Military Review

From the field of American fiction. The overthrow of Lukashenko and another 4 script Putin’s behavior for the coming years

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From the field of American fiction. The overthrow of Lukashenko and another 4 script Putin’s behavior for the coming years



Russian President Vladimir Putin invaded the Crimea and occupied it, thereby continuing the practice of using armed intervention under the pretext of protecting ethnic Russian and Russian interests.

Although Putin’s advance in Ukraine is far from complete, there are other military actions that Russia could take to expand its sphere of influence in the post-Soviet space.

Wikistrat, an organization that analyzes geopolitical and economic phenomena based on the crowdsourcing method, has calculated possible options for further developments.

In January of this year, Wikistrat experts predicted the possibility of the resignation of President Viktor Yanukovych (which happened a month later), as well as the possibility of annexing Crimea.

Some time ago, our analysts' 66 developed potential scenarios for five days, taking into account all types of intervention, from small anti-terrorist missions to massive invasions and cyber attacks.

Below are the five most likely scenarios, according to Wikistrat lead analyst Mark Galeotti.

1 script
2015: Russia responds to massive cyber attack sanctions


The EU and the US are responding to Russia's actions against Ukraine with serious economic and political sanctions. In response, and also hoping to prevent further actions by the West, Russia is taking a series of cyber attacks, participation in which is officially denied. Often, these attacks are carried out by “patriotic hackers” against Western economic and information organizations. This leads to physical damage, financial loss and communication problems in Western and allied countries.

Russia will behave carefully in order to avoid actions that could be interpreted as “armed attack” and thus lead to the operation of Article V of the NATO Treaty. In the short term, the EU's Information Security and Network Agency finds that it cannot cope with the scale of the attacks, and the US begins to ponder whether or not to use the US Cyber ​​Command, which may cause problems, because Russia will officially deny its participation.

Such actions will still lead to a Pyrrhic victory for Moscow, since it will only worsen its attitude towards it in the West and convince the West of the need to prepare more seriously for an even more serious defensive and offensive cyber conflict.

2 script
2016: Russia supports coup against Lukashenko against the background of post-election unrest in Belarus


In November 2015, President Lukashenko falsifies and wins another election in a country called "the last dictatorship in Europe." Inspired by the success of the Ukrainian Maidan, young nationally oriented protesters occupy Independence Square in Minsk. The special forces roughly disperse them, but they cannot do anything with the anti-Lukashenka movements, which are gaining strength and popularity.

Trying not to repeat the mistake with Ukrainian Yanukovych and being more and more irritated by Lukashenko, Russia agrees with international observers that there were grave violations during the elections. At the beginning of 2016, Russia uses its network of agents and military advisers to organize a coup, conspiring with senior officers of the army and security forces. Lukashenka is arrested, Russian troops are introduced into the country "for conducting joint exercises," for the suppression of loyal to the president units. In the position enters. the president.

Acknowledging violations during the elections, the EU and the US condemn the actions of Russia, accusing it of referring to Belarus as its province, and not as a sovereign state. China is seriously concerned because In recent years, Lukashenka has established close ties with him. His overthrow is thus a serious blow to Beijing’s economic ambitions in Eastern Europe. Russia seriously hopes that the new leader will be able to immediately reform the economy of Belarus, making it a more valuable partner, leading the country in the wake of Russian politics as a loyal satrap. These hopes are unfounded.

3 script
2017: Using mercenaries in Somalia to validate their point of view


Russian citizens are being captured in Somalia. Instead of paying the ransom, Moscow prefers to use the mercenaries of one of its private military organizations to organize a large-scale rescue mission involving the Navy. The operation has four goals:

1) Demonstrate the capabilities of Russian mercenaries in the global market for such services;

2) Give a lesson to any force that will try to seize the Russians in the future;

3) Satisfy the nationalists in Russia itself;

4) Remind Africa of Russia as a potential ally.

