Military Review

Will the European Union last until 2025?


The European Union has exhausted growth opportunities and, like the Universe after the Big Bang, is beginning to shrink. The process of collapse has already been launched: Scotland and Catalonia have declared their intention to declare independence, which, most likely, after gaining sovereignty, will be outside the political borders of the union. In such circumstances, the West clearly has no time to follow the development of events in Ukraine, and even less to take care of its territorial integrity.

"Pain points" of the West

The European Union is too diverse and multinational to remain united. Friction between representatives of different ethnic groups and confessional groups now and then make themselves felt: either the Northern Irish insurgents shoot at the English military unit, or the Basques from ETA blow up a police station in Spain. In the fat "zero" passions managed to somewhat reduce, but the deep crisis of the Western economic system again exacerbated the contradictions.

The European Union has incredibly many pain points, some of which are of increased danger. In addition to Catalonia and Scotland, independence is required in Flanders, in Sardinia and in the Veneto region. In Greenland, too, they want sovereignty: this island, back in 1985, refused to join the European structures and, through a referendum, 2008, achieved significant concessions from Denmark on self-government issues. The Transylvanian Hungarians in Romania, the Basques in Spain, the Bretons in France, the Welsh in Great Britain, and the Silesians in Poland desire the creation of their national autonomies.

There is a risk that Hungarians compactly residing in the south of Slovakia will require a revision of their borders in order to be on the territory of Hungary, and Alsatians in France will want to join Germany. However, it’s not a fact that the FRG will manage to preserve its territorial integrity: Bavaria, Saxony, Württemberg and a number of other federal states can take a course towards secession from the next German union.

A similar situation exists in Spain and Italy: these countries consist of many areas that are weakly interconnected. Each of these regions has its own language, its own culture, its own история. Many areas were once separate states, such as Piedmont, Lombardy or Neapolitania. In the Italian Alps there are Germans living in Austria.

The situation is even worse in the neophyte countries: for example, in Croatia, which recently became a full member of the European Union, many Serbs remained after the war. Their integration into the Croatian society is one of the most difficult problems for Zagreb. The slightest spark will lead to a new confrontation. In Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia from the times of the Soviet Union, large Russian-speaking communities remained, oppressed by the authorities of the Baltic republics and without war.

Separatist sentiments are strong on the other side of the ocean. Supporters of the independence of Quebec intend to separate this province from Canada, turning it into a French-speaking republic, a kind of overseas France. Quebec is one of the most developed and densely populated regions of Canada, and its loss will be a painful blow for Ottawa.

In general, in all the above cases, attention is drawn to the fact that the departments require quite prosperous regions that “feed” the metropolis. For example, contributions to the Spanish budget from Catalonia exceed the amount of subsidies received by the autonomous republic. The same can be said about Veneto and Lombardy, where most Italian industrial enterprises are concentrated. Why do northern Italians have to keep southerner Italians who are employed mainly in the low-income agricultural sector? In addition, the mafia is strong in the south, Naples is its unofficial capital. And about Turin or, say, Venice this can not be said.

The global economic crisis has exacerbated the relationship between the regions-breadwinners and metropolitan countries. The Catalans and the people of Northern Italy are wondering why they should be fed at their expense in Madrid and Rome. Interestingly, in the same way they think in Eastern Ukraine, where industry is developed not like the western part of the country. But the West treats the separation of Catalonia with understanding, but does not even want to hear about the creation of a sovereign state in the Russian-speaking South-East of Ukraine. However, the policy of double standards Europe and destroy.

Healthy Euroskepticism

The European Union was created with the support of the socialists and the Christian Democrats, but now these parties are inferior to the right. The Right - the enemy of further European integration, supporters of preserving the independence of European states.

Opinion polls indicate that voters' confidence in the ruling parties in Western Europe is declining. No wonder: most of the slogans put forward by Western European leaders are populist and unrealizable in practice. The right - a great alternative to the podnadoevshimi European bureaucrats, these old people from Brussels.

In 1999, the Austrian Freedom Party won the next parliamentary elections. Europe was shocked by this: on the eve of a closer integration, nationalists came to power in one of the key countries of the continent! However, party leader Jörg Haider showed restraint and commitment to the principles of international politics, acting for the good of Austria and its partners.

