! Yes, and victories, I think, there is still not enough !! and insidiousness to him is only a plus !!
    1. schizophrenic
      schizophrenic April 12 2014 11: 34
      +4
      The West is used to playing by its own rules, and suddenly it turns out that these rules act against them. So the West lives in its illusionary world and the GDP just showed what kind of crap they were in. It turns out that in reality there is GDP and Merkel is in a fantasy world.
  7. mamont5
    mamont5 April 12 2014 11: 06
    +15
    "X, Vladimir Putin! Former KGB colonel, cold-eyed, man everyone loves to hate so much."
    Well, why everyone? In Russia, the country that occupies 1 / 7 or 1 / 8 part of the land, Putin is sympathetic, if not all, then about 60-80% of its population, and this is a considerable part of the world's population.

    "The situation in Ukraine was not unstable, but Putin saw how it could be destabilized."
    Well, this is frank pro-Western nonsense. It turns out that Putin destabilized the situation in Ukraine? Oh well.

    "Recently, German Chancellor Angela Merkel noticed that Putin has lost touch with reality and lives in his own world."
    Be that as it may, but this world suits us. But the world in which Merkel lives and the company looks very disgusting.
    1. nika407
      nika407 April 12 2014 21: 42
      +1
      Quote: mamont5
      which everyone loves to hate. "
      Well, why everyone?
      There is also a "National Front" wink
    2. Turkir
      Turkir April 12 2014 22: 18
      0
      Putin read Merkel’s words about him and simply came off ... laughing
  8. Sergei75
    Sergei75 April 12 2014 11: 06
    +1
    Big Crap!
  9. andrei332809
    andrei332809 April 12 2014 11: 06
    +6
    Author Daniel Altman

    it seems that the author is jealous that the GDP is not in charge of his country. squeaks, as if the hair on the ass is tearing itself. wash yourself democratizers
    1. ya.seliwerstov2013
      ya.seliwerstov2013 April 12 2014 11: 15
      +9
      Many countries would dream of having such a President.
      1. Little Muck
        Little Muck April 12 2014 11: 55
        +9
        Until recently, I was rather skeptical of GDP, but I’ve revised a lot lately (especially the strategy and tactics of conducting the world chess game).
        Today I believe in my country (unconditionally), I believe in my president and I am proud that I Russian.
        And this is not pathos, and not deflection. Personal awareness of my mistakes made me more intelligent (strategy and tactics) and strong (spiritually). I have been playing chess quietly for a long time, but everything that happens is Master Class.
        And today, looking at our country, we see envious glances not only because of the territory, but because of such a President.
        But calculating the GDP will not work, the calculator has not grown.
  10. combat66
    combat66 April 12 2014 11: 07
    +3
    Quote: Hippo
    Matthew Bourne has just offered one of the answers to it, refusing to take his gay interpretation of Swan Lake to Russia. I think a cultural boycott is, in this case, a good idea ... No art for Russia until it returns to a democratic and peaceful path! "Http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/ Pix / pictures / 2014/4/9/1397045
    840580 / Swan-Lake - by-Matthew-Bou-002.jpghttp: //www.theguardian.com/artandd....an
    -lake