Russian intelligence discovers a terrorist camp in eastern Kismayo. A group of experienced military airbags to Sudan, and then to a Russian military vessel involved in anti-piracy operations off the coast of Somalia. Under cover of night, a detachment parachuted down to the shore and attacks the camp of terrorists under cover of fire from Russian fighters. The hostages are freed, albeit at the expense of the lives of several civilians. Expressing concern over the presence of collateral victims, the international community either stays idle or remains tacitly satisfied with Russia's actions that could prevent abductions in the future.

4 script
2018: Deployment of troops in South Kazakhstan


The death of President Nursultan Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan in 2018 and the subsequent struggle to inherit his post leads to a turbulent political situation in the country. China has a wide experience of military pressure on Kazakhstan. And while Beijing is deploying large and threatening military maneuvers, Kazakhstan, considering Russia to be a lesser evil, appeals to Russia to occupy the city of Ust-Kamenogorsk to protect the Russian-speaking minority living there. The real reason is to give a signal to China that in this troubled period, the security of Kazakhstan is guaranteed by Russia. Moscow happily agrees to (re) create a military base that can later become a base of growth.
China is concerned, but can not do anything. The United States does not respond to what is happening. Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are nervous, but also do not officially react. Europe is caught off guard. In reality, nothing is done to condemn what is happening, because Kazakhstan itself does not seek assistance from any international organization, but, on the contrary, develops bilateral cooperation with Moscow.

5 script
2020: Blocking gas pipeline construction from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan


By 2020, the construction of the Trans-Adriatic gas pipeline is being completed and the possibility of supplying gas to Europe from the Azerbaijani Shah Deniz field appears. Pipelines, on which gas can be supplied to Europe from Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan, are still not completed. Considering the alternatives, Turkmenistan decides to build a Trans-Caspian gas pipeline to Azerbaijan to open the way to Europe.

Moscow seriously objects to the construction of the Trans-Caspian gas pipeline, since This will create serious competition for Russian gas. Declaring that there is an environmental threat to the bottom of the Caspian Sea and that Turkmenistan is seeking to de facto establish a new sea border, Moscow will use the Caspian fleet, which does not allow builders to deliver and lay pipes. As a result, insurance companies and shipowners come to the conclusion that construction has run into too much risk and withdraws its vessels, thereby effectively stopping construction.

The EU and the US are adopting the tactics of Russia, but they cannot intervene directly due to excessive distances and logistics costs. Despite the fact that the Trans-Caspian gas pipeline is beneficial to China in the long term, at the moment it is not so important a question, because of which it would be possible to enter into conflict with Russia. On the contrary, what is happening can be used by Beijing as a precedent to justify its own actions in the South China Sea.

Expert Mark Galotti explains why Russia will act precisely in these areas, and also why the results will be exactly as described.

- Taking into account how Russia positions itself, and also taking into account its use of force to protect and develop its regional and global status, intervention by the Russian Federation seems very likely;

- The most likely intervention on the borders of Russia. This reflects the opinion of Russia itself that it has a special privileged status in Eurasia and the former USSR, and also takes into account its limited capabilities;

“Russia will gradually become increasingly aware of the limits of its capabilities and, therefore, will strive to use increasingly softer invasion tools, such as special forces and agents, whose participation in the actions it will deny.

- The most successful operations will require cooperation from the nation, against which the aggression unfolds, or will be developed very carefully, in order to lead to minimal international outrage;

- NATO is often in great difficulty, being in search of an adequate response to interventions, especially given the fact that Moscow will ensure that all interventions do not look like a direct attack. Russia will also act swiftly in order to fix the status quo convenient to it, and to do so before the alliance comes to a decision.