Later, the right-wing parties FIDES and Jobbik came to power in Hungary. It turned out that they are also not dangerous, and a nation-oriented state may well exist in the very center of a united Europe. In the footsteps of Hungary went Bulgaria, where the “Attack” party is one of the strongest political players. Now the right is gaining popularity in France - voters of the Right Republic are disappointed in Francois Hollande and his helpless euro-socialists.

The positions of so-called euro skeptics are being strengthened. Euroscepticism is especially strong in the UK, which has for many decades opposed the integration policy of Brussels and criticized the idea of ​​federalizing the European Union by introducing a single currency, creating supranational executive bodies and adopting a constitution that is uniform for all European countries. Greenland, as stated above, is also strongly opposed to the policies of Brussels, and is trying to distance itself from the rest of Europe, which, according to the islanders, is slowly sinking.

The processes taking place in the European space are reminiscent of events in the USSR on the eve of the fateful 1991 of the year. In many EU countries - mass actions against the European integration policy of the authorities, radical parties are becoming more active, the ideas of right-wing parties are becoming popular. The economic crisis has shown the failure of the European Union, when many countries were helpless and faced bankruptcy, but instead of supporting the “allies” they received only burdensome loans.

In the near future, anti-European tendencies will only increase. It is obvious that Brussels is not able to preserve its empire, and in the near future we will witness the end of a united Europe.

The only question is how long the process of the collapse of the European Union will take: the EU institutions will degrade not all at once, but separately. Therefore, the crisis in Europe, which began in 2008, will last many more years, until disappointment reaches such a scale when the union will have to be forgotten.
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  1. ya.seliwerstov2013
    ya.seliwerstov2013 April 9 2014 08: 33
    The economic crisis demonstrated the failure of the European Union, when many countries were helpless and faced the threat of bankruptcy, but instead of supporting the "allies" received only onerous loans.
    The European Union has exhausted itself ... tongue
    1. Yura
      Yura April 9 2014 09: 34
      Quote: ya.seliwerstov2013
      The European Union has exhausted itself ...

      Exhausted even during his birth, his appearance is associated with an incorrect message. Living as before at the expense of colonies and robbery, but dressed in a beautiful wrap of the Union, he did not cease to be the brainchild of monopolistic and government circles, raiding (piracy) is their main instrument of politics and prosperity.
  2. Terrible ensign
    Terrible ensign April 9 2014 08: 41
    A number of objective indicators confirm the strengthening of nationally oriented political movements. The consequences of the economic crisis cannot be eliminated. If the situation with the national debt of the United States worsens and at least a partial cancellation of international payments in dollars occurs with the transition to other currencies (even if the notorious euro ...), then there will be so much fun that a national apartment for each country will seem to be one of the main solutions , instead of feeding the neighbors too, they themselves would survive somehow ...
  3. Sergg
    Sergg April 9 2014 08: 43
    Will the European Union last until 2025?

    A short joke. laughing You need to be a little more modest and raises the question: will it survive until 2015?
  4. Wolland
    Wolland April 9 2014 08: 44
    An anecdote from this can be composed)))
  5. mamont5
    mamont5 April 9 2014 08: 50
    "Will the European Union last until 2025?"