    Are you on purpose? To vomit in the morning? am
  11. polly
    polly April 12 2014 11: 09
    +12
    Come on, "our American and Western partners" will not help analyzing Putin ...
    1. Igor39
      Igor39 April 12 2014 12: 56
      +1
      Which chess is respected? Putin and the West are not playing chess, they are playing the ball-marik! But you know the ball-marik for whom. laughing
      1. Login_Off
        Login_Off April 12 2014 14: 35
        +4
        I play an online military strategy and these are the main actions for gaining dominance by the Alliance (territory, the influence of the entire alliance).
        1. Accumulate troops for attack and defense.
        2. Do not get involved in war until there is nothing to take from the enemy. Why fight if there is no gain.
        3. Calculation of their capabilities to attack the enemy.
        4. Do not take away from the enemy more than you can keep. (Why break an extra attack, it may be required either to retaliate against the enemy, or for further conquests.)
        5. Do not leave the enemy without anything at all (An enemy who has nothing to lose will act like that).
        6. Do not go into the front ranks, it is better to have leverage than to bite for 1 place.
  12. homosum20
    homosum20 April 12 2014 11: 09
    +6
    "That being said, his straightforward approach makes him an extremely convenient opponent for any strategist who can think in a similar way. It probably surprises him that the West is playing against him so ineptly."
    By the same logic, any strategist who can think in the same way is a convenient opponent for Putin. Not strategists (like Merkel, European leaders, etc.) - a convenient adversary for Putin because of the inability to understand his priorities and goals.
    Thus, in any case (well, at least this is proved in "Foreign Policy") the Path starts and wins. And with him - Russia. And we are with him.
    1. sPS
      sPS April 12 2014 11: 38
      +4
      we and Europe have different values, so Merkel believes that GDP is divorced from reality, it is difficult for them to understand that their sex revolution and united Europe are of little interest to us
      1. Alexanderrr
        Alexanderrr April 12 2014 19: 26
        +1
        "sex revolution?" No, rather, sex degradation. In short, with such a gay.rope we are not on our way. They have different priorities. Since it's easier to ride down the hill, so they roll, and Putin has higher aspirations, and not everyone can pull it up the hill, but in the end, I believe, the first unconditional victories will be grandiose! Keep it up!
  13. Nikolaevich
    Nikolaevich April 12 2014 11: 09
    +6
    One gets the impression that every one "analyst" is trying to turn the arrows on Putin after that pigsty in the literal sense, which they also arranged
  14. -Patriot-
    -Patriot- April 12 2014 11: 09
    +3
    A Western author-article with a Western scent, respectively) Well, Putin’s ambitions are proportional to the real status and capabilities of our country, no more, no less. He just does not hesitate, but does as he should do.
  15. tanit
    tanit April 12 2014 11: 09
    +9
    That's what is characteristic. If on some Russo-liberal or're coming out-vseznayemkonobylonetroznenku resource trying to offend the opponent - then the word "chekist" is used. I am personally sorry that I am not a Chekist. And I, personally, am proud - that Putin is a Chekist.
    1. Andron-rnj
      Andron-rnj April 12 2014 13: 19
      +1
      I don’t have to argue with you, I admit the word Chekist not so long ago; you need to decrypt and make some kind of historical reference The Cheka through the inter-commission committee was created during the time of the dark turmoil of 1917, in those worst years we lost Russia for a while, God will give us the Russians the former and the glory of God we’re starting to do this, HELLO CRIMEA WELCOME HOME so the Chekist word in me did not give a very friendly response, now I am grateful to you guys from the FSB for our peace
  16. SPACE
    SPACE April 12 2014 11: 11
    +1
    The idiots decided to shake the apple tree, they just didn’t take into account that it grows on a slope, in general it remains to observe where the apples are rolling, we already have one ...
  17. Riperbahn
    Riperbahn April 12 2014 11: 12
    +5
    Something seems to me - everything is sucked from the finger. Somehow childish. Like, the cunning Putin didn’t take the toy away, but made the other boy take it away from the girl. So let's threaten him with a finger and hold hands :))))
  18. svp67
    svp67 April 12 2014 11: 13
    +6
    Appeals to morality, international law and other regulators of behavior that are not reduced to pure pragmatism can hardly work with him
    This statement of the author just KILLED ...
    Appeal to WHAT MORALITY? The one that is beneficial to the United States - namely, when it is possible to pass off white as black, and black as white ...
    TO INTERNATIONAL LAW - to what, to the right of the strong? If you are weaker than me, then do not stick your head out, otherwise I will "roll out rockets and bombs", and then I will "iron out" the tracks of tanks, and I will say that all this is legal, and who does not agree - read from the beginning ...
    TO OTHER BEHAVIORAL REGULATORS - which ones? What I want, I’m turning and not asking anyone, and then I will blame everyone for my sins ...
    No - we are to blame for what happened in Ukraine and will happen, but only that we did not notice for too long that our fraternal country had all sorts of trash in its "friends", which in every possible way leads it astray from the normal path of development ...
  19. SRC P-15
    SRC P-15 April 12 2014 11: 13
    +8
    ("At the same time, he does not want to take much risk: every time he makes a risky bet and loses, Russia begins to look weak and stupid")
    This is when Putin lost and Russia looked stupid? So far the opposite: the West looks stupid and bewildered. They are already in a panic, afraid of the unpredictable moves of our president. They are stupid still did not understand that Putin's main strength is in the truth, and he does not need to cast out, the truth itself will eventually come out.
  20. WKS
    WKS April 12 2014 11: 14
    +4
    In order to simulate the behavior of someone, at least to have a real outlook and erudition, or at least some time to be in the "skin". The article is neither one nor the other. The author apparently has a rich gaming experience, but in life everything is more complicated.
  21. krpmlws
    krpmlws April 12 2014 11: 14
    +4
    It’s an attempt to summarize, such as Russians can be counted and beaten. It is interesting to imagine how a Western expert or politician calculates the Russian soul, which supercomputers he’s using, which lines he will measure laughing . The poor fellow will not understand that the Russian soul is for the west-darkness, this is our strength and the reason for the inevitable defeat of the west.
  22. Vadim12
    Vadim12 April 12 2014 11: 14
    +3
    It is necessary to feed all those who disagree with America so that they slowly destroy the foundations of the pseudo-democracy imposed by the USA on their vassals. (primarily in the information field). The result will be tremendous. Blows on the image of the United States like the Snowdenovskys, publications on the topic of human rights violations in Guantanomo, and Putin has many levers.
  23. Donskoi
    Donskoi April 12 2014 11: 18
    +3
    These western zhurnalyugi are ridiculous. They think that alone analytical centers, advisers, etc., can calculate - all this power, led by GDP laughing
    Vladimir Vladimirovich has no equal leaders in the world! In such a short period of time, only the Russians can create a "machine" capable of resisting the West! And they will never understand and calculate the Russian soul tongue
    The main thing now is to support GDP at all levels and fronts! Russia should be raised under the blows of world vampires only by all the people, all as one!
  24. ya.seliwerstov2013
    ya.seliwerstov2013 April 12 2014 11: 18
    +2
    Appeals to morality, international law and other regulators of behavior that are not reduced to pure pragmatism can hardly work with him.
    Here are the bastards. We are the only ones who play honestly. That's why we always won and we will win.
  25. siberalt
    siberalt April 12 2014 11: 19
    +3
    Not only Putin won, but everyone who voted for him and believed.
    No need to make him an idol, he does not need a cult. Hero - yes, no doubt! Not everything has been completed yet, and to the main point - so far. But there is hope and faith.
  26. mabuta
    mabuta April 12 2014 11: 19
    +23
    Strength is in truth. And to beat Putin, the West is not destined. He is honest, and this is his strength.
    1. Andron-rnj
      Andron-rnj April 12 2014 12: 21
      +4
      Well, I can still tell you .... Well, yes, just Putin
  27. serega.fedotov
    serega.fedotov April 12 2014 11: 19
    +5
    The author of the article tries to bite the GDP out of silence, while shouting between the lines: I WANT THE SAME PRESIDENT!
  28. Mihail177
    Mihail177 April 12 2014 11: 21
    +4
    he does not want to take much risks: every time he makes a risky bet and loses, Russia begins to look weak and stupid.
    Another nonsense of the Anglo-Saxons. They don’t know our life and are trying to understand something with their flat mind ... fool
  29. Leader
    Leader April 12 2014 11: 23
    +9
    [/ quote] Matthew Bourne has just suggested: No art for Russia until it returns to the democratic and peaceful path! ”
    [/ Quote]
    This is art? Ah ha ha ha! P.I.d.o.s., come to us, in the Russian outback - here you will stay.
    1. Penzyac
      Penzyac April 12 2014 13: 36
      0
      [quote = Leader] [/ quote] Matthew Bourne has just suggested: No art for Russia until it returns to the democratic and peaceful path! ”
      [/ Quote]
      This is art? Ah ha ha ha! P.I.d.o.s., come to us, in the Russian outback - here you will stay. [/ Quote]