“Most invasions will only lead to short-term benefits for Russia, and ultimately lead to what they will create as an unpredictable and dangerous neighbor. At best, they will only postpone the inevitable processes, such as the departure from Russian hegemony in Eurasia and the growing influence of China;

- Russia's desire to conduct external intervention also creates dangerous precedents. In particular, rising China, whose political support or at least non-interference Moscow will often count on, will be able to use similar methods and rationales in the future with respect to zones of influence or the interests of Russia itself.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.businessinsider.com/wikistrat-the-next-russian-military-invasion-2014-3
113 comments
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  1. smel
    smel April 4 2014 07: 23
    +34
    It’s time to conduct clinical research. Apparently the pills will not help. Only clipping. Heads
    1. domokl
      domokl April 4 2014 07: 28
      +6
      Why? What to do in a psychiatric hospital? And it’s so clear what kind of illness people are with ...
      But with regard to Belarus, the answer to Lukashenko’s policy ... I didn’t clearly state my position, get it. The West perceived his speech as a weakness ... The rest is already a technical matter ... The KGB of the republic will clearly increase work ...
    2. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 4 2014 07: 44
      +27
      I read the names of the paragraphs and enough to not read the article.
      Posted by Michael Kelley You moron!!!
      1. Tersky
        Tersky April 4 2014 08: 52
        +6
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        Posted by Michael Kelley You are D, E, B, I, L !!!

        Sasha, judging by his forecasts in the USA after the Crimea, the season of mass picking mushrooms has opened .. wassat
        1. I do not care
          I do not care April 4 2014 09: 04
          +4
          Quote: Tersky
          Quote: Alexander Romanov
          Posted by Michael Kelley You are D, E, B, I, L !!!

          Sasha, judging by his forecasts in the USA after the Crimea, the season of mass picking mushrooms has opened .. wassat

          mushroom article for mushrooms laughing
          1. GDP
            GDP April 4 2014 10: 00
            +3
            Delusional forecasts! I wonder what these analysts are paid for? - The level of the yellow press is not higher, what are the only Russian tanks in Somalia? :)
            1. jjj
              jjj April 4 2014 13: 44
              +1
              Although, as it seems, the issues on Belarus and Kazakhstan have not yet been resolved by us. And there is no point in solving them now. We ourselves have not yet set everything up in the state. But, I would like to draw your attention to two temporary accents named in the opus. This is 2015 for Belarus and 2018 for Kazakhstan. It says in plain text that the West in these years will undertake serious attempts to destabilize the Customs Union. And the author says about this not because he pulled in a joint - and suddenly it dawned on me. The West works in a strictly planned manner, with lengthy preparation. And it turns out that these years are "spontaneous performances". It's just embarrassing that the events in Belarus and Kazakhstan are far apart in time. Although for 2018, of course, the FIFA World Cup in Russia - how not to spoil here
              1. jjj
                jjj April 4 2014 14: 47
                +1
                Only now it has come to a stupid one. In 2015, there should have been elections in Ukraine. And the related unrest in Ukraine and Belarus would be a very good destabilizing opportunity for the West. Again, I remember the famous Putin's: "False start!"
              2. pvn53
                pvn53 April 4 2014 14: 53
                0
                But there is no doubt that the United States will continue to do dirty tricks, including in Belarus and Kazakhstan. Therefore, even in this delirium there is some truth
              3. pvn53
                pvn53 April 4 2014 14: 53
                0
                But there is no doubt that the United States will continue to do dirty tricks, including in Belarus and Kazakhstan. Therefore, even in this delirium there is some truth
            2. afdjhbn67
              afdjhbn67 April 4 2014 14: 28
              0
              yes there aren’t any analysts any set of nonsense of some kind of idiot would be better to fool around then maybe this nonsense would make more sense ...
        2. Kahlan amnell
          Kahlan amnell April 4 2014 09: 16
          +1
          ... judging by his forecasts in the USA, a season of mass mushroom picking has opened after the Crimea .. wassat

          It is unlikely that they are lazy there - to engage in a quiet hunt. Yes and no reason. Rather, this uncle (C20H25N3O) has used and is now publishing his narcotic nonsense.
          1. polite people
            polite people April 4 2014 14: 18
            -1
            The teacher asks:
            - Who is the most popular person?
            Little John pulls his hand:
            - Michael Kelly !!!
            - Sit down, two!
            The next day:
            - So, children, who is the most popular person?
            Little Johnny:
            - The president!
            - Sit down, five!
            Little Johnny sits down, takes out a portrait of Michael Kelly under the desk and whispers:
            - Sorry, Michael, - business
        3. Wheel
          Wheel April 4 2014 11: 09
          +1
          Quote: Tersky
          Sasha, judging by his forecasts in the USA after the Crimea, the season of mass picking of mushrooms has opened.