    Something gnawing at me doubt. If the old European countries, such as England, Spain, Italy are ready to break up, then the EU will not last long.
  6. dirty trick
    dirty trick April 9 2014 09: 10
    This is about Europeans and those who are eager for Europe:
  7. parusnik
    parusnik April 9 2014 09: 19
    Will the European Union last until 2025? I’ll burst before, I won’t cry .. and I won’t scream ..
  8. fregina1
    fregina1 April 9 2014 09: 38
    Will the European Union last until 2025? What's the point? repeat What kind of person is there before 2025, a chuckler will come much earlier! And as soon as the kirdyk to the dollar, the EU’s edges just fall off! I just want the collapse of the dollar to look at all the Balts, Poles and other shells! What will they do then? To whom to yap? Whose bases to place! Pugs!
  9. inkass_98
    inkass_98 April 9 2014 09: 47
    Will the European Union last until 2025?
    It will exist for a while, the question itself is posed incorrectly. Moreover, the author slightly distorts the facts.
    For too long, Europe has lived in a single trading and production site in order to safely survive their destruction. In this case, the economy of absolutely all countries of the Union will collapse, not excluding locomotives like Germany or France. In this case, it is appropriate to talk about the collapse of the euro zone and the elimination of unified financial and economic institutions, a return to national securities and currencies.
    The EU itself is ruining itself by the accession of new members, so to speak, work for the sake of work, the shaft according to plan. If before (before the collapse of the Eastern Bloc and the USSR) the countries were approached to the European Union very carefully, then, in pursuit of new markets and in a political rage - to hurt the defeated century-old enemy / Russia, they began to accept all kinds of economic giants like Romania and Bulgaria.
    That is the answer to all the questions - the European Union created a stone that it itself could not lift. Hence all the crises, bankrupt countries and other charm of the capitalist model of the economy. For complete happiness, it remains to accept the Ruin into the European Union and enter it into the euro zone. After that, you can put a big and beautiful "+" (aka a cross) on the European economy. Something like this.
    1. asadov
      asadov April 9 2014 10: 39
      I agree. This is exactly what is happening with the EU.
  10. Altona
    Altona April 9 2014 10: 52
    Dancing with a tambourine around our energy sources also does not refresh the state of the Eurosovka ... Pedaling of some kind of its exclusivity bends the Eurosovka under the USA and China ...
  11. kind
    kind April 9 2014 11: 10
    They envy the USSR, so they created the EU, but they don’t succeed like in the USSR - the mentality is not the same, there is no common capital, and there is no common idea either. Although they created an alliance, they still pull each blanket over themselves; there is no equality in the USSR. The claims to each other in the EU are enormous. They won’t last long.
  12. sv68
    sv68 April 9 2014 12: 01
    Yes, it doesn’t matter how long the EU will survive, but it is important that in this version the EU discriminates itself, both politically and economically, the whole EU depends on the economies of three or four countries, including the overseer, the USA. The EU will fall apart just when it suddenly decides to pursue a policy incompatible with the decrees of America and decides to get rid of the ballast, the weakest countries, and so as soon as the EU decides on its own and independently of the United States, the organization will quickly and artificially collapse
  13. Koliamba_TV
    Koliamba_TV April 9 2014 12: 12
    I saw on the news that in France, though, normal, sane people who want to leave the EU and establish relations with Russia come to power. If one of the EU countries, for example, France leaves the EU, this will lead to it (EU) collapse. Or any other country is like a chain reaction, if one comes out, then everyone will come out.
  14. rezident
    rezident April 9 2014 13: 34
    The West is not ossified satrapy therefore can act flexibly. If European integration is not needed then why keep it will come up with something new. Most of the high-tech products are produced in the local regions. Iron software different CAD systems with which the enterprises of the domestic defense industry work are their products. Computers, machine tools, cars are also their brainchild. The West has nabbed a lot, but it has nurtured even more.
  15. silver169
    silver169 April 9 2014 16: 34
    So I want the author's words to come true and this artificial, unnecessary entity "European Union" collapsed.
  16. mig31
    mig31 April 9 2014 16: 42
  17. Stranavl
    Stranavl April 9 2014 17: 12
    Russia has long been going to be divided into separate states.
  18. Rasputin
    Rasputin April 9 2014 17: 58
    What a friendly howl about the demise of the EU. Knowing the nature / soul of a Russian person (corrupted by the Soviets, to the bottom), your harmony in gloating does not surprise, but causes regret. You are 60% dependent on food imports, drive European cars, the entire mob system. communications and computers are not of the Russian production, you would still twist the handles of telephones today, you would live in Khrushchev and other delights of the Soviets.