      What are you, what are you? Why do we need them?
      Better to go to Saudi Arabia, they will be "loved" there! wassat
  30. CAMS
    CAMS April 12 2014 11: 24
    +2
    the article is complete provocative nonsense, I have already met it on another resource. The conclusions that the article puts are absolutely anti-Russian. The author cannot understand that the people support Putin and cannot 145 million be cunning, treacherous grandmasters. Western politicians and journalists DO NOT WANT to see and advertise the unity of the TRUTH in the person of RUSSIA !!!
  31. olviko
    olviko April 12 2014 11: 25
    +11
    In fact, it is reason that is Putin’s strength, and the West could learn a lot from him.
    Putin always proceeds according to the scheme: Offering an opponent a mutually beneficial compromise, in case of refusal - punishment, indicative flogging, offering a new compromise on much less favorable terms - in case of refusal - punishment, indicative flogging, proposing a new ... And so - the cycle for bid increase cycle.
    http://imperiya.by/news.html?id=132208
  32. Pastor
    Pastor April 12 2014 11: 26
    +1
    underestimates the short-sighted author of Putin, minus of course a huge ..
  33. onegin61
    onegin61 April 12 2014 11: 29
    +2
    We must also switch to the resources sold through gold security: it’s only for gold or a gold certificate, in the worst case, the currency guaranteed with gold. You look and other resource-forming countries will catch up. And Putin will have full respect and respect. This is a kind of response to sanctions.
    1. demoniac1666
      demoniac1666 April 12 2014 13: 04
      +2
      Perhaps I agree with you, though one fat "BUT" emerges in this matter: how to do this without unleashing a war with the rootless (the USA), because to save their candy wrappers they will commit any crimes, just remember the former head of the IMF Dominic Strauss-Kahn.
      He, the poor fellow, only had to stutter against the dollar, and then he became a "lover of maids" You are talking about the exit of a huge country with a giant economy from the dollar scam! Imagine for a moment their (mattress) reaction !!!
  34. morpogr
    morpogr April 12 2014 11: 29
    +19
    Great and terrible !!! laughing
    1. Andron-rnj
      Andron-rnj April 12 2014 12: 16
      +1
      well, right to the point
  35. patriot123
    patriot123 April 12 2014 11: 30
    +6
    this is Putin !! followed by Russia and the 1000th story !!
    1. andrei332809
      andrei332809 April 12 2014 11: 55
      +3
      Quote: patriot123
      1000 story !!