          Rather, in the USA, they are actively testing Ukrainian hemp. laughing
          Rushing almost like maydanutyh.
      2. avt
        avt April 4 2014 09: 16
        +2
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        Posted by Michael Kelley You are D, E, B, I, L !!!

        Come on ! The guy crawls for the dough into full-time advisers - political scientists, so he decided to ride the wave. Why strain your brain when you can just get terrified against a background of general panic. We have such Shevchenko, Pavlovsky, brand-like greens on the market - they sell and buy bundles.
        1. Ingvar 72
          Ingvar 72 April 4 2014 09: 48
          +1
          Quote: avt
          .And why strain the brain

          They strain their brains, but they only work for them in a different range.
          Moscow prefers to use mercenaries of one of its private military organizations
          They judge by themselves what to take from them. We also judge the world by ourselves, only we are out of a sense of justice, and they are out of our own interests. hi
      3. Ezhaak
        Ezhaak April 4 2014 10: 03
        +2
        Good day to all! Alexander, looking at everything that happens, recalls the children sitting at the TV, on which there is a horror movie, cover their eyes with their palms and repeat: Oh, I'm afraid, I'm afraid, I'm afraid. But they do not come off the screen. So they look between the fingers.
        So it is here. They allow themselves fear. They scare themselves. Wow, as I told you scary !!! Fear the battle!
      4. Gloria45
        Gloria45 April 4 2014 12: 45
        +1
        In the US, mock riots in Ukraine
        As for alcoholism, I fundamentally disagree with him!
        See how Poles, Finns, Swedes drink ....
      5. Prorox
        Prorox April 4 2014 13: 00
        +1
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        I read the names of the paragraphs and enough to not read the article.

        The State Department’s operational plans can’t justify a thing picking mushrooms.
    3. Rebus
      Rebus April 4 2014 07: 53
      +3
      Quote: smel
      It’s time to conduct clinical research.

      Late, author no longer has a brain, since the worms ate it ... wassat
      Western media are full of such "analytical" articles.
      Western analytics harness ...
      1. makst83
        makst83 April 4 2014 08: 14
        +1
        cheap pulp fiction, like a novel for 50 rubles!)))
      2. The comment was deleted.
      3. alexng
        alexng April 4 2014 08: 28
        0
        The West has become marginal both in fact and in fact. The behavior of Western politicians is no longer amenable to any analysis, and the contents of their skull boxes can be submitted for analysis instead of feces. There will not be much difference.
    4. TUNISIA
      TUNISIA April 4 2014 08: 02
      +3
      I have long said and am saying now: Americans need to be treated with electricity. The epidemic of idiocy there, apparently, is transmitted by airborne droplets. McCain, when he came to Ukraine and whispered with the opposition on the Maidan, he rebuilt everyone there ...
    5. Siberian19
      Siberian19 April 4 2014 08: 06
      +13
      if only so
      1. hommer
        hommer April 4 2014 09: 14
        +13
        Quote: Siberian19
        if only so