    I am often in the EU (and at this time too), I am surprised at the creative work and successes of this education. They have problems, but they solve them, unlike Russia. Where the thieves' system robs peoples and does not stop everyone from grabbing what's bad. I remember Poland as a backwater in the 90s and see its radical renewal and success. I remember the ruins left by the SA in the GDR, scary, almost like in the 45th, and how the former GDR was updated, I don’t know. So it will be with everyone who has joined the EU, but they will force them to work, not to steal like yours.
    Continue to envy, steal, spoil your land and slowly learn Chinese, it will come in handy for you!
    1. uzer 13
      uzer 13 April 10 2014 01: 50
      Computers are the same in the EU and in Russia and are made of the same components that are not produced in Europe. Almost all "European" cars are produced in Russia and household appliances too, albeit under the brand name of well-known brands. And purely produced goods in Europe are practically sold no, because in terms of price-quality ratio they are not able to compete with other manufacturers, China is the same. As for food products, I can say that the Germans came 2-3 years ago, they were going to sell these products here. We bought local products for comparison, ate them and went back, they said that they were not in a position to compete. Continue to work honestly for the good of American imperialism. You have nothing in this Europe other than muda.
  19. Bugiman
    Bugiman April 9 2014 18: 16
    I hope that if the European Union bursts, we will not be sprayed with dirt.
  20. Vlad1408
    Vlad1408 April 9 2014 22: 49
    Everything will depend on Germany, how much, this machine will be able to support the EU, there almost all debtors are used to living on handouts, while thinking that individually, they are and are donors, all this reminds us of the USSR the center gave slack, regional elites ran home.
  21. NEXUS
    NEXUS April 10 2014 01: 28
    [quote = ya.seliwerstov2013] [quote] The economic crisis demonstrated the failure of the European Union, when many countries were helpless and faced the threat of bankruptcy, but instead of supporting the "allies" received only onerous loans. [/ quote] The European Union has exhausted itself .. . these are the speeches in the parliament of the FRG ... MERKEL IN FURY!)
  22. appolon44
    appolon44 April 10 2014 02: 06
    The collapse of the European Union is a simple inevitability, everything falls into place, the geyropa is simply afraid that Russia will, rightfully, manage this herd of sheep. A matter of time and effort of the Russian leadership, in the external and internal arena.
    1. Rasputin
      Rasputin April 10 2014 08: 51
      By what right ...? Brain on its own, dear! You have such a mess at home, central Russia is desolate, villages are dying out, in the cities despicable "guest workers" do the main work, you only hold a bottle in your hands and hold a rally about lofty matters. And you are a manager over Europe? Yes ... the land of the Soviets has left its mark. Only to advise you the master or popizdet in Russian!
      1. Hort
        Hort April 11 2014 14: 47
        zhahni valerian or something.
        You have such a mess at home, central Russia is desolate, villages are dying out, in the cities despicable "guest workers" do the main work, you only hold a bottle in your hands and hold a rally about lofty matters.
        it’s immediately clear that in Russia it wasn’t a good thing, a clown is cheap laughing
  23. NEXUS
    NEXUS April 10 2014 02: 29
    +4 а вот что думают журналисты фрг на происходящее между россией и ес
  24. A1L9E4K9S
    A1L9E4K9S April 10 2014 03: 23
    Well, for our century, the European Union and NATO will be enough. As long as the process of expansion of both NATO and the European Union is underway, when the process reaches the top point, the collapse will begin. The decay will take place very quickly, I recall all the grievances, who fed whom, who simply was Europeans scatter around their apartments.
  25. Blackmokona
    Blackmokona April 11 2014 07: 41
    The EU continues to grow. See lists of countries candidates for EU membership.
    The Catholic Church has no chance of secession
    Scotland wants to be in the EU after declaring independence.
    Thus, the main supports in the article are false.
  26. Alex 1977
    Alex 1977 April 11 2014 09: 06
    Quote: Rasputin
    By what right ...? Brain on its own, dear! You have such a mess at home, central Russia is desolate, villages are dying out, in the cities despicable "guest workers" do the main work, you only hold a bottle in your hands and hold a rally about lofty matters. And you are a manager over Europe? Yes ... the land of the Soviets has left its mark. Only to advise you the master or popizdet in Russian!

    Airport Berlin finish.
    The capital, after all, is uncomfortable in front of people. Ten years and five hyphenation discoveries - this is still too much.
    Or learn how to build in Sochi.
    How to report, talk about the difficult fate of the Russian countryside.
    Py Sy - endangered villages exported 2011 million tons of grain in 21
    and about 45 thousand tons of meat.
    PySySy. Interesting to be called the greatest geopolitical tragedy
    twenty first century, the collapse of the EU. or is it still the USA?