      swim finely, comrade. much deeper. Of course, do not compare with protoukry, but still ... repeat
  36. igorra
    igorra April 12 2014 11: 31
    +2
    Haha, twice, Western morality, international law and this is said by the people who bombed Serbia, Iraq and Libya, these same people who exchanged family values ​​for LGBT, these moral monsters do not even have the concept of "conscience" in their language. In my opinion, Putin is in vain to change the direction of foreign policy to the east, we have not even begun a civilizing mission in the west.
    1. Penzyac
      Penzyac April 12 2014 13: 44
      +1
      Quote: igorra
      Haha, twice, Western morality, international law and this is said by the people who bombed Serbia, Iraq and Libya, these same people who exchanged family values ​​for LGBT, these moral monsters do not even have the concept of "conscience" in their language. In my opinion, Putin is in vain to change the direction of foreign policy to the east, we have not even begun a civilizing mission in the west.


      But he does not change, he expands and diversifies. Well, why be limited to one west? hi
    2. yur
      yur April 12 2014 13: 52
      +3
      Quote: igorra
      on LGBT, these moral monsters do not even have the concept of "conscience" in their language.
      Yesterday at a meeting of the Security Council, Putin noted that "it is not good to read other people's letters" (about the fact that the letters were sent to the leaders of Europe, and the United States is the first to answer them). So, I'm sure they did NOT even realize that it really is NOT decent.
  37. 111 soldier
    111 soldier April 12 2014 11: 33
    +7
    Putin is currently the number one politician in the world !! hardly anyone will argue with this now! to take away the peace prize from the plank and give it to the one who deserves it !!
    1. Penzyac
      Penzyac April 12 2014 13: 49
      +1
      Quote: soldier 111
      Putin is currently the number one politician in the world !! hardly anyone will argue with this now! to take away the peace prize from the plank and give it to the one who deserves it !!