        And how do they like this scenario-
        the European Union collapsed, the German people made their politicians give a damn about the chancellor, in France Marine Le Pen became president, France withdrew from NATO, the creation of the axis Paris-Berlin-Moscow-Beijing was announced.
        Japan sits quietly so as not to annoy China.
        The USA (its remnants) after the collapse of the dollar returned to the policy of isolationism. Production begins to flow to Africa and the United States, where the cheapest labor.
        laughing
        AnalItics, damn it, not to say even worse.
        1. vadson
          vadson April 4 2014 13: 50
          +1
          Japan sits quietly so as not to annoy China. - the whales fed them with purgen, they are afraid to sneeze :-)
    6. major071
      major071 April 4 2014 08: 32
      +9
      Damn, I love science fiction, but this author is marching on something, more specifically! wassat
      1. Max otto
        Max otto April 4 2014 10: 07
        +2
        Those who wish to stir up such an elementary money will not even start. If in Ukraine the Maidan cost 5 billion, then 15 billion would not be enough to do this in Belarus. there is no such reeling of minds, here only for big grandmas you can move someone, but you still have to import strangers by train.
        1. Belarus
          Belarus April 4 2014 12: 04
          0
          As one "former" NSA employee said in an interview with RTR: ..... the Americans have invested in Ukraine not 5 billion, but much more, much more.
    7. ArhipenkoAndrey
      ArhipenkoAndrey April 4 2014 10: 42
      0
      Yeah, the resection is however called.
    8. avg
      avg April 4 2014 11: 22
      +2
      Some time ago, our analysts' 66 developed potential scenarios for five days, taking into account all types of intervention, from small anti-terrorist missions to massive invasions and cyber attacks.

      Yes drive them all, loafers. It’s cheaper to ask Putin.
      1. подводник
        подводник April 4 2014 12: 55
        0
        Friends, these "analysts" are still for it and get the money !!!
        Where do they find these analysts ???
        In Hollywood ???



        Still made you think "scenario number 3"
        1. Firstly: we do not have a Navy ..... we have a Navy .... (damn experts)
        2. Secondly: no abduction has yet occurred in Somalia, but (!!!) American miracle experts already know (!!!) where the Russians will find a terrorist base !!! (eastern Kismayu)
        1. vadson
          vadson April 4 2014 13: 53
          0
          yes that’s ok, the terrorist base, they found our fighters there, is that over Africa then? ooh-ho-ho-ho-ho. in the course of a few points about creating databases in Africa, analysts missed
      2. The comment was deleted.
  2. borisjdin1957
    borisjdin1957 April 4 2014 07: 23
    +5
    from the Don.
    BULLSHIT!!!
    1. gandalf
      gandalf April 4 2014 07: 27
      +1
      BULLSHIT!!!

      No, the author is a man. Delirium horse in a coat, it turns out. smile
      1. domokl
        domokl April 4 2014 07: 29
        +6
        laughing What kind of zoological argument do you have ... Horse, mare ... In komente keyword-RED good
      2. ArhipenkoAndrey
        ArhipenkoAndrey April 4 2014 10: 42
        0
        Well, in the West this is not a fact.
    2. BYV
      BYV April 4 2014 07: 29
      +1
      Michael! Pour what you smoke. you are welcome laughing
      1. avant-garde
        avant-garde April 4 2014 07: 33
        +3
        Quote: BYV
        Michael! Pour what you smoke. you are welcome

        By writing this SCENARIO 3 it is only possible with harder drugs than grass !!! This is generally some kind of tryndets wassat.
      2. Lk17619
        Lk17619 April 4 2014 08: 10
        +2
        Quote: BYV
        Pour what you smoke. you are welcome

        And they smoke the newly-minted Ukrainian hemp, which is delivered to the United States by blat wassat
    3. Andrey Yuryevich
      Andrey Yuryevich April 4 2014 07: 40
      +2
      Quote: borisjdin1957
      from the Don.
      BULLSHIT!!!

      the scripts were clearly stolen in Hollywood, apparently from the imagination they borrowed from stoned writers from the hill with imagination ... probably new militants will soon show on TV-3, who will be interested in the role of GDP? wassat
      1. ArhipenkoAndrey
        ArhipenkoAndrey April 4 2014 10: 45
        +1
        And I also have a prediction - Michael will strangle himself through no divide and America will partially drown in the ocean in two, and in three weeks China will land a humanitarian aid mission to America and after 2 years America speaks Chinese, and Russia is in place, as always, as a prediction Michael?
  3. avant-garde
    avant-garde April 4 2014 07: 25
    +1
    Which dbf invented this? belay And where is the version that the earth will fly onto the celestial axis after Putin blows up all the nuclear potential Russia has ????
    1. serega.fedotov
      serega.fedotov April 4 2014 08: 29
      0
      Quote: avant-garde
      Which dbf invented this? belay And where is the version that the earth will fly onto the celestial axis after Putin blows up all the nuclear potential Russia has ????

