The analytical program "However," with Mikhail Leontyev 02 April 2014
The Ukrainian conflict, which threatened to escalate almost into a world war, somehow enters a calm, so to speak, diplomatic channel.
Foreign Minister Lavrov and Secretary of State Kerry held an emergency meeting in Paris, for which the Secretary of State deployed his plane, on which he was returning from Saudi Arabia. After the talks, the upcoming meeting of foreign ministers of France, Germany and Poland, whose guarantees are under the February 21 Agreement between Yanukovych and the opposition, was announced. The very Agreement, the return to which was the demand of Russia. The guarantor ministers made a statement at the end of the meeting, in which they essentially confirmed the relevance of its main points, stated the impossibility of Ukraine joining NATO and called on the Ukrainian authorities to disarm illegal formations and distance themselves from extremists.
That is, if we leave out the rhetoric and demagoguery about the Crimea and the Russian threat, there are no attempts to save face, portraying satisfaction with a certain withdrawal of troops from the Ukrainian borders, no other basis for compromise. A compromise is needed.
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The coup in Kiev, organized by the forces of the national-radicals, was an attempt to forcefully seize power over Ukraine, in fact, the agents of the West. The answer to this brazen provocation was our rapid demarche with the return of the Crimea.
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It was this response that created the possibility of balance, that is, the federalization and neutralization of Ukraine on the basis of a return to the agreement from February 21. And this is the only way for Ukraine to return to the legal field.
In fact, the neutralization of Ukraine is when the West does not draw Ukraine into itself, and we in it. This is a sufficient basis for a compromise. Subject to federalization, when we can directly build economic and cultural relations with the regions of the south-east. Naturally, on the terms of recognition of the Crimean realities. De jure or de facto is not so important. In fact, the standard scheme for the development of conflicts between Russia and the West is somehow emerging.
Remember, Georgia: first, forcing, provocation - then it was an attack on South Ossetia, - our answer, further wilderness, threats, negotiations and a deal. Syria: forcing, provocation - there was supposedly a chemical attack by Assad, again a wild frenzy, threats, negotiations, a deal. Ukraine: forcing, Maidan, provocation, coup in Kiev, wild rip-up, threats ... Negotiations.
The next step, of course, is a deal. That is, the initial provocation by our favorite partners is an invitation to dance. The dance is passionate enough, as we have heard, but less interesting, and therefore more compact. In Georgia, it took five years to come. In Ukraine, you see, and in a couple of months we will manage.
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