      The key word is to take away from Obama, and now, now she has become a normal deserved people to get zapadlo. Need to wash, spoiled bastard.
    2. yur
      yur April 12 2014 13: 59
      +1
      Quote: Soldier 111
      hardly anyone will argue with this now! take away the peace prize from the plank and give it to the one who deserves it!
      Let them stick their liberal western prize into their western ... Well, in general, there, with what they think. And our people will reward Putin.
  38. Cams
    Cams April 12 2014 11: 35
    +6
    Quote from the first paragraph: "At the same time, he does not want to take much risk: every time he makes a risky bet and loses, Russia starts to look weak and stupid."
    Something I have never seen Putin make a bet and lose .... Something the author confused ....
  39. vinc
    vinc April 12 2014 11: 37
    +3
    The solution is covaar.
  40. VadimL
    VadimL April 12 2014 11: 40
    +1
    I put the article minus. Obviously, the author did not understand a damn thing either in the situation or in psychology.
  41. Denis Tatar
    Denis Tatar April 12 2014 11: 41
    +1
    article about how Putin spoiled paving stones on the Maidan, and somewhere else spoiled something. Dumb article, cons to her.
  42. tnship2
    tnship2 April 12 2014 11: 42
    +11
    What an informed author, however. Voe knows. What Putin thinks. What Putin is going to do. On the contrary, read
    thinking of any muddy political scientists. I want to answer something like this
    :
    1. 11111mail.ru
      11111mail.ru April 12 2014 11: 59
      +3
      Quote: tnship2
      I would like to answer something like this

      The answer is worthy to "suck evil! Only inspires fear that you have a hieroglyph, and this somehow strains me in the light of my love for" brothers forever. "
  43. Denis Tatar
    Denis Tatar April 12 2014 11: 44
    +2
    foreign journalists and d & ts? or are their works selectively shown to us?
  44. anfil
    anfil April 12 2014 11: 46
    +4
    What ground marks for anti-aircraft fire ?! Shoot tracked aircraft ?! laughing

    As in the tale of Ali Baba and the forty robbers. Chalk crosses or circle outlines like Gogol’s
  45. tnship2
    tnship2 April 12 2014 11: 46
    +2
    I borrowed a picture right here on the forum. thanks to the unknown author .ooooooochen actual
  46. shitovmg
    shitovmg April 12 2014 11: 49
    +8
    Who said that RUSSIA is not a superpower ??? There are only 145 million of us ... Which ones? That is the whole answer !!! angry
    1. Serg 122
      Serg 122 April 12 2014 12: 29
      +2
      There are only 145 million of us ... Which ones? That is the whole answer !!!
      Like in the movie "300 Spartans"! "How many people are with you? 4000. Who are they? Shepherds, peasants, artisans ... Spartans, how many warriors among you? AUM ... laughing Well, you see - there are more soldiers among us! "
    2. Penzyac
      Penzyac April 12 2014 13: 54
      0
      Quote: shitovmg
      Who said that RUSSIA is not a superpower ??? There are only 145 million of us ... Which ones? That is the whole answer !!! angry


      Type - we are few, but we are in vests? wassat
  47. Ruswolf
    Ruswolf April 12 2014 11: 49
    +4
    It seems that the author does not get out of the casino.
    The game, the players .... That is why both the US and the EU are constantly in the "w" (let them figure it out either below the back or in the restroom). Because for them everything is a game. Today they made a bet, tomorrow they bluffed, they folded the cards. A stash of some sort.
    And then again, Putin has 21 all the time. But card debts, gentlemen of the capitalists, it is necessary to repay - this is a holy cause.
    1. Denis Tatar
      Denis Tatar April 12 2014 11: 56
      +1
      there is nothing sacred for them, they are capitalists
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. thimble
      thimble April 12 2014 12: 55
      +1
      The fact of the matter is that they are obsessed with game theory: virtual games, the world - a chessboard (Brzezinski), etc. etc. But life is not a game. And unlike virtual games, they die only once and they can’t replay in a new way.
      And again: the father didn’t beat his son - he played, but because he recouped.
  48. plotnikov561956
    plotnikov561956 April 12 2014 11: 50
    +6
    Appreciated by the junior of the Grand Master ... an article with a sweetheart, minus ...
  49. a-cola
    a-cola April 12 2014 11: 54
    +9
    That's what a scoundrel Putin is! He gave money to Ukraine to strengthen his influence! Chotzh in the west did not give a dime a cent, except for cookies? Increase your influence **, have been waiting already !!! Chatterboxes are bespordonny ...
  50. ALEKS419
    ALEKS419 April 12 2014 11: 55
    +5
    Quote: skifd
    Well, it’s necessary ... What Putin, however, is insidious ... the author is a provocateur. Minus
    The author's last name speaks for itself.