      Well, why so soon, people tried, thought! And the fact that their conclusions are worthy of a shirt with ties on their backs, because they did not appoint themselves experts as experts!
  4. Scandinavian
    Scandinavian April 4 2014 07: 26
    +1
    Dreamers .... to see before going to bed Salvia will get drunk ... and they imagine new scenarios for the actions of the unpredictable Russian soul ...
  5. mirag2
    mirag2 April 4 2014 07: 28
    +3
    What is the same Lukashenko youth.
    He told how he managed to prevent a color revolution.
    That would be his brains to other power-holders.
    The positive point in all these revolutions is one that leaders should think about the root cause of such things — CORRUPTION!
  6. parus2nik
    parus2nik April 4 2014 07: 28
    +2
    DUR Dumka bagatіко, and this analysis, NATO and the United States want it to be so .. But it won’t be so .. it will be a little different .. that the West will climb on the wall from powerlessness ..
  7. ya.seliwerstov2013
    ya.seliwerstov2013 April 4 2014 07: 29
    +1
    Insanity grew stronger! lol
    1. Vadim-61
      Vadim-61 April 4 2014 07: 50
      +1
      from their "crowdsourcing" the addition follows - collective insanity is strong! )))
  8. JoylyRoger
    JoylyRoger April 4 2014 07: 39
    0
    Something not one of the scenarios does not even draw close to credibility.
    1. JoylyRoger
      JoylyRoger April 4 2014 08: 25
      0
      I can also write pieces of 10 scenarios for America and Europe .... Based on Hollywood movies and computer games. Yes, and prove with foam at the mouth of their reality))))
  9. Vadim12
    Vadim12 April 4 2014 07: 39
    0
    Well, dreamers! Especially about Belarus.
  10. Bobxnumx
    Bobxnumx April 4 2014 07: 41
    0
    They should write fantastic novels, and not do analytical calculations. Sounds like custom analysis.
  11. Siberia 9444
    Siberia 9444 April 4 2014 07: 42
    0
    Damn what nonsense! request
  12. igor64
    igor64 April 4 2014 07: 43
    0
    it seems medicine is powerless in this situation
  13. Ilja 22
    Ilja 22 April 4 2014 07: 44
    0
    Paranoia ... I need to smoke less weed, and not refer to cataracts, my mouth is constantly open, smiling, eyes are round)
  14. mojohed2012
    mojohed2012 April 4 2014 07: 45
    0
    This is not nonsense - this is what the vaunted "experts" had enough brains to justify the spent grants from the US State Department.
    There are no strategists, there are no normal experts. In order to give conclusions, one must be well versed in the domestic and foreign policies of the Russian Federation and its neighbors. All gossip and unconfirmed information must be taken into account. Link all of this into one and draw well-founded conclusions.
    About Somalia - generally smiled - zhzhot author.
  15. ia-ai00
    ia-ai00 April 4 2014 07: 45
    0
    Straight “Notes of a Madman” - only from Michael Kelly.
    I would like to wait for the second VOLUME of "fantasies" dedicated to the United States, under the leadership of 44 presidents.
  16. Mentor
    Mentor April 4 2014 07: 45
    +1
    All American stamps in action. If amers have such experts, it is not surprising that all their actions resemble an elephant's walk in a porcelain shop. What, nah, "Maidan" in Minsk? He will be allowed to get together, scream for a couple of days, then the housing and communal services workers will come, and with the words "Well, you made a mess ..." they will take the entire Maidan to the dump.
  17. stranik
    stranik April 4 2014 07: 46
    0
    The diagnosis of schizophrenia, the author urgently in a madhouse.
  18. Woolfy
    Woolfy April 4 2014 07: 48
    0
    Bullshit then
  19. Hort
    Hort April 4 2014 07: 49
    +1
    Something strange some options offered us. It would be smarter and more global for something to come up with, or something like that — well, there, the CER would buy back, together with Manchuria, to join the Finns on autonomy rights, or even restore the GDR, suddenly, using the cyber attack and gas prices for Somali mercenaries wassat
  20. Vityok
    Vityok April 4 2014 07: 49
    0
    Script for Hollywood!
  21. Revolver
    Revolver April 4 2014 07: 49
    0
    Scenarios 1 and 2 look shitty, and not very likely, if not very incredible. And scenarios 3,4,5 are quite nice, especially 3 and partly 4, although they are probably not very likely here either. And in general, I don't remember who said, but very well: "Do you want to make God laugh? Tell him your plans."
  22. ken
    ken April 4 2014 07: 50
    +2
    What kind of fantasies? !!!?
  23. The comment was deleted.
  24. Balamyt
    Balamyt April 4 2014 07: 56
    0
    Do you know. often life develops just according to the most fantastic, and at first glance, absolutely unrealistic scenario. What is there to guess? Life will put everything in its place! Wait and see.
  25. Stinger
    Stinger April 4 2014 07: 56
    +1
    I immediately remembered the classic. Winnie-the-Pooh: This is “Ms-ws" - for good reason! You can expect everything from these bees. Do you know what will come to mind for these bees
  26. yulka2980
    yulka2980 April 4 2014 08: 00
    0
    Soon they will come up with a computer game as Putin takes over the whole world! There’s nothing for some to do! request
  27. Sergey-ADE2
    Sergey-ADE2 April 4 2014 08: 01
    0
    The one who wrote this article suffers from manic depression, or some other kind of depression, I am not a doctor, so I don’t know what they are called. But this person needs to be !!!
  28. tungus
    tungus April 4 2014 08: 06
    +1
    If in the USA there are all such analysts, then I am calm for the future of Russia. I haven’t met any more nonsense. You are going the right way, comrades! I hope you’re going to put your analytical notes directly on the barn table, that is, put Barak?
  29. Corsair5912
    Corsair5912 April 4 2014 08: 06
    0
    Author Michael Kelly is no more than a pig in oranges in Russian domestic politics and geopolitics.
    Only the zombie ignoramus, who believes that Finland is somewhere near Korea, can invent such wildest nonsense.
    Russia has not made a single invasion and not a single intervention, and the whole West has already put on its pants and is wildly howling about Russia's desire for intervention.
  30. Jurkovs
    Jurkovs April 4 2014 08: 11
    0
    But 66 people worked, received money, which means there is a consumer of this product. It seems to me that talking about this consumer will be much more entertaining than about the opus of the authors.
  31. vlad.svargin
    vlad.svargin April 4 2014 08: 16
    0
    stranik
    The diagnosis of schizophrenia, the author urgently in a madhouse.


    Unless only one author is in a madhouse, their entire leadership suffers from schizophrenia. Judging by the speeches of the rulers of the United States, they need to be treated, they think up according to their mentality, and then they try to put the whole world "cancer". The author expresses the opinion of the ruling minority of this country, having seen enough of Hollywood fantasies ...
  32. The comment was deleted.
  33. IGS
    IGS April 4 2014 08: 24
    +1
    Why Somalia, not Narnia? Cyberattack ... take more, writer, we’ll connect shamans, they will bring out the aura to the Americans at the very chakras fellow author, kill yourself up the wall!
  34. Yura
    Yura April 4 2014 08: 29
    +1
    Where are you Kazakhs? There’s one American ... (insert the word yourself to choose) appointed the date of Nazarbayev’s death
    4 script
    2018: Deployment of troops in South Kazakhstan

    The death of President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev in 2018
    they already indicate to the Most High what and how.
  35. kwazarik
    kwazarik April 4 2014 08: 33
    0
    Just some Red Alert: D scripts
  36. aepocmam
    aepocmam April 4 2014 08: 34
    +1
    Boring, fresh, banal, no imagination or flight of thought. Not even pull on the plot for a third-rate action movie.
  37. denis88
    denis88 April 4 2014 08: 40
    0
    Quote: Alexander Romanov
    I read the names of the paragraphs and enough to not read the article.
    Posted by Michael Kelley You moron!!!

    I fully support. The same feelings. The same perception. There is nothing to add.
  38. ed65b
    ed65b April 4 2014 08: 45
    0
    You simply didn’t understand how others compiled this opus, but at first it’s directly stated that
    Some time ago, 66 of our analysts developed potential scenarios over the course of five days.
    66 analysts thumped hard and drank the entire study budget in 5 days, and on day 6 from the body, they broke into dozens and within an hour, with sober-breaks, they scratched this miracle. Their thought developed depending on the state of the soul and the amount received on the chest. There is a suspicion that one dozen did not hangover, but smoked jambs with a hollowed garbage. laughing
  39. alicante11
    alicante11 April 4 2014 08: 48
    0
    By themselves, others are not judged. In the process, they were leaked from the Pentagon by new horror films for Hollywood.
  40. asar
    asar April 4 2014 08: 48
    0
    Complete stupidity, nonsense and bullshit! Well, it would be fine there Belarus, Kazakhstan, some kind of "pipe", cyber attacks! But what does Somalia have to do with it ?! Obviously, the author chewed the wrong mushrooms! Yes, we do not have a bright mind, gentlemen! How anger chokes you, and the desire to play a dirty trick on a large scale, but here "ohchko" "plays"! laughing
  41. Monk
    Monk April 4 2014 09: 04
    0
    I think soon we should expect computer games on the plots of this nonsense.
  42. nikolaykk
    nikolaykk April 4 2014 09: 05
    0
    All this is aimed only at creating a negative image of Russia, so that in the future it would be possible to calmly cut our territories and resources
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 4 2014 09: 07
      0
      Quote: nikolaykk
      so that in the future it would be possible to quietly cut our territories and resources

      And who will do it?
  43. mackonya
    mackonya April 4 2014 09: 11
    +1
    An interesting forecast turned out, only they confused the name of the aggressor, if you write instead of Russia and Putin, the United States and its current president, then the scenario is quite real, very similar to the "State Department".
  44. Dragon-y
    Dragon-y April 4 2014 09: 12
    0
    People, you do not understand: this is a work of the genre "Alternative History" ...
  45. inkass_98
    inkass_98 April 4 2014 09: 16
    +4
    The authors of the delirium did a good job, now they need to be urgently on vacation, the roof should be patched up.
  46. vdovinab
    vdovinab April 4 2014 09: 27
    +2
    It’s not clear how the orderlies missed the exit of the clinic of this opus? HOW did 66 patients write THIS under round-the-clock supervision, and took the 67th IT out of the fence? They have serious problems with the control of the wards !!!
  47. promt26
    promt26 April 4 2014 09: 30
    +2
    P.R. And this is an analytical forecast !? Hana West! drinks
  48. Demon
    Demon April 4 2014 09: 35
    +1
    Come, rare, what can I say !!!
  49. tolyasik0577
    tolyasik0577 April 4 2014 09: 38
    +1
    and what, I like, in general. that's just with the Belarusians as the scenario is not very. Think about it yet. Yes, and they didn’t even let Nazarbayev go for a very short time, if I were offended in his place, I’m also Wangi. But in general, the conclusion is Great Power smile
  50. Voenruk
    Voenruk April 4 2014 09: 42
    0
    They are in the West completely fucked up! In how brain fucked up!